Unexpected Value - Poker · Daily Fantasy · Sports Betting - podcast cover

Unexpected Value - Poker · Daily Fantasy · Sports Betting

Jordan Cooper is a poker pro who has played daily fantasy sports & bet player props full-time for a living for over a decade. With his expertise in game theory, he has had numerous six-figure 1st place GPP finishes in NFL, NBA, MLB, MMA and soccer on DraftKings & FanDuel. One of the most tenured educators in the industry, he is the author of the ‘Theory of DFS’ audio courses and teaches the fundamental math & logic of daily fantasy & sports betting regularly on RotoGrinders.
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Episodes

#113: The Most Boring Sh*t Ever

Jordan Cooper discusses his experience playing live poker tournaments for the first time in about 18 years, whether or not tools will ruin Best Ball contests, and why catering to recreational players (and the reasons why they play) is paramount in P2P games. ➔ Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@JordanCooper ➔ Follow me on Twitter: https://x.com/blenderhd ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail jordan@theoryofdfs.com...

May 17, 20251 hr 36 minEp. 113

#112: Double Penetration

Jordan Cooper rants about the importance of keeping games accessible for the health of the ecosystem (as well as your profit long-term), mistakes people often make in double board PLO bomb pots, and info on joining the new Discord server! ➔ Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@JordanCooper ➔ Follow me on Twitter: https://x.com/blenderhd ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail jordan@theoryofdfs.com...

Mar 21, 20251 hr 5 minEp. 112

#111: Shared Knowledge

Jordan Cooper rants about the YouTube algorithm, taking breaks when not at 100% mentally, the perils of teaching people who don't want to learn, and how the chess community seems to differ greatly from that of ones in poker, daily fantasy, or sports betting. ➔ Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@JordanCooper ➔ Follow me on Twitter: https://x.com/blenderhd ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail jordan@theoryofdfs.com...

Mar 14, 20251 hr 15 minEp. 111

#110: Roots Radicals

Jordan Cooper rants about how DFS may be "dead" for some people, the paradox of creating useful sports betting content, why exploitative strategies trump all in live poker, hacking cruise casino comps, and a lot more. ➔ Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@JordanCooper ➔ Follow me on Twitter: https://x.com/blenderhd ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail jordan@theoryofdfs.com...

Feb 05, 20251 hr 5 minEp. 110

#109: Secrets of Modern Sports Betting

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Ed Miller to discuss his new book, why sports betting is a game of information asymmetry & adverse selection, how the ecosystem is held together by duct tape, the difference between markets & models, why online sports betting is still a "people business", and how one can potentially take advantage of the huge menus offered at modern sports books. Interception: The Secrets of Modern Sports Betting: https://www.amazon.com/Interception-Secrets-Modern-Sports-Betting...

Oct 17, 20232 hr 4 minEp. 110

#108: Eat Your Own Tail

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Daniel Hutchings (nerdytenor) to discuss the effect of contest simulations on the DFS ecosystem, who they could benefit most, their usefulness in large-field GPPs versus small-field ones, backtesting lineups post-lock, duplication concerns, and the race to equilibrium. Daniel Hutchings on Twitter: https://twitter.com/nerdytenor ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com...

Sep 25, 20232 hr 2 minEp. 109

#107: The Three Ms

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Peter Jennings (CSURAM88) to discuss how profitable DFS players can translate their skills to sports betting including utilizing fantasy-based player projections appropriately, understanding the dynamics of inefficient prop markets, and the pitfalls & perils of scaling your volume. Peter Jennings on Twitter: https://twitter.com/CSURAM88 Unabated: https://unabated.com ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, ...

Aug 15, 20231 hr 14 minEp. 108

#106: Define Optimal

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Brian Hooper (bric75) to debate the merits of fandom, the shifting bankroll mix between DFS and sports betting, portfolio theory in GPP play, duplication prediction, political election betting markets, and more. Brian Hooper on Twitter: https://twitter.com/BrianHooper__ LOLz Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lolz-a-dfs-show/id1506858064 Sportsbook HUD: http://bric75.com/SportbookHUD ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ...

Jul 18, 20232 hr 16 minEp. 107

#105: Simply Simtacular

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Steve Buzzard (dacoltz) to discuss Stokastic's new sims tool, how it can be useful for both beginner & advanced DFS players, the difference in mindset when creating contest field lineups rather than your own, and if we are in the "end stage" of DFS. Steve Buzzard on Twitter: https://twitter.com/stevebuzzard Stokastic MLB Sims: https://www.stokastic.com/mlb-stokastic-sims ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedba...

Jun 13, 20231 hr 47 minEp. 106

#104: It’s Simtastic!

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss how sportsbooks prioritize liquidity, and the effect of publicly available contest-level simulations on the DFS ecosystem. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

Jun 07, 20231 hr 15 minEp. 105

#103: Death Faking Budget

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Matt Buchalter (PlusEVAnalytics) to discuss the overlap of skills needed to win at DFS and sports betting, cognitive biases, adverse selection issues, the potential of parimutuel markets, and his lawsuit against Caesars. Matt Buchalter on Twitter: https://twitter.com/PLUSevanalytics Plus EV Analytics: https://plusevanalytics.wordpress.com Art of Sports Betting Analytics: https://analytics.bet/art ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced...

Apr 26, 20231 hr 40 minEp. 104

#102: Gifts Galore

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss prop tools, managing sports book bonuses and limits as a sharp, and dividing your time & bankroll between DFS play and sports betting. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

Apr 12, 20231 hr 6 minEp. 103

#101: Baseball’s Back

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss their contest selection and bankroll allocation plans for MLB DFS this coming season, as well as who they'd put on the Mount Rushmore of DFS players. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

Mar 29, 20231 hr 13 minEp. 102

#100: The Bat Doesn’t Care

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Derek Carty to discuss how the league rule changes will affect MLB DFS this coming season as well as utilizing projections for prop betting. Derek Carty on Twitter: https://twitter.com/derekcarty THE BAT on RotoGrinders: https://rotogrinders.com/the-bat ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com...

Mar 15, 20231 hr 30 minEp. 101

#99: Extremely Low Scoring

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss XFL DFS, the shuttering of Monkey Knife Fight, misunderstanding sports betting handles, the time value of late swap edges, and more. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

Mar 01, 20231 hr 8 minEp. 100

#98: EV Privilege

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Erik Beimfohr to discuss work-life balance, the myriad of ways to grind out edges, diminishing returns on your time, and battling the fear of missing out. Erik Beimfohr on Twitter: https://twitter.com/erikbeimfohr Spike Week: https://spikeweek.com Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com...

Feb 15, 20231 hr 30 minEp. 99

#97: Pressing & Holding

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss NBA DFS content, FanDuel's recent cancelling of contests, flash drafts on DraftKings, and focusing on exploiting one edge at a time. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

Jan 18, 20231 hr 15 minEp. 98

#96: Where Does The Money Come From?

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield recap their 2022 DFS play and discuss adjustments they plan on making for the new year, including a macro look of exactly where the edges lie. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

Jan 02, 20231 hr 44 minEp. 97

#95: Spreadsheety

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Sammy Reid to discuss the strategic similarities between poker and DFS, how poker theory has changed over the past 20 years, the softness of live games compared to online, and analyze a few hands played recently. Sammy Reid on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SammyReidFI Reid 'Em And Weep Podcast: https://reidemandweep.buzzsprout.com Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com...

Dec 27, 20222 hr 20 minEp. 96

#94: Arse Squared

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss their strategic decisions for this past NFL Sunday slate and how to better measure the accuracy of ownership projections. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

Dec 06, 20221 hr 38 minEp. 95

#93: Swap Slappies

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss late swap strategy for MMA DFS, and the low overall scoring on the past NFL slate. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

Nov 21, 20221 hr 16 minEp. 94

#92: You’re Not That Special

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss their strategic decisions for this past NFL Sunday slate, when diversification may hinder your overall portfolio EV, and the variables to consider when manually adjusting ownership. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

Nov 07, 20221 hr 28 minEp. 93

#91: Looking Foolish Until You’re Not

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss their strategic decisions for this past NFL Sunday slate, how to handle tanking teams in NBA DFS, and more. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

Oct 24, 20221 hr 7 minEp. 92

#90: It’s Not About The Feels

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss their strategic decisions for this past NFL Sunday slate, what makes pricing & construction "easier" for cash games versus GPPs, the psychology of considering players' range of outcomes, and more. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

Oct 17, 20221 hr 4 minEp. 91

#89: The Bubbles

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss their strategic decisions for this past NFL Sunday slate, the effect of mainstream fantasy content on ownership, and whether or not jamming chalk in weaker large-field contests tends to be more optimal. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

Oct 10, 202259 minEp. 90

#88: You Talk Too Much

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss their strategic decisions for this past NFL Sunday slate, how correlation can be used as leverage in GPPs despite high ownership, the effect of profitable DFS players sharing their process publicly, and more. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com...

Oct 03, 20221 hr 50 minEp. 89

#87: Trust & Control

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Jordan Chand of SaberSim to discuss the state of how optimizers work in the DFS industry, educating people on the proper use of tools, solving for diversification issues, and the balance of trusting sims versus controlling lineup sets. Jordan Chand on Twitter: https://twitter.com/JordanMChand SaberSim on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/SaberSim Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs...

Sep 28, 20222 hrEp. 88

#86: Dom Daddy

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss their strategic decisions for this past NFL Sunday slate, combinatorial ownership differences between projection sources, and more. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

Sep 26, 20221 hr 39 minEp. 87

#85: The Lotto Mindset

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss their strategic decisions for this past NFL Sunday slate, small field vs. large field mentalities, the levels of thinking in DFS, and why focusing too much on individual player ownership rather than at the lineup level can lead to unprofitable portfolios. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com...

Sep 19, 20221 hr 34 minEp. 86

#84: We Don’t Know Sh*t

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss their strategic decisions for this past NFL Sunday slate and how to use Excel tools for a combinatorial analysis of lineups. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

Sep 13, 20221 hr 36 minEp. 85
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