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This week on Prime Cutch, Chad Millman, Sharper Square tough week, Listen closely. John Middelkoff on the Niners losing streak and quarterback prospects, and my top takes of the week. Let me start by applauding teams. I don't applaud much the Chicago Bears, So on the trade deadline they went and gave up a second round pick for a defensive end into his prime, going into his prime, Montes Sweat from
the Commanders. Now Washington has a surplus of defensive linemen, so they move Chase Young erratic injuries, a bit of an ad liver to the forty nine ers, but Montes Sweat is more reliable. And if you're gonna pay a defensive player, who does Kansas City pay? Chris Jones defensive lineman? Who do the Rams pay on defense? Aaron Donald defensive lineman. If you go look at who the top gms in
the league are absolutely always willing to pay. It's a good edge rusher or elite interior defensive linemen, of which there are not many. So the Bears get a player in Montes Sweat for a second round pick who will be better than ninety percent of the players they could draft in the second round, and probably over half of the players they could draft in the first. And since the Bears are probably going to move off justin fields, they're not going to be paying their quarterback for four
years now. Because you do this mid season, the player now has the leverage. Right, Montes Sweat has the leverage. He knows what you gave up to get him, so the agent and the player have the leverage. But he's a really good player. He's a top ten SAT guy. He's going into his prime, and you got to pay for those guys, and he's better than anybody you're going
to get in the second round. My guess on the defensive line, the elite edge rushers, the elite prospects defensive linemen, those guys, along with left tackles and stark quarterbacks, they're gone in the first eight to twelve picks. So I don't have a problem with it. I think Chicago fans look at the Chase Claypool move that didn't work. Chicago gives up a second round pick for him first. It's a lot easier to get a wide receiver out of college that's productive than an elite edge rusher in the
second round. There are receivers everywhere in college football and everywhere in the draft. Look at the Rams pooka Nakua fifth round. He's a star. So and also I even understood why the Bears rolled the dice on Chase Claypool. They were trying to decipher if Justin Fields could play, and all they had was Mooney, a small, twitchy receiver. Claypool was a big, physical receiver who can block. I would struggle to give up a second for him, but you could see giving up a third. So they may
have reached a little. But I got their reasoning in Chicago for doing the Chase Claypool deal. They had a tight end Cole, they had Mooney. They were trying to furnish fields with players to see if this is the guy. By the way, this is what Atlanta is doing. They go get Bjean Robinson running back first round, Drake London, Kyle Pitt's good old line, and they have decided Desmond Ritter is not it. They're benching him now for Taylor Heineke. So when Bjeon Robinson got picked by the Falcons, I
defended it. Running back in the first round is that they're trying to figure out if the quarterback can play. If you give him second tier players, you'll never know. You'll have to guess. Falcons have an offensive coach, good young weapons, and Desmond Ritter can't score with him, time to move off him. That's what they're doing. So Montez sweat for the Bears. Yes, you'll have to pay him, Okay, all right. The bottom line is you're gonna draft another quarterback.
You have the space to do it, and this dude can absolutely play going into his prime mid to later twenties, and those guys cost money. I'm okay with the Bears doing it, all right. Forty nine Ers giving up a third round pick for Chase Young. Well, Chase Young can be an erratic player, sort of an ad liver, and he's had some injuries so he's never been as good as we think. But opposite Bosa, who's getting double team done every snap, it gives them another edge. Now, that
doesn't mean you're going to be great. I mean, Khalil Mack and Joey Bosa are playing for the Chargers and they're underwhelming. They also have a coach. Many beliefs should be fired. But I think that what the forty nine ers are looking at. They got their first round pick, they got their second round pick, and you start looking at the third round pick. For the forty nine ers in this roster, who could start. I mean, they don't need a receiver, they don't need a running back. They've
got their quarterback, Deebo and Brandon Ayuk. They've got their receivers. They could use a corner and maybe a center, and they'll probably draft that with the first and second round pick. So I get what they're doing. When you have a quarterback that you're really not paying any and I mean last player picked, you're not paying Rock pretty anything. Roll the dice. And I think they also they look around and they see Jalen Hurts, and they see Dak and
they see that Lions offensive line. Remember Dallas, Detroit, and Philadelphia in the NFC have three of the top five offensive lines in the National Football League. Now, the AFC is better than the NFC, but the NFC may have three of the top four or five offensive lines Eagles, Lions, Cowboys. So one pass rusher is not enough. Armstead Bosa, now Chase Young. If those teams Detroit with Jared goff Eagles, Jalen Herds, Dallas, Dak Prescott have better quarterbacks than San
Francisco and greade o lines. How do you equalize it? You roll the dice. You give up a third round pick for Chase Young.
I get it.
Didn't give up a first, didn't give up a second. But by the third round, what percentage of players hit How many people in the third round are going to be his talent that is Chase Young and could immediately play for the forty nine ers. Even the guys they've hit on in the fourth, fifth, sixth, seventh round, most don't play and make an impact immediately.
Brought perty is rare, So I get it.
They're looking at the NFC, They're looking at those offensive lines. They're looking to those superior quarterbacks. Can Chase Young be an equalizer so Bosa is not double teamed by good offensive lines on every snap? You know, I've said this before. It's one thing if your brother or sister was more successful than you and lives in another state across town. But if they're more successful than you and they're your neighbor and you can see the cars and the beautiful house,
it stings a little. It's one thing for brock Purty to struggle, but when he struggles at home on the same field with Joe Burrow, it's not great. And Burrow is brilliant, and Kyle Shanahan watches that and knows that. You know, he lost Tom A Homes in a Super Bowl, and Kyle Shanahan his dad won super Bowls with Elway, and Kyle Shanahan was a coordinator and had Matt Ryan and got beat by Tom Brady. He understands it that he's had a garoppolo or his dad had quarterbacks in
his career in Washington that weren't up to snuff. So when you have Burrow playing brilliant today and Purdy had that late fumble, wats the knock on pretty small hands. Small hands equal fumbles. He got hit from behind. He had a really bad red zone interception, the kind of interception you just can't make. You probably couldn't find one of those in John Elway's career or in Patrick Mahomes's career. He can't throw an interception when a guy's three feet
from you. He had another interception in the game, so now now perty can make throws. He threw the ball two or three Times today, Tony Rommel pointed it out to George Kittle, really big time throws. So I still think Brock Purtty has talent, but he's a seventh round guy. He's smaller, didn't have a big arm, mobile, not fast, smaller hands, And I thought when you post him with Joe Burrow today, same field, it really looked obvious. And by the way I saw this all day today, Jalen
Hurts with Sam Howe. Sam Howe's competent, but Sam how on the field with Jalen Hurts. Last couple of drives for Washington, next to last drive, Sam Howe U missed on one receiver. He had to go down much more catchable ball if an elite quarterback through it. Then he missed another guy through to the wrong guy. And that when you get a Hurts and a howl and organizations have to make decisions, or you get a Burrow and a party and organizations have to make decisions, it's really
clearly the gap is massive. I mean, we saw Kirk Cousins, you know out.
Or form Rock Purty.
That's one thing you're on the road at home kind of ugly and so you know, I there's an argument to be made, and I don't think it's crazy. You know how years ago you're like, boy, you can't draft a kicker. Well, they're often the leading scorer on your team. Of course you can't. Of course she can draft a kick her. You know, you can never take a running back in the first round. There's been a lot of great running backs taken in the first round, and I've been wildly productive.
It's okay.
You could probably make an argument, and Belichick did it about every second third year, that you should draft a quarterback every year, every year, even if you have Tom Brady was in New England, they were still drafting a quarterback every year, every single year almost, And I mean Garoppolo got drafted in the second round and Brady was winning super Bowls. So I just look at San Francisco and you can say, well, you know, they really missed on Trey Lance, but they hit on brock Perty for
a seventh round talent CJ. Beth. That was a little bit of a miss. Garoppolo trade that was a semi hit, got to a super Bowl.
It's okay, draft the quarterback every year. There's an argument.
There will be some years you take two quarterbacks. You take one early second round, you take one late sixth round. It's the only position in football that's worth more than a point. Think how good Jamar chases. He's probably worth one point a game in the NFL, and he is sensational. How about that sideline catch Dragon has put today? So I just thought when you put Purty and Burrow on the same field in Santa Clara is a bad look. What to do with Kansas City's lost to Denver, Well,
Patrick Mahomes was sick. I mean, most of us take a day off when we're sick. We don't play in the hardest sport in America. But I think what you saw today you saw two things. First of all, Denver now has a run game, and Sean Payton has decided to play younger defensive players. They move off Randy Gregory, so they're playing with a much livelier spirit defensively. Right, you let the young kids drive the car. They're having fun down they're playing a little faster than they were
a month ago, and they're running the football. I thought that game plan was great running the ball. They've got a couple of capable backs, and what it does, it takes Mahomes out of rhythm and Mahomes not that he needs rhythm to be successful, but any quarterback wants to get in a rhythm. So when you're sit on the bench, it's a seven play drive, it's a nine play drive. You're sitting on the bench watching, it's cold, you're sick,
you're on the road. It all adds up. But there were two plays in this game, and this is really what you worry about. The trade deadline is Tuesday, so they've already made one move at wide receiver. But there was the Rashi Rice drop in the first half, really bad drop over the middle of the field that was going to be a substantial game bad drop. Then sky Moore I wrote it down here. Sky Moore had a drop for a touchdown in the end zone. This team
is not a great team. It's got a great coach, a great tight end, a great quarterback, and a great Chris Jones in the defensive front. It's not a great team because in football now, weapons matter. Cincinnati's got him, Philadelphia's got him. The top teams in this league, Detroit's got him. Dallas could use one more, but cde Lamb weapons matter. They don't have an elite wide receiver I'd argue the Chiefs not only don't have a one, they don't have a two. Rashi Rice is nice at this point,
he's a three or four. Maybe by the end of the year he develops into it too. So they go to the Jets, they get a word receiver who knows their system. He's a three to four. So I do think it's something I think against the Cincinnati or of Baltimore, and I think right now those teams are as good and they just have more speed on the outside. You know, Odell Beckham, t Higgins, Jamar Chase, even Nelson Aguilar for Baltimore. These are veteran players who have been around. They can
make plays. So there's a lot of things that compounded. Mahomes flew today on the road. Denver's running out of rhythm, lots of drops. But I would say the margin for air for Kansas City is slimmer this year.
Think about it. Name the game.
They look great offensively, they haven't. They had a great first half. Did the Chiefs against Brandon Staley and the Chargers defense? They had a great first half. They really haven't put together a great game like what Cincinnati did today where you really felt you were watching a super Bowl level team beginning to end. I mean you watched Cincinnati interceptions, defensive plays, sacks, strips, Jamar Chase, Burrow, long drives,
quick drives. When they get the interception, turn around Burrow to Jamar Chase right side end zone like quick strike like Cincinnati today. That's a masterclass on how to beat a really good team in the forty nine ers. Kansas City has not had one of those this year against a semi quality team, great half against the Chargers, who are a bit of an under coach mess. So I wouldn't make too much of it, but I think it's
a reality of what Kansas City is. They let Tyreek Hill go agreed with it for all the picks they got. But they're really young sky Moore, Rice, they're really young wide receiver, and those guys aren't superstars. They're developing players who potentially become really nice, complimentary two and three receivers. I don't see sky Moore as a one. Rice could be a really strong two. But this is Travis Kelsey's team, right Go look at the targets and the catches today.
This is Travis Kelsey's offense in Mahomes and Nanny reive. There's a saying in football that winning is not a quarterback stat and tonight's a great example. Kenny Pickett has significantly better wide receiving talent, a significantly better roster at home, much more support, better defensive front to pressure Will Levis, and Will Levis for most of the night outplayed him with a very spartan, very mediocre receiving tight end core on the road. This franchise in a rebuild with multiple
offensive line injuries. Now it's important to note because I know we have a history of Brady going in the sixth round and Dak Prescott going in the third or fourth round, and Russell Wilson in the third round. Remember, Will Levis was a first round He was a lottery talent in terms of arm talent. He has a huge arm. Mom went to Yale, was a four point college student. He just turned people off in the interview process, a
lot of the gun show stuff two cocky. So he was a first round talent that dropped to the top of the second Kenny Pickett, two general managers told me and a couple of the best guys in the league, Kenny Pickett was the top of the third to middle third talent. But he was a Pittsburgh kid and the Steelers needed a quarterback now, and it was a bad quarterback class. And so you can see when they play. Levis has a significantly better arm, a special arm. He's bigger, stronger, thicker,
plays with more confidence, easier thrower. Kenny Pickett doesn't have a lot of special but he's got Pickens, Deontay Johnson, a couple of really good backs, I think, a healthier offensive line.
He's at home. Winning is not a.
Quarterback stat right now. Obviously the great quarterbacks win more than mediocre quarterbacks or certainly bad quarterbacks. But you can see special with Will Levice. Kenny Pickett has played I think twenty one games as a pro and I think he's had one game with multiple touchdown passes. That is hard to do with this receiving corps. Will Levis has played two games and has won multiple touchdown game. This
was a big ask for him. Even on the final drive, that was a big ask under pressure, not a lot to work with. I drove him down the field. Will Levis is really really good. And this is what I mean about Kenny Pickett, Folks, It just doesn't take long. You know, I use the analogy all the time. I listen to music. I don't know anything about it, but if you watch the Voice or you watch American Idol,
you can tell in fifteen seconds who has talent. It doesn't take long, and none of us are music executives. I looked it up today, Burrow, Trevor, Lawrence, Lamar Jackson, Herbert Dak Mahomes, Russell Wilson. You saw brilliance first year, Jared goffin TUA. You saw brilliance when they finally got an offensive coach McVeigh or Mike McDaniel. So Kenny Pickett's not going to be getting an offensive coade soon.
Now. People always point to that.
Well, Josh Allen wasn't very good in it initially, but I went and looked at his rookie stance. Now I remember him jumping over people. He was specialist.
First year.
He had ten passing touchdowns and eighteen total touchdowns. Yeah, he ran for eight six hundred and thirty yards of rushing, seven yards of carry. There was all sorts of special from Josh Allen his first year, All sorts of special If you don't see it as you get to Thanksgiving the second year, and that's the longest you should have to wait. Will Levis's first start, he had four touchdowns and no picks, four touchdowns, no picks with that Tennessee
tight end, wide receiver corps and that old line. So I think you already see Will Levis's talent. And again he was a top ten talent arm wise, brain wise. People just thought he was off putting in Cocky the Gun Show at the Combine. People just didn't like him. He interviewed very poorly. Remember he was the guy that used to eat the banana peelon put Manny's in his coffee and then a couple of teams asked him about that during the interview process and he.
You know, said why you bringing it up.
Reportedly, he was kind of brusque in the interviews blunts, and people didn't like it. Executives didn't like it. But he has first round, top ten arm talent, So it just doesn't take long.
People. There's a rule to.
Me that when you start complaining about play calling and wide receiver drops, you have.
A bottom tier quarterback.
Right you think Justin Herbert gets great play calling or Mahomes Mahomes receivers lead the NFL and drops. At some point, you got to make plays and again, can you pick it.
I'll get the win.
But I think if you're a Tennessee Titan fan, you got your quarterback. There's no reason to play Ryan Tannehill.
None.
Will Levis, big, strong, smart, lets it rip, plays with confidence, thick kid. I think he got something now. This order organization like New England can't get wide receiver, right. They had aj Brown for a minute. Now he's an Eagle.
But I think you got to be really happy.
And I say this regularly, routinely that I am always rooting for all quarterbacks, even Baker Mayfield, to crush it, because nothing's worse than watching backups.
Nothing.
Look at this weekend in the NFL, I mean there's four games I want to watch. Lamar Jackson's in one of them, two against Mahomes and another one, Burrow and Josh Allen another one, and Dak against Jalen Hurts in another one. I mean, we're only halfway through the season and there's four games I'm really locked into. And the worst quarterback in that group is Geno Smith, who I think led the NFL in passer rating last year.
So mediocre quarterback play.
Is a bad, bad watch. I still feel the same way about Kenny Pickett. He'll win some games. It's a great organization. I mean they just draft and developed so well in Pittsburgh. But Will Levis I see special, I see juice. They got something there.
Three and out.
John middle Cuff former NFL scout. Dallas and Dak are very good as home favorites. When they're big home favorites, they play downhill. When that team gets to lead, Micah Parsons pins it back. They're a really really good team. They don't play well from behind. If you have an elite corner and.
Can take C.
D Lamb out of the game, deck gets really limited. I mean he and CD really play at a high level.
That's a rut.
It's not Burrow Jamar Chase, but it's really special. And I think Dallas is a bit of the ultimate tease. About every third week they just kick the un one out of somebody.
Everybody gets all worked up.
Whereas Baltimore narrowly wins all the time. What they do to Detroit is rare. But the in the AFC, Baltimore wins narrowly four to three. Like today, Hey kind of ugly it up and win and they just sit in the woods Dallas. If you ask to average fans, they think Dallas is up here in Baltimore's down there. But Baltimore can win from behind with a lead. I trust Baltimore a better both sides of the ball, complete team. But Dallas does this when they get a lead. It's
very Buffalo. Buffalo's built to play with the lead they get, they play downhill. Then you don't know if they're running or throwing. Josh Allen on play action. So I don't feel differently. I think the Rams are a bit of fools. Gold and I sat on Friday on FS one. I thought this was going to be separation weekend between the ego, you know, the pretenders and the playoff teams, and the Rams have been doing it.
On coaching.
They have one really good player in their prime, I mean they need. I mean they have a really good punter out of the draft, a left guard, a receiver. They have to hit about four more home runs in next year's draft. They have about seventy million. I think in cap space, Rams are not an elite team.
Well, two things. Dallas is blown out all look the same pick six's huge special teams plays. That game was over in the first quarter, which was kind of nice because there was a seventy five games going on this morning. You're like, I don't really need to pay attention to
this one. That thing was over so fast. The other thing, you know, sometimes in college when PAC twelve teams in the non conference play a Midwest or an East Coast team and it's that nine am kickoff, Well, the Dallas how often do they play because of their brand a home game at ten am as Coast time, So pretty big disadvantage for the Rams. Obviously, I would imagine McVeigh in and out of the office throughout the middle of the week. But big picture for the Rams, why would
you not entertain trading Aaron Donald? He's thirty two years old? What would Belichick?
Walsh?
This is an opportunity. Mcveigh's grampa was part of that Niner team. Obviously, you know, he's one of I guess They've obviously had some great offensive players, you know, with the Kurt Warner teams, but the probably the best defensive player one of them, definitely of my lifetime. If you could get a first round obviously you get a first round pick, but a one and two twos. You need to reset the franchise. I think that hot has to
be on the table. They're not going anywhere now. I mean the Niners are in second place in that division. Seattle's clearly pretty fisty. They're gonna be a playoff team again. Why not. You're not even essentially blowing it up because you still have good offensive pieces. You're just getting more draft capital so you can pivot with a guy thirty two will be thirty three's great defensive players aren't usually humming at thirty five years old.
Yeah, and he was dominant early in that game today, so you don't to me. I feel like with Aaron Donald, because of his cost and his age, you get two twos. Maybe I'm wrong, maybe you get a first, and.
I think you can get a one just because of the bidding process. You know, it's like it's like a home if you're just bidding against yourself, you can kind of low ball once multiple people come in, and he's just two elite of a player at such a premium position. I think that it might start that way, but so many contenders would bid, Like McCaffrey last year, the Rams had him for a two of three and a five, and Niners are like, we'll give you a two to three a four to five, So it would just drive
up the price. I do think you'd get a one, and maybe it would be a one and a two and a three of the fall. Who knows exactly how you structure. I do think you get a lot right now for a team that's going nowhere. He's clearly their only asset that they could trade and still net a lot back has to be on the table. And like you said with Dallas, you're just not gonna play the Eagles like this, which is who they're gonna try to beat.
You're gonna have to beat them in a real game, right where you're not blocking field goals and punts and returning safety punts back for sixty yards. It's probably not gonna look like that. Can you just play him straight up and out coach him and not get penalties? And they've struggled in that situation. So this game, like the Giants game, like some of their just blowout games, to me, don't look like the real games that they're always so disappointed after they lose.
So my take on San Francisco Cincinnati was that It's one thing if you're less successful than your brother and he lives cross town. But if he's your neighbor and you have you see the maserati in the driveway and the big house, it's kind of painful. He's your neighbor, right, pretty on the same field with Burrow, You're like, oh shit, yeah, this is not good. I mean, first of all, small hands. End of the game, strip ball comes out. That's the knock.
That red zone interception. You've never seen Lway throw. One of those. You've never seen Mahomes throw. One of those are Burrow. That's a really bad interception in the red zone. I like Brock. He can throw the ball down the field, had a couple of moves today, a couple of wiggles.
I like him.
He's a good athlete, good athlete, but when you put him on the field with Burrow. So Kyle's lost to Brady in a Super Bowl. His dad lost to some great quarterbacks in the Super Bowl, right, like everybody in the Shanahan family knows, you got to have an Lway. Yeah, he's lost to Mahomes in a Super Bowl with Garoppolo, and they out coached and outplayed him for three quarters.
What do you do with brock Purty? Do you keep him in house? I mean, what do you do here?
You know, you know when you put him on a field with Burrow, it's not the same game.
Do you know What's weird?
In forty nine er Land Up until what Saturday and he was cleared for concussion, it was looking like Sam Darnold was gonna play, and I think a lot of people were just intrigued what was gonna look like. So I was right with Kyle this offense that I was, you were everyone was. I was really excited, not disappointed when the guy cleared, because, like you said, he did play well up until he started turning the ball over
left and right toward the end of the game. But this team is built and this is why Kyle's been able to do it with middle of the road Jimmy Garopfolo. Perty's been better than that version of Jimmy. But win at such a high rate is because their defense dominated. And today I looked up toward the end of the game, the Bengals had close to thirty first downs. They obviously they have an elite quarterback, wide receiver Duo Higgins is healthy, mixing looked like he was in his prime today running
over forty nine ers. Their defense is not the same and they're not built. We've seen Kyle's record on these comebacks in the fourth quarter down eight or more points. That's not how they've ever won. And so when you're getting sl and dice and they've handled better quarterbacks and just kept the game close and won those games, they can't win a game where they are getting thoroughly outplayed
on the missing tackles, getting run over. Bro's gonna make plays now when he's playing like that, to me, that's like MVP level. He looked as good as he's ever looked, just in terms of physically. Clearly the calf is long gone. His rhythm and timing in that game just got better and better as the game went on. You were surprised when he missed a pass. But the forty nine ers, just like last week against Kirk Cousins, if they're getting shredded on defense in the passing game and they can't
get off the field, they're just not gonna win. And right now they're in shambles.
Chad Millman, CEO Action Network. All odds provided by DraftKings SO NFC teams against Lamar. I like Gino, don't like him trailing, don't love him on the road, don't think this is the best number. But at five and a half, I can see them winning by a touchdown again Gino trailing second half. Baltimore. I believe Baltimore and I've said this for three weeks to the best team in the league. I think Lamar's my MVP. It's a big number. I hate it, but it's one of those four or five
numbers I'll roll with. I would take the favorite Ravens my MVP minus five and a half against Seattle Sharper square.
Dude, this is a really brutal week. If you can find consensus on any game, I will cover your entire betting table this week, and this game is the centerpiece of the conversation. There is no reason why anybody should be betting on the Ravens. We've got two top ten defenses. We've got a quarterback in Lamar Jackson who is not good at all as a large favorite more than a field goal. Not good when he is a large favorite at home. We've got a coach in Pete Carroll who's
great as an underdog against the spread. We've got a really good offense, balanced offense in Seattle, and while while Baltimore's defense is great, it's not that great against the run. So there's no reason anybody should be betting on Baltimore this week. And yet, and yet this number went up from five and a half and then went down to six. So what that tells you is that the wise guys came in on Baltimore at five and a half and
they bet Seattle at plus six. So to me, this is a number game, and it's going to be about what number are you seeing Baltimore of five and a half Seattle at six. I will tell you this true story. Sunday night. I'm looking at the lines. I decide I do. The podcast The Favorites was Simon Hunter. We will talk about the lines that we're going to bet the following week. First game that we discussed was this game, and we were both like, we know Seattle is the right side
to this second. I have not bet Seattle. I cannot pull the trigger on it. I haven't at Balton either, but I haven't been Seattle. It's a weird game, dude, it's a weird game.
Let me throw another one at you. Kansas City minus two and a half off a loss, much better quarterback I've seen. I think Kansas City's defense is the best in the Mahomes era, and I've seen Miami against really good competition and really fast, aggressive defenses. They're not the same. Now, the Dolphins got there a week ahead of time. They've got a time advantage. They are closer than Kansas City. But again, three I pass minus two and a half Chiefs, I like case off a loss.
Sharper square.
Another really interesting one, Colin. You know when you and I used to do the Collins Football Show on Sundays on ESPN, and I would get certain games where all of my reporting, all the numbers, nothing would indicate a consensus. Or I would be with you and we'd say, dude, I don't care what people are saying. We know football too, this is the right side, and we'd make an executive decision. Yes, we're making an executive decision about the Chiefs. So here's
a really interesting thing. The Chiefs opened as two point favorites, it got BAEd up to two and a half, and then all of a sudden, between Tuesday and today, forty eight hours, the wise guys have been pounding the Dolphins. And it could be because the Chiefs are missing Nick Bolton. It could be because the Dolphins got there earlier and people are skeptical. Are we having a real conversation here? Patrick Mahomes is one of the best quarterbacks in the
history of the NFL. Patrick Mahomes as a favorite of less than three points. Where you're basically saying, Patrick Mahomes go in a football game. You don't you don't think about this. You just met Patrick Mahomes. This is a no brainer.
Okay, I'll give you another one. Okay, right now.
Since Week five, Joe Burrow minus two and a half home against the Bills is completing seventy eight.
And a half percent of his passes.
Think about this, It's not a seven on seven drill seventy eight percent take out September start in October. This is arguably the best team and the best quarterback without question. Now, he wouldn't be my MVP because what Lamar does sort of the soul, the running everything, and he's got a bunch of new pieces and it's all working. But again, the numbers come down. Some say it's one and a half, two, two and a half. I'm gonna take Cincinnati. This is
also one of those rare spots. I talked about this with Detroit on Monday Night. The Lions never play Monday night football at home, so it's Marty Gras. How many games as Cincinnati hosted that are the national TV game in Cincinnati? Not many. This is really special for them, small market Joe Burrow. They want to show off. I like the Bengals minus two and a half Sharper square sharp.
This game was. It's really interesting. This game actually opened. The Bengals is one and a half point underdogs. Immediately the wise guys started coming in on the Bengals Sunday night. Last Sunday Night, it was at one and a half, then it was two, two and a half. Three. Wise guys took a little bit of a taste at three. But that's the limit. As you were just saying, sometimes this is about the number, right. Everything you just said about Joe Burrow is true. This is a much better
team since the bye week. He's fully healthy. Do not discount the Bengals defense. Trey Hendrickson is grading out as the second best pass rusher in the NFL right now. He's got eight and a half sacks, one and a half behind Danielle Hunter, the league leader in the NFL, and by the way, he's got six and a half of his sacks. While the Bengals have won for the past five games, Like this defense is starting to get into a much better rhythm and they've played together for
a long time. Their defensive cornery has stayed there for a long time. The other side of the ball, and we've talked about this with the Bills, that makes them a scary team to bet on right now. Matt Mulano All Pro linebacker, Trudavius White, Pro Bowl level corner to Kwan Jones defensive lineman. Like they have lost guys at every level that are playmakers, not just like, Okay, we got someone who can fill in. They've lost above average players. That's a defense that's struggling right now.
Finally, I stay away from big emotional TV games. I think the numbers right Philadelphia minus three. I think one of the reasons they played poorly last week they knew they were playing Dallas, so I think they'll win twenty seven to twenty three. Dak's a great home favorite. I think the last three games against phil he's three and h two or nonsense. You know Gardner Minshew one of almost a week seventeen game when Philadelphia emptied the bench
just for our audience. It does feel like the numbers right to me? Yes, is there anything wise? Guys think exactly.
It is split down the middle, no joke. Every single person I've spoken to, they find reasons to like the Eagles, they find reasons to like the Cowboys. I like the Eagles better coach, much better coach. I think they have a better roster. I think they are more comfortable winning
right the Cowboys. Sometimes you watch them play and they seem like a super emotional kid who when things are going well like they are the happiest person in the world, and when things aren't, they don't really know how to manage it. I think Dak is a little bit too boisterous for someone who has really never won anything, and takes some of these things a little bit too sensitively. And I think think Jalen is so even keyo and so comfortable whether you're winning or losing the challenge is
is Jalen hurt? But I do think the Eagles as short favorites. To me, it's almost like the Chiefs. It's going to be hard for me not to take them if all I need to do is win by a field goal.
They're also a very good big game team, a big situation team, the best team right now on fourth down and third down in the league, which keeps it away from CD and DAK. I think that's a big deal. We agree the best fourth down team with push push, they're now the best third down team and big situational, dramatic games. That's an undervalued stat.
Move the chains.
You also got to think about Aj Brown right five straight games, one hundred and twenty five receiving yards or more. The Cowboys secondary it's been playing better, much much better than I think people are giving a credit for given the fact they've had so many injuries. But AJ Brown is a different kind of player right now. He's a guy who's less than one hundred yards behind Tyreek Hill to lead the league in receiving yardage because of the run that he's on. AJ Brown can make people get
healthy fast. So if Jalen Hursts is injured, throw the ball to AJ Brown and you're going to see how quickly this team in Philadelphia starts to play a little better and starts to feel a little bit better, all.
Right, buddy, Chad Millman, Action Network CCO. Good seeing him, my man, Good luck to us all.
Colin the volume