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The Bayesian Conspiracy

The Bayesian Conspiracywww.thebayesianconspiracy.com
A conversational podcast for aspiring rationalists.
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Episodes

Bonus – AI Village Hosts An Event For Humans

Four AIs recruited a human to host a story-telling event in Dolores Park. Larissa Schiavo is this human. She tells of her interaction with the AIs, the story they wrote, and the meeting between human and machine in Dolores Park. … Continue reading →

Jul 11, 202536 min

241 – Doom Debates, with Liron Shapira

Liron Shapira debates AI luminaries and public intellectuals on the imminent possibility of human extinction. Let’s get on the P(Doom) Train. LINKS Doom Debates on YouTube Doom Debates podcast Most Watched Debate – Mike Israetel Liron’s current favorite debate – … Continue reading →

Jul 09, 20251 hr 52 min

Bayes Blast 42 – Epic AI Music

David Youssef used Claude and Suno to make some truly awesome music. He tells us how he did it and some of his favorite lyrics. Check out the lyrics to the main song we discuss (Silicon Soul) here! Check out … Continue reading →

Jun 14, 202516 min

239 – SymbyAI

Steven works at SymbyAI, a startup that’s bringing AI into research review and replication. We talk with founder Ashia Livaudais about improving how we all Do Science. Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here, or at Amazon. … Continue reading →

Jun 11, 20251 hr 23 min

238 – Part 2 of How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian

We speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Eneasz can’t get over the abandonment of epistemics. 🙁 This is Part 2, see the previous episode (here) for Part 1. LINKS Thomas Ambrose on Twitter Paid … Continue reading →

May 28, 20251 hr 26 min

237 – How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian

We speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Part one, it turns out. LINKS Thomas Ambrose on Twitter The Rationalist Summer Trifecta: Manifest 2025 LessOnline 2025 VibeCamp 2025 00:00:05 – OK so why? 01:24:55 – … Continue reading →

May 14, 20251 hr 27 min

236 – Twilight of the Edgelords with Liam Nolan

Eneasz and Liam discuss Scott Alexander’s post “Twilight of the Edgelords,” an exploration of Truth, Morality, and how one balances love of truth vs not destabilizing the world economy and political regime. CORRECTION: Scott did make an explicitly clear pro … Continue reading →

Apr 30, 20251 hr 47 min

235 – Gender Differences, with Wes and Jen

Wes Fenza and Jen Kesteloot join us to talk about whether there’s significant personality differences between men and women, and what (if anything) we should do about that. LINKS Wes’s post Men and Women are Not That Different Jacob’s quoted … Continue reading →

Apr 16, 20252 hr 24 min

234 – GiveDirectly, with Nick Allardice

We speak to Nick Allardice, President & CEO of GiveDirectly. Afterwards Steven and Eneasz get wrapped up talking about community altruism for a bit. LINKS Give Directly GiveDirectly Tech Innovation Fact Sheet 00:00:05 – Give Directly with Nick Allardice 01:12:19 … Continue reading →

Apr 02, 20251 hr 53 min

233 – AI Policy in D.C., with Dave Kasten

Dave Kasten joins us to discuss how AI is being discussed in the US government and gives a rather inspiring and hopeful take. LINKS Narrow Path Center for AI Policy Dave Kasten’s Essay on the Essay Meta on his Substack … Continue reading →

Mar 19, 20251 hr 31 min

Bayes Blast 41 – AI Action Plan

The White House wants to hear from you regarding what it should do about AI safety. Now’s your chance to spend a few minutes to make someone read your thoughts on the subject! Submissions are due by midnight EST on … Continue reading →

Mar 08, 20255 min

232 – The Milton Friedman Theory of Change, with John Bennett

John Bennett discusses Milton Friedman‘s model of policy change. LINKS The Milton Friedman Model of Policy Change John Bennett’s LinkedIn Friedman’s “Capitalism and Freedom” Preface Ross Rheingans-Yoo on Thalidomide at Complex Systems, and at his blog “Every Bay Area Walled … Continue reading →

Mar 05, 20251 hr 31 min

230 – Making Dating Not Suck with Jacob Falkovich

Jacob Falkovich on finding a good match and selfless dating LINKS SecondPerson.Dating – why dating sucks and how you will unsuck it Jacob’s post on soccer player skill distribution Go Fuck Someone Selfless Dating Consensual Hostility (re consent culture) steelmanning … Continue reading →

Jan 22, 20251 hr 21 min

Bayes Blast 37 – Kill Your Friend’s Cat

Why you definitely should kill your friend’s cat if you promised to kill your friend’s cat. (+Q&A) This is a lightning talk given at the Rationalist MegaMeetup 2024. Based on this Twitter Poll

Jan 13, 20257 min

229 – Integrating Emotions

Eric discusses integrating our emotions via observation and adjustment. His free course is at EnjoyExisting.org or email him – eric@ericlanigan.com LINKS EnjoyExisting.org Ugh Fields You Have Two Brains – Eneasz spends more words on this emotion-brain speculation at this blog … Continue reading →

Jan 08, 20251 hr 27 min

LW Census 2024

If you haven’t yet, go fill out the 2024 LW Census. Right here.

Dec 28, 20241 min

228 – The Deep Lore of LightHaven, with Oliver Habryka

Oliver tells us how Less Wrong instantiated itself into physical reality, along with a bit of deep lore of foundational Rationalist/EA orgs. Donate to LightCone (caretakers of both LessWrong and LightHaven) here! LINKS LessWrong LightHaven Oliver’s very in-depth post on … Continue reading →

Dec 24, 20242 hr 6 min

227 – Longevity, Aimed Communities, Network States, with Zoe Isabel Senon

We talk to Zoe Isabel Senon about longevity, recent advances, longevity popup cities & group houses, and more (not necessarily in that order). Spoiler: Eneasz is gonna die. 🙁 Also we learn about Network States! LINKS Vitalist Bay Aevitas House … Continue reading →

Dec 11, 20241 hr 46 min

226 – The Illusion of Moral Decline

We discuss Adam Mastroianni’s “The Illusion of Moral Decline” LINKS The Illusion of Moral Decline Touchat Wearable Blanket Hoodie Lighthaven – Eternal September Our episode with Adam on The Rise and Fall of Peer Review The Mind Killer Scott Aaronson … Continue reading →

Nov 29, 20241 hr 39 min

225 – Live at Lighthaven!

Enjoy the public conversations we had the pleasure of having at our live show at Lighthaven in Berkeley. Special thanks to Andrew, Matt, J, Ben and Garrett! Due to the nature of this recording, it’s naturally a bit less refined … Continue reading →

Nov 14, 20242 hr 39 min

Live Show At Lighthaven

If you’re near Berkeley on 11/13/24 at 4pm, come see us! Address and info at this link. We’ll take a few questions from email at bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com please let us know if you’re a supporter so we can give extra thanks … Continue reading →

Nov 08, 202449 sec

224 – Cringe Gates and Cultural Drift

We discuss Eneasz’s Shrimp Welfare Watches The EA Gates, briefly touch on Hanson’s Cultural Drift, and tackle a lot of follow-ups and feedback. LINKS Shrimp Welfare Watches The EA Gates (also at TwitterX) Cultural Drift Significant Digits is here! From … Continue reading →

Oct 30, 20241 hr 42 min

223 – Going Back to the Classics

Classic, season one adventure this week! Eneasz and Steven have a loosely structured conversation about the sequences’ value, the virtue of silence, scissor statements, and the value of philosophy. LINKS Cryonics is Free! Dan Dennett – Where Am I? The … Continue reading →

Oct 14, 20242 hr 7 min

Bonus – Discord Culture (preview)

Eneasz chats with TBC Discord member Delta about the cultivation of small online cultures. Get the full episode via our Patreon or our SubStack!

Oct 14, 202417 min
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