SI132: Overcoming Recency Bias for Better Decision Making ft. Mark Rzepcyznski | Top Traders Unplugged podcast

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Episode description

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Episode description

Mark Rzepczynski joins us today to discuss Jerome Powell’s recent speech and how central banks can often confuse markets, the potential of Artificial Intelligence in systematic investing, whether or not holding government bonds is a good idea, the recent rise in interest rates and what it means for the stock market, the relationship between correlations and volatility, why policy makers should avoid trying to engineer future expectations, how recency-bias affects our decision making, complexity versus complicatedness, robotic systematic investing versus human discretionary investing, how to tell the difference between a systematic and discretionary trader by looking at returns only, and why ‘low-cost’ funds can often end up being more expensive than normal.

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In this episode, we discuss:

Whether artificial intelligence has a place in systematic investing

Interest rates and their effects on the trading markets

How correlations can increase volatility

The benefits of a more 'hands-off' approach to policy-making

The common perils of 'recency bias'

Spotting a discretionary trader just by looking at returns

The hidden costs behind supposed 'low cost' funds

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro

03:14 – Macro recap from Niels

06:36 – Weekly review of performance

57:46 – Q1; Mike: How useful do you find capture ratios when analysing performance?

1:08:29 – Q2; Andy: What do you think about utilising a...