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The Bayesian Conspiracy

The Bayesian Conspiracywww.thebayesianconspiracy.com
A conversational podcast for aspiring rationalists.
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Episodes

205.ai – The Snake Cult of Consciousness narration

AskWho from the TBC Discord kindly provided full audio narration of Andrew Cutler’s original post! This is taken directly from AskWho’s substack. You can help him out at his Patreon. Many thanks to AskWho for creating this and giving permission … Continue reading →

Feb 07, 202441 min

205 – The Snake Cult of Consciousness

We discuss the idea that human consciousness may have literally been kick-started by a ritual developed by a snake cult, which is surprisingly plausible. The Snake Cult of Consciousness by Andrew Cutler or listen to the original post in audio, … Continue reading →

Feb 07, 20241 hr 57 min

204 – Simulacra Levels with Zvi (and more)

We speak with Zvi Mowshowitz about his work and recent history, what happened at OpenAI, and then really dig into Simulacra Levels – a way to categorize the different types of things people are attempting to do when they say … Continue reading →

Jan 24, 20242 hr 2 min

203 – The Self-Indulgent Episode

Steven and Eneasz just chat a whole lot about random things, and take some listener mail. Topics include: Rationality Quotes, Polyamory, Bostrom, Justice, and Vengeance OTHER LINKS Yassine’s post MonoPoly Restricted Trust TBC 14 – Street Epistemology There Are 4 … Continue reading →

Jan 10, 20242 hr 38 min

202 – The Center for AI Policy talks government regulation

Can we do anything to approach the creation of an artificial super intelligence more cautiously and methodically? Jason Green-Lowe and Jakub Kraus of CAIP think so, and they’re working the government side of the problem. The Center for AI Policy … Continue reading →

Dec 13, 20231 hr 55 min

Bayes Blast 22 – The Penal System

You thought the title was a penis joke? For shame. Steven updates Eneasz on the outcome of the trial he served jury duty on in August. Related Episodes: 196 and 198

Nov 30, 202315 min

201 – The Educated Mind + More with Brandon Hendrickson (part 2)

We talk more with Brandon Hendrickson about his ACX-contest winning book review of The Educated Mind by Kieran Egan. Also discussions of rationality, post-rationalism, and more. The winning book review in its original text (also in audio (itunes, spotify)) Brandon’s substack – The Lost Tools … Continue reading →

Nov 29, 20232 hr 37 min

200 – The Educated Mind with Brandon Hendrickson

We talk with Brandon Hendrickson about his ACX-contest winning book review of The Educated Mind by Kieran Egan. “A novel theory about why schools, as they are now, don’t work.” The winning book review in its original text (also in audio … Continue reading →

Nov 15, 20232 hr 24 min

199 – Polyamory with Aella and Yassine

We are talking poly again, with Aella and Yassine. NOTE – LINKS Why Your Polyamorous Friend’s Relationship Sucks by Aella The Amory Spectrum by Aella Yassine’s The Bailey podcast episode on polyamory with Aella Contra Aella on Polyamoric Lexicality by … Continue reading →

Nov 01, 20231 hr 31 min

198 – Tuskegee & Age/Race Bias?

Two smaller episodes dropped as one – The History of the Tuskegee Syphilis Experiment, and Reflections on Steven’s Jury Experience LINKS We Tuskegeed My Dad Unraveling the Tuskegee Study of Untreated Syphilis SNL skit Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson Enhancement Drug … Continue reading →

Oct 19, 20231 hr 47 min

196 – Steven Goes To Court

Steven achieved his dream of serving on a jury. Our local lawyer Justin returns to score him on rational jurying. 0:00:23 – All Rise 1:51:30 – Less Wrong Posts 2:06:55 – Guild of the Rose Update 2:09:28 – Thank the Patron … Continue reading →

Sep 20, 20232 hr 11 min

195 – KataGo vs AlphaGo: Fight!

Matt’s back which means we have some more AI stuff to talk about! KataGo was built as an adversary to AlphaGo and can beat it 94% of the time using a mere 8% of the computational power! The trick to … Continue reading →

Sep 06, 20231 hr 54 min

194 – Kinky Data Science with Aella

We talk with Aella about some of the results of her absolutely massive sex & kink survey LINKS Aella’s Substack Aella’s Twitter You don’t need a perfectly random sample for useful data, jfc Women Prefer More Violent Porn Monogamous men … Continue reading →

Aug 23, 20231 hr 41 min

Bayes Blast 19 – Musicgen and Audiogen

Musicgen lets anyone make a quick music snippet and Audiogen is surprisingly good at generating non-confusing sounds! These tools are currently free and will no doubt be mind blowing in just a few months when better, paid versions come out. … Continue reading →

Aug 10, 20239 min

193 – Building Baileys with Yassine Meskhout

We speak with Yassine Meskhout of The Bailey about… a whole bunch of things actually. LINKS Yassine’s Substack The Motte The Bailey podcast Yassine’s I Am Here Because Of Blind Dumb Luck Check Here For Racial Oppression – history of … Continue reading →

Aug 09, 20232 hr 18 min

192 – Absurdism and the Meaning of Life, with Alex

Alex joins us to smile as we push some boulders up some hills. LINKS Effective Altruism As A Tower Of Assumptions The Myth of Sisyphus by Albert Camus The Guild of the Rose 0:01:31 – Post-Rat Feedback 0:21:16 – Absurdism … Continue reading →

Jul 26, 20231 hr 54 min

191 – What is Post-Rationalism, with Arielle

Seriously though, what’s going on here? Arielle dives in with us. LINKS Arielle’s substack – Analog Futures Bayesian Conspiracy episode #5(!) on What is Rationalism? The Mind Killer live episode recorded at VibeCamp Eneasz’s novel – What Lies Dreaming 0:00:27 … Continue reading →

Jul 12, 20231 hr 18 min

190 – How to be Human Together, at VibeCamp, with GPTBrooke

We talk with Brooke, creator and driving force behind VibeCamp. We talk about VibeCamp 2, being human, and the post/rats corner of twitter. LINKS Brooke on Twitter Brooke’s most-moved-by-this Tweet, the Lemur Who Vibed Eneasz’s retrospective post on VibeCamp What … Continue reading →

Jun 28, 20231 hr 31 min

Bayes Blast 14 – Reddit Sucks

Steven blasts Eneasz with the latest news about how Reddit is doing it’s best to ruin everyone’s good time. Reddit post from Apollo’s developer on the subject Followup post for some debunking and elaboration Links to everything Steven mentioned in … Continue reading →

Jun 27, 202310 min

189 – AI Bloomer David Youssef

David Youssef from The Guild of the Rose has great ways to integrate ChatGPT into your work, and also thinks AIs will keep humans around. Links: ChatGPT leaking Samsung chip secrets is iceberg’s tip Training an LLMs model Achieving 99.3% … Continue reading →

Jun 14, 20231 hr 42 min

188 – Living in the Early Singularity, with Matt Freeman

Matt Freeman joins us to discuss life in changing times. Major take away for Eneasz: Be the kind of person your post-singularity descendants will be proud to say “I descended from that man/woman” Links: Put stuff in orbit on a … Continue reading →

May 31, 20231 hr 52 min

187 – GitLab & Review Bounties to Save Science, with Richard Acton

Richard Acton returns to denounce pre-publication peer review, and propose a replacement building off the open source software ethos, and review bounties Richard’s extensive notes for this episode, which include a ton of great links at the bottom Contact him … Continue reading →

May 17, 20231 hr 48 min

Bayes Blast 13 – GPT-4 maps every neuron in GPT-2

Blast with Matt re OpenAI using GPT-4 to automatically write explanations for the behavior of neurons in GPT-2, and what this means for Doom (spoiler: it’s good!) OpenAI’s explanation Thread – less than 1% of neuron’s explained with good confidence

May 16, 202311 min
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