#8 What are the odds??? Time to go back to back! - podcast episode cover

#8 What are the odds??? Time to go back to back!

May 23, 202420 minSeason 2Ep. 38
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Episode description

Welcome to another thrilling episode of The Muttlay Krew! This week, we're diving deep into the world of betting, emphasizing the importance of betting responsibly. Join us as we recap a whirlwind week of wagers, including Jake's 22 bets during the Magic Round and the Krew's combined efforts that led to a surprising profit.

We also share our personal bets for the upcoming week, with a mix of safe choices and bold predictions. From the Dragons' narrow victory predictions to the Cowboys' try-scorer bets, there's something for every betting enthusiast.

As always, we wrap up with our crucial and big bark bets, featuring our top picks and high-stakes wagers. Tune in for all the excitement, and don't miss our special Friday episode where we reveal our Origin teams. It's going to be a heated discussion you won't want to miss!

Transcript

Introduction to Betting Responsibly

Welcome ladies and gentlemen, welcome to another episode of the Muttley Crew and we're here to talk bets and we're talking about betting and we're talking about betting responsibly, so please do that ladies and gentlemen. And we're talking about betting. The week, uh, word. Fuck. The word of the week is a betting. And what a week of betting it was. I put on a ridiculous 22 bets over the weekend and do you know why? Magic round. Only reason why I'll ever do that, but it was great.

And I won 3 out of 22 boys, just to let you guys know. And I had a little bit of a profit. So, clear to say Jay did not gamble responsibly. I had a profit, so I felt like I did. Don't include a casino. Well, that's not betting. Yeah, nah, but yeah. That's propaganda. That's not sports betting. Propaganda. Yeah. But I have to also shout out the ninth game of the week, the Women's Rugby League, because that helped my betting and helped my profit, definitely.

Thank you very much. That's where all your profit came from. Yeah, I think it might have. All that was the profit. Yeah. At least we hit a sneaky two, didn't we? Hey. We hit a sneaky two for the weekend. Yeah, I was going to get to that. As the crew. The Muttley crew.

Unique Approach to Magic Round Betting

So we went a bit different. I know we didn't really say anything or post anything, but we went a little different for Magic Round. We just picked up. So we went all right. Yeah, well, we didn't really go that well, but anyway, we still came away with a profit. We decided we put together a scoring chart to come up with two try scorers from each game for the round. We had two wins, two voids, and four losses, totaling a profit of $55. Hey, that'll do.

I'm still a bit salty about our big bar, our big one. It should have got up. Why did we not do a better... Anyway, hindsight. But still, that's dumb. We were going all right, weren't we? We would have lost on the last one because we had Herbie. Oh, okay. Okay, that makes me feel a bit better. Yeah, but I would have been blowing up. It's like we forgot Gagway plays on the right. Yeah, I didn't know what you two were thinking, but I was like,

ah, well, fuck it. I didn't even think about it with Johnson being back because he normally does play on the left. But of course Johnson... No, Gagway's always played on the right. No, he played left when Johnson wasn't playing. He played left in the first game. He played left when Johnson wasn't playing. A couple of times. Anyway. That was his third game. Oh, yeah. Anyway, it should have been either Johnson or Luttrell. I didn't even think about with Johnson being back.

I just went, yep, Gagai has scored in both his games he's played. He's on. Didn't even click. Anyway, on to the next one. A nice profit for the Mightleys.

Moving on to Round 12 Bets

Anyway, let's get back into it. So let's get to round 12. It's just round bets. And let's start off with some personals. I'll just start off with my game result. It's my lowest one for the week. It's my games of the week results. I've got a couple of close ones here. Fuck me. When you're just trying to boost up the word amount in your essay. This is my game results of the week. So this is just the results of the games for the week. I've got a couple of close games happen this week.

Personal Bets for Dragons, Penrith, and Warriors

It's going to start off with the Thursday night game. I've got the Dragons to win 1-12. And what are these ones? Game results. Game results. Dragons 1-12. For the week or for the fortnight? What is it resulting? This. The Dragons 1-12 into Penrith to win 1-12 into the Warriors to win outright. It's paying a nice little $20.35 for those three leagues, so don't mind.

Mind i'm worried about the close games like always because i win by 14 but it'll happen so yes that's my first personal bet thank you ladies and gentlemen. Right i well i might just jump in next here and go probably one of the the safest bets i've ever done probably not let's not say the safest bet i've ever done but one of the lowest odds personal bets i've ever done put it down as a record i've got uh any three players well like it's three Three separate players to combine for three or more.

And I've gone in the Cowboys game for Jeremiah Nanai, Murray Talangi, and Braden Burns. Three or more between them for $2.30. That's a personal bet. That's my personal bet. Are you all right? Yeah, look. He's on the come down still. Jesus Christ. I'm building. I'm building. Yeah, so $2.30 for Nanai, Talangi, and Burns to combine for three or more tries. Two or three. Single. That's gross. Yeah, wow. That's stunning. Hey, I just need to get on the board in me personally.

Let's just get on the board, and then we'll start rolling, shall we? I'm not going to lie. That's thrown me for a little bit. I'm just trying to find mine. Sorry. I'm going. We must have switched. It's thrown me. We must have switched a little here. Because I've gone a little bit bigger for one of my purses. He's gone odds of $1,000. No, no. And you're going to laugh at me when I say I've gone a bit bigger. Because it's $17. I was going to say $4.50. A little bit higher.

So for Indigenous Round, I've gone with Luttrell and Alex Johnson to combine for three or more for Souths. $10.50. $5.50. Oh, look at him venturing out. Eh? Eh? Past the $5 buoys. Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha. Yeah, you should have been. So just quietly, last time I was with Alex Johnson in a bet, he got injured and he was out for the rest, like eight weeks. He thought, you know what? He looked good last week on him. Bloody hell. Beautiful. I'll go to another one. I found some value with this one,

boys. I'm really, I'm keen for this one. I've already chucked a couple of dollars on it because it's pain amazing. For two legs, it's my big boy anytime try score this week. And I found I got a little bit rocked when you told me he's on the bench now but I'm still feeling like either Robbo changed or anything but I've got Butcher and Isaiah Papalia any time try scores. And that Butcher got dropped altogether. Are you on Egan? Egan Butcher. Egan! Jesus. Egan Butcher and I've had $33 And who?

And Isaiah Papalia playing back for the Tigers in the center against the Cowboys who love a try in the middle. So $33 for those two to crash over. Yeah, right. Yeah, right. Wow. What else have you got, Codes? Have you got something slightly bigger? Are you going lower again? Yeah, no, no, no. I'm going again. You know how I make the rule. I made the rule, and then you just break the rule straight away.

Cody’s Rule-Breaking Personal Bet

Well, maybe I'll change it, so I'm not breaking the rule. But then now, if I change it now. Righto, so first of all, I'm riding the wave, so I've just got two winning time trial scorers, the big boys. I've got my fucking best mate, Hazleton, any time. That's going to be three weeks in a row, though. No way. And I can't decide between AFB or fucking Baldy. What's his name? That I picked last week and he fucking got over two.

Nicholls? Yeah, between AFB and Nicholls. I was going to take all three of them, but AFB versus Nicholls. So I've got to pick one. But I also said that I should never bet on Warriors games ever again. Because I always lose them. I feel like you should already do this bet because you're going for a frontrunner score two weeks in a row. Three weeks in a row. Three weeks in a row, I just don't love that. It's a personal bet, mate. You're right. I feel like AFB is you.

He's back in New Zealand. He's wrecked it. I think all he's tried to fully be is New Zealand. Nah, I'm sticking with it. Hazleton, AFB, any time for $20.16. You're right. The big boys.

Look, I'm going another one And I've brought it back down a little bit And I've just gone for Because I've got to get the Seagulls in there Because I think they're fucking great value at the moment At home, underdogs Jerome Hughes is probably going to pull out, And I didn't know who to pair them up with because everything else was a bit too short. And some other ones that were a bit short, I wasn't confident in. But I'm confident in these guys. Not really, but I'm doing it. Bulldogs.

Bulldogs and Seagulls just to win outright. $3.53 for those two. Did you even tip the Bulldogs? I did. So what have you got on there? Bulldogs and? Bulldogs and Seagulls just to win head-to-head. $3.53. You're an animal. Yeah. Okay. What was that? I'll get to it. I'll get to my big dog bet.

Exciting Indigenous Round Bets

And you did say it is Indigenous Round this week. So I found a little... Anyway, let's get to my last bet of the round. And it's my hot boy bet. And I feel like Indigenous Round, so I feel these guys, that's going to help them get up for the game. So I've got Jack Wyden, Brian Kelly, and Tyrell Sloan. And I just think he's due and a bit more value to get into this bet. I've got Xavier Coates.

Four try scorers He's paying $50.86 Which I love, And if you don't want to go that big I think just Brian Kelly He's a shout Because he's paying like $3.80 Any time And he's been in red hot form Yeah And it's a district round Which he will get up for Righto So now I know you said I've changed up a bit It was a bit different, But don't worry boys The real Cody's still here boys.

I've gone Across two games games, across two upsets, I've tipped the Warriors and I've tipped St. George, so I think a couple of upsets for the weekend, and I've gone both of them 1-12, Warriors to win 1-12, St. George to win 1-12, and then I've chucked in a few try scores. So for the Warriors game, I've gone one from each team, I've got Tua Pickie, and I've got the Hammer Anytime And then for The St. George game I've gone Steven Crichton And Zach Lomax.

So Warriors 1-12 with Tua Piggy and the Hammer, and St. George 1-12 with Crichton and Lomax. Coming in at a staggering $255.93. Why is that so high? I have no idea. It surprised me too. You're wrong. It was just the two teams, 1-12 with four try scorers. I guess there's a lot of try scorers, but... Yep, just six legs. Yeah, but it's like when you've got that 1-12 plus all these try scorers, Because if you need that try score, it could bump them out of that 1-12 or put them in.

Still worth a good couple of dollars. Like a fiver. Gamble responsible. That's why when I put it in, I'm like, wow, that much? Really? But that's where we sit. I wonder if he's reversed at the 13 plus. I wonder what it would be. No, it'd probably be sort of the same. The 13 plus for those teams would be even more because they're both the outsiders. Yeah, right. Anyway, boys. Let's finish it off strong, Kyle. Well, we can't have a round without a Roosters same-game multi. Oh, here we go.

Why don't you get a bit dangerous in this Roosters bet, Kyle? Why don't you get a bit dangerous in this Roosters bet? Mate, no. Don't change the formula. You don't need to change it. You know? We're winning. Pick them to lose. Pick them to lose. I've just gone... I've held some red-hot value here. So, the Roosters' right edge is fucking horrendous. Dom Young can't defend. Loves to jam in, but I think he might hold off, not jam in, right?

And it's Indigenous round. Just because you're betting on him, this one round. Indigenous round. Seb Chris is getting over on that left side. I do like that. $3.80. $3.80. I do like it. But I got him last week, so I just left it. And we got on the right center against the Raiders last week, and he got over. Because he didn't pass to his winger. And guess who's at right center this week who doesn't like to pass to his winger?

Risky Roosters Bet Analysis

Joey Manu. So, Joey Manu and Seb Chris, any time, $8.50. Look at you go. Is that it? Yep. Couple extras, mate. What does that idiot reckon? Dom Young's going to score, obviously. I'm not adding him. So, chuck him in. Nope. And then I reckon Angus Crichton's due, too. And then that's nice. Angus Crichton's due? Yeah. Brother, last week was the first week he hasn't scored in about four weeks. Exactly. That's why it's due. Nah. I like that. Those two young... You can do whatever you want.

You can add to it. That sounds nice. But when Seb, Chris and Joey Manu score and Dom Young doesn't, I'll laugh at you. I'll score. Beautiful. Lovely. That's our personal bets for the week, boys. Hopefully get a hit, get a win. It'll be nice. Jump back up. Green ticks. But let's get to it. Let's get back on this winning streak. Even though it's different, but let's do it. Let's start off with our crucial, boys.

Crucial Bets for the Week

Let's get one. We've been getting very close to the crucials. We even had one. So I feel like we can keep climbing. And I'm going to start off with a nice guy who has burnt us a lot, but fuck, he has to score, right, boys? He's got to score. Orange is coming up. He's playing at home. Hold on. Are we doing big buck or crucial? Crucial. You're going crucial first. That's why it's scaring me. Valentine Holmes, $2.20, baby. He is scoring. Surely against the Tigers.

Has to. Oh, no, don't do it. As soon as you were like, he's burnt me before, I'm like, yeah. How much was he, sorry? $2.20. Right. So, a little bit high, but I think it's really good. We have taken Val Holmes in a crucial before. I know. I think it's pretty short. And he lost. Been him every time. That's why he said it's burnt him. It was you that took him last time. I think it was you, Cody. It was you. Did I take him? It was that week that he was versing. Shit team.

He was versing a shit team. He's paying over $2. Yeah. That's what I'm a bit worried about too, but I'm like, no, he scored. It's crucial. It's happened. Okay. And he didn't score last week, so I like that too. Well, for my crucial. I don't know. I'm going across to the Melbourne Storm game. And I've got me Will Warbrick at $2.05. The right centre. The right centre. Right winger. Right winger, obviously. He scored on the weekend, which was a red-hot solo try.

$2.01, sorry? $2.05, which I did really like. Warbrick at $2.05. That is the weakest side of Manly, so I like that. That's good. That's good. All right. Time to round it off. Now, again, we touched on it, Indigenous round. He's been in contention and talked about for a Blues jersey. Great. He's going to shit himself. Yeah. I'm going Latrell Mitchell anytime. Oh, I mean, he has been playing poor, but he somehow jags tries. He's been scoring tries.

He's $2.10 against an Eels outfit that concede over 40 points without yellow. At $2.10, that's fucking juicy. That's money. That's money right there, baby. So, yeah. So, boys. $2.46. I've got about $9.50, maybe. Holy fuck. That's good from him. Did he nail it? Almost. $9.47. Oh. Getting better at this quick maths. $2.46. $9.50. You've nailed it. You've absolutely nailed it. That's a good amount for a crucial. Not too much, not too low. I like it.

High-Stakes Big Bark Plays

$9.47. seven. Get amongst it. Gamble responsibly. Now let's get to our big bark, boys. Let's get to some big and juicy plays. Again, I really like mine, but I'm worried he did score last week, so it's a bit of a juju, but I just think he's going to score again. Is he ju or not? He's just red hot. Oh, juju. He's paying $5. Holy fuck. But he loves a try. And it's Jacob Preston from the Dogs. $5, baby. From number 17. Number 17. Off the bench. He's going to start.

He's jumping in. He's going to play a lot of minutes. I like it. If he was starting, he wouldn't be paying $5. Yeah, it's the off the bench, though, that scares me. That's all. You just don't know what the rotation is going to be like. But he does normally get a lot of minutes, whether he comes off the bench or not. He's one of their best forwards. So, like, he's fucking better than James Salmon. So, he's going to get minutes.

James Salmon is straight back in, mate. Back row. Dub. Which is, yeah, strange Alright, so for mine Another one who's been burnt by Who's burnt Jake before And when he's brought it up before I thought, oh fuck I've done it, But I just feel, Hey, everyone else is doing it Indigenous round, They've moved him into the 5-8 role He's closer to the ball I think he's going to have a red hot chop at the line Cody Walker I've got.

No Old Jackie Whiten I like it Because I doubled up I just feel like He's just gonna Really try and Yeah pretty much Basically What did you say he was paying?

$3.30 Yeah Well that's probably Preston played 52 minutes last week I don't know what the matter Probably not a good Good thing for, Kyle's personal bet over there With Trelli and, Ah well neither team plays defense So it'll be fine Yeah true truth that whole left side of school well you guys have changed mine what we've changed yeah because I don't like the I'm not a fan of that press and one only because he's come off the bench so I'm not gonna go as safe as I was but I should break the

hoodoo but I'm not he's going to $51 favorite off the bench, I'm going back into the- He's got Josh Kerr. I'm going- I originally had the Sharks 1-12. She'll pick it, Benji's, I'm picking Whiten. And you've gone, yeah, what, 1-12. Yeah, I had the Sharks 1-12. I had that locked, but you've changed my mind. And I think his move to the right edge might be an omen. Victor Radley anytime. Holy shit, where you going, Victor? Oh, Victor Radley. I hate it.

Victor the Inflictor. You know what? This is not my first game of knifey spoonie, boys. This is going to be pain. You know what? You know what's going to really frustrate me? If Preston scores, Wyden scores, Sharks win 1-12, and Victor Radley doesn't score. It's going to hurt my heart. 5-9, 12-12, about $74. He's not far off That's impressive $72.21 You're closer but you've gone over It's a $69.90 $69.30.

Jake’s Diverse Try Scorer Bet Selections

$69 a change $15 Oh my gosh that's juicy So Preston any time Radley any time White in any time Two forwards and a centre How many tries No two forwards and a Well, Benchy, a back rower, and a half. A 5'8", bro. Victor Radley has scored like 10 tries in his career. Bro, he's scored like four this season. He's been on a try to score in form. Okay, he's been at lock when he's scored them. But, you know, Nat Butcher scored a few at right.

Sotili. Yeah, they do jay a couple out there on that right edge. 17 tries in his career. I'm backing him, bro. I'm backing him. Two tries this year. I don't like it, but I love it. You don't like that, but you've picked a benchy.

Banter about Try Scoring Predictions

Mate, he's played 58 minutes last week. He's going to play- Bradley's going to play 80. Anyway, well done. Beautiful. 69-30. I'm going to round it.

Wrapping Up the Betting Discussion

Meow, meow, meow, meow. Get some bets, boys. Look out for our Origin teams coming up. Oh, yes. A little Friday- Friday- Special. Bonus pod. Special. A Jake. It's a Jake episode. It's going to be special. Make sure you bring your helmets, boys. Just Origin teams. You're going to get full on. I don't know if we're going to need the helmets. We might need the fucking boxing gloves.

The annoying thing is you're just going to sit there, and it's going to be Jake and I just going, fuck, and we're on the same team. And the best thing is I know, like you said, I like to sit on the fence of whichever one just pisses off whoever more. Yeah, it's fucked. I'm already going to get mad. I'm already getting mad. It was just an authority. Oh, I'm starting to. I'm not going to pick him because Cody will fuck me. What's the stuff that like mellows you out and not the illegal one?

Melatonin. I got medical cannabis. It's not illegal. You want some? That's a good idea. Let's do it before the potty. Oh, fuck yeah. It'll be illegal for him. It'll be illegal for me if it's not- He doesn't have the card. Yeah, I need to be prescribed it. Fucking give you a card. Here we go. Yeah, right. Okay, guys. All right, bye.

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