India And Pakistan Latest, Libya Deportations, The Fed And Interest Rates - podcast episode cover

India And Pakistan Latest, Libya Deportations, The Fed And Interest Rates

May 08, 202513 min
--:--
--:--
Listen in podcast apps:
Metacast
Spotify
Youtube
RSS

Summary

This episode covers escalating tensions between India and Pakistan, the US plan to deport migrants to Libya, and the Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady amidst economic uncertainty. Dia Hadid reports from Mumbai on the India-Pakistan conflict, while Jimena Ostio discusses the controversial deportation plan. Scott Horsley analyzes the Fed's decision and its implications for the US economy.

Episode description

Pakistan's defense minister warned that hostilities between his country and India could escalate into a nuclear confrontation, the White House plans to add Libya to the list of countries where it sends deportees, and the Federal Reserve voted to keep interest rates unchanged, for now.

Want more comprehensive analysis of the most important news of the day, plus a little fun? Subscribe to the Up First newsletter.

Today's episode of Up First was edited by Ryland Barton, Anna Yukhananov, Rafael Nam, Janaya Williams and Alice Woelfle. It was produced by Kaity Kline, Nia Dumas and Christopher Thomas.
We get engineering support from Stacey Abbott. And our technical director is Carleigh Strange.

Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices

NPR Privacy Policy

Transcript

it shot down over some of its major It's the aftermath of Indian airstrikes. How are two nuclear powers managing the latest confrontation in their generations-long Cold War? I'm Steve Inscape with Leila Fathol, and this is Up First from NPR. President Trump's administration plans to send migrants removed from the United States to Libya. The US has deportation deals already with Mexico and El Salvador.

And the Federal Reserve says it will wait how the economy responds to higher tariffs, but interest rates will remain unchanged for now. is fine wages are in good shape stay with us we'll give you the news you need to start your This message comes from NPR sponsor Vanta. Whether you're a startup founder or a seasoned security professional, proving your commitment to security has never been more critical or more complex.

Vanta automates compliance for SOC 2, ISO 27001, HIPAA, and more, helping you build customer trust. According to a recent IDC study, Vanta customers achieve over $500,000 per year in benefit. Go to vanta.com slash upfirst to meet with a Vanta expert about your business needs. You may have heard that President Trump has issued an executive order seeking to block all federal funding to NPR.

This is the latest in a series of threats to media organizations across the country. NPR remains committed to serving the public And in this pivotal moment, we need your support. Donate today at donate.npr.org. This message comes from DSW Where'd you get those shoes? Easy. They're from DSW. Because DSW has the exact right shoes for whatever you're into right now. You know, like the sneakers that make office hours feel like happy hour. The boots that turn grocery aisles into runway.

and all the styles that show off the many sides of you. From daydreamer to multitasker and everything in between, because you do it all in really great shoes. Blasts heard over Pakistan's second largest city is the latest step in a generations-long conflict in South Asia. This morning residents in Pakistan's second largest city of Lahore were hearing an explosion.

Pakistan's military spokesman Lieutenant General Ahmad Sharif says Pakistan shot down Indian drones which he says were flying over major cities. This naked aggression continues and the armed forces are on high degree of alert and neutralizing them as we speak. This is it. serious serious provocation let's remember here india launched multiple strikes

against Pakistan on Tuesday. These were considered the most extensive attacks that India has carried out in more than 50 years. India says it was responding to terror attacks last month that were launched out of Pakistani territory. On the line with us is NPR's Dia Hadid. She's in Mumbai and covers both India and Pakistan. Good morning. Good morning, Laila. So, Dia, just bring us up to speed. What is happening?

Right, well the Pakistani army spokesman Lieutenant General Ahmed Sharif accused India of setting across 25 Israeli-made drones this morning. He says some of them flew over major population centres, including Karachi, which is the biggest city in the country with 20 million people, and crucially, Rawalpindi, which is home to Pakistan's general military headquarters.

Sharif says they shot down all the drones, except for one that targeted an old airport in Lahore. He says four military personnel were injured and one civilian killed. Sharif just spoke to the media in English. That's a signal that his message is for the West. It appears that India has apparently lost the plot. rather than going on a path of rationality is further escalating in a highly charged environment. to satisfy the hebristic mindset of the Indian government.

What he's referring to there, Leila, is India's Hindu nationalist government which had vowed retribution for a militant attack in late April, where gunmen opened fire on tourists in a meadow, killing 26. India blamed Pakistan for that attack. Pakistan says it's not connected, but it's that incident which triggered these escalations. Right, but I'm thinking, where does this go? It seems like tensions are just rising and rising at this point.

At this point, yes, but if I can step back a bit, when India struck Pakistan earlier this week, the Indian military had quickly signalled they were not seeking an escalation. and Pakistan said it shot down five Indian military aircraft and analysts told me they were waiting to see if that would be enough.

for Pakistan to show its people that the army was defending the country. Even this morning, the Pakistani Deputy Prime Minister confirmed that national security advisers of both countries had spoken to each other, so it was looking hopeful. But then the accusation happened of India sending drones over Pakistani airspace. So Ajay Shukla, he is a retired Indian Army colonel and he says,

Any new development here changes all calculations. And the dynamic between those two are sort of hostile and sort of aggressive. Then what is said two days ago no longer holds good. there is absolutely a scope for something bigger. Has India said anything about these allegations about the drone? Not so far, but India's foreign minister has just said if the country is attacked, there'll be a firm response.

and it's important to remember already in this latest escalation there are casualties more than 30 people on the Pakistani side including children and more than 12 people killed in India and that doesn't even include but 26 people who were killed by gunmen in late April, which triggered this whole escalation. That's Dia Hadid in Mumbai. Thank you, Dia. Thank you, Leila.

The Trump administration wants to send migrants to Libya, possibly as soon as this week. Libya. U.S. officials have spent the last few months negotiating with various countries to see who is willing to take in people deported from the United States. NPR's immigration reporter Jimena Ostio joins us now to talk about all this. Good morning, Jimena. Good morning.

So what do we know about this plan to send migrants to Libya? Yesterday my colleague Tom Bowman confirmed administration officials are planning to use Libya as a destination for migrants removed from the U.S. Earlier this week, Rwanda's foreign minister also said it was in talks with Washington about the same issue. And of course the U.S. has had similar deals already with Mexico and El Salvador.

Now, the deportations to Libya would be carried out by the US military, but it's not clear how many people or what nationalities would be sent under the deal. President Trump told reporters yesterday he didn't know about the plan and to ask the Department of Homeland Security. Homeland Security did not respond to NPR's requests to confirm the plan.

Okay, so we've already seen actions in court to try and stop these military flights before they've even happened. What can you tell us about the lawsuit? A judge in Massachusetts already issued an injunction blocking the Homeland Security Department from removing migrants to these third countries.

That means deporting people to countries they're not originally from. The administration has found workarounds though. They've used other agencies, such as the Defense Department, to remove people from the U.S. Immigration lawyers filed an emergency motion yesterday asking that same judge to again block removals to Libya or any third country. They argued their clients, who are Laotian, Vietnamese, and Filipino, could be sent in a matter of hours.

And last night, the judge issued another order. It clarifies DHS can't use a loophole and that any agencies, including the Pentagon, can't deport people to these third countries unless those people get prior time to contest their removal. Okay, so there's a legal block in this court. I mean, Libya is not considered.

the safest country, have other concerns been raised about this plan? First off, Libya has been wrestling with violence and armed conflict since the civil war that toppled Muammar Gaddafi almost 15 years ago. The country is still in turmoil. There's a military strongman who controls the eastern half of the country, and a UN-backed government controls the west. And I'd note both governments issued statements rejecting the plan to send migrants there. And Libya has a notorious human rights record.

Yeah, I mean, this isn't the first deal, though, that the White House has made with other countries. We've already reported a lot on the U.S. paying El Salvador $6 million to house migrants removed. from the u.s in a mega prison there what's the point of these agreements One of the main goals is to send migrants further away to avoid people crossing back over U.S. borders.

And that's according to Secretary of State Marco Rubio. But there are plenty of practical implications. About 1.4 million people have pending deportation orders. That's according to the Immigration and Customs Enforcement Agency. but there are many challenges to sending them back to their home countries. One is that their home countries may not agree to accept them or actually have limits on how many people or flights they will take from the United States.

And this has created challenges for past administrations because it means that even if someone has a final removal order, they may not actually be removed. But Trump's goal is to increase the pace of deportations, as we've been reporting, and that does mean finding more places for people to go.

So the administration is aiming to make these inroads with these kind of, quote, third-party countries that can take in deportees. If Libya isn't under the table, others likely will be. NPR's Jimena Bustillo. Thank you, Jimena. Thank you. If you're waiting for lower interest rates to take out a car loan, finance a business, or just make a big purchase on your credit card, you're going to have to wait a bit longer. Policymakers at the Federal Reserve voted to hold short-term interest rates.

steady for now. That's how powerful they are. They make news even when they do nothing, which is what they chose to do here while they wait to see how President Trump's trade war plays out in the U.S. economy. NPR's Scott Horsley has been watching the Fed's deliberations, and he joins us now. Hi, Scott. Good morning. Okay, so in its statement, the Fed pointed to growing uncertainty about the economic outlook. What does it mean by that?

It's been just over a month since President Trump ordered worldwide tariffs, effectively dropping a giant rock into the oceans on which global trade flows, and we are still waiting to see where the resulting waves wash up. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell says if those tariffs last, they could have a profound effect on the economy. But, you know, the Trump administration has already backtracked some. Just this morning, the president is announcing a new trade deal with the UK.

So Powell says it's not clear those tariffs are going to stick around. My gut tells me that uncertainty about the path of the economy is extremely elevated. The risks of higher unemployment and higher inflation have risen, but they haven't materialized yet. And that tells me the right thing to do is await further clarity.

Fed policymakers voted unanimously yesterday to keep interest rates where they've been since the end of last year. They'll have another chance to adjust rates, though, in June and then again in July. What will Fed policymakers be watching for between now and then? They're watching for any sign of increased pressure on prices, which could rekindle inflation or any weakening in the job market that could lead to higher unemployment.

We know the trade war has taken a toll on consumer confidence. People are clearly worried about higher inflation and the prospect of widespread layoffs. But just last week, we learned that employers added 177,000 jobs in April.

Palin and his colleagues just don't feel a great sense of urgency right now to goose the economy by cutting rates. People are feeling stress and concern, but unemployment hasn't gone up. Job creation is fine. Wages are in good shape. The economy itself is still... you know in solid shape. Now one early warning sign we have seen is the drop in cargo traffic from China. Trump's triple-digit tariffs on Chinese goods have put a big dent in shipments across the Pacific Ocean.

We could start to see some empty storage shelves in a few weeks because of that. As we learned during the pandemic, when there's a problem with supply chains, there's not a whole lot the central bank and its interest rate tools can do about that. Now, President Trump has repeatedly called on the Fed to lower interest rates. Is that having any effect?

Not really. Trump was back on social media this morning criticizing the Fed for not lowering interest rates. The president highlighted the recent drop in oil prices and called Powell a fool for not moving more aggressively. This is nothing new for this president who has frequently browbeat the Fed, but the central bank was set up to be insulated from that kind of political pressure.

And it has a powerful ally in the stock market, which reacted very badly last month when Trump threatened to fire the Fed chairman. Trump has since backed off those threats. He will have a chance to replace Powell a year from now, but until then, the as largely shrugged off, kibitzing from the White House. I'm PR Scott Horsley. Thank you, Scott. You're welcome.

And that's Up First for Thursday, May 8th. I'm Leila Faldin. And I'm Steve Inskeep. Your next listen is Consider This from NPR News. Up First gives you three big stories. this dives deep on one. Listen now on the NPR app or wherever you get your podcasts. Today's episode of Up First was edited by Ryland Barton, Anna Yukonanov, Raphael Noam, Jenea Williams, It was produced by Katie Klein and Nia Dumas. Christopher Thomas. We get engineering support from Stacey Abbott and our technical director...

Strange. Join us again Want to hear this podcast without sponsor break? Amazon Prime members can listen to Up First sponsor-free through Amazon Music. Or you can also support NPR's vital journalism and get Up First Plus at plus.npr.org. That's plus.npr.org. Starting in the 1950s, there was a push to get meat onto Americans' plates at every meal.

So you would have breakfast with maybe perhaps sausage offered. You'd have lunch where it would be deli meat sandwiches. And you'd have dinner that would center over a large cut of meat. The hidden forces behind our everyday life. That's on the TED Radio Hour from NPR. Do you love picking the best and worst looks on the red carpet?

Well, for the first time ever, the Met is dedicating their annual gala to the history of black fashion. So, from where I'm sitting, the looks could be really good or not. I mean, will someone wear a do-rag when they shouldn't? Let's get into the backstory of black fashion and write the best and worst looks together. This week on the It's Been a Minute podcast from NPR.

This transcript was generated by Metacast using AI and may contain inaccuracies. Learn more about transcripts.
For the best experience, listen in Metacast app for iOS or Android
Open in Metacast