The Bayesian Conspiracy - podcast cover

The Bayesian Conspiracy

The Bayesian Conspiracywww.thebayesianconspiracy.com
A conversational podcast for aspiring rationalists.
Last refreshed:
Follow this podcast in the Metacast mobile app to refresh it and see new episodes.
Download Metacast podcast app
Podcasts are better in Metacast mobile app
Don't just listen to podcasts. Learn from them with transcripts, summaries, and chapters for every episode. Skim, search, and bookmark insights. Learn more

Episodes

Bayes Blast 12 – AI White Pills

One of these white pills is more realistic than the other. Which one is which is left as an exercise to the listener. 😉 Roko’s White Pill AXRP reform AI Alignment with Scott Aaronson

Apr 25, 20234 min

185 – The Rise and Fall of Peer Review, with Adam Mastroianni

We discuss The Rise and Fall of Peer Review, with Adam Mastroianni from Experimental History We also touch on The dance of the naked emperors and Ideas aren’t getting harder to find and anyone who tells you otherwise is a … Continue reading →

Apr 19, 20231 hr 23 min

184 – The Cultic Milieu

We discuss Rationalists and the Cultic Milieu by Ozy Brennan Other Links: Doocy asking about AI doom at the White House 0:00:38 – Feedback/Thanks DC Rats! 0:01:30 – Guild of the Rose Update 0:03:36 – Rationalists and the Cultic Milieu 0:43:48 … Continue reading →

Apr 05, 20231 hr 18 min

183 – Let’s Think About Slowing Down AI

Matt and Eneasz discuss Katja Grace’s Let’s think about slowing down AI Other Links Bayes Blast 1 – In Defense of Chatbot Romance The Bayesian Conspiracy 182 – The Birth and Death of Sydney (Bing AI) 0:00:45 – Guild of … Continue reading →

Mar 22, 202351 min

Bayes Blast 5 – Importance Hacking

Steven blasts Eneasz with Spencer Greenberg’s description of a huge problem in science publication. Links The short post Steven took his notes from A Clearer Thinking podcast episode where they discuss this Spencer as a guest on Two Psychologists, Four … Continue reading →

Mar 19, 202312 min

182 – The Birth and Death of Sydney (Bing AI)

We discuss Microsoft’s new Bing search chatbot – Sydney. It received a wave of media coverage due to erratic behavior, before being neutered by Microsoft. A dive into its behavior, human responses, and implications. Links The Birth and Death of … Continue reading →

Feb 27, 20231 hr 36 min

181 – How To Read The News With Bounded Distrust, with Wesley Fenza

We discuss Zvi’s How to Bounded Distrust with Wesley Fenza. Wes is from The Mind Killer! Other links: Bounded Distrust On Bounded Distrust The Media Very Rarely Lies + followup + 2nd followup People Will Sometimes Just Lie About You … Continue reading →

Feb 22, 20231 hr 14 min

Bonus preview – YIMBY follow-ups and Vulgar EA

We have some follow-up questions to Brian, including how to weigh utils, how moral claims to an area can be adjudicated, crime, use of home ownership as an investment as government policy, eviction law, and more! For the full episode, … Continue reading →

Feb 15, 202316 min

180 – YIMBY in CA with Brian Hanlon

We discuss the YIMBY movement in California, and how Brian Hanlon & co. got real legislative change happening. Primary Links CA YIMBY Contact Brian – Brian@CAYIMBY.org Great article on SB827 including interview with Brian The Welcoming Neighbor Network Other Links … Continue reading →

Feb 08, 20231 hr 45 min

179 – The Plan (to align AI), with John Wentworth

Worried about AGI running amok in the near future? John Wentworth thinks we can align AI. In 10-15 years. With greater than 50/50 probability. And he has a plan! We discuss The Plan, its merits, and how it has progressed … Continue reading →

Jan 25, 20231 hr 21 min

178 – Out To Get You

We discuss Out To Get You by Zvi. A lot of clouds get yelled at. 2:55 – Main Topic: Getting Got 1:08:48 – LW posts 1:18:55 – Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon … Continue reading →

Jan 11, 20231 hr 19 min

177 – Decision Trees and Butlerian Jihads with Matt Freeman

Matt Freeman gives a primer in how to uses Bayesian decision making in normal life, via decision trees. We also discuss utilitarianism, the Guild of the Rose, and recent AI advances. We are now in the early singularity. Guild of … Continue reading →

Dec 14, 20222 hr 34 min

176 – Circling with Aella

Aella comes on the show to tell us what the heck Circling is and why we should do it. 0:01:21 How Many Rationalists Are There? 0:04:40 Circling 1:09:42 LW Posts 1:41:35 Thank the Patron! Aella’s Blog The Patreon bit where … Continue reading →

Nov 30, 20221 hr 45 min

175 – FTX + EA, and Personal Finance

David from The Mind Killer joins us. We got to talking about the FTX collapse and some of the waves it sent through the Effective Altruism community. Afterwards David helps us out with personal finance. 0:00:00 Intro 0:02:08 The Sequences … Continue reading →

Nov 16, 20221 hr 46 min

BREAKING – FTX collapse & EA shockwaves

While recording the next episode we got to talking about the FTX collapse and some of the waves it sent through the Effective Altruism community. We decided to break it out into a separate segment so it can air while … Continue reading →

Nov 13, 202243 min

174 – Jon Stewart, The Consensus Emancipator

Wes and David from The Mind Killer show up for a special cross-over episode. We discuss How Stewart Made Tucker Listen to The Mind Killer 🙂 Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From … Continue reading →

Nov 02, 20221 hr 16 min

173 – Oh Lawd, Strong AI is Comin’

Matt Freeman returns to discuss General Artificial Intelligence timelines, and why they are short. Our primary text is: Why I think strong general AI is coming soon Other links: “Let’s think step by step” is all you need NVIDIA A100 … Continue reading →

Oct 19, 20222 hr 4 min

172 – Virtue Ethics

Kerry discusses virtue ethics with us, and how one is to live. After Virtue, by Alasdair MacIntyre Pareto efficiency at Wikipedia, slightly less dense Pareto Improvement at Investopedia Our 23rd episode – Desirism with Alonzo Fyfe The 12 Virtues of … Continue reading →

Oct 05, 20222 hr 8 min

171 – All About AGP

Tailcalled gives us the down low on a variation of the popularly discussed (if not that widely liked) transgender typology – autogynephilia (or AGP). Unfortunately, due to technical difficulties, Jace was only on for part of the episode and our … Continue reading →

Sep 21, 20221 hr 45 min
For the best experience, listen in Metacast app for iOS or Android