Top Traders Unplugged - podcast cover

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsenwww.toptradersunplugged.com
Discover the fascinating world of investing with Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and his remarkable co-hosts. Each week, we bring you compelling conversations with legendary investors, leading economists, masterful traders, and forward-thinking thought leaders. From Trend Following and Global Macro to Geo-Politics, Commodities, Quant Investing, Crypto, and Volatility, we uncover the strategies, stories, and lessons behind their success. Gain actionable insights from industry veterans as we celebrate their achievements and learn from their challenges. Stay ahead in the ever-evolving landscape of investing - tune in weekly and elevate your financial knowledge. For the latest episodes and expert insights, visit https://toptradersunplugged.com

Episodes

BO15: Why Trend Following is Not a Black Box

Often, a Trend following strategy is described as being a ‘Black Box’, as if something bad was going on.  So it was refreshing to hear Scott Foster talk about Trend Following as being in fact, a ‘White Box’, or a ‘Transparent Box’, in comparison to other algorithmic strategies, which are often embraced by investors to a much larger degree… so I’m delighted to share this blog post with you, from a conversation I had with Scott Foster, where he also touched on the essential question: Why...

Apr 04, 201914 min

SI29: Can Value Investing be applied to Gold? and Trend Following as a forecasting tool ft. Jesse Felder

In this episode, we’re joined by special guest, Jesse Felder, from The Felder Report & the SuperInvestor Podcast.  Jesse describes his journey into the markets, if he uses Trend Following strategies in his portfolio, why he thinks we’re in a Bear Market, and in the middle of a major ‘topping process’, what he thinks about Passive Investing, his go-to timing tools, and if Value Investing can be applied to non-equity markets such as Gold.  We also ask Jesse: does he use the VIX index...

Mar 30, 20191 hr 17 min

RT23: Populism and Market Risks ft. Chris Cole, Matthew Sargaison & Dan Stone – 2of2

Today guest host Chris Solarz continues his conversation with Chris Cole , the Founder and CIO of Artemis Capital Management, Matthew Sargaison , co-CEO at AHL at Man Investments, and Dan Stone , co-founder of Ionic Capital. Our guests today go over the changing markets and why despite trend following’s recent underperformance, their clients still look to it as protection for their portfolio. They will also continue their discussion on the intersection of populism, politics, and quantitative eas...

Mar 27, 201929 min

SI28: Investing based on the "Evidence" and what are the Trend Commandments?

On today’s show, we give our thoughts on ‘Evidence-Based Investing’, David Harding’s latest comments on Trend Following, how much is too much ‘Open Risk’, as well as answering: what are some of the ‘Trend Commandments’?  Also, we discuss whether it’s safe or not to buy after a big upside price break or sell after a big gap down, whether Volatility should be ‘targeted’ in your portfolio, and if a system can be designed handle ‘parabolic moves’ better. ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK A...

Mar 24, 20191 hr 22 min

RT22: Volatility Master Class ft. Chris Cole, Matthew Sargaison & Dan Stone – 1of2

On today’s episode guest host Chris Solarz speaks with Chris Cole , founder and CIO of Artemis Capital Management, Matthew Sargaison , co-CEO at AHL at Man Investments, and Dan Stone , co-founder of Ionic Capital. With these three world class volatility experts on the show, we’ll be going deep into the current state of volatility, the ramifications of United States quantitative easing, as well as the economic effects on the market of various social movements around the world. ----- 50 YEARS OF T...

Mar 20, 201931 min

SI27: Volatility vs Risk...What's the difference? and are CTAs useless?

Discussion points this week include, Volatility vs Risk, the differences between Trading and Investing, Zero Hedge’s comment about CTAs & Trend Followers being useless, and the NY Times article on high market skepticism while prices continue to go up.  Also, should CTAs be used as a tool just for ‘Crisis Alpha’, or something more? Can Trend Following be used as a timing tool?  What is the best sample size and look-back period when testing a system? ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING...

Mar 16, 20191 hr 8 min

SI26: Is it more profitable to invest longer-term? and Druckenmiller on being greedy

Is it more profitable to be longer-term? When is Trend Following the wrong strategy to use?  Should you ‘ease’ into a trade, or go all in, and how should you adjust position size?  Other talking points include where to trade Single Stock Futures, how to include Options into a Trend Following strategy, as well as recent quotes from Stanley Druckenmiller about being greedy in the markets, and the quotes from Howard Marks on the psychology of the markets. ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLL...

Mar 10, 20191 hr 23 min

BO14: How ”slow” trading can be Profitable

Would you believe somebody if they told you they had been very successful in the investment world, by looking at the just markets once a week? Everything, and everyone, seems to be getting increasingly more short-term in their nature, so it seems counter-intuitive that you can run an actively managed trading strategy by only checking for new signals once a week. Nevertheless, this is exactly what Scot Billington and his partners have done. When I spoke to Scot a while back, he shared some great ...

Mar 05, 201913 min

SI25: Where to start your Trend Following jouney?

Discussion points this week include: Where to start if you want to become a Trend Following Trader, whether or not to trade markets differently, Bloomberg’s article on the supposed Failing of Trend Following, how strategies can cope and adapt during drawdowns, how to know when you are truly diversified or not, and a lot more. ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE ----- Follow Niels on Twitter , LinkedIn , YouTube or via the TTU w...

Mar 03, 20192 hr 38 min

RT21: What's next for Hedge Funds? ft. Jake Barton, Trent Webster & Steven Wilson – 2of2

Today Niels continues his conversation with Jake Barton , the Senior Portfolio Manager at Promus Capital, Trent Webster , Senior Investment Officer of Strategic Investments at Florida State Board of Administration, and Steven Wilson , Senior Portfolio Manager at Teacher Retirement System of Texas. Listen in to learn when our guests use investment theory versus data, new standards for management fees, and what our guests look for in maintaining a reliable team for their investors. ----- 50 YEARS ...

Mar 01, 201944 min

SI24: Why Trend Following has "failed" to attract a lot of Assets ft. Meb Faber

Meb Faber joins the show to discuss his journey into Trend Following, where Trend Following funds have gone wrong in terms of attracting assets & growing AUM, why he started his company Cambria Investments and the difficulties that this involved, the perceived safety of US Treasuries, Mutual Funds vs ETFs, and a lot more. ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE ----- Follow Niels on Twitter , LinkedIn , YouTube or via the TTU w...

Feb 24, 20192 hr 34 min

RT20: The Looming Pension Crisis ft. Jake Barton, Trent Webster & Steven Wilson – 1of2

On today’s episode Niels Kaastrup-Larsen speaks with Jake Barton , the Senior Portfolio Manager at Promus Capital, Trent Webster , Senior Investment Officer of Strategic Investments at Florida State Board of Administration, and Steven Wilson , Senior Portfolio Manager at Teacher Retirement System of Texas. As managers of the investment of pensions and alternative portfolios, our guests today get in depth on how they use trend following to improve their client’s capital, from interpersonal strate...

Feb 20, 201950 min

SI23: What is the value of the 200-Day Moving Average?

What is the value of the 200-day Moving Average, the benefit of tried and tested strategies vs new and trendy strategies?  Are drawdowns a necessary component of a robust strategy, and what is the optimum startup capital? These, and a lot more we discuss this week. ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE ----- Follow Niels on Twitter , LinkedIn , YouTube or via the TTU website . IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each yea...

Feb 17, 20192 hr 34 min

BO13: The History of Trend Following

The concept of Trend Following has been around for a long time, but it wasn’t until a few years back, that the Bible on Trend Following was written by Kathryn Kaminski and Alex Greyserman.  Today, I am delighted to share some of the interesting lessons, insights, and key things that Kathryn Kaminski took away from the long road to publishing this book. Listen to the full episode here. Part 1 & Part 2 . ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITE...

Feb 13, 201911 min

SI22: Can intra-day trading be scaled to a big business?

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get on a “call” each week to discuss the events that took place through the lens of a Systematic Investor and how the trading strategies we work with are reacting. It’s a raw and honest exploration and we hope you will join and be part of…not least by sending us questions that we can ...

Feb 10, 20192 hr 33 min

BO12: Market Psychology & Universal Truths

A while back, I had a very enjoyable time speaking to Scott Foster from Dominion Capital Management, who is not your typical Trader. He draws from a wide range of influences such as Aristotle, Magic, and Austrian Economics. I am delighted to share some of these deep insights with you in this short blog post, and I hope you enjoy these unique views and observations from Scott.  Listen to the full episode here. Part 1 & Part 2 . ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES...

Feb 04, 201911 min

SI21: Why the biggest drawdown is always ahead of you or so they say

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get on a “call” each week to discuss the events that took place through the lens of a Systematic Investor and how the trading strategies we work with are reacting. It’s a raw and honest exploration and we hope you will join and be part of…not least by sending us questions that we can ...

Feb 04, 20191 hr 13 min

BO11: Simplicity is the Ultimate Sophistication

A few years back, I had a great discussion with die-hard Trend Follower, Scot Billington.  I would like to share some key moments with you, including how to perceive past track records, and also some of the differences between the long side and the short side.  Listen to the full episode here . ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE ----- Follow Niels on Twitter , LinkedIn , YouTube or via the TTU website . IT’s TRU...

Jan 30, 201917 min

SI20: Crisis Alpha...To Love or Not To Love

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get on a “call” each week to discuss the events that took place through the lens of a Systematic Investor and how the trading strategies we work with are reacting. It’s a raw and honest exploration and we hope you will join and be part of…not least by sending us questions that we can ...

Jan 28, 20191 hr 7 min

RT19: Who actually learned from the last financial crisis? ft. Andrew Lo & Sol Waksman – 2of2

Today Niels Kaastrup-Larsen continues his conversation with Andrew Lo , the Charles E. and Susan T. Harris Professor at the MIT Sloan School of Management, and Sol Waksman , the Founder and President of BarclayHedge, Ltd. Listen in to learn the effects of politics in the financial markets and how trend following fits in, the state of cryptocurrency in the current market, and the advice our guests have for investors and their future. ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VI...

Jan 23, 201942 min

SI19: Can you apply Trend Following to Life?

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get on a “call” each week to discuss the events that took place through the lens of a Systematic Investor and how the trading strategies we work with are reacting. It’s a raw and honest exploration and we hope you will join and be part of…not least by sending us questions that we can ...

Jan 20, 20191 hr 2 min

RT18: Are markets really Efficient? ft. Andrew Lo & Sol Waksman – 1of2

On today’s episode, Niels Kaastrup-Larsen speaks with Andrew Lo , the Charles E. and Susan T. Harris Professor at the MIT Sloan School of Management, and Sol Waksman , the Founder and President of BarclayHedge, Ltd. Our guests today have many years of experience in the world of  investing and have watched the finance industry as it has gone through its many changes. Listen in to learn the historical importance of separating the alpha from the beta, the increase of the volatility of volatili...

Jan 16, 201941 min

SI18: How to know if you are over-fitting your model parameters

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get on a “call” each week to discuss the events that took place through the lens of a Systematic Investor and how the trading strategies we work with are reacting. It’s a raw and honest exploration and we hope you will join and be part of…not least by sending us questions that we can ...

Jan 13, 20191 hr 6 min

SI17: The philosophy of Trend Following

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get on a “call” each week to discuss the events that took place through the lens of a Systematic Investor and how the trading strategies we work with are reacting. It’s a raw and honest exploration and we hope you will join and be part of…not least by sending us questions that we can ...

Jan 07, 20191 hr 13 min

SI16: What Returns and Drawdowns can you expect from Trend Following

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get on a “call” each week to discuss the events that took place through the lens of a Systematic Investor and how the trading strategies we work with are reacting. It’s a raw and honest exploration and we hope you will join and be part of…not least by sending us questions that we can ...

Dec 29, 20181 hr 13 min

SI15: Has too much Diversification hurt performance in recent years?

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get on a “call” each week to discuss the events that took place through the lens of a Systematic Investor and how the trading strategies we work with are reacting. It’s a raw and honest exploration and we hope you will join and be part of…not least by sending us questions that we can ...

Dec 22, 20182 hr 30 min

BO10: Systematic Global Macro…an Experts view

A while back I had a very memorable time talking with Anders Lindell, discussing many trading related topics.  There was one part in particular that I want to share where Anders shared his understanding on US institutions and how they deal with asset allocation and position sizing.  If you would like to find out then read on! Listen to the full episode here. Part 1 & Part 2 . ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HE...

Dec 19, 201815 min

SI14: How many markets should you include in your portfolio?

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get on a “call” each week to discuss the events that took place through the lens of a Systematic Investor and how the trading strategies we work with are reacting. It’s a raw and honest exploration and we hope you will join and be part of…not least by sending us questions that we can ...

Dec 15, 201849 min

BO09: From Discretionary Trading to a Systematic Approach

At the very beginning of my podcasting career, I had a great conversation with Mike Dever covering many trading related topics, one of which were the different approaches to trading. And there was One segment I really liked in particular, and which I would like to share with you today.  It was a segment where Mike shared his own systematic approach to trading and as you listen to it, we need to keep in mind that Mike was not always a systematic trader.  Listen to the full episode here....

Dec 11, 201811 min

SI13: The market impact of too much money following trends

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Moritz Seibert. We get on a “call” each week to discuss the events that took place through the lens of a Systematic Investor and how the trading strategies we work with are reacting. It’s a raw and honest exploration and we hope you will join and be part of…not least by sending us questions that we can ...

Dec 09, 201852 min