CRYPTO HOLDERS PREPARE NOW! SOMETHING IS ABOUT TO BREAK! - podcast episode cover

CRYPTO HOLDERS PREPARE NOW! SOMETHING IS ABOUT TO BREAK!

Mar 16, 202626 min
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Episode description

Crypto News: Bitcoin continues relief rally but the stock market shows a potential crash is coming. The crypto market structure legislation, Clarity Act, may not pass in 2026.
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⏰ Time Stamps ⏰
00:00 Intro
00:34 Bitcoin analysis
08:44 Stan Druckenmiller stablecoins
11:54 Circle Tokenized money market fund
13:17 Wyoming stablecoin Hedera
14:42 Binance Iran ivestigation
16:31 Donald Trump Memecoin
18:11 Clarity Act may not pass
19:52 NYSE Nasdaq tokenization 
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Transcript

Intro

Speaker 1

Hey, everyone, Welcome into the Thinking Crypto podcast. You're home for cryptocurrency news and interviews. I'm your host, Tony Edward. On your way in. Please let that subscribe button as well as a thumbsup button and leave a comment below. If you're listening on a podcast platform such as Spotify or Apple, please leave a five star rating and review. Folks. I want to apologize for my voice ahead of time and for missing a few episodes over the past couple

of days. I've been under the weather, battling the flu. But I'm starting to feel better and we got lots to talk about. So let's kick it off with Bitcoin's

Bitcoin analysis

chart right here. Bitcoin over seventy two thousand dollars right now, so we're seeing some strength here. And we've been talking about this for the past three to four weeks, and that is this is some sort of relief rally. How high it goes is tbd. I'm expecting maybe eighty to eighty five k. Potentially it wiks higher, goes to ninety right, but that's not guaranteed. And then we want to see rotation of the liquidity to the all coins, where the

all coins outperform Bitcoin. Now, this is not a move to new all time highs as we've been talking about. Same thing for the all coins, but a bit of a relief rally here after incredible downside and Bitcoin hitting the over soul zone. On the daily and the weekly chart. Now the mac D shows the bulls are still in control, and daily chart the RSI still shows room to run here for it to go a bit higher, but as always, there's nothing guaranteed. We could get negative news. There's a

lot happening. We're going to talk about the stock market, but oil is going crazy. There's a lot of uncertainty around the world with the Iran situation and much more. So you got to keep these things in the back of your mind that there could be some black swan event news that could trigger a market dump. But this

is a good sign. If everything goes according to plan here and what the charts are showing us, we could see a continuation into the eighty k's and then also followed on the weekly chart, we're seeing some good signs, so obviously a green candle here weekly. The important thing is that the RSI is moving away from the over soul zone and it still has room to run, so again we could see further upside, and we're seeing confirmation about the daily and the weekly chart for the MACD.

On the weekly, the bears are losing control, right. The MACD candles are turning from dark red into light red and they're getting smaller. So if you know how to read this metric, it shows the bears are losing momentum and this is about to flip green soon. So we can hope for Bitcoin to go as high as possible, maybe into the ninety ks, and then we have a little mini all season, right, not a true all season, so we shall see the DXY showing a lot of weakness.

It's RSI showing its overbought, so the dollars overbought and it looks like it's gonna dump down again. How far it downs down, I don't know. You know, there's an inverse correlation with all of this, and even if we look at USDT dominance, that's starting to break down. So that's a good sign, and it's correlating with bigcoins move right, the stable coin liquidity is making its way into the markets so that the assets are running, so the USDT

dominance is breaking down. However, what I'm concerned about, folks, is the stock market is showing a lot of weakness here. So you look at the S and P five hundred, you look at the NASAC, they're all rolling over. And what we've seen is that the gravitational pull up the stock market can bring down other assets such as crypto.

So this is where the relief rally for crypto is not a move to new all time highs, and this is a further confirmation of that in addition to us being in a bear market, but the gravitational pull of the stock market starts dumping again. You got oil over one hundred dollars a barrow, you got Iran conflict here, so many things going on. These things are gonna drive pressure and it looks like there's distribution taking place here for the stock market, the NASDAC, the S and P

five hundred, and much more. Now is it going to drop in a straight line? Of course, not right, And similar to crypto and what bigcoin's doing right right now, you're going to see a relief rally. Eventually, it's going to become over sold. In fact, the daily RSI is approaching the over soul zone. It's not there yet, but it's approaching it. And what do markets do like we've been talking about, right, they do the opposite of the herd. So everybody starts getting scared. They don't know how to

read RSI or macdee or trend lines and all these things. Right, Like, for example, the stock market looks like he wants to break through the two hundred day moving average, and as you all know, nothing good happens below that. When you are above that, you're in a bull market. When you are below that, you're in a bear market. Right, So this is where we're going to have to wash this closely.

But the good thing is this is it's like a slow distribution happening, and crypto may have its rally, then the stock market dumps it and everything starts going down to new lows. That's what it looks like. You know, could it change, you know, like I said, nothing's guaranteed today, upside or downside here? You know, could something break in the system. For example, I recently reported that Blackrock Limited

withdrawals out of one of its funds. I think it's a private credit fund here, So you're starting to see some cracks in the system. If Blackrock has to do this, the world's largest asset manager something's wrong. Right, doesn't mean that I'm looking I'm a doomer and I'm calling for the collapse of the economy in nineteen twenty nine. That's not what I'm saying. Just these are signals that things are starting to break down, and we know the ultimate solution.

What do the governments do? What does the FED do? They will step in and print money. They're not gonna let Blackrock go to zero. They're not gonna let the assets go to zero, because that will collapse the entire system. If you understand why we have to hold assets, why they keep printing money, and why those asset prices keep going up. Right, and here is a signal that worries me. Guys. It's giving me two thousand and eight vibes. And that is Jim Kramer tweeted out just on Friday the thirteenth,

not buying the two seven scenario. If you recall when Bear Stearns and a lot of the Wall Street firms are starting to collapse, Jim Kramer said, don't take your money out. This is documented, there's videos of this. Right, don't take your money up. Bear Stearns is fine, blah blah blah. Right, he was telling the masses that everything's fine, and then literally a week later, massive dump, big time collapse, and we know how that story ended with bailouts and

much more. So. Again, I'm not a dumer long term, I am bullish. I'm just saying near term, watch out. There could be something that comes up that breaks something and you can see assets dump, but that presents a buying opportunity, just like March twenty twenty, right when the pandemic started, just like the Tariff Liberation day last year, when market's all dumped and that was an opportunity to buy,

and we went up after that. The problem is there's obviously two to three four month lag before things start picking up. Theme, right, They're going to let things get bad, and I think if FED will step in with some sort of bailout, they may not call it Q they'll call it something else. So asset prices will eventually go up. So I'm just giving you this scenario that it seems

to be forming here. Again, not guaranteed. It could be that final catalyst that drives the stock market down, drives crypto a bit lower, right because we have been oversold, But it takes bitcoin to the fifty K's range and then we find some sort of bottom and then we move back up. So this is where you have to have the macro view. Don't get emotional if something breaks

and there's panic and headlines. Right, you do not want to be part of the Jim Kramer news cycle and the mass is feeling fear and they start dumping, right, that's where you want to accumulate. So once you understand that, folks, it's game changing for your investments and it allows you to really really grow your wealth. And that's a lesson I had to learn. And I used to be that rollercoaster going with the headlines. Jim Kramer said this. Oh no, CNBC is saying, oh, look at the headline and the

Wall Street Journal in the New York Times. Now that doesn't even bother me. I look to the charts, the on chain data, the macro factors, the fundamentals, right, I look at what the Fed is doing. So this is where you have to unlearn all that mainstream financial news nonsense rate and look at the data. So again, short term, I think bigcoin continues to move higher, some all coins

pop off, not to new all time highs. Stock market is showing weakness and it could go a bit further down, maybe something breaks and then the Fed has to step in with some sort of bailout. We're going to have to wait and see. But patients and having the macro view is so important. Okay, look at this billionaire investor

Stan Druckenmiller stablecoins

Stan drucken Miller said he expects global payment systems to run largely on stable coins within fifteen years, calling them more efficient, faster, and cheaper than the current infrastructure. So all the big name and investors now coming out of the woodwork saying they understand it. What's going to happen blockchain And it's because we've crossed the chasm, guys, right, blockchain technologies here to stay. We've talked about it at nauseum.

The capital markets, the governments, and the economies will all run on blockchain rails. However, in the same interviews, Stan did say some negative things about bitcoin. However, what we've been seeing lately is that a lot of these guys, the big names like Chamat Pallpatilla, Stanley Drunkenmiller, they've been shorting clearly right. They flipped their narratives. When things are bullish,

they'll give out their bullish narrative because they're long. When they're short like they are now, they'll come out and say, yeah, you know, I'm not sure quantum this quantum that they'll come up with some narrative. I've been here long enough and I see it. Not a lot of people see it, unfortunately, and they get caught off guard by the big name. Oh my god, Stan drunken Miller. Ray Dahlio said this. Chamat Palpatilla said this right, And I hope I know

the game how it's played. These guys go on TV and they put out their narratives based on their position. So you got to make sure you don't just take what they're saying at phase value. You have to validate what they're saying with your own knowledge. So just FYI, we've been seeing a lot and I think a lot of these guys they saw that gold was the better trades, so they started shorting bitcoin, their long gold and all these things, and Ray Dalio kind of kicked it off.

Then Chamat Palpatek he started doing the stand. Even though he's saying he's bullish on stable coins and blockchain, he started saying, you know, Bitcoin, I don't know, but yet In the last bull market cycle, He was like, bitcoin is a hedge and I'm long and it's the same thing over and over. Man. I hope you guys see what I'm talking about. Okay, guys, this episode is brought to you by Treasure. Treasure makes extoring your crypto easy.

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I'm talking big Coinsalta, XRPE, Theoreum, doge Coin, Cardano, you name it, go down the list. They support it, even new tokens like black Rocks, Biddle. They have a software suite called Treasure Suite which helps you to manage all of this, and they have a handholding service that if you want to talk to a Treasure rep after buying your device, they can walk you through the setup and answer all the questions you have. Don't worry. They don't

ask you for your private keys. And like I said, I'm a user, I'm a big believer in self custody. I believe that's the safest way to custody your crypto assets, where you control the private keys. And if you use my code, thinking crypto all one word, thinking crypto, you can get five percent off your purchase. So check out. Treasure link will be in the description. Now, folks, look at this. This is very interesting coming off from Circle,

Circle Tokenized money market fund

which is the issue of the stable coin USDT so Circles us YC just became the world's largest tokenized money market fund. They actually surpassed black Rocks Biddle, which is interesting. So Jeremy a Lair founder and CEO of Circles set tokenized treasuries and repo as collateral is a major emerging use case and we are proud of how quickly this

has grown. What's especially powerful about USYC is the ability to twenty four seven, three sixty five create and redeem it using USDC and a smart contract teller real time money and collateral is better. So pretty significant milestone, especially that they beat Blackrock to it, right but we're gonna see more and more of this. Competition's very good and very healthy, and it's great to see that a crypt native firm, which is now publicly traded, of course, is

doing well. And I've often told you guys, you know, there's certain stocks that I invest in as far as crypto companies, Circle being one of them, Coinbase, so I look to buy them when they're the lows. I told you guys, I was not investing when Circle went public. Is the the price the stock price is inflated, but that it's down, I'm going to accumulate, right, So that's not financial advice, just you know, sharing what I'm usually doing with you guys, and it's up to you to

do your own research. Of course, look at this. Wyoming's

Wyoming stablecoin Hedera

frontier stable coin, which is fr and T, the first US state issued stable coin, is now live on the Hydera blockchain. So I'm trying to get someone from Wyoming on to talk about this, and this could be a model for many different states. On the federal level, of course, you have different stable coins and issuers who are getting licenses after the Genius Act has been passed. And on the state level, it's to be determined how this will all play out, and you know, how are they going

to compete? But you know, the economies for each state are large enough where they can have their own stable coin, have their citizens use it, and I get the benefits. The question is if I go to another state, you know, can I easily use that stable coin? And that's you know, whether it be interoperability and that type of thing. If it's all just backed by the US dollar. You know, we're gonna have to wait and see, but that would

be ideal. You know, the states issue their own stable coin, and I can go to another state and spend it, and you know there's an instant swap and it's atomic settlement. I don't have to wait, and I don't have to do anything necessarily. I just scan and the back end everything's taken care of. Right. That would be the ideal scenario. But this is really great. I hold the h bar Tokei in my portfolio. I am bullish on this project long term. And like I said, trying to get someone

on from Wyoming to talk about this stable coin. Now

Binance Iran ivestigation

some not so good news for you guys, but it's important that you know about it. Apparently the DOJ is investigating Binance over crypto flows that may have flowed to terrorists, you know, Iran linked entities, things like that. By is saying that, you know, they don't know, and they're willing to, you know, go through the details and so forth. But I don't know how far this goes because we know the Trump administration part in CZ and there's some close

collaboration on certain things. You know, Binance has invested I believe in the world liberty, financial staple coin and things like that. So we shall see. I've often stated that in the early days of crypto it was kind of the wild wild West, where it was so small. You know, there wasn't a lot of enforcement that kyc AML, not that folks were trying to be nefarious, it was just

this entirely new marketing system. I remember using exchanges. I didn't have the kyc EML, but you know, me and millions of other people, we weren't trying to do anything the Ferris. We're just trying to buy the acid. Right. It was a pain in the ass. I remember having to buy stuff on a bitstamp and then move it over to Binance and to get it was It's crazy, man, and anyway, TLDR here is that maybe there were bad

actors who fell through the cracks. You know, I don't doubt that, but I don't think the exchanges were trying to endorse that. Right, that's the point. And look, if they have to pay the fine, they have to pay the fine. Right, it is what it is. But I don't think that's happening now though, because things have changed drastically. The industry has matured. There have been a lot of the governments are requiring KYCAML checks and all that, which is good. And we'll see here where this goes. Now,

Donald Trump Memecoin

something that's really pissing me off, and you guys know how I feel about it. I'll read the headline, Donald Trump mean coin team launched it second Galla promotion as Trump token hits all time low. I said it from the day he launched it or I heard this news. This is not something any president or public official should be doing. And I wish Donald Trump would shut this down. I tell the people, and well, hey, stop it. That's it. But it keeps wearing its ugly head and I hope

it doesn't cause any big problems. The tokens down like ninety something percent, so is the Malania token down like ninety eight percent? Again, horrible optics, bad luck. I don't care what your politics are, even if you're the biggest Donald Trump fan in the world, you shouldn't be pushing anything like this because what's going to happen now. It sets the precedent that a Democrat leader comes into power and starts a mean coin, then we you know, we're

gonna have a whole bunch of problems here. So I really really don't like this, and I hope that this someone talks to President Trump and the team they're like, dude, stop this, stop the meme coin. Like I don't have a problem with his son Eric having American bitcoin, right, that's like a degree of separation from President Trump. Eric is running it. It's not a mean Coin's a legit

business and that type of thing. And it's even we're liberty financial, right, But the mean coin, man, come on, and you just look again, it's then ninety something percent, Like why are we doing it? Why are you guys trying to hold a dinner for this? This is ridiculous, so horrible, horrible decision here, bad optics, And I hope they don't continue to push this thing. And you know

Clarity Act may not pass

I mentioned the Claritiac that this things like this could potentially hold up the Claritiac. We are getting news here that potentially this bill may not pass this year. So here's the headline. US Claritiact unlikely to pass Senate Banking Committee before April, said Senator John Toon. So Alex Thorn of Galaxy Digital. He says, if Clarity doesn't pass committee by end of April, odds of passage in twenty twenty six become extremely low. This needs to hit the Senate

floor by early May. Floor time is running out and odds diminish every day that passes. The framing right now is that the dispute over stable coin rewards is holding up to Clarity. But even if compromise is reached on rewards, there are likely to be other hurdles, possibly DeFi death protections, se see powers, or even ethics. Again, all right, I

just talked about the Trump meme coin. You know, Elizabeth Warren and these bunch of people are gonna use the meme coin, saying, look look at the nonsense that's happening here. And this is why I again I wish Trump, But who the hell is advising him on these things. Stop with this bullshit meme coin and there's other things too, but the mean coins is it's an easy one. It's

a it's an easy one, right. So this is where it pisses me off because we need to get this Clarity Act through and I'm concerned here that it's not looking like that with all the crap that's happening and Iran war and all that jazz with the Iran war and much more. And it's a midterm election year, so I don't know, guys. Hopefully we can get this done, hopefully, hopefully, but it's not looking good now. Most recently we heard about,

NYSE Nasdaq tokenization

you know, the NASAC New York Sock Exchange making big partnerships to investing crypto, as well as launch token is ation go twenty four to seven. And this article here does a great job summarizing what's happening. So I want to make sure I kind of rehash it so you guys are aware of it because it's such major news. So here's the headline from Coindez. Here's why NASDAC and the owner of the New York Stock Exchange are putting the one hundred and twenty six trillion dollar equity market

on the blockchain. So as we've been talking about guys, capital markets, economies, and governments will all run on the blockchain rails. Wall Street's biggest exchanges are embracing digital assets by aiming to put the one hundred and twenty six trillion dollar equity market on blockchains, but they are not going at it alone. Rather, they are relying on crypto

exchanges to get there. Over the past week, two of the world's most powerful exchange operators, NASDAC and Intercontinental Exchange also known as ICE, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, teamed up with the Digital Asset exchanges to merge equities with blockchains through tokenization. NASDAC is developing a framework that would allow publy listed companies to issue blockchain based versions of their shares while preserving traditional ownership

rights and governments to distribute those tokenized stocks globally. The exchange is working with Payward, the parent company of crypto exchange Kraken. The offering will go live as soon as the first half of twenty twenty seven. Meanwhile, just days earlier, ICE revealed a strategic investment in crypto exchange OKX at

a twenty five billion dollar valuation. That deal includes plans to launch new tokenized stocks and crypto futures, allowing the exchange operator to tap into okx's one hundred and twenty million user base. So it's so amazing how these traditional exchanges are tapping into crypto exchanges to get tokenization done, to get liquidity, and to help go twenty four to seven. So it's why I've been saying for a long time crypto was the first truly global acid class trading twenty

four seven, three sixty five. There was never anything like it. And even the goal people sometimes they'd like to say, well, gold's been around for a long time, so globalasticly. Yeah, but you can't track it real time, and you can't verify at real time, and you can't move it right. So this is where they lose the argument, because yes,

gold is distributed globally. Yes gold and even oil and all these things are distributed globally, but they don't operate as a true market moving liquidity and all these things right, real time connections and much more. It's very segmented. While bitcoin and all these assets you move something you see on the blockchain. So this is where all these companies now recognizing this is the way forward, and cryptos started

it all. So I'm very bullish on the macro outlook of crypto guys, and like I've been saying, once the Clarity Act passes, I believe that kicks off the supercycle with adoption, innovation capital coming in and certainly higher valuations of these blockchain networks ender tokens. The question is, well, are you going to be patient and have the emotional control to go through the roller coaster ride of markets?

You know, as we talked about at the beginning of the podcast, there could be something that's going to break very soon, and we see lower lows and masks capitulation and everybody gets fearful. Then the FED steps in prints money, and then we start to next bull cycle. It's the same thing over and over. The narratives may change, the catalysts may change, but it's the same damn thing over and over. So I hope this is eye opening for many of you. It was for me when I finally

got that. And don't get me wrong, I'm not saying it's fun or it's easy to go through, but once you recognize what the hell is happening. The cyclicality of markets, the narratives and the sentiment and how that all works, and what the FED is doing with liquidity and all these things, and it's just cyclical, man. So just keep these things in the back of your mind and just be prepared for, you know, again, in the near term, something breaking, and we'll see how markets go from here.

But in the short term, I think Bigcoe keeps running up, maybe today eighty k's possibly weeks to ninety and above that maybe and then all outperform it and then I think a rollover is coming, a rollover to maybe the lower lowers, but nothing crazy. You know, some people are calling for like we're going to twenty five k bro, Like, yeah, no, no,

look at the over soul levels. We've already hit the over soul levels that we've seen in FTX and the other bear markets, right, so please stop with the twenty five k and all that nonsense. You know, could could we go to forty eight K? Yeah? Yeah, you know that's possible. I'm not saying that it must, I'm just saying it's possible. I'm prepared for that. At that point, I'll be looking to buy and then but you know we're gonna bottom and then keep going. I think the

majority of the downside is already done here. If you go buy these standards, this market is shown we have we didn't have that big of an upside and is the passable market. So I don't believe you're having that big of a downside, right It's it's all relative anyway. Guys, that's the news. Let me know what you think. Leave your thoughts and comments below. Hit the thumbs up button. Subscribe if you haven't as yet, be sure to support

the podcast by subscribing to my free email newsletter. It's one hundred percent free on substack link will be in a description. Grab a copy of my book on Amazon. It's available in paperback in digital, and check out my course at Mycrypto course dot com. This is a comprehensive course that teaches you everything you need to know about crypto and blockchain technology. All the links will be in a description. Thank you so much for tuning in, folks.

I appreciate you all, and I'll talk to you all later.

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