What’s the Future of Social Security Under the New Administration? - 521 - podcast episode cover

What’s the Future of Social Security Under the New Administration? - 521

Mar 18, 202542 minEp. 521
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Episode description

What does the future hold for your Social Security under the new Trump administration and Elon Musk's DOGE, the Department of Government Efficiency? Nationally-renowned financial thought leaders Jamie Hopkins, Jeff Levine, Eric Ludwig, and Steve Parrish share their insights with Big Al Clopine, CPA at the American College of Financial Services’ Horizons Conference in San Diego, CA on Your Money, Your Wealth® podcast 521. First, the College's President, George Nichols, gives a brief overview of the institution and their inaugural conference. 

Plus, Joe Anderson, CFP® and Big Al spitball on whether Ricky and Lucy in Wisconsin even bother saving for retirement - they’re expecting to inherit about 20 million dollars. When should Tybob in Arizona collect Social Security? Are Roth conversions right for him? Should he go for Medicare or Medicare Advantage? Speedy Racer in Georgia needs a retirement spitball, and Gilligan in New York shares insight for other Gilligans trying to avoid a retirement shipwreck.

Free financial resources & episode transcript: https://bit.ly/ymyw-521 

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro: This Week on the YMYW Podcast

01:10 - The American College of Financial Services and The Horizons Conference with George Nichols III, CAP®

03:59 - What is the Future of Your Social Security Under the New Administration?

13:11 - Watch Are You Ready to Retire? on YMYW TV and Download the Retirement Readiness Guide

14:05 - Should We Bother Saving for Retirement? We're Inheriting $20M. (Lucy & Ricky, WI)

19:05 - When to Claim Social Security? Should I Do Roth Conversions? Medicare vs. Advantage? (Tybob, AZ)

23:28 - I'm 50 With $2.4M Saved. Should I do 72(t) Tax Elections and Retire Right Now? (Speedy Racer, North GA)

33:12 - Download the Key Financial Data Guide for free

34:30 - Comment: Your Podcast Is Impactful for the "Gilligans" (Gilligan, NY)

40:48 - Next Week on the YMYW Podcast

Transcript

Intro: This Week on the YMYW Podcast

Andi

What does the future hold for your Social  Security under the new administration? Big Al Clopine, CPA and I recently attended the  American College of Financial Services’ first-ever Horizons conference, an event  by retirement professionals for retirement professionals. Over the next several episodes  of YMYW, we’ll share the research, wisdom, and forecasts of this country’s foremost financial  thought leaders on issues that matter most to you

as you plan for retirement. Today on Your  Money, Your Wealth podcast number 521, we’ll hear from a number of those experts on the  topic of Social Security. Plus should Ricky and Lucy in Wisconsin even bother saving for  retirement? They’re expecting to inherit about 20 million dollars. When should Tybob in  Arizona collect Social Security, and are Roth conversions right for him? Speedy Racer in Georgia  needs a retirement spitball and Gilligan in New

York shares insight for other Gilligans trying  to avoid a retirement shipwreck. I’m executive producer Andi Last with the hosts of Your Money  Your Wealth, Joe Anderson CFP and Big Al Clopine CPA. We’ll kick things off with George Nichols  III, CAP®, president of the American College of Financial Services, giving Big Al an overview  of the College and the Horizons conference.

Al

Well, I've got George Nichols  here. You are the President of the

The American College of Financial Services and The Horizons Conference with George Nichols III, CAP®

American College of Financial Services,  and it's so nice to have you on our show.

George

Well, it's an honor to be  here, so thank you for having me.

Al

Thank you. So, I'm fascinated by the  college, what you guys do, what's the mission?

George

The college was founded  on applied financial knowledge, ethics, and benefiting society.

Al

I like that.

George

We believe that people's  financial security and well-being is helped and influenced by a  really good financial advisor.

Al

Yes.

George

So, our ability to  benefit society is by educating, making advisors more competent and more  confident in their business and their practice in order to serve their clients.  That's what we do. And the beauty of it is we are the only independent, private,  accredited educational institution-

Al

Right.

George

- that's clearly  focused on financial services.

Al

Right, right. That's lovely. That's great to  hear. So, so we're at the Horizons Conference in San Diego. You guys put this on. So tell me about  why that was important for the college to do.

George

So our 3 strategic focus areas are one, specialization, two is that even though  retirement is in that specialization-

Al

Yeah.

George

- it is so important to America.

Al

Right.

George

And we said, you know what? We're gonna  pull it out. We're gonna double down and we're really going to dig in and we want to be the  premier place that you think about when you think of retirement education. And so that was part  of that. And in the third one is representation,

how do we actually grow the profession?  So then we said what if someone like us, which is probably the only group that could,  if we could bring in all these practitioners, all these PhDs that specialize in retirement  and put them in one place over a few days.

Al

Right.

George

And have this event that was designed for  retirement specialists by retirement specialists.

Al

I like that.

George

Then we think we could do something really  unique. And so this is our inaugural event. How is the best way to educate that new advisor  coming in, in order for them to be successful?

Al

Right.

George

Keep this business going.

Al

Right.

George

If you come here, I expect when you leave, you've already got a list of things  that you're going to carry out to do.

Al

Right, right.

George

Because you learned something. And I can't tell you the last time I went to a  conference where I learned anything.

Al

I love that, George. Thank  you so much for your time.

George

I appreciate it.

Al

When I grow up, I want to be like you.

George

Oh my God! Ha! You're in trouble, man.  You're in trouble.  Thank you for having me. And thank you for being here at the conference. I  mean, you're making it, you're elevating our game. Oh, it's been my  pleasure. Thank you. Awesome.

Andi

Now from the American College of  Financial Services’ Horizons conference, let’s hear from thought leaders Eric Ludwig,  Steve Parrish, Jeff Levine and Jamie Hopkins.

What is the Future of Your Social Security Under the New Administration?

Al

How should people be planning or  thinking about Social Security these days?

Eric Ludwig

Yeah, man, that's  the trillion-dollar question.

Al

I know, right?

Steve Parrish

None of us have the answer, that's obvious. And when we're  talking right now, a lot is going on.

Eric Ludwig

Yeah, it's obviously  been in the news a lot lately, right? And we have The DOGE in there  cutting jobs and things like that.

Jamie Hopkins

There is fraud more likely in the  disability side of Social Security. That's the area that honestly needs more of a reform when  you hear about it. The actual Social Security, that retiree benefits has very little fraud, very  little abuse, and actually even through the review here, I don't think there's actually been much  of a finding of that. They said they found 100, a bunch of 150 year olds. That's a coding  thing if you actually look at it. There, there,

aren't 150-year-olds getting a single payment.  There are zero, right? And that's actually very clear. Social Security puts out the ages of the  people who get checks. There are zero going there, so like that's not a thing, although it  is in the media, but it does need changes, right? It can't continue on the path that it's  been on forever, but it's a money-in and money-out system. So either you turn down the money that's  gonna go out of Social Security, or you turn up

the taxes that go in. I think most people right  now aren't clamoring for higher taxes. So then the other way to make it more sustainable  is to slow the money that's going out of it.

Al

Obviously it's had issues before  and there's been fixes. I mean, you increase the retirement age or you increase  the percentage withheld or you increase the cap. Do you see these things happening again  in the future to keep it a little bit more solvent or should we really be worried  that we're going to, the trust fund is going to run out and we're just only going to  have maybe 70%, 75% of the promised benefits?

Eric Ludwig

So I think that's where some of  these concerns come in, right? As if there's going to be changes to the funding status of  Social Security. How is that going to change the planning conversations around that, right? Like if  they start to extend the age, that's sort of the normal retirement age. If people want to still  take it at 62, is that going to now represent an even smaller portion of their retirement  income when normally it was a larger portion?

Steve Parrish

One thing that we do  know is you can start at 62 or as late as 70. The longer you defer, the more  you're going to benefit from it. Now, you tell me when you're going to die and  I'll tell you what to buy, I suppose.

Al

I know, exactly, right?

Steve Parrish

But the fact is, the break evens  on these are maybe age 80. So as long as you're going to live to age 80 or longer, it  pays to wait on Social Security. Now, the question we get is yes, but in 2033 it's  going to go down 20% and right now it could be even more because of all the things  that are going on with the government.

Al

Sure.

Steve Parrish

We've done a  lot of runs on that and the fact is everybody's would go down if it goes down.

Al

Sure.

Steve Parrish

So it still makes sense to  delay unless you just know you're going to die, right? So really. I'm telling people don't  overthink this. Right now, it's still a great annuity. It's still your base plan. And so  sure, maybe you're going to get a haircut and, on benefits, right? But don't suddenly say, well,  I want my money now because I can't trust the government. I don't buy that because I think the  American voices will say, no, we got to fix this.

Eric Ludwig

The things that aren't changing  are that when you think about the percentage of retirement income that comes from  Social Security, that's relatively stable, right? So we know that your  more affluent client, Social Security is going to be a smaller percentage. Whereas  if you're sort of lower on the wealth scale, Social Security can be up to 40%  of your total retirement income.

Jamie Hopkins

Two-thirds of Americans in  retirement, it's more than half of their retirement income. For one-third of Americans,  it is their only source of retirement income, right? One-third of Americans end up  saving less than $10,000 for retirement when they get there. There is no system  for them if we turn off Social Security.

Jeff Levine

For those who are in or approaching  retirement right now, I don't think too much will change. And, there's a lot of reasons  behind that. One of them is simply the, you know, the political climate. I mean, you  don't take away things from people who vote for you and the greatest voting bloc is  seniors. I mean that the AARP is one of

the most powerful lobbies in Washington. So  seems unlikely from a political perspective that you want to be the one on record saying  yes, I reduced your benefits, you know, so-

Steve Parrish

But a few things to think about  is the voting power of the American public.

Al

Yes.

Steve Parrish

I still am comfortable,  even confident, that we'll have some kind of Social Security system because  it's such an important safety net.

Eric Ludwig

What will actually take place?  We won't know. Right. And I think the thing that kind of worries me a little bit is  that those in office may not even know.

Jamie Hopkins

This is one, I have a completely  different view than the mass audience, and I've been hammering this one for a long time.  I actually wrote an article about this, too.  My concern of this self-fulfilling prophecy that, a  lot of people, and you looked at Americans saying, you look, I don't think it's gonna be there for  me.  And, what I was concerned about this is, this goes back almost 15 years, I said eventually  when people say that enough, it’s going to lead

us to this ability to actually cut back on Social  Security. Everybody can disagree with me on this. But if you actually look at the numbers, Social  Security is the single most efficient financial instrument that's ever been built in the history  of the world. There's conversations about fraud and all those things. Social Security's total  overhead runs at 0.3%. So if you think about any company ever, there is no company that runs at  0.3% overhead.  So every time somebody's like, oh,

we need something better and more efficient.  And I'm like, that's nonsense. There's, you can't run it like that. They don't have  marketing. They don't have training. They don't have sales. They don't have all the things  that build overhead in traditional companies. And maybe that's some of the people's criticism.  If you ever gone to a Social Security office, you can't really get a great answer, but  they don't spend on it. And everybody's

part of it. It has been an incredibly  efficient system. And if you look at our senior population in the United States,  right, it has kept them out of poverty at a higher rate than the average of the United  States. It's been very, very good for that.

Now, for younger individuals, I think there likely  are going to be changes. We have to have changes, whether it's delaying the age at  which Social Security may begin, or increasing the Social Security taxes,  some combination of all of those things. Now, does it need changes and some  adjustments? Yeah, because it is running out of money in the sense of we had a big baby boomer  population come in. People live longer than we

were expecting. And so that's put stress on the  calculation. But it's money in and it's money out.

Jeff Levine

Congress historically has  given people a pretty good runway for when they made changes. And they're pretty good about  estimating the changes and how well they will do. For instance, right now, a lot of people probably  are familiar with the fact that if you have fairly modest income, none of your Social Security  is taxable.  And if you have some more income, up to 50% of your Social Security is taxable. In  some cases, for higher earners in retirement, up

to 85% is taxable. Those changes, along with the  fact that right now there's a transition period where full retirement age is going from 66 to  67, those changes all were made in the year I was born, 1983. So it has literally been 40-plus years  since those changes were enacted. And at the time, well first of all, the full retirement age thing,  66, 67, is only starting to impact people now.

Al

Right.

Jeff Levine

Like, they gave  people 40 years to plan. And, when they made those changes, they said,  we think Social Security, by doing this, will remain solvent for another 50  years. That was their projection.

Al

Right.

Jeff Levine

Well, right now, Social Security  is projected to run out of money in about 2031, 2033, depending upon what study you believe.  That's 50 years. Like they were really good when they were right. Large numbers of people, you  can make pretty accurate projections. So I think there'll be some tough decisions in Washington  as to where to draw those lines and who to make changes for and who not to. But I think if you're  in your 40s, you're probably not looking at the

system being exactly what it is today. But if  you're in your, you know, mid to late 60s, I think you can count on whatever you're getting today  or projected to get today to be there for you.

Al

Yeah, I feel like that's one thing  that can be fixed and solved, and yeah, maybe tough decisions. And I feel like politicians  don't want to make those decisions because they're unpopular, but we have in the past and  it seems like we will moving forward.

Jeff Levine

We'll get there. Unfortunately, the  further we get towards 2033 the more drastic those changes need to be. And so, you know, there  may have to be larger changes than necessary because our politicians may not have the courage  to act sooner rather than later. But eventually, they're going to- I mean it is an important  component of so many individuals’ retirements

that they're going to have to find a way to  fix it again. It's probably some combination of changing the full retirement age, changing  the tax rates, maybe changing the amount of income that is subject to the tax rates.  I mean, there's lots of levers that they can pull and then ultimately it's probably  going to be a combination of several of them.

Watch Are You Ready to Retire? on YMYW TV and Download the Retirement Readiness Guide

Andi

Thanks to the American College of Financial  Services for making it possible for us to bring insights from all of these thought leaders right  to you, our YMYW audience. Check the links in the episode description to read about them and their  long and impressive list of financial designations and certifications. Over the next several  weeks I’ll be posting full interviews with them and several others exclusively on our YouTube  channel, so subscribe and turn on notifications.

This week on Your Money, Your Wealth® TV, also  on our YouTube channel, Joe and Big Al help you figure out if you’re on track for retirement, or  going off the rails? Chances are you have put some money away and have some ideas as to what you’ll  do with your time once you say goodbye to your day job. But do you know if you’re really ready  to retire? How much is truly enough? Joe and Big

Al put retirement numbers and strategies to the  test with a pre-retirement review. Click or tap the links in the episode description to watch  Are You Ready to Retire and to download the Retirement Readiness Guide for free. Joe: All right, let's get to it.

Should We Bother Saving for Retirement? We're Inheriting $20M. (Lucy & Ricky, WI)

Al

Okay. Joe: “Hello everyone at Your Money, Your Wealth®. My name is Lucy. I live in  Northern Wisconsin with my husband, Ricky. We're middle-aged with children. My drink of choice  is a brandy old-fashioned sour. I drive a 2024 F150. I need your help spitballing a hypothetical  future scenario. My husband Ricky's parents are

quite wealthy due to success in selling a large  business. His parents are relatively secretive on how much money they have or how they plan to  pass it to him and his four siblings when they do pass. Other than that, the children will receive  the estate. An estimate, I think the total estate will be worth over $100,000,000. I believe that  the children receive all of this, divided equally,

of course. My concern is that we are going to  spend our prime earning years saving money, spending money, and worrying about how to maximize  our current and future financial situation without knowing what that inheritance will look like  or how it will be structured. Of course, we can maximize our Roth contributions and take  advantage of our company match with our employers, but I wonder beyond that if we should even save  for retirement. Instead, pay off any debt and live

comfortably until we receive that inheritance.  Do you have any idea what their advisor would be telling them to do with their money? What  type of investment tools and strategies would someone like this be using to pass their wealth  on to their children? Do you have any other thoughts? And what we should be preparing  now for that inheritance. Thank you, Lucy.”

Andi

Lucy's got designs on  Ricky's inheritance there.

Joe

Yeah. I wouldn't bet a dime on that  inheritance. They're going to spend it and they're probably going to give it to charity.  A lot of it's going to go to estate tax.

Al

I got to concur with you. I mean, you don't  plan your own retirement based upon an inheritance that you know nothing about. So yeah, what if  they give it all to charity? Just like Joe said, it could happen. They haven't told you about  it. I mean, you don't know it's going to be divided equally. You don't. It sounds like  you don't know any of these things, and plus, I would say this. Pretend like it's not there.  If it comes in, great, but pretend like it's not

there. Live your life. You'll feel more satisfied  and more fulfilled just by doing this yourself, right? So pretend it's not there. If it comes  in, great. Then send us another question and we'll help you out with the, with, what to  do with all that, with that big lump sum.

Joe

But yeah, when you look at an estate that  large, there's a lot of different things that, you know, you need to do to avoid  large estate or death taxes. And, you know, with the appropriate  planning, you know, it gets super complex.

Al

Right.

Joe

And it's not like, all right, well here,  there's 4 siblings, he's got $100,000,000 dollars, so cut me a check for $20,000,000. Right? Or  there's, you know, check me, it's going to be significantly less than that. A lot of it,  it probably goes into different foundations.

Al

Yeah, I'm thinking of it.

Joe

It probably goes into limited  partnerships. It probably goes into all sorts of more complex type of  strategies and structures because you have to give up a lot of control to,  to try to mitigate any type of estate tax.

Al

Right. And the estate taxes is high  40%, right? So it's gonna be- it's gonna be a lot or you buy life insurance  to pay the estate tax or you set up-

Joe

But an estate of $100,000,000, you're not  gonna buy that big of a life insurance contract.

Al

It'd be difficult, right? So you'd  probably do a lot of other things, like, like a family limited partnership, like  you said, maybe you do, some outright gifts, a Cupert, a charitable lead  trust, a charitable remainder trust. I wouldn't think that they're gonna get  the whole $20,000, not even close to it.

Joe

Yeah. And it's probably going to come  to them payments over a long period of time.

Al

Right.

Joe

So, yeah. I would just think of  this as gravy, on top of that. Unless they specifically say, hey, this is your  inheritance, but- It sounds like they're pretty secretive and your guesstimating  on what those dollar figures are. So-

Al

A lot of people with that much  money will give a bunch of money to charity because they don't want to have the kids-

Joe

You know, $100,000,000 because  look at Lucy's already like, Hey, I'm going to stop saving, I'm going to, you  know, I guess I could put money into a Roth.

Al

I don't really want to.

Joe

I don't want to.

Al

We want to live it up.

Joe

Yeah. Come on.

Al

And that's why parents are secretive.  They want you to continue your life and be motivated and fulfilled on your  own. So I'm not surprised, you know, hopefully this happens, right? And maybe it will, probably will. I don't know. But I'm just, I  wouldn't count on it for your own planning.

When to Claim Social Security? Should I Do Roth Conversions? Medicare vs. Advantage? (Tybob, AZ)

Joe

Alright, we got “Hello to Andi,  Joe and Al. Tybo here and my drink of choice is a hazy IPA or a dark  lager from a craft brewery.” Those are two of the worst beers that I  think I have in my fridge today.

Al

No, I like hazy. So I'll take that.

Joe

All right.   “Your show was recommended to  me by a friend last year. Loved the show and have recently referred my brother who is now addicted  and listening to back episodes of your programs. I'm single, live in Arizona, the bedroom community  of for California defectors. State income tax here is about 2.5%.  Spending exclusively of in of  income tax is currently $6000 a month, and this

includes $1500 allocated to travel. I recently  retired. I'm 67 and looking for a little spitball analysis on the timing for when to draw Social  Security and when other Roth conversions should be considered in my retirement plans. Can you also  give me your thoughts on Medicare Supplement Plans versus Advantage Plans? Got a brokerage account  of $4,000,000.” Wow, couldn't you lead with that, TyBob?  “Got cash about $100,000, inherited  IRA of $200,000, traditional IRA $1,200,000,

HSA $160,000, Roth IRAs $160,000. Thanks for  making a boring topic entertaining. Boom, TyBob.”

Al

You know why he didn't lead with that? Because you would have made fun of him. You know,  when you say, you’re just trying to brag.

Joe

What he's looking for in Medicare  Advantage plans? He's got like $8,000,000? Dude, get the Cadillac. Okay,  check that one out the box.

Al

Yeah. Yeah.

Joe

You need to do conversions. Yes, you need  conversions. You got $1,200,000. You're probably are spitting out a bunch of income from your  brokerage account. Your RMDs are- what is he, 67? So he's got another 8 years. So  that's gonna be $2,500,000, roughly.

Al

Yeah, actually he's got till 73, but still.

Joe

So-

Al

Yeah, got 6 years.

Joe

He's got $80,000. He's single. It's gonna  be $80,000 plus the Social Security. I would push out Social Security at least until age 70. I  would do Roth conversions to age till 73 for sure.

Al

Yep.

Joe

And you still probably want  to do some conversions depending on how much that you can get those RMDs down.

Al

I think so. I think you do  the conversions right now. You live off the non-qual. And, you  know, as far as Social Security, probably 70. It doesn't say whether he's  single or married or whether he has kids.

Joe

He’s single.

Al

Single. Okay. All right. So yeah, you wait  till 70 unless you've got health issues or impaired life expectancy. And then take it sooner,  right? But break even is around age 80 ish, depending upon the assumptions you  use. So generally when you have a lot of money and you can afford to wait,  you wait, unless you've got health issues.

Joe

What, you got some  Medicare advice for him since-?

Al

Yeah. go for the Cadillac. Go for A, B, D.

Joe

Is that what you got?

Al

I'm not even on it yet. I'm  too young.  Anyway, yeah, the, A, B, and D is like, like a PPO, if you will, and  C is like an HMO. You just have more chances, more opportunities to go to who  you want to with A, B and D.

Joe

Yeah. Well, congratulations  Tybo.  Hell of a job.  Yeah, I had some boys from Arizona in over the weekend.

Al

You did?

Joe

Yeah, a little golf tourney. That's good.

Al

Got it. Yeah, cool.

Joe

It was a High Slope,  high scores with High Slope.

Al

Oh I remember him. Yeah. Yeah.

Joe

Yeah, he did a little  bit on the old radio show.

Al

He sure did. Yeah, he  did what, college basketball.

Joe

No college football.

Al

Football. Yeah, that's right.

Joe

High scores with High Slope!   Check the archives out on that one.

Al

Yeah, right. That was a while ago.

Andi

I don't even, I wasn't here for that, so  I'm not even sure those archives still exist.

Al

That was way before you.  That's  when we did it live in the studios.

Joe

Yep.

Al

Yeah.

Joe

Can you believe we've  been doing this 20 years?

Al

It's hard to believe, but that's about right.

Joe

Okay.

Andi

Time flies when you're having fun.

Al

Yeah. That's true.

Joe

All right. Let's go to, “Hi, Andi, Big Al and  Little Joe.” Oh, we haven't heard that joke yet.

I'm 50 With $2.4M Saved. Should I do 72(t) Tax Elections and Retire Right Now? (Speedy Racer, North GA)

Al

Oh, how about that?

Joe

It just never gets old. Never, ever gets old.

Al

That's a good one.

Joe

“I appreciate a spitball on  my situation. I'm hoping to retire in the next few years as soon as possible  preferred. I'm 50, single, two furry kids, mutts, drive a VW Golf and ride motorcycles.  Beverage of choice is, monster and vodka.”

Al

Wow.

Joe

“And I listen to your podcast  while working out-” Of course, he's getting jacked. A little back  and bys, chest and tris.  All right, “As I work out daily-“I mean, what do  you bench? You know? Well, what do you got?  “-as I work out daily, I'm gonna need  you to increase your podcast.  Chop, chop.”

Al

Well, we got, how many, we got 500 some prior  episodes. Andi: Yeah, we're up to 521 now, so- Okay, all right, that should do it for you.

Joe

All right. “Salary is $120,000 annual  plus bonuses.  I max out my Roth 401(k) through my employer with a 6% match and I add $1000  monthly to my brokerage account. My nest egg is $1,5000,000 and my traditional, $500,000  in a Roth, $400,000 in a brokerage account, $15,000 in HSA. House is worth $700,000,  $100,000 remaining on the mortgage. Social Security at 70 will be $50,000, assume I stop  working today. Each year I keep working only

at $750,000 a year to my Social Security  payment based on my earnings record.  Given the underfunding of Social Security, I assume I'll  only collect 75% of that, or $35,000 annually.  My initial plan was to execute a 72(t) tax election  on the IRA to cover me until 59 and a half. The current Fed midterm rate is 120%.  Which is-  “ is that the AFR rate?  120%. “It's 5.4,

which delivers $80,000. My living expenses  are $100,000, including taxes, so I figured the 72(t) tax plus a small distribution from my  brokerage account could cover inflation, should be sufficient until I reach 60.  At that point-“ man,  this guy really wants to get the hell out of it.

Al

He does, doesn't he?

Joe

“At this point, I'll adjust my IRA  distributions to zero out of my traditional IRA accounts over the next 15, 18 years, so  I'll be living off of Social Security and Roth distributions for the rest of my life. While I  might be missing out on a bit of the standard deduction for tax purposes, after 75 to 78 though,  of not having to pay taxes in my elderly years sounds very promising and simple. My assumptions  are a conservative 6% growth rate my nest egg,

5% inflation on medical expenses, 3% inflation  on everything else. Based upon my spreadsheets, this covers me until age 100,  with $1,000,000 of Roth left over.  I would adjust my future spending to  minimize the leftovers. Thoughts.”  Okay.

Al

Okay, well we got, he's 50 years old.

Joe

Who is this? This is a  Speedy Racer in North Georgia.

Al

He's got about $2,400,000. Wants to retire  now, right? So we gotta look at the numbers right now, right? So there's, $2,400,000. Wants to  spend $100,000. He's got $2,400,000. That would be a 4.2% distribution rate.  Without regards  to Social Security, which will come later.

Joe

50. Okay.

Al

And Social Security won't come for a  while, depending upon when he takes it.

Joe

Early. 20 years.

Al

Yes. Call it 20 years, age 70. So you got to make that 4% distribution  rate work all the way to Social Security. If you take that at 70, it’s, I, me personally,  I, if I were retiring at 50, I would want a closer to a 3% distribution rate. Which on  $2,400,000 would be closer to $70,000. So, if I was going to retire at 50 with these  numbers, I probably would get a part-time job, make $30,000 and call that good.  That's what I, that's what I might do.

Joe

Okay, let's explain the 72(t) tax election  because I think his numbers-  I would have to run it through our calculation. There's  three, so a 72(t), doesn't that seem high?

Al

It does, but I ran it  because it seemed high to me.

Joe

Oh, you did?

Al

I did, and I got $60,000 in one calculator  and $80,000 in another, so I guess it's okay.

Joe

So, a 72(t) tax election basically allows  you to take money out of a retirement account, an IRA specifically, under the age of  59 and a half, but it's called SEPP, separate equal periodic payment. So you have to  take the money out of the retirement account at least for 5 years or 59 and a half, whichever is  longer. And there's a calculation that you have to run through an AFR rate, applicable  federal rate, and you put it through,

there's 3 different choices. There's  the RMD, there's the amortization and- Al:- another one. Annuitization maybe? I'm better, man.  Don't quote me on this. Don't record me.

Andi

Too late.

Joe

But, so you run those 3 through and then  it's like, alright, well, he did that. It sounds like Speedy Racer did. I don't know if that's  a male or female, but it was like, alright, I get $80,000 a year from that and I can take the  money out of my retirement account without having to pay a 10% penalty. I still have to pay the  taxes on the dollars, but I can avoid that 10% penalty. So it's a great way to get money out of  the retirement account and avoid the 10% penalty,

but it's a horrible way to take money out of a  retirement account. Because you're stuck with that distribution for his case until he's 59  and a half, which would be close to 10 years.

Al

I know, but if he wants to spend  $100,000 and let's say it's right, it's $80,000. Then, actually, that's okay.

Joe

Yeah, but he's gotta take $80,000  out. What happens when the market tanks?

Al

Well, sure, I mean, he has  to take, well, then that’s-

Joe

Now he's forced to pull $80,000 out of the  account, and maybe he goes back to work. Like all right now he's 55 years old and he's like I'm  bored. I've already done everything, I traveled and someone offers him, Hey, you know what? We  have this project for you. Then he goes back to work and he's making $150,000 or $200,000. He  has to continue to pull the $80,000 dollars out. I mean, there's no flexibility there. So it's  a terrible way to take the money out, I think.

Al

Well, right, but let's just say he could,  let's just say he could be flexible on the spending or he gets a part time job. He takes  the money out and he has extra money that he doesn't use. He just reinvests it. So now  it's reinvested outside of retirement.

Joe

I agree. He got, he, but  he's stuck paying the tax.

Al

I agreed with that.

Joe

I'd much rather defer  the tax than pay the tax, or if I'm going to pay the  tax, I'd rather convert it.

Al

Yeah.

Joe

It'd grow tax-free.

Al

Yeah.

Joe

But I would not do a 72(t) tax  election for 10 years. That's just, it's, that just seems way too long.

Al

Too restrictive, right. Yeah,  that's, a good point. I think my point, I guess I went to step two. Which is, I'm  not sure the numbers even work. I think it's, I think he's taken too much out of his portfolio  before he hits Social Security.  Whether it's 72(t), or whether it's from his brokerage  account, or whether it's from his Roth, you got penalties on Roth. Although  you could take out the contributions,

you know, but do you really want to do that at  age 50? Start spending your Roth? Not really.

Joe

Yeah, I love the plan. I love the planning  that he's doing. He's got spreadsheets galore, and he's running right. He’s running at 6%  growth rate, run 5% inflation on healthcare, run 3%, 3.5% because your nominal rate is  a lot lower. So I'm fine using a straight line rate of return if you're running a high  inflation rate because your nominal rate is 2%, 2.5%, 3%. Versus, you know, 6% growth. It's  like you're never going to get 6% growth on

your money. You're going to get 8% and  minus 4%, then 12%, and then whatever.

Al

Yeah. Minus inflation.

Joe

So, but that's why another, there's  a risk factor here doing a 72(t) for that long is that  back in the 2000s, people did this  when the dot.com bust, right? Everyone was super

rich and young on, you know, but it's like, okay,  well now my money went to hell. And I still have to take these distributions out and I'm gonna-  they did a reprieve the IRS actually was like, you know what, we could stop this at a one  time deal because so many- well I don't know if so many people did they had to have if the  IRS stepped in and-  but after that it's like I was never a huge fan of the-  this SEPP or 72(t) tax election.

Al

Yeah, well maybe what he could do if  he really wants to do this plan is maybe, I think you can, now how does  that work Joe? Can you do, can you have separate IRAs and  just do 72(t) on one of them?

Joe

Yes, uh, huh.

Al

So maybe you split it, maybe you do  a third of it. Maybe you do $500,000, 72(t) on that. You take $25,000 out, do  the rest in brokerage and get a part time job like I talked about that, then I  think you, you got more flexibility.

Joe

It seems like Speedy Racer  here, just, he wants to punch.

Al

He wants out. I get it.

Joe

You know, he's got two furry kids.  He wants  to ride his motorcycle. He wants to cruise, right?

Al

Yeah. While he's still young enough to do it.

Joe

Smoke cigarettes and get on that  bike and cruise around North Georgia.

Al

Yeah, I get it.

Joe

I like it. Yeah, he's going  to get bored, I'm telling you.

Al

Not necessarily.

Joe

You tried to retire at 50. Look at you now.

Al

I did, yeah, but that's because I couldn't,  because the real estate market crashed.

Joe

Well, the stock market could crash and Speedy  Racer's going to speed right back to the office.

Al

True. Download the Key Financial Data Guide for free

Andi

Along with their email list and  their HP12C financial calculators,

Download the Key Financial Data Guide for free

the Key Financial Data Guide is a must-have for  Joe and Big Al to be able to spitball for you. Download a free copy for yourself from the link  in the episode description. It’ll show you at a glance the 2025 tax brackets and capital gains  tax rates, retirement plan contribution limits, tax on Social Security, Medicare premiums, and  all the current credits, deductions, exemptions, distributions, and exclusions. All the numbers  that affect your financial strategies as you plan

for retirement. One listener said that, basically,  this guide alone is worth the price of admission to YMYW - so, priceless! Just click or tap the  links in the description of today’s episode to download the 2025 Key Financial Data  Guide, to Ask Joe and Big Al for your Retirement Spitball Analysis, and to access  plenty of other free financial resources.

Comment

Your Podcast Is Impactful  for the "Gilligans" (Gilligan, NY)

Joe

Gilligan.  It's a comment.

Al

Comment. Okay.

Joe

All right. So this guy's  going to blow us up, I guess.

Al

We'll see.

Joe

All right. She loves throwing those  comments in there where it's like, yeah, you guys are jackasses.

Andi

Read on Joe.

Joe

All right. Here we go. “Hi, Andi, Joe,  Big Al. On a previous podcast, someone made a comment that they would rather hear from more  Gilligan than hearing from Thurston Howell. I totally understand that comment and I agree,

Comment: Your Podcast Is Impactful for the "Gilligans" (Gilligan, NY)

but I wanted to share a personal story about  Gilligan.  I hope it helps you realize how impactful your podcast is and also gives  hope to all the Gilligans listening.”

Al

Oh, so this could be a positive.

Joe

Oh, okay. “I earned less than $15,000 as a  full-time laboratory scientist out of college. My family was low middle class and actually had to  use food stamps for a year and a half after dad was in a serious car accident. The importance of  disability insurance is another important topic. When I eventually made $30,000 a year, I was  making more than my parents. We had 3 kids. I felt rich.  I'm still a research scientist, and did not  make $100,000 until I was 44 years old. Probably

averaged 3%, 4% annual increases. I bought a  small house at 26, 10% interest, 5.5% inflation, and got married 2 years later. I had 2 children  that lived a typical life. We saved, invested a small amount of money, and lived below my needs,  lived below my means. I drive cars for at least 10 years. And my best car lasted 20.  I was never  interested in impressing others, and loved when they called my cars pieces of crap.  While growing  up, I listened to a radio show that talked about

mutual funds, investing, and very basic concepts.  I was fascinated and determined to be focused on investing.  I feel embarrassed to say this, but  my total investable assets are over $7,000,000.”

Al

Wow.

Joe

Jeez. Good for you, brother.

Al

Yeah, that's a great story.

Joe

“Low cost index funds and believe that time  is key. Save early and often. I'm sure someone smarter could have done much better, but I also  know I could have done much worse. Apologies. But I still have lots of questions and appreciate  the knowledge that you share. I continue to read investment books and listen to several  podcasts each week. Yours is the best.” Yes.

Al

In all caps.

Joe

All right. “And I look forward to Tuesdays,  honestly. I have many more details to share, but I hope the above info is sufficient to give  other Gilligans out there some hope. Thanks Andi, Joe, Big Al, you're, you are amazing people whose  message will land on another Gilligan and change their lives and their children's lives. All the  best to you and yours, Gilligan.  Now, Thurston?”

Al

I think Gilligan is now Thurston.

Joe

All right. Yeah, you go.  Gee, drink,  little coconut milk. Well, of course, dude. You make $30,000 a year, you have  a $7,000,000, you're gonna hit coconuts off the tree in the island of Gilligan.   “Bamboo Island Taxi.” What the hell is that?

Andi

That's his car!

Joe

Oh, Bamboo Island Taxi?

Andi

Cause it's got, it's Gilligan, get it?

Joe

Oh, got it. Oh, coconut, got it. I'm so  stupid. “My wife works too, but did not earn more than me. I paid for my own college loans,  never came back to money via inheritance, lottery, insurance, legal settlements, etc. The only  one stopping you from being FI is yourself. A higher salary will not help. You'll just  spend more. Pay yourself first. Placing it in investments because you are worth it.”  Very  good. Nice, final words there from Gilligan.

Al

I love it. Thanks, Gilligan.

Joe

Yeah, I think that's the hardest thing to do because you're right. The more  people make, the more they spend.

Al

Yeah, I mean, how many people have we seen that have very high salaries  and have very little saved?

Joe

I still will never forget the  guy that made, he was an attorney, partner in a law firm.  Probably a million dollar  salary plus. And he's been making that for years.

Al

Yes.

Joe

The wife and him came in, and they  had nothing, and he was in his 60s.

Al

Right.

Joe

And then she's like,  well,  what do you think we could cut? Maybe you could cut the Pandora  without commercials.  I was like, what are you talking about? That's like $4  a month. You need to cut $400,000 a month.

Al

And they all say the same thing.

Joe

Oh, we don't spend lavishly.

Al

We're not lavish spenders.

Joe

No. Yeah, we definitely spend-

Al

It's only $600,000 a year.

Joe

It's like, well, how much do you  think you spend a month? Oh, I don't know, at least $3000.  That's it. $3000. You  make $1,500,000. And you have nothing and you're 60. And you say you spent $36,000  a year? What's your property taxes? Oh, that's right. Yeah. Do you get robbed  daily?  Do you have a drug problem?

Al

Gambling.

Joe

Oh, man.

Al

Oh boy.

Joe

But yeah, pay yourself first. I think  that's the best advice you can absolutely give anyone because you are definitely worth  it. I love that line. You are absolutely worth it. Think of your future self. Right. I  mean, God, like I said, it's crazy how long, 20 years we've been doing this stuff. It's like  I'm 50. I never thought I'd be 50. I'm an old man.

Andi

Hey now, come on!

Joe

It's like, man, I'm ready to I  want to be like that one dude that is going to do a 72(t) tax election.  I'm out of here. I'm FI.  I'm done.

Andi

And you are done.

Joe

Okay, we'll see you  guys next week. We'll be back next week. Actually, I'm heading to  Hawaii. That's where, the island of Al.

Al

You know, that's good for you.  You go to Maui, play a little golf.

Joe

I am, a little Kapalua.

Al

I like that. I was just there in  January, volunteering as you know.

Joe

I know.

Al

Yeah.

Joe

Alright, well I'll fill you in.  Thank you everyone. Thanks Andi. Thanks.

Andi

Thank you.

Joe

Thanks Al. We'll see you guys next week.

Al

Bye-Bye.

Andi

Many of you want to know how much you can  afford to spend in retirement, but what is your retirement income style? Watch and listen next  week as our interview series from the Horizons Conference continues with Dr. Wade Pfau, returning  to YMYW to talk about your retirement income style awareness. Plus, Al Bundy in St. Louis asks  Joe and Big Al for a spitball on his withdrawal strategy and what he should do with his IRA and  401(k) money. Join us then won’t you please?

Your Money, Your Wealth is presented by  Pure Financial Advisors. Meet with one of the experienced professionals on Joe and Big  Al’s team at Pure for a financial assessment.

Next Week on the YMYW Podcast

It’s a deeper dive than a spitball, there’s no  obligation, and it’s free. Call 888-994-6257 or click or tap the link in the description  to schedule your free financial assessment. Pure currently has 10 offices around  the US where you can meet in person, and we’re growing every day. But you can also get  your free assessment right from home via Zoom no matter where you are in the world. The Pure team  will help you create a detailed plan tailored to

meet your needs and goals in retirement. Now this part is different so listen up: Pure Financial Advisors is a registered investment  advisor. Neither Pure Financial Advisors nor the presenters are affiliated or endorsed by  the Social Security Administration. The information contained within this  presentation is for informational purposes only. It is based on current Social  Security rules and is subject to change in

the future. Individuals are advised not to  rely on any information contained in the podcast in the process of making a full and  informed investment, legal, or tax decision.

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