Ceasefire or Consequences

a complete lack of understanding. None of what the President has been able to pull off, as historic of military victory as this is bed and what Israel and the US have pulled off is just never going to be enough for people. And they don't understand nuanced, they don't understand that there are many, many things that go into to a decision such as wiping out the infrastructure of Iran,

wiping out carg Island. I don't often talk about my conversations with the President, but I had one last night and it was detailed nothing that he would not be allowed to tell me. And we talked at length about that and about a number of other things. I don't usually talk about it when I talked to the president,

do I, Linda, you can verify this fact? And I don't for a reason, but you know I have sources and information now what I knew from other sources that when the President announced that there's going to be a slight extension of this UH ceasefire, I came on the air on TV last night gave all the details because I needed time after the radio program to get the details.

And I was told to no one's terms that it was going to be very short lived and that the President was really doing it for two very specific reasons. And I would add a third actually, but one is the Prime Minister of Pakistan pretty much was begging him to give them more time and explain to the President that they don't have regular communication ability that would that would allow for the people that had been negotiating previously in Islama Pod to be communicating with the Iranian Revolutionary

Guard Corps because they can't get on a phone. Now, think about this. It may sound stupid, but it's true. It's not like any one of these these leaders at this point, or so called leaders, or anybody in a position of power in Iran is going to be too keen on getting on a phone call knowing the intercept capability of the US and wanting to have a discussion about you know what they can agree and disagree on regarding a deal or potential deal with the US. It's

not something that they could pull off that easily. That's why there's been such confusion. And the President also took into account, I think, as evidenced by before Israel struck after fifty days, they had an opportunity to come up with a peace deal.

wants piece, he wants peace. He's not saying it for the sake of just being heard that is his preferable choice.

And Democrats, the liberal media mob, the isolationists, lunatics that would forever burden your children and grandchildren with a nuclear armed Iran because they're just dumb and ignorant and know nothing about history, although they claim some of them to be great historians, which I find somewhat amusing, and they would put the world at risk and they will have learned nothing from the last century.

to me that he said this. He said, Sean, he goes, I can wipe this place out. I said, I know in fifteen minutes. He goes, no, I could do it in five. That's he actually said those words to me. I can he goes, really don't want to, because if we end up going down that road, it's not just going to be the IRGC, It's not just going to be the guys in suits that would prefer a negotiated settlement, or seemingly prefer I'm not sure if they're all coordinating

or not. Well well know soon enough, and he has that option on the table, and it's a very easy option. And as I was explaining yesterday, it probably if you want to prevent the potential for the Iranians to ever reconstitute or rebuild their weapons capability, be it nuclear, ballistics, air defense systems, probably the better option in terms of preventing that fomenting terror in the region would be to

just wipe them out, obliterate them. But with that comes a great cost to the ninety plus million Iranian people that desperately have been that have been living in tyranny and oppression, that want to get out from under it and want to regain their once great culture. The Persian culture was a great culture. It has a rich history of contributions to humankind, and that is also a factor

in the President's mind. The president, democrats and radical leftists, what have you believe, oh, well, you know, Taco president, and in spite of all of the action he's taken,

they would still make that ridiculous claim. Or they try to put him in a box and say, well, if he hits infrastructure, bridges and other places, carg Island and those are war crimes, so he can't win for losing when they're all legitimate military targets that have been used historically because they have dual purpose use, which means that the military needs the oil. Therefore, he would be well

within his rights to do it. They transport their troops over bridges, he'd be within his rights to do it. Other power infrastructure that could be used to constitute a counterattack against US, all legitimate military targets. So that's what

their point is. Now, yesterday we reported on this program that the President put out a truth social post requesting that the Iranians, if they want to show good faith, that they can release and stop the execution of these eight Iranian women, some of them as young as sixteen. I mean, they have the whole lives ahead of them.

Their major crime is they're protesting against the tyrannical regime that oppresses women, and so the President just announced about an hour or so ago in a truth social post that very good news. I've just been informed the eight women protesters who are going to be executed tonight in Iran will no longer be killed. Four will be released immediately, four will be sentenced to one month in prison. I appreciate that Iran that's leaders respect my request as President

of the United States and terminated the planned execution. I know he'll never get credit for standing up for women, Willy Linda, I don't think I've got credit.

that's what we're waiting for now. The White House today was very very clear that they are giving between three and five days for this to happen. After that, all bets will be off. And as the President was saying to me, those bets will be off. That means that the President can you know, the President will will will follow through on what he's been threatening to do.

really true. It's going to be the easy way, It's going to be the hard way, and there's not going to be any in between here in terms of what they do now. I understand the argument you don't want a delay victory, but I don't think three to five days is that big a delay. And the president is he taking a risk for peace sake?

short order. I don't think there'll be another delay. So if the Pakistani leaders, who have been trying very hard and putting their best foot forward, are communicating to the President that they are having a hard time, you know, internally with varying factions, and that we need to give them time to even communicate amongst themselves, our goal will remain clear. We will end the RAN's nuclear ambition permanently. We will eviscerate their conventional weapons. We've already done so.

We've taken out their navy, their air defense systems, and they will no longer be able to bully their neighbors and the straight of hor moves will remain open and completely. You know, it's sort of like the president. And this is what I think he was saying to me last night. How I interpret it, He can go full Sherman. You have you heard the saying, Linda, you've heard that. Have you ever heard go full Sherman? In other words, not

a colloquial, you know expression. It means like total war, you go hard, deepen the paint, use whatever analogy you want. A strategy of overwhelming, unrelenting force that will target enemy armies, economic infrastructure resources, civilian will to fight and sustain it. And it draws directly from the Union General Sherman and his campaign in the Civil War, especially his famous March

to the Sea. And at that point, after capturing Atlanta, Sherman cut loose from his supply lines, led sixty thousand troops on a two hundred and eighty five miles scorched earth march across Georgia to Savannah and later Northwood, destroying railroads, bridges, factories, telegraph lines, crippling Confederate logistics, and you know, avoided major battles with Confederate forces when possible, instead focusing on breaking

the South's ability to desire to continue the war. That is what it means, and that's what the President is communicating, without going into the historic precedence behind his thinking. President is far smarter than those people that have no interest in understanding him, even though he's been on the world stage for eleven years. And the President did truth out to Iranian leaders who will soon be in negotiations with my representatives. I greatly appreciate the release of these women.

Now they say they're going to release the women, we'll learn lot and see if he does this, see if they do this. Rather, we will learn a lot, will learn a lot very very quickly. And I think the President I frankly applaud his decision. I'm not in a rush to destroy this country, knowing it's going to impact ninety million people. However, when measured against the ability of the Iranians to foam and terror, to also have a nuclear weapon, coupled with their very very ugly twisted, sick ideology,

is just not an option for me. And by the way, in spite of oh the lowest polls ever, no President Trump's approval rating hovering in the mid to upper forties according to the actual polsters that know how to pull him. I mean it is the media is so abusively biased and corrupt. Anyway, the White House did confirm the ceasefires three to five days, and we'll see what happens and see if the Arrangeians within themselves can somehow come to

an agreement. They did after Operation Midnight Hammer, remember that conflict. They ended that after twelve days. They wanted out. And if they're not able to assess how bad this is going to be, then that's going to be on them. Whatever suffering the Iranian people go through will be on them too. All right, twenty five now till the top of the hour, eight hundred and nine foot one, Sean, if you want to be a part of the program, we have so much to get to today. I got

so much to tell you. Anyway, I want to tell you too. The one thing that's also factoring into the President's decision here, and he telegraphed in great detail last night just before I went on the air, and it was and it was reiterated during this brief conversation I had with him yesterday. It was actually fairly extended and he said in and as he was saying, I can. I can wipe out this infrastructure in no time at all. It's an easy decision to make in terms of the military,

the military aspects of it. Here's where there was a pretty good analysis I thought from the New York Post today because the ceasefire, though extended, you know, could end. It's going to end in three to five days. Iran has fired on tankers. They have played you know, fast and loose with the straight of horn moves. Uh. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, the IRGC, not around civilian government,

is calling the shots. They have the guns. The guys in suits need to align with the guys who guns, and they need to come to an agreement and what's acceptable not acceptable, and then Donald Trump will see if you can, if there is a deal to be made here.

And you know, and this is what Scott Besset was trying to say in a truth post that he put out yesterday, that the Iranians now they they are they have they're at maximum capacity in terms of storing their energy, their oil that they have, which means that their wells are going to have to be shut down, which in and of itself is a monumental task if you ask any landman or anybody that knows anything about the oil industry.

And as one senior US official confirmed this week, what the numbers have shown all along, and the reason the President has known this from the beginning, is that Iran has no money. They are broke. They have a oil economy. It is ninety percent of their economy. They're broke. We know it, they know we know it. And as the New York Post is analyzing it, which is different than what I thought about until I read it, if that's true, they're believing a deal is closer than the chaos that

we're hearing about hour by hour is suggesting. But only if Washington is using the right instruments. Then they go into more specific analysis to say in the air campaign produced real results.

might posture differently in public. And remember a lot of this is being put out there for the audience of the Iranian people as propaganda purposes and nothing else. But this naval blockade announced by the president is cutting off ninety percent of Iran sea born trade. That means the blockade has been a success, and the Iranians have tried to disrupt it. The Iranians have tried to create chaos. The Iranians are acting as though that they think that

they can control eventually the straight horn moves. But the one country that's going to need the straight of hor moves the most is going to be the Iran more than any other ones. The world is already looking for alternative roots and they're finding them in terms of safe passage for oil out of the Middle East. You know, now if you look at carg Island, they handle ninety percent of Iran's crude exports ninety percent. That's one point

five million barrels of oil a day. You know that that's two hundred million dollars in revenue that they're not getting in on any given day just from that one source of revenue alone. Their defense budget channels over half of those oil revenues go straight to the military, with the IRGC taking the largest cut that money. You know, at the time they had one hundred and ninety thousand personnel. We estimate now that the down to about one hundred

and thirty thousand. They've lost about sixty thousand IRGC troops. The blockade, which is different and separate from the CUTS Forces which is their real military, and the CUDS forces while larger, you know, when nobody's really heard peep out of out of where they stand on all of this, but the blockade squeezes Iran's imports and has made outbound

shipments far risk. Here that's where the five hundred million dollar four hundred to five hundred million dollar figure comes from and it doesn't even touch carg islands loading terminals, their story tanks, their pipelines connecting the island to the mainland. Now, Washington has struck Carg's weapons, it has not struck Carg's

wallet yet, it's not the same target. If you force ran and again this is the operation, the military operation, that would be a five minute operation for President Trump and our military if Washington strikes cargs wallet and they forced Iran to shut down production, and which now is even happening on its own because the blockade has been so successful to lack the storage of it, that's going to risk long term reservoir damage including you know, potential

permanent loss and what's called water coning and formation compaction effects that could immediately and permanently reduce future output and cash flow. Now, the second lifeline is floating, the floating reserve of two hundred million barrels of Iranian crude that sits on tankers in and around you know, different areas in the Strait of Hormus and nearby areas, you know, and five months of exports supply that the IRGC stockpile before the war as a financial cushion. That's fine, and dandy.

But you know, even if they had a couple of months worth, that's still not going to be enough to get them out of the economic stranglehold they're now in right at this moment, and the blockade and planned boardings do not fully neutralize this. As long as that reserve exists, the IRGC can sustain their current position. How long they can do it at most a month two months, not

going to go much longer than that. So a targeted strike on CARGS loading equipment, their trucks, they're pumps, the manifolds, the loading arms that move oil from storage onto tankers. Under normal conditions, the equipment can be repaired fairly, fairly expeditiously. Under sanctions and spare parts not being available, the timeline now stretches into months, if not years, over time, depending on how bad the damage is. So these facilities directly

fund the IRGC military operations. And I'm going to tell you something, as loyal as these people may seem, and as extreme as they may seem, once it impacts their life, because remember usually I r c GC members and cuts forces,

they were among the highest paid inside Iran. They live the wealthiest lifestyle that this this oil money does not flow to the people of Iran, although hopefully the idea would be that if they got you know, a different form of government and got away from this you know, radical Islamic theocracy that has been oppressing its people, that that would all change.

held in a neutral account pending verified IRGC compliance. I mean, there's there's a lot of ways that you can structure a deal where it's a trust but verified deal, and not one where they give you their word and then five weeks later you know, we're back where we were. But anyway, there's another piece that came out to and I guess this goes directly to the heart of all of the naysayers, the radical left in this country that wants Trump to fail, the Democrats that have been saying

from day one the president has failed. Meanwhile, It's one of the most successful military efforts in history, and we did so with great precision, avoiding as much you know, collateral damage as possible, targeting mill military targets, not targeting civilians the way the Iranians have been targeting civilians in Gulf States and obviously in Israel and Tel Aviv with their cluster bombs. But when Operation Epic Fury began Washington's class of foreign policy experts, they were warning that it

would lead to several unintended, alarmingly negative secondary consequences. And the consensus among the quote intellectual hate Trump, elitists on the left and the Democratic Party, and then the isolation as loudmouths that haven't learned a single lesson from history. But anyway, it was that the administration was not doing

the long term planning to prevent these bad outcomes. I can tell you firsthand every single thing that they have dealt with was thought about and planned for ahead of time, including the mining of the Strato Hormuz. That was not a shock to our military or to the president. It was something we thought was likely when we into this, knowing it would complicate things, but not preventing the president from achieving his ultimate goal, which is to have an Iram that doesn't have nuclear weapons.

not been anywhere near this conflict. This is the China does not like this. They get too much of their energy from that area. They don't want this to go on. They don't want this to continue. And let me see, this just came out. This is actually pretty interesting. The Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Lindsey Graham are now taking the first step to passing another reconciliation bill to

fund our great border patrol ice agents. Radical left Democrats, their so called leader crying Chucky Schumer, one of the most incompetent senators in American history, will try to offer amendments during the process to divide Republicans. Republicans need to stick together. I love the idea of another reconciliation bill, I really do so. With Iran losing five hundred million dollars a day, how much longer can they survive?

break at the request of the Pakistani Prime Minister. And you know, if you look at under President Trump's leadership as part of economic fury, you know, the Treasury Department is continuing to follow the money and target the Iranian regime's recklessness and those who would enable it got best and put this out and the regimes being held accountable for their extortion of global energy markets and indiscriminate targeting

of civilians with missiles and drones. These designations that that they have put in place, these sanctions that they have put in place now again are now bringing this regime economically to its knees. It's it's not very often that you have such a tactical advantage in war, where an economy is based on one thing, and pretty much one thing only like we're witnessing here. By the way, Linda,

there's a lot of other news today. Did you see a black bear finally fell from a tree after being hit with a tranquilizer A dart in all the name you're.

bless her. You know, I interviewed Gary Breco. We're going to drop the pod with Gary tomorrow, and he says, if you want to live to one hundred, it'll be your choice.

Why don't you buy something healthy? Why don't you get eggs? And I don't know, why didn't you get eggs and some ground beef? Eat something healthy? I thought that was pretty funny. I knew you'd be upset over the bear, but you know, you act like you're all into animals and then you overfeed your cat and you killed your cat.