A Tory Good and True | Secrets of Statecraft | Andrew Roberts | Hoover Institution - podcast episode cover

A Tory Good and True | Secrets of Statecraft | Andrew Roberts | Hoover Institution

Jul 29, 202445 minEp. 45
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Episode description

Nick True was until recently leader of the House of Lords and Lord Keeper of the Privy Seal. His Toryism hails from an earlier and better age, but still has modern relevance.

Transcript

Lord True, Nick True is the leader of the House of Lords and the Lord Keeper of the Privy  Seal. Nick, tell us about Slob Peters. Well, how do you know about him? Yeah, Slob Peters  was my history teacher at Nottingham High School. He also taught, actually David Frost, who's  the Brexit negotiator. He was an old-fashioned history teacher who wore rather untidy clothes  and occasionally dribbled a little bit, hence the

slob. But he took his pupils through sequentially  the great story of British history, and along the way taught us about the importance of governance  and civics, and a leftist. He was a severe man, but kindly often you were discovered later that  he was a kindly man. And he left, I think, all his pupils with an abiding love of history, and  a sense of its essential and constant importance.

And you didn't get there for what we call now, Henry to Hitler, where you jumped from  the Tudors to the Second World War. No, none of that. None of  that. We went right through it. Yes. Perfect. Exactly. So, you have a  sense therefore, when you look at history, which obviously plays an important part of your  job holding well, one cabinet's post that goes

back to 1387, a sense of history. And that must  be important in your job as leader of the House of Lords as well, because the House of Lords,  every brick exudes history in the House of Lords.

It does indeed, even though it was burnt down  and rebuilt. It does, yes. And funny enough, I said the other day, and maybe one of my last  speeches as leader, that I know every part of the house really from having crawled around as  a youngster, stapling together bits of paper in the age before email to standing at the dispatch  box there where Churchill delivered some of the

greatest war speeches is when the House of  Commons had been destroyed by the Nazis. Yes, the House of the Lords speaks of something which  is incredibly important in all constitutions and all constitutional politics, which is the  dignity and honor of government, and the grande of the place matters a lot, provide  it doesn't get too over weaning. Because the House of Lords is what I describe as the moon  in the British parliamentary Constitution to

the gleaming son of the Commons. But yes,  it's a remarkable privilege to be there. I was going to come on this later, but now  that you've started with such an arresting image as the sun and the moon, we can't leave  it there. Let's go into that a little bit more deeply. Not all of my listeners will be familiar  with the minutiae of the British Constitution, so why don't you explain a little about  really what the House of Lords does?

Okay, well perhaps I can go back a bit, a few  centuries maybe. That might be helpful. Magna Carter seems quite relevant at the moment in  the modern world. The House of Lords really was the original element of the British  Parliament, and it emerged out of the efforts of the baronial and clerical forces to control the  powers of the king, something which most Americans

we're familiar with in the circumstances  five centuries later. And conventionally we say in 1265, the first Parliament was formed,  which actually was the barons and the clerics, and the House of Commons only came into being in  the 14th Century. So, it's 75 odd years later when people came to parliament to petition, commoners  originally came to petition the crown for things for their communities. So, we then emerged this  bicameral system of commons and lords and with the

monarch, the king in parliament. And those three  elements have to approve any bill. You cannot make law in this country even today without it being  approved by the Commons, the Lords and the King. And for many centuries, the House of Lords,  which obviously embraced hereditary power or ecclesiastical power, represented the  grand interests of the country and was a

place where the grand interest of the country  mediated royal power. In the 17th Century, we had a period of revolution and upheaval,  challenge to monarchical power of complex process, which I don't have time to talk about,  but it obviously finished in Civil War, the decapitation of the king, the abolition of the  House of Lords by the House of Commons military

dictatorship and all manner of constitutional  innovations. And it was curious that in that period, Britain went through in a tiny period  of time the extraordinary evolution that we see happening in so many countries of the world  of the battle between dictatorial power on power and so on and so forth. After that at  1660, with the restoration in the House of

Lords formed itself again and then called the  House of Commons back into being. We since then had two centuries of bicameral government  and power gradually shifted from the Lords to the Commons. And in the late 17th Century, I  hope this isn't too long, [inaudible 00:06:13]- I'm enjoying every minute of it. No. It reminds me  of school and university, so good, let's get back.

In the later 17th Century, after the restoration  of the monarchy and leading up to we call the glorious revolution, which was the further  assertion of parliamentary sovereignty, when we put out a king, sent him abroad,  packed him off rather than decapitating him, there was a period of great struggle between  the two houses for ascendancy. And this really revolved around the claim of the House of  Commons to control finance, the purse strings

which everyone in America will know theoretically  the fundamental power of Congress. And this led to great conflict between the two houses in 1669, for  example, there wasn't a single act of Parliament passed because there were so many conflicts  between the two houses. They were battling over privilege. And this settled down ultimately  with a deal that was done not logically, but by the evolution of history, where the commons  asserted and was allowed primacy over finance.

And the House of Lords was allowed primacy  over the law as a supreme court of the land. And that was a settlement effectively endured  until Tony Blair abolished the legal role of the House of Lords in the beginning of  the first part of this century. And so, the real power through finance went to the  Commons, but the House of Lords remained a major advisory force until last thing I'll  say, and then people attention span can be

revived. There was a huge conflict between the two  houses in 1908 to 11 when the conservative party in opposition sought to use the unelected House  of Lords as the laws have never been elected to reject the budget of an elected government. And  this led to a further reduction until that point,

the House of Lords was theoretically co-equal  in power to the Commons. After that, the Commons bled on as the Sun and the Constitution and the  House of Lords retained great power still has to pass legislation that can ultimately  be overridden by the House of Commons. And how often does that happen? How often? It's  called the Parliament Act of 1911, isn't it,

that established this primacy of the commons  over the Lord? How often is it invoked in real life as it were in order to pass legislation  that the House of Lords continues to reject? Very rarely because it's like many things which  are blunder. Buses should not be fired very often because they can blow people's heads off. And the  column act is so set up, but it takes about 13 months to have in effect because of the various  technicalities of the law. So rather than wait,

politicians are always in a hurry. They  only have if they're elected a small span, the mouse's life. So, they're in a hurry  to get things done. So usually there is a negotiation and usually the House of  Lords, because of its sense of being the moon rather than the Sun will defer to the  House of Commons after a certain time. So the actual blowing off of the Lords take place,  but rarely 4, 5, 6 times in a hundred years.

And can you explain the Salisbury Convention,  which is all to do with this as well, isn't it? Yes, it is because after the Second World War  and Churchill was some early dismissed by the British people, one of the great historical acts  of gratitude, but a wonderful humbling experience Labor government came in, which was elected  with a substantial majority with grand plans for socializing and nationalizing tremendous  parts of the economy, obviously a legacy which

remains to this day we remain a greatly socialized  economy and institutional institutionalized. The Labor Party had the majority in the Commons, but  they were outnumbered 10 to one in the House of Lords because frankly, labor were threatening to  abolish the hereditary peerage. So they weren't getting many friends among hereditary peers. So there was a deal done, it's all done by deals and it has to be, it's the only way the House of  Lords can be governed by understanding between the

two parties. There was an understanding between  Lord Salisbury or Lord Cranborne as he then was the leader of the Conservatives and via Count  Addison, the labor leader, that the House of Lords would not seek to reject a bill which had been  in the manifesto of the elector party. And that's broadly remained the position to this day, though  I think it needs some revival and some refreshing. Well, it made sense then when there were 10 times  more Torry peers than there were labor peers. But

that's no longer the case, is it? We now, in  the last Parliament where we both sit on the conservative benches, we lost many more divisions'  votes as we call them, divisions, than we won. And that's partly because the crossbenchers who we'll  come onto in a minute and the Bishops and the Green Party and the liberal Democrats joined the  Labor Party and defeated the Conservatives in the

House of Commons. So, to what extent should the  Salisbury Convention still exist in circumstances that are so different from the ones that pertained  in 1945 with regard to numbers on each side? Well, my contention is it should remain. I  think the House of Lords has got rather lazy in remembering that it's the moon and getting a  bit above itself. I'd like to see the Salisbury

Convention given a little bit more breath.  For example, one of the things that we've been seeing, Andrew, is the House of Lords  including so-called independence, lining up to reject a bill from the Commons. Not once but  twice, but three times, but four times. How often does the elected house have to say, "This is  what we want to do," before the unelected house

defers? So, I think there are some problems there. What has happened obviously is the House of Lords, I think since the expulsion of most of the  hereditary peers in 1999 by Tony Blair, there is this new card of people, and you  and I are among these, so-called life peers, who preen ourselves that we are such splendid  people because we have been the selector's eye of the Prime Minister of the day has lit upon us and  sent us to the House of Lords and nobody can touch

us. And we have an authority, which hereditary  peers who of course shouldn't be there, because we don't believe in hereditary, do we, except when  we want to do something for our children. They have more justification in challenging the House  of Commons. And I think that the mental attitude of many peers in the House of Lords has changed. The reality is that the numbers still don't count because the conservative government now has a big  majority over the Labor Party, too big in my view,

in the House of Lords, but still as you say,  losers. Because the fundamental thing is that in an unelected house, a government shouldn't really  have a majority and it is a cooling force in the Constitution. But the fact that we've lost so many  votes shows that the Labor Party hasn't always understood the necessity to defer. And I think we  need to reestablish that and we would certainly need to have that if there were a labor government  again with a smaller number than the conservatives

now have. It's about a hundred advantage that  conservatives have effectively over Labor. Which is why The Times claims  that Starmer has plans to make a hundred new labor peers. What effect  would that have on the House of Lords? Well, it wouldn't really, I think it debases  the coinage. I think that the more you create, whether it's dollars or peers, the less they have  value. It doesn't change the fundamental equation

of a thing. Even if you had a hundred extra  labor peers, if the Conservative Party voted, the [inaudible 00:15:01] opposition, the party  voted against the government's legislation in the House of Lords and could bring in other  raggle-taggle forces, which you might or might not want to talk about, then the government cannot  pass its business. A hundred labor peers wouldn't

make a difference to that basic arithmetic. The  House of Lords only can manage on, as I say, the historic understanding between the government  and the main opposition party, that a fundamental principle of the British Constitution must  override everything. And that is that the King's government must be carried on, and it is  not for the opposition, and certainly an unelected opposition, to prevent the elected  government in the day having its legislation.

One of the things that the Labor Party  is very likely to have at its manifesto, which is going to be published any  day now, is the abolition of the hereditary element in the House of  Lords that's presently still there, some 92 peers. It's sometimes difficult to  explain to non-British people why there should be hereditary members of a legislative body. How  would you defend the concept of hereditary peers? Well, there are two ways really. One is  the romantic conservative. Venetian once

said to me when he heard about Tony Blair's  plan to get rid of the hereditary peers. He said, "[foreign language 00:16:40]." The last  remnant of an aristocratic constitution. And they're there really because it's a prescriptive  part, it's a continuing part of how parliament came into being. In a sense, they have always been  there without ever asking to be there. Once you do away with that prescriptive element, then you  have a parliament that is created, created by

statute. And therefore, effectively we have had  that in 1999, because the House of Lords exists as it is including hereditary since an act of  parliament was passed, constituting as it now is. But as that prescriptive ancestral constitution  dies away, then you come into territory where new constitutions can be written from time to  time. You can have your second House of Lords,

your third House of Lords, your fourth House of  Lords. So, it's not a great argument. That is a reason why they're there, because in this sense  like Mount Everest, they've always been there and then they were allowed to remain in 1999. And why  they were allowed to remain in 1999 was because of

a deal that was done with another Lord Salisbury,  confusing. But the grandson of the Lord Salisbury I was talking about before, did a deal with the  Labor Party who were frightened the House of Lords would foul up their legislation in Blair's first  parliament, which they wouldn't have done, but they were bluffed into thinking it might happen. And so, the deal was that the 92 would remain until there was a final settlement between the  parties about what the future of the House of

Lords should be. Now, comes onto the second  point. If labor remove the 92 hereditary peers, then without actually saying it or avowing it,  they are creating a new form of Parliament, House of Parliament, which is an entirely selected  House of Parliament, a selectorate chosen by the passing prime ministers of the day with the  British people still having no voice in it.

Now, I know many people recoil from the idea of  having a second elected chamber. For my own part, if all the cards are thrown up in the air,  I find it hard to believe if you were coming down from Mars and designing a constitution in  the 21st Century, you wouldn't say that both houses should be elected. But the removal of  hereditary peers by a labor government coming

in would be a deliberate act of creation of a  totally appointed house plus the bishops. And this is a very big constitutional thing to do, and  it's something arguably about which the British people should have a choice. So, that was why they  remained, to ensure that when the fully elect, fully appointed House of Lords. Life peers  were only created in 1958, it's not such a sort of sacred thing, that it should not happen  without a deliberate choice by the electorate.

And one of the reasons why the electorate might  not choose that in say a referendum would be that it's a recipe, isn't it, having two elected  chambers for perpetual logjam between them. One looks sometimes at the American constitution where  you see struggles between the houses, the elected houses, certainly in other countries that happens.  Wouldn't this be a recipe for a logjam in Britain? Well, not necessarily. You could argue that  logjams create uni parties, which are possibly not

equally unattractive. I believe as Morris Cowling  once said, "One needs a lot of negative bloodiness sometimes in constitutions." I don't believe  that logjam is inevitable, and in any case, the House of Lords would still have to defer  to the commons under the Parliament Act system. Would there be a- And it wouldn't have financial power,  although it would seek it if it were elected. It would also, the abolition of the  hereditary element would also leave

the monarchy as the only hereditary area  of our national life. Do you think that might put pressure on the monarchy? Do you  think that might be [inaudible 00:21:09]- I don't think that, no, I don't buy that argument.  Though it's one that's often used. Personally, I don't think it's a truthful argument. The monarchy  lives for itself in a prescriptive manner. But equally, even if I did think it was the case,  I wouldn't think it was a good argument to use.

What about the quality of debate? What do  you think would happen to that? It strikes me that the quality of debate in the House  of Lords is far higher than in the House of Commons. Whenever I go to the House of  Commons, all the shouting and the yelling is very different from the much more sedate  discussion that we have in the House of Lords. Well, that is true, but you may say that's  because we're all such a genius people,

which we're not necessarily. That's because  there isn't a teacher in the room. Now, when Slob Peters was in the room, we were silent  because we were nervous. But the speaker is the teacher who shouts. They go on as much as they can  until this teacher tells them to stop. The many extraordinary things about the House of Lords, so  I think it's the only chamber in the world that doesn't have a presiding officer. We don't have  points of order with nobody in the chair who can

tell us what to do. So, this requires something,  which as I said earlier in this interview, I think is tremendously important, dignity and courtesy  and political dialogue. Because if you all shout at each other, then nothing can be done. So in  effect, paradoxically, the absence of a speaker, the absence of a chair, requires us to have the  civil discourse that we do. I don't see many other chambers in the world trying that experiment, but  I think it works very well for the House of Lords.

It certainly does. Let's talk about Maurice  Cowling who taught you at Peter House Cambridge. He had an overarching theory of politics, not  just British politics, but politics in general. Would you like to explain what it was, and then  we'll talk about how accurate you think it is? Well, I think he did two things really.  He had many things. Morris in a sense created a new way of looking at history,  which grew out of a name me right vision.

But he basically argued that politics was  about a dance between a limited number of great people at any given time in politics.  And he also unashamedly said that hatred was an important part of that. I remember him  saying to me once, "Never underestimate hate." Well, you certainly couldn't  on high table at Peterhouse, could you? There was a good deal of hatred  that went backwards and forwards there.

That's true. So it was a shock really to  those because you arrive at university with this idealistic view that these great forces  and principles and philosophies, but actually it's all about people. And I'm going to do that  bastard down. Am I allowed to use that language? You most certainly can. Yes, absolutely. And so that was one thing, a concept of looking  at it, which of course is absolutely truthful.

Now, you're a cabinet minister. You have seen  yourself therefore that it is an accurate thing, that the clash between relatively  small groups of people in a eye pressured environment is really  the driving force of politics. Well, it's certainly a major driving  force. Yes, it would be demeaning my life to say that one didn't have principles and  objectives and ideas. Of course one does. But if it comes from that fellow, you're  not going to let it happen, are you?

So, the dance of the few is the key. Yes, that is one thing. The other thing of  course, is that Maurice very early taught that when people saw it as a struggle between  Marxism, and Marxism and conservative forces and the broadest way left and right, communism, et  cetera, the whole intellectual construct of the Cold War, he really identified that what is the  fundamental problem that so many nations have,

which is a loss of identity and a loss of....  He mourned the decline of the old Anglican religion and the arrival of a overweening  high liberal, which he ascribed originally to the great book Mill and Liberalism,  which is one of his first works in 1963, that there was this, he prophesied that there  would be, and he saw that there already was really this international force of people who think that  we know better than others, and we actually need

to impose, he foresaw the metamorphosis of  liberalism into illiberalism, which is one of the great things that we're living with in  almost every country of the world at the moment. One of the forces that you see in the House of  Lords personifying that are the other bishops in the Lords where you have 26 of them  having the right to vote on legislation, but all of them Anglicans, of course.  No chief rabbi, no cardinals, no imams,

just Anglicans. How long do you think that  can survive as a concept in our constitution? I think it becomes very difficult to defend  increasingly. It is a prescriptive part. There used to be, originally in the medieval  house of laws that I referred to earlier, there was a rough equilibrium in numbers between  the secular and the religious arm. Then the first great purge of the House of Lords was done  by Henry VIII when he destroyed the Abbotts,

destroyed the monasteries. And so all the  Abbots were expelled from the House of Lords leaving this rump of bishops who historically  became 26. And they were partly a prescriptive part of the house or an ancestral part of  the house, but they were also supposed to contribute a spiritual element of council to  our discussions. But of course, as you know,

they simply don't do that. Again, Cowling  obviously saw this happening. They have become people who rush to close the churches  at the first instance that COVID arrives. I was surprised once, a bishop when I quoted the  Bible at him when he was quoting the minutia of some social security benefit at me. And I think  we had once a day when there was a great debate on welfare or other. Some typical topic that  the clerics take an interest in. And there

were several of them there voting against the  government. And the next debate was on whether abortion should be imposed on Northern Ireland  without any vote by the people of Northern Ireland, because Stormont was suspended. And  all those surfaces quietly swelled away and the bishops withdrew, and we came to discuss  a question which touches profoundly on faith, and therefore I question  whether they have a useful role. And also they do vote against the  conservatives [inaudible 00:29:05]-

93% of the time against this government. Yes,  the days when the Anglican church has said to be the conservative party at prayer, long gone.  I think it's now the Labor Party not at prayer. Let's consider the possibility, the terrible,  tiny outside possibility that we're going to

need a Tory revival after the next election.  You were in the conservative research department from 1975 when Margaret Thatcher became  prime minister all the way up to 1982, which was exactly when the philosophy of  modern conservatism of that right conservatism came to the fore and of course was tremendously  successful. It was a juggernaut intellectually. How do Tory revivals happen? You were at the  heart of one of them. Tell us about them.

Well, I think heavy defeat is obviously a great- Catalyst. Catalyst, yes, but also disillusion and  despondency. One of the disastrous aspects of the heath government in 19 70, 74 was that  heath came to power in 1970 on basically a traditionalist conservative prospectus. And  then halfway through shifted all his policies

and started introduce income control policies,  dividend control policies, status policies. So, the conservative then went out on a difficult  election with a massive battle going on with the trade unions, disillusioned  with where the party had gone to. So, I think a double purging is unfortunately a  start of it. I never commend. Opposition is a terrible place to be. It's being in the Antarctic  blizzard without a compass when you start off,

but you have to build from fundamentals. And I  think the greatness of Keith Joseph, and Margaret of course, came from that background. Keith Joseph  challenged what he called the socialist ratchet, that the way that policy was, the liberal  leftist agenda always pushes to the left. The conservatives tend to accommodate. And we find ourselves, for example, in this parliament talking and defending things  which are absolutely absurd. We have members of

the government who actually say that can't  say to a woman as a woman. Conservatives, this is ridiculous, small example. But it happens  in a broad range of policies. So Joseph said, "We have to refine the common ground, forget the  center ground." And I think that is where revivals

begin, because ultimately everything comes  down to liberty. And personal liberty, family, freedom to do so, exercise for responsibility,  which comes from a shared code of behavior and a shared understanding of what the nation  is and should be, which is challenged at the moment. And I think that's the way you  rebuild. What policies really affect people? Politics is actually simple. You should have lower  taxes because high tax, nationalized choice and

lower taxes, personalized choice. You should have  decent schools because people want their children to learn. You have to have strong defense and safe  streets. You have to have a pension system which is sustainable and secure, good health... And  you have to have a minimal state that guarantees

the safe arc. It's not too difficult to do those  things if you focus on the essentials. So I think again, for revival, you have to pare down to the  fundamentals and you have to use what I referred to earlier negative bloodiness towards some  of the stupid accretions that have come on to one's political philosophy or so-called  philosophy in a long period of government. Especially as those accretions have  turned out to be tremendously expensive.

Yes. It is dismaying to me to see the  conservatives and labor vowing, vying in which one can spend more of the public's hand  earn money. This is not what politics is about. [inaudible 00:33:22].  Conservatism [inaudible 00:33:23]- Neither Gladstone, nor Thatcher  would've agreed with that. No. And do you think the House of Lords  will have an important role to play if the Conservative Party in the House of  Commons is given a serious bloody nose?

Well, I think it obviously has a role and a  responsibility. The role doesn't change, but it needs to be exercised with due care. It mustn't  allow itself to be used as the House of Lords was used by a shadow cabinet in 1908 to bludgeon  the government, but it can reflect the light of the silvery moon on some of the no doubt silly  things that the labor government would try to do,

and illumine some of those dark places. You see  the countryside, I spend a lot of time in deep countryside where the moon is a great thing and  one knows the phases of the moon as well as the seasons. And the countryside will always save us  from urban revolution and the malevolence of the [inaudible 00:34:32] elite. And the House of Lords  is the constitutional countryside that we have. John Major said in his memoirs that  you were his favorite speech writer.

I can see why. You conjure images very  powerfully. What are the tricks of the trade to being a speech writer? Is that  the most important one to conjure images? That's something. You have to make people laugh.  You have to know what you're writing about, what you want to say. You also know it's the  reverse of writing a play really. You have to know your actor. When you are a playwright,  you know the actors have well got to be able

to [inaudible 00:35:13] what you say. But there's  no point trying to write a speech unless you know the cadences of the way someone speaks and  the way somebody thinks. So, I always used to say somebody, I was trying to just talk  into a microphone, 30 seconds if need be, saying three or four important things, you  then get the cadence and take it from there. As well as being leader of the House of Lords,  you're also Lord Keeper of the Privy Seal,

so you were... Or at least your  predecessors were responsible for the King's private seal as opposed to the  public one. And as I mentioned earlier, this came into a being in 1307. And apart from  the interregnum period that you mentioned, the Civil War in the mid 17th Century, it's  been in existence ever since. I was looking it up earlier today, I noticed nine prime  ministers since Israeli have held this place,

and also one holder of it. The second Duke of  Buckingham and Chandos, whose name was Richard Temple-Nugent-Brydges-Chandos-Grenville, one  of the most fabulous aristocratic names of- Yes, good way to disguise an enormous  fortune, which you now [inaudible 00:36:33]- Yes. No one absolutely, through  an awful lot of intermarriage, one wonders. Look, I always ask about  the weight of history on the shoulders of my guests. It's quite a weight  that, isn't it, over 800 years?

It is, yes, of course one's  enormously sensible of the honor that is done to one by being able to carry out  the dignity and duty of public service. But yes, I have this large seal, actually it's a large  silver seal, weighs two and a half pounds, I think. And because the King doesn't have a  privy seal anymore, it was all dealt with. And now we have the Crown estates and the arrangement  with the money. It's never been changed, and it's

actually Queen Victoria's silver seal. So, it is  a rather marvelous thing to have. And you think that those Victorian politicians would actually  have held it, whereas many of the other seals have been redone. And you feel the weight of history  in funny ways. And actually when I was given this seal, it's in an old leather box, which is tied  up with a funny piece of string, which you might think is rather like the British Constitution,  which by the way should never ever be written

down by rationalists. Despite my respect for the  founding fathers, he can only do that trick once. It's tied up with this funny piece of  string. So here I am, the King says, "Well, be careful how you hold it." And the lid wants  to come off and it's tied on by this piece of string. And I think to myself, can I have this  leather case repaired without telling my king? And I plan to do, or I thought I would do for the  King to have this repaired so it would actually

lock and do properly. But such as one's respect  for the ancient office, I thought, "Well, maybe I'm breaking a piece of history by breaking that  piece of string. I don't know who actually tied the piece of string around it, but it probably  should remain. It's very discolored and very old. The metaphor is so powerful that of  course you can't do anything about it, Nick. Let the incoming next Lord Privy Seal- I'm sure they'll modernize it there from  the darker forces. Spare me. Spare me that.

What history book or biography  are you reading at the moment? Well, funny enough, I'm a byzantinist by  training. So, I actually have got Anthony Kaldellis' history, is called New Roman  Empire, I think. I like his writing. He actually challenges, or he goes to  basic conception about Byzantium, but it was the continuing Roman Empire. But  because of the enlightenment and rejection of the Orthodox East, that aspect of Byzantium has  been neglected. So, I'm enjoying reading that.

But I'm also reading Nick Lloyd's new book  on the Eastern Front in the First World War. Yes, that's a fabulous book, isn't it? I'm fascinated by the First World War, always  have been. And Norman Stone, who I met when he fell down the stairs, in PeterHouse, and landed  in the drunken stupor outside my room stairs- He taught me at Cambridge. He did a book on the Eastern Front,  but there hasn't been one since.

And that colossal conflict, which  was really the destruction of Europe, although we're still living through the  embers of that conflict, is fascinating. And your what if, your counterfactual? Oh, gosh. Well, I suppose as a bad Byzantine, I  would have to choose one, wouldn't I? Well, what

if the Byzantine army had won the Battle of the  Yarmuk in 636 when the Arabs... After a period of global cooling, the Arabian Peninsula became more  fertile, the Arabic population expanded, and there was this great force of propelled also by the  teachings of Mohammed, came bursting out of the Arabian Peninsula. And there was a great battle in  636 when the forces of Byzantium were overwhelmed. And this opened up the Arab conquest of Syria,  Palestine, and Egypt, and ultimately North Africa.

Had that battle gone the other way, which it  actually should have, a council at a very sketchy, then the advance of Islam and the Arabs west of  the Mesopotamia could well have been arrested. For a long time they would never have secured the  riches of Egypt. Egypt as a absolute clue, this key state in world history and will always be so. And they probably would've vouched as they eventually did the conquest of Iran and Persia,  and may well have settled on the Iranian plateau.

And that would've been, there is this constant  millennial divide between the Iranian plateau and Mesopotamia in the West, which is reflected  in the division between Shiite and Sunni Islam. And you might've heard Islam sitting up there on  the Iranian plateau. And as we're seeing today, although they're trying, it's very hard  to dominate Egypt's area and Palestine from the Iranian plateau. So, I think that  might've been an interesting counterfactual.

Very good. 637. One last question.  Byzantine, it's used as an adjective to mean oversubtle and complex, and  sometimes untrustworthy. Is that fair? I don't think so. It's fair to the extent that  human nature is human nature, and doubtless that there have been some very untrustworthy characters  sitting around in the court of Constantinople. The label, that attachment, they never call themselves  Byzantine in anyway, or Byzantine, as you say,

in the state, because of they call themselves  Romans. But the enlightenment, Voltaire, Montesquieu and others, despised and Gibbon,  despised this lower empire as being something inferior. And so, all sorts of adverse qualities  were put on this extraordinary Christian polity that actually lasted for a thousand years, 1,100  years from the foundation of Constantinople to the fall of Constantinople, 1,123 years and  the 21 days, I think, something like that.

And that only survived over that period.  [inaudible 00:43:28] does not survive that long transforming itself as it did  along the way without a core identity, without a self-belief. And actually in this  case, obviously with the fundamental binding

force of the Orthodox Christian faith. And  none of those things adequately understood or explained in Western Europe because the  papacy, the putative, new empires of the West, they wanted to establish themselves as the real  heirs of Rome, and put the actual heirs of Rome on it in a lower place. So, I think that's  where the scorn for Byzantium comes from rather than the actuality, which probably was,  there were some crooks around in the palace.

Nick True, leader of the House of Lords, and Lord Keeper of the Privy Seal, thank you  very much for coming on Secrets of Statecraft. Well, thank you very much. It  was great honor to be asked. This podcast is a production  of the Hoover Institution, where we generate and promote ideas advancing  freedom. For more information about our work, to hear more of our podcasts, or view our  video content, please visit hoover.org.

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