The Fed just Chose to raise rates… regional bank contagion has crypto maximalist celebrating for joy… Charlie and I take a moment to look at the pieces on the board and plan what will be the most effective trades within a recessionary environment.
The moment of consumer delinquency I have been talking about has begun to materialize in Australia & New Zealand. Adjustable rate mortgages have reset to higher levels; while consumer have become debt ladened. Tune into the episode to get caught up and see how an amazing short has come to fruition by macroeconomic analysis.
In annual fashion we discuss the biggest losers of 2022. Brief and to the point. Sometimes you just don’t see what you thought you saw.
Soro’s did it why can’t I? In this episode we discuss the potential collapse of Tether USD.
The retail investor is still living in times of yore. Nate Coats and I discuss the illogical behaviors of the retail investor.
In this episode respected analyst Nate Coats of “The Financial Study” joins and gives a comprehensive explanation of the very big issue of off U.S. dollar denominated off balance sheet derivatives. Hope you enjoy the episode.
So you want the Fed to save your Portfolio… listen to this!
T-Mobile is ripe for shorting! In this episode we explore the head winds T-mobile faces as a looming global recession is set to hit its balance sheet.
With global markets rotating with every rate hike, how are you protecting your portfolio from draw down? GemBot A.I.‘s Chief Portfolio Officer Charlie Meaden gives his systematic approach to losing less when others are losing more. It is Terminate on sight with the Bad Bear 🐻 of Auckland.
In this episode we explore a segment of the economy not being talked about… auto loans. No everything is not a repeat of the big short but we do have a looming issue within sub prime auto loans and it is starting to come home to roost. Tune into the episode to understand why.
Well what’s going to happen? Are we getting a soft landing or a hard landing. Let’s discuss.
Carnival Cruises will file for bankruptcy in the near term. Listen to this episode to find out how we arrived to this conclusion.
Consumer brands and retail sales look as though they will fall short of the projected growth numbers industry professionals had expected. Lend me your discretionary ear (see what I did there) into this episode to get my views.
😳 As of Nov 2022 Agency Mortgage Back Securities will be traded on the CME. This is a huge indication of what institutions will be doing with the long bond in the future. Let’s Talk about this!!!
Crypto, Bitcoin and it’s disciple of derivatives may be on their last legs of market participant viability. Tune into the episode to get my take.
Food prices are rising and we haven’t even had the fall harvest of soft commodities. In this episode we explore what is happening with food prices.
REVLON is bankrupt and the puts are in play!!! Listen to the sheer chicanery that transpires in private equity which ends up leading to this debacle.
The 10 year and 2 year treasuries are inverting; this signals another major issue for US markets. Tune in for the continuation of the discussion on US treasuries. Reference previous episode.
Most find the discussion of treasuries to be a real snooze fest, but I am here to tell you… this is how you understand what the economy may have in store. In this episode we explore the Invoice Swap Spread to get a handle of how to profit from this dislocation in long dated treasury yields.
Charlie Meaden Of Gembot A.I. gives us his hypothesis on what the new growth cycle will look like going forward. Charlie takes the time to break down where he sees a bottom and what sectors he will be looking to deploy capital.
Central Banks are raising rates and inflation is at multi decade highs… Yet somehow Australia and New Zealand are attempting to buck the trend of real estate price destruction… why you ask? Adjustable Rate Mortgages is your answer. In this episode we drill down on what is actually occurring in Australia and New Zealand and formulate a plan of attack.
I Love everything about the opportunities in the Brazilian economy. While most of the braid market takes focus on Europe; opportunities due to high interest rates have made a unique buying opportunity in the Brazilian stock market. Check out our thesis of why Brazil Is In Play!
Like a good king-fu student who lost his master at the hands of a skilled warlord …. Charlie and I are here to avenge our portfolios 😂… We must be a gluttons for punishment because we are eyeing China again… However this time it’s personal (okay no more puns!) On a serious note it seems the Chinese central bank will foreshadow what is to come in the U.S. Markets; Which gives us a hunch that we caught the new credit cycle just in its beginning stages. Tune in as Charlie Meaden of GemBot A.I. @cy...
Charlie Meaden New Zealand fund manager from GemBot A.I. joins the episode to give us his vantage point of current market events and even calls out his best picks!
In this episode we take an objective look at the big debt cycle and point out where the U.S is and where China is within the cycle… The two countries are decoupled within the cycle and are serving as precursors to each other of what may be to come.
This episode we delve into my out look for 2022. Things will come to roost this year.
Season 4 is here and we kick off discussing the nuggets losses of 2021. happy to be back and recording for you all. Tune in!
This episode serves as a continuation of the US. dollar Shortage episode… in this episode we discuss who’s that tightening by the Fed which is souring dollar strength is also leading to rising treasury Yields… this spells disaster for equities BUT the general market doesn’t realize it
In this episode we slow it down a bit to explain the issue with a Chinese dollar surplus and U.S. dollar shortage. This is 1 of 2… the second episode will be discussed in the inflation and yields episode (Just click the episode after this one)
No income, no problem, no product, No problem! Valuation at over a billion dollars… sounds right to me!
