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Why might contrarian investing outperform, and how might an investor know when it's time to head in the opposite direction from the crowd? Daniel Needham, president and global chief investment officer at Morningstar Investment Management, explores why markets are frequently efficient and what makes them become inefficient; explains how contrarians can act like a thermostat for markets; and explains how bees can be better decision-makers than humans at times. He also shares a checklist his team u...
Advisors and investors are hearing more and more about behavioral science and behavioral economics, essentially how our humanity gets in the way of rationality, and what we can do to improve our decision-making. But what about investment managers themselves? Are they naturally more rational? How can a portfolio manager avoid making behavioral errors? Dan Kemp, chief investment officer for EMEA at Morningstar Investment Management joins host Drew Carter to discuss who is susceptible to behavioral...
While we're off for the holidays, please enjoy this rerun of Episode 34. In "The Tipping Point," author Malcolm Gladwell looks at how ideas can spread like viruses. Citing psychological studies and using many examples, Gladwell shows how people, environments, and changes in an idea itself can lead to explosive growth in popularity. In this episode, Jarred Watts considers how the ideas in this book, which turned 20 years old in February, apply to investing. Watts is a client portfolio manager at ...
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Slides for today's episode are found here or by emailing simple@morningstar.com .
To access the slides discussed in this episode, click here or email us at simple@morningstar.com .
From all of us at Simple but Not Easy and Morningstar Investment Management, Happy Thanksgiving! If you’re in a mood to give thanks—or just want to hear others do so—you might check out Episodes 23 and 24, in which a passel of our guests share what they were thankful for this time last year, or something they’d be thankful to see in the future. Or, here we rebroadcast Episode 16, a conversation with Daniel Needham about value investing and why we take a valuation-driven investing approach. We we...
Good decisions are often built on good forecasts. But forecasting is hard, in part because it requires us to be aware of both what we know and what we don’t—or even can’t—know. Dan Kemp and Ryan Murphy discuss what good forecasting looks like. Dan is CIO for EMEA at Morningstar Investment Management Europe Ltd., an FCA-regulated firm. Ryan is head of decision sciences at Morningstar Investment Management LLC.
Click here to download the slides for this episode, or email us at simple@morningstar.com .
Click here to download the slides for this episode, or send us an email at simple@morningstar.com .
For the slides referenced in this episode, please click here or email us at simple@morningstar.com .
Slides referred to in this episode are available here , or by emailing us at simple@morningstar.com .
To download the slides discussed in this episode, tap here or email us at simple@morningstar.com .
To view the slides discussed in this episode, please tap here or send us an email at simple@morningstar.com .
Before her Ivy League education and starting her financial advice practice, Ephie Coumanakos grew up in Athens, Greece. Rooted in business and hard work, she connects with her engineering and other analytical clients in Wilmington, DE, with clear communication. Financial advice from books or the media is too generic to be worth much, she says; people who want added financial value should seek an advisor who delivers personalized advice.
To download the slides mentioned in this episode, click here or send us an email at simple@morningstar.com .
Global stock markets this year have gone through a dramatic sell-off and recovery in record time. Perhaps more importantly, we’ve seen a significant decline in economic activity since February, likely marking the onset of a recession. In this episode, Daniel Needham and Philip Straehl look at past recessions and compare them with the current environment. We consider what past market recoveries have looked like and discuss how our investment team is considering these lessons from the past to unco...
George Metrou, portfolio manager for the Dividend Select Equity Portfolios, talks about the poor performance of dividend-paying stocks so far in 2020, despite their reputation for being defensive. He also discusses why he holds cash, his thoughts on companies cutting dividends, and his outlook for income going forward.
John Caserta grew up in North Haven, Conn., where he’s now a Chartered Financial Consultant and managing director at Caserta & de Jongh LLC. His second office is in New Haven, home to his alma mater, Yale, where he studied Italian and played trumpet in concert and jazz bands. His frequent media appearances and alumni connections are helping him grow his practice. Listen to hear Caserta share the most underrated piece of financial advice.
Find slides referred to in this episode at https://morningstaronline-my.sharepoint.com/:b:/g/personal/drew_carter_morningstar_com/ERJNlLpWN0xItcK6zzHH7-8BSz2imrSKymOTc-3U7Bqc8A?e=OmDV7c
Sarah Newcomb, director of behavioral science at Morningstar, Inc., discusses emotions brought on by market loss, talks about how they can affect decisions, and offers some ways to cope. Ryan Murphy, head of decision sciences at Morningstar Investment Management, discusses cognitive biases to watch out for and ways investors can make better decisions.
Kevin Schaefer coaches clients to plan for the worst, and to be content. An obsession with money distorts smiley faces into ones with dollar-sign eyes and a squiggly mouth because it often leads to aggressive investing that's like being on a roller coaster. A smoother ride, he says, keeps "a simple smile on your face." Schaefer, a CFP and founder at Spirit West Certified Planning, LLC in Scottsdale, Arizona, says, "There aren't enough contrarians" paying attention to risks embedded in passive in...
To view the slides for this episode, please click here . The slides will be available until July 22, 2020. After that date, please email simple@morningstar.com for access. For more information about Morningstar Managed Portfolios, click here ....
Our equity portfolio managers talk about how they're navigating the COVID-19 crisis and their outlook.
In this episode, we take a closer look at the recent US stock market rally from its March low, and address some questions frequently asked by advisors around assessing risk and behavioral coaching in these unusual times. Guests, via a previously recorded webcast, are Daniel Needham, president and global CIO, and Ryan Murphy, head of decision sciences, at Morningstar Investment Management.
Growing a financial planning practice can be challenging at the best of times. But what if you had to replace your in-person presentations and meet-and-greets with online events and marketing tools? In this episode, Erik Bowman talks about how he’s looking to attract new clients in a shelter-in-place COVID-19 world.
Inflation has been tame for some time. But where will inflation go from here? Will the massive COVID-19-related stimulus by the Fed and the Treasury lead to higher inflation? Or will rocketing unemployment weaken inflation—in fact, is deflation a greater concern in the near term?
Income investors might despair in today's COVID-19-ravaged environment—the Federal Reserve has lowered cash rates to near zero, shuttered businesses can’t pay stock dividends, and defaults are expected to rise. Yet, our income-focused portfolio managers say their prospects for income have improved greatly since February. Marta Norton, head of outcome-based strategies, and Hong Cheng, associate portfolio manager, share where they see income opportunities in today's markets.
We continue our series of episodes based on webcasts, with this week looking at what messages advisors might share with clients to help them understand how today's market environment may affect their long-term financial goals. Guests are Morningstar Investment Management president and CIO Daniel Needham and head of decision sciences Ryan Murphy.
