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Unhedged

Financial Times & Pushkin Industriesshows.acast.com
Katie Martin, Robert Armstrong and other markets nerds at the Financial Times explain the big ideas behind what’s happening in finance right now. Every Tuesday and Thursday.

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Episodes

Is the market too concentrated?

Eight of the 10 biggest stocks in the S&P 500 are technology stocks, and tech as a sector represents 40 per cent of the value of the index. Today on the show, Katie Martin and Rob Armstrong ask if this is a warning sign of a structurally weak market. Also they go long defensive stocks and churches on wheels. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer . You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com . Read a transcript of thi...

Aug 19, 202521 min

Will markets ever care about anything?

As the US president upends the global order, and consolidates power, markets keep climbing. Does it make any sense? Today on the show, Katie Martin and Rob Armstrong speak with Gideon Rachman, the FT’s chief foreign affairs commentator. They try to understand where Trumpism sits between democracy and authoritarianism, and what that means for the US economy. Also, they go long bardcore, cheap watches and controversial fashion. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www....

Aug 14, 202526 min

Lies, damn lies and statistics

President Donald Trump has just installed loyalists at the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Federal Reserve. The idea is to ensure good news and low interest rates. Today on the show, Katie Martin and the FT’s Economics commentator, Chris Giles, ask what effect these personnel changes might have for the economy. Also they go long doctorates and long Mauritius. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer . You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie M...

Aug 12, 202522 min

Swamp Notes: Trump’s case against Fed chair Powell

Today, we're sharing an episode from our fellow FT podcast, Swamp Notes. The US president is angry with the chair of the Federal Reserve over interest rates. He’s applying a lot of pressure on Jay Powell to lower them or leave his job. The FT’s Claire Jones and Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, break down what will happen if Trump succeeds in either of those goals. This episode originally aired on July 26. Subscribe to Swamp Notes on Acast , Apple Podca...

Aug 07, 202521 min

The Economics Show: Trump is accelerating the dollar’s decline

Today, we're bringing you an episode from our fellow FT podcast, The Economics Show. The US dollar has been in slow decline for around a decade – so says Kenneth Rogoff, Harvard professor, and former chief economist of the IMF. Donald Trump’s trade policies have raised a lot of questions about the future of the dollar – and how its decline could affect the rest of the world’s currencies. Rogoff joins Martin Wolf to discuss how the decline of the dollar could empower China, capital flight from th...

Aug 05, 202531 min

The Little Railroad Merger That Could

On Tuesday, the American railroad giant Union Pacific announced its intention to buy Norfolk Southern, promising to fulfill Abraham Lincoln’s dream of a transcontinental railroad. Today on the show, the FT’s deals correspondent Oliver Barnes joins Rob Armstrong to talk about whether President Donald Trump will make or break the deal. Also, we go short cafe cars and long shorts in the office. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer . You can emai...

Jul 31, 202521 min

The EU folds on tariffs

Experts agree: When it comes to tariffs, Europe just got trounced. So did the American consumer, who will pay these taxes. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Ben Hall, the FT’s Europe editor, discuss the terms of the deal, and why Europe didn’t retaliate. Also they go long US oil production and short the long-term health of American manufacturing. Sign up for the FT Weekend Festival at ft.com/festival and use the promo code “FTPodcasts” for 10 per cent off. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhed...

Jul 29, 202517 min

Is M&A turning around?

When Republicans won the White House and both houses of Congress last fall, mergers and acquisitions bankers celebrated. But when President Donald Trump took office, M&A stagnated. Today on the show, the FT’s Wall Street editor Sujeet Indap tells Aiden Reiter why that may be changing, with big deals pending on everything from railroads to media conglomerates. Also, they go long Scottie Scheffler and short Japan. Sign up for the FT Weekend Festival at ft.com/festival and use the promo code “F...

Jul 24, 202518 min

Robotaxis, tech earnings and 24-hour trading

Today on the show, Aiden Reiter talks with Lex editor John Foley about three things to watch this summer: 24-hour trading, tech earnings and Tesla’s new approach to robotaxis. Also, they go short Bank Holidays, and long properly measuring GDP. For more on 24-hour trading, check out Jennifer Hughes’ guest appearance on the FT’s Behind the Money podcast. Link here. Sign up for the FT Weekend Festival at ft.com/festival and use the promo code “FTPodcasts” for 10 per cent off. For a free 30-day tria...

Jul 22, 202520 min

Is Nvidia really worth $4tn?

Nvidia is now the most valuable company in America, as AI seems to power an unstoppable market. Today on the show, Katie Martin and Aiden Reiter ask if it reminds anyone of the dotcom bubble. Also they go long snow globes and long stone fruit. Sign up for the FT Weekend Festival at ft.com/festival and use the promo code “FTPodcasts” for 10 per cent off. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer . You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at ...

Jul 17, 202518 min

Heinz, Kraft and Warren Buffett

The acquisition of Heinz and Kraft by 3G Capital and Warren Buffett seemed like a classic play from the world’s most famous investor: buy boring staples with long histories and hold them forever. But not this time. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Lex editor John Foley talk about Buffett’s exit from a merger on the verge of a spinoff. Also they go long crypto and long tariffs that might actually happen. Sign up for the FT Weekend Festival at ft.com/festival and use the promo code “FTPodcasts...

Jul 15, 202521 min

The secret giant of finance

Jane Street is one of the biggest traders in the world, and they have become embroiled in accusations of market manipulation in India. Today on the show, Katie Martin and special guest Robin Wigglesworth, from the FT’s Alphaville newsletter, try to explain how Jane Street got so big and why it matters. Also they go short bed bugs and short Strategy’s strategy. Sign up for the FT Weekend Festival at ft.com/festival and use the promo code “FTPodcasts” for 10 per cent off. For a free 30-day trial t...

Jul 11, 202523 min

Three surprises that might spook the markets

Despite looming economic problems, the stock market continues to climb. Today on the show, Katie Martin, Rob Armstrong and Aiden Reiter ask what could finally end the party. Also they go short consultants and short hot yoga. Sign up for the FT Weekend Festival at ft.com/festival and use the promo code “FTPodcasts” for 10 per cent off. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer . You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com . R...

Jul 08, 202523 min

The dilapidated dollar

The US dollar is having its worst year since 1973. And 1973 was a really bad year. As the US takes a break to celebrate independence from the UK, Katie Martin and Ian Smith discuss the glow-down of the greenback. Also they go long forensic accountants and long aged hedge funders playing tennis. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer . You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com . Read a transcript of this episode on FT.co...

Jul 03, 202523 min

Building a big beautiful Europe

The weakening dollar suggests international investors are looking for other places to put their money. This could be an opportunity for Europe to finally compete with the US as a safe haven and reserve currency. But Europe is still financially fragmented. Today on the show, Katie Martin and Rob Armstrong discuss a new idea for creating a common regulatory and lending framework. Also they go short the “big, beautiful bill” and short lies from Big Tea. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsl...

Jul 01, 202525 min

Can anything stop the US economy?

A lot of people are worried about the Middle East, but markets are doing just fine. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Aiden Reiter talk about why investors are buying US again — and whether that will end badly. Also, they go long exotic fruits and the perennial Citigroup buy note. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer . You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com . Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on...

Jun 26, 202523 min

Who wants to be a Fed chair?

President Donald Trump has called US Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell “very dumb, hardheaded” and a “numbskull” for not lowering interest rates. But for some reason, people still want Powell’s job. Today on the show, Katie Martin and Rob Armstrong look at the contenders. Also, they go long restaurant inflation and community gardening. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer . You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com . R...

Jun 24, 202523 min

Behind the Money: Inside Moët Hennessy’s crisis

Unhedged is off today so instead we're bringing you an episode from our fellow FT podcast, Behind the Money. In this episode, we look at how LVMH’s wine and spirits division, Moët Hennessy, has long been a source of success – and cash – for the luxury goods behemoth. But more recently, that’s changed. The FT’s Paris correspondent Adrienne Klasa, found that certain strategic decisions made under the company’s former CEO have contributed to a change in its fortunes. She examines the missteps and w...

Jun 19, 202523 min

What the Israel-Iran war means for markets

Israel and Iran are at war, but markets have yet to freak out. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Katie Martin dig into what’s happening with oil, the dollar and gold — and what Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell will say following this week’s FOMC meeting. Also, they go long New York pizza and golden telephones. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer . You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com . Read a transcript of th...

Jun 17, 202521 min

What makes Tesla run?

Tesla stock feels like it runs on uncut animal spirits. But the company’s fortunes have been bound up with the US government since long before the Trump administration.Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Aiden Reiter sort through the factors that drive the company’s stock. Also, they go long the price of copper and long short shorts. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer . You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com . R...

Jun 12, 202520 min

Welcome to the ‘Hotel Crypto’

Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) continues its meteoric rise as new investors purchase a company whose basic business is to own bitcoin. Naturally, the firm has inspired copycats, such as the Japanese hotel developer that just started buying crypto and now trades for more than the value of all its assets. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Katie Martin try to figure out if there’s any way it doesn’t all end in tears. Also, they go short tariffs on solar panels and short fecal transplants. For...

Jun 10, 202529 min

Walmart’s very good year

The last 12 months have been great for Walmart, with its stock price rising on growing sales. And it’s all happening despite impending tariffs, and without adding more employees. Today on the show, US consumer editor Gregory Meyer joins Rob Armstrong to discuss what Walmart’s success can tell us about the future of American retail. Also, they go short online sports gambling and short New Jersey transit. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer . ...

Jun 05, 202518 min

Stock market party but why?

Equities are on a tear, led by the usual tech giants that make up the Magnificent Seven. But why? Rob Armstrong and Katie Martin go over the odd landscape of the current American economy, including scepticism about tariffs, inventory stockpiles, strong earnings and a budget that includes a tax on foreign investment in the US. Also they execute a complicated private equity pair trade and go long Nigerian weddings. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedg...

Jun 03, 202524 min

The nasty Taco question

Our co-host Rob Armstrong has been talking about the “Taco trade” (Trump Always Chickens Out) for a few weeks, and on Wednesday a journalist asked the US president about it. Trump did not like the question, not one bit. But the internet did. Now traders are worried Trump might not chicken out. Did Rob just crash the US economy? And, if so, would he like to apologise? Also, Katie goes long Elon Musk returning to his day job, and Rob goes short his 15 minutes of fame. For a free 30-day trial to th...

May 29, 202522 min

The ‘big beautiful’ budget vs the bond market

President Donald Trump’s ‘big beautiful’ bill was passed by the House of Representatives last week. It adds yet more deficit spending to the US budget. But can it survive the bond market? Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Katie Martin discuss how deficit spending affects the bond market and what can happen when yields rise dramatically. Also they go long the euro as a new international reserve currency and short drinking in bookstores. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to:...

May 27, 202522 min

When Spacs attack

Special purpose acquisition companies are basically bags of money looking for businesses to acquire. They boomed in 2021 and then went into hiding. Now they’re back and booming. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Aiden Reiter survey the frontiers of Spacs. Also they go short the dollar and long jewels. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer . You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com . Read a transcript of this episod...

May 22, 202516 min

The microcap explosion

Microcaps of every sort have been rushing to list on US exchanges. Many are from China and represent shares in tiny companies, such as a chain of hot pot stores. Today on the show, Katie Martin and Aiden Reiter talk to correspondent George Steer about the boom and try to figure out what’s going on. Also, they go long the SEC’s Caroline Crenshaw and short DJs. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer . You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Mart...

May 20, 202523 min

The UK’s trade deal

Recent announcements about trade deals with the UK and China have cheered markets. But what exactly did the UK agree, and why? Today on the show, the FT’s trade guru Alan Beattie joins Katie Martin to unpack the negotiations. Also they go short droughts and long globalisation. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer . You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com . Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast....

May 15, 202522 min

Not-so-bad news is the new good news

Lower-than-expected inflation and the start of negotiations with China seemed to help stocks on Monday. But the dollar remained uncharacteristically weak. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Aiden Reiter ask if America is feeling good, or just relieved to be alive. Also they short gold and go long pope memes. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer . You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com . Read a transcript of this ...

May 13, 202522 min

Berkshire after Buffett

At the annual meeting of Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett announced his retirement from day-to-day management. Today on the show, Katie Martin and Rob Armstrong look at his incredible career, and try to figure out what becomes of a somewhat random collection of businesses. Also they go short Google and long complacency. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer . You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com . Read a transcr...

May 08, 202524 min
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