#17 What are the odds??? Finals Week 1

Welcome, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to an episode of The Monthly Crew, and we're here with Kyle and Cody, and we are in the... Sibel-ing of podcast areas. Sibel? Yeah, I don't know, it doesn't really work either. But we're here to talk some rubber lay, we're here to talk some files, and we're here to talk some bets and slips and tips and... Tricks. Green tricks, baby. Tricks. Green tricks. Green tricks. Green tricks is a flower, it's also known as a kiwi dalalamuskisk.

Yeah, so that was 100% wrong. Is that a coloured flower? But no, it's pretty much a green, fluffy carnation. It looks pretty cool, guys. Get around them. They are very expensive, though. So just to let you know. But anyway, we're not here to talk flowers. We're here to talk zing. What just happened? You're ducking and weaving. Fucking mom and aunt. He's funny because I told you it's green when it's called a green trick. Is that why? No. No, no, no, no, no.

Sorry, what's your name? My name's Jake. And we're here to talk rubber leg tips and bits. Jake the Musk.

Let's get Australian We've got finals football And we can't fucking wait We are thriving How'd we go How'd we go last week Quick recap We did get a win We got another win Okay boys This was So far every week We've done this This new style We've won At least one each week Yeah so First of all it started Except for fuck whatever Yeah Jake that is Jake I reckon I've hit a lot of ticks And not all together Yeah Can't grope So it was It was a rollercoaster Because I remember When we put all these

bets on I was like I'm vibing this week I reckon we could go large, Mike we're all vibing that Roosters bet oh man but Marty didn't look like scoring a try hook his name didn't look like a footballer no not really.

Nick Meaney holds onto that ball we pocket ourselves 300 bucks we get we get the crucial if he catches it was in his hands I'm sure you guys saw it he was over the line ball was there honestly I was I was with Bellamy on that blow up you think Bellamy was bad You should have seen it once the other two green ticks came through Oh man And it actually cost us Because as soon as I saw Teddy score for Chooks, Because what was our other I can't remember what the last leg was But I probably

got it in front of me But then It went south from there We weren't looking good on anything, But then yours truly come through with a fucking absolute- Old trusty Kyle. Old saver on the Sunday. Small odds of the week. Got up. Kyle understands betting. Yeah, but that was actually pretty high for him. It was. It was. It wasn't the smallest odds, thank you. Oh, damn. One of my other ones. Oh, okay. One of my other ones. The Raiders game was the smallest one, which I had. I had weeks.

I liked the back three for the Raiders to score two or more. Zach Lomax two or more. Did anyone else have the bra to score off his own kick? No, but he fucking cost me money, the bastard. $1,300 most likely. Yep. But yeah, no, we did have that win on the Sunday, which was Sharkey's minus six and a half, Katoa to score first, second or third, and Nikara or Ramian any time for $15.50. So on the new system, we are plus. But I did tell you just to go either, Ramian. Like, go both of them to score.

But you didn't listen to me. And if you did, we would have been fucking.

We would have lost. I'm betting experts over you. Ramian didn't score. If you just went Nikara to score, You were so hot on it. You said either one. No, I thought they were going right, and I wasn't confident that one or the other would score. I just thought one of them would because I was actually more vibing Ramian, to be honest. Anyway, we got a great tip. You're the off-betting expert over here. Yeah, hasn't won a thing. So on the new system, we're plus eight, boys.

So for a $10 punter, you're up $80, and you've only won three out of 24.

Cheering. So happy days. Let's get stuck into it. This week, let's continue the ticks. Penrith versus Roosters we start off, and it is yours truly to start off. I get the double dip this week, which I like, but I'm nervous about it because I haven't hit one yet. But we'll see what happens. I'll give you two chops this week, Kyle, and I only get one chop apiece. Big thing about finals, I feel. I'm feeling good about mine too.

You get some good odds in finals football, and that's because it's hard to fucking do shit. Hard to cross that stripe, baby. So I'm starting off well. I'm doing a bit of a Cody bet. Kyle called it straight away when he saw it. Because I've got the Roosters with the line. I am tipping Penrith to win, but I think it's going to be close. I've got the Roosters to hold on to the line of eight or seven and a half points. I think Brian Toe will score one of the first three tries.

First, second, or third. I think he'll just go over early. That's what they do. I don't know if he's playing left or right wing, but they're going to go to Toe. And I think he's just... If To'o's on the left, that's a fucking great play. Because guess who's defending on the right? Dominic? Yes. So that's a great play. And then I just think... Cleary back in, right center. They're always a bit better, and Targo just plays better if Cleary's in. So, I think Isaac Targo will also score a try.

I like it. So, $31.25 for that reverse-y bet. I don't mind that. Next game. Well done from you. We're going to Melbourne. We've got Melbourne versus Sharks. Who is it on? That's on me, boys. And I've got the Sharkies again. I'm vibing this one. And you boys might fucking have a little froth over it. Anyway. A little froth. It's a bit juicy, isn't it? So Ryan Pappenhausen has a pretty good record for Melbourne in finals when they're the favourite. Oh, does he now? Yeah.

So I'm taking Paps to score any time. Bit of a Papschmier. Papschmier, yes. Hopefully not as painful. I don't really know if they are. I don't think they hurt, bro. You just had to leave it at Papschmier, brother. For people that don't hurt, they just feel weird, I've heard. I like to process it. Because they're Schmiering your pat. Yeah, right. Anyway, I said. Licking lollipop. I was going to say, they can't see what you're doing. They just hear you going.

Yeah, but not with the tongue. I think they use like a tool and they scrape. Yeah, I had one use. It didn't use a tongue. That's not very professional. Oh, good. Jesus Christ. Yeah. Perhaps we need to scrap. I could try it. Scrape your vulva. I almost got a fucking spray from Cody. Oh, hey. Anyway, back on. Just casuals, yeah. Back to the betting. Ryan Papschmier any time. Ryan Papschmier any time. And then I said the Sharkies were going to go right all last week. They did.

I think they're going to swing back to the left, older Ronald Militalo any time. Oh, hey. And then I don't know which way Melbourne's going to do it, but they're doing it. Either Xavier Coates or Will Warbrick To score a try in the first half I like it but I think it's going to be shit odds.

$22.50 I feel like I want to change my bet now That was good I feel like I want to change my bet Yeah nah, But no I think I like yours I'm going to keep it I do like it Because I think that if mine doesn't go up See I hedged my bet I hedged a little bit there We've got to take wheat Coates, Cody we've got to help support this Yeah I know We've got to help support Jake We've got to fucking We've got to put him up, Righto then We roll into the third game Which is The mighty Newcastle Knights

Up against Cowboys That town Which is I Now obviously Knockout final We're going to bet A little bit differently here Because I've taken.

The Cowboys No So it was Jake It would be Knights Heavy Cody Last week he went Knights Heavy And it fucking made us win So go Knights Heavy again And win Fargus So what I've done, I'm starting off I'll start off by tickling Jake A little bit I reckon they're going to go left That's the Knights And I've got Marzu, Marzu Anytime He doesn't He doesn't reckon they're going to go left Bro we haven't gone left For the last fucking six weeks man So they're due Oh no Fuck it They've

ruined I've got the worst odds here By a mile And you've said I'm due, So I've gone Greg Marzu anytime Best not play now They're not going. Manifest. That's why. Manifest. Manifest isn't there, so Marzini's going to score. We're going every way because we're going to score eight tries. Then we flip across back to the Cowboys. What Kyle said earlier, I've got Val Holmes anytime. Good shout, great shout, kicking goals, highest point scorer Cowboys season is vibing.

And then earlier I said Tom Dearden, right? But I've hedged my bets a little bit here, and I've gone player A or player B. So I've got Tommy Dearden linked in with Murray Tulungi. Because Tulungi's a good shout. Yeah. He can score a try. So Dearden or Tulungi. But the only thing is, it's $8 odds. But I like the bet. Greg Marzu, Valentine Holmes, and either Dearden or Tulungi to score any time. Which? $8 odds. But you've got to think of it. We've only got the four plays on this

week. Playing smart, mate. I'm playing smart. Not like you fuckwits with high odds. You guys don't know how to bet. Can I make a bet with Cody's? Go on. that... You're the host. Why are you asking me? Take out Talagi from this bet. Dearden, Marzu and Holmes will not score this game. Any three of them. We're not going to score one. Okay, so what's the bet then? You want to lay down the bet? Does Cody agree? Does he want to make a bet?

Well, what's the bet? Well, he's obviously thinking they are going to score because he's putting money on them. I can't just say yes and then you go, ha ha, you owe me $400.

I need to know what the bet is. That's like this idiot last week at the Vic dick and he goes oi i bet you 50 bucks that that doesn't work out because there was someone over there like chatting up and i just like looked over and then it didn't work out he said nah you owe me 50 i said that's not how betting works brother i'm gonna shake your hand i'm gonna agree to it i can't just make shit up he goes no but obviously like i took that so you're

the opposite i was like but i didn't agree to it he's like what do you mean and i was like you can't just, So you've got to tell me what the bet is So, the bet is, That Dearden, Val Holmes or Marzu will not score a try We know what the bet is I'm just making it clear But what's the result? What's the punishment? What is the payout? Four pack of hard salo, aerated, no sugar Next podcast Next podcast, you reckon?

So Monday On Monday Yes And I'm fucked Yeah, whatever Done, deal, let's go So none of them score Neither of those three But if one of them score, you owe him a fallback. No, I owe him a fallback, which we're sharing. But if they don't score, he gets a fallback and no sharing. No, one to three. So you've got to share one, but you have the other three. And you don't get any. Yeah, fuck you, Carl. Fuck you. Yeah, fair. Unless you chip in for a 10-pack.

Jake already owes us a carton. Well, you owe me a carton. I owe the Muttley crew. I'm drinking six of them. Yes. No, it's one. Last week of the round. Last game of the round, baby. We got the Doggies versus Manly Seagulls, and it's back on me.

And I'm tipping Manly, so I'm thinking a bit Manly heavy. And I think he had a week off, so he's fucking going to come in hot, and he just loves a big game, and he loves scoring tries. I'm going turbo to score two. And then I can't remember what else I've done right now, because I already got rid of my best slip. Crichton Crichton yeah yeah Stephen Crichton is scoring big player big dog.

Captain of the Cowboys captain of the dogs I think he'll get over for the doggies in a finals game maybe the intercept he loves a good intercept trying to finals, and then I've got to finish off with the winger who is the red hot Lehigh, Hoppawattie to score any time I do like that Lehigh has had a great season so the big one is Toto to score a double but I think if they do win they're going to win by a bit and they're just going to pile on the points a bit and that is paying $29.

$29. Beautiful. Wow, Kyle. You guessed it correctly. I know. There's the internet struggling me. Just bang on. Bang on $29. I don't know what's going on. No dollars and cents. So that is mine $29. Bang. So your guys, you know, $8, $15 and then, you know, good old Jada's lifting them up. Lifting. To a $30 and a $29. Yeah, but you know it'd be really good if you actually fucking hit one.

Yeah, well, if I do. You're still the last one to hit one. If I do hit one, like Apicoros, I'll score it any time. It happens It helps. No, but it's got to be three legs. Bro, you're clinging on to State of Origin game one last year. You're still hanging on to that. No, I was using that as a reference of you hit that big one, and you're up for a long time. Yeah, but that was one leg, and it was up for a long time. You need to hit a three-legger. We could be fucking five years from now.

Yeah, but, boys, that one time I hit Epic Coruscant, and he thought I'm in State of Origin. On his deathbed, like, what's his final words going to be? Remember that time when I took Epic Coruscant in the Origin for $9? Anyway, beautiful. He scored. So there are our same-game multis. Get around them. Enjoy them. They're on the feed. You can give them a follow. You get a jump on them. And, you know, I think you should jump on it at a strike rate. One round.

If you jump on all four, put $10 in each, you're going to come up profit. Yeah, you'd be in the green right now. Yeah. Yeah. So let's get to it, boys. Let's get to that time of the round. Together responsibly, please. Getting to the big buck and the crucial. How did we go last week on these, Kyle? We didn't have much chat about them, so I don't think we did that well. Well, as I said, Nick Meaney holds that ball. We win our crucial.

Oh, ouch. I missed that. I didn't know we needed him in the same game as well.

Well yeah no no i well we did say at the start of the episode that if nick manny holds the ball we would have won 330 from the crucial because yeah we did how much was on the crucial yeah just paying 11 bucks i thought that was the same gamer no 11 bucks for the crucial oh he's just got to the party oh here he is look he's fine and then that's even better if we were to that's what i mean fuck him fuck him on the first on the first night when he drops

it you go oh that's the same game i was like oh that sucks a little bit not even was that fucking crucial that was that crucial And then we went on to go tick, tick for the other two try scorers. Park, ouch. Yeah. Now I understand why Kyle was so angry about it. Yeah, that's what we're saying. Yeah. Righto, let's rip in here. Let's get to them. Yeah. And how'd our big bark? Any ticks there? No, all red crosses. All red, ouch. We had, because Royce Hunt didn't score. Oh, anyway.

He got bored in the starting side. You can tell it was the last round. Jerome Lewis didn't score and Jacob Preston didn't score. Yeah, I was spilling about Preston. Bulldogs didn't score six points. Penrith did not score on her eyes. Anyway, start again. Round one. Crucial, baby. Let's go crucial. I can't go past the man. It's out there, but it's the man. I'm going James Sadesco on my Crucial. He is paying $2.95, boys. Get around it.

James Sadesco. I know it's a bit over $2.50, but it's Teddy. That's good. That's three weeks in a row we've taken him in the Crucial. Oh, no. And he's two from two. Oh, I don't like that. Well, I'm going to go and back my man in my bet, Val Holmes. Val Holmes, $2.08, any time. I'll want him to score now, but then I'm going to buy a four-pack. Fuck. Nah, can we chain? That's too much contradiction myself there.

It's just for yourself, though. Yeah, I'm going to put him in the big buck as well, just to fuck you up. I'm going to put him for two in the big buck. I'm going Paps. Papsie. Paps any time. Two four-backs, Val Holmes. Me puppy. We're looking at $11.71, boys. Get around it. Mi Papi. Mi Papalangi. That's red hot. 11.71. We like the little, when they just go over that little 10, I like them. I like them. Okay, let's go big. And I don't want to go too big because I want to win some ticks here.

And I mentioned him in the preview. I like my boy. I think he's going to score. And that is Kula. Kula for medley. Tola, tola, Kula. Which I still feel good about, except someone said I said the words. And now I'm worried. But I don't think I did say the words. I can't remember saying those words. So I'm going Kool-Daw for $3.50, baby.

Well, you know where I'm going? I'm going there. Oh, no. There was a bit of talk about it at the start, but I reckon old Angus Crichton, he's going to work over Cleary, and I think he's going to find a bit of a gap. So you're just going to any game for your big buck? That's cool with me. Crichton. I thought that's what we started doing, because you were doing that. You were going rogue. No, I'm still going my own games, but I was going not on my bets.

Yeah. Oh, so we're still sticking our own games? No, you can do whatever you want. It's fine. It's only four games. I just think that's fucking, that's red hot for a big buck. Angus Croydon. Because obviously I can't bet on him because he's not my game. But I really like his odds. So just a quick little thing here, boys. So my same gamer that I mentioned just prior. I didn't read the market right. So I thought I had Will Warbrick or Xavier Coates to score any time first half.

You've got both of them to score. No, I've got one of them to score the first try. That's why. Either of them to score the first try. Okay, that makes sense. Yeah, that's why your odds were so high. I was like $4.50 for either of them to score in the first half. I was like, that's ridiculous. I'm jumping on that. Wear your glasses, bro. So you need them to score first. Yes. Will Warbrick or Xavier Coates. Oh, yeah. I've already put it on.

But that won't be my big buck. Because that's what was going to be my big bug for either of them to score in the first half. Oh, 450, yeah. Because you've seen the odds? Yeah. Now I'm kind of, yeah, fucked. Figure it out. But like Cody said, just go Kerbal. Go who you like in any game. Just fucking chuck someone. Who are you frothing? Go your man. Fuck it, go your man. Don't go your man.

That's too many roosters. Yeah, we're already on the roosters. Too much cock. Yes. Wait. That was a good one. Get around. This is fucking... But go someone. Yeah, pick someone, brother. We're running out of time here. I know. This has done me here. Fuck it. Will Warbrick. To score. Two or more. Where is it? What's he paying? Two or more. Why are you doing this? Fuck, Warbrick for a hat trick. He's paying $4.30 for two, Kyle. That's pretty good.

Fuck, go Kohler for two, Crichton for two, and Warbrick for three. No, Will Warbrick, first, second, or third. $3.40. Okay, that's right. Yeah, no, I like that. Thanks. Thank you. Well done. Under duress. I'd like to see you under duress. I'd like to see you undressed Beautiful In a sundress We're looking at $42.84 baby For our big bar I like that I like that What did you say it was?

$42.84 42 plus 42 is 84 I like that too The prophecy is aligning Ovary, Papschmier Love you Bye Ryan Papschmier So then I feel like We're going to put an even number on it Instead of 15 Because then it'll double up Gamble responsibly Up the dogs Bye.