#16 Beer, Bets & Tips: Always 1 leg short - podcast episode cover

#16 Beer, Bets & Tips: Always 1 leg short

Jul 02, 202550 minEp. 105
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Episode description

The episode kicks off with a hilarious introduction that'll set the tone for the rest of the show. We break down each game in round 18, sharing our expert insights and predictions. Dive into our lively discussions about top teams like the Raiders, Roosters, and of course, the Panthers, who are vying for some historical moments in this season.

Expect some colorful language and honest opinions as the panelists analyze team performances, key player contributions, and the impact of upcoming finals. This week features passionate debates about the top contenders and those on the edge of the competition, like the Warriors and Dolphins.

And don't miss our signature betting segment, "Crucial and Big Bucks," where we not only make bold predictions but also reflect on past near-misses in our friendly competition.

Join us for an uncensored, insightful, and downright entertaining take on Rugby League, where every round is a chance to witness history in the making and share a laugh along the way.

Transcript

Intro / Opening

You laughed at me. I've got some fucking numbers to lay out here.

Podcast Kickoff

We're not talking about that shit. Yes, we fucking are. Welcome, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to another episode of the Motley Crue. We're here to talk some spics and specs. We're here to talk the third by Rubby League. And if you're here for a censored podcast, you've come to the wrong spot. Thank you, Cody, for that quick little intro. Oh, no, I can smell you. This is definitely scented. And if you've come for a good... Oh, you fucking... And you've come for good

jokes. You've gone to the wrong spot too. Thank you, Kyle. He's fucking, he's tickled himself. But if you come here for the host of the most, then you're welcome. My name's Jake. And I'm here to talk about rugby league. Oh, my name's Jake. Did you get it? Can't bet. Can't talk. Rubbish. Fly, boys. But we are in round 18 of the rugby league. It is the third big buy round. It is the last big buy round. And this is the last week of not many rugby league games. So I'm getting keen for that.

And we're getting close, boys. It's a little while away, but finals are coming. We're checking that ladder after every week. And it's like, ooh. Fucking checking it twice. What's happening? Well, I'm not checking anymore. Measure twice, cut once, I say. I'm not checking anymore because Newcastle are gone. But anyway, I'm here. I reckon you guys are half a sniff now with Ponger out. You're a fuckhead.

But I'm true I'm here for I'm here for the who am I going for, Raiders hold on what if I'm going for someone I'm going for the Raiders I guess oh okay, that's the team you're jumping on or Panthers oh you would yeah fucking James for the storm oh, no no turncoat Newcastle oh fuck I'm on Saturday dressed in a Panthers fucking shirt I said fuck all about him all year we'll have been at the bottom as soon as there are and hit the finals.

Oh, yeah, I'm a Panthers fan. I've tipped them every week. And, no, I'm not turned proud of them. Maybe you might be able to borrow one of fucking James's eight jersey that he wears. I'm not a fan of any other team except Newcastle Knights and New South Wales and Australia. Fan. I'm just saying who I would like to see because I don't think Newcastle are going to win. You would love to see Panthers win a fifth one. For the storyline, bruv.

Mate, we're seeing history. We'll never see this again. We actually get to be alive right now. It's pretty cool. Okay, but if the Roosters win it, they're the first team to win after conceding more than 50 points. That's pretty historical and a fucking storyline. Concede 50 points in your first game of the season, win the comp. That would be good. That's a fucking storyline. Won't happen. So how about you go for the fucking Roosters, you piece of...

No way, because I have to deal with you. Look at you right now. Oh, I could I tell you right now, I'm taking 12 months leave without pay from work if we win this grand final. Definitely Warriors would be cool. Warriors? No Warriors. I'm worried they're falling out of Robbie Lee because after the results last week, yeah. What were the Warriors doing with Metcalf? Yes. But. Didn't he tear a calf? Played him injured the week before.

Yeah. And then played him again the next week. ACL gone, done, season out. Later, bye. When they've got enough wins that they could have had a couple of weeks without him playing. You're right, brother. I thought you were going to start crying. What was that? Plus, they've got a really good backup halfback. They could have even got that. Yeah, who's 11 in a row in fucking cup. Fuck me, Warriors. But anyway, we did have the Penrith Panthers knock over the Bulldogs with the

game of the year so far. What a game. And I'm telling you, Bulldogs are pretenders, and this was proven. The only try that they conceded was a fucking charge down. Otherwise, Penrith could not penetrate their line. Wild. Then we ended Friday night, and we had the Munley Seagulls get the job done against us. Sad Tigers. Tigers. The only one sadder than the Tigers? Turbo Vettner Senators.

He was getting a cold. Give me the ball! Looked like he was chucking a sook in the first half, and then in the second half, he fucking... I'll start roaming now, boys. And then Friday night, we did have the mighty, brave Newcastle Knights go down to the top of the ladder Raiders. This game sort of annoyed me, because Newcastle actually played decent, and it's like, why didn't we play like this 10 other games this year? We might have won a few more games, but we didn't. That's Newcastle. So,

Dom Young, shout out. Looked good. Brother, he thinks he looks good in that game. He just stood there and watched that one bounce. And he ran. He tried to catch it. He took a hit up from the middle of the field and ran over the sideline. And then we already talked about it, but the Warriors, they had a very disappointing. That's a quick move on from him. They're looking disgusting. And I'm a bit worried about the Warriors. They've got all the good wins.

They started well, and now they've dropped a couple games. They need to turn around. But the Broncos, the Broncos, are they turned around? Good. Looking better. The Warriors are six points from falling out of the eight. The comp is so tight, man. And then we had the absolute Pooh Slinger, the Dragons. The Dragons got the job done against the Parramatta Seals. I'm glad you cut me off to talk about the Dragons and Eels. I'm not going to touch on the games, mate. Yeah.

So we don't do classic muttly and talk about games for 30 minutes when we're not supposed to be. That's not the plan. Yeah, fuck you and your half an hour conversation. Because if we want to talk half an hour, we should be talking half an hour about the first game, but we're not. Anyway, then we get to the... because Saturday night. We could have. Saturday night. Banger. Dolphins fucking turned it back on. Had a little bit of a down game against

Newcastle last week, but... A bit of a Jake game. What's the most amount of 50-point games that a team scored in a season, you reckon? Oh. Mate, there's been some fucking... They've scored three and four. Melbourne Storm two years ago, or three years ago. They've scored three 50-point games in four weeks. There's been multiple teams that have scored three 50s in a row. Yeah. The Dolphins are chasing that against the Knights. Melbourne Storm fucking...

That's hectic. A few years ago. 50, 50, lost to the Knights, 50. And then probably West Tigers when they won, they were fucking scoring points for fun. So, yeah. Then we got this Sunday afternoon and we had Melbourne Storm, a little bit of flex of the muscles and just got the job done against the Sharks. Sharks, flat track pulleys. I don't know. They're a weird team. You'd know all about them, wouldn't you? No. I'm surprised you're not on them to win the comp.

No. You love them. I've heard you speak nothing but nice words about them over the years. I thought he was going to say the Broncos. They're still going to get close, but... To be honest, I actually thought he was going to be back in the dogs. Yeah, they've still won, like, eight games. Yeah, I know. The comp's a bit of a mess at the moment. Yeah, they're bucking buys. They should just turn... You've got the same issues if you don't give points for the buy. No buy points.

Yeah. Well, just get rid of the fucking boy. Get the 18th team in there, Kyle. Sorry, mate. I'll make a phone call to Andrew Abdo now. Oh, yeah. Tell me, Melman, you're going to hurry up. It's because there's only 17 teams in the comp that they have fucking five people ever by every origin, you fucking idiot. Then they would have six. It'd be even. Still boy. Oh, fucking hell. And then we finish off the round with the Cowboys.

You had the job done up against the bottom of the ladder. Shit is team in the league. Definitely not winning anything. Gold Coast Titans. Oh, fucking spray. We wouldn't buy the Cowboys. Oh, you're right about this league being, this season being, the ladder being like this, but there's one thing you know, Gold Coast, shit. You know what I want to see?

I want to see Tino. Another great round. Not give a fuck about his fucking sternum and just go out there and go all out for this fucking seat-like victory. Because what? You know, you save yourself and you go back to playing the Spoon

Bowl. Yeah. Yeah, well done. Yeah. You might as well just go out try and go for a man of the match performance win your state the fucking shield and then just don't play the rest of the season what's the point have a couple of years off and go over to Perth it's not a bad shout from you, now he doesn't want to fucking talk I know boys it's quick if we want a quick little chat, oh the latter are we happy to rule out these teams and make your final football

Gold Coast Titans no nah everyone's still a chance brother okay we're not going to have this chat. I didn't think we wanted to spend too long talking about stuff. It was a quick yes or no? Look, to be honest, Titans, yes. Rabbitohs? Titans, no. Rabbitohs, no. Eels? Well, Rabbitohs, what? They finally had their first choice backline. In the shithouse. Got pumped. Eels? Yes, they're out. West Tigers? Go on. Yes, they're out. Newcastle? Yes, they're out. Cowboys?

Yes, they're out. Ooh, Dragons? Yeah. Yes, they're out. Yeah. Sharks? No. Are we going Premiership threat or just to make the A? Make A, let's make A. It's a 10-horse race. 10-horse, yeah. I'm going 10. But you said yes to the Rabbitohs. So it's 11. Oh, Warriors are a no. Not even making an 8th. Yeah, no. Wow. I think the loss of Metcalf and Barnett's too much. They're going to drop that many games. I don't know. I want to see how they

play with... Brother, they lose two more games. They're out of the 8th. The young fella. Nah, Tanner Boyd. I want to see how they play with Tanner Boyd, and I'm interested to see who they put at fullback. Whether or not Tua Picky is actually injured, or if Tua versus Sheck will slide back in. Round 18, July 2nd, Mr. Kyle with the take, Warriors falling out of the eight. Write it down. Lock it in. $20. I don't want to see it because I fucking love the wires. Everyone loves the wires. But careful.

Careful how many words you say. I reckon they- Hey, you keep your words to a minimum. Don't fucking talk too long. No, words are fine. It's time. Don't fucking talk too long. Fuck, cut you off. And I also reckon Dolphins are pretenders. Careful. Dolphins? Yeah. Careful. They're technically fifth right now, you know. Technically.

Technically, by round 27, they're out of the eight. Dolphins, they're playing the season game of, if we can just put 50 on as many teams as possible, that narrows down who can actually fucking win the comp. It's true. Because how many teams have had 50 put on them so far? Six. Quite a few. Roosters, three by the Dolphins. Storm put, what, fucking 60 on Tigers. So there's at least five teams that- Gold Coast, Rabbitohs. You can't at all. Parramatta.

Cowboys. Tigers. Dragons. Who put 50 on the dragons? Maybe no one. No, dolphins did, didn't they? The dolphins put 50 on the... So teams that cannot... So eels, titans, tigers, dragons, rabbits. Dragons, rabbits, yeah. So that's just... So not the tigers. Huh? The tigers haven't been on there yet. Yes. I said the tigers. Eels, titans, tigers, dragons, rabbit-o's. And then you've also got... And the roosters. Roosters. I've got to go to the away scores. Hold on, just give me a sec.

Oh, so there might be... So there's six teams that are gone. Gone. And then, yeah, Roosters, Eels, Cowboys. And then technically, if we're being fair dinkum about it, who's the closest to falling out of the four? Warriors, you reckon? Yeah. I can't believe we're falling out of the eight. I think the other three are lost. No, no, no. The other three, I think Raiders technically can't. Fall out of the four or fall out of the eight? I don't think they could.

I highly doubt they fall out of the eight because they've still got two buys. They've still got two buys. Yeah, them Bulldogs, and they've got a fucking nice little run too. Oh, they've got a great run home. Yeah. The Bulldogs, holy. So Raiders will come first. Storm will come second. Dogs might finish third. Dogs are second, brother. I picked it from the start of the year. They're not second, no way.

I picked it from the start of the year. Oi, I'm fucking almost red hot with Penrith coming in at fifth too. Oi, tell me this too. Yes. What's Ricky going to start doing towards the back end of the year when they're actually looking like, normally he comes out and is like, yous are all against us. We'll show yous. How's he going to get them up? You're going to see Vitaly be like, oh, we've done nothing now. We haven't. We've done nothing.

Yeah, because I think that's a trend with Ricky's coaching. He's always underdogs back against the wall. When he's the underdog, he's a fucking threat. But when he's top dog, nah. That's what I mean. I don't know what he's going to say. Like, boys, no one can think we win. Yeah, everyone can think we can win. Oh, fuck. Now what? Fuck. Anyway, quick. That was good. I like it. So 10 horse race and the Warriors falling out. I like that chat.

And the Warriors and the Dolphins not making eight. That's crazy. I reckon the Dolphins can still make it, but they're still in the race. But yeah, Dolphin, Warriors. Mate, this isn't a real eight. This is Rugby League. Yeah. It's not Queensland, Ian. We're not fucking running. Anyway, let's get to it. Round 18. Good song. Round 18 of the Rugby League. It's a little boy round. Excuse me. As mentioned, yes, sir. We need our tips and best results. Thank you very much. From last week? Yep.

Oh, yeah. No, no. Just bets and... Just bets? Okay. Just bets. No, no. We'll just do bets. Yeah, let's just do bets. Just tips your dog. All right, boys. You know, because you's fucking absolutely fed me last week, and I took all your criticism on board, and I came out, and I fucking hit my big buck. Wait, you're two-legged board shit. No. I hit me big buck. I hit me crucial. Got the double tips? And what the fuck did you do? All about it. You're out there fucking slinging shit.

Fucking bullshit. Okay. Just before we get into that Now there's been Boys we've had a fucking Tide turn here Yes Jake got into the lead yet So this week This week head to heads Seven baby You got six bud No I fucking did it So your tips were What did I change You had fucking Panthers Tick Seagulls Tick Raiders Tick Broncos Eels Rabbitohs Storm Cowboys Yeah. That sounded like more than six. He got Panthers, he got Seagulls, he got Raiders, he got Broncos.

He lost on the Eels, lost on the Rabbitohs. You just started saying fucking team names. You didn't say win or lose. Oh, sorry. You don't know who won. You went tick, tick, tick, and then just named five teams. I was like, what's going on here? Yeah, you went Eels. Yeah. Fuck, I definitely didn't do Eels. Cody, you and I got four head-to-head. Hey, I thought I was only getting like two or three mates, so four is good. Not bad. On the lines, Jake, you won with six.

Cody with five. I got two. Finally back in a bit of form. I've fallen away on the line, baby. Anytime for our scorers. Boys, I shit the bed again. I'm in early season Jake form at the moment. So I'd lost 15 straight at one point. Got 15 wrong straight. Holy. The only one to win for me was Beau Furmore at the end of the round. Yeah, funny that one. Yeah. Cody, you got six points for the try scorers. You got four out of eight. You got Sadowski, Flanagan, Katoa, Drinkwater. So what's that one?

Flanagan? Oh, you're joking. See, this bloke just gets rugby league. And then fucking Carter. Eight, baby. Got five out of eight for eight points. Oof. Top of the ladder. Five out of eight. So for the round, Jake, you pumped it with 20 points. Oh, that's the highest ever. No, it's not. It is. Cody, 15, and yeah, but anything's higher than 12. And then, well, actually 13 onwards. Yeah, Cody, 15. You've lost me. You've lost yourself, man. So the flip has happened.

Jake, you are no longer last. Number one. Number one in your hearts and number one in the list. I don't know about that. Anyway, you are number one on our list. Yeah. There is a list somewhere with you at the top, brother. So, I've actually, yeah, I've gone to last. I'm on 184. Cody, you're still second at 186. Hey, just mediocre. That's me, brother. And Jake, 189. Holy dick. So, just to give you a bit of a scope on the try scorers,

right? You know how I was out to a massive lead early on? Mm-hmm. Jake, we're all tied on 65 now. 65 points. Yep. And Jake's had the least amount of potential points. Because I don't know how to hit the big ball. So he's just completely swung me. In terms of actual head-to-head tipping, Jake, you and I tied on 66. Cody, 64. And the spreads, Jake's taking the lead in the spread. They're on the line. Hey, I've got a line lead. Yeah. You've got 58. Cody's 57. I'm 53.

Damn, son. Who's that? How bizarre. How bizarre. He's finding his form late. If only he could find some form in some fucking betting. If he's tipping, I'm on 69. Kyle's on 69. All right, Cody, Jake, I had to give you all that info because I'm about to fucking destroy your world. No, I don't really care because I've never been a bettor and never will be. Yeah, we can tell that.

Oh, okay. He says you're the just fucking last week when you sprayed the fuck out of me for not hitting the bet and costing us so much money. And then you roll out the next week and cost us a big buck. So, boys, I've gone through the season. That's the big buck. You did. You did last week. You know what happened, man? So you did last week. You did the week before. Hey, stop your pissing comp. You're bullshit. All right?

So I ran the numbers on it. Okay, two same games. You're talking to three same games over here, mate. Yeah, big dog over here, mate. Can't hit a big buck. So shut the fuck up. Listen to me speak. What's a big buck? Nothing. We haven't hit one. Exactly. Yeah. Exactly. Two samers. Listen here for a second. It's a wee problem. So on Crucials, right? On Crucials, we've missed a Crucial by one leg on seven occasions. Oh, ouch. So we've missed out on a total of $1,800 by one leg.

Now, I've broken that down by per person as well. I don't feel like... So I've cost us two for a total of $542. Cody, you've cost us two partials. so the one leg's been voided for a total of $222. Jake, you have cost us on three occasions for a total of $1,100. Yeah, cop that. Yeah. Cop that, bitch. I don't like these numbers. I don't like these numbers. I can send you the fucking screenshot of the fucking thing. I owe you two and I'm three, but it's $600 difference.

Because the odds were bigger. Obviously. And that you've cost us. Then we get into the big bucks. Ha ha ha. It might be tidy. We've missed our big barks by one leg on five occasions. Fuck, really? Yeah. Four full ones and one partial. Two back to back. Yep, the last two weeks. We've been close. So total amount of money we've missed out on by one leg is $3,500. $3,500. I've cost us none in the big bark department. Because when you don't hit, nothing hits.

Cody. Because you just don't hit. Cody, you've cost us twice for a total of $1,900, which included the one with Payne Haas for $1,400. Yeah, I was going to say one of them in there was massive. Yeah, it was huge. Jake, you've cost us two full times and the partial and have missed us out on $1,600. And that partial one was literally just your leg. They're both of ours voided. Yeah, Wade Egan voided and Campbell Graham voided. You had Brendan Peacore any time.

I want a crucial that way. I didn't want to be graphed that way. Nah. Jesus. So overall, yeah, as I said, we've... What's our overall over-unders? Ticks and flicks. Money loss generated. You don't want to know that number. Oh, I know, but all of us are negative. But I'm pretty sure I was first the last time we checked. Oh, you want our individual? Yeah.

No, you're back to second. Damn. I'm negative 137. Cody you're negative 141 that's if a breakdown by singles not the multis and then Jake you're negative 194 I was going to say how can I be second and I've won three bets. Because you didn't put it in the Origin one. No, this is not the Origin. Hey? That's if you hit your single legs in our bets. Yeah. No, I know. So I thought that the Origin ones would count too. No, I haven't incorporated that yet. No, no wonder I'm second.

$4. But yeah, with our system, with the way we're going with the big bark and the crucial, and then $5 multis, yeah, we're down a bit of money. Oh, yeah. Do you want to know the figure? Not really. Okay, good. We're close to being locked up. Oh, we've just got to hit one, boys. That doesn't even include the fucking $200 bets that we put on as well. No, that doesn't include that. Oh, okay, good. Yeah. Nah, that makes me feel better. Nah, go on. What is it? 12.35?

We're down 11.29. Oh, good guess, Cody. 29? Who put on the $4 bet? No. No, it's from the return. Oh, gotcha. Yeah, I was like, what the fuck? But, boys, we hit a fucking crucial big buck. We're back in the green. So, hey, but we're down that much and we've missed out on what? 4,900? And going on the trend for our big bucks, right? As long as I hit mine this week, we should win because two weeks ago, Cody, you lost. Last week, Jake lost.

So, I'm primed to lose, but if I hit, we win. That's the method. All right? We just need you to come along with it. That's it, mate. The only issue is- I just love your- I've never cost us because we're always shit when I'm shit. Well, you've only hit two big bucks, so we could have only been costed on two. Yeah. And both times you've hit, he's missed, and I've hit. And I've hit in doubles. Like, I've dead set gone two, I hit two, lost three, hit two, lost three, hit two.

So, I'm not primed. I just thought after last week's fucking abuse from the big fella over here that you'd fucking switch on. I held up my part of the bargain. Bang, bang, tick, tick. I knew I was on fire when I even got Flanagan. I thought, here we go. I'm fucking, I'm out here for business, boys. Yeah. Anyway, onwards and upwards, boys. Let's get into this week, eh? Yeah, let's get some fucking, some dubs. Yeah, I guess so. How about we stop costing each other some money?

Wait till you see my fucking same game. Let's start off round 18. We're winning money, baby. Friday night, just the one game. And it is a top eight clash. It is the Bulldogs up against the Brisbane and Moroncos. A lot of players out of this game due to origin. So it's going to be an interesting game. Like, holy damn. Only the Broncos feel that heat of Walsh being 18th man. Oh, couldn't happen to a worse team, really. Fuck the Broncos. But yes, Bulldogs are missing.

Karaz, man, King, Crichton, due to origins. Luca Fieda out, knocked out. Broncos, no Shibba, no Carrigan, no Payne Haas, and no Reece Walsh. So full new backline. Boys, full disclosure for this week. I've taken the time. What? Two plays, a full new back line, two out of the seven, a whole new back line. I've taken the time to come up with three little stats for each game. Ew. Oh, come on, he's back. So just to get him out of the way, I'll get me fucking tips in and everything.

So I'm going Bulldogs, Bulldogs here, and here are the stats to back that pick. 12 games on a Friday night when the home team's favoured by a converted trial less. Oh, there we go. The home team has won 10 out of 12 times. Fucking red hot on a Friday night. Bulldogs have also only lost two games this season. Both times. The game after that loss, 13 plus victories. And here's a big one. This is an obscure stat, and I think you guys might like this. And if you don't, I'm going to throw the laptop.

I'm throwing my fucking toys out of the cot. I'm going home. Broncos are 0-3 this season in away games after playing at Suncorp. Jesus, fuck me, dude. I researched that one myself. I researched that one. These are all my own self. My own self. So for that full reason, I'm going Bulldogs, Bulldogs, because I can't pick a winner this year, so I'm just finding my own random stats to go off and pick them for the rest of the year.

Bulldogs, Bulldogs, 13 plus. Who scored for you, mate? Viliami Kikau, mate. Fuck. This is the one I was worried about. Well. He's going to do us here. He's going to do us. He's going to do us. Nah, well, you know, you've got to hope that, yeah. It's a tough one because, you know, Paddy Carrigan are paying us. Big losses for the Broncos. No Welsh. Cobbo at the back. Is Cobbo even going to care? Mariner, I like the injection of Mariner. I'd like to see him getting some footy.

I like a bit of Willison. Fuck, I don't know. I'll tell you what, the ghosts... They get fucking, you know, what's his name? Burton's actually going to play, which is enough. They only really use Crichton. Bulldogs will be wanting to get a little bit of a get back on the Broncos after the last time they played them. That's true. That's true. I reckon the boys are going to... Nah, fuck it, Broncos.

Team Tactics and Predictions

The Broncos beat him this year. That was the first... They pumped the fuck out of them Anzac Anzac day That was their first loss wasn't it Yep They were fucking 9-0 or something At one point it was like Fuck They've gone from undefeated To almost can't win the comp And it was 30 points and a half Interesting It was ridiculous Oh yeah Broncos Broncos And I'm gonna go my boy Mariner, Oh my god Back in back on Back up.

I didn't really realize that, but I like that the Broncos beat them last time, which means maybe they can do it again, but missing those big dogs. Didn't you hear Carl's stats? Dogs. What's the line there, Kyle? Five and a half, bud. Dogs, dogs. Gross. But you don't like the dogs. I know. Here you go, mate. Who's your try scorer? Go on, go your boy. Go your man. I'm going to because I don't want to copy class. I'm going Preston. Let's go.

Let's go again. And I'd be happy if they both score. They're both of me fucking supercoach team. Well, I wonder if they both score this week, I'm a spew one because I had them fucking both last week. Preston went over early and I thought, let's go. Oh, yeah. I want to fuck him. Yeah. This is my same game, Monty. Oh, no. I just realized what you had. And I got kick out. Yeah, my bad, bro. Oh, and you said he was Joe.

Ish ish, yes it's my same game multi and i've got big kick out anytime blake wilson to school anytime, into the big the bad the dangerous cobo anytime so i like that for a little cobo yeah a little $19 slapper, that one, which I don't mind at all. $19 slapper. $19 slapper. I hope you're not paying full price for that.

Injury Updates and Game Analysis

I don't get it Let's get to Saturday, Saturday we have two crackers of a game It starts off with the top of the ladder Raiders At their beloved Canberra Stadium Up against the, Dragons who are fucking Falling to pieces Injuries have hit them hard That poor Lawson last week Definitely should have come off the field injured And had to play the last 15 minutes Busted because they had no bench left Imagine that.

Like, lost one before the game, four during the game, and one who couldn't come off, but should have. Yeah, so they lost them, and then Bell Holmes is out of Origin 2, so the Dragons look, they look unrecognisable. Hey, but fucking Flanagan's there. Held his spot. Good on him. Where the Raiders, they've got no dramas. They're missing Papa Lee, and other than that, fucking ready to rip in. I thought they might have gave Tappy the game off after his fingers.

Only missing Puppy. Yeah, right? Oh, okay. Fucking, he forgets very quickly about who he loves. You're not wrong is your boy playing? did he get dropped? oh he didn't play last week mate that's why I don't even need him anymore. Yeah right hope you're talking about New South Wales obviously they're still missing Huddy Young the boy they're missing Tamales who are you going to tip for Atrosk or are they a weak brother?

But who are you going to pick? I'll tell you what I'm going to pick Raiders Raiders dominate win and I'm going to go nice harmonies could I go the guy swapping out? Nah I've not got it I'm going to go foggity Foggerty Live it up, Jamal. Jamal. He's been one of my sneaky best buyers on my Supercoach draft team, not going to lie. He has been playing very well this season. Did you buy him or draft him? Fuck up, Dick. He knew where I was going. Anyway, the three stats for this,

boys, before I get into my picks. Oh, you could have told me that before I picked. No, you wanted to go early. Sorry, but the home team. As usual. Yeah, right. So on Saturdays, purely Saturdays only, when the home team. Is favoured between 6.5 and 11.5 points. Fucking, you are clutching. Sorry, when the away team's favoured by that much, they are 3-0. Nope, I got that wrong. 5-2. Read the wrong line. 5-2.

Oh, fucking hell. Just like the Broncos, but when the Raiders returned back to home after being away, they're 4-1, and their only loss came to the Dogs. And they're averaging 30.4 points per game in those games. Scoring. And I couldn't really find anything on Dragons. They're just 0-2 when they play away on Saturday. So I'm going Raiders, Raiders. That's what nepotism gets you. I'm going Raiders, Raiders based on those stats, boys. And give me a little bit of Seb Chris.

Fucking Seb Chris with the fucking... Little fatty Vorden head. Fatty Vorden head. Oh. Yeah, righto. I'm going to follow you in on that one You can't be anywhere near the dragons Cannot be anywhere near the dragons Like they just, No chance. I'm writing them off. Go on, T. Could go to the line, because, you know, Shane fucking loves them. The line is 10 and a half points. Oh, I thought that'd be big. Nah. I thought it'd be big. That's what she said.

I've got something big for you. So I'll go Raiders, Raiders, and I'm going to go for me same, well, not same, sorry, Jimmy thing. Sorry, Jake Carter, is that you? Jimmy what? Did I just have a fucking stroke or what was that? I had multiple strokes. Tomoko. When's Tomoko? Yeah, Thursday. So Raiders, Raiders, Tomoko. And then for my same game, random shit always happens like on these fucking origin buy rounds.

So he had a fucking rip. He's been playing better of late. So I've gone a nice, easy Ethan Strange. And then I've gone up and I've had a red hot chop. He's been going all right. He's definitely better than last year because he didn't score a try last year. And I've got fucking Jake on that one. But I've gone Tarpity anytime. And then just for fucking shits and gigs, I've gone fucking Horsburgh as well.

You said you got a big one. So I've gone Ethan Strange into Joseph Tarpity, into Corey Horsburgh for 80, oh, 92 schmackos. Gamble responsibly. But anything can happen during these buy rounds. Shit's crazy. If you hit that, I'll get a fat Albert. Oh, fucking hell. You mean a Prince Albert? I'll see if one of you has picked up on that I mean was he wrong? Hey, hey, hey.

Saturday Showdown Preview

Anyway. Jesus Christ. Let's get to Saturday night. We're going up to sunny Townsville and we've got a- You were going to say Darwin, weren't you? No, definitely not. We've got an interesting- The old Darwinians. We've got an interesting, interesting clash here. We've got the Cowboys coming off a good win up against the- A good win? Up against the- Good win. A win to win up against the Melbourne Storm. Sounds like a nice fan. Mate, it's not running. It's fucking rugby league.

That's one of your best quotes ever. Thanks, mate. I love it. Mate, this isn't running. This is rugby league. Well, like, not many people will listen, but if you're going to listen, you're going to enjoy that. Like, trust me. And you might even relate. So, yes, we got the Cowboys up against Melvassol, up at Townsville. Interesting game. A lot of plays out because of Origin. So, yeah. And then I, Robson, Cotter, Deaton out for the Cowboys, obviously. Munster, Grant, Stefano.

So, old mate Cody's mate and Coates out for Storm. Mate, big Nelson at lock. And then Flungo out, injured, done his hand. He got shot by the sniper. It looked painful. It's the front on where he stuck his tongue out. That's why I was like, he felt bad. But then when you see that front on and he goes to stick his tongue out, he'd be like, nah, gotcha. And then, just, go on. Oh, you've got to love it. I was looking at the weak boys and I was like, yep, yep, yep.

I was like, that's boring. Just all the failures down and down. So I'm going, this is my game upset of the week. Oh, this is your fucking anything can happen on a... I've got a stat for you. And I just think the Cowboys, they still didn't play that well, but they played a bit better. They got the win. They're at home. They need to get some wins and they are versing a storm team without all their players and Melbourne aren't that good, baby, Townsville.

Yeah, Wishart's in there though, baby. I know, they're still probably going to win and dominate, but you know. I'm just going to give you a little stat here, Jake, just to back that thought, because I I feel like if you're going to go and underdog this weekend, this is the team to go. Yeah, this is the game too. Because the Storm... Ugh. After leaving Amy Park, their next game, if it's away, they're one and four in their first game away. Who do they versus next week?

Buy. No, that's an ad. I don't know. All their buys are done. An ad came up at the very wrong time. Busk. Where at? Newcastle. Don't worry about it. I was going to say, they might want to lose this one, so they guarantee the next win. Yeah, well. Because they never lose back to back. But, fuck, nice. Jesus. Might as well be a buy. Yeah. Anyway, so that was that stat. But the last time the Cowboys won. That was that stat.

The last time the Cowboys won, the following game was actually against Melbourne and they got pumped. 38 to 14. Ow. Oh, so you backed him and then shit on him. Oh, yeah. That was the only stat going for the Cowboys. Yeah, I'm going to go Cowboys, Cowboys. I'm going to go my boy. Go for two in a row. Zach Laybutt. So you're going Cowboys, Cowboys, Laybutt. Well, Cowboys are outsiders, so yeah. Oh, it hasn't stopped you before. True. Oh, hold on. I'm going Melbourne, Melbourne, Witshart.

Which who? Witshart. Fair. Fair. All right, boys. Look. Ryan's 10 and a half points. This is your one bet. This is your one bet for the week. Feel this fucking pressure where you've got one game a week and you've got to lose all your fucking muttly commercials. One moment. One up a child to do. Yeah. To give it what I've already had already. Opportunity. I'm going- Look at Parkin. We go City. We got a Brooklyn stand.

Yep, that sounds like a great plan. I'm going Storm into the Cowboys to cover the 10 and a half points. You're going to Storm into the Cowboys. Yeah. Storm into the Cowboys. Oh, that'll take some time. Mate, this is fucking running. This is rugby league. And I feel like the Cowboys have come to play rugby league, but with a little bit of running. You right there? Sorry, Cody, did you take Storm Storm? Can I just confirm? Yeah. No worries. And this is my same gamer, boys.

My only one of the week. And I can almost guarantee you that this is an absolute lock, right? Oh, fucking hell. So, Pavanhausen's been a bit dry lately. And they're probably going to put Grant Anderson onto the left. And I did make a comment about the Cowboys right side defense. He's been playing on the right. No, far longer he's been playing on the right. There we go. I've obviously been watching a lot of Storms games. Anyway, Cowboys defense on the right, not good. Cowboys defense,

no way good. No, but especially on- This one last week, we go, isn't it? No, you fucking Titans one. It's no good. Spewing, by the way, could you pick anyone else other than AKP and that's fucking up. Yeah. And I knew about fucking AKP not playing for the Titans on like fucking Wednesday, Thursday night.

Inside knowledge oh so I can put that same game down against you as a negative then anyway, from when I put in does anyone want AKP that's when I found out he wasn't playing for the Tigers that was like Wednesday yeah oh so when we did the podcast nah it must have been Thursday Wednesday afternoon anyway we do it Wednesday afternoon anyway give me Ryan Pappenhausen or, Grant Anderson to score two or more, oh one of them ones yeah that's an or and it was meant to be an or, an or or like rowing?

Up shit creek? Roadboat cop. Into Joe Chan anytime. Left center. Nice. Yeah. Those two legs, 725, boys. What a fucking cataclysm just falling off the cliff from mine at 92 down to 725. It's all about balance, brother. It's all about balance. Oh, that's gold. Come on, you. What have we got next? Game four, Rubber Leg. Jakob.

Sunday Showdowns

Sunday. Sunday, we've got some... Nah, not a bit of... Yeah, it's Sundays. Yeah, this week's not great. There's going to be some blowouts. You talking to us, or...? We've got the good old Roosters... I hope he's talking to the people listening. Good old Roosters off the bye, back in, ready to go, full tilt for the finals run. No more byes. They're done and dusted. Up against the West Tigers, who are missing all their good players. They are fucked.

Just release Dallin fucking De Silva for fucking just whatever. Yeah, release Garvin for whatever. I lost Coruscant to being knocked out. Lost Luada, fucking Origin. They're gone. So you're tipping Tigers? But in saying that, the Roosters are missing a lot of players because they have no salary cap. So, you know, they're missing. How does that equal? Cried and Watson, Collins, Toe, Wong, and Linu. And they're still on. But they've still got fucking, don't forgetty, Fuchetti. Still got Teddy.

Still got Marky Mark. Fuchetti. Steep. Fuchetti. Spaghetti. It doesn't matter. Roosters, roosters. Roosters in better. Dominate. Roosters, roosters. Roosters, roosters. Roosters, roosters. Roosters. Roosters, cha-cha. Roosters, cha-cha. I might change action, boys. What have you got? What do you mean? I might listen to you guys. I'm just going to fucking last is my bet. Hurry up. Yeah, Roosters, Roosters. Who's scoring? Huh? Fuchetti. On an edge.

Roosters, Roosters, Fuchetti. Fuchetti about it. Mate. It's a good day, mate. It's a good day. I reckon you can have a plethora of trial scores here, especially if you go on the Roosters. What? Not my head. I'm fucking photosynthesis down here. Get us with a fucking plethora. Shut up. Anyway, just a little... I just want to get my stats in on this game too. We tried to get them, avoid them. Shut up. Home teams on a Sunday when... After coming off a Saturday game. Home teams on a Sunday.

When, no. The second half of the year. When favoured heavily, so by more than two converted tries. Is this before or after they put in their tax report? 4-0. Sorry, start again. Teams on a Sunday. Yeah, that are favoured heavily, so by more than two converted tries. Win. Win 4-0. They're 4-0, but they're scoring an average of 47 points a game, those teams. Wow. Three of them with a storm. Yeah.

And one of those games was 60 fucking points. Against the Tigers. Wee. Oh. Roosters are 4-1 when listed as the favourite this season and averaging 34 points a game as a favourite. And Sanders Smith's back So Yeah That's saying something, And the Tigers are 1-4 in the last Five away games So when was it at the 9th? Six losses in a row So give me Roosters, Roosters, Blake Steep. That's fucking steep, that. Okay, okay. Roosters, roosters. Two po. Double. They fucking changed it. Two po double.

Who did you originally have? I was going to go Santa Smith, but then with your little Outlish ones there, I'm like, I'll just go safe. Okay. This is my other bet of the week. And I've gone. Okay. I've gone. Okay, then. I got a bit juicy on this one. I got roosters 13 plus, so hopefully Kyle's stats are good. Best in the business, mate. I've got James, Teddy, Tedesco to score first, second, or third, which I reckon is going to let me down.

Way to talk it into existence. Teddy's going to score first, second, and third, brother. And then I've got Billy Smith and Mark. Pull it tight. That's a wakka-nikaziski. Hey, hey, hang on a second. Hang on a second. We might have to cut that whole, that was, that's borderline. I've got Billy Smith and Marky Mark to combine for two or more tries. Like it? No. You had all. No. And I got it right, you dick bag. I checked it thrice. Oh, that's an all-time. I love dick bag. I checked it thrice.

Oh, I love dick bag. And that's paying a juicy $16.25, baby. Get around it. He went juicy at $16.25. Juicy.

Final Thoughts and Betting Wrap-up

Dick bag. Game five, last round, last game of the Rugby League round of 18 is another gross game. We've got the Mundley Seagulls up against the Rabbitohs. Ah, yeah. I'm going Rabbitoh. I'm going Manly Manly. And he didn't score last week, but he'll score this week, and that is Daly Cherry Evans. Oh, fuck it. That'll be the one that you get too. The worst thing is you've been on fire lately with your try scorers. So, like, I laugh, but you'll most likely hit fair field.

I've sort of, like, I might have, like, stitched myself up this week, and four out of the five try scorers are all at my Supercoach team. But I feel like I've been doing that a little bit lately and it's been sort of working for me. Been working for you, you reckon? By not picking a Supercoach captain, they should get rid of that fucking rule. I thought he must have got stuffed over by Drinky on the other team, getting captained. No. No, I just didn't have him. You had Drinky. Not as captain.

You didn't have him as captain. Who'd you have? Someone Nuffy. Puppy. Yeah, shit ass. Doesn't get footy, that bloke. What have you got, Kyle? What have you got for his stats-wise? Oh, yeah, what's his stats? Oh, I thought you didn't want to hear him. Now he's nearly sighted, anyway. Oh, well, the Roosters game's dead and buried now, so he's fucking keen. Yeah, look, boys, these are fucking lopsided, I'll tell you. On a Sunday, when the team is favoured. The dessert variety.

By when the, what's it? The home team is favoured by more than one try, but less than two tries. I was just about to say, if you say the same fucking start for this game. Nah, nah, nah, nah. It would be funny, but no. They're 7-1, the home team, when favoured by this margin on a Sunday. Anyway, Seagulls. Need to close the door. The wind's blowing. A little wild stat here, boys. Manly, though, 0-3 in the following game. Oh, it's a person.

0-3 in the following game after holding their previous opponent to 10 or less. Yeah, what he said. Fuck me, Dan. No good after keeping their teams from last week 10 or less. Jesus. Rabbitohs, though, have won five games. The last five against Manly while we'll be playing in Australia. Last time Manly won was America. Kyle, what are you picking? Hurry up. Give me Rabideaus. Big one dollar. Rabideaus. He's got another outsider. Oh, no. You didn't go, Cowboys.

Rabideaus. Rabideaus. Reuben Garrett. Ooh. Garrett on the wing. Back to front. A little back to back one. What do you got, Cody? How are you going to win us some money with the same game? This is the same game. I feel like you might get up. Manly, Manly. Yep. But why would you say that? Manly, manly. And I'm going to go with Kula. Oh, he's a boy. He treats me well, old Kula. And then for my same-er, you know, it's a bit fucking another one, another happy one. I've gone old Turbo.

First, second, or third. Yeah. I reckon after last week he might be over his little tantrum. He's had his sook. I reckon he might lock in this week and have a red-hot shot. Maybe he was having a sook because the coach wouldn't let him run. Yeah, probably. So I've gone turbo, first, second, or third. I've gone Saab and Ruben Garrick to combine for three or more. Initially, I put it through, and I had it either or when to score a hat-trick, like you did the other week.

But I realized before he'd put the bet on so I could renege and sort it out. Realize, realize, realize. Yes. and the Rabbitohs seem to have shitty-ass first halves but then in the second half they like to jag a few tries and make the score look a little bit respectable. So I've gone Jack Whiten to score in the second half. So I've gone Turbo first, second or third. Jack Whiten to score sometime in the second half and Jason Saab and Ruben Garrick to combine for three or more tries.

It's going to be like an 8-6 fucking bullshit game. $85.50. Oh, I like that though. Yeah. Hates the bet. Loves the odds. Just sees high dollar signs. That'll do. That's a $5.00 snapper. That'll do, donkey. That'll do. All right, boys. Beautiful. We've had some fun there. Well, Cody's had some fun with these bets. Let's get to it. Come with Cody. Come with Kyle. I'm talking to myself, but let's go. Let's start Crucial. And my Crucial boys, he's red hot at center.

He's just red hot at rugby league. and that's Marky Mark. He's scoring any time, baby. Cooler. I'm doubling up on Pappenhausen and Anderson for them to combine for two or more. It's not a two or more. Okay, Kyle. So between the two of them, they're scoring two tries. It's out of the realms. I know. But it might work. He's picked a winger. I've got to change it up a little bit because... It's paying $1.89. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Bet's paying $8 for it. Thank you.

$7. $7. $20. $93. Fuck. Boosted. Boosted. Boosted. Damn. Okay. It's all right. Win's a win. So we've got Marky Mark, T Cooler, Pappenhausen, and Anderson to combine for two. Okay. Nice. Nice. That'd be a nice little $220 win. Let's get big. He says it's like he's taking the piss. Let's get big. We just need something on the board. Let's get big and juicy.

$240, mate. And I was all about my big bark, and then old mate fucking had to pick him as his same gamer, so I'm a bit off now, but it's a Viliami kicker to score as my big bark. Didn't you have that same game? No, you picked him as just your try-scorer of the game. Oh, yeah, and then he... And you haven't been able to pick any of them in fucking history. No, I'll pick one. Fuck, he takes the lead in the tipping, and he's fucking carrying it.

I actually had a look at it. Over the last 25 try-scorer tips, I've only got three. I've been on absolute fucking slitch. You are a shot. Anyway. Now, kick out Big Bark. Get up. What you got? Something a little bit strange. Oh, no. Ethan Strange. I feel like he's let us down before. I don't think anyone's taken him at all this year. Did I take him? I've picked him before, too. You've not? I have. You've not? I surely have.

Kyle, you've picked him in a same gamer, but not in a not one of these situations. Oh, sorry. Not in a big buck. Yeah. Not in this situation, my friend. Okay. That's a bit better. And boys, the one to bring it home for us here will actually to tie it all in together. It actually will bring us home because I've got the third game. I've got the last game. Yeah, but you've got both picked from your first games. So it will bring us home. It will bring us home.

And it's the league that counts, right? Because it's my time to lose. But I'm not losing, boys. Because I'm going on the left back row against the Cowboys again. Give me fucking Sean Bloor, mate. Sean fucking Bloor. Sean Bloor? He doesn't never even look like scoring a try. Yeah, it's normally Katoa. That's probably why he's paying $6.65. Is that the combined price of me and his together? Nah, yours is a bit higher. I thought mine was like $3 something. Nah, yours was $2.45, bud. Mine? Yeah.

I could have taken it as a crucial. Yep. I thought he was over $3. My bad. Well. I hope he fucking gets up. Look at me spewing now. He realizes the odds are lower. Yeah. It's like. I thought he was over $3. My bad. That's some fucking dragons with no players. So yeah. 6-3-2. We got to be out of one. We're not going to be out $45. Cody? $37.28. $61.77, boys. $77. 61. 77. 61.77. Fuck, it took you a little while to pick up on that. On the six. He's the one. You like 77.

Boy, six plus one is seven. So triple seven, baby. Fuck. Puts it on. A hundred dollar. No. There it is. There it is, boys. That's our bets for the week. We'll try to enjoy the short week of rugby league. We'll get a little bit in maybe. And enjoy it. And up the dogs. We'll see you next time. Cheers to Jake. Change the rules. Wait, I'll tell you what. Wait. Fuck the dogs. Big Bark. I want to change the rules. Big Bark on Jade's birthday is the final legs.

Jade's birthday's Friday, bro. Yeah, but the party is Saturday. That's dangerous. If we win. Oh, fuck. We call him Billy. Billy Burns? Nah, he'll be playing, mate. Anyway, fuck the dogs. Silly Billy. Fuck the dogs. Really, Billy. Call me daddy. Leave it up. Jade's bitch. Both.

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