What Does Good Forecasting Look Like? (And Why Are Weather Forecasters So Good at It?)

Good decisions are often built on good forecasts. But forecasting is hard, in part because it requires us to be aware of both what we know and what we don’t—or even can’t—know. Dan Kemp and Ryan Murphy discuss what good forecasting looks like. Dan is CIO for EMEA at Morningstar Investment Management Europe Ltd., an FCA-regulated firm. Ryan is head of decision sciences at Morningstar Investment Management LLC.