Welcome in. We'll drive in the great episode three ninety two, our week eleven NFL gambling show, and this episode is brought to you by our friends at boost Mobile, who also bring you straight to voicemail, but we don't do that during the gambling show, but give them a shout out anyway, and also shout out our friends at hard Rock Bet because they provide all the lines we are going to be discussing here. And shout out all of you who have like, rated and subscribed to the pod.
Please continue subscribing to the pod on YouTube and iTunes and Spotify and all of that. And for our Spotify listeners, our you know, biggest Spotify listeners should begin a nice little Spotify rap video for me here in a few weeks. All right, last week we needed to go three and two to be at an even five hundred. We thought we had the three and two locked up. Sadly the Jags with an all time gag job. So we'll go over it now. Atlantap plus six and a half against Indy.
They could have maybe should have won. They lose by six in overtime. That's a winner. Tampa minus two and a half against New England and by the way, let me say one thing about Atlanta versus Indy. First, if you remember, part of my handicap on that game was this was Indie minus five and a half and then they traded for sauce, it moved to six and a half and I said, no, corner is worth a point and that point ended up being the difference between a
one and the loss. Just saying, Tampa minus two and a half against New England's on the wrong side of that, that's a loser. Jacksonville minus won at Houston. They're up nineteen against Davis Mills in the fourth quarter, they somehow lose. Just pathetic. Chicago minus three and a half against the Giants, maybe a little lucky they were down ten late they came back to win. And Pittsburgh plus three against the Chargers. That was a bad pick. So two and three, two
games under again, trudging along. Need to get hot, but this is similar to last year, and last year we finished red hot, so I'm not worried. Today's show is brought to you by representing sponsor hard Rock Bet. That time of year and every day feels like a big game day. Pro football, college football, NBA, college hoops, it's all happening and all on hard Rock Bet. There's always
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two and a half. I think the Chargers win. However, that banged up Chargers oh line coming off a great game against the Jags defense gave me just enough pause to stay away, even though the Jags have looked just so bad ever since they beat Kansas City. So I'm staying away there. If I was going to go with my lean would be the Chargers. Houston at the Titans, the Titans getting six and a half. It's I cannot
lay a touchdown with Davis. I also can't bet the Titans getting less than a touchdown, and so that's just stay away. Cincinnati at Pittsburgh Pittsburgh laying five points. We love Pittsburgh as a divisional dog. We really like Pittsburgh laying less than three points in divisional games. We don't so much love them laying five, So we're staying away there.
Carolina at Atlanta, Atlanta laying three and a half at home Atlanta's I watched Atlanta for all sixty minutes last weekend and it was just such a pathetic game plan that, even though Carolina has been a really bad road team, I just don't feel comfortable rolling with the Falcons, so that's a stay away. Green Bay at the Giants, the Giants getting seven at home. I green Bay's offense has been so bad against bad teams that you feel like you should just take the seven points with the Giants.
The problem is the boom bust potential of Jamis makes it scary. I know they fired the coach, as long as you get a fired coach bounce. I just feel like a Jamis picked six to ruin a potential cover is too painful, So I'm staying away. Seattle at the Rams. The Rams are favored by three. I expect the Rams to win by three, so the Lion is perfect. There's no value there. Both of these teams, by the way, are seven and two straight up and seven and two
against the spread. I'll stay away there. Baltimore at Cleveland plus seven and a half if I had more when we're recording this, there's still a little bit of question about Lamar's health, so therefore I can't bet Baltimore. I would never bet Dylan Gabriel getting you know, barely more than a touchdown against a good team, and Baltimore's a good team now. But because I don't know if what lamar, what's going on with Lamorrow's stay away there. Detroit at
Philly Philly two and a half point favorites. I stared long and heard at Detroit. If at any point this line moves to three, I will jump on Detroit. But at two and a half, it's just not I I feel like fading the Eagles right now and getting less than a field goal in Philly, particularly with potential bad weather being a part of that game and what that does to golf. That concerns me too much. But at three,
I bet Detroit and then Dallas at the Raiders. The Raiders getting three and a half at just a gross Monday night football game. I like Dallas, but Dallas also doesn't. Betting on laying more than a field goal on the road with the Cowboys is more respect and that team deserves. The coltson Saints are on a bye, and that leaves us these five picks. I liked Miami minus two and a half against Washington when I briefly thought the game was in Washington. I love it when it's on a
neutral site in Madrid. I think Washington is just flatly two. Injured quarterback out a half dozen defensive players out that Washington is so banged up, Miami all of a sudden, sneaky good vibes. I know Tua has not done well in his international starts, but one of those was against the Chiefs. I'll throw that one out. I think Washington is just right now one of the softer spots in the league until Jaden gets back, and I'm laying less than a field goal, I'll take Miami minus two and
a half from Madrid. Chicago getting three at Minnesota. I didn't know this, but this is crazy. The Vikings are zero to six against the spread after facing the Lions under Kevin O'Connell. That one, I mean, that's that's It's not nothing the that that applied the last week's game against the Ravens. So maybe I wish I knew it then. I thought Minnesota had a lot of opportunities against Baltimore. I didn't think Baltimore played that well and they just
couldn't make the most of them. I think Chicago likely wins this game outright, and I'm getting three points. Also, I like getting that all of a sudden, very explosive Chicago offense in a dome so Chicago getting a full three at Minnesota. When I think Chicago can win out right, I'll roll with them. Tampa getting five and a half at Buffalo, I just don't know that right now. Buffalo deserves to be laying more than three and a half against any really good team, and I think Tampa's a
really good team. They're also, this will be the first game maybe all year, where Tampa is the healthier team. They might have Bucky Irving back, they might have Chris Godwin back. At Buffalo meanwhile, is super banged up. I don't need Tampa to win out right, even though I think they could. I just need them to keep it, you know, manageable and their healthier, and Buffalo I think
has some soul searching to do. Tampa plus five and a half probably my I'm not gonna call it my favorite, but I like this a lot, even though all the trends are against me because Shanahan has not covered against the Cardinals and Arizona is pretty good as a covering team coming off a loss. But San Francisco minus two and a half at Arizona, I think Arizona is a bit of a mess. We just saw them get absolutely demolished this past weekend. San Francisco reckon should have party back.
Now.
I don't think there's a big difference between Purdy and mac Jones at this point, but they should have party back, and they are. They understand that it's gonna be between them and Chicago for that final playoff spot. This is a game you've got to take care of business. I love that I don't have to lay three and a half. Just feels like San Francisco can control this game and win by three points. And I'm only laying the two
and a half. So I'll take San Francisco minus the two and a half, and last, but not least, the Chiefs laying three and a half at Denver. I be if you got this right when it opened at three, good for you. I may have gotten it right when it opened at three, but I will still lay the three and a half. I just do not think bo Nicks can get this Broncos deep offense to more than seventeen points. So then the question is do I think the Chiefs can score twenty one even against that Denver defense.
I think they can. My real analysis of this game and everything about it you can hear on yesterday's pod. You know, around the ten minute mark, we get into it if you want to hear more there. So our five picks this week are Miami minus two and a half in Madrid against Washington, Chicago plus three at Minnesota, Tampa plus five and a half at Buffalo, San Francisco, minus two and a half at Arizona, and Kansas City
minus three and a half at Denver. Before we get to Demanse's teaser, which we will give you even though he's not here, and even though he is ice cold. You ever notice how everything keeps going up. Rent's going up, streaming services going up. Your favorite burrito spot thinks Solza should cost extra. Not with boost Mobile. With boost Mobile, you and your phone bill don't have to play the will this go up soon? Game? Why? Because boost Mobile has an unlimited talk, text and data plan at a
price that will never go up. In fact, it's the same price you'll pay for life. So switch now for an unlimited wireless at a price that'll never go up. Only on boost Mobile. After thirty gigs, customers may experience lower speeds. Customers will pay twenty dollars per month as long as they remain active on the boost unlimited plan. All right, I told Demons last week he had a bad teaser. He didn't listen to me. His record falls to four and six. He had Buffalo minus one teased
through the zero or not through the zero? Yeah, hold on, yeah teased not through the zero. He teased Cleveland through the zero plus six. Those both lost, and he had Philly plus ten. This week, Demons is once again I am listen. He's got baby brain. I'll let you guys hear it. Here's Demonse with his week eleven teaser.
Hello, what's right? Team? I just wanted to say thank you from the bottom of my heart for the warm congratulations and the welcoming of Mila. You guys are all awesome, and I'm sorry if I didn't get back to anybody, but is greatly appreciated and I can't wait to talk to you guys in a couple weeks. Here. I hope everybody's doing good. But the week eleven teaser eight pointer three teamer per usual, Texans up to plus one and
a half. We're gonna tease the Dolphins until plus five and a half and tease the Bucks up to plus thirteen. I know it's been a while since I won one of these, but I feel like I have luck on my side, and uh yeah, just ride with me. So this is the week of EVI a teaser Texans one and a half Dolphins plus five and a half bucks to plus thirteen.
That's right, all right, So he's actually gonna get uh thirteen and a half on the bucks because when he called it in they were five. They're now five and a half. I these are I mean, we're just what if I we're teasing through the zero with Miami and get not getting key numbers. We're teasing through the zero with Houston and not getting I Again, he's been focused
on more important things. But fair is fair. Demons's first teaser as a father gets an F. I'm rooting for your son, but that gets an F. Touchdown Genie time last week, I went off the board and said give me Kyle Maanungai and he scored immediately. Immediately, Kyle Manungui scored. We stay lifetime undefeated on toouchdown. Genie. I said to the group today, hey, I really like Josh Jacobs against the Giants to get a touchdown, and they said to me, yes,
so does the whole world he's minus three hundred. I said, God, dog it, So I'm gonna do something we haven't done before. Touchdown Jeanie parlay, Josh Jacobs and Christian McCaffrey parlay together minus one twenty two cash that in. We don't do it every week, but I'm feeling hot on touchdown Genie.
Now the group has an offer for me. Last week, I think we had Jonathan Taylor and Bjon Robinson to both score a touchdown, but the Falcons instead just gave Tyler Algee or Bijeon's red zone touches, so it did not hit. This week, the offers Trevor and Jamis to throw a pick plus one thirty six or plus one forty Sadly, I'll take it. That seems Trevor to throw a pick against the Chargers, Jamis to throw a pick against the Packers. Sadly, two number one picks to throw picks.
I'll take it. Like rate subscribe review, thank you de Monsey, thank you Blue Dock, thank you Volume and shout out hard Rock, Bett Boost and of course our friends It's in. Enjoy an amazing weekend of football. Talk to you guys on Tuesday. What's right