Fiscal Decay, EM Parallels, and What’s Next for the Dollar | Nicolás Dujovne
May 23, 2025•1 hr 25 min
Episode description
Nicolás Dujovne, CIO and founder of Tenac Asset
Management and former Treasury Minister of Argentina joins Monetary Matters to discuss the evolution of emerging market economies, EM debt investing, and why even though the US’s failure to address fiscal issues may be reminiscent of emerging markets it still falls short of full EM status even if it risks the US Dollar’s reserve currency status over the long run. Dujovne also identifies the opportunities he's watching now, explains why he thinks the dollar is moving lower, and makes the case for EM debt becoming more common in investor portfolios.
Learn more about Tenac Asset Management: https://tenacam.com
Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
Follow Monetary Matters on:
Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh
Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5
YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
Timestamps:
00:46 The Impact of the Dollar on EMs Like Argentina
04:59 The Impact of the Fed and US Rated on EMs Experiencing Crisis
08:15 The Causes of Argentina's Inflation
15:17 The Mechanics of Money Printing
18:38 Macro Investing in Emerging Markets
28:30 Dollar Bonds vs Local Currency Bonds
34:55 Why Do Countries Issue Dollar Bonds?
40:05 The Case for EM Debt as an Asset Class
44:21 Balance of Payments
47:51 Economics vs Trading
52:58 Rebalancing the US vs the Rest of World
55:40 The Weakening US Dollar
57:54 Tariff Impacts on US GDP
01:01:36 One Year Dollar Outlook
01:03:25 Current Positioning
01:05:26 Current Market Anomalies
01:08:52 Is the US Becoming an Emerging Market
01:13:54 LATAM Tariff Winners
01:17:16 Opinions on Milei
01:21:18 Argentina Market Views
For the best experience, listen in Metacast app for iOS or Android
Open in Metacast