Colin Cowherd Podcast - Rodgers "Darkness" Plan, Super Bowl "Sharp or Square" with Chad Millman

and download the fan Duel app today. Start making every moment more during Super Bowl fifty seven, all right, everybody, Chad Millman in about eight to ten minutes, sharper square. It's really really interesting. He's got a bet a prop. And I'm not a big prop fan. He's got a field goal prop. I love. I think I'm gonna bet it. I want to start with this. Aaron Rodgers announced that after the Super Bowl he is going to isolate for

four days in the dark. He said multiple friends have done it in a tiny house, some more probably in the woods, where he is going to get as close to Aaron Rodgers as he can and that hopefully fundamentally, through meditation, through isolation, he will come out with an answer on what to do with his life. You know, my takeaway is I like meditation. I don't think people, as a rule give themselves enough time. We give our time to our kids, our spouses, our friends, our job.

We don't give ourselves enough time to just heal, decompress. So I'm a big believer in meditation. I try to do it a couple times a week or more. After my show, I go into a dark room for about forty five minutes and just close my eyes. Sometimes I turn on a sleep app sometimes music. Sometimes I just close my eyes. I think it's really healthy. Now. The messenger Aaron Rodgers is unique. I think a lot of

people do this. A lot of artists do it, maybe not as many farmers, maybe Midwest people think it sounds too Hollywood. But it's the strange part. Isn't what he's doing. I wouldn't be comfortable for four days in total darkness. But I think the strangest part about it he's a star quarterback and we're just not accustomed to that. You know, we tend to like our athletes. We don't like to think of them as lost or trying to find themselves.

We like them to know where they're going, where they're headed, straight ahead, strong, alpha, powerful, and that doesn't mean you can't be that if you're Aaron Rodgers and go hide for four days. I just think he is a person

that we don't identify as somebody that would do that. Now, I do think Aaron is single, never married, no kids, really rich, and as Bill Simmons and I have discussed before, I've known people in the media as they get older, never married, no kids, get odd and they become the center of their universe and it's all about finding themselves and about them themselves, me my journey, how do I

manifest it. It's a little obnoxious, but I think the bigger issue here is it's quarterback for an really popular NFL team, and it just sounds different and we're not really accustomed to it or used to it. So I'm all for meditation though, whatever it takes. I just I don't think we give enough time to ourselves. You know, I see people with four and five kids. They're like

taxi drivers, they're uber drivers. They're all weekend long. They're shuttling their kids to this, They're shuttling their kids to that. And my takeaways, when do you give yourself time you don't, and so I wish all of us. I think people would be happier, less angry if they just chilled out, cut their days in half, meditate every day. Now, I know that's unrealistic for a lot of people, but it's not unrealistic for Aaron Rodgers. You know, he has enough season.

Even in season, he's you know, you've been doing this for a long time. You don't have to teach Aaron a lot. He gets a game plan, He comes equipped every meeting with institutional knowledge. So it's it sounds kookier than it is for young people of financial means. I think a lot of people do this. They go on journeys and they go on escapes and you know, the ayahuasca stuff. I'm in my fifties. That sounds like crazy town to me. This married kids career sounds like crazy

town for me and my life. But people think I beat up on Aaron all the time. But he's a different cat. That's okay. Not every quarterback is the same. Sum are big, summer tall, some run, some don't, summer pocket, Some are mobile, and some are ethereal. Some meditate, some don't. I mean Russell Wilson's personality is way different than Tom Brady and Peyton Manning and Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers is much different than all four of those guys as well.

It's okay shape sizes personalities. It's okay to be different. Odd for me to do it. I mean, I'll be honest with you. Not that I'm scared of the dark, but I don't think I have to discover much like I think I know what I am and where I'm going. I think after about three hours, i'd be like, and I give myself time. I think i'd be like, all right, I'm hungry. I want to go in the light and

get a yogurt. So I was told by a source that i'd trust and have known for a long time, somebody that has a lot of connections through the world

of sports and the world of agents. He's very connected to agents that as Laker fans bag on Rob Polinka for not pulling the trigger on a Kyrie Irving move, that Joe Sigh, the owner of the Brooklyn Nets, was so pissed off at Kyrie Irving that he signed him to a contract, believed in him, trusted him, committed to him, did everything he asked and was so infuriated with Kyrie's vaccine stant not playing through injuries, how he had disrupted and turned this hardened Kyrie k D situation into a

mess that he refused. He would not trade Kyrie to the Lakers and Lebron, not because he hated the Lakers, because he refused to let Kyrie go where he wanted to go. He was not going to let it happen. And so listen, I've been very hyper critical of the Lakers for years. I don't think institutionally they run very well. I mean, in the last ten years, nine of them

they've been bad. And then there was the bubble year, which is kind of an outlier odd year that they They don't have a lot of assets because they gave up a ton when Lebron first got there to get a D. Now they gave up KCP and Kuzma, Montrez Harald to get Westbrook. They just don't have any assets. But this was about Joe si the owner of Brooklyn, so ticked off at Kyrie, irving that he didn't care he was not going to be a Laker. Listen, this

stuff happens. Billionaires hold grudges. I just saw the other day where the Phoenix Suns have a new owner who owns a mortgage company, and everybody voted in favor of the new owner, and the Cleveland Cavaliers abstained in voting. Why because the Cavaliers owner, Dan Gilbert, owns another mortgage company, and so you know it's their rival mortgage companies. So it's okay, Like you just have to come to terms with Billionaires are aggressive, they can be very territorial, and

in this instance, I don't blame the owner of the nets. Listen, I understand I don't like mandates, even with COVID, I'm not a set at one hundred times on the air. I'm not a fan of mandates. I think people should be able to do with their body what they choose to do, even if it's ill advised or misguided. And I got the vacks and one booster, I'm done getting all of it. I've done it at this point. If I get it, I get it. I no longer wear masks.

I don't think they're hyper effective. So what's the point unless I told I have to? But if I hired an employee at the volume big compensation, you're part of a team and you covered the NFL and you refused to work the NFL playoffs, I would be upset. I'd probably be semi bidder. And so you can't blame KD for this mess. He's been the best player. You can blame Hardened for it, but he came in out of shape to begin with. So that's sort of on the Brooklyn nets. And he had a history of difficult to

play with. But Kyrie was the fascinating piece because he had played so brilliantly at times with Lebron James, and though he didn't work as the go to star in Boston long term, he was very good as a teammate with Lebron James and as a teammate to Kevin Durant. You could make the argument it was going to be a pretty compelling team in the East. The Hardened thing, come on, I wouldn't have made that move. I get it. The KD thing, He's been pretty good, hurt, but pretty good,

great some nights. Kyrie was the essential piece and he blew it up. I get it. Like I know, the NBA is pro player and I'm okay with that too, But there is also a responsibility by the player to not have to be a hundred percent to play every night. You know, the great Kobe Bryant understood that there's a lot of kids. It's their only time they're going to see you this year, the next year. And I think Kyrie the criticism he's received as completely utterly justified. And

you can't blame KD. He's been mostly great. And you can't blame Harden because he came in out of shape to begin with, and we knew his history. He couldn't play with people right. Kyrie did play very well with Lebron and they put a lot of trust in him, and he blew it up. Owners pissed. You're not going to the Lakers and you're not going to play with le Braun period this year. The only app you need it your Super Bowl party is FanDuel, America's number one

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for six seven three six nine In New York, tennessee Redline one hundred eight eight nine nine seven eight nine Tennessee visit one eight hundred gamble dot in West Virginia, Let's bring in Chad Millman, Sharper Square Ceco Action Network. All odds provided by FanDuel. So the E goals minus one and a half of the favorite. So I'm gonna lay out who I like and why and I and I say this with no real conviction because I think

it's a cliche. Now Philadelphia's got more good players, but I get Andy Reid and mahomes off a bye, virtually unbeatable. But I'm gonna throw this out because I really felt strongly about Philadelphia early. But I don't want to outthink the room. But you do get more information that Warren Sharp on social media today put out a graph of Jalen Hurts pre injury and Jalen Hurts post injury. Post injury, he throws no deep balls and nothing to the right.

Steve Spagnola has been in this game for two decades or more. He knows exactly that before I saw it. So Hurts is not the same player. He is not MVP Hurts. He is hurt and limited. Jalen Hurts. I thought against the Niners he had no touch. The short stuff was low, the deep stuff was long. I thought he played really poorly. Now the Niners defense has a lot of say in that, but he was absolutely off or as I thought, Mahomes with a severe injury looked great.

So you know, rest is that. You know, I thought he looked fantastic, mostly against Cincinnati. So as we get closer to the game, I think to myself, am I gonna bet against Andy Reid and to buy with Mahomes against a quarterback who could be planted about seventy percent? It's hard, you know. I like dogs. I'd probably take Kansas City in the points. Sharper Square remains to be seen, Colin, because of what you just said. I'm not trying to waffle.

It's a really interesting game, but wise guys came all in on the Eagles as soon as this line opened. The line opened Eagles plus one and a half for the record. Sunday night, sitting on my couch, here in Connecticut, you remember beautiful West Herford. I go into my phone, I'm a fan to a lap. I bet the Eagles plus one and a half. Fifteen minutes later it's Kansas City plus two and a half. All the money came in on the Eagles. It's pretty much settled down. Like

it got up to two. Is that two? For four or five days? Now it's at one and a half. Wise, guys brought back a little on Kansas City. The recommendation I would give if you want to bet the Eagles, give it a few days because over the next four or five days that is when the public is going to come in on Kansas City. That is what books are expecting. You'll be able to get the Eagles at minus one pick whatever it is. You won't get them at his Dog again, but you'll get them at pick.

So if you like the Eagles, wait a few minutes. If you like the Chiefs, take them now. You're going to get both sides of it that. I've heard more professionals liking the Eagles because of the roster that you just talked about, but they are all very wary right now that theber his stateward is that it hasn't gone back up to two because they're waiting. They're waiting to see how Jalen Hurts performs and practices over the week. And until that happens, every bet I'm making is about

something else. It's about total, it's about MVP. It's about rushing props. It's player props, it's officiating props. It's everything but decide because it's really hard to handicap it. Right now, I would probably take thee over, and again, I generally like dogs and unders because the masses take thee over. But fifty and a half, I think my takeaway is Philadelphia, since they're such a hot starting team at one point, could lead in this game, and that means Mahomes will

throw more. In fact, I think Mahomes will throw over forty times a game. He can go deep, he can go seem, he can go short, they can go clever. Andy read by fifty and a half seems like a reasonable over bet to me. Sharper square, totally sharp. That's what the sharps are doing. The money has been coming in on the over. It was at fifty for about fifteen seconds on Sunday Night, got bet down to forty nine. And a half and since then the money has all

been on the over all professional money. You know, for the Super Bowl. Early money is professional money because the public there's so much build up. It really comes to a crescendo as you get into Friday, Saturday, Sunday. So this number has moved from forty nine and a half back to fifty fifty and a half fifty one. It will get to fifty one and a half fifty two by the game. I think at fifty two is when

wise guys are going to start buying the under. Most of them haven't power rated about fifty one fifty one and a half, so they're still they're still buying a little bit of the over. I'm gonna say this. I'm gonna say one thing. I bet the under. And i know I'm on the wrong side of this, like from a professional perspective, but it speaks to how you think about the game. The Eagles have the best sack rate in the NFL, the best pressure rate in the NFL.

They are elite against number one receivers. They have an offensive line that has two Hall of Famers and is a dominant rush game. If you like the Eagles here, then you have to think about the fact the game script is going to and Jalen Hurst's maybe heart. So you have to think about the fact, are they going to dominate the Chiefs offensive line? Are they going to dominate the Chiefs defensive line? Are they going to control the ball? Are they going to keep Patrick Mahomes off

the field. All that to me says you take the under, And I can't understand why the professionals love the over as much as they do. Sometimes I feel strongly about the way a game will look Georgia TCU. I thought TCU emptied the emotional bag against Michigan. I thought they'd get crushed against Georgia and they did. That one was easy to read. College is often easier. I do feel something though about this game. If you're Andy Reid, you

Philadelphia has trailed rarely. They've been They've been in close games infrequently, even their playoff games or routes. So if I'm Andy Reid with two weeks, I win the coin flip, I take it. I want to score first. I also my fear if I'm Andy Reid, is they bleed us. They run the ball we can't stop, and Mahomes sits on the bench, so I can see Kansas City going, We're gonna unload some exotics early. We're gonna we want to play with the lead. Now, Mahomes leading or trailing

is the same quarterback. The numbers show you it's he. That's why he's the best. A score is irrelevant, it's not irrelevant. Jalen Hurts playing behind doesn't feel like the same quarterback playing with a lead. So the first half spread. I believe Kansas City feels it's essential to play in front, so Philadelphia cannot lean on a profound running game. Kansas City's running game is hit and miss. I don't think Philadelphia feels like if we don't get a lead, we

have to alter the way we play. So that makes me feel like Kansas City will be dynamic early in this game. Is there any line or any belief by the Sharps that justify my feeling. Well, the Sharps like the Eagles in the first half. They like the Eagles on the money line in the first half. They like the Eagles as short favorites. About minus one and a half is some of the numbers I'm seeing right now. You can get them at you can get the Eagles

at minus a half in the first half. The truth is the Eagles are a dominant first half team, and they're even better in the second quarter than they are in the first quarter. And in sixteen wins this year, they were ahead in the first half in fourteen to them. So the game script, I agree with you. The Chiefs get the ball, the Chiefs win the toss. They got

to get the ball and they got to score. But I don't think that scares the Eagles because there's a lot of time and it's not like they're going to have to put the pall in Jalen Hurts's hand at the end of the game if he's injured and defeat a Steve Spagnola Steve Spagnola defense who was so smart and so good at pressuring late in the game. So let's just keep running the ball like it could be ten to seven at the end of the first half and it still is going to be fine for them.

So I'll throw a number at you and just are a theory. So this team was not the same team with Gardner Minshew, and they certainly as a coaching staff, don't think they can win if Hurts gets hurt and Minshew goes gets Patrick Mahomes like they know that right. It's not like Kansas City thinks they can win with Chad Any, But I mean Minshoe with this loaded roster

couldn't win games. So when I look at the over under on rushing yards Jalen Hurts forty nine and a half, I can see them being conservative with Jalen Hurts and saying, hey, listen, we'll run him late if we're forced to, but we're not running him early. I can see them being conservative. I would probably take And by the way, if they did trail rate late, they probably wouldn't run Jalen Hurts anyway, So forty nine and a half rushing yards for Jalen Hurts,

I think I'd take the under. There is that sharper square. Most of the props have been pretty much in line with what the wise guys think they should be. I would say the over is the sharp play again, because people are worried about his shoulder, and you pointed it out at the start of the show. He just looked

wibbily on his throws. Right when he was most effective in that game against the Niners before it was pretty much decided, is when he was running the ball, and that's also when he feels more comfortable, and that's how you start to loosen up a defense to give yourself more opportunities to throw down field when you aren't that comfortable with your accuracy because you might be a little

bit injured. So I lean to the over. But again that reveals my hand a little bit, like when I go through all of my bets and I'm still trying to figure out where do I want to be heavy on a side if at all the other bets I've made are showing me what I really believe, which is I've bet DeVante Smith at thirty one to one to win the MVP. I bet Miles Sanders at twenty five to one to win the MVP. I bet Miles Sanders

to lead the game in rushing. I bet the under, which plays to a positive game script for the Eagles. So everything about me is saying I think I like the Eagles in this game. I'm just having a hard time pulling the trigger on the side. But same with the Jalen Hurts like, I think the Eagles have a dominant offensive line and that's going to help him take advantage of holes in the defense to gain more than forty nine yards, so Kansas City doesn't get blown out

when they're mostly healthy. I think it's been thirty two games since they lost by more than four. You can beat them, It's it's the way Buffalo and Cincinnati did. You can beat them. It's narrow. A lot of their games are closer than you think, even they're wins. They at times as great as they are. I always had this theory that teams that are brilliant offensively, like the Warriors, they know they're brilliant, and it's hard to be urgent knowing that you can score twenty eight points in about

four minutes. Kansas City. It's almost like sometimes they mahomes experiments, you know, it's like I try something here, so they're in. You know, I don't see Kansas City getting blown out. I can see Philadelphia sort of bleeding the clock. And I think Miles Sanders could be a really really like that. Like, so, what was the line you got on Miles Sanders as MVP. That's a that's a smart take bite. I got Miles Sanders at twenty five to one to win MVP. That's

that feels like a you got a that's a good number. Yeah, it feels like a great number. I got Miles Sanders plus one fifty to lead the game in rushing, and you know the flip side is I also bet Travis Kelsey sixteen to one to win MVP, and like, these are just little flyers, like little darts I'm trying to throw. So I'm covering my bases on everything with small bites to win big, which is not normally what I would do because I just have no feel for the side. I just I cannot see the edge in this game

in any way. Last year, the Bengals were the clear edge, right like it was clear they would decide to bet on as an underdog. I don't have it for this. I just like nobody does. People have an opinion, but there's no edge. Your opinion is based on how you think the game is going to play, not because the math is telling you there's an edge one way or the other. Well, I've thought about making Blazing five Blazing four, and one of the reasons is I think betters are smarter.

There's more information, there's more guys like you giving people information that when I do Blazing five. I've said before, there's two games I love every weekend and one I'm pretty sure about, but I called it blazing five. So I have to find two other games. Honestly, you know what I've you know what I've bet the most on so far in the Super Bowl. Not the sides, not the totals. I'm going to read you my list here I've bet so far. This is my lineup. I've bet on.

Will both teams kick a field goal of more than three three yards? I bet no, And even that, my logic plays to the Eagles winning a game. I think both coaches are aggressive play callers. I think when they're in the red zone and they have an opportunity to score, they're gonna go for it on fourth downs. I don't

think they're gonna take easy field goals. I think when they're on the opposite side of the field and it's fourth and five from the thirty yard line, they're gonna go for it because they know they need to be scoring a lot of points in these games. They don't value the field goal. Harrison Bucker and this is courtesy of Sean Kerner, one of our analysts. Harrison Bucker only kicked the thirty three or more field goal in seven or fifteen games this year forty seven percent of the time.

Jake Elliott only did it in thirty three percent of his games. I'm like, yeah, and every year, by the way, the wise guys they love to bet this field goal prop. It has been for twenty years. I have bet this field goal prop. It consistently cashes. It's a great So the Mahomes factor, you hear this constantly. You just gotta go for it when you face Mahomes. But that's also to me, it's why I played the under, because, Wow, the variants could be massive because they might score more touchdowns.

They also might score fewer points because they're not going for the chip shot field goals, and so there are four point opportunities there on a regular basis. I think that's the best bet I've heard so far. That's my fuck obviously. Well, the Mahomes factor. Mahomes has been so great late in so many big TV games. You almost seem like anti analytics. If you kick field goals, it's like, what are you doing? It's the second quarter you go for it. Totally, It's totally true. Here's another one that

was really fun. This was We talked about this today on the Favorites podcast. Over ten and a half penalties, So Carl Jeffers, who's calling the game, averages more penalties called than just about anybody else. So if you are over ten and a half, then you're actually in an advantageous position versus otherwise playing the under, and there's value on that bet. It's at plus one twenty five right now.

But that's what's fun about the Super Bowl is like, don't forget you don't have to bet the side, like you could find five great bets for Blazon five and not have to pick a side. Of course, you can't do that because you're calling and you get Tom Brady on your podcast breaking news, so you can't go on there and say, bet over penalties, bet you know, will either team kick a field goal of thirty three yards? And bet the know you can't bet like will two and a half, will over two and a half players

for a pass in the game. But I'm telling you right now, my biggest bets are over two and a half play field goals of we'll both teams kick a field goal of thirty three yeards at that know, and the under right now and Sanders most rushing yards in the game. Finally, speaking of Tom Brady. You know what, my wife said, she didn't know I was going to have Tom Brady on because we don't talk about my business.

She didn't care about sports. So when she saw that, Tom Brady announced that he wasn't going to broadcast until twenty twenty four. Take the year off. You know what, My adorable wife said, what you say, why don't you ask Tom if he wants to intern for a year with you and he could figure out the business. And I was like, I don't think I'm gonna ask Tom Brady if he wants to intern for me. I don't know how that would land. I disagree. I think that's

a it's a brilliant idea. And you know what, I might call Tommy and see if he wants to intern the Action Network. How much smarter will he be in twenty twenty four if he knows everything about how gamblers are thinking about the game. Colin, I love this idea. Thank your beautiful wife for me. I'm really looking forward to this. I'll let you know it. If you need to borrow them for like some data entry every once in a while for the volume, I'd totally let you

do it. Okay, I'm gonna give you a score twenty seven, twenty three, twenty eight, twenty three Chiefs, twenty eight, twenty four Chiefs. I would prefer it to be twenty four twenty three because I have the under forty nine and a half and I got the Chiefs at plus two and a half plus one and a half and the Eagles at plus one and a half. So if I can get a game that waits on one in either way that is under forty nine and a half and there's a lot of penalties and Miles Sanders' MVP, I'm Golden.

Chad Millman Action Network. All odds provided by Fan Duel. This was fun, Thanks Buddy, seeing you the volume. Make sure to check out The Draymond Green Show. I brought Draymond Green into the volume because one of the more entertaining voices in sports. Unique perspective understands behind the rope also chops up with guests like Gary Peyton, Zach Levine, Tracy McGrady. Make sure download The Draymond Green Show wherever you get your podcasts, only on the Volume Podcast Network