Patrick Boyle On Finance - podcast cover

Patrick Boyle On Finance

Patrick Boyleonfinance.org
This podcast is all about quantitative finance and financial history. Subscribe to hear about financial markets, derivatives, and how investors use quantitative tools from statistics and corporate finance theory. Included are interviews with some of the most interesting thinkers in finance. Occasional longer form financial documentaries, open up fascinating elements of financial markets history. Patrick Boyle is a quantitative hedge fund manager, a university professor, and a former investment banker. To contact Patrick visit http://onfinance.org Find Patrick on YouTube at: https://www.youtube.com/c/PatrickBoyleOnFinance DISCLAIMER:This podcast is not affiliated with any financial institution. The information provided is for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Those seeking investment advice should seek out a registered professional in their home jurisdiction and confirm their credentials on your national regulator's website. Patrick Boyle is not responsible for any investment actions taken by viewers and his content should not be used as a basis for investment or other financial decisions.
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Episodes

Elon Musk's Anti Woke Encyclopedia

Elon Musk says his new online encyclopedia Grokipedia will fix Wikipedia’s flaws by replacing human editors with AI. But can a chatbot really deliver “the whole truth and nothing but the truth” as he says? In this video, we dive into the battle between Wikipedia’s messy, transparent consensus and Grokipedia’s algorithmic certainty. Patrick's Books: Statistics For The Trading Floor: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://amzn.to/3eerLA0⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Derivatives For The Trading Floor: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠...

Nov 10, 202531 minSeason 5Ep. 45

China’s Rare Earth Chokehold!

In this video, we explore how China’s dominance in rare earth elements has become a powerful geopolitical tool—and why the United States is struggling to catch up. From the Mountain Pass mine in California to Apple’s $500 million recycling push, we unpack the strategic importance of rare earths in everything from electric vehicles and smartphones to fiber optics and missile systems.We also look at the recent Trump–Xi summit, the temporary truce on export controls, and the deeper tensions that re...

Nov 03, 202528 minSeason 5Ep. 44

Is AI’s Circular Financing Inflating a Bubble?

The AI boom isn’t just about algorithms — it’s about money, power, and a race to build infrastructure on a scale we’ve never seen before. In this weeks podcast, we break down the circular deals between OpenAI, Nvidia, Amazon, Anthropic, and even Elon Musk’s business empire — and ask the hard questions: Who’s paying for this? Where will the electricity come from? And is the industry building a Möbius strip of venture capital and gigawatts that could collapse under its own weight?We’ll explore:The...

Oct 26, 202524 minSeason 5Ep. 43

Private Equity’s Quiet Crisis!

Private equity has long promised smooth returns, operational excellence, and sophisticated diversification. But behind the pitch decks and performance charts lies a growing crisis. In this video, we explore:🔹 Why private equity firms are struggling to exit investments🔹 The illusion of stability created by stale pricing🔹 The role of leverage in driving returns — and fragility🔹 The push into 401(k)s and what it means for retail investors🔹 The rise of continuation funds, NAV loans, and other l...

Oct 19, 202524 minSeason 5Ep. 42

The Chainsaw Stalls: Can Milei Cut Through Argentina’s Currency Collapse?

Argentina’s economy is in crisis—again. President Javier Milei’s reforms slashed inflation and balanced the budget, but now the peso is under siege. In this video, we unpack the $20 billion U.S. bailout, the speculative pressure on Argentina’s currency, and the political risks ahead of the October 26 midterms.We’ll look at:Why the U.S. Treasury is buying pesos for the first time in decadesHow Milei’s fixed-but-adjustable exchange rate is draining reservesThe geopolitical angle: China, soybeans, ...

Oct 12, 202516 minSeason 5Ep. 41

AAA Rated Junk: What Tricolor and First Brands Reveal About Credit Markets!

Two companies collapsed last month. One sold used cars, the other distributed brake pads and spark plugs. Both issued debt rated AAA. Now their bonds are trading at cents on the dollar—and Wall Street is pretending not to notice.In this video, we dig into down the bankruptcies of Tricolor Holdings and First Brands Group to understand what they reveal about private credit, and why supposedly safe securities are starting to look a lot less safe. We’ll look at hidden leverage, double-pledged collat...

Oct 05, 202523 minSeason 5Ep. 40

The End of Legal Immigration?

Is America Closing the Door on Global Talent?Donald Trump’s new $100,000 fee on H-1B visa applications has sent shockwaves through the tech industry, universities, and foreign governments. In this video, we unpack the legal, economic, and political fallout — from panics at airports to diplomatic blowback, from the Hyundai factory raid to the eerie silence of Silicon Valley CEOs. Is this the end of skilled immigration as we know it? Or just another chapter in America’s long-running immigration dr...

Sep 27, 202527 minSeason 5Ep. 39

Are the Rich Really Leaving Britain?

Are Britain’s millionaires really fleeing the country—or is the “exodus” just a statistical mirage?This video digs into the numbers behind the headlines, from the much-quoted Henley & Partners migration report to the real impact of the UK’s non-dom reforms. We’ll look at what’s actually driving high earners to consider leaving, how tax policy shapes behavior, and why trust in government and value for money matter just as much as the top rate.Along the way, we’ll separate myth from reality, c...

Sep 22, 202525 minSeason 5Ep. 38

The Book That Wasn’t Supposed to Exist - Epstein's Birthday Book Released!

In 2003, Ghislaine Maxwell compiled a 238-page leather-bound book for Jeffrey Epstein — filled with letters, sketches, poems, and photos from billionaires, politicians, scientists, and celebrities. This book was never meant to be public. But now, thanks to the House Oversight Committee, it’s part of the public record — and it’s worse than anyone expected.We’ll also explore the deeper questions: Where did Epstein’s money come from? Why hasn’t the government followed the money? And what does this ...

Sep 17, 202536 minSeason 5Ep. 37

New Meme Stocks Just Dropped!

This summer, a new trend hit Wall Street: Chinese meme stocks. Promoted in WhatsApp groups, Reddit threads, and even under fake YouTube comments, a group of obscure Chinese companies soared — and then collapsed — wiping out billions in investor savings. In this podcast, we explore how how this happened and look at a chinese biotech stock which briefly reached a $38 billion valuation without selling any products, we try to understand why the FBI is calling it “ramp and dump” fraud, and how scamme...

Sep 08, 202519 minSeason 5Ep. 36

Is AI Slop Killing the Internet?

AI chatbots are replacing search engines—and in the process, they’re gutting the economics of journalism, reviews, and the open internet. In this video, we explore how tools like ChatGPT, Claude, and Google’s AI Overviews are intercepting audiences, scraping content without compensation, and threatening the viability of independent news and trusted information. From collapsing traffic to lawsuits and poisoned training data, this is a story about what happens when the web’s information economy st...

Sep 02, 202525 minSeason 5Ep. 35

The Mortgage Divide: Why America’s Housing Market Is Splitting in Two!

Why are some homeowners thriving while others are struggling to keep up? In this video, we explore how America’s housing market has fractured—creating a sharp divide between those who locked in low mortgage rates and those buying today at much higher costs.We’ll unpack:The lock-in effect and its impact on geographic mobilityWhy millennials face deeper inequality within their own generationHow renters are absorbing the full brunt of housing inflationThe role of tariffs, interest rates, and invest...

Aug 26, 202520 minSeason 5Ep. 34

15% to the Treasury: Trump’s Nvidia Export Kickback!

In weeks podcast, we unpack Donald Trump’s controversial deal with Nvidia and AMD — a 15% revenue-sharing arrangement that allows U.S. AI chips to be exported to China. Is this a clever geopolitical strategy or a dangerous precedent that monetizes national security? We explore:How the deal was brokered and what it means for U.S. trade policyLegal and constitutional concerns surrounding export controlsStrategic risks of enabling China’s AI developmentComparisons to China’s rare earth leverage and...

Aug 20, 202528 minSeason 5Ep. 33

Sales Down, Pay Up: Inside Tesla’s Strange New Reality!

Tesla’s sales are falling across the globe—from the UK to China to California. So why did the board just hand Elon Musk a $29 billion pay package? In this video, we break down the contradictions at the heart of Tesla’s current moment: collapsing demand, the Cybertruck debacle, the robotaxi fantasy, and a boardroom that seems more loyal to Musk than to shareholders.We’ll explore:Why Tesla’s fundamentals are weakeningHow Musk’s pay compares to other CEOsThe governance crisis behind the headlinesWh...

Aug 12, 202532 minSeason 5Ep. 32

Is the Global Trading System Breaking Down?

In this weeks podcast, we examine the implications of Trump’s latest trade deals —from the one-sided EU deal to politically charged moves against Brazil. Are the deals being structured to exclude China from global supply chains and are these tariffs just about trade, or something more? We explore how constant changes are disrupting business activity, whether manufacturing is really coming back to the U.S., and what history tells us about protectionism’s impact on innovation and productivity. Unh...

Aug 05, 202526 minSeason 5Ep. 31

Epstein - Follow The Money!

Jeffrey Epstein was a college dropout with no formal financial training who amassed a fortune worth hundreds of millions of dollars and mingled with presidents and billionaires. Drawing on court records and media investigations we trace where Epstein's money came from and what happened to it? From his first job as a high school teacher to involvement in a Ponzi scheme, secretive offshore firms, and powerful clients like Les Wexner and Leon Black. As conspiracy theories swirl and official narrati...

Jul 28, 202536 minSeason 5Ep. 30

The Mirage of Megaprojects: Why the West Keeps Getting Infrastructure Wrong

Britain once built world-class infrastructure with speed and purpose—now it plans ideas like a £24 billion extension cords to Morocco that are unlikely to ever work. This video dives into the rise and fall of the Xlinks Morocco–UK Power Project, exploring how overcomplication, bespoke design, and regulatory gridlock have turned modern megaprojects into cautionary tales. From fish discos at Hinkley Point C to 31,000-page environmental assessments, we ask: have we forgotten how to build? And what ...

Jul 21, 202519 minSeason 5Ep. 29

How Jane Street Made $4.3 Billion in India—Then Got Banned!

Jane Street, a prominent quantitative trading firm, has been at the center of controversy in India regarding its options trading activities. The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), have accused Jane Street of market manipulation and temporarily banned the firm from accessing the Indian securities market and are seeking to recover substantial profits, allegedly earned through these activities. The Indian regulators actions against Jane Street have sparked debate within the financial in...

Jul 15, 202523 minSeason 5Ep. 28

Bitcoin on the Balance Sheet: Why Companies Are Turning to Crypto as a Treasury Strategy

As Bitcoin surges into the financial mainstream, a growing number of companies — from obscure microcaps to global tech giants — are transforming themselves into crypto-holding entities. This video explores the rise of the corporate Bitcoin treasury strategy, tracing its origins with MicroStrategy’s dramatic pivot, the global wave of imitators, and the political entanglements reshaping the crypto landscape. With billions in digital assets now sitting on corporate balance sheets, the question is n...

Jul 09, 202519 minSeason 5Ep. 27

How Big Tech Is Quietly Taking Over AI (Without Mergers)

In the race to dominate generative AI, Big Tech firms haven’t just been building, they’ve been buying. But there’s something strange about most of the deals that they have struck. Companies like Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Nvidia are embedding themselves deep within the AI ecosystem through strategic investments, exclusive partnerships, and talent acquisitions- with deals that stop just short of formal takeovers, but the economic impact of these deals it turns out – is indistinguishable...

Jun 29, 202524 minSeason 5Ep. 26

Trader Rates Biggest Wall Street Films

Patrick Boyle, a former Wall Street trader, rates the biggest finance movies like "The Wolf of Wall Street," "The Big Short," "Rogue Trader" and "American Psycho" for realism. Patrick's Books: Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0 Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF Corporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The Channel: Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyleVisit...

Jun 24, 202524 minSeason 5Ep. 25

America’s Tax on Foreign Investors - Section 899

As the Senate decides on Donald Trump’s One Big Beautiful Budget, a lesser-known provision tucked into the House-approved bill has drawn attention from Wall Street.The measure, known as Section 899, would allow the U.S. to add a new tax of up to 20% on foreigners with U.S. investments, including multinational companies operating in the U.S.Some analysts call the provision a “revenge tax” due to its wording. It would apply to foreign entities if their home country imposes “unfair foreign taxes” a...

Jun 16, 202530 minSeason 5Ep. 24

The Trump Musk Blowup!

Donald Trump and Elon Musk have been locked in a public fight after Musk spent days bashing Trump's "big, beautiful bill" — a multi-trillion dollar budget key to unlocking the president's agenda currently being voted on in the Senate. In return, the president threatened to cut the federal government's contracts with Musk's companies, including SpaceX.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Financ...

Jun 07, 202519 minSeason 5Ep. 23

Art Market Collapse?

Why did the star lot of the spring season, a bronze head by the master sculptor Alberto Giacometti, fail to sell at Sotheby’s?Alberto Giacometti’s 1955 bust, “Grande tête mince" (“Big Thin Head”), carried a pre-sale estimate of $70 million in Sotheby’s Modern evening auction. The auctioneer started the bidding at $59 million dollars. But no one bid - the piece went unsold. It was the second high-profile lot to disappoint in two days. Andy Warhol’s “Big Electric Chair” (1967-68) was withdrawn fro...

Jun 02, 202518 minSeason 5Ep. 22

The Alarming Rise in Global Debt!

Developed economies around the world have been growing their debts over the last twenty-five years. This was less of a problem when interest rates were close to zero but in the era of trade wars, lower credit ratings and higher interest rates, debt is more expensive to issue and service. Bond investors have worried that governments are addicted to debt for quite some time, and recent drama in the Japanese bond market along with the deficit spending of Trump's "one big beautiful bill" lead many t...

May 26, 202527 minSeason 5Ep. 21

Can Trump Cut Prescription Prices?

Donald Trump has promised to slash the US’s high prescription medication prices by as much as 80 per cent with an executive order that seeks to force other countries to pay more for their medicines.“Americans will no longer be forced to pay almost three times more for the exact same medicines, often made in the exact same factories,” the order said. “As the largest purchaser of pharmaceuticals, Americans should get the best deal.” Patrick's Books: Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.t...

May 23, 202532 minSeason 5Ep. 20

The Biggest Wealth Transfer In History is Happening Right Now!

This week, let's talk about the great wealth transfer, what this means for the economy, and why millennials are expected to become the wealthiest generation in history. Patrick's Books: Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0 Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF Corporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The Channel: Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyleVisit our we...

May 12, 202521 minSeason 5Ep. 19

Why Is Russia's Economy Growing?

Since Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, its economy has surpassed most expectations. Last year, Russia’s economy grew more than the United States and Europe and on top of that Russian unemployment is at a record low. What is causing this growth and how are wartime economies different? Patrick's Books: Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0 Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF Corporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The Channel: Patreon: h...

May 05, 202524 minSeason 5Ep. 18

America's Shopping Addiction!

For decades, the American consumer has powered not just the world's biggest economy but the entire global economy. According to the World Bank – Americans make up around one third of global consumer spending but are only 4% of the global population. We shouldn't be too surprised by this – Americans are amongst the most productive workers in the world and thus are amongst the best paid – the fact that they are both busy and highly paid makes them naturally big consumers. In today's podcast we loo...

Apr 28, 202517 minSeason 5Ep. 17

Is China Dumping the Dollar? - And is Ray Dalio Right about Reserve Currencies?

In the wake of Trump's liberation day tariffs, stocks, bonds and the US dollar collapsed all at once as investors started dumping American assets. Some commentators argued that China might be behind the selling to put the US government under pressure. In this week's podcast let's discuss if it is wise to sell US assets should investors demand a risk premium, is Ray Dalio is right about how reserve currencies change over time and what is the Mar A Lago accord? Patrick's Books: Statistics For The ...

Apr 22, 202536 minSeason 5Ep. 16
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