What's a Safe Withdrawal Rate in Retirement? (So You Won't Run Out of Money) - 519 - podcast episode cover

What's a Safe Withdrawal Rate in Retirement? (So You Won't Run Out of Money) - 519

Mar 04, 202546 minEp. 519
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Episode description

How much do Nick and Nora in Pittsburgh, and Doc Mc Muffin and her Mr. in Minnesota, need to have saved, and how much can they afford to spend in retirement? What are the disadvantages to Fred and Ethel in Virginia if Ethel collects her Social Security early? Are the Moonshiner and the City Girl in Florida so obsessed with avoiding RMDs and IRMAA that they're wasting too much savings on Roth conversions? That’s today on Your Money, Your Wealth® podcast 519 with Joe Anderson, CFP® and Big Al Clopine, CPA. Plus, will the tax benefits on a rental property offset the negative cash flow for Lily's 29-year-old son, who has started his professional career with a $750K salary?

Free financial resources & episode transcript: https://bit.ly/ymyw-519

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro: This Week on the YMYW Podcast

00:51 - How Much Should We Have Saved Before Retirement? (Nick & Nora, Pittsburgh, PA)

12:01 - Download the Withdrawal Strategy Guide for free

12:38 - We're 40 with $2.7M Saved. Spitball on What We're Missing. (Doc McMuffin, MN)

18:40 - Any Disadvantages to Claiming Social Security Early? (Fred & Ethel, VA)

26:11 - Am I Overly Obsessed with Reducing RMDs and IRMAA, Wasting too Much on Roth Conversions? (The Moonshiner and the City Girl, Orange Park, FL)

34:52 - LIMITED TIME OFFER: Download the Money Makeover Guide by this Friday, March 7! Watch Complete Money Makeover: How to Do a Financial Facelift on YMYW TV

35:36 - Son Makes $750K. Will Rental Property Tax Benefits Offset Negative Cash Flow? (Lily, CA)

40:32 - Joe and Big Al's Very First Jobs

44:18 - YMYW Accolades on Feedspot and Goodpods

Transcript

Intro: This Week on the YMYW Podcast

Andi

How much do Nick and Nora in Pittsburgh need  to have saved for retirement and how much can they afford to spend? When can Doc and Mr Mc Muffin in  Minnesota retire? What are the disadvantages to Fred and Ethel in Virginia if Ethel collects her  Social Security early? Joe and Big Al spitball on these topics today on Your Money, Your Wealth®  podcast number 519. Plus, are the Moonshiner and the City Girl in Florida so obsessed with  avoiding RMDs and IRMAA that they’re wasting

too much savings on Roth conversions? And finally,  will the tax benefits on a rental property offset the negative cash flow for Lily’s 29-year-old  son who has just started his professional career and is making $750,000? We will find out.  I’m Executive Producer Andi Last and here are the hosts of Your Money, Your Wealth®,  Joe Anderson CFP® and Big Al Clopine, CPA.

Joe

Sounds like a good show, Big Al.

How Much Should We Have Saved Before Retirement? (Nick & Nora, Pittsburgh, PA)

Al

It's, I can't wait.

Joe

Let's go. Let's get right to it. We got Nick  and Nora from Pittsburgh, PA. He goes, “Hey Joe, Big Al, Andi, thanks for producing such a great  show in making retirement fun.” That's what we do.

Andi

It’s all about you guys making it fun.

Joe

We make fun-

Al

- and make fun.

Joe

“I'm writing in because  I'm having trouble wrapping my head around the right way to think  about a safe withdrawal rate with a retirement plan that has different  phases. First, the fun phase.” Oh, “first the fun stuff.” I thought he was going  to say that the yo-go years and the no-no.

Al

Yeah, all that, right?

Joe

I hate those phases. Al:  Which one are you in?  You're the work hard go.

Andi

He's go-go all the time.

Joe

Go-go Joe-Joe go-go. All right, “we drive a  2020 Kia Soul. The one that looks like a toaster on wheels. We drink dark roast coffee in the  mornings, and I like a little Manhattan at night. While Nora likes red wine. Okay, now on  the finances. Nora is six years older than me, and we're targeting both of us to retire at  the same time I turn 56. This would allow us to make a game-time decision on whether  we could hold off on her Social Security

or take it right then if we needed it, since  she'll be 62. Where I'm getting tripped up is thinking about what number would make  sense for us to aim for in savings before retirement? Traditionally thinking is to aim  for a withdrawal rate of 4 percent for a 30 year retirement or slightly lower for more years.  Nora's planning on living to age 90 and me, 85.”

Al

Okay, that's pretty specific.

Joe

Yeah, very. “Which means we're looking at  about a 30 year retirement. So I would typically think we should be aiming for somewhere  about 3. 5, 4 percent range. However, my Social Security will come into play anywhere  between six to ten years after we started our retirement and should make for a decent chunk of  our spending. As such I figure We should be able to have a higher withdrawal rate to start our  retirement knowing that we'll drop down later

in later years. We expect to spend about $115,000  a year none of these number adjust for inflation because my question is about a percentage  withdrawal rate, so we can use today's numbers and know that when all of them will need to be  adjusted for future based on inflation. Nora’s Social Security will cover about $22,000 of that,  meaning we will have a gap of $95,000. Starting 10

years later my Social Security will cover #40,000  bringing the gap down significantly. Given that, how would you think about a reasonable withdrawal  rate to aim for starting retirement?” Okay, this is just so long. I get what he's  going at. He's got more to talk about here.

Al

Yeah. All right, “for example, if I had two million  dollars in retirement funds, that would be a four-and-a-half percent withdrawal rate. With  a normal retirement that would be really high, but if we got another forty thousand  dollars a year coming down the road,

would that be a reasonable rate to start, knowing  that we will drop below three in the future? I realize there's going to be some increased risk  by starting with a higher withdrawal rate given sequence of return risk, but I would just be  interested in to hear how you would think about a situation like this. We'll have some flexibility  in our spending. There's a buffer of about $10,000 of our current spending rates and about $15,000  in the budget in travel. For context, we have

a million dollars in savings right now and we're  putting $70,000 a year. Also, I realize any number we come up with today as a goal for savings will  need to be adjusted based on inflation. That's why I'm mostly interested in withdrawal rate. And then  we can come back to the savings goal. Thank you for any thoughts you share in a spitball in this  situation. Nick and Nora from Pittsburgh, PA.”

Andi

Now, I want to point something  out. Through this, they tell us that they want to retire at ages 56 and 62, but  they never tell us how old they are now, or how long they have to save until they  retire at that time. And I did email them back and I asked them, “Okay, how old are  you now?” And I haven't gotten a response back.

Al

Yeah. So we don't know. It's a-

Joe

Well, he doesn't care about that. What  he wants to know is that he's got a couple of different phases. His wife is older than him. He  wants to retire at the same age. She's going to have a fixed income. 10 years later, he's going to  have more fixed income. They're going to spend X amount of dollars. And so that withdrawal rate in  the beginning is going to be a little bit higher. And then the Social Security dollars are going  to come in. That's going to offset some of the

withdrawal rates. So he's like, “Well, how big a  chunk can I spend in the beginning?” He was like, “Hey, you know, four and a half,  4.7. Is that a, is that too much?”

Al

Well, the answer's maybe we, don't really have  enough to go on, but I would say it this way, Joe, is when you're retiring, if you retire around  55 or before 60, you might want to think about a three or three and a half percent distribution  rate. If you retire between 60 and 65, you can approach 4%. 65% is kind of the 4% rule, but  yes, when you have other money coming in later, of course, you can have a higher distribution rate  for a while. As far as what that rate should be,

it just depends upon your numbers.  So, we can't just give you a rate, you have to do some calculations to figure  out what's going to work for you. But yeah, there's no question, if you have more  money coming in from Social Security or a pension,right? Then you can start out with  a higher rate because when that kicks in, you'd be at a lower rate. So that didn't really  answer the question. But I don't know how to,

Joe

I think it's all luck of the draw. I think  he knows, he just wants to have the dialogue. The sequence of return risk is the biggest risk  that he has. You could take 8 percent out for the first couple of years, it sounds like. As long as  you get a, probably a five or 6 percent rate of return in the overall markets. But if the market  drops 20%, you pull out a little bit higher than four. You're probably going to run into some  trouble. But you have the buffers that you

said in regards to travel and you're buffering  another ten thousand dollars. So this is where you want to, you know, yeah, the answer is  yes, you could probably spend more because your Social Security is going to come in and  cover a big gap. Think of it this way, is like, what is the Social Security number that you have  was like $40,000 for you and $22,000 for her, so that's $62,000. And he wants to spend $100,000?  Well, is your buffer 40 grand? If your buffer is

$20,000, then you only need $20,000 from the  portfolio. If you have a million dollars today, that's a 2 percent burn rate. So you just look  at, alright, what does the number need to be when you turn your Social Security on, is how I  would look at it. In other words, so let's say that the total need from the portfolio, and you  don't want to count inflation, so I get that, is that you want to spend $100,000 today, There's  going to be $60,000 roughly a fixed income,

right? So there's a $40,000 shortfall  at, what's his name? At Nick's age 67.

Al

Right.

Joe

Or 66.

Al

Yeah, 67 I think.

Joe

Well, whatever. So let's say  it's a $40,000 shortfall at age 67.

Al

Yeah. So you at least probably want to have a million  dollars left in your nest egg by age 67, because then that will give you a four percent  distribution rate at that time when you have full fixed income. So from that point on and  before if you want to spend more or less you can buffer it that way just to make sure  that you have that four percent burn rate

when both of your Social Securities turn on  in all of your fixed income is. So who knows what that burn rate or that the withdrawal  rate - some years it might be really high some years it might be pretty low. But that  would be my gauge if I was Nick and Nora. Yeah, I actually, I agree with that. It's  the time when your fixed income comes in, where are you at, what do you need, and you are going  to have to factor in inflation, to be able to do

this properly, and then work backwards. But, the  fact that there's some flexibility, I think that total spend they want is $115,000, but they've  got 15,000 travel and another buffer of 10,000. So I like that. Joe, I like the fact that there's  some buffer if things don't go quite as planned, right? And so maybe you do your bit, your better,  bigger travel in years where the market does well and you don't travel as much when the market  goes down or stays flat so you don't decimate

your portfolio. So you just have to be sensible  about it. Something else I would think about if I'm retiring at this point with you know, a long  period between then and Social Security is, can I make some extra income in some other way if I need  to? I just want to have that in my back pocket.

Joe

Yeah. If Nick's retiring at 56-

Al

Yeah.

Joe

-you work part time and  make 20 grand or something.

Al

To make it up. Right. Or, if nothing else to make up what Social Security would have  been, so you're in the same spot, right?

Joe

Yep. Alright, no, really cool question.  I like it. So again, this is, Nick and Nora, what I would do, just make your spreadsheet, but  count inflation. I get you're looking at whole numbers and you just want to look at a burn rate.  I think it's a little bit more complicated than that. And a second thought is, I hate using a 4  percent or 3 percent or a sustainable distribution rate as a retirement income strategy. You cannot  look at it that way. It's really an accumulation

strategy of saying, “Hey, I need to have a million  dollars if I want to spend $40,000 a year.” But by the time you retire, and you start taking  dollars from the portfolio, I mean, it's a totally different strategy. The 4 percent rule is out the  window. Because you're going to be pulling out totally different percentages, you know, depending  on what happens in your life, depending on what happens in the markets, depending on, you  know, what happens, you know, across the globe.

Al

Yeah.

Joe

It's just not that simple. It's not,  all right, 4%, you're good. Because things happen in life all the time. Things  really good in life happen. Things not so good. You just have to adjust as you  go. So, that's a good ballpark, you know, like kind of rule of thumb. But it's not a rule  of thumb that I would abide by to say, Hey, I'm-

Al

I'm good.

Joe

Yeah. I'm perfect for retirement  and no more planning's needed.

Al

And that Joe, it does  work if there's a flat market.

Joe

If it's perfect.

Al

Right. Which it never is. The market goes up  and down at different times. Sequence of returns mean you retire, maybe the market goes down  for three years in a row. Now you're changing everything. So you got to consider all of these  things. That's why the 4 percent rule is just, I agree with you, Joe. It's more of  an accumulation plan. How much do you need to retire? And then after that,  it's like, how can I make this work?

What do I need to adjust each and every  year, depending upon the circumstances?

Joe

Right. What assets are you going  to sell to create the income? What's the taxation going to be? You know,  how tax diversified are you? Should you be thinking about conversions or  not conversions? What is IRMAA? I mean, so there's only, there's so many other  things I guess you want to consider. So.

Download the Withdrawal Strategy Guide for free

Al

Yep. Download the Withdrawal Strategy Guide for free

Andi

When you shift from saving for retirement  to spending in retirement, your entire financial strategy needs to change. Our Withdrawal  Strategy Guide will tell you more about sustainable distribution rates, optimizing from  which accounts you make your withdrawals and when, the impact of market volatility and inflation on  your retirement spend-down plan, and tax-saving strategies to make your money last longer in  retirement, so you can keep more of what you’ve

earned and send less to the IRS. Just click or tap  the link in the episode description to grab your free copy of the Withdrawal Strategy Guide. If  you know someone who would benefit, why not share the show and the free financial resources with  your friends, your family, and your colleagues?

We're 40 with $2.7M Saved. Spitball on What We're Missing. (Doc McMuffin, MN)

Joe

All right, we got doc McMuffin  from Minnesota, the homeland.

Al

Yeah. Your homeland.

Joe

The mothership. “Hi, Joe Al,  and Andi. And thanks for the great podcast. I've been listening for years and  I love the content, humor, and great vibes.

Andi

“vibes”.

Joe

“I'm a 41-year-old physician. Mr.  McMuffin is a 40-year-old engineer.” Alright, Doc McMuffin. “I drive a 2012 Honda CRV  with 209 miles and my husband drives a 2015 Chevy truck.” She doesn't know what type  of Chevy truck it is, it's just Chevy truck.

Al

Yeah, that's all you have to say.

Joe

Chevy truck.

Al

We get the idea.

Joe

“My drink of choice is Chardonnay or IPA. And his is funky sour beer.” He drives a Chevy  truck, Mr. McMuffin, with funky sour beer.

Al

Right.

Joe

Does that mean that the beer he drinks, he just doesn't care for, or is there  such a beer called funky sour beer?

Al

I don't, never heard of it. I don't know.

Andi

I have a feeling she's saying  that it's sour, so that makes it funky.

Joe

Okay.  “We have two elementary age  boys, no pets. Regarding our finances, combined 401k and 457, 2.4 million dollars.  Nearly 50% of that is in Roth.” Geez.

Al

Wow.

Joe

Good for you, Doc. “Combined backdoor Roths  are 130. Combined HSA is 107. Brokerage account, 130. Kids 529 plans, $30,000 each funded  monthly. We'd cover college costs by then. Primary residence is worth 750, have  $150,000 left on a 3.6% mortgage.” Alright. “I make $500,000 a year. My husband makes  around 150. We both max out our Roth 401ks, backdoor Roth IRAs, HSA, my pre-tax 457, and my  husband's mega backdoor Roth every year. Plus $

12,000 in the taxable.” What possibly  could be your question, Dr. McMuffin?

Al

They're saving 150,000 a year.

Joe

You're fine. You're good. Keep saving lives.

Al

They've got over 2 million to start with.

Joe

It's like, okay, and you're 40. All right,  let's keep going here. “Despite our high tax bracket, we are in Joe's camp of not missing  the tax deduction and love Roth money.” See, I'm with you, girl. “I work a ton but love  being a doctor. My husband likes his job fine, but is thinking of switching to a more flexible  career in the next few years. Our investments are currently 100% in index fund equities with 90% be  in total U. S. market and the rest international.

My question!” Finally, doctor! “Anything we are  missing? Any blind spots we should be thinking about? Or anything you'd be doing different?  I'm not sure exactly what our spending will look like in retirement, but I'd like to be able  to travel and order nice wine. I wouldn't be surprised if Mr. McMuffin, semi-retired by age  45, but I'll probably have a hard time hanging it up until I'm close to 60. Thanks for the  spitball, you guys are the best.” Anything,

any blind spots? No, there's zero blind  spots in this overall strategy. None.

Al

It looks perfect. I would say,  three things that weren't mentioned, but they're probably covered, but just in case: make sure you got appropriate disability  coverage and life insurance and make sure you've got to get emergency fund. Outside of  that, I just keep doing what you're doing.

Joe

Big Al, did you get an insurance license?

Al

No. But, you know, when you make that  much money, and if your husband retires, then they're depending upon that, so  you gotta think about such things.

Joe

Got it. Yeah. She could be, like,  Dr. Strange. You know, hurts his hand, he can't do surgery anymore, then  he has to go to Tibet or something, right? No? You have no idea. Never watched  a Marvel movie in your life, probably.

Al

No, I have. I don't  know that part of the story.

Joe

Dr. Strange? You don't know?

Al

Yeah. I know Dr. Strange.

Joe

So he was a doctor. Surgeon. Really good surgeon. His hands. And  then he got in a car accident.

Andi

Which part of the  Marvel universe is this from?

Joe

I don't know. Dr. Strange.

Andi

Oh, okay.

Joe

I got a three-and-a-half-year-old that  all of a sudden just loves Marvel movies. And so I have to watch these stupid  movies over and over and over again.

Al

If you would have asked me 30 years ago, I  would have talked to you about Power Rangers.

Joe

Oh, I suppose. Oh, Power Rangers. Yeah. Is that what your kids were into?

Al

Yeah.

Joe

Okay. Andi, what were you into? Scooby Doo?

Andi

Mr. Rogers. That was my guru. Absolutely.

Joe

Mr. Rogers. Mr. Rogers Neighborhood.

Al

Okay, nice.

Joe

Won't you be mine?

Andi

Yup.

Al

That's why you're the fine  person you are today, Andi.

Andi

I try, you know? Somebody has to be.

Joe

What was the king's name  again? Mr. Howl? King Owl?

Andi

No, that's Gilligan's Island.

Joe

Well, no, it's Howl, right? It was an owl.

Al

Howl the Owl?

Andi

King Friday.

Joe

No, he was the tree guy. Who was  the king? The king was something, right?

Andi

King Friday was the king. King Friday.

Joe

Oh, yeah, King Friday.  Yeah. And something Saturday. Yeah. Ask me about Little House  on the Prairie and I'll kill it.

Andi

Although, I will say, somebody pointed  out in the comments on YouTube that you said that her sister's name was Debbie, and then at  the end you finally remembered it was Mary. So.

Joe

Yeah. Just takes me -it's a process.

Al

You'll get it.

Joe

I just got to put myself in the  prairie and just be thinking about-

Andi

Oh! And somebody also mentioned  that it was actually Minnesota, and I was shocked that you didn't realize  that. Plum Grove, I think, Minnesota?

Joe

Yeah, I knew that.

Andi

You said it was Iowa.

Joe

Well, okay, well-

Andi

It was the homeland!

Joe

It was a sequel or something, right?

Andi

Got it. Okay. That must be it.

Al

That's tough to comprehend,   showing a little kinks here.

Joe

I know. I got some kinks in the armor, brother. I'm tellin’ ya. Oh  my goodness. Ah, that age.

Any Disadvantages to Claiming Social Security Early? (Fred & Ethel, VA)

Alright, we got Fred and Ethel from Virginia.  “Hi, YMYW team. We found the show last year and have been enjoying getting caught up on past  episodes. It's been extremely helpful. We’d like a spitball on our strategy for taking  Social Security. Here's the details. Fred, he's 55 and is considering retiring around 59 to  60. He drives a Ford F-150 Limited King Ranch and is a connoisseur of fine brown spirits, whiskey,  rum, brandies and uh… amorcognac.” What is that?

Al

Dunno.

Andi

Armagnac?

Joe

Okay. One of his favorites.

Al

Arm. Armagnac, I don't know.

Joe

Arm-

Andi

I think it's French  pronunciation, so I think it's armagnac.

Joe

Okay.

Al

Okay. We'll go with that.

Joe

Got it. Fancy Nancy there. “Ethel will  turn 62 in March and is retired from raising three children. All three are through college  and on their own. She drives a Lincoln MKX and prefers good wine in any color, and on any  occasion, she drinks a dirty vodka martini. Oh, on an occasion. Okay. Fred, he's a sole income  earner, 450 salary bonus, and earns six,

earns Social Security benefit at age 70 in 2039,  will be $59,000 per year in today's dollars. Ethel has enough Social Security credits to collect on  her own at $17,000 per year at age 62, 24 to 67, 31 at 70. We don't expect to need Social Security  to fund our expenses in retirement. We have about $1. 8 million in a 401k, 275 in an ESOP,  another 150 in an IRA, commercial real estate partnership of $500,000. Fred's privately  held company stock is $3.9 million.” Okay.

Al

Wow. Okay.

Joe

All right. You go, Fred. “Which he will  sell and move into a brokerage account when he retires. Two homes with a mortgage average  3.25%. Total equity combined $1.5 million.” Okay, yeah, so you don't need the Social  Security. You got millions. So, they're gonna try to figure  out how to squeak every last-

Al

Easy, easy answer, right.

Joe

It doesn't matter. Okay, so the total  current net worth, $8 million with $6.5 million in non-residential Investments.” So liquid  investments, “assuming nothing catastrophic in the market or Fred's company over the next few  years, the expectation upon Fred’s retirement is the total net worth of about $10 to $11 million,  $8 to $9 in non-residential investments. When Fred retires, the plan is to live off all the after-tax  accounts and do Roth conversions on the retirement

accounts using the after-tax funds to use to pay  tax. Here's the question. Conventional wisdom is to wait until 70 to claim Social Security to pay  the tax.” I mean, “claim Social Security benefits, which Fred plans to do. Ethel's spousal benefit,  when Fred claims, will be about $24,000 per year. That combined with Fred's $59,000 will  provide $83,000 of Social Security income. We are strongly considering Ethel start claiming  Social Security when she turns 62 in March of

this year. We're thinking that income can be  used to invest, pay Roth conversion taxes, go on a cruise, etc. We would do this for 15  years until Fred claims Social Security and Ethel can switch to her higher spousal benefit.  Straight math suggests that this strategy will provide more dollars over the next 15 years than  if she waited to claim at 67 or 70 And she'd still be eligible for the higher spousal benefit when  Fred claims his. Does Ethel taking Social Security

early makes sense? Are there disadvantages in  doing so? Are we missing anything? Thanks in advance for your spitball. Fred and Ethel.”  Yeah, they're missing a couple key things.

Al

What do you think?

Joe

Okay well If she claims at 62, she's going to have a reduced benefit.  She's claiming on her own benefit at 62.

Al

So she'd get about $17,000.

Joe

She's going to get a 30%  haircut for the rest of her life.

Al

That's right.

Joe

So she cannot claim the spousal  benefit until he claims his own benefit.

Al

That's correct.

Joe

So she's going to have to wait until  Fred is age 70 to claim the spousal benefit.

Al

and she'll be about 76 or 77.

Joe

Okay?

Al

Yep.

Joe

The spousal benefit is going  to be half of what Fred's benefit is at his full retirement age  minus the fact that she took hers at age 62. So she's not going  to receive the full spousal benefit.

Al

So that was his benefit  had he taken at 67, right?

Joe

Correct.

Al

Half of that and then a 30% haircut on that.

Joe

Correct.

Al

Yeah, right.

Joe

So I'm guessing the spousal benefit is going to be lower than her  benefit as she took at age 62.

Al

That's what-

Joe

If she doesn't take it at 62, then the  spousal benefit is going to be higher. But after hearing this, and Fred's like, well, “she's taking  it for sure.” If you take the benefit at 62 on her own benefit and invest the money, and assume a 6%  growth rate, yeah, you're probably gonna make out.

Al

Yeah, well, I think so too, because you get,  what, you get five years of extra money that you wouldn't have had. I mean, yeah, you'd have  more on a spousal benefit, but not that much more. I think if you do the straight math,  just like you said, Fred, if you factor in the month-by-month income for those five years,  I think you'd do better just having her go ahead and collect. And I think the second question,  should you do Roth conversions, the answer is yes.

Joe

Well, no, he wants to use the  money for, to pay the Roth conversion.

Al

Yeah, yeah.

Joe

Go on trips. You have $10 million.  Yeah. Take it at 62. Go have fun. See, I'm the voice of everyone that listens  to the show when they hear these numbers.

Al

I know. They go, this isn't the show for me.

Joe

They shut it off. They're like. So  then we have to make fun of Fred and Ethel.

Al

We just answered the questions.

Joe

Yep. You got $11 million. I would imagine  one month of interest on his $11 million is going to be more than whatever he's trying to  figure out with his Social Security strategy.

Al

Yeah, I would agree with that.

Joe

All right. So congratulations on all your  success. But yeah, take her benefit at 62 because I don't think he understands the full rules  of that. She has to wait. So, spousal benefit, again, if you want to claim the spousal benefit  is going to be half of your spouse's benefit. So you could claim yours or half of your spouse's,  whatever's larger, but you can only claim the spousal benefit when your spouse claims their  benefit. And if you claim your benefit early,

you're going to have a permanent haircut either  on your own record or the spousal. There you go. Social Security 101. For those-  you want to talk about GPO and WEP?

Al

No, not particularly.

Joe

Got it. Okay. Some rules have changed there.

Al

True.

Joe

Get into that some other day.

Am I Overly Obsessed with Reducing RMDs and IRMAA, Wasting too Much on Roth Conversions? (The Moonshiner and the City Girl, Orange Park, FL)

“Alright, my main question is,”  we got the Moonshiner in the City Girl.

Al

Okay, Florida.

Joe

A little Orange Park, FLA. He's got  a main question, “my main question,” and then all of a sudden this is like four  pages long. So I don't know what this means. “My main question, am I overly  obsessed with trying to avoid future RMDs, IRMAA surcharges, and RMDs? Is my obsession  causing me to waste too much in current savings on Roth conversions?” Alright, here we  go. Let's see, how long is this one?

Al

It's about a page.

Joe

I don't even know what page 7 is. Aaron  stapled this on me and double sided it.

Al

Makes it tougher.

Joe

Alright, here we go. “I'm also  concerned about doing nothing. And either of us die with unconverted IRA or TSP  on the table, the RMD and tax situation will be magnified. I always look forward to your  podcast. Where I listen via SiriusXM.” Oh, cool. “While working out or working  outside. Your joyvial, non-intimidating, informative explanations are  the best. Very joyvial. Joyvial. Al/Joe: Joyial. Joyvial.

Andi

I like joyvial. That's  even better than jovial.

Joe

Yeah, it feels like I've  had a couple cocktails myself. Joyvial. “Hearing Andi's welcoming voice is  a major benefit.” It is a major benefit. Yes.

And

Thank you.

Joe

All right. We identify as blue-collar  working class, but we feel like the federal-

Andi

Revenuers.

Joe

Revenuers. “But feel  like the federal revenuers”-

Andi

“Tax us at white collar rates.”

Joe

Got it.

Al

Okay, so they feel like  they're paying a lot of tax.

Joe

The IRS. The Federal Revenuers. I don't think I've ever heard anyone call  the IRS the Federal Revenuers.

Andi

That sounds like the name  of a band. The Federal Revenuers.

Joe

It does, I like it.

Al

It's clever. It's catchy.

Joe

Yeah. We're blue collar.  You know, my mom is like, “I'm a blue-collar lady with champagne taste.”

Al

I would agree with that. I met your mom.

Joe

Yeah. “After retiring for about 26 years  stretch in the Navy,” thank you for your service, “I went to work in the real world. City Girl  also served in the Navy for 10 years where we met on the remote British isle of Diego Garcia.”  Very romantic. She later retired from a civilian career. We enjoy spending time where I grew up  in the Appalachian Mountains. Visiting vineyards, eating out, and occasional concert. Oh my god,  I feel like I'm reading, like, a love novel.

Andi

You always want people's stories! You want to get into their lifestyle and  what they're doing! Here you go.

Joe

Now I gotta go to the  British Isles of Diego Garcia.

Al

Even this might be excessive.

Joe

We just love walking around the  Appalachian Mountains, visiting vineyards.

Al

Hand in hand.

Joe

Under waterfalls.

Andi

He hasn't even gotten to the drinks yet.

Joe

Yeah, “eating out and maybe an  occasional concert.” Listening to-

Andi

Kenny G.

Joe

Diego Garcia play the ukulele.

Al

I like that. Okay. What do they like to drink?

Joe

Okay. “I enjoy a few sips of  a good bourbon.” A few sips, okay?

Al

Can you do a few sips?

Joe

Yeah, I can do more than that.  “Elijah Craig, a little barrel proof, an Irish black and tan, or a German W”-

Andi

Warsteiner. Joe Warsteiner Pilsner.

Al

Warsteiner Pilsner.

Joe

“City Girl prefers an  un-oaked dry Chardonnay. I drive a 2024 Silverado and City Girl  drives a 2017 Mazda MX 5. I also have a Massey-Ferguson farm tractor at our getaway  location. Oh, they got a getaway location.

Al

Yeah, with a tractor.  That's an important fact.

Joe

Yes.

Andi

I'm just imagining them getting away from, like, a bank robbery or something  like that in their tractor.

Joe

“I'm shooting to convert $200,000  to Roth every year from age 66 to age 70 because should keep me within the 24%  tax bracket and the third IRMAA bracket.

Al

Okay.

Joe

200 grand a year. Big Al.

Al

That's a lot.

Joe

That's a, it's a big chunk of dough. “Our  retirement nesting includes $765,000  Traditional IRA, TSP of 705, Roth IRA and Roth TSP of 225.  Cash at 25. Vanguard Mutual Fund of $22,000.” All right. “Out of a habit, I contribute  monthly to a mutual fund. A big chunk of the $225,000 in cash will be used to pay the Roth  conversions. Combined cash flows from pensions, City Girl’s Social Security, plus her $24,000  IRA distribution is $126,000, gross of $105,000,

or $100,500. We basically just spend it. I plan  to delay Social Security until late 2028 when I turn 70 and I expect to receive $39,000 gross  for $26,500 net after tax and IRMAA. Tricare and Medicare cover most health care costs. I turn 67  and City Girl turns 68 later this year. We both retired at 65 and have good financial security.  We do not have children or grandchildren. We recently lost our beloved cat and chocolate  lab due to old age. I'm trying not to follow

their leads. We're totally debt free and own two  properties mortgage free. According to Zillow, our Florida home is $350,000 and our out of state  Montana getaway is probably worth $400,000. The value would be the land, not the old farmhouse. I  hope you will consider responding to our situation and that other hard-working folks might benefit  as well. Thank you. Moonshiner and City Girl.”

Andi

I'll point out that is Mountain Getaway  probably in the Appalachians rather than Montana.

Al

And I will clarify, because you read  that pretty fast, $765,000 in an IRA/TSP and $705,000 in a Roth IRA and Roth TSP.  So it's about mixed, $700-$800,000 each.

Joe

Okay. And he wants to  convert $200,000 a year.

Al

He wants to get it all  out. So he's wondering, is he-

Joe

Yes, don't, is he's overly obsessed.  Yes, you are overly obsessed. Go have a cocktail and go under the waterfall of  Diego Garcia. Yes, he's totally obsessed.

Al

I would agree with that.  And here's some reasons why you don't necessarily want to convert everything.

Joe

Cause you got a 10%, 12%, right?

Al

Yeah. Well, you got the lower brackets. Now,  you know, maybe those get filled up with pensions, so we don't, you know, even assuming that, so  medical, if you have medical expenses down the line, those are deductible, you can put them, pull  them out of the IRA, you record that as income, but then you get to record the deduction, they  net out. Right? So, if you have it all in a Roth and you pay taxes on money you don't need to pay -  or what if you want to give money to charity? You

could do a qualified charitable distribution  right out of the IRA and not pay tax. So, there's some reasons why you don't want to  convert everything. and the, and maybe even the most important, Joe, is the one you said,  which is you want to fill up the lower brackets.

Joe

22%. That's where you go,  Moonshiner. 22% is $200,000 of taxable income. Your income right  now is $125,000. So you can do plus the standard deduction. I would do half  of the conversion that you're thinking.

Al

Yeah, I would say that's about right.  About $100,000-ish. Something in that range.

Joe

Stay in the 22% tax bracket. I  don't think you need to go to the 24, because it- the RMDs are not going to be that bad.  He's got 10 years, if he converts $100,000 out.

Al

Yeah, for four years.

Joe

He will get all of it out in 10  years and probably pay a lot less tax.

Al

Yeah, you can keep going if you want,  right? You can still convert even though you've hit Social Security age. It's  just you have a little extra income, so you convert a little bit less. So maybe  you convert $70,000 instead of $100,000, whatever it may be, right? So don't think that  you have to pay in these higher tax brackets.

Joe

Yeah, I get what- he's thinking of the  widow or the widower's tax. If one were to die, you know, some decent fixed income and they got  a lot of money still in retirement accounts, but it's $700,000. He already  has $700,000 in a Roth.

Al

It's already looking-

Joe

If it was like 1.4 all in the TSP  or the IRA or 1.5, then I would be like, yeah, 200 is probably the number if he had other  income or cashflow to live off of and pay the tax

Al

I would agree with you.

Joe

So, yeah, 22% tax bracket.

LIMITED TIME OFFER: Download the Money Makeover Guide by this Friday, March 7! Watch Complete Money Makeover: How to Do a Financial Facelift on YMYW TV

Andi

Does your outdated, tired,  set-it-and-forget-it financial plan need a complete money makeover? Assumptions you  make about your finances can make or break your retirement lifestyle - will it be bad or  beautiful? This week on the Your Money, Your Wealth TV show, Joe and Big Al show you  how setting goals, revamping your portfolio, and doing a tax turnaround can give your  retirement plan the financial facelift it

needs. Click or tap the links in the episode  description to watch Complete Money Makeover, and to download the companion Money Makeover  Guide for free. This is a limited-time special offer on that guide, so get yours before this  Friday, as it won’t be available again for several months. If you’ve got money questions  or want your own Retirement Spitball Analysis, click or tap Ask Joe and Big Al in the  episode description and send it on in.

Son Makes $750K. Will Rental Property Tax Benefits Offset Negative Cash Flow? (Lily, CA)

Got a little Lily, from California. “Hi,  my name is Lily. I love your show.” Well, well, thank you. We love that you  love our show. “I have a question on behalf of my son regarding tax saving  strategies. My son is 29 years old and has recently started his professional career  and earns an annual income of 750 grand.

Al

Was that your first job?

Andi

As a starting salary.

Joe

Starting salary. At age 29. Yeah,  that was me. Lily. 29. 750. What is he?

Al

I don't know. Does he work  for a private equity firm maybe?

Joe

“He's single and falls in the highest tax  bracket. To reduce his income tax liability as much as possible, he is exploring investment  opportunities. He currently has $300,000 in cash on hand, but is not interested in  purchasing a primary residence right now, as he doesn't plan to stay in his current  location for long. The area is remote and not ideal for property investment. Instead,  he's considering buying property in San Diego

and renting it out. Oh, he's going to be  our neighbor. I guess so. You know what? He's like a Land Man. Texas oil.  Seen that yet, Big Al? Land Man?

Al

No.

Joe

Andi?

Andi

I haven't even heard of it.  Is that a movie or is that on TV?

Joe

Are you…

Al

Is that HBO?

Joe

Aaron! Alright, it's by far one of  my favorite shows, I think, of all time.

Al

I know, every show that you like, I hate, so.

Joe

Billy Bob Thornton,  you like Billy Bob Thornton?

Al

I do, but not all his stuff.

Joe

He's a Land Man. He goes around, you know, they're in Odessa, Texas, Midland,  Texas. But $750,000 a year at 29.

Al

I can't believe it.

Joe

It's incredible.

Al

It's great.

Joe

All right, so he's gonna buy in San Diego.

Al

Okay

Joe

“His mortgage payments will likely exceed  $7,000 a month.” It might be more than that, Lily.

Al

It could be.

Joe

“While rental income will range about $4,000  to $5,000. My questions are, will the tax benefits from the rental property offset the negative cash  flow? Are there any other potential investment opportunities that could help reduce his income  tax liability? Thank you so much, looking forward to hearing your thoughts.” Alright, your  29 make $750,000. W-2 wages, I'm guessing?

Al

Yep, that's what I would guess too.

Joe

And so, the 401k is probably the  only thing that this young man has that's going to save him any ounce of  taxes unless he does something exotic that we would probably highly  recommend that he wouldn’t do.

Al

Yeah, and I don't even want to go into those,  but there are some pretty weird things out there. But, yeah, so when it comes to rental property,  1986 is when Ronald Reagan and his administration passed the passive loss rules, which limited the  ability to write off losses. When your income is too high, and your income is too high, way  too high, right? Once it's over $150,000, you can't take losses on rentals. What you can  do, though, is you can take that rental income,

and you can deduct the mortgage interest  against it, property taxes against it. If you still have extra, it'll carry over to the  next year, but you cannot create a loss. So, Joe, I would tend to agree with you. 401k  is something you could do, contributions, right? To be able to reduce your taxes, invest in  municipal bonds. Do you do tax less harvesting, right? If, you've got investments that have  gone down and you sell them against other ones.

Joe

Everyone thinks real estate will  give you such a tax break. And it doesn't.

Al

Yeah. It doesn't.

Joe

it's a good investment. San Diego real  estate has appreciated fairly nicely. Buying a $1.2 million property, and so renting it out,  you're going to lose, you got to bank on growth, right? So what do you think that the growth rate  is in San Diego and where does he want to buy? You know, if he buys coastal, it's probably  going to have a pretty good growth rate, but it's going to be pretty hard to  find a $1.2 million property, you know,

the west of the five. Are you west of the five?  No, you're by me, you're east of the five.

Al

Yeah, east, just like you. Yeah, I'm  closer to five, but I'm not west of it.

Joe

Got it. But no, I think  that's a fine investment. He makes $750,000 a year. He wants to  buy the property in San Diego. At some point he might want to move here.  He's already got the property. The sooner that you can buy into Southern California and  some, you know, desirable places, the better.

Al

I think so too. And so maybe with an  eye towards moving in later. Right? So think about that. Maybe you spend a little bit  extra, a little bit more negative cash flow, but it's the place you want to live. I  don't know. You take a look, but yeah, you're not going to get a  tax write-off, unfortunately.

Joe

Lily, I got to know, what  does your son do? 29, $750K.

Andi

Starting salary.

Al

Venture capital firm?

Joe

It does remind me of myself.

Joe and Big Al's Very First Jobs

Joe and Big Al's Very First Jobs

Andi

What was your very first job, Joe?

Joe

My very first job ever?

Andi

Yeah.

Joe

I worked at a grocery store, Rainbow Foods.

Al

Were you making 750?

Joe

I was making $7.50 an hour.

Al

I actually am a little older than you. My  first job, I was making less than $7.50 an hour.

Joe

Oh, that's why I have terrible anxiety.  I can't go into grocery stores anymore.

Al

Oh, yeah. Because it reminds you.

Joe

Oh, man. It's terrible.

Andi

You’ll start merchandising and –

Joe

Yeah. But I was a cart guy.

Al

You were a cart guy.

Joe

Yeah, I would push the carts in.

Al

Was that stressful?

Joe

No, it was great. You can walk  around, you know, pick up carts.

Al

Say hi to people.

Joe

Yeah. And then I got promoted. And  then I worked in the produce section.

Al

Oh, okay.

Joe

That didn't last very long  because I wanted to be outside.

Al

You're an outdoor guy.

Joe

Yes. Well. I don't know. I don't know, like  putting grapes in a, that was just boring and I hated it. Then you had the lifers, right?  The guys that were working the produce.

Al

Yeah. They've been there.  They were like, 55  years old.

Joe

Yeah. They're 60 years old, waiting for their pension. They were  not Lily's kid making 750 grand.

Al

They might have made more than $7.50 an hour.

Joe

Yeah. And then, no, I worked two  jobs. Then I had a job at the Shantytown.

Al

Shantytown.

Joe

Yep. It was a little bar  restaurant in Robbinsdale, Minnesota.

Al

Oh.

Joe

My father used to go there Friday  afternoons after a hard work, a work week.

Al

So that's where the bar experience started.

Joe

Oh, yeah. Just, it was like draft beer  only three huge draft, drink s**t beer. So we would hang out, so the family would go. He  would have a few beers and we would have some burgers and then he got me a job there. And so  I was probably, I don't know, I think 14, 13?

Andi

And serving beers. Really? Hm.

Joe

Oh, I wasn't serving  beers. I was mopping floors.

Andi

Okay. Thank you for clarifying that.

Joe

Yes. No, there was the owner of the  place was serving beers. I was mopping floors, cleaning the bathrooms. You know, yeah. Two  jobs, 13, I think 12, maybe. I don't know. I was young. Yeah. I was probably breaking child  labor law rules back then. But I was a hustler.

Al

Maybe it's different  in Minnesota. I don't know.

Joe

I started my own business.  Yeah. I was mowing lawns.

Al

Yeah.

Joe

Joe and Ted's lawn service.  We had like four clients.

Al

I started my business at 13, mowing lawns too.  I had one client, but it was steady, twice a week.

Joe

Twice a week to mow the lawn?

Al

I made $1.50 an hour.  That was just amazing to me.

Joe

Whose yard were you mowing twice a week?

Al

I don't know, but this neighbor lady  wanted it twice a week. She was on it.

Joe

Like my gardener grinds me. “No, you can come once a week. You know  once every other week in the winter?”

Al

Yeah, right, because  the grass doesn't grow fast.

Joe

And I don't really have a big yard.

Al

Yeah.

Joe

I could do it real quickly, you know, but I got trees, and so there's the tree  trimming and the leaves and all of that.

Al

I have a friend that used to live in  Poway, one of the really nice homes in Poway, and this is probably when he was  in his, I don't know, late 30s, and he just couldn't stand to pay for  a gardener, but it wasn't the kind of neighborhood where you'd get caught mowing  your own lawn. So he would get up at 6:30 in the morning on a Saturday with a ski cap  and a push mower so it wouldn't be too loud.

Joe

Oh, well, all right. Well, congratulations.  Good luck. Look us up if your son moves to San Diego. We're right down the street. Andi Last,  wonderful job today. Thank you for everything.

Andi

Thank you.

Joe

Aaron, wonderful. Aaron  Townsend, folks. Big Al.

Al

it was fun. Good job again, Joe, as usual.

Joe

All right. We'll see you guys next  week. The show’s called Your Money, Your Wealth®. Keep the questions coming  and yeah Keep the retirement flowing.

YMYW Accolades on Feedspot and Goodpods

Andi

Your Money, Your Wealth is your podcast, and  you are awesome! On Feedspot.com you’ve made YMYW the #1 in the 100 Best Tax Podcasts, #3 in the  50 Best Retirement Podcasts, #4 in the 60 Best

Financial Planning Podcasts, and #46 in the Best  Money Podcasts! And on Goodpods.com you’ve made YMYW the all-time #1 of the Top 33 Retirement  Podcasts, #7 of the Top 98 Finance Podcasts, and  #31 of the Top 100 Investing Podcasts.  This proves it: every time you tell a friend about the YMYW or leave your honest reviews,  comments, and ratings for Your Money, Your Wealth in Apple Podcasts, on YouTube, and  in all the other apps that let you do that,

it helps us grow. The show truly wouldn’t  be a show without you. Thank you, friends. Your Money, Your Wealth is presented by  Pure Financial Advisors. Schedule a no-cost, no obligation, comprehensive financial  assessment with the experienced professionals on Joe and Big Al’s team at Pure. It’s  free, it doesn’t commit you to anything,

and it’s a deep dive, not a spitball. Click  or tap the Free Financial Assessment link in the description or call 888-994-6257  to book yours to meet at any of our offices around the country or online  via Zoom no matter where you are. Pure Financial Advisors is a registered  investment advisor. This show does not intend to provide personalized investment advice  through this podcast and does not represent that

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