NEWS: NOAA Issues First Severe Geomagnetic Storm Watch Since 2005 - podcast episode cover

NEWS: NOAA Issues First Severe Geomagnetic Storm Watch Since 2005

May 10, 202413 min
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Scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration observed a cluster of sunspots on the surface of the sun this week. With them came solar flares that kicked off a severe geomagnetic storm. That storm is expected to last throughout the weekend as at least five coronal mass ejections — chunks of the sun — are flung out into space, towards Earth! NOAA uses a five point scale to rate these storms, and this weekend's storm is a G4. It's expected to produce auroras as far south as Alabama. To contextualize this storm, we are looking back at the largest solar storm on record: the Carrington Event.

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Support for this NPR podcast and the following message come from Easy Cater, committed to helping companies, from nonprofits to the Fortune 500, find food for meetings and company events, with online ordering and 24-7 live support. Learn more at EasyCater.com We have a very rare event on our hand. The last time we issued a G4 watch, which is a Geomagnetic Storm Watch for severe levels, was 2005.

The Golden Doll is a project service coordinator with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center. He kicked off a press conference about the event Friday. The agency monitors the Sun's activity and this week they noticed a large cluster of sunspots on the surface of our nearest star, with those sunspots came flares that kicked off this Geomagnetic Storm Wednesday.

Since then there has been at least five coronal mass ejections, or CMEs pointed towards Earth. Scientists think the storm could last through Sunday. But one good thing about Geomagnetic Storms is that they can produce auroras, which in the northern hemisphere are called the Northern Lights. This storm is expected to be so large that people as far south as Alabama may be able to see these rare auroras.

We want to contextualize this weekend's storm by sharing the story of the biggest recorded Geomagnetic Storm to hit Earth and how these storms are made. That storm happened almost 200 years ago before the American Civil War. Then the Northern Lights were seen as far south as Cuba. Enjoy the show. You're listening to shortwave from NPR. In 1859 an English scientist named Richard Carrington spent much of his time watching the Sun's activity.

And in September of that year he noticed something next to a large sunspot, one of those dark areas on the Sun's surface. He saw a really big flash and he wasn't sure what happened. Dr. Semyafareed is a solar physicist at Yale University. He thought there was some kind of accident with the instrument or something like that. Less than a day later on the other side of the world, a group of gold miners in the Rockies woke up to what they thought was the Sunrise.

Come out the Suns and people have started going about the date and they realize the Sun is not rising. This is actually just an aurora. They were seeing the aurora borealis, the Northern Lights. This aurora was so huge it was witnessed in places where it's rarely seen like Cuba. This event even caused strong Southern Lights in places like Chile and Colombia.

And it was doing weird things to the technology of the era. Telegraph machines sparked shocking operators catching the telegraph paper on fire and some of the machines stopped working completely. And in one case, an unplugged telegraph machine continued operating, powered by a rogue current in the atmosphere. What Richard Carrington observed that day taught us a lot about the Sun and Space Weather.

People knew about the aurora but they didn't know it was related to the Sun. So he was the first person to kind of correlate the two. Today on the show, the Carrington event. Plus, we'll learn about what's happening on the surface of the Sun and what may happen the next time a massive solar storm like the one in 1859 hits Earth. I'm Regina Barber, you're listening to Shortwave, the science podcast from NPR. This message comes from NPR Sponsor Greenlight.

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A geo-magnetic storm happens when the Earth's magnetic field fluctuates. It changes. It can be generated from the Sun's activity. But to understand this huge 1859 solar storm called the Carrington event, we need to understand two other things. First, solar flares. Solar flares are caused by a sudden release of high energy photons, which are particles of light and other high energy particles from the Sun's atmosphere. And that's kind of the largest type of eruptive event on the Sun.

Solar flares release an explosion, mostly electromagnetic radiation. Some of them are white light flares. The photons that white light flares release are in the visible portion of the electromagnetic or light spectrum. But sometimes these eruptions also send matter toward Earth. It releases sometimes a CME, which is a colon of mass ejection. These coronal mass ejections or CMEs blast hot plasma, superheated gas from the Sun into space at more than a million miles per hour.

So the flares like the bomb going off. And then the CME is like the rocks and the particles and the weight. The way the chunk of the Sun coming at us. Right, exactly. So yeah, it's two. Sometimes you can have a flare without a CME. And sometimes you can have a CME without a flare. But they're very also highly correlated to each other. So a lot of times we have a flare. You also have a CME.

Okay, so solar flares are large explosions of electromagnetic radiation from the Sun's atmosphere. And you're saying they're sometimes accompanied by these coronal mass ejections or these CMEs, which are huge plasma eruptions from the Sun. So can you tell our listeners how do these auroras even happen? How do northern lights happen?

So a lot of people think that the particles that are causing the aurora are coming from the Sun. And they do kind of indirectly. But really, we have the Earth in a magnetic field. And it's already particles inside of that magnetic field. The Earth is just sitting there.

And so when those particles and radiation come from the Sun in a CME, it interacts with Earth's magnetic field, causes it to push around all these particles and then push those particles down inside of the Earth's atmosphere. And that's what you see as the aurora. Right, you're seeing these particles colliding with the hydrogen and nitrogen in the atmosphere. So what do we think happened in the 1859 solar storm, the Carrington event? Did we see a flare and a CME?

Yep, so we had a CME that happened before the Carrington event. That one didn't have as much impact on Earth. People did notice some aurora. And then this flare, white light flare, which means that it was observed in white light. And then the CME that followed that one is what caused a lot of the disruption on Earth.

And not only are we having charged particles coming into our magnetic field, but we're also having a changing magnetic field. And when you have a changing magnetic field, you induce electricity. So that's another reason why those telegraph wires in 1859 got all messed up. Yeah, exactly. Overload of electricity generated just from those moving magnetic fields, moving quickly and generating electricity.

Which is nuts. It is right. Okay. So but brings us to like because you have Earth's magnetic field changing, your energy grids are getting like busted. So like what would happen if we had a storm like that now? Yeah, it's estimated that that kind of event right now will be catastrophic across the globe. That means no internet, no phone, no TV, no power. And not just that, even like the water cleaning systems and health systems, all of those things could be potentially wiped out.

Anything with an electrical circuit could be potentially destroyed. You know, if some people have estimated it will take us years to recover, ten years to recover from one storm like that. So has anything come close to a care into an event in recent years? We have, but did not impact the earth, but we have seen white light flares that were the size of the carols in the event, you know, it would have been very impactful if they had been directly aimed at earth.

These huge events, how often do they happen? Well, so the sun goes through a solar cycle that happens every 11 years when we go from having a lot of flares at solar maximum to not that many flares and solar minimum. But that large carotene event type storm a lot of people think only happen, you know, once every 10 years, at least to 100 years, it depends on which estimation.

And the Carrington event happened way back in 1859. So we're over do pass due for one definitely by any estimation makes me think of like the big earthquake in Seattle. They're like any day now. Yeah, exactly. It's like any day any day any day. Any day. But so what are we doing then? Like what are we doing to prepare if these events are coming?

Yeah, so I know that there's a council that has been set up that is a collaboration between all the agencies like national ocean, I think an atmospheric administration, national science, foundation and then the NASA and Department of Defense,

Department of Homeland Security. So I believe that organization is called swarm space weather operations research and mitigation. And so what it does is develop a strategy and a plan to implement how to prevent that having such a catastrophic effect on the electrical system and then what to do after that kind of event. So let's say there's even smaller storms, you know, like how much time do we have what would that warning be like?

Yeah, so if we have a big large flare is pretty much immediate eight minutes is how much time it takes energy to travel from the sun to the earth. And which is dangerous because, you know, astronauts and the commercial private space industry is booming now. So high altitude flights would be really effective because you could get extra radiation exposure. So that's that's almost immediate that's eight minutes. We don't have very much warning at all.

But for the sea of means for the particles that are coming with the sea of me, we have about two or three days, warning. Okay, these coronal mass ejections, they're composed of matter, right? So they're moving super fast, but they're not traveling at the speed of light. So we have more time than a flare.

So it's better. So we better, you know, and we do have now we have absorptors that observe the sun 24 seven solar dynamics absorptors one of them and it takes images of the sun every 12 seconds of the whole corona. And so if a flare goes off then, or if we see even a configuration that might cause a flare, they often will put out a flare alert.

What do the astronauts do? What do satellites do? Like what do they do to prepare? Yeah, so they have a safety plan. So for instance, the astronauts have a room on board the Internet association that have denser walls, predicting from radiation. So they will all go into the those rooms. And for satellites that are orbiting the earth that plan is for them to turn their electronics away from the sun.

So that they can miss the highest energy particles. They do have a contingency plan, you know, for these type of things, but it's hard to exactly to predict, but they do have a plan. So the radiation from solar flares can cause problems high in the atmosphere. And we know that here on earth that CMEs can destroy our energy grids. Have you thought about what you do if that were to happen? Like, have you prepared?

I haven't. I don't have like a bomb shelter or anything like that, you know, prepared because I'm originally from Alabama. And I grew up in the country. So I feel like if I just had to walk to Alabama or go back to some person in rural area and kill or have it and eat it, I could do that. I'll be fine. Okay, we're going from a dark topic, a very apocalyptic scenario, but let's come back to the light literally because I love solar physics.

How would you suggest everyday people observe all this amazing activity on our Sun? You don't have to do a lot to be able to observe the Sun. But one thing you have to be mindful is that you have to protect your eyes. You go out in any sunny day and build something called a solar viewer, which will kind of project the shadow of the sun on a piece of paper. And that's the similar setup to what Karen can use to observe the sunspots. You can do that right now every day.

That's what I love the most. Just watching the sheer beauty of science taking place in front of you guys. Solar physicist, semi-affraid. Thank you so much. Thank you so much for talking to me about everything solar. I loved it. Thank you. I love it too. It's awesome. The producer of this episode was Eva Tessfy. Stephanie O'Neal was the editor and Margaret Serino checked the facts.

The audio engineer for this episode was Patrick Murray. I'm Regina Barber. Thanks for listening to Shortwave, the Daily Science podcast from NPR. Pro-Palestinian protests have popped up on college campuses across the country. But from the eyes of students, what are we missing? From the outside gets protested as really violent when that couldn't be further from the truth. I'm Brittany Loose.

Host of NPRs, it's been a minute. And I'm inviting you to hear from student journalists who see what the rest of us cannot. On it's been a minute from NPR. Jasmine Morris here from the Storycore podcast. Our latest season is called My Way. Stories of people who found a rhythm all their own and marched to it throughout their lives. Consequences and other people's opinions be damned. You won't believe the courage and audacity in these stories. Hear them on the Storycore podcast from NPR.

On this week's Wild Card, we talk with Esa Rae about those moments where our lives could have gone another direction. Definitely wasn't supposed to be like, uh, uh, uh, uh, uh, uh, but I still think about it. I'm Rachel Martin. Esa Rae tells us how to make peace with the path not take it. That's on the Wild Card podcast from NPR. The game where cards control the conversation.

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