¶ Australia's Energy Paradox Explained
The hurricanes that developed in America end of last year . It's been called the costliest natural disaster in North Carolina's history , mounting death toll at least 182 lives lost . They accelerated quicker and they're more intensive than ever before . Where does that come from ? Well , it's come from decades , generations , of pumping out CO2 .
So you're saying more renewables . I'm saying absolutely more renewables and really to stop the expansion of coal mines and to reduce the amount of extraction of coal and natural gas and everything else . But again , you look at the debates around energy policy . Most of them are still trying to justify let's use more coal .
I hear that we're going to have a gas shortage , but we're , I think , the second biggest gas exporter in the world . Are we locked in in long-term contracts , giving it away for nothing and then screwing ourselves ? Basically , yes .
Gas specifically , is more expensive domestically for us to use than it is the value of that gas in other countries .
So a consumer in another country . Getting Australian gas all the way shipped there still gets it delivered cheaper than what we're paying in here , is it ? Yeah , yeah , that's insane . Why is that ?
Because they're just the agreements and the deals that have been made . If you look at the cheapest form of energy generation , bar none , which is renewables , you look at the amount of actual financial support it gets compared with the fossil fuel industry . It's just disgusting . You're saying it's not enough , is it ? Oh , it's a fraction , absolute fraction .
Energy policy in Australia . Is it a mess ? Is it really well looked after ? I don't think . If you ask many end customers , they're really very happy because over the last three years , instead of lower electricity bills , we've actually got quite a bit higher .
Because over the last three years , instead of lower electricity bills , we've actually got quite a bit higher . What's the reason ? How can we fix it ? So I've invited James Sturge , who has been in the solar and energy space for quite a while , and he possibly gets it a little bit more than me .
So I want to debate with him what we can actually do in Australia to possibly give end consumers , give our manufacturers , possibly give end consumers , give our manufacturers , give really the people who rely on employing others and using energy , a chance to actually get this down a bit . Is there actually hope ?
Hello , thanks for our podcast here today about energy , energy pricing , energy systems , all of that kind of stuff . So , look , I'm very simple . I don't get many things , but I get that . At the moment , I hear that we're going to have a gas shortage , but we are , I think , the second biggest gas exporter in the world .
Are we locked in in long-term contracts , giving it away for nothing and then screwing ourself ?
Basically , yes , we give it away so cheap that we end up almost having to buy it back more expensive . If you look at a lot of our fossil fuels , we give it away for nothing and all the you know all of it , like Australia should be one of the richest nations in the world because of the volume of our natural resources .
You know , put to one side climate change and you know the impact of that level of extraction and just sort of draw a line and go where are we now Given what we've pulled out the ground ? Where's that money gone ? Well , most of it has gone offshore or it's gone to companies which pay no tax and that's a problem .
And it's a problem domestically , where now gas specifically is more expensive domestically for us to use than it is for us . You know what is the value of that gas in other countries .
So a consumer in another country getting Australian gas all the way shipped there still gets it delivered cheaper than what we're paying in here , is it ? Yeah , that's insane . Why is that ?
Because they're just the agreements and the deals that have been made .
Well , if this would be Donald Trump , he'd be just ripping it up and say guys , you've got to pay more .
Yeah , I know , I know and there's , if you sort of look at it from that level of equity and equality , a lot of that level of policy makes no sense .
You know , if you look at the cheapest form of energy generation bar none , which is renewables , you look at the amount of actual financial support it gets compared with the fossil fuel industry , it's just disgusting . And then you know you're saying it's not enough , is it ? Oh , it's a fraction , absolute fraction .
But then what isn't ever equated into those numbers is the cleanup cost . How much does it cost the country for the consequences of all of that extraction , all of that pollution ? And then climate change .
If you just look at the , the cost from insurance companies of of extreme weather events , which are getting worse , they're getting more common , they're getting more frequent , they're getting more intense . And that , where does that come from ?
Well , it's come from decades , generations of pumping out CO2 and , you know , increasing sea levels , increasing the temperature of the oceans . If you look at some of the hurricanes that developed in America end of last year , they accelerated quicker and they're more intensive than ever before . Why ?
Because the temperature of the water was hotter than ever before and it's only going to get worse . The temperature of the oceans isn't going to get less , it's only going to get more . And you know I suffered . I've been through two floods in where I live and the last flood was insane . You know the speed that the water came up .
The amount of water that was dumped was incredibly frightening and the prospect is now that that's something we're going to actually have to live with because there's nothing that can be done about it . There's no way to divert the water . It's purely just the fact that a lot of towns in Australia are going to be susceptible to climate change .
So when you look at that whole question of equity and equality and the financial support and the implications of federal policy , it makes no sense and it isn't serving the Australian people .
Saying more renewables , I'm saying absolutely more renewables and really to stop the expansion of coal mines and to reduce the amount of extraction of coal and natural gas and everything else . Really embrace the , let's say , the AMO , isp .
There's this plan , this trajectory of how the country can get to 100% renewables by 2050 , maybe look to bring that forward because it's completely achievable .
If you look at the rate of the uptake of renewables , especially the domestic level , it actually has always been at a higher rate than the predictions of AMO and there is no reason why we couldn't bring that zero carbon or that prospect , yeah , that reduction forward by 10 years .
But again you look at the debates around energy policy , most of them are still trying to justify let's use more coal .
Well , because those people possibly have the money in the lobbies . They get lobbied . Well , because those people possibly have the money in the lobbies .
They get lobbied yeah , absolutely . And they get lobbied and the companies doing that lobbying . The money that they're making doesn't really flow back to the economy . Again , if you look at the amount of people employed in the fossil fuel industry versus the amount of people employed in the renewable industry , there's a lot more in the renewable industry .
But the fossil fuel industry employs a lot of accountants , so they don't have to pay the tax . Absolutely Well , that's a good work employment program . Yeah yeah .
For all those yeah countries where the have I left you speechless , have I ? Oh man , it's one of those things where I find it so frustrating it does leave me speechless . It's just you look at it and just go . This just doesn't make sense .
But hang on , I'm a prime minister and I'm facing really high electricity bills for all my population . And now I'm seeing manufacturers that have been around for 100 years . I think there was a big class manufacturer recently , one we got left . There was a plastic manufacturer .
They're all going bust because the energy prices that we charge them to run plus all the other costs in Australia and social costs . It's much cheaper just to import it straight from China , put us in a dependency , but for short term we actually get a cheaper price . So should we go down that path ?
From a short term perspective , I'm not convinced that it actually does serve the Australian economy , because manufacturing here creates the jobs and it keeps the the money flowing in this circle , in the australian loop . As soon as you're then dependent on the money coming externally , that loop is broken , that chain is broken .
Yes , your domestically byproduct was cheaper , but that money's then going offshore and you're not keeping it within the system , so it's a very short-term gain . The problem so , if you are then , mr Prime Minister ,
¶ High Bills Despite Abundant Resources
and you're going to ask me , what can we do to reduce or what we can do to increase manufacturing in Australia , which is one of the things that I think we really should be looking at , because all that's happened over the last decade is just some of these really prominent manufacturing , like the automotive industry , for instance .
It's all gone and you know energy cost has been a big component of that . We've got this great opportunity here to start building circular economies around the renewable industry . Okay , we don't manufacture anything in this country for the renewables .
The renewables industry here is massive and it's only going to continue to grow almost regardless of federal policy , because so much is driven by homeowners , by mums and dads looking at the cost of their power . Look at their power bill and go this is ridiculous . I want to do something . What can I do ? I'm going to put solar to do something .
What can I do ? I'm going to put solar and batteries on my house and I'm going to drive an ev and blah , blah , blah , blah . Same as business owners . They go what can I do to reduce my power bills ? I'm gonna put solar on . I'm gonna put battery on to reduce my peak demand . I'm going to do this because I can is the thing that empowered to do .
But then all this product which is being installed , it will expire , it will need to be replaced . But at the moment , all you can do with inverters and racking and panels is basically recycle them and extract all the materials . And then what ? There's nothing really to do with it .
What we should be doing is looking to create this circular economy where we actually start investing in manufacturing of renewable products , inverters and panels and racking all this kind of stuff . There's only one inverter manufacturer in Australia which does off-grid inverters . Everything else is brought in from overseas .
So you know , a bit like we've seen in America where they put in policies to create tax incentives to create the manufacturing in the country . We should be doing the same here . We should actually be incentivising production for energy that is of the cheapest form . That is something which we should do .
There's other things we should do as well , from a transmission , from a business model perspective , but at the grassroots , we should actually be looking at creating Australia into this renewable superpower that was talked about a few years ago .
Look , it's very easy to talk about it , but then bureaucracy comes into the middle and all that I mean some of the fundamentals for manufacturing is actually to have energy at a low enough cost , because we've already got the tyranny of distance . Then we've got now electricity prices that have skyrocketed .
Can you explain to me why electricity has gone up so much ?
So there's two sides to it . So one , if you're looking at the domestic side , one of the reasons that the cost of electricity has gone up so much is not necessarily due to the cost of production , because the actual cost of production of electricity has actually gone down .
So if you think last year , 26 gigawatts of generation that went into the to the NEM so basically all of the eastern and southern regions of Australia was 26 gigawatts only 23 and a half gigawatts came from fossil fuels , from brown and black coal . You said only Only .
But hang on . 23 out of 26 is quite a bit Wait .
Let me come . So that was the contribution onto the network . But what that figure ignores , or those statistics ignore , is how much was self-consumed ? Okay , because people exporting would maybe 40 percent , maybe even , worst case scenario , 50 percent of what they produce gets exported .
So you could actually look at more , like 50 gigawatts , maybe even higher , of actual energy was generated , and these are systems below 100 kilowatts . This is all the residential rooftop stuff and a little bit of cni , but it's the small stuff .
That was , you know , getting on for two , maybe three times what was produced by the fossil fuels , so that cost of energy is cheaper , like so cheap . Now , that isn't the question and this is one of the things that often sidetracks or , you know , diverts thets the conversation . When you listen to politicians and the like , they talk about the generation .
It's actually the way in which the industry works , the way in which we've got an energy industry which was designed well over 100 years ago , which is based on one-way power flow from central generators transmitting energy from point A to point B , and that is still how it's structured . That's how all the costs are structured .
So , for instance , where I live , I pay $1.40 a day for property-to-service charge . So that is how much I pay for the luxury being connected to the grid . Now , part of that is on the basis of the transmission for me .
So I live northern new south wales and where I live , the energy that is delivered to me is on the assumption that it's basically coming from the hunter . Right , and so is my neighbor . But if you think about it , when I'm exporting all my solar , my neighbor's using it .
So actually what's happening is my neighbor is being charged for transportation of energy from the hunter when actually it's probably about 30 meters .
Now that's one of the fundamental issues that we've got is that the way in which distribution and transmission costs are even now isn't actually fair and equitable , and the fact that we still have this model which is based on that is one of the issues .
Also , you know you've got metering costs , which get factored into that as well , and the metering costs are still based on the fact that in a certain to a certain degree , people are being employed to go and read your meter , but there's a national rollout of smart meters . People don't come and read your meter , but there's a national rollout of smart meters .
People don't come and read your meter anymore . It's all done digitally , but consumers are still paying for that service . Do you see what I mean ? So there are all these embedded costs that consumers have to pay , which don't make sense , but we tend to focus on the little bit which is the actual cost of generation , which is not really the challenge .
It's actually the challenge is all the other embedded costs .
Okay , what are all the different levels of the sandwich that make up the cost and how the heck can we get it down ?
So if I think of myself , where I live , since the first electricity bill I paid when I came to Australia in 2008 , 2009 , I was paying something about 19 cents a kilowatt hour . I now pay about 35 cents a kilowatt hour , so it's less than doubled . It hasn't actually gone up that much really in terms of the cost of electricity .
However , back then I was paying about 20 cents for the service to property charges , so the network charges . I'm now paying $1.40 a day . That's where the charges are coming from .
So when you then look at what goes on the bill , you've got the cost of the actual kilowatt hours that you're consuming , but you've then got all these other costs which get layered onto it , and a lot of them are the distribution costs . So that's the stuff sort of the way the energy moves around local to you .
Then you've got the transmission costs , so that's on the assumption that your energy you're consuming is coming from 100 kilometers away , maybe even more . And then you've got other bits of cost in there as well metering costs , and you've got other little bits .
And the energy retailer . I mean they've got their call centers .
They're added into bits , so you've got sort of percentages within some of those other costs which factor that in .
yeah , so is there any chance for electricity to come down factor ? That in .
Yeah so is there any chance for electricity to come down ? Without a dramatic reform of the way in which the energy industry is structured , I think it's very unlikely that energy costs are going to come down . And this is one of the things that we've seen as at the residential level . Residential solar has increased so dramatically over the past decade .
It's gone absolutely nuts . Um , energy companies so not the retailers , the actual the networks they used to make money on a portion of the energy that you would be consuming , but instead because that was because , as also as properties have become more energy efficient , um , that's proportionally has got less .
So then to counter that , they then put up the service to property charges with this fixed charge . So they know they've always got this steady fixed income so unless that gets looked at , I can't see how you can actually do that much to reduce the cost of electricity for consumers .
Wow , and there was the government . Make a big promise .
Yeah Well , one of their big promises is investing more in transmission , is building more poles and wires , which from an efficiency perspective and to be able to get more large-scale renewables onto the network , that kind of makes sense . But the way in which all that investment works is that the government invests in it .
The networks then spend the money , the value of the network that the networks own , the actual poles and wires that the network owns . The value goes up . But that value is then what they can charge as a percentage to the consumers in their network charges . So all that money basically gets paid for or gets .
It gets compensated back to the government through the consumers and it's sort of through the hands of the networks .
So if the and when you then look at the large scale generation , all that's really addressing is the cost per kilowatt hour , and if you look then at the wholesale value of electricity , you know it's down at sort of three , four , five cents per kilowatt hour . There's not much further it can go .
So you're saying we're starting off with electricity at $0.03 to $0.04 in the generation area , but then you've got the transmission and they take their slice . Then you've got the energy retailer the one that measures the meter they take their slice .
And then you've got the daily consumption charges and they go on from $0.20 to $1.40 in some regions , so they take their slice . So you've got really a bit like Elvis One person plays the guitar , which is the one that generates it , and then 40 people live off it . Basically , yeah , so you really have to reform
¶ Dissecting Your Electricity Bill
the energy market .
Yeah , there's things also that the networks can do . You know , it always strikes me as really bizarre when you drive around , you see these wooden poles with these wires on them and these trees which need to be chopped and pruned , like you know , once or twice a year , and they look ugly .
They look ugly and they just look at them and every time there's a storm they blow over and then they've got to send people out to fix them . Why do they bury them ? If they buried them , there's no maintenance or there's like a fraction of the maintenance . I can remember a few years ago .
So you're saying , in some way we leave the poles and wires up there . So there's a whole industry behind it to maintain it , because if you would get rid of it then basically the cost could come down , but we politically would possibly have to sack a few people . Yeah , exactly .
Exactly .
But we all pay for it .
Yeah .
I mean , I don't know if you agree with this , but the high electricity cost at the moment is a huge burden for small business . You run your fridge and your coffee shop and all that . The rents have gone up . It's really hard to recover that Manufacturing .
Forget about the government spending billions of manufacturing if you haven't fixed the energy input cost , including gas . So are we in such a big mess because we privatised it all , or is there any solution ?
There is a solution . I mean , you can look at other markets , other countries that have looked at the way in which the energy market operates and apply different rules . You know , if you look at competition in Australia , it's , you know , across the board there is very little competition . You have monopolies , you have geopolies .
You know , even within the energy sector , the electricity sector , you've got what 16 networks , you've got about 45 retailers , you've got 18 VPP operators . It's not much . And why is that ? It's because there's no really way for them to go or to differentiate or , you know , be able to offer anything different to the others .
Because you're still burdened with this model , which is prehistoric . You know , if you look at a country like germany , they got 1100 retailers 1100 , that's nuts . Because they got rules there that allow consumers like you could literally get together with your street and go right , let's , let's form our own energy retail company . Let's just do it ourselves .
We can then share the energy that we produce between each other and we're only going to pay the network costs of the bit we're using . Right , a massively equitable structure . You can't do that here .
You know , there's a thing years ago I don't know if you remember there's always been like a virtual net , metering and peer-to-peer trading where there's this fantastic idea that I could sell you my energy , right , and you're only going to pay the transmission between me and you . Well , that got shot down . Because how does that ?
You know , because you're still connected to the rest of the network . So now I'm going to sell my energy to you , you're my neighbor , but you're still going to have to pay the network charges , as if you're getting it from 200 kilometers away . So that's one of the fundamental issues .
We need to look at the whole energy industry as a whole and look at a much more balanced way that distribution and transmission is factored and exactly where energy is going from . And as we get into this digital age , you can see that easily . You can track exactly where your energy went to , or you could work it out far more equitably .
It's not that hard to do . It just requires political will .
Now the whole electricity market solar batteries , vehicle to grid , it's developed so fast . Are our standards following ?
Standards , consistently standards . I'm on three standards committees and an IEC mirror committee , so I understand it from the inside why standards take so long to develop .
They're very technically complex pieces of work to do and with an industry which develops and grows and technically changes so quickly , it's almost an impossible task for the standards process to keep up with it . Well , it is an impossible task .
So where you then get to is that you get gaps in the industry from a perspective of electrical safety , installation safety , cyber security that , to a certain extent , can become exploited .
Now my view on that and my idea of a solution for that is there needs to be almost an interim mechanism for best practice which can be adopted in conjunction with the standards development process , so as we get into this more digital way of interacting and something becomes recognized like there's a cyber threat , we can look at industry best practice around the
world , what's working , what isn't working , and grab a bit of that policy , or even create our own policy and go right . This is the interim policy If you're bringing in a device which can communicate in this way or be controlled by this way , et cetera , et cetera .
This is how you need to do it and at the same time then review it and create the standard behind it to bolster it , because that process would create much more insulation .
So at the moment , for instance , like with cyber , there isn't any cyber policy for renew renewables so , with other words um , I know a friend , he's bought a , a vehicle and he's looked at what's happening , communication wise , and that vehicle sends a hell lot of data back to china yeah why , are we letting that happen ?
oh it's . I heard this thing recently where the telemetry data that some EVs can grab , including video information , gets passed straight on to the insurance company if you get a crash . So if you're a crash , it can look at you and go how are you driving ? Are you driving erratically ? Do you look like you're under the influence ? Did someone else do it ?
And you know that data is valuable . It's valuable for so many other add-on industries . But , yeah , at the moment , yeah , you can go to wherever . There's nothing to stop it .
Because ? Why ? Because our standards are lagging behind , is it ? Yeah , but why are the politicians asleep at the wheel with stuff like ?
that they're not . And again , to be fair , there was the Cybersecurity Act brought into effect last year , and it's actually one of the most following up . It's actually one of the most sensible policies that's come out .
As long as I can remember , what the government did is they enacted , or that they put into place , this act for cyber , which created the vessel for a standard ?
It didn't actually refer to any standard , it just says that it basically created this sort of parameter where , if there is an attack or a breach , or you become aware of a breach , you have the responsibility to report it and do this , this , that and the other . So then , what can be now added into that are the standards .
So you go right now , this standard needs to now be reflected in this act , or this standard is what you need to adhere to , and if you do experience a breach or whatever , if you can get um , you know , a ransomware , whatever it is , this act is now how you need to be responsible about it .
So I think , because they recognize that this , this area , is going to develop so quickly and especially when you get ai playing into this as well , which can do computations and can do data scraping so quickly , you've got to stay one step ahead of the game .
Because they didn't know what they didn't know , they created this policy , which was a bit of a captural , which is a clever way to do it . There is now a Standards Australia standard being developed for the CR , the Consumer Energy Resources Industry . It's a first step but yeah , it will get there .
But from a consumer's perspective , they should start thinking about this .
Businesses already are Some of the biggest businesses in the world are already very aware of the threat of cyber and when they start looking at installing whether it's fleets of EV charges or whether it's solar on the roof they look at the cyber policies and the cyber credentials of those OEMs because they're very , very aware of the risk to the business At a
residential level . People also need to start thinking about this .
Let's go back to energy prices . I want to find a way to get it down from 40 cents to 25 cents . I'm the PM . I give you carte blanche . How do you redesign the grid ? How do you redesign the generation ? How we can get end customers into those cheaper electricity prices ?
So if we're talking just about the cost of electricity , the cost per kilowatt hour , then what needs to happen is you need to look at it as the overall cost , so factor in the cost for self-consumption , and to do that you then need to start looking at the cost to store energy , which is in batteries .
Batteries or other things like incentives for heating your water from excess solar , because that's a battery of kind you know . It's a very cheap battery because you only need the solar diverter .
By doing that , you can then bring down the levelized cost of electricity because you're having to use the grid less , there's less actual spill to the grid and having to buy back from the grid . So by increasing self-consumption and self-sufficiency or autonomy , you'll bring down the level of cost .
So that's the first thing they need to do incentivize and support residential batteries . The second thing that needs to then be looked at is the way in which you can pass on more equitably things like negative pricing when you get to that point in the day where there's excess solar .
Reduce the price to consume , Incentivize people to store energy , Because at the moment there's only , I think , a couple of different tariffs around the country where you have points in the day where it's predicted there's going to be excess generation and people get incentivised to store .
But I mean in the middle of the day , when we get all this solar , why aren't all the electric hot water heaters turned on to suck it up Exactly ?
But I mean , that is so easy .
It's so obvious and it's not done yeah .
So again , if you look at Germany , there was an issue in Germany .
No , but I don't want to no , no , no . I don't get it why . Here Are the energy retailers deliberately sabotaging their own system .
No , it's not the energy retailers . So in some states the state governments are not passing on negative pricing to consumers . They're saying that can't happen . Do not networks . Do not . When you get excess generation where the cost to consume is literally zero or you can actually pay someone to consume energy , do not pass that on to consumers . Why ?
Wouldn't that be an advantage to then turn my hot water on at that time when it hardly costs me anything ? Yeah , look , you'd have to ask them that .
I don't know why . For me , it makes no sense . So instead , what you then end up with is a solar backstop mechanism where , when the… they turn it off , they turn it off , turn off your generation .
I just gave you a rebate to build your solar . You now think , oh well , I kind of looked after it , I looked after the environment , and now they suddenly go oh , we haven't built the infrastructure up to date , we haven't built enough batteries , and now you can't actually use it . You've got to turn off . You're a manufacturer .
You just bought all your machines and now you decide to turn them off after midnight .
Here's the thing If you were to create the market in Germany let me just give you this example because you'll see the parallel In Germany they had an issue in North Germany where they had too much generation coming from wind and around the same time they had too much consumption in South Germany and the transmission line from north to south was too small to be
able to take that extra generation and get it to the south . So the prospect was a thing like two and a half years 2 billion euro project to update the transmission a thing like two and a half years , two billion euro project to update
¶ The Truth About Community Batteries
the transmission .
Instead , what they did is they looked at North Germany and South Germany and said how many batteries are there , how many residential batteries , and who has the computing power to do blockchain transactions , to work out how we can use that excess energy , store it , discharge it at a later time when the transmission can take it and charge the batteries in southern
Germany . So they used IBM existing infrastructure that was in buildings and offices and things like that . They delivered this in six months .
So excess generation was stored by consumers because they were paid to charge the batteries , because it was cheaper than turning off the wind turbines and then that energy was then discharged and consumed by the people in the south germany . Right , you could do that here . So you could have the scenario where you could incentivize batteries .
People could put their batteries in no solar , forget about solar . They could just charge their batteries in the middle of the day , when there's excess generation , which is already causing the network's problems . Pay them to charge the battery . They can use it in the evening . Wow , wow , that's rocket science , not . But why don't they do that ?
Because the whole industry then kind of slows down . You know , where does the network make money on that ? Where does you know the government make money on that ? Where does the government make money on that ? But that's what needs to happen . That's why , when you asked me originally , what can we do to reduce that cost per kilowatt hour , incentivize batteries .
Because we already got a lot of solar and it's done very cheap .
We've got too much generation , which is why AMO are running around like headless chicken trying to get backstop mechanisms implemented as quickly as they can , because they see a system security risk because networks cannot handle the reverse power flow for all this excess generation .
To explain backstop . That is when you create solar but then artificially the network controls your inverter and actually turns it off . It doesn't want it to go to your neighbor because there's already too much there , but if you actually would put the batteries into that infrastructure , we're creating extra vessels .
All that extra solar , which hardly costs much , is available then to be resold at a later stage at a fraction of a cost , what it costs to get it from 400 k's from a coal-fired power station .
So that's how it should be . But in some states , like Queensland for instance , the way that the backstop mechanism's been implemented there is they don't just turn off your generation so you're not exporting . They turn off your inverter completely , so it stops producing , so it basically cuts out any self-consumption .
So what they actually do is go there's too much production , so let's flip it and actually bring load onto the network so you become , rather than a self-consumer or an exporter , you now become a consumer .
So hang on . The monopoly that I'm damaging because I'm creating solar has now been given the power to turn my soul off when , financially , it's not an advantage for them .
Potentially yes .
Wow , Lovely politics isn't ?
it .
Isn't it ? So you , as a consumer , really can't escape being mucked around by government policies , by standards that take a long time and by energy retailers who are not looking after you but after their own interest . Would you think it might be worthwhile for people to just say stuff you all and go off grid ?
Yeah , I mean , that was one of those things that a few years ago was a real threat and they thought that people disconnecting from the grid was going to be what's known as the death spiral for the industry , where the more people that disconnect would push the price up for everyone else .
That incentivizes everyone else to disconnect from the grid and it just goes down the toilet , really toilet , really , really quickly .
But the reality is that it's more technical and more expensive to go off the grid than I think people consider , because it's one thing putting on your , your , your solar and your storage for normal grid use , but to size a battery big enough to get you through a storm or the winter , it's two to three times larger that you need , or you need to have a
generator which can get you through those periods which are noisy and can be noisy , but you've got to put it somewhere . It's not an ideal outcome .
So for me , for instance , I don't really consume anything from the grid , I just export because of the size of my system and I look at that and go well , my , my daily , when my daily cost is over , like the course of , you know , a couple of years , is equal to or greater than the cost of me to get a really good quality generator .
I'll probably just get the generator and disconnect from the grid , but at the moment it's like , although I paying $1.40 a day for the privilege of being connected , it's still better than me having to increase my storage capacity and get a generator .
But what we're seeing is you're actually seeing more and more people now considering this because it's getting to the point where , for instance , for my circumstances , for every kilowatt I consume I've got to export seven . I've got to export 28 kilowatt hours a day just to offset my connection fee . It's ridiculous . You know the cost to it is .
There's absolutely no incentive or value to export to the grid at all .
Mm-hmm Interesting , and then they sell it to your neighbor for 40 cents .
Yeah , and they do Someone's doing really well .
Now we're getting what's called community batteries . Is there a real community spirit in community batteries ? Can you explain how they work ?
I'd love to be able to explain to the work but how they work . But to be honest , I don't really get it , because the one thing I don't really understand about community batteries is what they've got to do with the community , Because these are network assets .
Hang on . So the government spends money to buy assets for private businesses being networks , but then they have kind of smothered it by calling it a community battery . But the community doesn't own it , it's the network that owns it .
is it ? Yes , because it sits on the network side of the meter Right .
Okay so it's a network asset . Big ugly boxes I've noticed . They're actually not really looking nice in the mean .
Some of them they paint nicely , you know , but ? But most of them are just these big ugly boxes yeah , just look like .
So what's the purpose of that ? Why is the government spending money ?
the purpose , or the concept of that , is that the the battery can be there to help manage the grid at a local level so it can absorb excess solar , which would normally get either reduced or curtailed or cause problems if it's got pushed further up the network .
And it can help balance the network if it's in a location which might struggle to get the energy that's required to meet the loads of the consumers at certain times .
So basically , people in areas that have unstable grids because they're at the fringe or there's already a bit too much solar , and people wanting to put solar on are going to get slapped at a zero export limit . Then the network can say well , there is this funding , we could put on a community battery .
You have to apply for it , you have to pay for the application for it , etc . Etc . But it's our asset , it goes onto our network , it helps to increase the value of our network that you and everyone else are going to pay for anyway .
So it's that's a great deal for the energy retailers I don't they do well but a sucker one for the community . Yeah , now wouldn't an energy retailer and a distributor already have to create a grid that can now cope with solar , because it's been a train one way going up this way since 2006 .
Why do they suddenly wake up one day and say , oh , there's a lot of solar ? Why haven't they prepared to build those batteries already in that time frame ?
Oh , that's a great question . There's a lot that they you know . If someone had a crystal ball and could go back , you know , 15 years , 20 years , and foreseen where the industry was going to be now , they would have started designing it differently .
They'd have started putting on a lot more visibility and control at the residential level , even at the distribution level .
They'd start putting in batteries , they'd start putting in infrastructure to manage this but , in a funny way , no one really saw the speed of transition , the speed of the uptake of residential renewables and , at the same time , the networks are restricted by rules and governance and a structure which is based on business as usual from an antiquated old model .
You know , and that's that's probably to the larger degree why it is the way it is , and trying to create rule changes or to restructure the business models which is so ingrained is incredibly difficult . You almost need to just get a big rubber rubber out , start again . You know , just go right .
If we were going to redesign the energy industry in australia with current technology , with current products , with current appetite for consumers , with current global challenges , with current issues , with climate change , what would we do ? We would probably look at models which , instead of this distributed landscape .
We'd create lots of microgrids , we'd create power systems per town , per region . Go right , you're self-sustained . So if , if there's a storm 100 kilometers away , you're not going to get affected . You now need to be self-sufficient in terms of energy for this region . Okay , you've got residential storage , you've got all this pv generation .
It might be topped up by a field for the panels over there and and a couple of big batteries or whatever that's it . You know anyone wanting to now build a property or build an estate . You now , as part of that , have to create the energy generation that facilitates those properties and it grows with the buildings .
Just like you have to put in the facilities for the sewerage and the waters and everything else , well , you've also got to put in the facility for the generation . So you'd actually start creating a business model like that . So in each one of those regions , they have their own retailer , they have their own energy company for that town .
That's kind of how it was actually . It back in the early days there was , there was more . It was more like that um , each town had its own little system , um , but it's gone to the centralized model . But that's how , if you like , say if you're going to wipe the floor , just just take it all out , just start again .
That is a model which you can kind of go . Yeah , that makes sense .
But that's political and not likely , Because I mean , there are Well , look , you know , from a political perspective , why not ?
Why you could experiment , you could go right . Let's just take some of these regional towns , I don't know , northern New South Wales or I like Bendigo , Bendigo wherever , bendigo , fine , and go right , let's now see if we can create this microgrid .
Let's look at the model in WA , in Horizon Network , which is lots of microgrids , and go , well , we'll just use that . We'll use that model , okay , and make it work , because we've got actual test cases , which is Horizon in WA . They've got all their microgrids and do that . Let's just disconnect it from the transmission .
But I mean , aren't we building huge solar farms and wind farms far , far away , and then we have these huge transmissions line coming through and farmers are all upset . How would that work ? We are kind of actually going the opposite way still .
Well , for areas that have got heavy industry and manufacturing , yes , they would need that and there would still be the potential for connection into those areas for that part of the industry . But that would be on a separate connection and that would be a separate facility than the residential , than the rest of it . So you don't have to be all or nothing .
You can have a bit of both and you can choose what you tap into , what you connect to . You know so and you can , you know , almost tap into and what you connect to . You know so and you can , you know , almost mix the two . But that would be a model which would work when you go from a political perspective . Why wouldn't it work ?
Because to do this , it's still you've still got to look at , you know , how does the government make money out of the energy industry . Where does that money actually come from ? You know , a lot of it comes from the
¶ Solar Export Problems and Solutions
taxation , it comes from fees , it comes from planning , it comes from all that kind of stuff . Well , that's still going to be there , yeah , okay , what they're going to lose money on is gas and coal , but that's going anyway , yeah . You know that's all gone by 35 . Coal's gone .
Wow . So I mean , australia has really relied on digging up the coal and the iron ore and all of that in the past , and I'm actually surprised that the world hasn't slapped us yet , because per head of population , we're possibly the biggest polluter in the world if you count the CO2 out of all the coal that we're exporting .
I mean , I actually do think we're a bit like cigarette manufacturers sending it somewhere else , and the cancer that we generate one day is going to go and bite us in the bum . Somebody is going to come back and say you as a country did this and this and this , and why weren't you more conscious about it ?
I think there will be one day that thinking At the moment we're not in that space , but undoubtedly one day the world will not allow us to dig up all that coal anymore .
Yeah .
What then ? How is Australia reinventing themselves ? I don't see any vision .
No , I think we need to look at that as a nation and again , given our level of our insane level of resources in terms of renewable potential you know , solar predominantly , and wind we could be the absolute go-to globally for technology , for products .
You know , we should be repositioning ourselves as the absolute renewable superpower because we've got resources , we've got an abundance which no one else has .
So let's explain that for somebody in the audience . The sun that we get is what three , four times more intense than what they get in Europe .
So the easiest analogy is if you look at the worst location in Australia , which is northwest tip of Tasmania , for solar resource , that amount of energy that hits the ground that could power your solar panel , it's the worst anywhere in Australia . It's better than the best place in Germany .
Right , right , right . And so if it's like Kansas , so it'll be like five times Germany , is it ? Yeah , Right , so we've got that natural advantage on the sun irradiation I always have a problem with that word irradiation and then we have vast swathes of land that could be with solar panels , and then that energy . What do you do with it ?
How do you get it into another country ?
I mean , yes , I know there are plants with long cables but is there a way to kind of crystallise that energy to transport it ? Yeah , I mean , the easiest way you can do it is use that to create hydrogen , but that's still not that easy to fertilise around .
Is there anything else ? I mean , I hear I said fertilise around because I was trying to give you that hint , because I hear that you can turn it into nitrogen , isn't it ? Or fertiliser , which is an extra process down the chain , which then is energy that you physically can transport .
Yes , I mean you can physically transport hydrogen , you can physically transport nitrogen , you can physically transport all of those things . I mean , yes , you could , as long as you're then reliant , though , on other markets needing that as an energy source , which is probable .
My personal view , to start with , is that we should be the country that is um , producing more product , the actual inverters and the solar panels and things like that , because , because you know , you think of solar panels , it's predominantly sand . We've got quite a lot of that , you know .
But in terms of actual harvesting sun energy and converting that into something transportable , there's a whole load of different things and there's things we probably haven't even dreamt up yet that we can do with that energy . You know , it just needs incentives , it just needs people to be able to create the industries around that .
But yeah , there's so much you can do with just energy generally being able to store it .
But I mean it's still . We're talking about billions of dollars . I know Ziggy Forrester is trying a couple of projects here and there there's the Sun Cable but the money that is needed for that is humongous .
Who's who in Australia ? How much money do you think goes into the fossil fuel industry ?
I've got no idea .
Oh , it's tens of billions a year in subsidies .
From Australia .
Yeah .
Why ? Why do they still need subsidised ?
Because without it they collapse , because the market's diminishing .
I don't get that . What do you mean ? The market's diminishing Because people use a bit less petrol or because there's more EVs coming . It's not that dramatic .
Oh , it is . If you look at , even domestically , the demand for coal , if you look back 10 years ago , how much energy was generated from brown and black coal , compared with today , it's dropped by about two-thirds .
If you look at the income , actually the investment of all the top 10 fossil fuel companies made last year , they dropped it all by half , most of them by half . The industry is diminishing quickly because globally everything is moving over to renewables because it makes so much sense . I mean that's a general huge generalization and evs and things like that .
But but the the move away from oil and gas and coal is happening and it's happening quicker than I think people expected . And to keep it viable they need to be subsidised . You know , even if you just look at the subsidies for fuel that go into those industries , you know it's a lot .
But that's just for a couple of farmers , so that it doesn't cost them too much for their tractor .
No , I'm talking about the fuel for the mining and things like that .
But they make a lot of money . Why would they need their fuel subsidised ? Is that what's happening ? Oh , hang on , it's not subsidised , they're just not getting taxed . The same .
What's the difference ?
Well , I make a bit less money on them , and there are lots of multinationals that I don't get any money from , so I just treat them yeah but if but so not paying tax and being subsidized .
It's kind of like , almost from my perspective it's semantics in terms of what difference that makes from a financial perspective , because it means you either money is being spent where it could be spent elsewhere or money is not being received where it could be spent elsewhere . The consequence is the same .
Right Less money for the government , more taxes for everybody else . Correct . Yeah , okay , got it . Now I find the energy market is becoming a bit like the stock market , whereby on Monday , the electricity wholesale price sits at 11 cents and then , after a big storm or a hot weather event , it's sitting at $20 , and people speculating backwards and forwards .
The ordinary pundit can't be bothered with that they just want it out of their PowerPoint . We made this so complex . Now and then people mention VPPs and I can make a thousand dollars a night if everybody else gets screwed around me and the price is up that high . Is this really how we should ?
run it . Unfortunately , it's the only way you can run it . You know , if you look at one of the most innovative VPP operators in Australia , which I would say is probably Amber , that's exactly what they do . They basically hedge for you wholesale prices . So your import cost of electricity or your export cost is kind of .
When you look at their website and you type in your postcode and you get them to do a sort of a prospectus for you of what your bill might look like , they kind of give you this sort of average based on wholesale rates , in terms of what you should be paying and what you might be paying , and also at some point when something might happen , there might be
a spot price where , whatever you can discharge into the market , you might get $10 a kilowatt hour or something . So you look at that and go , okay , but it's still a hedge , you're still well .
They , on your behalf , are dabbling in like the energy stock market , but from their perspective , to offset that hedge , so they make money they give you a monthly fee , $22 or whatever it is .
So they still because what they say is say is oh , we're not going to put any money on the kill or hours we charge you or you know whatever , but we just take this , this , this monthly fee . So , yes , it is exactly like the stock market and it's a gamble . And that's when you look at it . You go it's a gamble , should I or shouldn't I ?
Am I going to be better off ? Aren't I going to be better off ? Don't know ? And what's the payoff is like ? Well , financially I might be better off , but at the same time , someone else controlled in my asset . Someone now has got , although I can turn them off and say , well , I , I don't want you to touch it today .
I mean , this is really more worth it only if you have a battery . Really isn't it . Yeah , yeah , yeah . Otherwise , if you go with Amber and out a battery , you could really be out of pocket Potentially .
Potentially yes , so .
Amber , you look at it when you have a big battery .
Yeah , yeah , yeah , yeah , that's really where it makes sense . And an EV If you've got an , use that as a battery and dynamically change when you're charging your car and things like that . And you know , it does get very clever and very sophisticated , but it's still a bit of a gamble .
And where you start seeing hesitation from consumers is it's around that social license , it's around that trust and unfortunately , why ?
Because somebody else is running my battery now and they're running it into the no .
I'd say a bigger trust than that is that it's an energy company . Consumers don't trust the energy industry . They don't trust the energy company . They don't feel that they're out there . They're there for their best interests .
They're there to make money , but isn't Amber trying to be the Robin Hood of energy ?
They're trying to be , but unfortunately they're still an energy company . Now if you look at the adoption rates currently , last year I think the adoption rates of residential batteries to installs was about 20% . So 20% of people putting solar also put a battery in . Of that , only about 18% signed up to VPP .
So that number you can look at on a daily basis only 3.6% of consumers putting in a system signing up to a VPP .
But maybe I think this guy who sold them the battery hasn't really explained the advantage of a VPP .
I think there's a lot of incentives for installers to do that because some of them get a kickback by signing people up to vpps . But again , it's for the consumer to look at it and go do I want to let someone else play about with my asset because I bought this for me , it's mine .
You know , the kind of analogy which often gets kicked around is like I've just bought my car . Do I want someone to use it for uber on the weekends ? No , it's my car . You know it's that kind of yeah , but my 21 year old son .
He only drives rally style every couple of days .
Should be all right , should be fine , sign up , then go for your life .
Um , is there a difference between vpps ? And then there's origin , who waves , and there's ag Origin , who waves , and there's AGL , who waves . And then there's Amber , and Amber says we're the Robin Hood , we're not charge you extra . I don't know why I'm putting a German accent on .
I don't think they're German .
Robin Hood wasn't German . No . Anyway , is there a difference ? The benefits you can get out of VPPs .
Yeah , it's like anything . It's like any of the energy retailers or any of the VPP aggregators They've all got different tariffs and different offers for consumers and , you know , there's websites where you can do comparisons of what is the one which is going to be best suited to you , depending on where you are in Australia .
Now I'm not getting paid by Ambridge to say this , but if I'm only paying $22 and then they're not whacking anything on top and I'm getting all the benefits coming unfiltered through , versus one of the big three players of the energy companies who then only give me like pittance and really mitigate the risk by taking a bigger profit , shouldn't I possibly be better
with somebody like Amber ?
Yeah , again , shop around , look at what the best deal is . I think , from what I know , I would have thought that Amber is probably the best deal at the moment , but you know , it's a business model which could be replicated .
Meaning there'd be Amber too .
Yeah .
Or Pinky , or Grapefruit yeah , it's like all of them Grapefruit color .
They always try to compete with each other and have the best compelling deal . You know some of them . You sign up to their VPP , you get this discount on this , you get . You know there's always stuff going on . You know it's , and you still you know . The thing with Amber is , though yeah , you've got your $22
¶ Future Energy Models and Microgrids
a month , but you still pay your . For me , I'm still paying my $1.40 a day connection fee . I'd still pay 45 cents a day for metering charges , you know . So I've still got all these fixed costs . The only hedge is the kilowatt hours that spill in and out . That's , that's the the gamble , which is the same as any vpp operator .
It's like none of them will give a guarantee of like you sign up to us , you'll be absolutely 100 better off by that , you know . And they can't do that because the energy industry is in this constant state of flux , it's transitioning and it's it's moving I'm really surprised .
You're paying a dollar40 for connection fee and then you pay what did you say ? Another $0.45 for something else Metering . I'm with Dodo and I'm paying $0.80 , and that's it . Why are you so expensive ?
Because I'm at the top end of New South Wales .
What you don't have choice .
Do you no , because I think the top end of New South Wales , we pay transmission costs , as if all the energy is coming from the Hunter .
So you're dumped I mean bumped stuffed . Yeah . Right , so $1.40 , n45 on top of it every day . Yeah , wow , two bucks just to turn the light on Privilege . Yeah , yeah , but why in Sydney I'm paying $0.80 ?
Because , your transmission costs are less Because you're closer to where there was or where there is , your local coal-fired power station , because that's how it's been .
I think you should be shopping around , because I was $1.10 and I shopped around and I found $0.80 . And even the kilowatt hours are cheaper . So I say to people , if you're loyal to your electricity company , you're being a dumbo , because the loyal people get screwed . They charge you more than the new customer who gets all those incentives .
Swap your energy retailers every year is my advice . It's not the retailer .
So the retailer is only really charging you or has only got the capacity to play about with a kilowatt hours bit . The retailer can't do anything about the network charges .
Yeah , but why is it no , no , no , no , no , no . In Sydney , different energy retailers charge different prices for the network charges . Some of them charge $1.10 and I found one which charges 80 cents .
All right , where I'm at , I don't have that luxury . I mean maybe I haven't changed my retailer for a while . Ah , but again , when I look at what I'm currently paying with the retailer I am , then when I did the comparison of looking at Amber , it's the same .
All right , but my it's the same . All right , but my it's still $1.40 . Look , there are parts of Australia where there's monopolies and where you know you ring and you ring the same people and it's the same price , but where you have choice , spend that 15 minutes , make a few phone calls and compare it .
But they deliberately made the pricing so damn complicated . Where it's a mix between off-peak and then the , I mean there should be a government-run website that tells you at any given time , for any given reason , for every postcode , which one is the cheapest energy retailer . That's what introduced a bit of competition .
No , that exists . No , it doesn't . There's the Energy Made Easy website you can go onto and you can put in your postcode If you've got a smart meter , put in your NIMI , your National Meter Identifier , and it will tell you which is the best deal for you .
Oh , didn't know that , yep .
It will look at all the different tariffs of all the different retailers , which will offer you a deal and it will give you the best outcome .
And then you have used that in your area for a while . Yeah , okay , yeah , some energy made easy .
Energy made easy .
Yeah , we should get a plug out of them .
Yeah , but it doesn't really help much when all the tariffs are still rubbish . Yeah .
I've used those comparison websites . I started with $2,000 for my insurance and then all the other offers were $2,200 .
Yeah , it's funny that .
Yeah , okay now coming back one more time to the community batteries . I love it . There is a sense of community , there's a community battery . What's the benefit for the community ?
The benefit for the community is often talked about by the people trying to support the marketing that it's going to reduce the bills for the consumer .
Explain to me what is a community battery .
So a community battery is a large battery which sits on as part of the network which is paid for partly by the network , partly . Some of them now can get funding . The community have government funding , government funding a lot of them . The community pay a certain amount of the fees to be able to get it applied for and to get it installed .
Hang on , hang on . The community actually puts their hand up and says we want one , yes , or does the energy retailer decide there should be one in that region ?
Kind of both . But if the energy , not the energy retailer , the energy network can decide and the energy network can then find a location , say , this is a really good location for a community battery and the community around here are going to benefit from it . Now , the network benefits from it because often it's in a location that has got constraints .
It's either somewhere that struggles to be able to deliver the amount of energy that those householders require or struggles to be able to manage the amount of power going in the opposite direction , the amount of power being exported from excess PV , so that's delivered .
Or if they want to put PV on their roof , might be told by the network you can't export anything because we just can't take it . So the benefit for the consumer is often talked about a financial benefit .
But sometimes it's quite hard to see that mechanism because really , as far as I can see it , the only financial benefit is that a consumer can export more energy than they would do normally . But when you look at the value of that export , it's very little . So hang on , so is really community batteries just a bit of a spin .
They would do normally , but when you look at the value of that export , it's very little . So hang on . So is really community batteries just a bit of a spin ? Because the energy operators not the retailers , what they call again the energy networks are community batteries .
Just a publicity spin , because the energy networks , in my opinion , are responsible to make the energy stable . In my opinion , are responsible to make the energy stable for me , to be able to get solar in , to be able to export , to use the grid in a way that a modern grid should work .
But then I go into the government and ask for my taxpayer money to put batteries into local areas , paying maybe half for it to create more stability and therefore less cranky customers that they should have supplied for in the first place . So this is actually the government giving my taxpayer money to create more value for those companies .
They're going to have higher assets on their value on their book . They can sell themselves for more money , all subsidised to me and the government's been complicit to spin me that this is a community battery . I never own it and the benefits that I get is simply that my grid is more stable , which it should be in the first place .
They have a legal obligation to provide power within a threshold in terms of voltage and frequency , and also for a minimum amount of time per year . Now those batteries help to maintain that .
Well , that's what I'm saying . No , you're completely right . It's like the government is buying my tyres when I have a transport business , because I'm too stingy to bloody buy them .
Oh , think about it with context of smart metres . Right , everyone is going to get a new smart meter , but you've got to pay for it . You've got to pay for the installation of it . What benefit is there to a consumer of a smart meter that , once they paid for that , you then end up paying for it as part of your daily fees to the network ?
So you pay for it installed or it might be some areas it's free , but you definitely pay for the installation of it . No , no , no , no . But hang on , you're paying for it through your supply fee .
Yeah , some , but more often than not , if in certain areas , if you're putting in a new solar system , you have to upgrade to a smart meter and you'll have to pay for that installation , and then you then rent it or you pay for it in your fees . But what benefit is there to a consumer to have a smart meter ?
Well , they can actually put more tricky charge mechanisms in and charge me , for example , at certain times of the day , a higher fee . So it actually helps really the energy company to create more complex billings rather than me as an end customer . I'm still happy with my little wheelie-dealie thing .
Yeah , yes , so I got spun again with bullshit , but it's a mandatory rollout . Everyone's got their smart meters , but the data that's on that smart meter you're not entitled to see .
No , I thought that's being shared now .
No , there's a rule change request that's being looked at , but currently it's not your data . Although it's your data , you can't connect into that smart meter and get that information .
I thought that's what Sol Analytics and others do now .
Sol Analytics have a license , if you like , to be able to extract certain parts of that data for very certain , very specific functions . Okay , but that's it . Okay , and that's quite a tight rule that they've been able to apply . Now there is a rule change request allowing consumers to be able to see that information .
But the one thing that smart meters aren't it's actually that smart because the information they store is maybe six hours old , it's 15 minute intervals . It's like it's not as granular as the meter that has to get installed as part of every single solar installation . So , consumer , you're going to put solar on your roof , you've got to put a meter on anyway .
Now that meter is quicker and faster than that smart meter .
Already a new generation , is it ?
Well , it's doing a different job . It has to meet the requirements of the standards to be able to allow for the inverter to respond at a much quicker time than the smart meter would . So the only thing that a smart meter does , like you say , is allows retail companies to allow different billing periods .
To confuse me , even more because I mean , I believe that in the olden days you know how there used to be just full cream milk and now you've got 52 choices and the almond and the soya and all that . That's what I'd done to the electricity market . You can't just go look , just give me a flat fee . I want to know what I'm paying .
Now it's this much during this time , that much at that time . If on Sunday you wear white undies , we charge you extra . It's crazy .
Well , again , if I go on to that Energy Made Easy website and I plug in my location and my NMI , my National Meter Identifier of when I Live , and I look at the different options for me to get different tariffs , different packages for my retailer .
Have you got a PhD for that ?
Not yet and I don't think I'm even going to bother , because right there are 45 retailers energy retailers in australia , in my location I think .
there's over 360 different tariff options I can go for but the government should say guys , keep , keep it simple , stupid , give people three choices , make it really clear , make it easy to compare , because , quite frankly , it's like my wife going on a trip overseas and we haven't chosen the country yet and we're looking at 147 choices and at the end we sometimes
never go anywhere .
Yeah , kind of oh crazy , never go anywhere . Yeah , kind of , oh crazy , it is crazy .
Now all the EVs coming and all that , are we actually in risk of going into blackout territory for many days , here and there ?
I love that there's this assumption that everyone's going to come home and plug in at the same time and crash the network .
¶ Global Politics and Renewable Transition
Yes , that's what's going to happen . Are people really that dumb ?
No , and also we all flash at around 7 o'clock . You see the spike . Everybody makes a cup of tea at 6 to 7 , watches the news and then 15 minutes later go to the toilet .
Off a tangent right In England when I was growing up , eastenders was massive . Everyone watched EastEnders right and they always used to do this Christmas special of EastEnders and I think it was the Christmas special .
Well , anyway , there was this one episode where something major happened and everyone after the episode got up and made a cup of tea at the same time and it nearly crashed the whole electricity system in the UK because everyone stuck the kettles on at the same time .
And that nearly crashed the whole electricity system in the UK because everyone stuck their kettles on at the same time . And that's what's going to happen with With EVs , but no , because , funnily enough , when people get home at night , the cost of electricity is probably still in the peak period , which means it's going to be expensive .
People don't care . They want a cup of tea and they want their EV charged . No , but they do . No , not my wife or not many people's wives . Your wife is the anomaly . No , they're just going to go home . They open the garage , they put the car in and they pluck the EV charger .
They have no awareness that they're now in the peak period for paying what you think . They're going to go home , they're going to make the dinner and sit down and then later go . Oh , now it's a bit cheaper . I better turn the EV on If that's not done .
Automatic it doesn't happen , because most people a lot of people have EV chargers that they then have a schedule on it , so they plug it in , yes , but it will be turning on to actually charge at 1 o'clock in the morning , 2 o'clock in the morning when it's cheap .
All right , I'll give you that .
Yeah , they won't't . Just because it's plugged in doesn't mean it's charging .
Then you plug it in yes , but you've got schedule on it , and a lot of people also then , like with amber , they'll plug the thing in , but then the vpp operator will be telling you when to charge your car , or you have the systems and there's a lot of these about where you plug it in and then you'll actually be able to charge your car from excess solar .
So and that's why people don't plug it in and straight away it's going to be charging . It's actually scheduled and it's managed because that makes sense . You know , it's like people aren't that stupid .
Especially where the cost of electricity is so high , people are actually incentivized because of the cost of power to be a bit more savvy about how they use their energy and when .
So you can't be ignorant anymore .
Most people aren't .
Okay .
I have quite a high expectation of people . I don't think they're that stupid yeah okay , you haven't met me .
Quick one , A friend of mine , bought a Chinese car . He's a bit of a tinkerer so he's gone into the communication channels and he's picking up . There's a hell of a lot of data going out of that car somewhere . What's going on ?
Exactly that . There's a lot of information going out all over the place .
It's a Chinese car . Is somebody in Canberra picking that up , or is that going to Beijing ?
It's probably going in that direction , which is the is the same you can say the word yeah to beijing . I mean now , that's not just the case of cars , it's probably the case of your ev charger , it's probably the case of the inverter as well . You know , anything that's got that data capture requirement or you know , is grabbing telemet .
It'll be going back and be able to be scrutinized and used for whatever purpose .
God only knows yeah . Maybe there's a little video camera on the front of that car and it kind of maps the whole area and it goes back . Yeah .
It's interesting . Someone was telling me recently that insurance companies are now asking or using that information . So if you have a crash in your EV , they can grab the telemetry data , look at your driving habits to see whether or not you were potentially driving erratically , because you might have been intoxicated or distracted .
You might have been on your phone , because they can also get that information . Also , who was at fault ? Because they can also get that information . Um , also , who is at fault ? Because they got all that information ? They got the telemetry of how you're driving , how fast you are driving , and also got the cameras but hang on .
Why don't we just say you want to sell a car in australia ? Sorry that shit can't be in it who's going to say that the government under what ?
okay , they probably could if they get to that point of creating the legislation that's going to say that the government Okay , they probably could if they get to that point of creating the legislation that's going to allow for that . And that's then when you get into that bureaucracy piece .
I want a car that goes from A to B . I don't want one with 15 cameras that looks at my life and… I'd be more worried about your phone .
How many times have you had it ? You know when you're you're talking about some random piece of thing that you're thinking of buying . Then you go on your phone , you go to google and all of a sudden that's all the adverts you're getting yeah , yeah , my grandmother passed away suddenly .
I had all these funeral notes . Yeah , how did they know that ?
yeah , so I think about those kind of questions where does all that information go do ?
you think there's a ?
metadata , for all the photographs you take , all the , all the information about everything that you use on your phone or your , your laptop or whatever . All that information is valuable . You know , you think of like ai at the moment , how clever ai is .
You know , every time we go into like those captures where you , to prove you're a human and you've got to look at the images of motorbikes or zebra crossings or whatever , that you're programming ai by doing that . So , yeah , so what you want to actually use that information that people do ?
That is actually the mechanism to program , because ai is just an algorithm . It's it's they say it's a self-learning algorithm , but it's got to be programmed . You've got to program into it to a certain point , then it can start programming itself . The responses In this scenario do that and recognize this .
This is what this is , because they can't think for themselves . Initially , you've got to program it .
But hang on , I've just picked three motorbikes . What is A going to do with that ?
Recognize a motorbike . So now , when you've got a camera above the traffic lights and something drives up to you , it goes that's a motorbike . Oh yeah , that's why . So it's all used for that . So that data is incredibly valuable because all that data can then be sold and that can be used , and it can be used for all sorts of different things .
I can create a drone that hunts down motorbikes .
Yeah , if you wanted to , you can do all sorts of things . The world is your oyster . You've just got to get the data .
Gee my grandmother grew up in a much simpler world .
Yeah , I grew up in a world where you actually wrote letters to people .
Yeah , I'm of that generation I think you are as well where we're unique because we bridge the gap between kind of no technology and this insane technology where we didn't have mobile phones , didn't have home computers , didn't have any of that , where we still did write letters and communicated with people . And you know , there was no Black and white TV .
Black and white TVs , yeah , Radios that you had to tune yourself , Tapes , you know all those kind of things . It's like records .
I sliced the tapes myself still and stuck them together with tape . Yeah , I did .
Yeah , exactly , and then we've experienced the introduction of computers , and then into home computers , and then into mobile phones and then smartphones , and then where we're at now with AI , and we can kind of appreciate where we're at and the significance of that and how it's changed , how we used to be , and how that's affecting the younger generation and how
there's the breakdown of community and how we can look at it and go no attention to detail , by the way no , and how ai , in my opinion , is , and how even all this smart technology is actually dumbing down the population , because you haven't got to think for yourself , because it's done for you .
I remember if I was going to drive around london I'd get an a to z book and I'd look at it and I'd memorize the route and I'd work it out and I'd remember road names and I'd remember the route . Now you get into a car and just go I'm going there and it does it for you . Don't be half the car . Now you can get to a car and it drive you .
So I mean , it's like how is that developing people's brains and their memories and their ability to think and think laterally and and problem solve and work things out ? It's doing completely the opposite . It's actually this process of dumbing down the population . It's really scary actually what and ?
And then that information where that's going to and being used , for what reasons and by who , and it's it's . It's just this sort of almost like we're a victim of our own success . Um , I don't know where I'm going to with this , but I think it's really fascinating .
It was so fascinating I kind of forgot the next question .
You've got to be careful what you ask me , because I can just go off on all sorts of different tangents .
Is this kind of like a Karen moment , where you kind of just rave on as a boomer , being frustrated that young people… I'm not frustrated .
I just find it fascinating .
It's interesting , where we're in this transition , this this massive paradoxical transition of who we are as humans and and what we're doing and why we're doing it and where we're going as , as a , as a race and as a society and as a kind of , you know , conscious beings and and looking at our , our future and what level of of choice and freedoms we'll actually
have and why we will do the things we do . You know it's it's an interesting time to be alive , kind of quite scary at the same time , because we're also now suffering the consequences of , you know , hundreds of years worth of , you know , post-industrial revolution harm to the planet .
Um , but for me , that's why I want to be in the renewables industry to really try to be able to address what I can , have the power over what I can , which is to try to , you know , address the issues of , of climate change and the proliferation of co2 in the atmosphere , etc .
The other stuff ai and I can't really do much about , and I'd love to still write letters and have a phone that I dial , like that .
Wow . Well , you can still write a love letter to your wife . Yeah , they'd possibly be really appreciated , yeah . Well , that happens and you know you can type the key points into AI and then it'll write it for you . You copy it and then you write it . It's not going to happen , no , but it'll be .
Possibly you can say write it more sweet , and then AI gives you extra inspiration and then you should read that and go .
You didn't write that . It's spelled correctly .
Okay , got it . Donald Trump has been elected not too long ago . Second time around Seems to be even a bit more erratic than the first time . Second time around Seems to be even a bit more erratic than the first time . How are all these different tariffs going to affect our trade relationship with China , with the US renewables as a whole ?
Because , I mean , china certainly brought themselves out a big niche to be a huge influencer in this . They were very smart there . They're eating the Germans alive on the cars now . How's Trump affecting us ?
Time will tell . It's interesting to see where he kind of goes to next with his executive orders and his slashing of this , that and the other and adding on tariffs . I think there's going to be quite a transition in terms of global trade .
I wonder if there's going to be quite a backlash in America in terms of , you know , due to the there'll be , I think , a cost of living crisis .
Yeah , I mean , all those tariffs make things more expensive .
Yeah , they're going to hurt the domestic market and restrict supply and all the rest of it , because a lot of countries are just going . Well , it's odd , you know , we just won't sell American products anymore .
So you think it could backfire ?
Yeah , I wonder , if you know , I kind of question if it's going to backfire . And it's interesting when he was in his last term , again with all his anti-renewables policy , the renewables industry in America actually went through its largest growth period , which is quite ironic in a way .
And I wonder if I almost wonder if that's going to happen again this time around . And I almost wonder if that's going to happen again this time around Because you know some of the policies . You know , like dig baby dig
¶ Technology, Data Privacy, and Energy
and all this kind of stuff or drill baby drill , whatever it was . You know it doesn't take a genius to work out that energy from renewables is still cheaper than coal . And you know EVs are more , they've got more advantages financially from a driving perspective , from a fueling perspective , than combustion engine cars .
And you know , just again , people tend to vote with their wallets or act with their wallet , so I'm not quite sure how it's going to pan out . It's . It's very , very interesting and kind of scary space at the same time For us domestically . I think the government here are kind of doing desperate talks to try to see .
You know where we're going to sit If it's going to start , because I think there's looking at slapping on tariffs to Australia as well . So we'll say I'm not quite sure how dependent we are on the American market or vice versa . You know how much we trade with them .
I think the issue is going to be , if Trump puts a lot of tariffs on China , then China economy slows down , then their need for Australian products will be less and therefore we're kind of shot by friendly fire , kind of indirectly . That's what possibly Trump's stuff is going to be causing . Do you share that ? That could happen .
Anything's possible . It depends how domestically by China it gets interpreted . And then what gaps they need to fill in terms of trade and revenue they need to fill , and where they either absorb it or pass that on by increasing tariffs to other regions , and or where any actual product deficit goes .
And Australia's always been a bit of a dumping ground for product Cars , you know , renewables , all sorts of stuff , especially Chinese product . It kind of gets dumped here . So it could be that we actually see an influx of cheaper Chinese products that is being subsidized because they need to find homes for it to keep the Chinese economy buoyant . Almost .
You could potentially argue that we could benefit in a way by the trade war between America and China . Just don't know . It's still too early days , but it's very concerning what that's going to do , for you know the global trade and global politics as well .
Now you know America . We always were taught . You know they were the leader of the free world and democracy and freedom of choice and all that . And now Trump's going oh Greenland , I want that Panama Canal , that's one of mine . What about you know ? We might want Antarctica on our part one day and Gaza that solution .
It's not really what we were learned and taught in school of how democracy should work . No . Should we maybe distance ourselves from America when they go really mad ?
I think it's . It really isn't . When you look at those kinds of policies , you seem to think a lot .
Is it a political question that you're really worried about answering , or what ?
I suppose , I think that it's .
I mean , why aren't we moving into a more neutral position and say , listen , there's Brazil , there is Turkey , there is India , there is China , there is Vietnam . They're all kind of forming a group together . They don't need America really ? I mean , America is isolating themselves . The rest of the world gets on with it .
Europe's not really their biggest mate anymore and they rely on each other . This is why I kind of hesitate because is it real ?
Is it real policy ? Is it actually going to do anything ? Is it going to actually be realized or is it real ? Is it real policy ? Is it actually going to do anything ? Is it going to actually be realized , or is it just rhetoric ? Is it just talk ? At the moment , you know , really is he . He's not going to buy Greenland . They've turned in to shove it .
You know it's like it just looks like it's a lot of hot air to be seen , to get media attention to be seen as this great , big , powerful , being an entity and nation .
It's almost a distraction so you're not taking it serious , do you really ?
what are you going to do with your domestic policy ? You know how are you actually going to address some of the fundamental issues in america .
First , you know what's that high drug use ? Uh , low manufacturing high crime rate .
You know the amount of mass shootings . You know the issues with the healthcare system . There's a lot of real issues in America which are very difficult to address within the term , so instead it's I'm going to deal with the world problems .
So what You're saying , basically there's a very rusted roof and I put a solar system on top to hide the holes and make a big fanfare about it , but I haven't really fixed the underlying problems . So if I talk about all the big stuff from overseas , my domestic stuff , I probably realise I can't fix , kind of .
I do wonder that . I do wonder Because also you know you look at the amount of debt that America's got . You know it's insane .
Mainly to China .
Yeah .
So if China one day says oh well , we sell all those debts for a couple of pennies , and I mean they've got actually leverage , haven't they ? Yeah , for a couple of pennies , and I mean they got actually leverage , haven't they ?
Yeah , it's like 30-odd trillion . It's like insane , like it's not even monopoly money . It's like a shop full of monopoly board money .
But I mean the dollar's just gone up the US dollar and it's gone more value , despite all the fundamentals for the US being wrong .
Yeah , but is that because of the federal policy or the government policy or is that just because of a short-term , initial sort of response by the markets to do things now , before shit happens down the road ? You know , just because there's a blip doesn't mean that's a sustained profile . It could just go , you know it'd be interesting .
So at the moment I'm kind of looking at it and just go , and also I look at a lot of the media and go how much of this is actually true ? Because are these things actually really happening ? Is this just content ?
Is this just , but we never had a politician like that . I mean , if somebody in Australia goes up and says we're going to sell Tasmania now , nobody's going to say , well , that's just rhetoric to get a headline . People think , well , the guy's gone crazy and that's what he wants to do .
So why do we let somebody like Trump , who's got a trigger on the nuclear button , talk stuff ?
like that . How can we not , when you say button , talk stuff like that . How can we not when you say , how do we let ? How do you not let it happen ?
That's the problem when he's got his own media channel , when it , when it's all so controlled by other very wealthy people with with financial interests and also a huge amount of media presence , to stop that rhetoric . You know the whole thing has been built on rhetoric and these narratives of I'm going to do this , I'm going to do that . It's never okay .
Fact check it . How . How are you going to do this ? Is actually what you're saying true , you know ? Is anything true with what's going on here , or is it all just hyperbole and talk ? How much we actually were hearing now is true .
You just don't know , because it's just no one that challenges it gets as much airtime as what comes out of that camp , because it's way more interesting and outrageous and distressing than the truth .
But eventually they're going to run out of craziness .
Oh , there's plenty of craziness to keep going in the world . There's plenty , you know . You can keep that going for the next three , four years easily , you know .
But I'm actually going to wonder if he's going to last the distance health-wise and mental-wise .
Yes , potentially , but you know you could end up in a situation where which has happened before , you know all over the world where the leaders are no longer competent , but you just don't see them . But this stuff keeps happening because there's a machine behind it churning out the rules and the requirements , and you know it still happens anyway .
And again , when you've got this group of individuals supporting these business individuals , supporting the government , that can really pull the strings and make things happen . You know how much is coming from Trump and how much is he just representing the interests of other parties .
So it's a bit like a weekend at Bernie's , is it Something like that ? Oh , could be All right , okay , well , look , we got a little bit off the topic of energy . But interesting thoughts . We always we'd be wiser in hindsight , and then everybody knew it anyway . I always find that when something happens . Yeah .
So look , guys and girls and ladies and gentlemen , it's an interesting podcast with James today about the philosophy of the world , a thought of a baby boomer and energy in Australia .
Thank you so much . Subscribe button and ring the bell and check out all our other videos . Want more energy answered ? Visit yourenergyanswerscom for quality energy products , tools and calculators and find your quality local installers . You're still here . I'll see you next time . Bye .
