WANT TO INVEST IN COMMODITIES? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comIt has been three months after the outbreak of the US/Iran war, and the world is still dealing with the ongoing effects of an oil price shock.Not only is that having an inflationary impact on the prices of many goods & services, but it's also raising increasing concerns of the availability of oil supplies.Could the world soon start experienc...
Jun 17, 2026•57 min
WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comThe trend change away from globalization towards nationalism and mercantilism continues around the world.For the man who predicted this over a decade in advance, what does he see ahead for both geopolitics and the global economy?We're very fortunate to sit down again today with Michael Every, global strategist at Rabobank.#peacedeal #iranwar #geopoli...
Jun 16, 2026•1 hr 9 min
SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW TED & THE OXBOW TEAM at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com/oxbowVeteran high net worth money manager Ted Oakley warns that we're currently in a "lemming market".Investors, whipped up by a complicit Wall Street, are stampeding in a herd after bigger and bigger speculative gains.At some point, he says from the experience of past cycles, they follow each other off a cliff and suffer losses that often set them back years.So how is Ted and his team at Oxbow managi...
Jun 14, 2026•1 hr 9 min
Markets are a chaotic mess right now.Volatility has returned as numerous headwinds & tailwinds compete to pull stocks in opposite directions.What should investors do in such an environment?Michael and I discuss his current outlook, plus the SpaceX IPO, Bitcoin, quantum computing, bond yields, inflation, oil prices and Michael's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this week's Market Recap. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW ...
Jun 13, 2026•1 hr 47 min
WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comWelcome to Thoughtful Money. I'm its founder & your host, Adam TaggartToday's guest has been warning for a good while now that the current bull market is stocks is in its final innings.In fact, he think the AI boom may be -- right now -- in the process of metastacizing into the AI bust.It's not all gloom for investors, though. He's quite bullish ...
Jun 11, 2026•57 min
SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comWall Street couldn't be in love more with all things AI.But what it's missing is that the buildout for AI requires a lot more commodities. A TREMENDOUS amount more.Right now Wall Street is underpricing the coming boom in hard assets. Once it realizes its error, commodities will enter a super boom predicts Tavi Costa.#commodities #ai #copper ___________________________________...
Jun 11, 2026•1 hr 46 min
The day of panic the stock market experienced last Friday is just a taste of what's to come, predicts financial advisor Jonathan Wellum.With so many asset prices stretched to historic extremes and so many macro risk factors currently circulating, heightened volatility is going to be the theme of the back half of 2026 says Jonathan."It's going to be a wild ride" from here, he warns.For all the specifics why, watch this video. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thou...
Jun 09, 2026•1 hr 12 min
WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comLawrence Lepard warns that "The Big Print" he wrote about in his book is fast approaching.This will be another surge of $trillions in monetary and fiscal stimulus that will surge inflation and accelerate the devaluation of the dollar.He expects hard assets and commodities -- especially gold, silver and Bitcoin -- to rocket higher in price.And his cou...
Jun 07, 2026•1 hr 4 min
WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comStocks finally had a down week, breaking a 9-in-row streak of up weeks.And in particular, the markets broke down hard on Friday. The S&P was down over -2.5% and the NASDAQ down nearly -5%.Regular watchers know that portfolio manager Lance Roberts has been warning for weeks that a pullback was likely.Now that it appears to be here, how low could t...
Jun 06, 2026•1 hr 42 min
With the rabid fervor with which any stock even vaguely related to A.I. is being bid up right now, the advisors at New Habor warn we may now have a twin bubble in both equity valuations AND corporate earnings.Which leads them to wonder: Is this the blow-off top?If so, how bad will the ensuing correction be?I discuss that with them in today's video, as well as how they are helping clients prepare prudently for positioning their portfolios to survive whatever may be headed our way. WORRIED ABOUT T...
Jun 04, 2026•59 min
Approximately one-third (about 30%–34%) of the world's seaborne fertilizer trade passes through the Strait of Hormuz.With the Strait closed for so long now, there is growing concern there will be insufficient fertilizer for the Northern Hemisphere harvest this year (which contains 87% of the world's population)Is another Arab Spring -- this time, worldwide -- likely as a result?To find out, we talk with Bruce Sherrick, Professor at the College of Agricultural, Consumer and Environmental Sciences...
Jun 03, 2026•1 hr 3 min
Chris Irons, publisher of the highly popular QTR Fringe Finance substack, returns today to explain how our financial markets are now little more than a "digital casino on cocaine".Speculations runs rampant. Everywhere.And those who see that clearly have a difficult time successfully positioning against it, because the House (our central planners) keep intervening to improve the odds in its favor.It increasingly feels to him that the smartest move is not to play.At least, not by the market's rule...
Jun 02, 2026•1 hr 15 min
Brent Johnson, developer of the Dollar Milkshake Theory, squares off against Craig Tindale to debate whether America, China, and the rest of the world are teetering into collapse as the current global system breaks down. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#geopolitics #commodities #dollar _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Adv...
May 31, 2026•1 hr 13 min
Stocks are about to complete their 9th consecutive up week in a row.That's REALLY rare, folks.That alone suggests this market rally is long in the tooth.But given the current vertical price action in the semiconductor sector, odds are even higher that a material pullback will happen soon.So be very careful if you're chasing this rally warns portfolio manager Lance Roberts.Lance and I discuss the rising pullback odds, as well as risks to the AI Trdes, tightening oil inventories, the potential uni...
May 30, 2026•1 hr 50 min
Despite stocks being at rich valuations, there's a risk of them bubbling sharply higher from here should the Federal Reserve under Kevin Warsh chose to "look past" the current inflation concerns.This would be akin to what happened in the late 1990s.Darius Dale, CEO of macro forecasting and market timing service 42Macro, delivers this warning in today's video, as well as shares how his model is currently positioned for the current investing environment. WANT HELP? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REV...
May 28, 2026•1 hr 48 min
TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF ANDY'S JUNK SILVER OFFER go to https://thoughtfulmoney.com/buygoldThe precious metals are still struggling to find secure footing in the wake of their sell-off from record highs earlier this year.How low will gold & silver prices go before they do?To discuss, we're fortunate to have precious metals expert Andy Schectman return to the program in this livestream. He'll field audience Q&A, as well.#goldprice #silverprice #preciousmetals _________________________________...
May 27, 2026•1 hr 2 min
WANT RETIREMENT PLANNING HELP? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comWe're trying something new I've been wanting to do for a while: inject more videos focusing on the best practices of wealth buildingToday Julia Lembcke, Certified Financial Planner and Managing Director at URS Advisory tells about about how the preferred sequence to use when withdrawing funds from your various forms of retirement accounts.Accoun...
May 26, 2026•1 hr 5 min
Today's guest sees the U.S. financial markets entering the final stage of a multi-decade topping process and the early innings of a 15–20-year regime shift driven by demographics, populism, deglobalization, and rising structural inflation.He believes we are on the cusp of a “lost decade-plus” in nominal equity returns and meaningful real losses if investors keep using the old 40-year “buy-the-dip, stay long growth” playbook.How can we position ourselves to sidestep the worst of that, and perhaps...
May 24, 2026•1 hr 43 min
Well, the stock market rally continues, with short-term technicals remaining in highly overbought territory. Portfolio manager Lance Roberts still thinks the near-term risks to the downside far outweigh the upside potential at this point -- warning it may not take much to trigger a sizable pullback at this point. We discuss the odds of that, as well as the headline concerns about falling global oil inventories and rising bond yields. How worried should investors be about those? Watch this week's...
May 23, 2026•1 hr 51 min
Today's guest entered the year pretty bearish on the prospects for the US economy, the global economy, the financial markets and the housing market.Now that we're 5 months into the year -- and embroiled in a new war against Iran -- how has his outlook changed, if at all?For insight, we're fortunate to welcome back to the program Edward Dowd, founder of macroeconomic consulting & research firm Phinance Technologies.Ed expects a near-term 20-30% market correction, to then get rescued by the ce...
May 21, 2026•1 hr 12 min
Macro & market analyst Stephanie Pomboy returned to provide her monthly outlook in today's livestream. She remains concerned that rising bond yields will be the kryptonite that brings the economy to its knees -- sending the prices of stocks, bonds and real estate downwards. Will Kevin Warsh be able to help us avoid this fate?Find out by clicking here or on the video below. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at htt...
May 20, 2026•1 hr 17 min
Is the US economy now solidly on the path to a new Golden Age as the Administration tells us?Or have President Trump's aggressive tariffs & international military interventions set America's prospects back as a number of critics claim?I can think of few better people to hear from on this topic than today's guest, who remains one of the key economic advisors to President Trump and his cabinet membersToday, we're fortunate to welcome back to the program economist Dr Arthur Laffer. He was the f...
May 19, 2026•1 hr 12 min
WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comMike Green has become famous for his work empirically proving that net positive passive capital flows have predominantly been responsible for the strong performance of stocks since the GFC.He has also warned that should those flows weaken, or even turn negative, stock prices will start moving in reverse.And he's starting to see early signs that they ...
May 17, 2026•1 hr 25 min
The stock market rally is looking increasingly vulnerable as breath narrows, volume declines, and reading remain at short-term overbought extremes.And now, bond yields are surging.Is the weakness we saw on Friday the start of the pullback many have been expecting?Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss the odds, as well as the latest retail sales data, the latest on passive capital flows, and Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video. ...
May 16, 2026•1 hr 24 min
Stocks have positively roared back to new all-time highs after some initial market jitters at the start of the Iran war.Is such confident optimism warranted?Or is Wall Street irresponsibly discounting serious risks like the global oil price shock and rising bond yields?To find out, we're fortunate to welcome Cameron Dawson, Chief Investment Officer at NewEdge Wealth, back to the program today.Cameron assesses that stocks -- driven by the red-hot semiconductor sector -- are now so extremely overb...
May 14, 2026•1 hr 31 min
What should we expect from the Fed as Kevin Warsh takes over as Chairman this week?Given the inflationary oil price shock from the US-Iran war, are rate cuts now off the table?Are rate *hikes* possible ahead?For answers, we're incredibloy fortunate to welcome back to the program Dr Thomas Hoenig, former CEO of the Kansas City Fed, former voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee, a former director of the FDIC, and now a Distinguished Senior Fellow at the Mercatus Center. WORRIED ABOUT T...
May 13, 2026•59 min
How much of a threat to the economy is the oil price shock, and shortages of other key commodities, caused by the US-Iran war?What's likeliest to happen if the war wraps up soon?Or, if it escalates from here?And what impact is this all likely to have on the financial markets, which are back trading at all-time highs?To find out, we're fortunate to welcome back to the program analyst Bill Fleckenstein of Fleckenstein Capital. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thou...
May 12, 2026•1 hr 3 min
WANT HELP BUILDING A PRO-SEC PORTFOLIO? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE CONSULTATION with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comToday's guest has been a champion for what he calls the ProSec trade.ProSec is short for "production for Security": aka the sectors essential to reshoring and national security.COVID and the Ukraine and Iran wars have woken up the countries of the world to the importance of supply chain resilience and home defense.In theory, the ProSec trad...
May 12, 2026•1 hr 13 min
Stocks have rallied so far so fast there's now a "massive deviation" between prices and their daily moving averages.Technical analysis strongly suggests that the risk of pullback, possibly as much as 15%, is now high warns portfolio manager Lance Roberts.Lance and I discuss the odds of this happening soon, as well as the new non-farm payrolls and UMICH consumer sentiment data, as well as bond yields, credit spreads, private equity and, of course, Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that ...
May 09, 2026•1 hr 45 min
Hopefully, a negotiated resolution to the Iran war happens within the next few weeks/months.If indeed so, what comes next?What will happen to the price of oil -- and other key Gulf commodities like natural gas, fertilizer and helium -- after the Strait of Hormuz reopens? Will they plunge? Or will the damage done so far to world trade keep prices elevated for longer than many expect?What about the economy? Will it be able to shrug off the effects of the conflict? Or is there a wave of demand dest...
May 08, 2026•1 hr 18 min
