Episode description

On November 5, voters in the US will head to the polls to decide who should be the next president: Donald Trump or Kamala Harris. But over the past several months, people from around the world have been placing millions of dollars on who will win that race. As interest in betting on US politics reaches a new high, the FT’s Oliver Roeder and Sam Learner explain how these markets work and what can (and can’t) be learned from them. 

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For further reading:

Prediction markets can tell the future. Why is the US so afraid of them?

Take political betting markets literally, not seriously

What the polls can’t tell us about America’s election

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Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com

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