Colin Cowherd Podcast - TNF Reaction, Eagles Sustainability, Vikings, Sharp Or Square

Go download game Time right now. And it's not just for football, baseball, playoff games, comedy shows, concerts all across the country. Download the game Time app and use the redeem code Colin Coln twenty dollars off your first purchase. Terms apply again. Download the game Time app. The redeem code is calling. That's my name, co l i N

twenty dollars off. If you do that, no matter where you live, get out and have some fun this weekend, baby, Download the game Time app today, last minute tickets, lowest prices, guarantee game Time. Hi, everybody, welcome into the Thursday Night Friday Morning Podcast. Chad Milman, Sharp or Square coming up. I know you love that. I had a rough week. Looking to bounce back. I love my picks this week. I loved them last week. What can I say, I

know a lot of people. You know, you watched Philadelphia tonight and it wasn't the most appealing game. But I'm a big believer in sustainability, Like can you do things and repeat things over and over? You know, always making a lot of money in your life and having a great job is not usually sustainable. Living below your means, investing, being fruit goals, spend less than you make is sustainable. I tell my kids that all the time. Just get into patterns, be prepared for bad times, and so when

they hit, you don't have to change your lifestyle. And Philadelphia the way they won tonight, dominating the line of scrimmage, that's sustainable for sixteen weeks. Fifteen weeks, that's a great offensive line getting over the top plays. Some teams, the smart teams like New England just took that away. They just don't want you to go over the top track meet teams. Miami tends to be that. Dolphins looks like a little bit of a track meet team. Now their

games are wildly entertaining against the Chargers. You're not going to get that every week. That's not sustainable, right, Like Tyreek Hill banged up Jalen waddle out. You face a team with good pressure, Tua gets hit. He's been injury prone. But the way the Philadelphia Eagles won tonight and it was ugly, is incredibly sustainable. Dominate the line of scrimmage. You know, this is not college football. Kirk Cousins, Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, Osbourne. They got dudes too, a couple good

edge rushers. Minnesota's got dudes too, but Philadelphia hasn't really played that well offensively. It's very rare that you can go on the road. Last week, the Eagles go on the road, get out played in the second half and win tonight. Choppy, turbulent first half, didn't pass the ball effective early and won. They had a nine minute drive at one point and didn't score. Totally sustainable. You're laying Johnson's Kelsey Jason Kelcey best center in football. Probably you

can do that every weekend. And you know, if you go back and look at New England's dynasty, and I you know, I was loving Connecticut during the last ten years of it, or a big chunk of the last ten years of it. There were the Randy Moss years where they were winning shootouts and blowing people out. But a lot of times in New England during that dynasty, just in the AFC, Baltimore had better personnel many years,

so did the Steelers. Colts had equal personnel. They didn't always have the best teams, but if you remember, they always got great offensive line play with their coach Dante Scarnekia with Brady, they were very good pre snap. They were great at getting pressure not always sacks, but pressure on opposing quarterbacks under Bill Belichick, and they got turnovers.

They were outplayed in a lot of big games Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Colts, Denver, and they just found ways to win by being very good pre snap, good special teams, a big situational play late, sometimes a trick play with Julian Edelman. That's sustainable New England. If I could define their dynasty, they were the smartest team in the league. Brady really smart, Belichick a brilliant defensive coach. They were not always the most talented. Smart

is sustainable. The Randy Moss years are not right. So I look at Philadelphia and they don't look nearly as overpowering as Sanford Cisco did. And I think it's very obvious that without Shane Stiken, the offensive coordinator from last year, formerly with Justin Herbert. Jalen Hurts now he had a very nice debut with Anthony Richardson. He's a brilliant offensive coach. Finally getting a head coaching job with the Colts. You know, they're trying to find their way, trying to find their rhythm.

I think Alan Kirk Herbstreet talked about it tonight. You can just tell they're just not there yet.

misses Brian Dable. I think Jalen Hurts in the first two starts, he misses Shane Steike and they're out of rhythm. A couple of big plays over the top, but basically Nick Sirianni's doing what he should do. Guys, we have arguably the best offensive line in the league. We're just gonna lean into it. Dominate the line of scrimmage, control the clock. So when the other quarterback comes on the field,

Mac Jones or Kirk Cousins, they can be cold. You know, they've been sitting on the bench for real time, twenty minutes. Maybe it drives nine and a half minutes. That stuff. You can do that every weekend, almost every weekend. So Philadelphia is two to zero, hasn't really played well. There are very few teams in pro football that could play as poorly as the Eagles did in the opener on

the road and win. There are very few teams that are struggling offensively to pass the ball can face a team last year that was eleven to zero and one score games the Vikings and win pretty convincingly. So you know, Philadelphia they'll get you know, I just I think they've got too many smart people in the building, the GM, the quarterback, a lot of veteran offensive linemen. They'll figure it out. I didn't think they played part thirty well tonight.

I just thought they dominated the line of scrimmage. Minnesota is gonna draft a quarterback and they're gonna draft a quarterback, I would imagine in the first round. I mean, there's a few things we know. The New York Jets, because Aaron Rodgers got hurt and will not play sixty five percent of the snaps, the Jets retain their first round pick. Be shocked if they don't draft an offensive lineman with

their first pick. The Minnesota Vikings are going to draft soar the Arizona Cardinals, so probably are the Raiders are gonna draft a quarterback in the first round. So I think the Kirk Cousins saying, you know these big TV Thursday night, Monday night, Sunday night standalone games, Kirk Cousins is just bad at him. There's no getting around it. He is just bad. They call certain players teeth clenchers, where they get up tight. Early in Peyton Manning's career,

he had a little bit of that. He was really really intense and wanted another walk through in another practice. And Tony Dungee once told the story where Peyton Manning in his career, on Saturdays was sort of family day, get the families out into practice, and Peyton was like, no, I want up tempo, I want to practice, And Tony would say, no, it's we're okay, We're in a good space. So Peyton was pretty intense early, and I thought it hurt him sometimes in big spots early in his career,

not as much late. I think. I think Kirk's always been that guy. He's got one o'clock games at home, especially, he's money. Get him in these standalone spots, he's not as good. So the Green Bay Packers and Detroit looked very good in the NFC North Minnesota zho to two, but a better draft spot and they need a quarterback long term. Philadelphia ugly to and zero. They'll take it. Football is back in full swing and another week of absolutely epic games. Who's got you covered for every single

one of them. Draft King Sportsbook an official sports betting partner of the NFL. New customers can bet five bucks that's at five bucks on football and get two hundred dollars instantly in bonus bets. Nobody's missing out on action this year. All Draft King customers all can take advantage of two new offers every game this September. Get in on the NFL Week two action with a Draftking sports Book. Download the app now use the code Colin that's me, Colin.

To sign up, new customers can bet just five bucks and take home two hundred dollars instantly in bonus bats only on draftking sports book code Colin Coli n the crown is yours. All right. Had a couple of people at the gym come up to me and say, Hey, you doing sharpened square And I said, it's sharp or square, not sharp and square. Or I'm the or square. He's the sharp before the or square. It's Chad Milman's CEO Action Network. All odds provided by DraftKings.

believes they can win this division. I think Tampa's going to figure out fairly quickly. They are what they are. I think there's absolute urgency. I think the Bears at home were humiliated. I think they'll be totally focused. If there's any rushing props for Justin Fields take them. I think he's gonna be able to kind of work this defense and move around a little. I'm gonna take Chicago plus two and a half. It feels like that's not what the Sharps want me to do, but I'm gonna do it anyway.

making for week two. And that's a mistake that a lot of people make. There's a stat I can give you right now. Since twenty twelve teams that lost by double digits, the Bears playing against teams that did not lose by double digits, so that team would have to have won the game or lost by less than ten. That's the Buccaneers, the team that lost by double digits on the road since twenty twelve, twenty four and one against the spread. So there are two teams that fit

that criteria this week. The Bears are one of them. And look, there was so much hype on the Bears before the season began, and there was no hype on the Box. So naturally, with the way the Bears got beat and the way the Bucks won, there's going to be a little bit of a flip. This script is going to be flipped. But look, the Bears offense, they had twenty two first downs, they had more time of

possession than the Packers, they had three tonovers and four sacks. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers defense gave up three hundred and forty four passing yards. They gave up six yards per play, not six yards per pass attempt, six yards per play and seven yards per pass attempt. So Minnesota had three turnovers, including Kirk in the red zone late in the first half, that would have put them up seventeen to ten. And

that would have been a different a different game. So I like what we're seeing here with the Bears as underdogs. It's sharp. I've played it, okay.

I'm counting a cover for Arizona as a win. That's how that's how low the expectations were. But they did play a game in which the other team practically gave them the game, and so this is not going to be the same scenario. Brian Dayball is a much better coach. It's a coaching mismatch. Look, they stunk it. They played a team that was just much better at that moment, a really good defense. They didn't have the right game plan. You can came up with all the excuses whatever you want.

At the end of the day, the scenario here is you take the Giants.

City's defense, I don't know about anybody else. They got a consistent pass rush without Chris Jones and oh, by the way, the Lions O line is good and they were in Jared Goff's face. I think this is one of these. I've seen these two teams play twice last year. The gap is bigger. It wasn't closed in one off season. I'm going to take Kansas City minus three and a half and I think they win by a touchdown.

and a half, it was a pass. Like I didn't want to play Kansas City as more than a field goal favorite on the road because then you start getting into trends that go against Patrick Mahomes. So the wise guys liked it at two and a half, they liked it, Okay, at three, it's a pass. At three and a.

believe it. Chargers minus three. What say you sharper square one.

first thing you said, it's a coaching mismatch. And so why would you lean into a coach who in two seasons of coaching has not proven any ability to put his team in a position to win with the kinds of decisions that he makes. He has more talent at the offense on the offensive side of the ball. Colin, you preach this all the time. I listened to your fabulous radio show. One of your primary theories defensive coaches with offensive genius players is not a good match, right?

How many times have you said that? And so all of a sudden, we're leaning into Brandon Staley on the road as a favorite against a much better football coach, against a defensive line than's good. Fierce Jeffrey Simmons is an All Pro caliber player, and Mike Rabel, by the way, one of the best underdog coaches in the NFL twenty four to nine and one as an underdog of three or more, including this past week against the Saints. There's a handful of coaches that every professional better is thinking

about when they are looking to bet. Mike Vrabel, John Harbaugh, Mike Tomlin, Andy Reid, Bill Belichick. Those are the guys that you want to be betting on as underdogs.

They hung with Atlanta. I think Carolina is the side plus three sharper square.

three ticket, four tickets. But you could have one ticket that is worth one hundred thousand dollars and ten tickets that are worth ten dollars, and the number of bets will not equal the number of money. Money is usually an indicator of what professional betters are doing. Bets are an indicator of what the public, the squares are doing. The bets in this game are on the Saints. The money in this game, by a two thirds majority, is on the Panthers. And it's because of what you just said.

You've got a division game, you got a home dog, prime time. It sets up nicely. That's why they're betting the Panthers. It's not because they believe in Bryce Young. It's not because they think the Panthers are very good. Their defense did not play great. And it's not because the Saints are so amazing either, right like Tannehill looks a little bit washed, and yet they barely beat that Tennessee team. They needed some turnover. So it's purely sort of number play.

lead and never looked back. Washington's defense is good. They're good.

And it fell apart because Russell Wilson started to lose a little bit of steam and so it's a very challenging game. I think that Washington's roster is not as good as the Las Vegas roster. I think that this is a huge coaching mismatch. I think Jimmy g is better than Sam Howe, and I think that I would expect a different kind of scheme from Sean Payton now that he's seen what Russell can do over the course of a game when other teams are adjusting. Also, I'm

still a big believer in Denver's defense. I think it's a really good defense. Washington, to me, was a terrible team. Like if Arizona has anything more serviceable than a quarterback who who still did not know the names of his teammates because he had signed two weeks earlier, they probably lose that game. So for me, this game is a pass like. I'm not interested the line has moved in Denver's direction from three to three and a half. That's more of a wise guy play than a public play.

But I like your sentiment. I like that you're thinking about betting ugly betting the NFL. Winning the NFL means betting bad quarterbacks, but here you got two bad quarterbacks and not a lot of a lot of edge.

ways to win. I thought New England out played Philadelphia for big chunks of that game, and I would take the points with New England here, Sharper.

that game, and they were the better team. They were the better defense. Mac Jones looked pretty good at times. Bill O'Brien put him in the right positions to succeed. Down to the end. They had a chance to win that game. It's if a phantom holding call on a two point CONVERSI kept them from covering that game, Colin, I can't even talk about like I got to tell you for about I had the Pats and for about twenty four hours until the Jets won, thank god, and I had the Jets. I was kind of sick to

my stomach. I couldn't.

you lose, you lose. But I will tell you that we do these luck rankings at Action where basically you take out the noise, you level the playing field, you take out the random penalties, you take out the turnovers, and you come up with what we call the luck rankings that basically determines the luckiest teams on a week to week basis and you aggregate it so it's the luckiest team over the course of a season. The Eagles and the Lions were the two luckiest teams in Week one.

The Eagles barely beat the Patriots. I know what I saw. The Patriots are a really good team. The Patriots are getting a very overhyped Dolphins team that needed a lot of help from the opponent to win on the road. Two is not going to throw for five hundred yards again. I hope Tyreek Ko has another huge day. I got him at nine to one to lead the league in receiving yards. But I think the Patriots are the right side here.

Seattle loses ugly to the Rams, Like this is an over hyped game, This is an inflation game in terms the line is higher than it should be. Like, you have to take Seattle here, There's just no question about it. You're gonna bet a quarterback that might make you uncomfortable. You're gonna be upset that the tackles aren't playing. But the Tritch defense is just not as good as it should be for a team to be favored by five

and a half some places six. So you gotta suck it up and you gotta bet Seattle, all right.

your picks and say, okay, I'm two and three. But that Patriots game, like I analyzed that the right way. I would have been three and two if not for some bad luck. So I felt better about myself.