Today we start with a segment from Bloomberg Surveillance TV. Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Chief International Strategist, says excess reserves in repo systems are ultimately not doing their job. Randall S. Kroszner, University of Chicago Professor and Former Federal Reserve Board Member, explains why the Fed should allow the balance sheet to continue to grow. Seema Shah, Principal Global Investors Chief Strategist, says people still have some optimism about Brexit. Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macro...
Sep 20, 2019•25 min
Tom Porcelli, RBC Capital Markets Chief U.S. Economist, says the Fed is "absolutely" going to start purchasing assets again. Ira Jersey, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief U.S. Interest Rate Strategist, explains the Repo market. Laurence Boone, OECD Chief Economist, says if governments continue to rely solely on monetary policy, it will be difficult to put a break on the global growth slide. Greg Peters, PGIM Senior Portfolio Manager, says we have lots of room to run before we get a negative yield. An...
Sep 19, 2019•35 min
Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, doesn't think the Fed's march towards 100 basis point cuts is a done deal. Jack Ablin, Cresset Wealth Advisors Founding Partner and CIO, says recession is the new expansion. Stephen King, HSBC Senior Economic Advisor, says low unemployment appears positive but can often be a sign of wage pressures beginning to build. And Austan Goolsbee, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Professor of Economics & Former Council of Economic Advisers Cha...
Sep 18, 2019•27 min
Michael Holland, Holland & Company Chairman, discusses the origin of WeWork's "budding fiasco." Robert Shiller, 2013 Nobel Prize Winner, says President Trump's narrative has had immense power. Ellen Wald, Atlantic Council Global Energy Center Non-Resident Senior Fellow & Transversal Consulting President, says due to their built-in resiliency, Aramco may be back online sooner than expected. Paul Sankey, Mizuho Securities Oil Analyst, says the attacks on Aramco are a challenge for China, g...
Sep 17, 2019•38 min
Harry Tchilinguirian, BNP Head of Commodity Markets Strategy, breaks down the market risk surrounding the recent attack on Saudi oil supply. Michael Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Macro Strategist, says based on the data released today, there are structural reasons why China is slowing down. Ted Alden, CFR Senior Fellow, says the global economy needs leadership. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy Research, has her eye on how China and Iran will interact followi...
Sep 16, 2019•34 min
Kathy Fisher, Bernstein Head of Wealth and Investment Strategies, says the tolerance for deficit spending is greater than ever. Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research Strategy, says neither China nor the U.S. are desperate enough to reach a trade agreement. Simon French, Panmure Gordon Chief Economist, says the Federal Reserve is under political pressure to follow the actions of the ECB. Giles Turner, Bloomberg News EMEA Tech Reporter, says WeWork needs to IPO to maintain its growth mo...
Sep 13, 2019•29 min
Joyce Chang, JPMorgan Securities Global Research Chair, says negative rates are here to stay. Alberto Gallo, Algebris Portfolio Manager, says European governments can now act on negative interest rates, for better or for worse. Marcus Ashworth, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says Mario Draghi is leaving a "smorgasbord" of policy options for Christine Lagarde. Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg TV & Radio Chief Washington Correspondent, and Chuck Gabriel, Capital Alpha President, tell Surveillance what t...
Sep 12, 2019•37 min
Bloomberg Surveillance remembers Sept. 11, 2001. We hear from Bloomberg Government Homeland Security Reporter Michaela Ross, Bloomberg News Europe Deals Reporter Sarah Syed, Leuthold Group Chief Investment Officer Doug Ramsey, Passion Capital Partner Eileen Burbidge, and Bloomberg Opinion Columnist Chris Hughes. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Sep 11, 2019•26 min
David Kirkpatrick, Techonomy Media CEO & Founder, says the arrogance of Silicon Valley is being broken already, with the help of Facebook's errors. Derek Halpenny, MUFG Head of European Global Markets Research, says the central bank easing course is "done and dusted." George Saravelos, Deutsche Bank Global Head of FX Research, says Europe is at a point with the ECB right now where "less is more." Nancy Ognanovich, Bloomberg Government Congressional Leadership Reporter, says we're looking at ...
Sep 10, 2019•35 min
Steve Eisman, Eisman Group Neuberger Berman Senior Portfolio Manager, thinks negative rates are "crushing" and a massive policy mistake. Steven Englander, Standard Chartered Global Head of G10 FX Strategy, looks ahead to the ECB meeting on Thursday. Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Chief Economist, says the U.S. economy is going to be okay despite the headwinds coming from trade. And Therese Raphael, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says there is a movement towards reviving labor unions in th...
Sep 09, 2019•30 min
Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist says significant increases in optimism in the labor market can lead to higher participation rates. James Mayger, Bloomberg China Economy Editor & Beijing Deputy Bureau Chief, breaks down what the PBOC cutting its reserve requirement ratio means for the Chinese economy. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Systematic Fixed Income Senior Portfolio Manager, explains why the August U.S. Job growth report is a"temporary" low. Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO U.S. Eco...
Sep 06, 2019•45 min
Jacob Kirkegaard, Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow, lays out the possible outcomes for another U.K. general election. Esther Reichelt, Commerzbank AG FX Strategist, forecasts that unconventional monetary policy measures will drive the euro-dollar. John Authers, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says Brexit is unsolvable without a solution between Ireland and the U.K. And Ted Alden, CFR Senior Fellow & Author, "Failure to Adjust: How Americans Got Left Behind in the Glo...
Sep 05, 2019•29 min
Stephen Gallo, BMO Capital Markets Head of FX Strategy, says these are dramatic times and the entire global order is shifting. Steve Tsang, University of London SOAS China Institute Director, says Carrie Lam's announcement to withdraw the controversial extradition bill means mainland China is taking a softer approach to Hong Kong. David Sowerby, Ancora Managing Director & Portfolio Manager, brings us an update on the Mid-Cap investing space. And Anne Stevenson-Yang, J Capital Research Direct...
Sep 04, 2019•24 min
Rob Carolan, Bloomberg Meteorologist, brings us an update on Hurricane Dorian. Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of U.S. Equity Strategy, says retail sentiment is quite bearish. Dan Ahn, Former U.S. Department of State Chief Economist, doesn't think that weakness appearing in both the U.S. & world economy is driven solely by trade tensions. Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, explores why global manufacturing has fallen into a slump and how it will impact global growth. And Krishn...
Sep 03, 2019•30 min
For an episode of Bloomberg's podcast Behind the Scenes, Bloomberg Surveillance’s Tom Keene sits down with GAMCO Investors CEO Mario Gabelli to discuss value investing, philanthropy and Warren Buffett. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Aug 30, 2019•31 sec
Lakshman Achuthan, Economic Cycle Research Co-Founder, thinks we would still be in a global slowdown without the U.S.-China trade war. Dan Fuss, Loomis Sayles Vice Chairman & Portfolio Manager, says the bid for dollar-based bonds is still very strong. Simon Usherwood, 'The UK in a Changing Europe' Deputy Director, says it's not clear what would happen if there is a general election in the U.K. Sarah House, Wells Fargo Securities Senior Economist, expects a consumption slowdown heading into t...
Aug 30, 2019•32 min
Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi Chief U.S. Economist, thinks that there is some recognition in the bond market that global growth may be slow for a long time. Mij Rahman, Eurasia Group Managing Director of Europe, says the economic cycle in Europe is not robust due to broader concerns about trade disputes. Jordan Rochester, Nomura FX Strategist, says the ECB has few options left for inflation. Peggy Collins, Bloomberg News Managing Editor U.S. Economy, says Treasury Secretary Mnuchin has left the quest...
Aug 29, 2019•36 min
Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says he is waiting for full acknowledgement of a U.S. recession. Adam Posen, PIIE President, discusses why Chairman Powell has to be wary of not predicting the outcomes of the U.S.-China trade war, but rather react to them. Tara Lachapelle, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says the Philip Morris-Altria reunion will benefit both companies. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Chief Strategist, says to expect a range-bound market while uncertainty over tr...
Aug 28, 2019•33 min
Mohamed El-Erian, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist & Allianz Chief Economic Adviser describes how he thinks central banks are being held hostage by markets. Maddi Dessner, JPMorgan Asset Management Managing Director, says the U.S. consumer remains resilient in the wake of raising tariffs. Tony Dwyer, Canaccord Genuity Chief Market Strategist, says it's better to react to market conditions rather than try to anticipate the next move. Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, says currency inter...
Aug 27, 2019•46 min
Jens Nordvig, Exante Data Founder & CEO, analyzes dollar strength, in relation to the G-7 and U.S.-China trade talks. Margie Patel, Wells Fargo Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager, says the Fed's new approach will allow the economy to grow. Ashwin Alankar, Janus Global Head of Asset Allocation & Risk Management, explains why monetary policy may not be able to do much to quell trade war uncertainty. John Hudak, Brookings Governance Studies Senior Fellow, questions whether there is a...
Aug 26, 2019•27 min
Bloomberg's Michael McKee joins us with a series of interviews from the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium. First, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard says U.S. farmers are in a down economy. Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan says, "I'm open to adjusting rates but would prefer not to." Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester is "confident" inflation is moving back toward the Fed's goal. And Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker thinks the Fed should stay its course and see "how things ...
Aug 23, 2019•46 min
Dana Peterson, Citi Global Economist, says in respect to the trade war between the U.S. and China, the damage to the global economy has already been done. Esther George, Kansas City Fed President, joins Bloomberg's Michael McKee at Jackson Hole and says she is not ready to provide more policy accommodation. Robert Hormats, Kissinger Vice Chair & former Goldman Sachs International Vice-Chair, says a resolution to Brexit would ease volatility. And Brian Wieser, GroupM President, discusses ad b...
Aug 23, 2019•26 min
Nick Bennenbroek, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Currency Strategy, predicts the U.S. dollar will remain stable or slightly stronger. Ralf Preusser, Bank of America Merrill Lynch International Global Head of Rates Strategy, says this is not a normal rate cut cycle for the Fed. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, questions whether or not there will be stimulus from Germany. And Brian Hook, Pompeo Senior Policy Adviser & U.S. Special Representative for Iran, says the White House's sancti...
Aug 21, 2019•29 min
Greg Daco, Oxford Economics Chief U.S. Economist, says they're expecting the U.S. economy to slow this year. Ken Leon, CFRA Research Global Director of Research, says REITs, particularly healthcare REITs, are recession-resistant. Terry Haines, Pangea Policy Advisory Founder, says frustrations from trade talks stem from China not wanting to make an enforceable agreement. And Katherine Chiglinsky, Bloomberg Finance Reporter, says it's been surprising to investors over the years to see how connecte...
Aug 20, 2019•31 min
Don Rissmiller, Strategas Research Chief Economist, looks ahead to Jackson Hole and says monetary policy "can't do it all." Claus Vistesen, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Euro-Zone Economist, predicts Germany will enter a technical recession. Lara Rhame, FS Investments Chief U.S. Economist, says she expects the U.S. economy to slow to uncomfortably low levels but not a recession. Rob Schiffman, Bloomberg Intelligence Analyst, doesn't see much risk to Apple's cash flow regardless of the tariff sit...
Aug 19, 2019•31 min
Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Market Strategist and Portfolio Manager, dismisses the idea of "pressing the panic button," given the economy's current outlook. Dana Peterson, Citi Global Economist, says the U.S. is participating in a global trade and manufacturing slump. Michael Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist and Macro Strategist, says central banks need to get ahead of the yield curve. Kevin Carey, New America Education Policy Vice President, explains the complications of existing federal student l...
Aug 16, 2019•40 min
Russ Koesterich, BlackRock's Global Allocation Team Portfolio Manager, says our economy is increasingly dependent on the consumer. Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs Global Head of Commodities Research, says iron ore is the "canary in the coal mine." Sarah Halzack, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, recaps Walmart earnings. John Herrmann, Mufg Securities Americas Director of U.S. Rate Strategy, says the U.S. job market is still resilient. And Julian Jackson, "De Gaulle" Author, discusses France's history and ...
Aug 15, 2019•42 min
Priya Misra, TD Securities Global Head of Rates Strategy, says a recession is very likely within the next 12 months. Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of U.S. Equity Strategy, believes the core issue with the trade war is actually how it's affecting business confidence, capex and hiring. George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures Founder and Chairman, explains why Beijing is deeply worried about Hong Kong protests. Ira Jersey, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief U.S. Interest Rate Strategist, analyze...
Aug 14, 2019•28 min
Yvonne Mann, Bloomberg Markets Asia Anchor, reports Hong Kong protesters plan for another march on Sunday. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor, predicts foreign business in China will decline. Brian Weinstein, Head of Global Fixed Income at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, says Fed easing may keep us alive but it can't spur the global economy. Willem Sels, HSBC Private Banking Chief Market Strategist, is not yet buying the dip because he sees room for further shake-ups in the marke...
Aug 13, 2019•25 min
Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Chief Economist and Managing Director, saysthe longer we go, the greater the risk of a systemic failure caused by negative interest rates. Yvonne Man, Bloomberg TV Anchor, reports from Hong Kong that there are areas in the city that are still safe. Jeffrey Wright, Eurasia Group North America Analyst, says trade issues with China and the U.S. are longstanding. And Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives Founder & President, weighs in on the rate cut de...
Aug 12, 2019•30 min
