Monetary Matters with Jack Farley - podcast cover

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

Jack Farley
Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.

Episodes

The Healthcare Sector Job Growth is Propping Up the US Economy (For Now) | Eric Pachman

Eric Pachman, Chief Analytics Officer at Bancreek Capital Advisors, joins Monetary Matters to discuss how the healthcare sector, the strongest sector for job growth in the whole economy, could falter because of the proposed cuts to spending in the Big Beautiful Bill and potentially even tip the whole economy into a recession. He also discusses how important government spending is in propping up the healthcare industry, making it largely unaffected by the tools the Federal Reserve would likely us...

Jun 26, 20251 hr 26 min

The Window of Vulnerability | Tian Yang on Global Imbalances, the Dollar, Growth Vulnerabilities, and Housing (Plus A Special Offering for Monetary Matters Listeners)

Request sample reports from Variant Perception here: https://variantperception.com/monetary-matters-listeners/ Monetary Matters listeners can get discounted access to Variant Perception’s Research Subscription by clicking the link above. In addition, for those who sign up to Variant Perception’s Research Subscription, a trial of Variant Perception’s full product suite will be available for one quarter. Tian Yang, CEO of Variant Perception, returns to Monetary Matters to share his thoughts on glo...

Jun 22, 20251 hr 15 min

Fed Scared of Inflation Resurgence | Jack Farley & Max Wiethe

Jack Farley and Max Wiethe break down the market’s reaction to today’s Federal Reserve decision, the Summary of Economic Projections, and Jerome Powell’s press conference. They also discuss parallels between this market and late 2021, debate whether AI is a bubble, and the eternal question of when the next US recession will occur. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/...

Jun 18, 202534 min

Equity Market Strength is Masking a Recession | Mike Green

Mike Green, Portfolio Manager and Chief Strategist at Simplify, joins Monetary Matters to discuss why the strength of the equity market and other technical factors are obfuscating weakness in the US consumer and broader indicators of economic weakness to the point that it could be masking a recession. Green also discusses his views on inflation, the bond market, and the current stage of the passive investing endgame that he believes is the main culprit driving equity markets higher and higher. F...

Jun 18, 20251 hr 14 min

The Fed Will Choose Inflation Over Recession | Vincent Deluard

Vincent Deluard, Director of Global Macro Strategy at StoneX joins Monetary Matters to discuss why he believes changes to policy makers toolkit and to the structure of the economy mean recessions are “cancelled.” He also discusses why he believes Trump’s MAGA economic policies will be bad for corporate profit margins and his bullish outlook on oil and energy stocks. Follow Vincent Deluard on Twitter https://x.com/VincentDeluard Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max ...

Jun 15, 202558 min

Capacity Constrained by Design: The 25-Year-Old Building Niche Multi-Manager Hedge Fund Platforms | Zach Levitt

Zach Levitt, CIO and Founder of Sixth Turn Capital and Opus One Asset Management joins Other People’s Money to discuss how he is standing up multi-manager platforms at just 25 years old by focusing on niche capacity constrained managers. Levitt discusses the benefits of combining uncorrelated capacity constrained strategies in a multi-manager platform, his unconventional path to founding a multi-manager platform, how mentorship has helped accelerate his growth, and how he goes about attracting t...

Jun 12, 20251 hr

Trade Policy Isn't Driving China’s Trade Surplus | Matthew Klein

Matthew Klein, founder of The Overshoot and UN/BALANCED and co-author of Trade Wars Are Class Wars with Michael Pettis joins Monetary Matters to discuss what factors really lead to major trade and capital flow imbalances between countries. He argues that factors like income inequality, domestic economic policy and decisions being made at the corporate level can have far more impact than country level trade policy. He also discusses why even though extreme trade and capital flow imbalances may be...

Jun 11, 20251 hr 14 min

“The Dollar Gets Annihilated” | Julian Brigden & Jonny Matthews on Fiscal Dominance, Secular Bond Bear Market, and Outlook on Rates & Tariffs

This conversation was originally recorded for Julian Brigden’s research service, MacroCapture. Sign up for MacroCapture by MI2 Partners today with coupon codes MM10 (for annual) and MM10Q (for quarterly) to save 10% at: https://mi2partners.com/macrocapture-landing-page/ Julian Brigden of MI2 Partners and veteran macro trader Jonny Matthews of SuperMacro join Monetary Matters for a wide-ranging discussion of the forces that are contributing to a global weak market in sovereign bonds. Recorded May...

Jun 08, 20251 hr 33 min

What Investors Are Overlooking in AI & Semis | Val Zlatev

Val Zlatev, Portfolio Manager and Senior Partner at hard tech specialist hedge fund Analog Century Capital Management joins Other People’s Money to discuss what he thinks investors still fail to appreciate about the secular growth of AI and semiconductors. He also discusses why DeepSeek was so misunderstood, other aspects of the AI supply chain, the state of the analog chip cycle, running long/short and market neutral strategies and garnering interest from the large multi-manager platforms. Lear...

Jun 05, 20251 hr 17 min

Soaring US Debt Burden & The Global Market Reset | Gerard Minack

To learn more about the VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ): https://www.vaneck.com/OUNZJack/overview/ To view the prospectus: https://www.vaneck.com/OUNZProspectus Gerard Minack of Minack Advisors joins Monetary Matters to discuss why even though other developed nations like Japan may have higher debt to GDP ratios, factors like net debt, monetized debt, and the overall size of US debt make this comparison flawed. He argues these factors make the current trajectory of US debt levels completely unsustai...

Jun 04, 20251 hr 32 min

American Exceptionalism was a Fiscal Facade | Marco Papic

Marko Papic, Chief Strategist at BCA Research, joins Monetary Matters to argue that while tariffs may be the catalyst that shifts global appetites for US assets, it will be the necessary shift to fiscal hawkishness that will drive the end of “American Exceptionalism” and outperformance of US markets. Papic also discusses his views on as shift towards a multipolar world and why he views the dual polar world with US and China as competing global hegemons as the least likely outcome when compared w...

Jun 01, 20251 hr 6 min

Patient Value Investing and America’s Industrial Advantage | Bob Robotti

Bob Robotti, legendary value investor and President and CIO of Robotti and Company Advisors, is one of a very select group of investors with a 30+ year track record of S&P 500 outperformance. Here he joins Other People’s Money to discuss long-term value investing, why he likes to invest in companies perceived to be facing headwinds, and his view that American based industrial companies are competitively advantaged for reasons completely unaffected by trade policy. He also discusses how he op...

May 29, 20251 hr 14 min

Regime of Uncertainty | Steve Hanke on Money Supply Shock, Tariff and Current Account, and Why Recession Remains Base Case For 2025

To view the prospectus for the VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ), please visit: https://www.vaneck.com/OUNZProspectus Learn more: https://www.vaneck.com/OUNZJack/overview/ Steve Hanke, author of “Making Money Work” and Professor of Applied Economics The Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore, joins Monetary Matters to share his thoughts on the anemic bank credit growth, fiscal and tariffs policy in the United States, and the global Dollar system. Recorded May 20, 2025. Follow VanEck on Twitter https://...

May 28, 202545 min

Economic Policy To The Fore | Jason Furman on Deregulation, Tax Cuts, Tariffs, and Healthcare

Jason Furman, former Chairman of Council of Economic Advisers for President Obama and Aetna Professor of the Practice of Economic Policy jointly at Harvard Kennedy School (HKS) and the Department of Economics at Harvard University, joins Monetary Matters to share his view of the Trump administration’s “three-legged stool” of tariffs, deregulation, and tax cuts. Recorded May 20, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Jason Furman on Twitter https://x.com/jasonfurman...

May 25, 202538 min

Fiscal Decay, EM Parallels, and What’s Next for the Dollar | Nicolás Dujovne

Nicolás Dujovne, CIO and founder of Tenac Asset Management and former Treasury Minister of Argentina joins Monetary Matters to discuss the evolution of emerging market economies, EM debt investing, and why even though the US’s failure to address fiscal issues may be reminiscent of emerging markets it still falls short of full EM status even if it risks the US Dollar’s reserve currency status over the long run. Dujovne also identifies the opportunities he's watching now, explains why he thinks th...

May 23, 20251 hr 25 min

The Holy Grail of Macro | Prometheus Macro’s Aahan Menon on Why Tariffs Won’t Cause A Recession And Why Buying Dips Only Works In An Expansion

Monetary Matters listeners can get a 25% discount to Prometheus Macro: https://www.prometheus-macro.com/monetarymatters Aahan Menon, founder and CEO of Prometheus Macro, returns to Monetary Matters to share his in-depth macro process. He talks about how returns come from three factors: carry, mean reversion, and trend, and about how these three factors interact with other macro variables. Prometheus Macro is a trusted source for Jack and Monetary Matters listeners can get discounted access to Aa...

May 20, 20251 hr 44 min

Is Private Credit a Systemic Risk? (A Regulator’s View) | Fabio Natalucci

Fabio Natalucci, CEO of the Anderson Institute for Finance & Economics, joins Monetary Matters to discuss his work at the IMF on the potential risks to the global financial system that the growth of private credit may pose. They also discuss the affects that tariffs will have not just on the economy but the functioning of the financial system.Learn more about the Anderson Institute: https://www.andersen.com/ Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on:...

May 17, 20251 hr 25 min

The Fed and The Flu | David Kotok on How Pandemics Transform Economies and Markets

David Kotok, Co-Founder & Strategic Advisor at Cumberland Advisors, joins Monetary Matters to discuss insights from his new book, “The Fed and the Flu: Parsing Pandemic Economic Shocks.” Kotok cites data over millennia to show that pandemics typically cause natural real interest rates to decline, and productivity and inequality to rise. Kotok argues that we must prepare for the next pandemic and shares his view on the origin of the COVID virus. Part II of an interview recorded on April 4, 20...

May 16, 20251 hr 5 min

Milton Berg: “Overwhelming” Evidence of Bullish Action In Stock Market

Milton Berg, pioneer in technical market data analysis, explains why he thinks early April was a turning point in the U.S. stock market and why the stock market is likely headed higher. Recorded May 13, 2025 Follow Milton Berg on Twitter https://x.com/BergMilton Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

May 14, 20251 hr 25 min

Ken Rogoff on Past, Present, and Future of U.S. Dollar Hegemony

To view the prospectus for the VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ), please visit: https://www.vaneck.com/OUNZProspectus Learn more: https://www.vaneck.com/OUNZJack/overview/ Ken Rogoff’s new book on the U.S. Dollar on Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/Our-Dollar-Your-Problem-Turbulent/dp/0300275315 On Publisher’s site: https://yalebooks.yale.edu/book/9780300275315/our-dollar-your-problem/ Ken Rogoff, renowned economist and author of “Our Dollar, Your Problem: An Insider's View of Seven Turbulent Decades of...

May 12, 20251 hr 8 min

The Global Trade Reset Was Inevitable | George Magnus

George Magnus, famed economist and Associate at the China Centre Oxford, joins Monetary Matters to discuss how the global trade reset was inevitable because of unsustainable trade imbalances built up prior to the Trump administration. They also discuss the likelihood of tariffs being lowered and the relative strength of the US and China in trade negotiations. Follow George Magnus on Twitter https://x.com/georgemagnus1Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matter...

May 08, 20251 hr 21 min

Wait & See | Jack & Max on May Fed Meeting, Shipping Volumes, China Stimulus, and Tariff Newsflow

Jack welcomes Max Wiethe, Other People’s Money podcast host. The two discuss the May Fed meeting, in which Powell repeatedly stressed that the central bank is in a wait and see posture as it gauges how tariffs will impact inflation and growth. The two also discuss shipping volumes, tariff front running, and China’s recent monetary stimulus. Recorded May 7, 2025. Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money podcast on Twitter https://x.com/OPMpod Follow Jack Fa...

May 07, 202550 min

Getting Ready For A Protracted Bear Market | Last Bear Standing

Today's episode is brought to you by Teucrium. Learn more at: https://bit.ly/4gfI0fe Last Bear Standing joins Monetary Matters to explain why he thinks subpar equity returns are likely. In his words, “ The market’s current decline is not a correction, a bump in the road, or a dip to be bought. We have entered a protracted bear market.” Recorded on May 1, 2025. Follow Last Bear Standing on Twitter https://x.com/LastBearStandng Follow Teucrium on Twitter https://x.com/TeucriumETFs Follow Jack Farl...

May 06, 20251 hr 7 min

End of Free Trade Era Should Not Spook Long-Term Investors | Kara Murphy

Kara Murphy, CIO of Kestra Investment Management, joins Monetary Matters to share her investment outlook at a time of great uncertainty in global financial markets. Murphy argues that investors are best served taking a long-term approach, and investors with a long-time horizon ought not to spooked by policy-induced short-term gyrations in the stock market. Recorded on May 2, 2025. Follow Kara Murphy on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/moneywithmurphy/ Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x....

May 04, 202553 min

How Hedge Funds Have Managed Market Turmoil with Jack and Max

The first 4 months of 2025 have been highly volatile hurting both equity and fixed income investors alike, but how has the “smart money” faired in this environment? Jack and Max breakdown the performance of hedge funds in Q1 and April of 2025 with data from Citco Fund Services and HFRI. They also discuss the recent moves by Yale and Harvard to sell some of their private equity stakes and other indicators that might signal trouble ahead for PE as an asset class. Follow Jack on X: https://x.com/Ja...

Apr 30, 202557 min

Opportunities In Agricultural Commodities | Teucrium's Sal Gilbertie on Grain Stockpiles, Trade Disruptions To Crops, and Ripple (FIRESIDE CHAT)

Today's episode is brought to you by Teucrium. Learn more at: https://bit.ly/4gfI0fe Learn more about Teucrium’s Model Commodity Portfolio: https://insights.teucrium.com/commodities1subscribe Golden Grain Cycle: https://insights.teucrium.com/golden-grain-cycle This Fireside Chat is a sponsored conversation with the CEO of Teucrium, Sal Gilbertie. Sal’s company offers access to agricultural commodities such as corn ($CORN), soybeans ($SOYB), wheat ($WEAT), sugar, as well as broad commodity indice...

Apr 28, 202546 min

The Financial Sector Prepares for Recession | Marc Rubinstein

Marc Rubinstein, former hedge fund manager and author of Net Interest joins Monetary Matters to discuss how the financial sector is preparing itself for the risks of a recession and how they are managing tariff uncertainty during this earnings season. Rubinstein touches on the different subsectors of the financial sector, like banks, non-banks, asset managers and payments companies, as well as how financials in different geographies may benefit from the reshuffling of global trade. Read Marc’s N...

Apr 27, 20251 hr 20 min

Hidden Mortgage Market Shifts Are Creating Opportunities | Matt Jozoff of Trevally Capital

Matt Jozoff, co-CEO, Portfolio Manager, and Head of Macro Research at Trevally Capital joins Other People’s Money, to discuss how trends like the growth in the Ginnie Mae market, low credit borrowers and non-bank originators, and other factors are affecting mortgage prepayments and creating opportunities in the mortgage market for firms like Trevally Capital. He also discusses how Trevally Capital is looking to extract alpha from these opportunities and build a world-class institutional asset ma...

Apr 24, 202551 min

Tariffs Aren’t Going Away | PIMCO’s Policy Head Libby Cantrill on Trade and Tax Environment In New U.S. Administration

Libby Cantrill, Managing Director and Head of Public Policy at PIMCO, joins Monetary Matters to explain her outlook on U.S. trade and tax policy. Cantrill argues that while Trump administration has flexibility in tariff negotiations and that the China tariffs are likely headed much lower (a prediction that already looks like it will come true), tariffs are not going away anytime soon and she views the 10% tariffs on the world as a floor, with reciprocal tariffs on top of that floor especially on...

Apr 23, 202555 min

Preparing For A Real Credit Cycle | Danny Moses on Tariff Fatigue, Private Credit, Gold, Tarnishing of U.S. Brand, and Why Stocks Still Aren’t Cheap

To view the prospectus for the VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ), please visit: https://www.vaneck.com/OUNZProspectus Learn more: https://www.vaneck.com/OUNZJack/overview/ What happens to Private Credit in a slowdown? Are fears of tariffs overblown? Danny Moses of “The Big Short” renown joins Monetary Matters to share his views on these important issues and more. Recorded April 17 2025. Follow Danny Moses on Twitter https://x.com/dmoses34 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Danny ...

Apr 22, 20251 hr 11 min
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