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Flux News

Onyx Capital Groupwww.onyxcapitalgroup.com

The only oil swaps market specific podcast is back. Join Onyx Capital Group CEO, Greg Newman, and a plethora of industry guests as they dig down each week into the issues that affect the market. Are you paying attention?

From the world’s #1 oil liquidity provider. Built by traders, for traders.

CFDs and spread bets are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts lose money when trading in CFDs and spread bets with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs and spread bets work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

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Episodes

The CEO's Address with Greg Newman | The Complexity of Onyx's Media Production with Martin Shearman-Brettle

Group CEO Greg Newman is joined by Martin Shearman-Brettle, Broadcast and Multimedia Studio Manager, for a special episode of the CEO’s Address. Martin discusses their unique career journey, from esports to news and sports production, and how these experiences shaped Onyx’s innovative approach to media. They share insights into bringing production in-house, transforming it into a major differentiator, and making Onyx a leading voice in financial media. Greg and Martin also explore the democratis...

Feb 11, 202548 min

Macro Mondays | REPLAY | US Economy Bouncing Back, BoE Cuts, & Gold Hits Highs

This special episode of Macro Mondays LIVE from Singapore aired at 12pm GMT on Monday, 10th February 2025. Join us every Monday at 12:30 PM UK time for Macro Mondays LIVE with James Brodie, as we unpack the major developments shaping global markets and look ahead to a pivotal week. Key highlights this week: - We're seeing stronger US economic data and employment data - but Fed is still wary of inflation. - Chinese tech stocks are looking strong. - Bank of England cut 25bp - but central bank warn...

Feb 10, 202521 min

The Officials with Jorge Montepeque: Trump Spits Against the Wind | S2 E4

Join The Officials - Director of Benchmarking, Jorge Montepeque and Research Analysts William Cunliffe and Edward Hayden-Briffett - for a brand new episode. They unpack and analyse the effects Trump's tariffs have had on the oil market so far - and what could happen in the near future. Jorge, Ed, and Will discuss the diverse reaction of different governments to the new tariffs, how the tariffs have impacted the global economy so far, how US refiners have been impacted, and even how Trump's globa...

Feb 07, 202518 minSeason 2Ep. 4

Oil insights with Harry Tchilinguirian | Tariff Tantrum | S2 E5

Onyx Research Associates Mita Chaturvedi, Martha Dowding, and Vincent Wu join Group Head of Research Harry Tchilinguirian to discuss the direction of oil prices in the wake of a volatile week of Trump tariffs. Traders are on edge after the US' decision to delay tariffs on oil imports from Mexico and Canada. China has also responded, introducing selective tariffs on U.S. coal and LNG. Brent was sitting just under $75/bbl at time of recording, and while the postponement eased immediate concerns, t...

Feb 06, 202536 minSeason 2Ep. 5

Trading Corner: Reliance on Reliance | S2 E1

Welcome back to the first episode of Trading Corner for 2025. Manny and James break down the latest moves in crude and product markets amid volatile headline-driven price action. They discuss the key factors impacting Brent and Dubai spreads, refinery maintenance, trade house positioning, and shifting demand signals. Plus, they explore the impact of potential Iranian sanctions, Russian supply disruptions, and OPEC’s production strategy on fuel markets. Will Crude weakness persist, or are there h...

Feb 05, 202518 min

Macro Mondays | REPLAY | Equity & Crypto Markets Fall Hard as Trump Imposes Tariffs

This episode aired live at 12:30pm UK time. Join us every Monday for Macro Mondays LIVE with James Brodie, as we unpack the major developments shaping global markets and look ahead to a pivotal week. Key Highlights: -Trump implements 25% tariff on Mexico & Canada, 10% on China. Trump has said the EU is "really out of line," and has warned of potential 100% tariffs if BRICS attempt to replace US dollar. -Bitcoin volatility is spiking, with Ethereum down -37%. Key support 91,370. -DeepSeek upe...

Feb 03, 202537 min

The Officials with Jorge Montepeque: Gong Xi Fa Cai! | S2 E3

In this festive episode of The Officials, Jorge, Vincent, Will and Ed delve into the fast-moving dynamics of the global oil market, exploring the bearish factors driving prices below $77/bbl, the new disruptor in the AI space, and key macro themes. Topics in today's episode include: • Traders take a break for Chinese New Year. • DeepSeek disrupting the AI space. • The Trump effect, as the market the market unwinds length. • Hawkish FOMC and the impact of higher for longer rates. Trade with Onyx ...

Jan 31, 20259 minSeason 2Ep. 3

Oil insights with Harry Tchilinguirian | The Watchers: Trump Week 2 | S2 E4

Welcome to a special edition of The Watchers on Oil Insights! Head of Research, Harry Tchilinguirian is joined by Jorge Montepeque, Head of Benchmarks & Reporting, to analyse the market impact of President Trump’s early days in office. At the time of recording (11.00am GMT), Brent futures were trading at $77.50/bbl, following a sharp decline amid US equity turbulence and China’s AI advancements. Harry and Jorge break down the effects of Trump’s executive orders, trade policies, and market po...

Jan 28, 202534 minSeason 2Ep. 4

Macro Mondays | REPLAY | Trump’s Tariff Moves, DeepSeek’s Disruption, and Global Market Volatility | 27|01|25

Join us this Monday at 12:30 PM UK time for Macro Mondays LIVE with James Brodie and James Todd, as we unpack the major developments shaping global markets and look ahead to a pivotal week. Key Highlights: DeepSeek's Disruption: U.S. tech stocks tumble as DeepSeek's cost-effective AI model challenges the dominance of advanced chip manufacturing, sending Nasdaq down 3.4%. Nvidia faces a -5% open. Trump's Tariffs: A 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico starting February 1st rattles markets, alongside c...

Jan 27, 202535 min

Trading Corner: The Year of the Contango | Ep 12

This episode of Trading Corner dives into the dynamics of global crude oil markets, focusing on refining margins, shifts in supply due to sanctions, and the impact of Chinese New Year on market activity. Manny and James discuss fluctuations in Brent and Dubai spreads, the influence of geopolitical factors, and the challenges posed by varying demand across regions. They also highlight the extreme market sensitivity to sentiment and headlines, making trading strategies more nuanced and cautious. h...

Jan 24, 202523 min

Oil insights with Harry Tchilinguirian | Trump 2: Electric Boogaloo | S2 E3

With Harry Tchilinguirian away, Vincent Wu hosts today's episode of Oil Insights and discusses the latest oil market developments with Onyx Research Associates Martha Dowding and Mita Chaturvedi. They discuss Trump's day one executive actions in relation to energy, including his declaration of a national energy emergency and intention to fill up the SPR. The team also discuss the potential impact of tariffs on the global petrochemicals trade, as well as the Houthis lifting the "ban" on internati...

Jan 23, 202539 minSeason 2Ep. 3

The Officials with Jorge Montepeque: Gong Xi Fa Cai! Long Until Monday | S2 E2

In this episode of The Officials , Jorge, Ed, Will and Martha delve into the fast-moving dynamics of the global oil market, exploring the bullish trends driving prices above $82/bbl and the geopolitical forces fueling this surge. Key topics in today's episode include: The impact of impending U.S. sanctions and tariffs under the Trump administration. A scramble for crude as nations like China and India rush to secure supply ahead of potential restrictions. The astonishing premiums on Dubai-relate...

Jan 16, 202524 minSeason 2Ep. 2

Oil insights with Harry Tchilinguirian | Russian Roulette | S2 E2

With Harry Tchilinguirian away, Mita Chaturvedi hosts today's episode of Oil Insights and discusses the latest oil market developments with Onyx Research Associates Martha Dowding and Vincent Wu. Key topics include the impact of the Biden administration's latest slew of sanctions against Russian oil and its impact on the Brent/Dubai spread as Chinese and Indian refiners look for alternatives to Russian crude oil. The episode also delves into changes in ICE Brent positioning as per the latest Com...

Jan 16, 202523 min

Macro Mondays | REPLAY | U.S. Payrolls Surge, Inflation Risks, and Market Volatility

This special episode of Macro Mondays aired live at 17:00 UK time on Friday, the 10th of January after U.S. monthly payrolls were released. Highlights of This Week's Macro Trends: - U.S. Economy: A surprise surge in U.S. payrolls (+256K) with unemployment steady at 4.1%. Hawkish commentary from Fed officials underscores inflation risks, while the steepening U.S. yield curve hints at continued equity volatility. - Global Markets: Chinese deflationary fears deepen, with CPI at +0.1% and PPI at -2....

Jan 13, 202535 min

Oil insights with Harry Tchilinguirian | Cherry Picking risk? | S2 E1

In the first episode back of Oil Insights for 2025, host Harry Tchilinguirian, Group Head of Research at Onyx Capital Group, is joined by Research Associates Martha Dowding, Vincent Wu, and Mita Chaturvedi. Together, they analyse the buoyancy of Brent oil futures in early 2025, currently trading in the high $70/bbl, amidst a weak fundamental outlook for 2025. The discussion explores key factors driving recent market trends, including: The reversal of risk-taker positioning and the resurgence of ...

Jan 10, 202530 minSeason 2Ep. 1

The Officials with Jorge Montepeque: Will the Chinese New Year Snake bite you? | S2 E1

Join The Officials, Director of Benchmarking, Jorge Montepeque and Research Analysts William Cunliffe and Edward Hayden-Briffett for their first episode back for 2025. They kick off the year by diving into critical economic trends shaping the global landscape. The Officials (spanning from Singapore to London), unpack early observations about China's evolving economic strategies, the ripple effects of US policies, and the challenges facing sovereign debt markets. Jorge, Edward and Will discuss; C...

Jan 09, 202517 minSeason 2Ep. 1

Macro Mondays | REPLAY | Dollar Surges, Tesla Slips, and Oil Spikes to Start 2025! | 06|01|25

This week brought a range of notable market and economic developments. The U.S. dollar started the year on a strong note, reaching new cycle highs above 109. This strength pushed the EUR/USD to its lowest levels in over two years and led to significant discussions around global currency stability, with the USD/CNY breaking above 7.33—a move interpreted as a deliberate policy decision by China to weaken its currency. In manufacturing data, the U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index rose slightly to 49.3 in...

Jan 06, 202534 min

Oil insights with Harry Tchilinguirian | 2025, Year of the Snake | S1 E17

In the final episode of Oil Insights for the year, host Harry Tchilinguirian, along with the Onyx Research team—Martha Dowding, Vincent Wu, Will Cunliffe, and Edward Hayden-Briffett—recap the key drivers of the 2024 oil market and explore their implications for 2025. Topics include geopolitical risks, divergent global oil demand forecasts, OPEC+ production strategies, and macroeconomic shifts like monetary policy easing and China’s economic challenges. The team also discusses Donald Trump's re-e...

Dec 20, 202456 minSeason 1Ep. 17

The Officials | Special Episode: 10 Reasons Why Markets Have Turned Back | S1 E20

Live from Chongqing, China! Jorge dives into the latest oil market recovery as prices edge towards $75. He breaks down the Top 10 Reasons Why Markets Have Turned Back, highlighting key global trends and insights. From China’s increased quotas and state company purchases to Saudi Arabia’s strategic price cuts and the UAE’s surprising production cuts, Jorge explores the driving forces behind this market shift. He also touch on China’s economic rebound, Europe’s rate cuts fuelling crude demand, and...

Dec 16, 20246 minSeason 1Ep. 20

Macro Mondays | REPLAY | Bitcoin Hits $106K, UK GDP Shock, and Trump's Economic Surge | 16|12|24

This episode aired live at 12:30pm UK Time. James Brodie and James Todd look at the previous weeks Macro events and to the week ahead. In US data, inflation is trending higher, pushing both yields and the dollar higher, and this is a definite warning signal for 2025. Job postings are continuing to fall, but small business sentiment is surging leading up to Trump's inauguration. Equity investors are looking the most bullish ever, as Nasdaq reaches new all-time highs. In China, yields are trending...

Dec 16, 202424 min

Macro Mondays | REPLAY | Bonds Yields Fall as Global Data Shows Surprising Weakness | 09|12|24

This episode of Macro Mondays aired live at 12:30pm UK Time. James Brodie and James Todd look at the previous weeks Macro events and to the week ahead. This week, we discuss falling global bond yields as both American and Canadian unemployment saw increases, while ISM Services PMI surprisingly fell sharply. Data over the weekend also highlighted continued deflation in China, while Japanese salaries saw a record gain with the BOJ expected to hike on the 19th of December. In Europe, the French pol...

Dec 09, 202434 min

Trading Corner: The Widow Maker | Ep 11

Manny and James dive into the dynamics of crude oil and refined product markets as the year winds down. They analyse Brent spreads, distillates, and gasoline demand trends, highlighting bearish sentiment for next year balanced by current storage economics. They discuss refinery margins, potential impacts of cold weather on markets, and trading strategies for Brent spreads and gasoline heading into summer. With an eye on OPEC+ actions, freight dynamics, and shifting demand between regions, they w...

Dec 05, 202416 minSeason 1Ep. 11

The Officials | Special Episode: "The Watchers" | Brent Price Dump | S1 E19

In this special mini episode, "The Watchers" (Director, Benchmarks, Jorge Montepeque and Group Head of Research, Harry Tchilinguirian) react live to the collapse in Brent flat price as the OPEC+ meeting convenes. We've seen a loss of over $2/bbl in the last 24 hours and OPEC+'s delay of barrels returning by 3 months, while some countries continue to exceed their OPEC+ production limits.

Dec 05, 20246 minSeason 1Ep. 19

Oil insights with Harry Tchilinguirian | Caught Between a Rock and a Hard Place | S1 E16

This episode of Oil Insights was recorded on 3rd December, 2024 at 10:30am GMT. In this special edition episode, "The Watchers" (Director, Benchmarks, Jorge Montepeque and Group Head of Research, Harry Tchilinguirian) discuss the oil market over the past week. Harry and Jorge take a critical look at the dynamics surrounding OPEC+'s upcoming meeting that's been delayed. They unpack the underlying tension and dissent among member states leading up to the meeting, as well as what to expect from the...

Dec 03, 202427 minSeason 1Ep. 16

Macro Mondays | REPLAY | 🚨 U.S. Property Market & Chinese Yields Flash Warning Signal 🚨 | 02|12|24

This episode of Macro Mondays aired live at 12:30pm UK Time as James Brodie and James Todd look at the previous weeks Macro events and to the week ahead. This week, the S&P 500 hit a new all-time high and is trending higher overall. US consumer confidence and US Black Friday online sales hit a highs as well, and stock market optimism has soared. On the other hand, US new home sales fell 17.3% while US homes for sale continued to trend high. US debt looms and the yield suggests a dollar top i...

Dec 02, 202427 min

The Officials with Jorge Montepeque: T for Thanksgiving and Trump | S1 E18

In this episode of The Officials, Jorge, Harry, and Will delve into a range of critical topics shaping energy markets and global economics. They begin with the impact of potential tariff escalations in North America, discussing how proposed policies may affect energy prices and trade dynamics, with a focus on U.S. relationships with Canada and Mexico. The discussion transitions to OPEC’s struggles with production quotas and internal disagreements, as well as the broader implications of supply dy...

Nov 29, 202420 minSeason 1Ep. 18

Oil insights with Harry Tchilinguirian | One Flew Over the Turkey's Nest | S1 E15

This episode of Oil Insights was recorded on 26th November, 2024 at 11am GMT. Onyx Research Associates Vincent Wu and Mita Chaturvedi join Group Head of Research Harry Tchilinguirian to discuss price action and major events in the oil market over the past week. Following Trump’s re-election, the oil markets are bracing for potential policy shifts, including proposed tariffs and energy production increases. Harry, Mita, and Vincent explore the price outlook, geopolitical developments from Ukraine...

Nov 26, 202428 minSeason 1Ep. 15

Macro Mondays | REPLAY | Scott Bessent’s Impact and Market Shifts | 25|11|24

This week brought a flurry of critical developments, with Scott Bessent named as Treasury Secretary, signaling potential shifts in U.S. fiscal policy. Known for his bond market expertise, Bessent’s appointment caused gold prices to dip and led to fresh buying of bonds with 10-year yields falling 7bp on Monday's open. Meanwhile, Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $99,500, reflecting growing crypto optimism under the new administration. In economic data, the U.S. saw mixed PMI numbers, with services ...

Nov 25, 202430 min

The Officials with Jorge Montepeque: You be the Judge | S1 E17

In this episode of The Officials, Jorge, Ed, Will, and Mita dive deeper into the evolving world of electric vehicles and how they're affecting the energy markets. In China, data is highlighting surging sales of new EV models and insurance registrations - likely thanks to the rapid advancements in quality and affordability. They also touch on how broader Chinese economic confidence, credit trends, and real estate developments are influencing spending patterns and demand for resources. The Officia...

Nov 21, 202421 minSeason 1Ep. 17

The CEO's Address with Greg Newman | Vicky Chen on the Rise of Direct Trading

Group CEO Greg Newman is joined by Onyx Direct Trader Vicky Chen for a special episode of the CEO's Address. Vicky discusses the experience and learnings she's gained since she joined Onyx seven years ago with no prior direct trading experience. As Vicky's been with Onyx, the team has expanded to provide enhanced direct trading services in more languages and in more regions. She and Greg discuss the challenges involved in providing services and market updates to clients 24/5 - and how onyx plans...

Nov 20, 202437 min
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