Beating The Book: NFL MegaPod Super Bowl LIV Props Edition - podcast episode cover

Beating The Book: NFL MegaPod Super Bowl LIV Props Edition

Jan 30, 20201 hr 4 min
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And so, it comes to this.  Before the San Francisco 49ers take on the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl LIV at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida, enjoy the final NFL MegaPod of the season, replete with game and prop analysis. VSiN host, Jeff Parles joins Host Gill Alexander, CircaSportsMike Palm, and Todd Wishnev from Showtime’s docuseries “Action” to give insight on game and props betting behavior, while the quartet breaks down the game itself and offers up what it sees as the best value on the board among Super Bowl game-related proposition wagers.  For the non-Vegas bettors, everyone chimes in with thoughts on the most exploitable novelty props on the board, as well.  There's something for everyone, on Thursday's Beating The Book (January 30, 2020).

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Speaker 1

Check it on Man No Down Man Thursday morning, January. It is the Beating the Book podcast, Megapod, Gil Alexander, Mike Holm, Todd wishnev and on our Super Bowl fifty four special Props edition with some game handicap as well. Jeff Parlay. Jeff Parl's returning to the show as well. Gentlemen, thank you all for being here. I appreciate the entire season. Okay, now here's no one says thank you for having me today.

I will speak for the other two and I would imagine they will thank you as well for having them all year long. Well, thank you, Jeff, I appreciate it. One of us has to be an adults here. Todd, please take your telephone O far away from the damn microphone. God bless America. It's been twenty shows. Man. Look I'm researching the big game right now. So did did you just find out about the matchup? Wait? We're talking about Rider at Monmouth, right, Rider at Monmouth. We take this

break from Australian open coverage to give you Super Bowl thoughts. Gentlemen. Let us start with props. Well, actually, you know what, let's start with the game itself, because all of this is related to your props, you know, in theory ought to be somewhat correlated with your game handicap so real. Briefly, I don't know if there's a lot to say about Super Bowl fifty four, which hasn't been said all week long, but we really didn't say to this format. So Jeff,

we start with you as the guest. Kansas City the Chiefs one point favorites over the Niners. Total open at fifty one and a half. That is where I jumped on it. So the only game bet that I made is the first line that was released was at halftime of the Niners Packers game. It was twenty seven and nothing. Uh. In the NFC Championship off shore, they put out lines immediately Kansas City minus one and the total was fifty one a half. I thought that was an egregiously low total.

I leaned Kansas City. I actually parlayed the two because I thought it a bit correlated that if Kansas City wins, most likely it will be in over. So that's what I have. It has since moved, the total has anywhere to fifty four and a half, even some fifty five's out there. I believe the South point ticked it fifty five. But that's fifty four and a half consensus, Jeff, your thoughts on Super Bowl fifty So I'm sitting on a plus seven fifty chief Super Bowl picket right now. Yeah

so so. So I'm in a scenario where I will likely let the thing ride and probably have no action whatsoever on the on the traditional sense of betting this game, I still leaned Kansas City. They have the best player in the world in Patrick Mahomes. That offense is something that San Francisco hasn't seen this year. And the most similar quarterback to Patrick Mahomes that they've seen is Russell Wilson.

And they struggled against Russell Wilson twice. Granted, Wilson is his own entity, and he's the second best player and I on the planet right now behind the Homes. And but they really struggled with Russell Wilson the two times, even though they still should have probably win one oh and one or maybe even two and oh in those

two games against Seattle. But I lean Mahomes. I leaned the weapons of Kansas City's offense, uh San Francisco to me, And it comes back to something Codd has said all year, and we didn't see the last two games because once Garoppolo threw the interception against Minnesota that led to three points, Jimmy G was asked to do absolutely nothing the last game and a half. Jimmy G is gonna have to

do something in this game. If the Niners are gonna hoist the Lombardi, I don't think he's gonna be able to. He's gonna make one critical blunder and that blonder will be the difference. So I like case. I also like even at the inflated total. I like the game over. Something in the pocket of seven feels about right calling

his calling his score right there. Jeff Parls, by the way, Ladies and gentleman, who hosts a market watch on Visa and the Vegas Stats and Information Network series sex sum Channel two oh four, four to six, specific seven and nine Eastern Monday through Friday on the network. I of course hosted Numbers game seven and nine am tended newon Eastern. Jeff is my producer producing Number five. Mike Palm is the conciliary over there at Circuits Sports. He is the

vice president of operations. Can I just say this, I mean, because everything that that goes through the threat of this game. Handicap really does come down to some of the things Jeff was talking about, which is which San Francisco forty Niners offensive version. Are we going to get the one that we saw in the playoffs that was super run heavy or the one that we saw most of the regular season, which actually, for all the flak that he's been getting during the playoffs, actually was a whole bunch

of Jimmy Garoppolo doing fairly well. How do you see this game, Mike, Jeez, I don't don't find there's any value betting this pre flop deal. Um. I think the numbers about right. Anybody that makes a number on this game probably has it between two Kansas City and to San Francisco, right, I mean, the game is is really close. I don't know if I if I want to bet a site here, um, because you can play this scenario how different ways, and I think both teams have about

an equal chance to win. I think we're undervaluing a little bit San Francisco's offense because of how one dimensional it's been in the playoffs, But I think it can be more dynamic. I would lean over. Obviously you've got a good number. I thought it came out low. I actually bet it at fifty two on Monday after um, but now it's at fifty four and a half most places. UM,

So I'm not interested in in anymore. Uh, there's some alternate totals that I'm interested in a little bit into the over um, and you can shop around because everybody's got a different number right at circus sixty and a half over as plus two dollars, so I think there's some value there. Um. I know there's some even to go into the seventies at plus six dollars, which may be worth a little bit of money on him as well, because I think that there will be very few punts

in this game. I think both teams will be success about moving the ball um whether or not there are chunk plays, and how many possessions are in the game. It's probably going to determine exactly how many points are scored, but it should just be a really a terrific matchup between these two teams. So the only thing I have pre flop is over Yeah, And I don't blame you at all that that was where the value was, and I agree with you. If someone's landing right now, I'm

not sure there's any preflop value. And one of the things we were talking about Jeff and I on a numbers game this morning at Visa was the fact that with a spread like minus one, minus one and a half, whatever you find right now in the Chiefs, it takes away another big Super Bowl factor, which is that in the last twenty years, for whatever reason, the betting public

behavior changes with Super Bowls. So during the regular season, you know, folks who bet the underdog are typically going to take the points, but for whatever reason, for the last couple of decades, when they bet Super Bowls, they don't tend to take the points. They take the money line on the dog, and it creates this muted money line price on a favorite, which therefore means value on the money line on the favorite. But when a spread is this short, we don't even get that dynamic. In

this Super Bowl. Um Warren Sharp, by the way, points out a stat Chiefs have never trailed by more than excuse me, Patrick Mahomes has never trailed by more than seven And Jeff went out with the exception, I guess of that Texans game. In his entire NFL career, last time before that he trailed by more than seven was against Iowa State at Texas Tech back in Niners this year in the second half have trailed by more than seven four grand total of four minutes and thirty four

seconds in that first game against the Seahawks. So this could shape up to be one of the great games ever, at least through the lens of that stead Todd Wishnev showtime docuseries, star of the docuseries Action, also frequent Numbers Game co host. Can I call you a co host? DoD? Is that allowed on Wednesdays? I'm okay, Uh, Todd Is, We're we're pulling Todd away from the impeachment of Donald J. Trump.

What do you like here? Todd? On the game itself, we don't talk politics on the megapod, gil and that's a violation of sections the one six four D three sub section B, which states no politics on the megapode you're watching. I didn't really give your opinion. So, um, you want to know about the Cianna Monmouth game where the Orna St. Peter's or the big San Francisco game, whichever one you want to talk about. Maybe let's do

the just do the second one. Okay, San Francisco is playing gonzag on Saturday, and uh, I'm sorry, no, the the Okay, the football game. I think that you know, much has been said. It's all been said. It's obviously a tight line, probably going to be a tight game. The only thing that keeps coming back, and I think Jeff Barl has already stole my thunder, is that Jimmy g has the best interception babbit of all time. Uh. He basically has thrown the ball through the fender's hand

better than any quarterback I can never remember. There's been many many chances for interceptions that have not gone against him, and I feel like it's possible. I don't know if you watch the action docuseries, but there was a part of the Super Bowl last year where they were filming and I said, isn't goff supposed to make a mistake already? It was about eight minutes to go in the game, and then literally two minutes later he through the interception

and down at the three yard line. I just have a feeling that old man Jimmy is going to make a big pick in a big spot and it could cost the Niners the game. So that's kind of my feel on the game. Of course, I'm not going to pre flop at it. I'm gonna end game it because I believe you get more value on the end game. If you want to know why I think that, please look up all my appearances on a numbers game and

Dr Gil Alexander's opinions as well. The only thing that I tell you is better to bet pregame is Todd wishnev at the l v I versus Tennis reference from Todd wishnev Um later on the show, by the way, reflections on the first year of the Megapod from Mike and Todd their first year on the Megapod one and done. I don't know. I don't know what's coming on reflections.

Maybe that's what they're going to tell me. I'd like to ask, you know, I'd like to ask Todd, Yes, if he played Sophia Kennon, but at the Sedona court, what would the line be? Well, I'll be on was the division two or Division one? In tennis? She's the

second best American women's playing in the Australian Open final. TOTTYO, Well, here's the thing I've you know, usually I beat women's tennis players on two and one overall against them, so you probably have to go with me minus because she is God geez, Sophia Kennon, for those who don't know, has made us tons of money this week. I got her at plus eight fifty to win the whole thing. Let's see if it happens. Well, you should thank me for not betting it and mushing you, thank you, Lord,

you're not kidding, all right. Well, I just want to say this about the game itself, though. I love that this podcast has evolved through the years and literally like we've gotten to the point finally in the year where it's okay to not have a real strong conviction on a pre flop bet because there's so many other things, the endgame being first and foremost among them. But obviously the props, which most bookmakers will tell you now is fifty conservatively of their action when it comes to Super

Bowl handle. Well, so it's our first year, so Derek and I, Derek and I had a discussion on Championship Sunday and we wanted to each other's opinion on what percent of our total handle on Super Bowl would be

on props. Right, So Derek thought it would be between fifteen and right, I said, I thought it would be around But if we got this matchup, I thought it'd be higher because you're not going to see the money line betting, right, and the money line betting would the percentage because you see large wagers each way on money lines.

Let's say the game was a six or seven, right, So I thought maybe it would creep over because we wouldn't have the larger money line as of nine am this morning, and right, the most action will come in the next three days. But as of nine am this morning, with a little over a million written on the game already, we're at sixty percent of the action is on the problem skill six on the problems. But I would suggest that's gonna go down because you're gonna get more square betting,

now you know what I mean. Don't you think it'll go down mic percentage wise? Well, yeah, because you'll see the large bets now on the game on the sides and totals the hundred thousands, two hundred thousands. So right now,

we haven't seen that yet, right. I think we took an eighty thousand dollar bet on the Chiefs of minus one is the largest single wager we've taken so far, but they'll be the masses of people here and we have six thousand people at one party five hundred at the other that will pound the props two with twenties and fifties and hundreds. So it'll be interesting when it all watches out Sunday night. Would you guys mind moving the line for me at circuit of plus two thirty

and I can cut you guys in. I'll cut you guys in on ten of the winnings if I went, and then I'll come in afterwards, and I'll bet one United States dollar on it so that you can get away with it. How about that? Todd uh? The Frank and Anthony Curtis brought Mattress Mac to the d Monday night. Um they have dinner at on Diamo. Of course, also he asked us to make that wager at plus one, but I gave the steakhouse director heads up that you know, Mac will tell you what he's gonna pay for his steak.

It's the line of the week, all right. I would like to take this moment randomly to pay tribute to the Hard Rock Hotel Casino here in Las Vegas. Yesterday I along with my buddy Meltzer, like Seltzer, Mark Meltzer, we met at the Hard Rock in Las Vegas. Now, for those who have listened to this podcast for many, many years, you know that I spent a great deal of my adult life living in that damn building, in that hotel casino. Judge me if you will, but had

great memories for me. It was a massive period of my life where I spent in an inordinate amount of time in that building. So yesterday, this is the final week of the hard Rock. It is going to be shut down on Monday, and it's going to turn in six months later into a Richard Branson Virgin Hotel, Richard Branson that is. And so we went there yesterday and the only thing I can say is it was sort of like when Michael Jackson died. I would have thought if you had told me as a kid that Michael

Jackson was gonna die, I would have been heartbroken. But by the time Michael Jackson actually died in real life, the Michael Jackson that I loved and that so many of us loved had already kind of died already. So by the time he actually physically died, it wasn't quite as emotional. This was what happened at the hard Rock Yesterday's completely you know, as I said in thirteen, they've done all these renovations for the sake of renovations. They ruined the circle bar in the middle. Just a crap

show what they did. They're late in their history. So anyway, it was a ten minute, so ten minutes of a harrowing experience where I couldn't wait to get the hell out of there. But I did did pick take pictures of the pool. Memories did flood back, and there was a guy. My whole thing was, will there be anybody working there at the sports book or at the diner that is still there after all these years? And sure enough I walked into the sports book and there's this

ticket writer Randy. That's so I couldn't believe it still there. And as soon as I walked in, he looked at me like I was the Jettie and he goes kill, is that you? And so that was enough for closure for me. At the hard Rock r I p pour out of forty for the hard Rock Hotel in Las Vegas, Nevada, a huge staple of this podcast for many, many years. Let us talk props. Let's do game props first, and then we'll get to the more exotic ones if you will later. All right, Jeff, we start with you game

related props. What is your single favorite one, oh Gil, Based off the list I had this morning for a numbers game, I apparently have nine the jillion one that I probably will bet um, but look the one that I've already been and that Look, it's one of those where we're relying on the officials on this one. And I know that maybe a scary proposition the folks, but I'm gonna I already am in on. Yes, there will be a roughing the pastor call at plus one fifty.

This thing open at the south point of minus one twenty. And then the on the s and in the steam came flying in on the no. The uh, the yes was as high as plus one sixty. We are in a high profile scenario with an elite quarterback and Patrick Mahomes. We are in a scenario where Garoppolo already has suffered a knee injury. Granted it was on a run play, not a passing play. Last year against the same team, we were talking about Bill Vinovitch, who even though it

was not necessarily his fault, it was here. He was the head RAF at the non call last year in the NFC Championship game in New Orleans, so I think he's gonna be a little bit more likely to call something that may be there. And look, all it takes is one hard crunch on Patrick Mahomes from Nick Bosa and we're gonna get there. So I got I have

yes plus one fifty. There will be a roughing the passer penalty called in the Superman and Jeff fair to say, you've been obsessed with that prop for about ten days now, I would say I that that is the one that has stood out for me. And it's uh at a plus money shot, Gil and is uh something I'm more than more than happy to lose. If it ends up losing, we'll not happy. But you know what, if that's right, I am will. I am willing to lose this one.

If if they play a clean game with the elite pass rush of San Francisco and Frank Cark who is already chomping at the bid and and talk and smacked the d Ford on the other end, um, I'll feel all right about myself. And the end yeah, will Patrick, will Pat Mahomes be too elusive to be roughed? Will Jimmy Garoppolo get enough opportunities to be roughed? Can I comment on Jeff's please, because I too have been obsessed with this prop? Okay, because I think that you're able

to get real data on it. So I went back. Now, obviously, there's only two officials that can call ropping, the past or the referee or the umpire. Right is one half of that most people do. Benevitch's crew over the last four years calls an average of seven point eight roughing the passers per year, right, So so you would think, just based on that fact, it's about fifty fifty right whether they're gonna call right, So at plus one fifty

would seem a great price. However, to the point Gil made outside of the first game this year at Jacksonville, where Mahomes absolutely got crunched six times, how did they get a clean hit on this guy? He just floats around and when he does get sacked, it's like they grab him around the ankles and he just falls forward,

you know what I mean. So that would seem to move the number a little bit more towards the no, and then of course how many passes will Garoppolo pro And also he tends to want to just get rid of the ball quicker than take hits. So I still think your price is right, Jeff, at plus one fifty. There's value in your side. If it was more towards to pick up, I would lean under if it was more like minus one fift both ways, But right, I've

been obsessed with it as well. It's very interesting keeping keep in mind if seven point eight doesn't mean that there was one in seven games and point eight in the eighth games, it's possible there could have been two in one game, which means that it's possible that only six of the sixteen games did he actually call one,

So that will also todd. Remember these head officials officiate fourteen games a year in the regular season as well, they get too by weeks off, So we're looking at we're looking at one every one every other week roughly with Vinevich's crew. To look there are there are a lot there are a lot of a lot of variables

that go into this play. I go and go into the play here, but I just keep coming back to Vinoviche was involved and it wasn't necessarily as fault, but he was involved in the in one of the biggest on field misses in NFL officiating history last year. If there is anything tight, especially early, they are to me, especially Benevitch himself, And like Mike correctly said, only two officials can call roughing the passer based off the angles

they have. I think Vinevitch is going to be more apt to throw a flag on something that maybe if he as opposed as opposed to it if it were a different official in this spot. That's a fine point too. That's a fine point, Young Jeffrey. By the way, on Venevich skill, um, there is a prop will I scream at the television. I can hate that guy minus nine hundred. You should take the Yet, why do you hate minus two thousand, Bill Todd? Why do you hate Bill Benevitch?

Because there's almost no referee that I see in an NFL game that doesn't conjure up horrible memories of a terrible call, and he's one of them. That is just a lingering like I'm just angry about him. There's almost none of them. Walt Michaels, I hate I hate Vanovich. You know, just keep naming names and I'll say I hate him, but there's almost not one of them that I don't hate and say I hate that guy when I see him on the TV. What what? What? Hold on? Todd? Todd?

What a career for Wald Michael's coach of the Jets and the head official. That's very good Anderson He means Walt Anderson. But by the way, Walt Anderson did get moved off the field for next year, Todd, so you do not have to deal with him. I'm sorry I got the names wrong, but you know, I hate all of them, you know, the only one, the only one I really hated, was Mike Carey. I absolutely despised Mike Near. He's one of the few I don't mind. I loved Mike Carry. Oh, I thought he I thought he was

a real prima donna. Uh. I don't understand Mike carry. Mike Carrey was not good in the booth, we all know that, but I loved him as an official. Well you did you ever see him? Gil? He never did a Redskins game because of the he hated. He hated the races names. How for six years, they never made

him do a Redskins game. I had a conversation with Mike Carry, a fifteen minute conversation with him at the Sloane Sports Analytics Conference at m I T back in the early twenty ten, so like twelve somewhere in there, and I had a discussion with him about certain NFL rules and how they called at the previous year and how I thought some of them were nonsense and others were not, and he he protected the shield on a few,

but then I did. Then I did get to one where he was like, I don't see anything wrong with that at all. And then as I walked away, he gave me the side eye and a smile, so he knew that I was onto something with one of them. So I really enjoyed Mike Carry anyway. But anyway, Mike, I like your I like your data driven analysis on Jeff's though, I like that kind of stuff. What do you got? My favorite one goes back to the theory.

I think this is just a great matchup and will be a terrific super Bowl, And so I gave this out yesterday. I mentioned Paul largest lead will be under fourteen and a half points, and you spoke to some of the those points about these teams don't trail by large margins outside of that, outside of the Houston started twenty four and nothing. Um, that'd be the only time that this wouldn't have been true for both for both teams for for a year and a half at least. Um,

I just don't see it. You're gonna it's gonna take three consecutive scores. Uh, And that's with it at sea level. And this this prop, I bet at plus one ten, you've got a shop port now, I mean I see it as high as minus one in some places. Um, But I really like this prop a lot. I think this is a one score game either way. Maybe it doesn't get to a ten point lead, possibly, but the difference between thirteen and a half and fourteen and a half is so big on this prop. And we got

the higher one, so I'll take it. I like it. Number one. What you got? I wrote down a bunch of a couple of I haven't looked through all the props yet, but these were a couple nice, so great to be consistent the whole senior time? Did the Super Bowl sneak up on you? I was busy with Arkansas South Carolina on the second half over Sorry, um anyways, radio Ah, let me just say to Mike Palm in a nice tone, go for yourself, Mike, Now, UM, I

have four of them written down here. UM, I could give you the one that's most correlated to Mike call because I kind of go with even though he's an actual I think he's right about this. Um it says. One of them was will game be tied after zero zero? Was pick them um minus one either way one of the places I saw it at, and I just think like Mike was just saying, this is probably gonna be a close game, which would add to more chances for it to be tied after zero zero. So that that's

what I kind of like. Also, the will the game be tied after zero zero? So any tie you get their three, three, seven, seven to two, six, six, ten, ten, any of that cash is at any two? Yeah, but they just square circus boards to too after the first quarter? Yes, yes, too, because there's never been two safeties in the first quarters, so it's possible. Jeff, you and I, You and I referenced every prop that we've talked about so far on the show today. These are these all came up on

the show as well. Talked about the one I just said, yes, we did, Yes, Okay, glad to know that I wasn't out on a limit. Legitimately have a list that is too full American printed out pages of potential props to be beat Todd. So that's why I don't have time to look I didn't have time to look through all

of them. I'm still been in college basketball. It's amazing that Todd never listens to a numbers game, except that when he's on that's funny, but he doesn't listen to it then either, Mike cracks old segment today, so both of you go to hell. He doesn't listen to it when he's on the on the set either, He just waits to speak. Poorly designed sets, poorly designed set. We're just We're just. My number one prop is uh courtesy of Bob Stole Dr Bob, who has joined us I

think on the Prop Show before on this podcast. I'm sorry what it's about kie Van Looney is better than Clay Thompson. Uh No, this is about the super Bowl and it is under Patrick Mahomes thirty three and a half rushing yards. And as Bob accurately points out, Patrick Mahomes, what we have most recently in our mind is his scamper against the Titans to the house at the end of the first half. Both against the Titans and the Texans, he's playing defenses that play a lot of man coverage. Well,

the Niners don't do that. They're they're more zone. And I'll add on to what Bob has to say that really, in the case of the Niners, they closed down on offensive players in space quicker than any other team in football. Thirty three and a half is a lot of yards. Patrick Mahomes in thirty five professional football games as a professional quarterback, has gained twenty eight point five yards or fewer in twenty eight of those thirty five, four out of five, so only of the time has he exceeded

twenty and a half. If you can find a thirty three and a half which is out there in many locations, the under is the play on Patrick Mahomes. For me, I just don't. I don't think this is the team. What's that? I like that? Oh you do? Yeah? I don't. I don't think this is the team where he goes crazy on. Now, can all of these bets be torpedoed by one wacky play? Sure? But that's my number one play. Jeff number two, this thing. If you watched all his games,

he doesn't He's not really a big runner. That was a weird thing that he did that one game. I agree, and people are super influenced by recency, of course, Jeffrey number two, I'm going to take the Kansas City Chiefs to convert a fourth down. Yes, plus a hundreds, so even money on the Chiefs converting a fourth down. Now, look, we this is a perfect spot for Andy Reid to uh to to pucker up and not h not actually be somewhat aggressive with his elite quarterback and settled for

twenty seven yard field goals on fourth and one. But at some point, Gill, in this game, Kansas City is gonna have fourth down in two or fourth and three at the nine or thirty five yard line, or even late in the game, if the Chiefs are trailing, trying to get the lead or tie the game late, they're

gonna have a fourth down opportunity. The Chiefs have been a great fourth down team all year long, of course, because of number fifteen, So uh and even money shot at a Yes, they will convert a fourth down in the game. I like that. So I'll take Kansas City even money, yes, converting a fourth down, Yes, converting a fourth down even money from Jeffrey Mike. I like this

prop and uh it's been bet bet to the under. Um. I checked it this morning because I don't want to give out his stale number, but number of forty Niners to to have a reception at seven? I like this under seven? Now the juice? Who it is? Now? Minus one seventy five? It opened one forty at the South Point, it opened at Westgate at five and a half, used one thirty to the over Where are they gonna come

up with it? In their last five games, there's only been a total of sixty Niners that have a reception total. That's combining all of them and uh. In the both playoff games there were four and then the three previous games six, which is a winner. The two previous games to that seven, which would be a push. It takes eight to beat you. Uh. In their eighteen games this year, they've only had eight or more people to catch it

a reception twice and both times was against the Arizona Cardinals. Uh. So I think there's a lot of value in that here. I still think they're gonna try to run the ball first against this Kansas City defense and get and get wide with their rushing attack, which is actually uh has more chunk plays than you would think. I mean, they run, but they don't running for three yards. They're running for eight to eight to twelve on a lot of these plays.

So I'll go under seven with a reception under seven reception. I don't even remember seeing that one. I like the thinking. I like the thinking on that. Jimmy g of course would have to throw seven passes. Of course two are do you make that happen? Todd? Yeah, I'm gonna go with Robbie Gould under seven and a half points plus one oh five. And here here's my thinking. If if the Chiefs are ahead, it's quite impossible the Niners are

gonna have to be going for touchdowns. Also, I think it's got to be in the back of their head that you're not gonna beat the Niners. You're not gonna beat the Chiefs kicking field goals. So I gotta think that Mr. Shanahan is going to be thinking fourth and three at the seven, let's just go for it. You know, we can't afford to get to get three, so under seven and a half points for Robbie Gold because if they score thirty one, you still win because that would

be three plus four extra points is seven. So I'm thinking if they get thirty one, you win. You know, basically that's a number. You don't want them to get twenty seven. Of course that would be bad, But thirty one is your magic number and below, and I think you're in pretty good shape in Robbie goldland a Todd Todd at south Point, this numbers eight and a half. But then I'll take it min one thirty right now. Okay,

well then I'll take that one even better. Like with so many props, that's a great illustration of correlating your game handicap, or the way you feel the game will go trajectory wise with a prop bet. So if, for instance, Todd had felt that San Francisco was going to run away with this game, perhaps he wouldn't feel that way, but based on the the sort of game script he just described, San Francisco perhaps coming from behind, not necessarily

kicking field goals. Whatever it is, Um you like the under on Robbie Gould, Well, I just got to think that that they got to think that they're not gonna beat my homes with field goals. You know what I mean. Jeff, you were a little opo on that this morning, weren't you. Oh yeah, don't worry. You know. I'm getting to it in my third one coming up. We'll get that porten of things to come my number two. Um. I gave a shout out to Dr Bob on the first one.

I'll give a shout out to Rufus Peabody on this one. Um, because someone pointed me to his podcast yesterday to to listen to a specific thing, and on the way to try and to find that specific thing, I heard him talking about this prop and I actually love it because, like with what Mike was talking about with his I love something that's data driven on these and we're talking about will there or will there not be an on side kick? This is a prop that's not available everywhere,

but you can find it. It's out there. Um, it's holding on. No, it's an on side kick. It was a joke because you messed it up earlier. That's right, Okay, I got you, so the no right now, I'll tell you the price I bet at. The price that I got it at was and I don't want to lie. I'm gonna look it up right now. I got it at minus two sixty two on the no now, Rufus

tells us, and Rufus knows his stuff. There have been a grand total of sixty two on side kicks in the entire National Football League thus far this year, sixty two and now. A lot of the reason for that number being so low these days is because the rate at which on side kicks are recovered is so much lower than it used to be given new rules, so

people don't even attempt them that much now. The counter argument to this would be, hey, it's a tight spread, though, and who knows this could come down to an on side kick. Well, yes, obviously it could, but they just don't happen nearly as often as they as we think they do anymore. And we have a lot of situations late game where teams still have a full allotment or two time outs left, where they have decisions of should

I kick the on side kick or kick away? And more often than not these days they'll kick away because of what we just said about the low rate of on side kick cooveries. So I played the know at minus two sixty two. There's only been sixty two of these. Like Jeff said before, one of these bets. I always say it on the numbers game, you've got to be willing to uh to make bets and willing to lose sometimes. So this is one of those one of these bets that I'm absolutely happy to tip my cap to if

I lose on the No. Minus to sixty two on the on side kick. Is it an attempted one or it's an attempted one? Right, it's an attempted one, correct, Yes, if it was a recovered one, you'd have to multiply that. That's right, right, right, unless I had unless it was in the Bengals Dolphins game and I had Dolphins, in which case it would be even money that the Bengals

would of course give up. Good job. Honestly, when we look back on this season, like if we had to pick one moment that most characterized not only your betting season but maybe just betting the NFL, but certainly your NFL betting season, was that Bengals Is that Bengals Dolphins game where literally it was one of those games were we've all been there, certainly early in our bedding careers.

Maybe more than than later. But we've all been there at some point where you're like, okay, well, in order for me to win this game, all I needed for them to score right now and then to recover it onzie kick and then the score again have a two point version, and then to recover another on site kicking the score again with a two poker version. And that was actually that game Todd lost. Gil. Here's the thing.

I have the worst on site kick babbit in the history of onabit because if you remember, I also lost on two onsete kick in college games that got returned for touchdowns and in the famous yam Kipper massacre story, on site kicks were involved in that as well. Have you ever told the Youlme Kipper massacre story on this podcast? Next to you think next Kipper, we will tell that story, um, but it's been told on the Numbers Game a few times. By the way, Todd Is referenced the term babbit twice.

Now babbit for those who remember, during our baseball podcast, Sands were batting average on balls and play, which is really a a commentary on a picture's luck or lack thereof. In other words, once a ball cracks off the opponent's bat the picture no longer has control as to wear that ball lands within the field of play. And so generally, if a pitcher has a BABBITO say the low two hundreds, just like a batting avers, let's say of two fourteen as opposed to three fifty three, just to give the

the opposite extremes. Lead average on babbit is about when they have a babbit that's three fifty three, Let's say that's a really unfortunate, unlucky babbit. And so what Todd was referring to with not with Kirk Cousins. You were referring to it with Jimmy g where he like throws the ball right in the chest of defenders and they happened to drop it. That was his football equivalent to that.

And then when you just used it here, you're referring to the fact that while mirror mortals typically don't recover on side kicks, they always seem to go against you. Well, no, let's put it. Let's put it realistically. You can go a whole life betting and ever have an on site's kick returned against you and never have a Cincinnati Bengal situation. But I had three in one season, So you tell me what my babbit is on that boat? Well, nope, Todd,

what would you tell everybody? What's at play here? Who hates you? Hashem? It's all about Hashem. I was gonna bring up Ashem, but you know, you know, you know he doesn't deserve any any publicity in the megapod at all. I've already given him too much public Did you explain to the people what Hashem means? Todd? They can look it up. They can look it up. It's just like a gil It's just like a numbers game. He wants

the listeners to look everything. HiT's right. DoD comes on a numbers game and just says, hey, I wonder if h I wanted to get listeners to do all them trying to help the common good. Mike, I know, as an owner of a casino, you're against the common good, but I take the common good. What casino do I own? I'm sorry own is the wrong word, uh? Or a high level I e with casino interests, which as we know, are not again they are against the public good. Thank you.

This has been public service announcement for people for the ethical treatment of the generates. You sound just like Alan Dershowitz at the impeachment hearings of Donald J. Trump to if you mean I was making no sense, I agree with you. Oh, don't get political debate. Couldn't help himself, alight,

Jeff Todd. I want to know what todd Field's Grand Valley States should do with offensive coordinator Morris Burger, Oh, who said that he'd like to have dinner with Hitler because he was such a great leader, the way he rallied people around him. He wants to know how he did that. He's currently suspended and there's a lot of controversy on his future. Todd, do you have thoughts? Well, I'm gonna let Gil handle this one. Um. He's more

up on his Hitler defensive coordinators to sticks. Um. As far as I know, Hitler never shut any offense down. He was all offense, no defense. So I'm not really sure whether i'd have Hitler in the defensive coordinator room. He seems more like an offensive coordinator I would. I would say the following that the person in question wiped out an entire generation of my family, and like so many of my fellow tribesmen, that's the case, and so

I would just say too soon for the defensive coordinator. Yeah, and you know, of course everybody gets mad at me for a joking around about it obviously, you know, saying things about Hitler in the But I mean, do we even have to discuss how ridiculous that is? We don't. We obviously don't. Any human being that would say something

like that obviously has about eight hundred screws loose. So and that's probably why they're at Grand Valley State, Oh State shot at Grand Valley State before finish that nice time, Jeff, you're we're gonna go feedback on this, Jeff, Jeff number three Super Bowl fifty four game prop. That is well, because I like needling Todd, and I like us every once in a while going against Todd because he'll claim that I saved him, he saved me from endless losers,

when that's only partially true. Um, the uh, I'm going with Robbie Gold, pick him to have more points than Harrison, Butker even money on Gold. This we we could both lose, we could both win, Jeff, Yes, we absolutely absolutely can. And here's the deal, Todd, here's a good deal, guys, uh to me in this game. Kansas City scores touchdown. San Francisco kicks field goals. That's what the big difference is.

And in at I'm no mathematician, but the way that I would get there would be four Kansas City touchdowns in one field goal. There would be seven points for Butker and twenty seven for San Francisco. And get there with three touchdowns and two field goals. So that would mean Robbie Gold has three more points in the in then Harrison Butker. So I look, I I I also I also trust the Gold Jo Todd, it would be yes, You're right, it would be too more correct. Todd's correct,

it would be seven. Again, no mathematician over here, but but I will say this though too, I trust Robbie Gold to make kicks more than Harrison Butker in this spot. Gold's never missed in his career in the postseason. It's a big spot for Butler, who has been phenomenal is the Chiefs Chiefs kicker, but it is the biggest stage he will have ever kicked on. So I'll take the more reliable veteran kickers never missed in the postseason to score more points. And I'm getting even money on it.

All right, I like it. You two should fight about that one. Mike Palm, Well, I'm going to take a very long shot here, Jo and I took it last year with the same kind of scenario at an m v P at a hundred to one. I took Zeroline last year at a hundred to one, and believe me, that was live into the fourth quarter. Uh, that type of a game. But it goes to a little bit what Jeff said about field goals, and I think Robbie Gold has just been excellent reviving his career this year

in San Francisco. I'm gonna take Robbie Gold at a hundred to one for m v P. Uh and and that probably would break todd bet. But uh, what if Robbie Gold kicks sport field goals two of them are fifty yards, they win the game by one or two. Garoppolo stats are not shiny because they run the ball a lot. Monstard runs for one ten or something. Nobody

really stands out. And you have a kicker that wins the game and has made several fear I think it's worth it, you know, for fifty bucks at a hundred to one to take a little shot there as a kicker ever won an m v P in any game in the history of all football sports at any level. Yes, super Bowl five, Jim O'Brien, Baltimore Colts. Okay, so there's president. Yes one, and it happened one in every three times.

And Mark Moseley and Mark Moseley. Mark Moseley was the National Football League m v P and nine two, I'll have you know. But he didn't deserve that. And that's still it was ridiculous that that straight on kicking style. Come on, Mark, how are you going to say he didn't deserve it? You dare right he deserved it. First of all, he was the most ugly looking kicker I've ever seen. That straight on kicking style was just ridiculous. You're trying to say that Mark Mosley didn't present, well

didn't he didn't? Well, that's exactly right. My god. That ladies and gentlemen is the light of the show, whether you know it or not. By the way, do you guys remember who else used to kick straight on like Mark Moseley? Everybody did back in the day, most of them did. Well. I can just remember the Cleveland Browns kicker Don Cockross. Yea, he used to kick straight But

I can't remember too many more. You remember more aside from Dempsey who kicked but he didn't have a foot, I'm talking about guys with actual feet, didn't like George Bland the kick straight on like guys like that. They all did back. And I'm talking about in our era once we started watching football, was there was there many people who have kicked straight on? Almost none? Yeah, no, until we were like until Mosley retired, like when we

were kids. There was a bunch about my thought. Maybe I'm wrong, I'm trying to think of just because I can't, Just because I can't name him doesn't mean I'm wrong. I don't know. I didn't see you. I didn't say, but Mosley was the last one. Mosley was the last one anyway, so there has been Mike. Mike could have been you know, skipped, Mark Moseley could have skipped a couple of dinners. Tom Dempsey clubbed it straight on. Yeah, exactly what I said, Tom Dempsey. But he was really

before our time. I'm talking about in the eighties. Once we got to the eighties, I can't remember anybody besides Don Cockroft and uh and Mark Moseley. By mid eighties, they were all gone. Yeah, that's for sure, alright, and no longer have guys with who kicked with no shoes. That was another thing they had Tony Franklin and Rich Carlin. Yeah, yeah, what the hell were they? Why is that? How come

there's nobody who kicks without shoes anymore? Well, we were talking about that with left handed quarterbacks, like Toua Tagovailoa is like the return of the left handed quarterback? What happened all the left handed quarterbacks? Was? That? Was that trivia question I asked on the air, Jeff, because I was so fascinated by this. Who was the last left handed quarterback to throw a touchdown pass in the NFL?

What was the answer? Do you remember? It's like Kelly, It's like Kellen Moore or somebody like that, Like it's been ages, and so that was another thing that like why did that disappear? So too is kind of like this strange throwback in that regard. Alright, Todd were on. Yes, you know, I have a heart out here right now for a meating. Okay, Mike, we bid you at you would you like to give your final reflection on the first year of the Megapod on your way out the door.

I will UM. I'd just like to say that I didn't know what I was getting into when when you asked, Gil, I just knew it was you and Todd and and a collection of guests. UM. But UH, looking back on it, it was a great decision to join UM and mainly because of because of the guests that did come on. I mean we had, we had some outstanding guests, and you learned something different from each one. I I recalled the great uh conversation on halftime versus in game wagering

with rufus Uh, the show with Ed Fing. Of course, having the founder and president of the Megapod Todd fan called Michael Lombardi on several times was great and and who could ever forget the show where Todd abused Dr Bob. So I want to sever I would like to thank Gil. I'd like to thank pod record please, and most importantly the listeners. Thank you and enjoy the Super Bowl. Thank you. Mike Palm. Mike Palm always heartfelt. Say what you will

about Mike Palm. Say what you will, and I know they will, but that guy is heartfelt and I appreciate that about Mike Palm. Thank you Mikey, all right, take care for I was my palm ladies and gentlemen on his way to a meeting. He's got a thing, Todd your final game related prop. Well, i'm m I'm kind of torn between two of them that I wrote down. So can I just give them both real quick? Yes? Okay, So I took great under receptions a half a reception.

I can't remember bred At getting the ball thrown to him, in fact, Matt Breda. Yeah, I'm sorry, Go ahead, what do you say? I said? What about Brita though? Go ahead, I'm kidding, all right. Oh, so Matt Breda, I just don't remember him catching a lot of balls. I mean I didn't go back and do all the stats on how many balls he's caught. But they're not throwing the ball anyways. They don't trust him to be in the

lineup anymore. After all the fumbles, so, right, which is another good thing, because it can't throw to him he's on the sideline, right. No, that's right. I mean your your play there is that he just doesn't get in enough. You know, if he's probably not gonna get in, the Coleman is going to be in and and uh there's another running back that gets a lot of touch is But the point is right most That's what God, I can't remember all the goddamn names. There's too many names. Okay,

The point is Mostard. I was thinking of Mostarred Mostard and Coleman is who we've been seeing lately. We haven't really been seeing Brita lately. And then even when we did see Brita, you don't remember him really catching the ball too often, and you don't even remember Coleman or most are getting too many passes thrown to them either. So you know, I just don't know how they're going to get you know, more than one catch to Barrita. So I'm gonna go. We were talking, we were talking

you're going under on the half? There were we were talking, Jeff and I on Numbers Game today about these props like that of Mostard or Coleman or Brita, and really there's so many variables you touched on him. Will Coleman play It appears like he will, how much he'll play? Who knows? Will brit to get in? I don't think so. Kyle Shanahan doesn't seem to trust him as far as

Moster is concerned. It's like the Jimmy Garoppolo of thing we said earlier, are you gonna get the Jimmy Garoppolo who didn't throw passes in the playoffs or the guy who really was leading the way all season for them during the regular season. With mostre it's the same thing, like are you getting the kid that was undrafted out of Purdue that was kind of like a you know, complimentary player, or you're getting this kid who's John Riggins in the playoffs? Like which guy are you gonna get?

And I don't know that even Kyle Shanahan knows quite yet, right Like much of that will be determined by how the game goes. So because of that, it makes all those specific props very dicey. I would say, what was the other one? Ton? The other one was the obvious one that I was talking about before, which was will Jimmy g throw an interception? And I said yes at minus one forty. I just think that we talked about his interception, babit and all that stuff, especially if he

has to throw the ball a lot this game. I don't think they're gonna get away with the old just running eight hundred million times game plan against Kansas City like they did the last couple of weeks. I think they're gonna have to throw the ball, and especially if they're behind in this game, Jimmy might try to force some stuff. And we know his San Francisco receivers sometimes have butter fingers and the balls can tip in the air. There's you know, I just think minus one Ford is

a good chance you could throw a pick um. You know. Also generally speaking, by the way, Garoppolo through a lot of picks early in the season. He was much more reliable throwing a pick early, So there certainly was a stretch of the year where that was almost a sure thing.

We were saying on the show this morning, if you are a better that wants to bet the unders on a lot of these props, let's just say there's a lot of the yard and stuff, whether it's most of for the Niners, whether it's mahomes, let's say for the Chiefs. So you are an under better, you're better off waiting because the public loves to bet overs. Their wired brains are wired for optimism, and so these these numbers will probably go higher more likely than they will go lower.

So if you want unders, you might as well. Wait on a lot of these that's generally the Super Bowl trajectory. Though. Crackman was on the show this morning and he was like, well, I don't know, you know, with the San Francisco numbers, maybe so because there's a lot of San Francisco, you know, a lot of California. People may come into Vegas, So if you're betting them in Vegas, that might be the case, but it's not necessarily the case in New Jersey, which

is an interesting thing to think about. So because there's regional things to consider as well, which I thought was an interesting point, which brings that's not going to affect is it? No? Breeda's Breeda to me is is he plann or is he not? And I don't think he's gonna play much, so you may just win. I mean, your bet is that Kyle Shanahan just doesn't trust him. That's pretty much your bet. I would say, Breed. Breed is so damn fast though, Man, that dude is awesome.

I just can't hold onto the ball all right. Then, finally, gentlemen, this is sort of the the category that we've come to uh be known for on this podcast through the years. For many years, I got the Halftimes right year after year. I got tripped up by cold Play the year that they were in I picked the wrong song. My thoughts are on the national anthem, but Jeff will start with you. What do you like here in terms of exotic prop

or props? You know, Gil, I'm not really a huge, huge fan of any of this, but I think I'm going to ride the ride the steam in the Gatorade bath of course. Of course, Uh, the the the the purple has been bent like crazy since the tragic tragic death of Kobe Bryant, his daughter and the seven others on that helicopter in Calabasas on Sunday, and Gil, I I think it has a lot of legs to it. Unfortunately, so I will there's still plus one twenty out there

on purple Gatorade being the shower. Uh. There I also see also see and Crack said this this morning on a Numbers game that there were there was no Gatoray bath bath on either side in either the a f C or NFC Championship games. So I would be shocked, if I wouldn't be shocked if there if there would be a no option that there is none that was nine to one at Draft Kings in New Jersey. So I think those are probably the two that I would take flyers on. And in places that there's no no,

there's no no, then what do they do? How do they grade that if there's no bath Gil It's an excellent question. You always have to read the fine print of these props, depending on the shop you're betting at. Do they say they will refund it? Do they not say that? I always have to be careful with this stuff. You should check the fine print on all these props because a lot of these come down to the bookmaker deciding how to grade them. And those are the controversies

you want to avoid. The purple though being the theory. Just to clarify what Jeff was saying as a tribute to Kobe Bryant, the Lakers purple from their purple and gold. Uh. And I never got a chance to talk about this on this show, but obviously have on the radio show for the whole week. I am gutted by the Kobe Bryant passing. I I would never have I'm older than Kobe, so I was not of the generation that were Kopy fanboys.

I was the Michael Jordan's generation, and I wouldn't have expected, like I talked about the Michael Jackson thing earlier, if he's to be the hard rock Like if you had told me Michael Jackson's gonna die, You're gonna how do you think you'll feel? And I'd be like, oh my god, I would be devastated, Like if you had told me about Kobe, and it's a morbid thing to think about, But I don't know that I would have processed how

affected I would have been. It just turns out that Kobe Bryant, even though I wasn't like a Kobe fanboy, I loved Kobe Bryant in ways that I probably didn't even acknowledge. And we've talked about it with so many guests through the through the week. Why is that? Why is it that someone who doesn't know him personally certainly appreciated his basketball accolades. Uh, He's gonna be inducted into

the Hall of Fame. He was a Laker for twenty years, eighteen years and All Star five rings, two NBA Finals, MVPs one League m v P two, Olympic gold medals, fourth leading score of all time. Even after Lebron passes him on and on and on and on. But what was it besides the other worldly talent? Why do people like me or a generation that really didn't even grow up watching Kobe, that was older watching him, Why do we love him so much? And I think it's the relatability.

I think it's the fact that he seemed to be a super good guy and and relatable work ethic was just off the charts. He was a great father, relished in being a father of four girls. He seemed, unlike Jordan, for instance, to be a nice guy who wasn't a dick Jordan. There's endless stories about Jordan being a dick in public, and Kobe wasn't that guy. And so I

think there's a lot of relatable things. And someone said this, and I cannot remember who said this, And I think this more than anything, because I think the best tribute was given by l Duncan at ESPN talking about Girl Dad and her story with Kobe Bryant if you haven't seen that looking up on YouTube, and his heart wrenching. But the last thing I would say is that I

really wish I remember who said this. It's hard to imagine anyone who wasted less time in their life than Kobe Bryant did in his forty one years, because you think about all he packed into it, what he did after his career, create a lee, won him an oscar. Anyway, that's my tribute to Kobe Bryant, who I even when I see it on the TV screen this many days later, I find it hard to process. I cannot believe that

he's no longer with us. And as Jeff said, his beautiful daughter, thirteen year old Gianna and seven others who died in that helicopter. I was looking at the flight pattern yesterday and just how they were. They veered out of the normal route. It was just just awful, just awful. Anyway, I didn't mean to like stray that, but since we're talking about the Gatorade and the purple, I thought i'd say that, Todd, what is yours of any of these?

Do you have any of these? I have a cross sport that I like and it's and it's this one, uh St John's. You get plus three and a half points, so you get the Saint John's score plus you get to add three and a half will be longer than the longest t D drive in the game. So, for example, if St. John's get seventy six, you get seventy nine and a half. As long as no one has a touchdown drive longer than seventy nine and a half yard,

you win. So I'm taking St. John's plus three and a half to be longer higher score than the longest touched on drive. And here's why St. John's is an up tempo team. They're playing Georgetown, another crazy running team that just loves the run and gun. The first game Georgetown one eight seven sixty six. Note there were seventy six possessions at the game, and Georgetown, even when they were up fifteen, was running because they're not smart enough to realize that they might want to take some time

off the clock. So they play one style and one style only as long as they're not playing a team like Butler, who will intentionally down. They play fast, fast, fast. Seventy six possessions in a college basketball game is a lot of possessions. St John's is at home. There's no reason why they couldn't get to eighty in this game.

But even if they get the seventy five in this game, you're getting seventy eight and a half for your score, and now somebody in the Super Bowl has to get a longer than seventy eight and a half yard drive, which is not the easiest thing to do. I looked over some of the drives in the playoffs, and you know, there were a couple ninety yard drives. But you know, these teams are slightly better defenses. Certainly the Niners are

a better defense. So um, you know, let's hope that St. John's gets nineties seven points in their game against Georgetown, and it's impossible for me to lose. All right, I like it, well done, Todd. My two in conclusion are national anthem props. These are available at Bovada and some other off shore spots. I think New Jersey has some of these national anthem props up as well. Will Demi Lovado's microphone be on a microphone stand singing the national anthem?

But yes is at minus one sixty? Then know at plus one twenty take the yes, she's not singing in the national anthem holding a mic. It will be on a microphone stand. Let's not be stupid. Does she usually do when she sings the national anthem? It's on a stand? And I'm glad and I'm glad you asked young Todd, because there have been five instances of young Demilovado having sung in national anthem on a big stage like this.

First four times was at a Thanksgiving game in the NFL in two thousand eight, Game five of the World Series, the game before the amazing David Freeze Cardinals Rangers game Game four of the World Series in twelve San Francisco Giants baby UH, and then gave and then Game four of the World Series in UH, with the Royals winning that particular year. But every time she sang it those four years, she sang it well over, well under, pardon me, well under two minutes, not well under, but under two

minutes every time. But the fifth and final time she sang it on a big stage was at the Connor McGregor Floyd Mayweather fight in twenty seventeen, and I was telling Jeff this morning and the audience. I don't remember her singing this because at that point I was coming to terms with how much money I had been on this fight, So like I have no I have no

recollection of her. I was nervous eating. But we played it this morning on a numbers game and it went about what would you say two oh nine, Jeff, Is that what we settled on? Yeah, it was. It was between two oh nine and two eleven, so it was well over and basically anything you're gonna be finding in the market. So her recency is long. She sang the hell out of that song, the hell out of it, and she milked the end and she braved, like on Brave,

she let that go for a good distance. I don't think there's any way that Demilovado, having come off personal issues, having made her triumphant return on the Grammys this past week, and she like she had an emotional start to that song that she sang on the Grammys, you had to restart. I don't think there's any way she's gonna get on a super Bowl stage the first time ever for her and just kind of run through it as quickly as possible. I think is a big moment in her life. She

is going to take all the time she needs. Maybe not Alicia Keys two minutes and seventeen seconds long, but it's gonna be long. Over two oh four, over two oh four, Demi Levado national Anthem book it And here's another factor, um, I like Demi Lovato have an eating disorder, and people who have eating disorders who go to Super Bowl parties are faced with tons and tons of food choices. It gives them lots of anxiety. If she's going to a Super Bowl party, she's probably gonna have some anxiety.

It probably will slow her down. On the national anthem minus one thirty on the over two oh four available in multiple locations. Todd, thank you for the first year of the megapod. I appreciate it. Man. We've enjoyed having you. Even though you're singing is god awful. I don't even know what to say about that. But I was just hoping Casey and the Sunshine Band would be the one to get to sing the national anthem because that would be you know, most fitting, would it not. Why don't

they ever ask Casey? He's only a thousand years old. Why don't they ask him? I want I want him to bring back the entire band and they all wear those tuxedos with no shirts and the whole It would be so amazing in Miami. You know, Miami's there town too. It would be really appropriate. Oh that's right, because remember they were featured in the movie Blow. Remember when when they're all doing the cocaine at that party. And and in the background, Casey and Sunshine, that song keep It

Coming Love is in the background, and you remember that. Uh, No, I don't, but I will take your word for it. Yes, there you go, perfect example. Blow was all about Miami cocaine, right that much, I understand? Uh. And Jeff Parlay ladies and gentleman, who was not a regular every week on this show, but had to fill in multiple times besides the times that he was actually invited to be the guest.

What were you on like five or six of these this year, Jeff, I was on a lot, and I only got yelled at by one person the entire time, And then ended up being my greatest victory on the megapod, which was, of course the Baltimore Ravens h trapping themselves against the Tennessee Titans in the divisional round. So who yelled? Who yelled? Oh? Oh? One of one of the great one of our great Twitter followers called said, said, Mike,

take that there. It's hard that the Ravens are going to have a colonker, because it's hard that had fourteen straight flawless games, said it was the worst handicapping of all time, and then when I called him out about it that to the result, It's like I didn't say it was the worst one. It was. It was a lot of fun Twitter but but but Gil, I really appreciated and Uh and everyone who listens to this uh

wonderful podcast every week. I have a feeling that you'll be hearing a little bit more of me come next year as well, Gil, So it'll be it'll be real good. I look forward to that. Jeff Parlay Todd Wishnet for Mike Palm who had to scat earlier. Thank you everybody for listening to the Super Bowl Megapod and for listening to the megapod and guessing lines all season long. Our ninth season and Vegas Lifestyle. My god, the response the Vegas Lifestyle show last week was as big as it

ever was, and we appreciate that. We'll do a tenth annual one next year. To everybody, good luck with all your Super Bowl bets, props and game. Thank you so much for listening

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