Every Wednesday. About this time, we talked to our friend Dave Frasier. Dave, I approve of today's weather.
I do too, stamp of approval all around.
Yep, Well, just let's just do this for a little, you know, a little while longer, and I'm good And from what I can see in the New York Terms forecast, we should be able to pull that off.
Yeah. I think today's a sweet spot if you will, you know, it is going to get warmer, and it could get near record levels by the time we get to Saturday. We're talking you know, low to mid eighties, low eighties Friday, potentially close to the record of eighty five on Saturday. It's just going to depend on cloud cover.
I think today's the sweet spot. When you're like right at about seventy degrees, you've got the overnight lows in the upper thirties, you've got that we don't have as much wind in the city and south it is a little windy over northeast Colorado, like Fort Collins and up the ice seventy six quarter. But if you remove the wind, I think today is just it's great where you want to be.
It is where we want to be, so I mean, we're going up to the mid eighties this weekend.
We're not.
I mean, we're not just blowing through spring to get to summer, though, are we? Because I don't like that.
No. No. As a matter of fact, as I always do in preparation for talking with you, I pull all the long range models things outside of the seven day I just finished our seven day forecast. We will get We will be a little cooler Tomorrow in the upper sixties, then we'll get to near eighty on Friday. Eighty four is our forecast. Higher Saturday again, that's one off the record of eighty five from twenty twenty three, and then
a cold front comes in. It's not very powerful, but it will cool us into the upper sixties and low seventies again. As we get to Sunday Monday, there's a twenty percent chance of some showers. It's always good to have at least a little moisture on the horizon. And then the long range models taking us out ten days, which would be beyond our seven day just shows it kind of more back to a spring pattern, mid sixties with low chances thirty percent chance of some pop up showers.
So I like that part of the forecast because we are going to kick in the growing season here pretty quickly, and to have moisture in the forecast, that's good.
So what's going on in the mountain though, because Ross and I are supposed to go to Winter Park a week from Friday and we're seeing like, you know, oh, they're going to get a big dumping snowstorm. What's happening there?
So the mountains, you know, the mountains are not done with snow, nor His nor His Denver in the front range. I always want to reinforce that because I'm starting to get those emails about can we turn this one? Yeah, the big fat answer is no. The mountains a week out I have been looking. I was just on there looking at our long range models outside of seven days, and it looks a little unsettled. There will be rain as showers come next to you asked, what was it Friday?
Come next Froday, There'll be some rain showers. Temperatures will be about fifty to fifty five in town, obviously colder up on the mountains. But there is one computer model, an outlier that does show about a half an inch of one inch of snow, which would not be what would not be out of the case. I mean, at that altitude went apart. If you've got a rain shower, there's a chance you'll get grappled, there's a chance you get there's a chance you could get some snow for
a period of time. So we're not done up there yet. So I would say, you know, be prepared if you're heading to win a part next Friday for it to be a little unsettled and cool, but not cold.
Okay, that sounds good to me now, Dave, I have a couple of questions, and one of them is traditionally, what is our hail season? Because we've already had a little bit of hale at my house a couple of weeks ago, very small, nothing you know, damaging or major. And I was talking to a friend of mine who's from here, and she said, we never used to get hale in March, And is that accurate? What are we
looking at? When is the proper hail season? And has climate change shifted us enough that we need to worry about it earlier?
Yes, the answer to that question is yes. Anytime you have convective showers, rising showers and thunderstorms in the forecast, there will always be a chance of hail at this time of the year. We don't traditionally think of March as a hal month, but certainly as you get into mid April and later May is definitely a sweet spot. You're getting into your really stormy season, and then June is kind of the spike. It doesn't mean we won't have hail in July and August, because thunderstorms are still
part of the equation. What you have to remember is hale is produced up above us as rain is thrust up beyond the freezing line, and it's kind of held up there for a little bit and spins around and turns in dice balls and then falls. So at this time of the year, that cold line of below freezing is not that far off the ground. As we expand that line and push it in in the summer, he comes in. It gets harder and harder for the thunderstorms to reach that freezing line, and hal signature kind of
drops off. Our hail season is really now because anytime you have towering showers you can get it. May is certainly a spike early June. Some of our worst severe weather is actually in the first two weeks of June, with a sweet spot of around June ninth to the sixteenth. If you go back in time, you can think about some pretty good the hailstorms that hit and then.
Yeah, I'm going to be out of town to protect my plants. You just broke my heart right there. I got to figure something out, dang it.
Yeah, it is, it is. Yeah, you definitely want to do that. Anytime we leave and go on vacation during the during the severe weather season or conductive season as I call it, my wife and I pull all our pots underneath because you just know that that's possible, because it can't happen when you're gone. Yeah. There's nothing more gut wrenching than the money. Yes, that's it, and the effort and the time to put in all those gorgeous flowers to watch them just get shredded. Yep, yep.
I don't like that, not at all. Okay, Dave. Several people off the text line have taken umbrage with your statement about localized winds. My favorite one is this a little windy up north. It's blowing small dogs into Kansas. So apparently there's quite brisk winds up north right now, and you may want to reassess your localized winds comment.
Yeah, there were some guys reported about now nine and a half to go up high in the foothills of a fifty to fifty five miles per I know there's some forty five and forty nine out in northeast Colorado out towards you know, past Greeley and up the ice seventy sixth quarter. So yeah, it's definitely blown out there.
But that's a that's a wind prone area. Untually, the wind you know, one of the two of the windiest states in my opinion, and I haven't looked statistically, but I know it's it's Wyoming and South Dakota, and so the wind coming through those areas hence to spill down into northeast Colorado. And if there's a part of the state, certainly up high in our pothills, in our mountains, they're prone to some of that wind because they get it
coming in with the jet stream. But then the northeast corner of the state is just like this open door, like Cheyenne opens the door and goes here you go have some of this. Yeah.
Well, one last question, that's why I said no to sprinklers. Is he expecting a hard freeze. Why did you say, no, it's not time to turn the sprinklers on.
Yet because of the because the temperatures, we can still get freezing temperatures and a hard freeze. So the problem is, look, if you know how to drain your external pipe, then you take the responsibility of turning your sprinkles on early.
A lot of people pay somebody to do that. And if you pay somebody to do it, they them out and they turn your sprinklers on, they check your head, they make sure everything's working fine, and the next thing you know, we've got a hard freeze coming or temperature is going to be in the twenties. What are you going to do and to come back out and blow
them back out again and drain the pipes. So the goal is wait until give it a month Mother's Day for planting, but generally early May you can start to turn those sprinklers on and just look for a week. Like in early May, look at the forecast lows for about a week and if you see out to May sixth, seventh, eighth, then you're not seeing wheezing temperatures, you're probably safe to
turn them on. But just understand it comes with the risk if you don't know how to drain that external pipe yourself, then you're going to have to pay somebody to come back and do it. And if you blow that external pipe, it can be costly.
Yes, they can.
The pipes. It's not the pipes underground. It's that one that comes up from your house that seeds the sprinkler system. That's the sensitive point. And that's why I always say no, because I don't want to be the guy getting emails same you told us to turn our sprinkles on and accustom me two hundred dollars to have my pipe sick.
So if you've got a water, water by hand with a host follow up text message to the earlier text message, this guy sends that guy's dog just blew through Burlington.
So there you go.
You got dogs blowing all over northern Colorado. Mandy. I feel sorry for hailed out flowers. Now think about losing an entire crop in ten minutes. My heart always breaks for farmers when they when they're knocked out by hail because they I can move my plants in, right, they can't move theirs in. So here's hoping we have a mild hail season in the crop area. And for roofings companies, a great hail season here in the Metro Yeah.
I lost my roof two years ago and had to have it replaced in one of the bigger hailstorms I've seen in twenty three twenty four years or so. I feel for everybody that has to deal with it. But we live in Hale Alley and there's some things you can protect, there are some things you cannot. You just got to ride it out, hope for the best.
Amen to that, my friend that is Dave Frasier from Fox thirty one. You should watch their forecast. It's highly accurate. We'll talk to you again next week, Dave.
All right, take care, Mandy, you too, man.
Have a good one.