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Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloombergwww.bloomberg.com

Listen for the latest in finance, economics and investment.

Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz and Annmarie Hordern bring you interviews from Bloomberg Surveillance Television.

Join Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney for the best conversations from Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. 

Watch Surveillance TV LIVE each mornings: http://bit.ly/3P7nstQ.

Watch Surveillance Radio LIVE weekday mornings: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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Episodes

Surveillance: Oil Recovery Will Be Uneven, Rats Says

Greg Boutle, BNP Paribas US Head of Equity and Derivative Strategy, says equities are now more expensive than they were before the recent turmoil. Martijn Rats, Morgan Stanley Global Oil Strategist, says the restart of oil demand will likely be uneven across crude products so we'll likely see more driving before flying again. Kathy Hochul, New York Lieutenant Governor, says the state of New York is projected to lose at least $15 Billion dollars in revenue in this budget year. Michelle Patch, Joh...

Apr 21, 202025 min

Surveillance: Recession Will Be Deep But Brief, Nielsen Says

Jim Caron, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, says this is a bond picker's market and investors need to be selective. Erik Nielsen, UniCredit Group Chief Economist, says that this recession will be deep with a very brief duration. Josh Sharfstein, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health Vice Dean for Public Health Practice and Community Engagement, says that we have seen a plateau in virus cases in the United States. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affai...

Apr 20, 202032 min

Surveillance: Fed's Mester Says U.S. Reopening Will Take Time

Tony Dwyer, Canaccord Genuity Chief Market Strategist, says he would not bet against the market and that this is a good time to remain neutral. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester says it’s going to take time for economy to reopen and that it needs to be done very carefully. Dr. Andrew Pekosz, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health Professor and Virologist, says that right now there really is no good evidence to suggest that people are getting reinfecte...

Apr 17, 202032 min

Surveillance: 'Extreme' Jobless Numbers With Hooper

Savita Subramanian, Bank of America Head of U.S. Equity and Quantitative Strategy, says we're in a fast and furious market. Jason Farley, Johns Hopkins University Professor of Nursing, says we are being very resilient in our efforts to make sure we have enough personal protective equipment. Michelle Meyer, BofA Securities Head of U.S. Economics, says the latest U.S. jobless claims numbers suggest an unemployment rate of 14%-15%. Peter Hooper, Deutsche Bank Securities Global Head of Economic Rese...

Apr 16, 202031 min

Surveillance: U.S. Response Should Model Others, Stiglitz Says

Joseph Stiglitz, Columbia University Professor, says Trump's decision to withhold W.H.O. funding is like defunding a fire department in the middle of a fire. Lauren Sauer Johns Hopkins University Assistant Professor of Emergency Medicine, says a coronavirus vaccine for the general public is likely one year away. Ken Leon, CFRA Director of Equity Research, says there is real risk in commercial real estate and construction at this time. Bill Priest, Epoch Investment Partners Executive Chairman and...

Apr 15, 202029 min

Surveillance: Bank Earnings With Michaud

Tom Michaud, KBW CEO, says he has never seen a recession come this quickly and this hard. Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of U.S. Equity Strategy, warns that earnings season will show collateral damage from the coronavirus pandemic. Jay Bryson, Wells Fargo Acting Chief Economist, says the unemployment rate will not go back to 3.5 percent this year. Michelle Patch, Johns Hopkins University School of Nursing Assistant Professor, details the physical and emotional toll taken on by medical ...

Apr 14, 202030 min

Surveillance: Fed's Clarida Says U.S. Can Escape Deflation

Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Richard Clarida says the central bank has the tools needed to keep the U.S. out of a deflationary trap, even as the coronavirus deals a severe hit to the economy. Dennis Gartman, Retired Editor of the Gartman Letter, says this is a time to own gold. Betsy Graseck, Morgan Stanley Head of Banks & Diversified Finance Research looks ahead to bank earnings and discusses the metrics she says will matter the most. Dr. Josh Sharfstein, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg...

Apr 13, 202030 min

Surveillance: Virus Is Crisis Like No Other, Georgieva Says

James Sweeney, Credit Suisse Chief Economist & CIO Americas, says the Fed is using the most aggressive tools it has to keep money flowing. Kristalina Georgieva, IMF Managing Director, says the world needs massive, well-targeted measures to help combat the coronavirus crisis. Ed Morse, Citi Research Global Head of Commodities, discusses President Trump's options if OPEC+ doesn't reach a deal. Jason Farley, Johns Hopkins University Professor of Nursing, says it is the immune system's response ...

Apr 09, 202033 min

Surveillance: Broad Virus Testing Needed, Hochul Says

Troy Gayeski, Skybridge Capital Partner Co-Chief Investment Officer & Senior Portfolio Manager, says if the market does not bottom until after Q2, there will be a much longer downside stretch than anticipated. Kathy Hochul, New York Lieutenant Governor, says broad virus testing is needed before the New York economy reopens. Stephen Roach, Yale University Professor, former Morgan Stanley Asia Chairman and former Morgan Stanley Chief Economist, says countries need to be careful about pointing ...

Apr 08, 202039 min

Surveillance: Monetary Policy With William White

Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research Strategy, says China's global influence will increase during the coronavirus crisis. Gabriela Santos, JPM Asset Management Global Market Strategist, says that the U.S. may be one of the last countries to rid itself of the coronavirus crisis, from a health and economic perspective. William White, Former Chairman of the OECD Economic and Development Review Committee, is fearful that so much money-printing for so long won't re-stimulate the economy a...

Apr 07, 202032 min

Surveillance: Coronavirus Treatments With Sharfstein

Charles Kantor, Neuberger Berman Long Short Fund Senior Portfolio Manager, is very bullish on America's recovery, saying there is more than enough federal stimulus for now. Joyce Chang, JPMorgan Chair of Global Research, says revisions on dividends and earnings will continue. Joshua Sharfstein, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health Vice Dean for Public Health Practice and Community Engagement, says it's important to temper expectations about potential coronavirus treatments....

Apr 06, 202029 min

Surveillance: Tariff Rollback Unlikely, Kudlow Says

Jeffrey Rosenberg, Senior Portfolio Manager on BlackRock's Systematic Fixed Income Team, believes it will be a long time before consumer behavior and confidence is restored in the U.S. Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, says a strong social safety net will keep a coronavirus recession from becoming a depression. Larry Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, says he does not expect to see any movements in regards to tariffs right now. Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Chief Oil Anal...

Apr 03, 202042 min

Surveillance: Historic Jobless Claims With Gapen

Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets, says the end of March market rally was due to a positive reaction out of Washington. Jason Furman, Harvard University professor and Former Obama Economic Advisor, says there will be very high unemployment for the rest of this year and next year. Michael Gapen, Barclays Chief U.S. Economist, says March jobs report is already old news; jobless claims data is the most important information we have. Jonathan Miller, Miller Samuel Real Estate Appraisers & Cons...

Apr 02, 202028 min

Surveillance: Post-Virus Recovery with Dudley

Olivier Blanchard, Peterson Institute Senior Fellow, says getting the infection rate down is an absolute priority. Bill Dudley, Former New York Fed President, says the post-pandemic economic recovery will not be as powerful as hoped because of higher debt burdens. Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs Advisory Director & Senior Investment Strategist, says that U.S. monetary and fiscal policy is moving in the right direction. Michael Shaoul, Marketfield Asset Management Chairman & Portfolio Ma...

Apr 01, 202035 min

Surveillance: Virus Impact on Americans With Gallup's Younis

Carmen Reinhart, Harvard Kennedy School Professor of the International Finance System, says the coronavirus, Saudi-Russia oil war, and risk of debt defaults have created a perfect storm for emerging markets. Mohamed Younis, Gallup Editor in Chief, reports that 52% of working Americans say their financial situation has already been affected by the coronavirus. Oliver Chen, Cowen Senior Equity Research Analyst, says the speed and viability of consumer spending post-crisis will be challenging. Shah...

Mar 31, 202038 min

Surveillance: Fed's Balance Sheet With Bullard

Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Global Head of Commodities & Derivatives Research, expects to see the steepest decline in global oil consumption before the summer. James Bullard, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President, says the Fed has capacity to carry 10% more debt. Bruce Kasman, JPMorgan Chief Economist and Managing Director of Global Research, says he wouldn't be surprised to see more Fed action. Richard Haass, Council on Foreign Relations President, says the United States will be...

Mar 30, 202042 min

Surveillance: Fed's Virus Response With Kaplan & Bostic

Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, says there will be no second half rebound in 2020 if businesses that do not borrow bonds go bankrupt. Robert Kaplan, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President, sees a substantial contraction in the second quarter, but says the economy will get stronger heading into 2021. Raphael Bostic, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President, says the economy may rebound quite robustly once the public health crisis is under control. Darrell Cronk, Wells Fargo Wealth...

Mar 27, 202045 min

Surveillance: Record Jobless Claims with Porcelli

David Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management Chief Global Strategist, says the economy should be held in suspended animation until coronavirus is under control. Tom Porcelli, RBC Capital Markets Chief U.S. Economist, says this is just the beginning of jobless claims being elevated. Leslie Vinjamuri, Chatham House Head of U.S. and Americas Programme, says the Senate's $2 trillion stimulus package is extraordinary but the cause of the coronavirus pandemic must still be dealt with. Karen G. Mills, Former...

Mar 26, 202029 min

Surveillance: Coronavirus Response With Rajan

Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, believes we are entering a steep recession with tremendous policy response to follow. Raghuram Rajan, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Professor and former RBI Governor, discusses what India needs to do to combat the coronavirus crisis as the country locks down its population of 1.3 billion people. Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Founder & Chief Economist, says we don't know the state of the economy of any major ...

Mar 25, 202036 min

Surveillance: Expect More Virus Cases, Rasmussen Says

Julian Emanuel, BTIG Chief Equity & Derivatives Strategist, says sellers are exhausted and a bottoming process is starting. Angela Rasmussen, Columbia University Virologist, says opening back up parts of the U.S. economy is a bad idea without further virus testing. Randall Kroszner, Former Federal Reserve Board Member, says the Fed's actions have been crucial in avoiding a financial crisis so far. Bob Crandall, Former AMR Corp. President, CEO & Chairman, says the government needs to make...

Mar 24, 202035 min

Surveillance: Congress Must Act Now, Swonk Says

Peter Hooper, Deutsche Bank Global Head of Economic Research, says there is no question that the economy is going into free-fall in the near term. Mike Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Macro Strategist, says the Fed is starting to get some traction as the central bank announces a massive second wave of initiatives to support the U.S. economy. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says congress must act now to help all sides of the economy. Ben Laidler, Tower Hudson Research CEO, ...

Mar 23, 202025 min

Surveillance: U.S. GDP to Drop 12% in 2Q, BofA Says

Steve Wieting, Citi Private Bank Global Chief Investment Strategist, says this is a bad time to sell investments. Patrick Armstrong, Plurimi Wealth CIO, says earnings are going to be decimated for a lot of industries in Q2. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Global Head of Commodities & Derivatives Research, says the hardest part of this crisis is not knowing the demand growth we'll get in Q2. Michelle Meyer, Bank of America Head of U.S. Economics predicts U.S. GDP will drop 12% in the second...

Mar 20, 202027 min

Surveillance: Time for Governments to Try MMT?

Jack Ablin, Cresset Wealth Advisors CIO & Founding Partner, explains why Modern Monetary Theory could be part of the fiscal and monetary policy response to the coronavirus crisis. Subadra Rajappa, Societe Generale Head of U.S. Rates Strategy, says I've never seen this kind of volatility in the treasury market. Nathan Sheets, PGIM Fixed Income Economist and Macroeconomic Research, says we should expect over one trillion dollars in fiscal stimulus within the next ten days. Sam Stovall, CFRA Ch...

Mar 20, 202028 min

Surveillance: The Fed Needs Fiscal Help, Dudley Says

Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist, says signs are showing that a bottoming process has begun in stocks. Bill Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist & Former New York Fed President, says the Fed can do very little about the initial demand shock from the coronavirus. Carl Riccadonna, Bloomberg Economics Chief U.S. Economist, says the Fed is taking market stabilizing measures, but not looking to stimulate the economy. Frances Donald, Manulife Investment Management G...

Mar 17, 202026 min

Surveillance: We're Headed For a Recession, Wilson Says

Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, says the Euro is currently giving misleading signs. Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says we are headed for a global recession. Gershon Distenfeld, AB Co-Head of Fixed Income, says fear is taking over and in certain industries the economy is already shutting down. Randy Kroszner Former Fed Board Governor, says the fed is trying to get ahead of the curve. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information....

Mar 16, 202027 min

Surveillance: We Are Likely In A Recession, Shilling Says

Julian Emanuel, BTIG Chief Equity & Derivatives Strategist, says the single most important thing that we could see as a sign of backstopping confidence in the financial markets right now would be a meeting between President Trump and Speaker Pelosi and Senator Schumer. Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist, says the market sell-off is sheer panic. Christian Schulz, Citi Economics Team Director, discusses the need to "socialize losses" as central banks and governme...

Mar 12, 202031 min

Surveillance: Central Bank Stimulus With Blanchflower

Rupert Harrison, BlackRock Multi-Asset Strategies Portfolio Manager, says the U.K. is going to do everything possible to avoid permanent economic damage from coronavirus disruption. David Blanchflower, Former BOE Policy Committee Member and Dartmouth College Professor, questions the ECB's ability to coordinate with other governments. Nouriel Roubini, Roubini Macro Associates Chairman & CEO, says collapsing oil prices are a benefit for the real economy. Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Chief U.S...

Mar 11, 202033 min

Surveillance: Oil Price War With Yergin

Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says the correction we're going through now is just a continuation of the correction that began two years ago. Dan Yergin, IHS Markit Vice Chairman, says there is a grudge match going on between Saudi Arabia and Russia. Philipp Hildebrand, BlackRock Vice Chairman & Steven Major, HSBC Fixed Income Research Managing Director, discuss the low interest rate environment. Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research Strategy, says Chine...

Mar 10, 202036 min

Surveillance: Market Plunge With El-Erian

Mohamed El-Erian, Allianz Chief Economic Adviser & Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, foresees a "whatever it takes" approach for central banks. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Global Head of Commodities & Derivatives Research, says brent oil could dip into the $20s. John Wraith, UBS Head of U.K. Rates Strategy, says the markets are anticipating rates getting close to zero. Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist, says panicked behavior creates opportunity for inves...

Mar 09, 202050 min

Surveillance: Growth Is Likely To Slow, Kudlow Says

Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO US Economist, says growth shock can lead to market panic. Farley Cleghorn, Palladium Health Director, discusses the issues surrounding testing for the coronavirus. Jeff Rosenberg, Senior Portfolio Manager on BlackRock's Systematic Fixed Income Team, says payroll report shows the strength of the economy going into the virus shock. Lawrence Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, says growth is likely to slow, but the virus impact will be temporary. See omnystudio.com/li...

Mar 06, 202038 min
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