The volume.
This week on Prime Cuts, Chad Milman, Sharper Square, John Middlekoff on Lamar Jackson playing the best football of his career in my Top takes of the week. Okay, you know I'm from the Pacific Northwest, so this one feels special. My favorite team as a kid growing up was the Washington Huskies. They beat the Longhorns thirty seven to thirty one. I think I felt the entire game. I bet a
money line on DraftKings today. I just kept saying Texas has better players, Texas has better players, and then over the last twenty four hours, I'm like, what am I doing. Washington's receivers and quarterback are a huge mismatch edge over the secondary for the Longhorns, and I like Sark. I love Calin de bor as a coach, and the time, I mean, their execution until the final minute of the game was the cleanest of the four teams that played in the playoff, and they have the fewest foreign five
star recruits. So this staff develops and coaches. It's butt off. By the way, when you put in four really good football teams instead of three really good teams and one that's deserving whatever that means Florida State. This is what it looks like. That was the best day of college football, the best playoff day of college football in its history, because nobody got caught up on deserving. It was just four really good teams with big time quarterbacks and big
time coaches, most important position healthy and ready to roll. Okay, Florida State would have dragged this entire thing down. So bigger argument is Georgia getting in. But let's not waste any time talking about that.
They didn't.
So thirty seven to thirty one. I think Washington will probably be a three to a four point underdog against Michigan. I'll take Washington in the points, although I'm not sure they'll win. I think the game Michigan's got much better defensive backs than Texas and.
Are a handful.
I mean, Washington just went through a battle with a big, strong Texas team and here we go one week from now it's Michigan. So that's going to be an all time classic. Let's start with Washington. This is how they play, so all their games look like this. It's exhausting. I grew up in the Pacific northwestn a Husky fan forever. This has been I mean, in the history of college football, the team that wins the National Championship looks like it in about Week four or five, and they usually have
six to seven blowouts. Even in the NFL over the last decade, all but one team in the last decade, one Super Bowl champ has had fewer than six blowouts. And that's in pro football. The margins are very tight. In college football, your national championship team usually has seven or eight blowout that's what you know, like Michigan had this year, that's what Texas had. Washington doesn't blow anybody. I mean the Apple Cup against Washington State was close.
Oregon State and the rain was close. Aeron Zona State was close. Washington plays close football games. They don't have a loaded four and five star roster, they don't play downhill. What they do is have the ability, if they play poorly, to score quickly and score late. Because of Michael Pennix. And let's talk about Pennis. I think he throws the best football since maybe Joe Burrow in college. You know,
it's interesting. So justin Herbert and C. J. Stroud at Oregon and Ohio State in their last college game, their coaches let him run. Did you notice tonight Pennix doesn't run. He was a running quarterback to some degree at Indiana, had a couple of surgeries acl so they make him a pocket quarterback. But Washington's coaches had a couple of quarterback draws drawn up tonight, and they're gonna let him run. They will let him run against Michigan, and it is
a weapon. So JJ McCarthy and Michael Pennix will be moving in that game, their final college game for Pennix, who's a more pure thrower of the football than JJ McCarthy. Again, Washington is the kind of team. They're really built for these kind of playoff games. Because even if Washington would have been out played tonight, and they weren't they outplayed Texas, they're just built the comeback and score two touchdowns in two minutes, three minutes, four minutes.
That's what.
So Washington's never out of a football game because they get very good pass protection. Pennis was only sacked eleven times all year. That's insane for a guy that just sits in the pocket. He's not hyper mobile anymore. Although he's mobile, he's not hyper mobile. JJ McCarthy's probably more mobile. He was sacked eleven times, and the PAC twelve had the best conference attead in years, so he faced Oregon's
defensive front twice and Texas couldn't get to him. One of the things about Michigan is the and I talked about this on FS one.
Whatever makes you sleep better at night, go ahead.
But the Patriots and Brady were better after Spygate, and they were better after the flate gate. Brady's numbers went up after the flate Gate. The Colts were bitter because New England was dominating the series, and so they turn the Patriots in for deflate gate. Bretdy's numbers went up once there was no extra additive air to the ball or less air in the ball. Connor Stallions, it wasn't
most one percent for Michigan. They've played. If they beat Washington and their favor to beat Washington, they will have beaten Washington, Alabama, and Ohio State in order with no quote cheating. This team is about hardball, their O line, D line, their lack of penalties, their NFL bodies, their upper classmen, their discipline and intelligence. Whatever makes you sleep better at night, Spygate, the flate gate or Stallions. But now we know they're not quote cheating if they beat Washington.
When's the last time Washington lost a football game? They've beaten Oregon twice and Texas twice in those four games. The last time they've played Texas twice two bowl games, beat them both Texas Texas who hammered Alabama, overwhelmed them in Tuscaloosa, physically.
Pushed them around. So they're gonna have.
Beaten Washington, Ohio States a juggernaut, and Alabama without the Connor Stallion's advantage. This team is about so many things. If you think it's cheating, signals there's no reason. Like I said before, I'm not gonna argue uncertain things like the vaccines absolutely saved millions of lives, especially for older people. They weren't needed for kids. I'm not a fan of mandates. They saved a lot of lives. I know six or seven people that didn't get them. They were stubborn or
they don't like needles. They got sick as hell. My family, me friends, lots of we took the vaccines. We had COVID boom two days. Fine, right, So I'm just not gonna argue with you. You go ahead and live in your conspiracy theory. I don't care, And you can go ahead and convince yourself that you know Connor Stallions is the reason they won. Yeah, I'm gonna go with no. They're gonna give Washington's offense problems, and virtually nobody gives Washington's
offense problems. And you're gonna watch mondy night and go, jeez, Washington's facial little pressure, Washington seems to be off, and you're gonna look up and realize this has never been about an iPhone's shaky video and hand signals. This Michigan team is one great college receiver away from being an Alzheimer. This is a really good football team. Thank you to the committee for not bending a knee for a team that's deserving on a third quarterback. Let them play somewhere else.
Let's get what does deserve being mean? Remember there's only four playoff spots. There's five conferences plus Notre Dame. The structure of this playoff was always we could have six undefeated teams and four spots. Esthetics matter, Optics matter.
Always have.
The very foundation of college football's playoff is four spots, five conferences plus Notre Dame. It's how you look, especially at the end of the season, and these teams looked really good. You know what, Texas losing. What it told you was the SEC team was the weakest team in it. So Michigan and Washington win and Texas thumped Alabama in Tuscaloosa.
So how about that.
The SEC not only is not in the championship, they had the weakest and I do believe that their offense is one dimensional with Jalen Milroe, Bama SEC had the weakest team in the playoff.
Wow day one a night. And I've said this.
I didn't grow up in Texas, but I've always had an affinity for Sark and the Longhorns. Great program. They'll be back their nil. Their collective is raises a lot of money. Sark's good coach. The SEC is a different ballgame. Nobody's gonna go undefeated in the SEC anymore, and nobody's going undefeated in the Big Ten. I don't care how good Michigan is. You got to go out to Seattle, Eugene, La Columbus. Nobody's going undefeated in these conferences anymore. And
that's okay. You'll be able to lose. Now if you're a Big Ten or an SEC team. You could lose two games and still get into the tournament if you're if they're the right two games you lose on the road close to a you know, an Oregon or an LSU. But I you know undefeated. Boy, that that seems highly unlikely. Highly unlikely.
God, I love college football.
Former NFL scout John Middelkoff who has the podcast a very popular podcast at the volume three and out. Let's start with Miami Baltimore for a lot of reasons. You know, you add an extra week into the regular season of the NFL. I was not a fan of it. I have defended Thursday night football though. I don't think a lot of veteran players are ready to go. But here we are teams falling apart. Miami Chubb probably out for the playoffs, to a banged up Howard the defensive back,
banged up. You know, here you go to last weekend, you feel pretty good. You know. Baltimore is a little like San Francisco. They pound you. You come out of these games against the Niners or the Ravens, and I look at what is Miami today. They're gonna be a wild card team, A real possibility of that what to you, because I got thoughts on Dallas just isn't close to the team that I thought they should have lost to Detroit. What's Miami to you today?
Well, to me, I think they are a one and done team in the playoffs, you know, assuming they lose to Buffalo, which I'm sure you and I know I'm gonna take Buffalo next week. Yes, and that's a team that's you know, obviously trending in the right direction. You know what sucks for Miami is they were having an awesome season for them, right, They're not like some powerhouse franchise over the last couple of decades, and now it all comes unravel. And here's the thing. What has been
their downfall when they've played good teams? Now, they didn't take care of business last week against Dallas right after Dak let them on that drive, they drove and they won the game. But today they were manhandled like that was a difference in class. And here's the thing with the you know, not winning the division. Do you like this team on the road in Kansas City? Do you like this team on the road in Buffalo? Like this is not even an indictment on McDaniel. Intua. It's the
history of the franchise. They don't play well in weather Like listen, Kansas City's comfortable playing these twenty five twenty games. They'll do it all day long and say come on into Arrowhead. You're not gonna beat us, because that's that's got the three six written all over it, right or however the seeding breaks down now maybe I guess depending on how it breaks, could they I guess if they lost next week, they wouldn't even be the five, they'd
be the sixth seed. So you'd be looking at going on the road in Kansas City, and I don't think there's a soul that's gonna pick them, and they would be, you know, a one and done team, which sucked because they really did make some good strides. I do think big picture, you got Fangio, you keep improving the roster like they're not going away. But like, physicality is a huge part of this league, and the Niners, who are clearly one of the more physical teeths, got shoved around
by the Ravens. And today was did that look like Alabama playing cal Paly or something to that.
I know what John think about this. In the last twenty years. Who has dominated the NFL. New England cold weather team, Baltimore has been a great team, cold weather outdoor team San Francisco. It's the Bay Area, but it's Chile. You get some in the late New Year. It's Wendy and Chile. You don't see think about the warm weather teams.
Brady goes down to Tampa quickly. But there is there is an argument that the Philadelphias and the Baltimore's and the New England's, you know, it's it's and I'm not saying warm weather dome teams can't be really really good. But we've watched Buffalo, Cincinnati, Kansas City, New England, you know, and I and Baltimore and the AFC and the Steelers have underperformed the last ten years. They've still been viable. So I do think there is something. I mean, John,
there's no question. I live in California. When I go on the road a forty seven degree day, I'm like, get me out of here. What is going on? When you play in Miami. It's not a criticism, it's a reality. I just don't trust them on the road.
In jam We'll think about two of the better organizations with Drew Brees and the Saints and Peyton Manning and the Colts over the last couple decades were not great outdoor teams. You know, in the playoffs, right, they had to be in a confined environment to have their best opportunity. And they had Drew Brees and Peyton Manning right, just because the culture of your franchise offensive cultures both those two teams right. Look at Miami and today was less
about Miami. I didn't think they were gonna win. Was much more to me about Baltimore, who now checks all the boxes of a super Bowl level team. They have a super Bowl winning coach, they have a quarterback who's gonna win the MVP and is playing the best football of his career. I texted with a buddy who's on the staff after they kicked the Niners ass, and he's like, I don't think people quite understand how good this defensive coordinator is. He's like a boy genius. He's pretty special.
And so they have incredible coaching, great talent. Nailed some draft picks. I mean, Zay Flowers looks like Hilriek junior. The personnel department has always been top notch. What happened last year trade for Roquan Smith, leading tackler in the NFL. They have guys on that defense on their front four that aren't sexy, huge TJ Watt, JJ Watt and Nick Boston. You don't even beside Clowney. They're not famous group. They dominate so and that's always kind of been their thing
upfront physicality. We know they can run the ball. Now Lamar's throwing like this, I think the pressure, uh listen. I think the two to one seeds is super Bowl or bust. Like anything less than a Super Bowl championship for the Niners or the Ravens is gonna feel like a letdown. Now, you would say in the AFC, just playing Kansas City, who has championship medal Buffalo, if they win with Josh Allen that they're gonna be a tough out. It's still to me a little harder in the AFC
than it will be for San Francisco. But I think Baltimore is clearly the heavy favorite right now.
Yeah, you know, And I gotta be honest with you.
Whenever I see this on the internet, and I don't mind when fans do this, I not that my standard for fans. Fan is short for fanatics, So when fans want to get all fiery, I have no problem with it. And I see the media to this stuff. You know, if I want Baltimore, I'm really happy for Baltimore and Lamar Jackson. I had real doubts he was skinny and ran too much. And my takeaway is, I don't know
if it's going to work in the pros. If these GM if there was a secret to successful quarterbacks, then seventy seven percent of drafted quarterbacks round one through seven wouldn't fail.
Like nobody knows.
I mean outside of Andrew Luck, Trevor Lawrence, Joe Burrow, Elway Marino. It's like, you don't know. But I will say this. I think one of the things I really and I can explain it with Lamar. He was so magnificent stylistically and so unique that people just don't know what to do with players like that. I grew up with a player named George Gervin in the NBA. There's never been a player that played like him. The guy weighed I sort of got.
He weighed one.
Hundred and fifty, he was six seven. Everything was a finger roll. He was an All Star for years, but he never got listed among the great because nobody played like George Kurbin. He was this six seven wiry, small school odd game and Alex English led the eighties in the NBA scoring, didn't jump angle angle jump shooter, He didn't make top seventy five team. He led the eighties
and scoring. Yeah, so when you get these players that are so unique, we don't know what to We don't know what to do with Lamar, but we have to acknowledge this. He just keeps getting better. He's clearly coachable, and he is the soul of that team. Those he's the opposite of Russ. His teammates love him. I mean they love him.
He to me, you know, for a guy now who's worth two hundred million dollars, still has a humility around him and there's a connectivity to him clearly in the locker room that I think Jalen showed last year that you can't fake that. You either got it or you don't. It comes naturally to you. And like you said, this is why you draft on character, worketh and love of football, because that's how you improve. Like you don't improve, you know what happens the six months when you're not practicing
in the offseason. He's gotten dramatically better. The other conversation on the internet is laughable, is like, I can't believe no one went after him. It's again, the Ravens were never letting him go. Never. It's one of those things like in the NBA with restrictive free agency, why did no one make Austin Reeves an offer? Because the Lakers
are gonna match it. The Ravens weren't trading you, Lamar Jackson, right, And clearly, you know, here's the other thing, young people, The situations financially impact you know, mentally, we get impacted by all sorts of things, and clearly last year threw them off the contract. This is a business, though, and I'm sure we'll talk about Sean Payton and Russell like we're talking a lot of money, So sometimes they get kind of contentious. Last year was weird. They figured it out.
Everything's good, and not only this year, don't you feel just for the next several years, he's kind of come into his own a lot like Mahomes did several years ago. Josh Allten, I mean, he's one of the best players in recent memory.
I remember when Aaron Rodgers was in his prime and Vegas said he was worth eleven points a game. If you look at the Ravens with Lamar twenty eight, a game without him seventeen, so he's worth eleven points. He is Aaron Rodgers in his prime. And what I like about him. Whereas Aaron sort of a finesse player. You know, he throws it off his feet, throws it.
Away if he doesn't like to play.
Lamart has a weird physicality about him, like he kind of likes to get hit. He's kind of physical, and I think players feed off it.
I think he is so much better than he was when he won the MVP and kind of took the league by storm. He's so much under control, you know, for a running quarterback. He feels much more poised now when he's scrambling around because he's scrambling looking to throw. I also think he's always kind of had a knack. When I was in Philly, Michael Vick was kind of reckless. He didn't know how to slide. He went into a
lot of contact and got molly wopped. Lamar's pretty good at like kind of hitting the ground on some runs. He's not trying to be a hero, and no one questions that. Like it's like, Lamar, we got to pick your spots. You're too valuable. And he's just come into his own with his talent. Like I He's gonna have a lot of pressure though in the playoffs because it's home games. He hasn't much had much, you know, postseason success. This team's built to win big. It's a tough place
to play. He's got you know, they kind of get two weeks now. This game doesn't mean anything. Next week you get the two week rest a lot like the forty nine ers, and it's just it's everyone's looking at them, like if you're not in the super Bowl, it's gonna be a major, major disappointment all right.
Time for Sharper Square Chad Millman, CCO, The Action Network. All odds provided by DraftKings. I'm not prone to brag, but I.
Am on a little bit of a heater.
I don't talk about it, don't say it. You're gonna turn yourself into a cooler man. I know.
So listen, there's only two games all year that have made me bitter and losing. I lost a dooint in the Saints game because they hit the crossbar and a kick, and that Colts Raiders game. You told me to stay away. I still contend this morning the Colts was aside.
Whatever whatever.
You know what though, here's the good news. Here's the good news.
You and I were texting and I was begging you to bet the Cardinals, to.
Be my betting daddy, and you did. I did, and it felt good, right, it felt great.
But I you know what's funny, I really I Greg co Sel comes on my show and I told Greg today, I said, Greg, I watch him play, and I'm like, there's not three of him on the planet. I like Kyler Murray. I don't care about his video games. I watch him. I'm like, I wouldn't want to tackle him.
He's just great.
He's just like if you were in a school yard and you're like, who's the guy that nobody can.
Tackle, you'd be like that guy him and Lamar like, I just like him. So all right, let's start. Let's start with this because it's it's a weird week. It's a bad week. You don't have starters. Who really cares.
One of the things a sports gambler told me years ago he loved betting March madness he goes because everybody's in. There's no like, oh, you know, it's a long road trip, like the NBA goes.
NBA. You've got to pick your spots. March Madness.
All games are true. This is the most untrue week of the NFL season, Like who cares? So I would take the Texans minus one and a half against the Colts because basically you're saying to yourself, who do you trust?
Yes, I think c J.
Stroud is better.
Than we think, and I think we all think he's good. I'm gonna take the Texans. I I think c J.
Stroud.
I watch him play. I love his I love his setup, I love his arm strength, I love his accuracy.
I think he's sensational.
Yeah, I had no idea his comp was Jared Goff. I didn't know he would be slightly better than Jared his first year. I thought comp is like he'll become. I'm like, he's Jared Goff with more of a power arm that moves better.
So I like the Texans. Here Sharper square.
Well, Look, we.
Discussed this exact game today, and for those who are listening for the first time on my podcast The Favorites, we will do this segment where we do something called sharp Calls, and we get calls me and my co host Simon Hunter. We'll get calls from professional betters throughout the week who listen to our show on Tuesday and then on Thursday. By Thursday, they've got opinions, and they will call us over the forty eight hours between Tuesday
and Thursday and give us their opinions. This game was completely divided, so the Texans opened as one and a half point underdogs in this game Sunday night. I will tell you right now, it was the first game that I bet the Texans plus one and a half. The wise guys bet at two, They bettered at one, then they better at pick, then they better at Texans minus one. Now it's minus one and a half. So you're I agree the Texans are still the right side. I think CJ.
Strebber last week. I told you I think they're going to clobber the Titans.
They're a better team.
One hundred percent right, they are a better team. Gardner Minshew plays with fire every week.
He has the.
Fourth most turnover worthy throws of anybody in the NFL, behind Josh Jobbs, Desmond Ritter, Daniel Jones, Okay, Shane Steichen just keeps him out of trouble. But when Gardner Minshew has to come back or potentially is in trouble, that's when there's trouble, right, And so you're kind of betting on CJ. Stroud to be better than Gardner Minshew in a post game where every possession is going to matter
on the field. That's what you're doing, totally sharp. Here's why the wise guys might not be on your side, and this is why this game was split in such a good debate today. When you start betting on a team that goes from being an underdog to being a favorite, historically the percentages work against you in terms of covering. So that's why wise guys, when it's at one and a half Texans minus one and a half, they start to walk away and start to think about the Colts.
The second game is Bill Belichick is nothing if not a grudge holder. He wants to win this game so much because his career. I mean, there's like multiple stories out of the Boston Herald Belichick's out. He's told his staff he wants to screw up their draft. He's gonna walk out of here, get the Washington job. He cares so deeply about winning, you think he wants to hand them Michael Pennix or Drake May you want them fifth. I'm just gonna say they they if you watch them
the last three weeks, I mean it. Guess Buffalo. You're like, oh, they're really competing. Oh yeah, they're really competing. I'm gonna take the Patriots minus two and a half at home to beat a listless Jets team.
Yeah, it's totally square. You're stepping in. Look, it's not a game that anybody wants to bet. This all of a sudden is the corner TV game, right, because you're getting a short home favorite, in which the book maker are saying to the squares, come on, I dare you take the short home favorite. Take the team that has been competitive the past few weeks at less than a field goal.
That's what we want you to do.
And if the bookmakers are telling you they want you to do something, then you want to do something else. So the wise guys are going to be on the Jets here. But this is not one of those games where everyone's like, oh, yeah, I gotta take. There is huge edge in the Jets or the Patriots in this game. I will tell you one other thing, and it's interesting for this week because it's applicable for every game Home teams in Division games the past five years forty seven percent against the spread.
That's weird.
Yeah, it's weird. It is.
But then you got to like, look, Colin, there's a million stats and trends that you could sort of layer onto this. Right, you got to think about and it's not applicable in this game, but it will be in others. You can't take every trend and just say, Okay, I'm going to do it. Trends are the handrail on the roller coaster. If you've got an opinion. They might make you feel a little more secure. It can make you
feel like you're making a better decision. It should not be what you base your decision on.
All Right, a game, I like Bills minus three at Miami. Now Chubb and Phillips are out no pass rush against Josh Allen. I think the Bills are a better team. I think they were looking ahead to Miami when they played New England. I thought the Dolphins were awful defensively. I think the reality has hit Miami. They now their defense had a pass rush and not much else, and now it doesn't have a pass rush. Buffalo is a better team. Josh Allen has eaten against Miami like Brian Flores couldn't stop him.
Mike mcdet, they just don't have the personnel.
I'm gonna take Buffalo to win by a touchdown minus three Sharper square.
Most interesting game on the board. I'll tell you right now it's square. But I will also tell you and I and our best friend Simon, we're making an executive decision on this. We're going to be in the fox hole together. We like the Bills in this spot. Let me give you some interesting stats.
I did Tyreek Hill by the way, house burns down midweek. Look, so i'll mention you tell me that's not disrupt.
Listen, you mentioned Chubb, You mentioned the injuries on the defensive side of the ball. Tyreek Hill has been playing injured. Waddle has been playing injured. I do think I am not a guy who believes that there are emotional storylines that can be hindrances, because these guys are professionals. But look, Tyreek Hill, there was video from practice. He did not look like it looked like he was taking this as he should, which is scary and something that can be
a distraction. Right, I agree with you in every respect on this game. Here's something cool October second. So on October second, Buffalo was minus one point forty to win the AFC East. Miami was plus one thirty eight. On December third, two months later, Buffalo plus I let me got my glasses on here because I want to make sure you'd it right. I didn't know you were gonna.
Ask me this question.
So it just just happens to be Buffalo plus fifteen hundred to win the AFC East, Miami minus four hundred. Okay, So basically, for those listening, you don't know, Buffalo was such a long shot that they were not even a consideration to win the AFC East. Miami was so much was expected to win so easily that you had to spend so much money if you wanted to bet on them. Right now, Buffalo has the shortest odds it's had all season, minus one sixty five to win the AFC East.
It has been a roller coaster.
What's amazing is Buffalo could end up being the best team in the NFL right now, and if they don't win this game, they might not make the playoffs.
Okay, now we do a dumpster dive, but since most of the schedules dumpster die, Yes, I want to end this week with Michigan and Washington. So I took Washington money line against Texas, and I took Michigan against Bama, went to and Oh. I do think Michigan matches up much better against Washington. They don't give up cheap, over the top touchdowns, and I do worry Kaylin de Boor is a remarkable coach with extra time. They don't have extra time. So now you've got to play back to
back against a superior team. Washington heavily penalized, Michigan never penalized. The older team is Michigan. They're the better team. They have seven blowouts. Washington just keeps winning narrowly. I'm a Husky. I'm out down to Washington, but I think Michigan wins this game by a touchdown. I would swallow the four four and a half all odds provided by DraftKings Sharper Square.
I don't have a strong opinion.
I haven't gotten that much intel in the market of whether or not the wise guys are going to be on the Huskies gonna be on the Wolverines. I don't want to mislead you in any way with that. I don't disagree with your assessment. And look, I love this Washington team. I've like I went to Indiana. I'm a huge fan of Michael Pennix. Like the only time we've been relevant since I graduated college was when Michael Penix was playing quarterback for half of three seasons because he
couldn't stay healthy. I think the guy got job not getting the Heisman. You put someone with that record, those stats, the gauntlet of teams that he played in the SEC, or the Big Ten or even the ACC, He's winning the Heisman hands down, I think it's I think he got robbed completely.
But I do agree with you. Like this Michigan team.
They are unafraid and they beat people up and at the line of scrimmage, they are just so freaking physical.
It is really daunting.
And there is nothing like that in the past twelve and there is that is something that Alabama was used to seeing, like something that combination of speed and physicality that doesn't exist in the Pac twelve. So I do think that it'll be a quarter of Washington being like, oh, even on film, we thought it was different, but it's different when you're playing it. So I can't give you a specific side, but I do like your analysis.
All Right, my man, you don't want to bet the Giants.
You don't want to bet the Panthers, you don't want to bet the Titans.
Ough gross. I will say this. I took the Giants against the Rams. You know I've said this before. I think Tyrod Taylor is the best backup.
In the league. That's my opinion. So what's the number? This week?
The Giants were at five five and a half. I like the Giants. A buddy of mine we were talking about Tyrod Taylor and he used a great analogy. He said, Tyrod Taylor is like nineteen at the blackjack table. You're not going to get excited about it. You got a pretty good chance at winning, but there's still a chance you can lose, but you're comfortable with it.
You feel like you got a shot. Yeah.
I thought that was brilliant and I'm stealing it and I'm giving it to you and I want you to steal it. It is exactly who Tyrod Taylor is. So I think, Look, the Giants are more competitive with him.
They will want to win this game. They will blitz.
The Eagles offensive line is in really struggling right now. They're play calling you struggling. AJ Brown is struggling. There's something going on. We have seen it all year long with this locker room. So I'll be playing the Giants and I will definitely playing the Tennessee Titans plus five and a half.
I'm not even gonna talk about that. I can't. They're unwatchable.
You can talk about Arizona and Seattle.
Yeah, but I love Kyler Murray, so I love watching them playing. I love watching Kyler Murra love him, I really do. Connor's great there running back Kyler. I can watch them all day. Tennessee is like walking past the construction site. It's just loud, overbearing. I can't get out of it fast enough. It's just gross, clanking, nothing good about it.
What about Minnesota Detroit, That's another one, fascinating.
I stay away, you know again, it's it's what's Detroit playing for. I don't like those. I don't like these games where I wouldn't be shocked. Two series, Detroit lead seven nothing and they sit all their starters. They just wanted their guys to get practice.
That's why you're taking Minnesota in that game, ugh, Nick Mullins. Nick Mullins lit him up. Listen, Nick Mullins is the epitome of gambling. If Tyrad Taylor is you know, comfortable nineteen, Nick.
M he was a fourteen.
Nick Mullens is hidden on sixteen.
That is, Nick Mullins is hidden on sixteen when and the dealer is showing twenty like you are just going for it.
Yeah, but you know what a sixteen is in blackjack. You're embarrassed, you're holding, but you know you have to or the table disrespects you. But you literally feel like I've lost all my testosterone. I mean you literally every time I have a sixteen, I'm like, you got to hit a sixteen, but you can't because you're being judged at the table by all the smart people.
And that's how Nick Marlins plays.
Yeah, I think he's a twelve is what he is. It's like you want to hit it, but not supposed to.
Wow, all right, fine, all right buddy, And then taught to you later
The volume