How to Know If Your Business Idea Will Work | Ep 909 - podcast episode cover

How to Know If Your Business Idea Will Work | Ep 909

Jun 17, 202558 minEp. 909
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Summary

In this Q&A episode, Alex Hormozi answers entrepreneurs' questions, first outlining seven key strategic problems faced by businesses: serving too many avatars, poor data use, lack of focus, over-expansion, misaligned compensation, underpricing, and relying on a single product. He then dives into real-world business case studies from audience members, providing actionable strategies on topics like growth bottlenecks, funding, talent acquisition, pricing, and sales processes.

Episode description

In this Q&A episode, Alex (@AlexHormozi) answers real questions from entrepreneurs about product validation, decision-making frameworks, pricing strategy, and what it takes to scale without breaking your business.

Welcome to The Game w/Alex Hormozi, hosted by entrepreneur, founder, investor, author, public speaker, and content creator Alex Hormozi. On this podcast, you’ll hear how to get more customers, make more profit per customer, how to keep them longer, and the many failures and lessons Alex has learned and will learn on his path from $100M to $1B in net worth.

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Transcript

Intro / Opening

You just want to find people who are absolutely unreal. And the litmus test that I have is that you feel this like desperation in your core when you talk to them. You're like, I have to have this person. It's not like, oh, I have this role.

Finding Talent and Prioritization

I guess this is the least bad of the 10 people I've talked to. I would encourage you if you're ever in that situation, this is the least bad. Just don't. Just keep looking. very tactical right yes you got tactical questions okay good that was uh that was the hope and the goal of how we structure it and what's interesting is that the point that i think is most valuable because you guys are going to you know go home

And you'll leave here and you'll probably open up a blank document or turn a blank page in your notes, whatever you do to take notes. And you'll have your pages and pages of stuff that you got from here. But the other blank document is going to be...

What am I actually going to do? And I just want to make sure that that page has the right three things on it. Because fundamentally, you're not going to be able to do all the things that you learn here as much as you might want to, right? And so fundamentally, the...

The strategy of a business owner is prioritization, right? That's what it means. And so we have to take limited resources, which is time, money, energy, the team that you have, against unlimited opportunities or things that you could deploy it towards.

and the people who move fastest in their businesses aren't the ones who necessarily do the most the ones who get the most for the effort they do and i think that that that process of thinking has helped us move faster and what's interesting about that is there's so much leverage on knowledge. Like there's so much leverage on knowledge. Like if you go back in time and help your young self out, how much faster could you get to retry? Like it's almost laughable.

And the thing is, is that you probably felt like you worked hard then. And you probably feel like you work hard now. And there's a version of you that knows five years from now how much better you could be doing. And that's the value of knowing the right next move.

Introducing Seven Key Strategic Problems

So with that being said, I have the distinct pleasure of answering questions a lot. And even within the portfolio, there's basically seven key problems. that emerge consistently across businesses. And these are strategic problems. And the reason I think they're so nefarious or they keep people stuck for sometimes ever is that they are apparent conflicts, meaning.

they are rocking a hard play scenarios where both paths seem painful. And so then people just stay stuck because they don't know which one to choose. And so I have developed this little moniker for this.

Problem 1: Serving Too Many Avatars

as my way of remembering it and i'll explain to them briefly and then if sir as we come up i'll be like which one is it so the first is serving too many avatars or being unclear on the person that you're selling to so it's very

common for in the early part of your career you accept you know you have person gets on the phone they have credit card and pulse well at least one of those things is required to complete the sale and you say sure you have money and i will take it in exchange for whatever you want

At some point though, you realize that that isn't really a tumble way to run the business. And so the problem is the rock and hard play scenario is, well, I can stop saying yes to these people, but then that would mean that my short-term sales would go down. But if I don't stop saying yes to these people, I will never grow this business because I have too many onesie twosies that I have to deliver on. So what do I do? Rock and hard play scenario. The next one is data.

Problem 2: Data Speed and Decisions

right and so we touched on this briefly yesterday but the speed of the business is going to be based on the speed of the quality data right if you have higher quality data if you literally knew what all the data in your business was at the at the snap of fingers you'd be able to make a lot of decisions really quickly and you'd be able to move with a lot of certainty and conviction and i think everyone here has probably had some decisions you're kind of like

you weren't super sure on and because you weren't super sure on it you kind of like slow dragged your feet and the result of that is not only did you not execute it well it also took forever

Whereas when you're like, oh, this is crystal clear. I know what we need to do. You can get something done in a weekend. And the thing is, is that if you have that level of certainty, then that weekend can happen every two days. And you can take what takes some businesses a year and do it in three or four weeks.

The difficulty thing here is I need this data to make this decision, but it's going to cost me effort and time to get this data. And if I put that effort and time into getting this data, I'm going to lose money. The next one, this is what I call the bestseller of this list.

Problem 3: Focus and Compounding

is focus, right? It's the one that I probably talk about most often. And I think it's because it's the, it's probably, at least for me, it's been the one that I've struggled the most with. And it's also the most prevalent. Because the thing is, is that the more able you become, the more opportunities you can see.

and so in the beginning you have to you you struggle to say yes because you're so afraid right that's everyone starts everyone's afraid to say yes what if i fail etc etc you're here so you've already gotten past that

and so you got rewarded for saying yes in the beginning and so then it just becomes this muscle that you flex more and more and more but in the beginning you have to say lots of yeses or start saying yes because you're in kind of exploration mode you're trying to figure it out once you start to get good though you have to flip that

And it becomes exploitation mode, which is how to get as much as I possibly can to the thing that I currently have. And so to be really crude here, so I apologize to the women in the room, like it only works one way, but you can understand it. Like you can't sleep with every woman.

It's not going to happen. And it just, it doesn't work. And so you have to choose. Like if you take the hypothetical extreme, you can't do it all. And so then you just work your way backwards until eventually you're like, okay, if I just did one thing for 45 years, do I think I'd win? Probably. No, but being real, the guy who lives, he's my neighbor, is the guy who owns Panda Express, Andrew Churn. And so he has sold chicken in a brick and mortar establishment for 45 years.

Last year, he took home $935 million in personal income, and he offset all of that against his real estate, tax-free. He did $3.7 billion top line in sales. 27% net margins in the business. Owns the whole thing. 45 years. And so the thing is, is like a lot of the conversations that we'll go over, people obsess about, am I in the right vehicle? But the thing that is by far the bigger predictor is how long you've been in the vehicle and that you've improved.

and so you can't just be in the same vehicle for the whole time obviously like you could just have one restaurant for three five years too but the idea is that you get better right But the focus is what allows the compounding to occur. And you never unlock the compounding when you're continuing to switch tasks and switch priorities. And I'll tell you that one of the big reasons that I think many of you are struggling with this focus is because your mission is only to make more money.

Because the thing is, is if making more money is the goal, you can't optimize anything against that. Because lots of things make money. It doesn't mean it's the right call. Overexpension. Okay. So this is the classic and...

Problem 4: Over-expansion Risks

What's really interesting about over-expansion is that it's actually shorthand for under-talented. And that's a combination of you, just being real, and or your team. And so when you have your one location that's working, then you say, okay, I'm going to open up my second location.

A lot of times people get ahead of their skis. They only have one location to go. I'm not in the business anymore. I'm on the business, but they're still working 16 hours a day and they only have one location. So when you leave and start having to work 16 hours a day in the other location, you can't do 32 hours.

What you're doing over here, it's funny because it's like, oh, I'm not on the floor doing whatever it is that you do at your shop. And so you think, oh, because I'm not fixing cars, because I'm not cracking backs, because I'm not doing dental work, I own the business. It's like, no, you're CEO. You don't really own it yet. You still are employed.

by the business and the business needs like every one of these businesses needs a ceo and if it's going to be you and both then both are going to suffer and so then what happens is you open the second location and then your profit over here which was your cash cow goes down

And this one doesn't really get as high as the first one did because you were there for five years before you did your second one. And now you're here and now you have twice the liability, but you're actually making the same money or less. and you're like how the hell did this happen but you're like you know what the solution is i should open a third because then this is clearly the model but then you open the third and it is this right and i know that some of you are in that poo right now

And the thing is, is there's nothing wrong with expanding. It's just expanding too fast relative to the IQ per square foot. Seriously, you just dilute it. So you have to increase IQ in order to increase the square footage to maintain the ratio.

Problems 5 & 6: Compensation, Underpricing

The next one is compensation. One of the most common mistakes that I would say business owners under 10 million a year make is that you're wildly miscompensating people all over the business. One, there's huge savings to accrue, but also sometimes you are, the thing that's limiting your expansion is that you're under talented and you're under talented because you don't pay well enough.

And so it's like, if I have like another HVAC company who comes to me and says, I can't find technicians. And I'm like, well, how much do you pay? And they're like, we pay market. And I'm like, no shit, go above the market. But that's more than we pay everybody else. And you're still profitable. But we wouldn't be profitable if we raised the...

Raise your prices. But I can't because all these customers, you just told me that you can't even take the business that you've got coming in the door. Pick. So compensation. I'll give you an example. I had a... uh physical therapy studio that came and uh you know lady said i i have my we're we're super booked but we're not really profitable but we're to full capacity everyone loves us i was like okay

huh she's like well i give 50 of all revenue to my therapists i was like okay do they like go market and sell you basically just like give them the just the area to crack backs or whatever it is that you do she's like oh no we do the marketing and the sales And we do all the admin and everything. They just show up for the times that they crack backs. I was like, yeah, 50% of revenue. Now you're working on 50. Just now you have rent.

You've got payroll for everything else. You've got marketing. It's like, yeah, no shit. You're not making any money. Right. And so the issue there was that that was a structural issue. She could not out earn that because even if she raised her prices, the compensation would go with it. And so compensating.

one either too low or too high or incorrectly all three of those scenarios and the reason it's a rock and hard place is that well what if i change my comp i'll lose all my people but if i don't change my comp i'll lose my business rock and hard place the next is underpriced

So that's just the classic, actually the example I just gave, like we're at full capacity and we're not making money. And let's assume that we weren't giving away 50% top line to something that was fixed. It's like, okay, raise the price. But if I raise my price, I'll lose my customers.

But if you don't raise your price, you won't make money, which you already aren't making, right? So being underpriced is one of them. And then finally, a single product. So I say these as like, these are some of the biggest common themes that I see.

Problem 7: The Single Product Trap

single product being a guy who had a youtube channel who sold uh how to speak english that was his niche or whatever for latin americans and he had done basically his his sales were but his margins were shrinking. And the main reason, and he was selling, I think like 800 customers a month digitally. So between $20 and $800 of like language products.

And he came and said, hey, I want to start a digital marketing agency because it'll be less competitive. I fought this guy for an hour. I'm not even shitting you. I fought him for an hour to try and like... nail through his head and he said this and it was wild to me because i was like what if we just like called those customers and sold them something else he's like no one's going to pay more than 800 for language services and i was like who here would pay more

when you live in Latin America to be able to have access to the U.S. jar market. Right, of course you fucking would. Of course you would. And so he just had this belief that literally he was like, instead of just like challenging this belief, I believe this so hardcore that I'm willing to break this business that makes me a million dollars a year from my organic YouTube channel and then try and get into what I believe is less competitive.

And as silly as what that example sounds like, the amount of business owners that I see here who are also dealing with this, which is, it's a lot. And the reason that that sounded silly is because maybe some of you have enough experience with social media marketing agencies to know that there's a dime a dozen of those. And so it's incredibly competitive because the bar to enter is zero. It's an internet connection and an iPhone, right? And so...

Anyways, I say all that to say, when you have this idea of like, oh, I want to try this other thing. You also sound like that guy. You just don't know what you don't know yet. Because no business is easy. You just don't know enough about it to know what's hard about it.

Overcoming FOMO, Maintaining Focus

And like, I would say that last year was the first year and this is a continuing to this year and my whole career where I didn't experience FOMO. And I only realized it when I was like, huh, I haven't had FOMO. This is weird. What's that like? And I remember because a buddy of mine did 50 million in personal income last quarter, it was Q4, so two quarters ago, just trading from his laptop, trading crypto shit. And...

He told me, and I honestly was just like, dude, good for you, man. Look, I had zero. Old me would have been like, dude, how do I get on this? Like, what is he doing? I'm like, oh, turn on the computer because this is how you turn computers on. And I was like. Okay, so it's a candlestick monitor. Like, okay, so Ethereum is back. Like, you know, like trying to figure this out. Like, I have no idea, right? That's not my hat. And to the same degree, he can't do what I do.

And so it's just like basically the longer you play the game, the narrower you're going to get because you're going to get better what you do. And the amount of time it took you to get where you're at now, it'll take that long to do something else. You just don't know enough about it.

And that's why it looks so good. Now, if somebody were to come to you and say, Hey, you're making money for everybody who is making money. If somebody came to you and said, Hey, you make money doing your thing. I should do that. Many of you'd be like, no, you don't want to do this. You think you want to do this. You don't want to do this. Because you know where all the bodies are buried.

And the thing is, is that there are always bodies and they are always buried. And then they reach out of the ground and then just drag your soul with them. And you can only find out once you, you know, lie in that grave. We're really making this visual. But yeah, with that being said, these are the big seven.

Q&A: Fitness Center Repositioning

Some of you guys are experiencing one or more of these, multiple weight class champions of growth sins. But with that, let's kick off the Q&A and rock and roll. No, no, you're doing 2.4 million. You saw outcomes to athletes. And the biggest problem that you think is stopping your growth, you'd like to get the 3 million, is that you feel like you need to reposition your offer in some way. Shoot. Yeah, nailed it, man.

We have three revenue streams inside of our health clubs, our fitness centers, right? So we run ads for group. That's our highest margin. But then if a deconditioned person walks in, we can get them into one-on-one, then get them back into the group setting. And then when someone does 12 months, 13 months. What square footage? Six to 8,000 square foot. We have four locations. Okay.

Um, so then when people inevitably want to kind of take breaks or large group or semis, uh, so we do large, we're in no man's land. So we're like, uh, 16 to 20. Yeah. So, um, So that's a book reference. So basically what's happening though, is that because we have the 24 seven open gym, which is supposed to be just a way to keep people engaged. And once they get one program again, they re-engage with our coaches.

Our sales team is kind of using that as lowest hanging fruits. The downsell I mentioned yesterday. Right, correct. And so the challenge is twofold, right? So the first one is like, you know. how do we market in a way that we get people to understand that's an ecosystem? We're not an F45 and all those models are good. They're never going to understand that's an ecosystem. Okay. So very good. Easy enough. And then, uh, and, and in the second.

How do I get them to know everything about me so they can understand the nuance of how we built this business? They're not. They're going to be like, oh, it's a six week weight loss thing. Sounds good. Yeah. And then you explain that when they come in. Did you ask me how I explain that? No, I'm saying, I'm saying, I'm saying.

You market the thing they want. And then when they come in, you give them the thing that they need. Don't try and explain the thing that they need before you give them the thing they want. Got it. Okay. Very good. All right. Simple enough. And then I do have a follow-up real quick too, if I can push my luck here a little bit.

When it comes to leveraging my personal story, right? So when it comes to transformation stuff, I was indicted at 22 years old, did 63 months in federal prison. So when we talk about like transformation, like I'm literally said the city that saw me at my worst is going to see me at my best.

How much of that should I leverage? Because I've never really led with that. But I know that now that I'm in the, I'm, I'm literally in the inspiration game. I'm literally in the lead gen and the sales game. And I feel like there could be some stickiness to it. What do you want to do?

Do you want to sell the business? Do you want to own it long? What do you want to do? Man, that varies day to day. I mean, I want to sell it, man. Yeah. I mean, eventually I want to build something that's got value and then I exit. Well then, I mean, you already have a business that doesn't require a personal brand. I wouldn't tack one on. Very good. Fair enough.

Easy enough. Fantastic. Thank you, sir. Hey, Alex. Thanks for everything you've done. And Leila as well, obviously. My name is Piers. We do 1.4 million revenue and we'd like to be at 5 million.

Q&A: Online Golf Coaching Business

in three years um we actually coach online golf so it's online programs so you sell extra golf to whom to to consumers so to the average golfer okay average people normal people all right normal people normal people So we're looking to what's stopping us from doing that. We had some ideas before we got here. We have some new ideas now that we are here. Data, huge problem for us. Focus is an issue.

The way that we make our money is through the online subscription, which is great. It's our passion. It's what we like doing, but we're doing a bad job of that at the moment. We also have, which is nice because of our social media presence. So we've got brands that are willing to spend quite a lot of money with us. So that part of the business does really well. That's kind of holding up the business. The media side is holding up the business at the moment for sure. Okay.

and then but so we can generate lots of traffic and get lots of people but we're not very good at do you have multiple personalities not you but multiple faces inside the business that do there's two of us there's two main ones okay got it two main coaches myself and andy who's over there okay i heard okay so why don't you pick one of the businesses so you say you're passionate about the the membership thing

Yes. I think that the thing for us is what we want to be able to do is we want to be able to do this business for a long time, but then potentially sell us at the end. Okay. So it's kind of like, this is the thing that we love doing. We love coaching. We love changing lives. The media business is for sure more sellable than the other thing.

I'll explain why. So the thing that's going to matter, like the three big things, like if I had to like, if I had to simplify the long list that you guys have in front of you, well, it is a pretty simplified list, but like you have really good gross margins. It's growing fast.

and you have revenue stick, right? If all three of those things are true, then obviously you have key man risk and things like that that would go with the business. But like if you had those three things, the business itself, the model is very strong. I can promise you that your media people the people who are buying ad space for you, will be stickier than the consumers who are buying golf community stuff. And the margins on media are virtually 100%.

Now, the digital community is also virtually 100%. They're kind of a wash there, a gross margin. And then you just have growth rate. Now, one of the beautiful things that I love the most about media business is very unique to media, which is that the way that you advertise is also the way you deliver. So you just have to do one thing, which is get attention.

and then you sell the attention then you just get more attention then people find out about your business because you got attention and then you get more attention and so if you're passionate about the community thing which is making content for golfers right Why don't you just make more of that content and just make it free and let you get more attention?

Real quick, guys, I have a special, special gift for you for being loyal listeners of the podcast. Layla and I spent probably an entire quarter putting together... our scaling roadmap. It's breaking scaling into 10 stages.

and across all eight functions of the business. So you've got marketing, you've got sales, you've got product, you've got customer success, you've got IT, you've got recruiting, you've got HR, you've got finance. And we show the problems that emerge at every level of scale and how to graduate to the next level. It's all free.

you can get it personalized to you. So it's about 30-ish pages for each of the stages. Once you answer the questions, it will tell you exactly where you're at and what you need to do to grow. It's about 14 hours of stuff, but it's narrowed down so that you only have to watch the... that's relevant to you, which will probably be about 90 minutes. And so if that's at all interesting, you can go to acquisition.com forward slash roadmap, R-O-A-D map, roadmap.

So that's what we do. So we have the, obviously for the, for all our brands that we cover, it's just literally us doing the coaching online, but then it's just the higher level of coaching, I suppose. Oh, just like higher ticket? Yeah. And that's what's making you less money? Yeah. How? Well, we, again, data and focus is our main things that we're looking at. Yeah. Well, how many people work for you? 10. Jesus. Seems so odd.

It's like 1.4 million, got 10 employees. It's a little bit high, right? Are there a lot of VAs? So what happened was after COVID, like 2021, 22, we actually grew to 2.6. Okay. But then as a result of growing the team, scaling the team and... thinking that we were picking the right people and we didn't really know how to do it. I think we have struggled since. So how'd you go from 2.6 to 1.4? And that's mainly big. Well, the brand revenue has gone up and the subscription revenue has dropped.

why can't we just do more of this brand revenue you're like i've got this thing that i'm not trying to grow that's growing that's super valuable and it's high a high gross margin the other thing that's really hard that i haven't done really well and it's shrinking how do i grow that one yeah yeah i mean

Yeah. Yeah. And I think there's probably like a natural, like we know that the best, in our mind, the best product is the membership because that's where they really get the best of us. And we feel like that's what's going to make it, take it to 50 million. Whereas the brand stuff is going to be holding us back. Think about the amount of, like how many $50 million golf coaching businesses do you know of? No one. Right. How many media businesses? I'll tell you more than that. Yeah.

Yeah. And golf is an awesome niche. Huge spenders. It's one of the few things men spend money on. Yeah. No, seriously, it's making more money, cars, watches, below the belt, above the belt, right? And then you've got like golf and shooting.

and then like uh uh pepper stuff that's guys that's it but we earn a disproportionate amount of money yeah and so like you are one of the outlets that men spend money on a consumer in a big way yeah helpful thank you to make you feel better just for everybody i'm not really talking to you i'm talking through everybody else so there's this great uterus thing that i see all the time and i really like it which is

Your nose is an inch above your mouth, but it takes somebody else to tell you your breath smells bad. And so sometimes one of the biggest benefits that we have with the portfolio companies, like all the, the portfolio companies, like they're good CEOs, like they're smart dudes and dudettes and like they're intelligent people.

it's just like that's what outside eyes can do it's just like oh really growing thing that has high margins and has a high enterprise value thing that we're struggling with and not paying attention to that we think is more valuable and isn't and going down and has and is less scalable

Q&A: Micro Housing Scaling Capital

Yeah. Yeah. Thank you. Yeah. Thanks. My name is Brian Hopkins. So we sell micro development housing to investors. Micro development. Okay. Yeah. So infill housing. We do 46 million in revenue. Amazing. We'd like to get to 500 million. Cool. If possible. And our bottleneck is scaling capital and our team structure. So they rely heavily on myself and my business partner. To do the fundraising? To do everything, basically. Yes. Fundraising is what we'd like to focus on. Heard. Okay. And so...

So question is, how do we get Sharon to join us as a GP in our fund? Yeah. Sharon's sneaking. Yeah. But our question would be, is how do we attract high net worth individuals without using our personal network?

Just talk to me. I mean, you have a number of paths, right? One is go to somebody who already has all those people, right? Option one, that's the affiliate model. You could run paid ads and say, hey, this is my experience. This is my background. If you're an accredited investor, check us out.

um or you could be making content which i don't know if you are doing that on a regular basis you could be making content um or you could do the outbound method but like those are fun like those are the options right there's only there's only so many ways to get like

have people find out about your stuff i mean that's it like going to trade shows i still kind of put into like you pay somebody else to gain access to their audience same same same idea but those are the those are the different paths we have a really good kind of like playbook for for

because what you what you're looking for is kind of like high it works the same as an enterprise sale even though it's a it feels different or like it quacks different it's actually still the same process and i think that If I had no money, no everything, and I had to start now, and I was switching places with you, I would probably hit the conference event stuff.

because that's where it's just super high leverage. You typically want to be face to face with investors. I mean, you don't want to, but you can. And it's just like the speed to trust is so much faster.

yeah we have a whole playbook around that but you should more than i could share right now in terms of time for everybody else but i think if i had to pick one of those paths that's probably the one i would start with um unless you had some like background in like media buying or some other yeah that's what i would do yeah

Q&A: Ad Training Business Capacity

My name is Ashley Brock and I sell advertising training to business owners. So all paid ads. We'll do five or six million. I'm optimistic. So we're going to go with six because it sounds better. Like five or six. Okay. Yep. I would like to be at 50 million.

Obviously not this year. What's stopping me is my capacity for sure. And so my question is, after hearing today that you spend 80% of your time on content, I'm trying to figure out what are the only things that I should do for me and then what should I delegate? I don't have anybody that I pay more than a hundred thousand. So that's one thing I feel like I'm missing. What are your margins? My EBITDA. I know. Yeah, sure. At 2.5. On five. That's great. That's amazing. Yeah. It's super good.

I was excited yesterday. That was the best reaction. I want to answer your question with a perspective shift. you are now getting to the point where you have enough money where you have to start thinking about return on capital, right? Return on invested capital within a business. And so if you have two and a half million dollars, right?

You can think of that as like, okay, well, if I take that out of the business, which you would, because I'm sure it's an LLC or whatever, right? So it's like, okay, so I've got, call it 1.5 million after taxes that I can put in my pocket, which there's nothing wrong with that. I'm a big fan of putting money into pockets.

The other way of thinking about those, like, okay, well, what if I were to take 200,000 of that, and I take my taxable from 2.5 to 2.3, and then that $200,000 person, it makes me an extra million. And so that's where I think I still believe that the biggest arbitrage opportunities that exist right now in business are still in talent. And I can tell you right now, I'll tell you a story because I think it'll drive it home. I'm talking through you to everybody else.

the moment like my the best talent one of my one of my favorite people on earth see here it's around here one of my favorite people on earth uh said that said this to me and i've always remembered it since he said he said um your best talent is always in the future so

Right now, think about the people who used to work for you like five years ago. Can you think about that team right now? Could that team run your business right now? They would die, right? And you would die too. And so the thing is, is that there's... five years ahead of you looking back today on your team who feels the exact same way and so my goal is how do we shrink that gap as fast as we possibly can so that we can pay down your talent debt because right now

That's what your debt is. So basically you're choosing to make more money, but you're paying by making more money. You're increasing your debt for humans. And so businesses can incur lots of different types of debt. And whenever you start a business, you always incur debt.

The question is which type of debt you want to incur. You can incur financial debt, you borrow money, then you start the business. But maybe if you borrow money, you can hire people that you otherwise couldn't hire. And so you don't incur as much talent debt or as much management debt. You might incur technical debt.

Okay. I don't have a CRM. I don't have data. Some of the constraints we talked about earlier, right? Like that might be some of the debt. And so there's different types of debt that you can incur. You have talent debt. And so the goal would be, especially because you're in a service-based business, your business will be capped for sure by the culture.

that you keep, which is going to be on you and the people that proliferate that culture is the people you attract. And so if you want to grow this business, which is all based on service, it's all based on people. And so you have to bring people that you're going to be like, if you're not paying more than a hundred thousand dollars a year.

it's a hundred percent you who's making this happen, which is kudos to you for being skilled. On the flip side though, it doesn't have to be that way. And you would be amazed at the talent that you can get when you crack, like you might want to just jump to 250,000 a year and you'll be like, oh my God.

These people are so much better. And what's scary is when you pay someone 500,000 a year, you're like, oh my God, this is a totally different level. Then you pay someone a million dollars a year. You're like, holy shit. I didn't know people could, you made, they made people like this, right? And then eventually you get people.

you know, like Sharon and you're like, he's, he's just, he's just better than I am, you know, and maybe someday I'll, I'll convince Sharon. Right. And so the point is, it's like. You just want to find people who are absolutely unreal. And the litmus test that I have is that you feel this like desperation in your core when you talk to them. You're like, I have to have this person. It's not like, oh, I have this role. This person seems like a Paulson, not a moron.

I guess this is the least bad of the 10 people I've talked to. I would encourage you, if you're ever in that situation, this is the least bad. Just don't. Just keep looking. Like, we will keep a role open for weeks or months if we do not find the person.

And so we are always actively recruiting and we have a lot of flow. And so you guys got to meet the team this morning to have a little bit more context. Smart people, very good at what they do. But in order to do that, like those people do not cost $250,000 a year.

They're significantly more than that. Yeah. I've told myself up until now that I'm saving money by paying less. And you're right. It's like costing so much more. Yeah. You're always paying. It's just what you're paying. You pay with the thing you care the least about. So good.

Q&A: Motel Conversion Deal Flow

Thank you. Andrew LeBaron. I convert motels, hotels to apartments, extended stays across the Sunbelt States. On track for $14 million revenue this year. Smalley Vida, $2.1 net. real estate, high OPEX. Would like to be at around a 30 million. Do you have LPs or you fund it all? Yeah, we have a Reg D 5060 fund. We partnered with the key man. who is now kind of key man risk, good friend of mine, Richard Wilson of Family Office Club. What I want to do next is create a hotel brand. Okay.

specifically on the adaptive reuse side because you have all these empty, garbage, crappy hotels, motels, and they don't want to pay the pips that Marriott, Hyatt, Radisson want them to pay. So I can come in and say, look, I'll... take over i'll take care of all your operations don't worry i figured all that out i'm on my umpteenth property sure here's what i just need you to do the issue with that is i'm battling a lot of other buyers and

It's hard to get in. It's hard to be the first guy that sees the deal, right? The gatekeeper of these properties or brokers agents. So that's what's stopping me. I believe I know what I need to do, but I need a little bit more validation. get over my analysis paralysis but i believe i need to be that thought leader in this space and if i my thought is if i am the thought leader in this space they'll kind of come to me you know before the key man was raising all the capital

Well, now I'm raising all the capital. Okay. When you say they'll come to me, who? Those who have hotels, motels that want to convert them into apartments where I can buy equity. So not the investor side, but the deal side. Yeah, I need a pipeline. Correct. I need a pipeline. Pipeline problems all day long for me.

So I feel if I have a channel or some sort of content distribution, and it's a blue ocean strategy. In fact, there's only one other guy in here that's actually doing something similar to me. I don't know where he's at, but I just spoke to him. There he is. You're on his podcast. So that's what I believe. And I kind of want that validation. Well, I'll zoom out for a second before giving the immediate like cool, which is the problem that we're solving is just deal flow.

right and so kind of like I was saying earlier like thought leadership is a path it doesn't have to be the path if it's the path that you want cool but when I think about this I think about Basically, what is the highest reward, lowest risk way of accomplishing whatever the problem is, right? And so...

For you, or if I'm picking for anybody, it's like, what is your existing skill set? And what has the highest overlap with that skill set so that I have the highest likelihood it's going to work? So if you were like, you know what? I've done face-to-face forever. That's why it's like, oh, you know what? Let's do the conference strategy.

as a good strategy for the fundraising. If you're like, I... understand media i like social media i want this like deep inside my heart then i'd be like well i'm not gonna stop anyways we're gonna do that anyways uh so go go do the quote thought leadership and make content if you had a if you know if ashley was here and she was like you know what we're gonna i know how to run ads for you then

And if that was your background, I'd be like, well, let's just run the paid site. So you could absolutely run an ad that just says, hey, if you're a motel owner and you're looking to sell, I'd love to talk to you. And you can just generate leads that way. It works fine. I was looking at, I wanted to do... a deal in the payment processing space like a year and plus ago maybe some guys saw this but like uh i ran ads just for like hey payment processors doing between 30 and 300 million a year like

hit me up if you're like interested or whatever. And I think we have 13 qualified companies for $6,000 in spend like on the phone, which is absurd, right? If you think about it from a deal flow perspective. And so I only say that this is going to be worth explaining. We have our big prize and let's assume that it's money for the sake of this conversation. There's going to be this way and then there's going to be this way and then there's going to be this way.

all of them get up the mountain. And so I think where the quote analysis paralysis kicks in is that you're like, which one is best? And I call it the fallacy of the perfect pick is that you think that there's a perfect pick and there just isn't one. There's trade-offs on all of them.

Like you're going to be in the, where you get in trouble is where you, well, there's two big places you get in trouble. One is here at the base of the mountain, trying to figure out which one to do. And then you spend a year there when a year on any of them on the low side, he could have been here.

on a year here versus a year here. You could have been up the mountain further than you are here just because you waited. And the thing is, is that the longer you wait, at some point, you would have literally got to the top of the mountain on any of them. But the waiting was the cost.

the second part where you're in trouble is here or here where you're like you know what this other path you know kind of looks a little bit different than this one and it looks like that one also goes up the mountain and that one looks less steep

So then you go over here, but you're like, shit, this one's less steep, but it's slower. Or you're on the other one that's slower and you're like, but this one's more steep. And then you get there, you're like, shit, this is way steeper. And so there's always trade-offs that happen in any of these paths. But if you want to be a thought leader.

Just recognize that it's going to take time. Like, I would say give yourself 18 months before you determine whether or not this is a good idea. And you have to commit to that. Like when I started YouTube, the vendor that I had, he made a video about it. the first call i had i said i'll do this for 10 years and if after 10 years it's not working i'll stop and he was like in my entire history i have never heard anyone say that he's like it's all like how do i get leads in 90 days

And so the fact that you're in a business that is capital aggregation and you probably do have a longer time horizon anyways, just on the nature of the business. But I would encourage you to, if you are going to do the quote thought leadership thing, stick to what you know. Don't try and be...

next gary v or the next me or the next whatever because like you're not gonna beat me at being me but you will beat me at being you and so i would just like only talk about the things that you have the track record for

And that will necessarily narrow the content that you talk about. But the thing is, is that social media, you've probably heard this has shifted to probably interest-based media now with interest graphs with the algorithm. And so if you want those types of leads, you have to make that type of content.

and the thing is is the algorithms are getting so good like my if you look at my discover page it's just metal fabricators and i was gonna say gym equipment so it's gym equipment too uh and comedy those are like that's what i consume i consume gym

gym equipment, and I consume comedy. That's my whole thing. And the thing is, is that metal fabricators are notoriously bad advertisers. And so on my discover page are like 13 like videos of metal fab guys being like, look at this cable accessory I just welded. I'm like, this is cool.

it gets served to me because I'm that audience and I'm a, I'm a great lead to have, uh, for that stuff. But like, just don't be afraid. If you see, you have like a hundred views, I see tons of videos have a hundred views, 200 views, 500 views, and I'm exactly who they want watching.

And so if that guy, that metal fab shop guy was like, you know what? You know, six things about marriage. I'm like, I don't fucking care. Like, why do I care? Why am I listening to this guy? Right? I just want to buy metal stuff. So just show me the metal stuff. And so I would just say like, if you are going to do the motel thought leadership stuff.

Q&A: Hospital Practice Conversion

Stick to that. Awesome. Thank you. My name is Sherry Saltifamaggio, and I am the CEO for St. Charles Surgical Hospital and the Center for Restorative Breast Surgery, which is the professional side of the practice. and we have a physician in a hospital licensed 39 beds. What we do is breast-free construction for cancer patients, and we also do genetic testing, and we do prophylactic.

50 to 60 percent of our patients come from out of state, not the country, because we're the only ones in the United States that can provide every type of reconstruction there is. So we... Our biggest hurdle, our revenue right now is about $57 million. Our goal is to grow at least 20% of new patients per month. Okay.

Per month? On first stages and then on second stages. There's two parts to the procedure. We meet the goal. We meet the goal all the time for second stages. I just want to make sure I understand the question here. So you're saying you're growing by 20% a month or whatever? That's our goal is to go 20% per month. On the second stages, we are on the first stages. We're basically flat. We're keeping our same number. We want 20 new.

20% new patients per month. Okay. On first stages. Okay. So your second stage is growing. Second stage is we have no problem. We're growing. We're absolutely growing. So can people go directly into the second stage? They have the first stage procedure, and then they can have the second stage within 12 months. The second stage reconstruction? The second part of the reconstruction, where they do the tweaking, the liposuction, and so forth. So it's like kind of plastics aesthetics a little bit.

Well, it's all insurance-driven, and it is. It's not something that women want, but they have. So, of course, we do... The whole nine yards to make them feel good, look good as they were before. The second stage you have no problem.

The second stages we're not having a problem with. We're getting those in right away. And they go straight in from other people who did stage one somewhere else. Well, I'll be honest. A lot of second stages, too, come in from... people that will botch from other surgeons got it okay so you have two separate front ends of the business right so i'm going to draw this because i just want to clarify it so you have two front ends of the business

You've got in on stage one and then you've got in on stage two. And then some people go from stage one to stage two. Right. They go from one. You've got lots of people, you know, an unlimited amount of customers who are going straight to there. And then this is just flat. In terms of growth. Okay.

Is there a problem with this just growing like crazy and this not growing? Well, stage two grows. We do accommodate everyone. We own a hospital. So if we have to work on the weekends, we keep the hospital rolling. We have seven huge OR rooms. We keep them going constantly. What's the problem that this solves? Why is this a problem? Our problem is that we want the first stages, which is the biggest money generating for our patients.

In December of last year, in two weeks, we did 120 second stages in two weeks. The thing that is stopping us right now in the practice is that we're getting patients. We got 700 and something leads in one month. We're getting the education calls. We're doing that. Where it becomes a bottleneck is that the insurance company. We're only in network with two insurance companies. We're out of network.

So that's where it becomes a problem. So do you have a lead gen issue or do you have an admin back end issue? Well, we have a back end issue, meaning they come in, we educate, all that goes fine. Once they get their benefits and they realize what the out-of-pocket is, we try to help them. We give them grants and we do financial aid forms. But it's still, with the insurance companies, it's still a lot of money coming out of their pocket. The caveat...

to this is that we did open up an office in the Dallas area. One of our physicians moved to Dallas. What can I help you with? What I need you to help me with is to figure out how I can On the back end. We're looking, we think we need a close. How do we close the deal to actually sit with all these patients that are having issues because they have no out-of-network benefits or the money is too much out-of-pocket? So I'll one-up you.

we need and that is something that we're trying to look at is it something do we hire some a salesperson because they can sell i have an idea or do we hire someone who is in health care that can also be trained to sell a couple things so first off i i would i'll one-up you which is that

you're thinking about this as a who when i think this is actually so you've got some things that are people solutions and other things are process solutions right and so you have a process solution you need a sales motion So it's the entire thing, because if you have a properly designed sales motion, the front desk girl could do it. I know because I designed these for businesses.

like you absolutely can and so what that'll do is it'll actually make it much more scalable because you act it'll it'll decrease basically a sales motion so if we think about a sales process which um we'll talk about in a second but if you think about a sales process as

there's a certain amount of information that a customer needs to understand in order to make a purchasing decision, right? You can have somebody come in cold and then you have a superstar closer. That's supposed to be a star. There we go. Who can take them all the way cradle to grave and get the money. The less distance they have to travel, the less rare this is, or the more common this is. And so could you, this is kind of like a ways up the mountain thing. Let's say this is your star closer.

This is your healthcare worker. And maybe this is your sales process. All of these will get you up the hill. And so the question of like, which one should I do? All of them will probably work. The question is, which one is the highest likelihood of working given your existing skillset?

And so you can design a sales motion. That's option one, if that's within your skill set. Option two is you can hire a closer, assuming you know how to track them and what to look for. Number three is that you could go for the... the healthcare person, get them quote trained up, which then you would try and find somebody who has a kind of a hybrid. They have the personality type of somebody who's a closer, but chose a nurturing career, which doesn't always happen.

killers don't tend to be nurturers any of those would work but i think that long term for the business the sales process or sales motion is the thing that should get fixed first because it'll decrease the need for superstars to make the whole business work And so that's how I would approach this from a strategic perspective of solving a problem for the business. And so that comes like the problem that you brought up of like, basically they're getting sticker shock.

right that's the issue you have a conversion problem and the thing is this is so easy to solve it's like okay so what information did he prior to walking in how can we pre-frame this or reframe this and like is there a way that i can say hey

some people pay twenty thousand dollars if you could have your life back would you be willing to do that if we had financing options now to be clear insurance will cover some of this maybe it'll cover all of it but we like to be up front that this could be how much it is Even just having that step in the sales process will reframe how they perceive everything else. And if you also know, as people coming in the door, we work with plenty of healthcare companies, it's like we can qualify.

those leads ahead of time before they come in for the information sessions. We'd say, what insurance do you have? All this stuff so that when they come in, we actually already know that Cindy's got Blue Cross Bashir or whatever she's got, right? And so we actually already have everyone pre-approved.

And we already know their limits. And so when they're coming in, we can say, hey, on the left side of the room, you guys are fully covered. You guys in the middle, you guys are 50-50. Y'all are fucked. And so all out of pocket, whatever. And so then you can also start catering the messaging to each of those audiences. And maybe instead of doing one information session, you do three.

And one is that way you're like, okay, these are all insurance people. I can talk to these people differently. These people, we have to pre-frame the down payment because they're gonna have to pay some out of pocket. We can run that by collecting information prior to even doing the education. Again, all of this is just looking at what is required to sell somebody.

And then putting all of that front-loaded so that you only have the people who are the highest likelihood candidates of doing the procedure that you're going to expend resources on nurturing. Because otherwise, every single person that you spend resources to educate who does not buy... you lose money on. And so if we can triage that up front, we can save all of this extra money that we're wasting on these people.

worst case you just say hey let me just refer you to five different people and then you can basically kick up an affiliate program with some other people i know the wording is different for healthcare but like we'll start referring you patients and when you refer other people patients they tend to refer you patients too you for the ones that you can't take care of based on how you how you

And there are other places that can't. And so you can start sending them that way. And then you start getting more type ones in the door from that. So again, this is a sales motion issue. Like the short-term bandaid is we have to find a superstar, but I almost never try and think, oh.

the way to solve my business problem is find a unicorn. It's like, sure, because everybody here could solve whatever business problem you have by finding a unicorn. I don't have like, where's my deal flow guy? Actually, we do both of you guys. So it's like, how do I like, how do I solve that? Oh, just find a unicorn. Done.

Just find somebody who just goes and gets all those things. It's like, well, of course we can do that. But then as soon as that closer walks away, you're screwed again. Right. So I'd rather build the process, build the motion so that I can have anybody with a pulse.

still walk through six questions with somebody that we could even have on an iPad that even does the decision-making for them. And then it says, which way would you rather prefer to pay? Does that make sense? That's how I'd approach it.

Q&A: Portfolio, AI, Minority Stakes

Thank you. Hi, Alex. My name is Lucas. I have a portfolio company in Brazil. Portfolio company? Yeah. Okay. 14 invested business. Okay. Last year, we did 110 million.

in reis which means like divided by six yeah yeah way to anchor though that's good yeah and multiply by six and then divide it by six you're good okay that's real that's real but i live in reais no you're good do you own uh do you own 100 of all of them no okay we have like a minority that's one one part of my question yeah it's gonna suck okay keep going this year we are aiming for 200 million

reais and we i i always thought it was a smart move to have the minority because i have the the founder aligned how do you feel about that now yeah yeah i It's good and bad. It's good and bad. Because we can grow really, really quickly. But we don't have different inside leaders for each area like you do, like the sales, the HR, and things like that.

Do you think that structure could work for a smaller business, especially when we have like 20 or 30% of the share? Centralizing services for those companies? No, not service like you do here. You have like the special team to help this. Like could you or should you do that? Yeah. No, it won't make sense. No. Financially. Economics. and they're not big enough to afford the talent that you need that you like

the talent of this team would eat up 100% or more that you'd literally be losing money. And then you have to really bank on the fact that you can exit these positions. But given the fact that those positions are small and super illiquid, that would not be a bet I would make. Okay. And...

Mostly of our companies are info products, so online courses, mentorships, anything like that. How would you protect this type of business considering AI? I think we're already seeing that the persons are not... wanting to learn they want the answer so how would you actually protect this i wouldn't you wouldn't protect i would try and make as much as you can and look for a different vehicle

Q&A: Cold Email Performance Risk

Okay. Thank you. So my name is Taylor Heron. I run a very high volume cold email agency, basically. We work with a lot of B2B SaaS companies that have TAMs over at least 10 million users. or BB service businesses that have LTVs over like 50 grand. Okay. Right. We're good at the meeting pathway and also a PLG pathway with SAS. Okay. I currently do a 2.2 million.

Pretty sure I can take it to 10 million within the next year or so. Primarily because I think I know what to do next based off of this weekend, even before here, a lot of stuff like that. So if anything, it'll be interesting to just hear you criticize. Maybe what I think I should do. Right. So we got to 2.2 by having like $10,000 a month retainers. What we're doing is switching to performance models at scale where it's like, hey.

let me understand your LTV we'll do a third of uh we'll charge a fee roughly equal to we'll make sure your cac is a third okay maybe that needs to be different you know but that's the idea switch it to 5k so it's really easy to close because most people we tell them five it's really easy for them to hop into the funnel and just go yep let's try this out and then we have performance setup on the back end um the advantage is that like systems that will

break i think private data and analytics to be able to actually know what properly to do for each client at that type of scale because some of our clients will sound like 10 plus emails a month written with ai one to one uh-huh 10 plus or like 10 000 10 million okay yeah i got it per month yeah so

This is so interesting. So like the fee sounds wildly underpriced. Like if you're sending 10 million emails and you're charging $10,000, that sounds absurdly low. Yeah, I would say we started to get them in. and we'll send a hundred thousand test message market fit the second we find the multiple that or we go cool i know if i target sas founders with this message there's 800 000 of them if i hit that list i'll sign up 601.

we can crank it that way right so it's almost to get them in there where we have the is the biggest issue you're running out of lists no okay no because basically it's like let me email your entire team every two months so what else what else do you think is going to be the uh the biggest problem with this model Keeping clients honest, potentially, on collecting, if it's based off of percentages or whatever it may be.

which is where i also think it's maybe like a systems problem in that i need to have proper integrations to their crms to keep them honest which maybe i need to acquire or like get the right developers or something like that to be able to

do that better? What stands out? Yeah. So the problem that I would foresee is the one that you just brought up, which is what I was hoping to get to. Whenever you switch to performance, performance is always the best model on paper, not always the best model in practice. And it's strongly predicated on the quality of the prospect. So if you have enterprise customers who have obligations and have assets and have shit to lose, they tend to follow and adhere to their contracts.

smaller, even sometimes medium business owners, less so. And are you US? Yeah. Okay. Yeah. And US contracts mean basically nothing. And so all of these things are kind of like stacked against you. um and alan was a performance basis model so i like very much understand this business now we were able to do it only because i controlled the flow of payments i got paid and then give them remitted their part

So you always want to control the money flow if you do performance. Or you have to have absolute transparency. So you run the Shopify store. that's why shopify agencies can do performance a lot of email marketing for shopify they do they do performance percentages uh you know using clavio and whatnot and that that model works great for them because the trackings

clear and most people, no one's going to start a second store to try and cut you out. Brick and mortar, guy walks in and he didn't show. Guy closed for 50 grand. How do you know? Unfortunately, you set up an incentive system that incentivizes them to cheat you. And if they have to cheat them or cheat you, they will cheat you. So I'm not a huge fan. I would prefer to just factor in.

basically scaled based on what you know the roi is roughly to kind of like a north star metric which might be uh you know for every million emails it's this and you might have to just do that custom up front in terms of like okay based on your customer base your avatar on your segment this is the rate i'm not the biggest fan of custom pricing but based on the model that you have it might make sense given you probably have fewer customers that are worth more i'm assuming

what's your churn but probably uh 30 or something like that but also i've changed my offer yeah okay yeah annually i've changed my offer enough to where it's kind of hard to be like what's the actual churn on the current offer but yeah okay

why do you why do people leave because you charge nothing well we used to charge 10ks flat to be like here's how many emails we'll send right most of the time when they would leave it wouldn't be because of performance it because their offer when we weren't able to find a good offer message uh message market fit for them potentially right have you been able to separate cohort churn as in like first three months versus three months plus no okay so i would consider posit having a two

two-part structure where you charge a one-time fee that's significantly higher up front but has zero recurring to do the one thing which is we're going to find message market fit after that you solve that problem you say hey if you want you can go send 10 million emails a month uh with this messaging and they'll be like well we don't know how to do that you're like oh that's crazy you know we do that if you want and then you can say let me introduce you either to your pricing

And that might be a best of both worlds model. And you will be astonished, by the way, at how much easier it is to sell a one-time thing versus an ongoing thing. Interesting. I wonder... You can double or triple close rates from a $1,500 a month membership to a $5,000 one-time upfront. You can triple close rates at triple the price. Yeah, for sure. I've seen that.

Does it, does it change your thought process at all? When like the, like monthly reoccurring, we've been able to achieve with these performance models and huge TAMs. Like we're billing some clients like 75 or like a hundred grand a month. Okay. All of a sudden. Right. You said you did 2 million. Yeah, because the reason I got this idea for the performance is because we got a whale. I was like, holy shit, where'd you get in a hundred bucks? So we said some customers, there's one customer.

We just closed another upsold them into performance and we start like this month. Okay. So you have one customer who's doing the big, big wheel thing. Yeah. I'm not trying to, I'm trying to understand. Yeah. Yeah. Of course. Okay. So, so there's one there. It looks promising to go back to what I said earlier.

If you have enterprise customers, cool. Yeah, where you feel safe about it. Because I'm using the data you give me. So if you say, I'm doing $2 million a year, we're charging $10,000 a month, I'm going to back a napkin and be like, okay, they got 20-ish customers.

and if they're paying $10,000 a month and sending 10 million emails, it doesn't make any sense, but okay, let's keep going. Beyond that, it's like, okay, well, if they've got 20 customers, at that price point, they're probably low. They're SMBs. They're not even mid-market. This whale is mid-market.

And if you had said, hey, we only deal with businesses that are doing over 10 million in ARR and are venture backed or whatever the criteria are, that I would say I have high confidence that one, they can pay and two, that they even track. then I would have much higher confidence in saying, yeah, go for it on the performance model. But the biggest risk that you're paying down is that they don't pay you. Yeah.

Yeah, that makes sense. Basically, if you have high confidence of the payment, then the performance can make a lot of sense. I mean, I would do $0 up front. I don't even care. If I know that I can get paid, I'm all in. I just got to know that I can get paid. Yeah, totally agree.

That is the biggest hinge in this thing. That's like the biggest risk of going down that path. You solve that, you solve the business. That is the whole business. You solve that, you solve the business. Yeah, exactly. Own that channel. I built a software to solve it. I get it. Yeah, exactly. That makes a ton of sense. Yeah. Because I was going after small guys, so I had to. Yep. Thank you. Yeah, you bet. Rock and roll.

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