Episode description

Most investors focus on returns, but what about the shape of those returns? Today, Rich and I explore the often overlooked concept of convexity - a game-changing principle in trend following that helps us thrive in unpredictable markets. Inspired by insights from our recent guest, Dave Dredge, we break down why mastering convexity is key to cutting losses early, riding big winners, and staying ahead of market turbulence.

If you’re serious about protecting and growing your portfoli - while making smarter, more systematic decisions - this episode is a must-listen. Join us for a deep dive into the mechanics of risk, reward, and the powerful edge convexity can give your portfolio!

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Episode TimeStamps:

01:49 - What has caught our attention recently?

06:20 - Industry performance update

11:10 - Why does convexity matter for trend following?

36:13 - What do we actually mean by convexity?

42:04 - Sharpe world - the pitfalls of today's economy

52:30 - Why risk and volatility can feel like the same thing

56:08 - The core of trend following

58:22 - Why open trade equity makes no sense for managers

01:00:03 - The business of trend following

01:01:37 - The exponential potential of trend following

01:08:05 - The times have changed - why is trend following more important than ever?

01:11:22 - What is up for next week?

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