Big giveaway news: John will co-draft with the winner of the FFPC Main Event entry! It's time to discuss camp battles. Updates on Foles vs. Trubisky, KC RB2, Taylor vs. Mack, Mostert vs. Coleman vs. McKinnon, RoJo vs. everyone, Akers vs. Henderson vs. Brown, Swift vs. Kerryon, Peterson vs. Gibson vs. Love, Sanders vs. Scott, Jackson vs. Kelley as the Chargers' RB2, Burkhead vs. Harris, Diontae vs. Washington, Hardman vs. Robinson vs. Watkins, Samuel vs. Robby, Olsen vs. Dissly, Perriman vs. Mims...
Aug 21, 2020•45 min•Ep. 384
Summary It's Greg's last episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, and he's going out in style with Rich Hribar joining the program. They kick things off with some NFL news from early in the week, including Jalen Hurd's injury, the Jaguars' nebulous backfield, the battle for Tampa Bay's No. 3 receiver role, and Nick Chubb's concussion. The balance of the show is an all-encompassing breakdown of wide receiver strategy (19:10). How should RBs eligible at WR like Antonio Gibson and Lynn Bowden be value...
Aug 20, 2020•1 hr 25 min•Ep. 383
Andy Behrens joins the pod! Is Keenan Allen's ADP appropriate given the change at QB for the Chargers? Will David Johnson have any wheels left when Bill O'Brien is done for him? What is Tom Brady's ceiling in Tampa? Why are people slandering Aaron Jones? Is Clyde Edwards-Helaire going to see 18+ touches from the get-go? Will the Ravens put Mark Ingram out to pasture? How will the Indy backfield shake out with Marlon Mack and Jonathan Taylor? Is Nick Chubb being overdrafted in the second round? I...
Aug 18, 2020•1 hr 21 min•Ep. 382
What should fantasy owners do to prepare for potential late scratches due to the pandemic? Todd Gurley is limping in practice--is he a player to avoid? Chris Carson is missing practice time, but not due to injury--is his RB1 role safe? Will Lamar Miller have an impact on the Patriots' backfield? Josh Jacobs wants to catch 60 passes--how feasible is this? Is Marlon Mack still the starter in Indy? Anthony and John answer these questions before discussing John's general draft day strategy on the la...
Aug 14, 2020•38 min•Ep. 381
#ReceptionPerception creator Matt Harmon makes his annual stop by the pod to do a deep dive into the WR position. Is Allen Robinson destined for more success after a stellar 2019? Will Diontae Johnson win the WR2 job in Pittsburgh? Is this the year that Anthony Miller establishes himself as a bona fide fantasy starter? How will John Brown and Stefon Diggs co-exist in Buffalo, and what does it mean for Josh Allen? How high is Terry McLaurin's ceiling? Can Marquise Brown build on an injury-riddled...
Aug 13, 2020•1 hr 26 min•Ep. 380
Summary On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, Jim Sannes joins Greg to discuss some NFL news and preview the running back position for 2020. Their conversation begins with what Jim has ported to fantasy football from his experience analyzing NASCAR DFS, then they dig into recent release of Derrius Guice by the Washington Football Team, plus the opt outs of Albert Wilson and Allen Hurns in Miami. The rest of the episode is spent preview RB for the upcoming fantasy season. What is the best...
Aug 11, 2020•1 hr 2 min•Ep. 379
On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast... Damien opted out! How early should Clyde Edwards-Helaire go in fantasy drafts? Who is the RB2 in Kansas City? Is Ronald Jones really "the main guy" in Tampa? Preston Williams seems on track for Week 1, how do the receiver opt-outs in Miami affect Williams, DeVante Parker and the other pass-catchers there? Diontae Johnson is '100 percent' after sports-hernia surgery--what's his outlook for 2020? How will the Cleveland passing game look after the arr...
Aug 07, 2020•48 min•Ep. 378
On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, 4for4's Chris Allen joins John Paulsen to discuss various quarterback strategies, going tier-by-tier to outline the opportunity cost of drafting a quarterback at different points throughout the draft. John makes his case for The Drew Brees Committee in 2020 and pitches Ryan Tannehill as a late-round option with upside. TJ Hernandez then joins John to discuss the various data points that indicate Josh Allen may be in line for a top tier season. Articl...
Aug 06, 2020•1 hr 13 min•Ep. 377
Summary On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, Sammy Reid joins Greg for a handful of news items, plus an in-depth preview of the quarterback position for 2020 fantasy football. Most of the buzz coming out of early training camps is related to opt-outs and the COVID-19 reserve list, but your hosts also touch on key injuries to Sony Michel, Jarvis Landry, and T.Y. Hilton. After that, it's all quarterback strategy. Who are this season's most overvalued and undervalued passers? Who are the t...
Aug 05, 2020•1 hr 9 min•Ep. 376
Summary On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, Alex Gelhar once again joins Greg to cover recent news and share some level-up realizations about fantasy football that made them better players and analysts. They kick things off discussing Jamal Adams' trade from the Jets to the Seahawks, Raheem Mostert's restructured contract with the 49ers, and the latest on COVID-19's impact on the NFL. After the news, there's a special announcement about the podcast, then your hosts dig into some of the...
Jul 29, 2020•50 min•Ep. 375
Summary On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, Pat Fitzmaurice and Alex Gelhar join Greg to break down some news, talk top-tier quarterbacks, and investigate some fantasy X-factors for the 2020 NFL season. The show kicks off using Kelvin Harmon's ACL injury as an excuse to discuss the unnamed Washington franchise's fantasy outlook, then your hosts discuss the rumors of free agent wideouts joining the Seahawks. From there, the conversation turns to the top tiers of quarterbacks (10:52), sp...
Jul 22, 2020•1 hr 14 min•Ep. 374
Summary On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, Alex Gelhar joins Greg for a grab bag of fantasy football topics. They kick off the show by catching up on the news of Cam Newton joining the New England Patriots, who seems relatively affordable relative to name value based on evidence from recent Scott Fish Bowl drafts. Your hosts discuss whether or not he's a value if Newton's SFB cost holds, plus the impact he might have on his new arsenal of weapons. And while Cam has already found a new...
Jul 14, 2020•47 min•Ep. 373
Summary On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, Greg digs into how to account for Point Per Reception (PPR) and Point Per First Down (PP1D) scoring settings in fantasy football. The show starts with an overall guide for what to look for when trying to project receptions and first downs. What player attributes and on-field circumstances drive a player to catch more passes or earn more first downs for his team? After answering those general questions, Greg reviews specific players and player...
Jul 07, 2020•53 min•Ep. 372
Summary On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, Pat Kerrane joins Greg to talk about the concept of projection errors and how those errors should impact our fantasy analysis, with a general slant toward the running back position and ZeroRB structural drafting. Your hosts identify key sources of projection errors, with conversation about which sources are most easily identified and exploited. The discussion then turns toward specific cases where projection errors figure to pop up for the 20...
Jun 29, 2020•40 min•Ep. 371
Summary On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, TJ Hernandez joins Greg to dig into general strategy around the quarterback position in fantasy football. They springboard from TJ's recent article about potential studs and duds at QB to discuss other players at the position who could over or under perform expectations in 2020. After those player-specific evaluations, your hosts zoom out and discuss their overall strategies for drafting quarterbacks, including some notes on how the late-roun...
Jun 17, 2020•56 min•Ep. 370
Let's talk tight ends! Is the position top-heavy again this year or is there value to be had in the later rounds? Is it worthwhile to draft a stud tight end in the first three rounds? What about the middle rounds--was Tyler Higbee's breakout for real or a function of the Rams' offense late last year? Will Hayden Hurst pick up where Austin Hooper left off? Will there be enough targets for Hooper in Cleveland so he can maintain his value? What should owners expect from Gronk after a year off? Is B...
Jun 11, 2020•33 min•Ep. 369
Let's talk wide receivers! Will Allen Robinson thrive with a likely quarterback change in Chicago? How will the Rams' offense change without Brandin Cooks in the lineup? Is Tyler Lockett or DK Metcalf the WR1 in Seattle? Is Odell Beckham destined for a bounce-back season with a new regime in Cleveland? Will Courtland Sutton build on a breakout season with the addition of Jerry Jeudy and KJ Hamler? Is DeVante Parker the clear WR1 in Miami with Preston Williams back? What does the arrival of Phili...
Jun 04, 2020•28 min•Ep. 368
Let's talk John's running back rankings! Are there any concerns with anyone in the top 10? Is Kenyan Drake for real? Is Miles Sanders a safe first-round pick with rumors that the Eagles are looking to add a backup? Is Nick Chubb going to turn in RB1 numbers with Kareem Hunt siphoning off touches? Should owners expect more of the same from Austin Ekeler and Chris Carson? How will the Denver backfield shake out? What should owners expect out of James Conner, Mark Ingram and Le'Veon Bell? Will Rahe...
May 28, 2020•33 min•Ep. 367
John and Anthony are back! Will Clyde Edwards-Helaire lead the KC backfield as a rookie? Can Jonathan Taylor earn bell cow duties early in the season? Has D'Andre Swift already beat out Kerryon Johnson? Is Cam Akers destined for RB1 duties in L.A.? Can Mark Ingram hold off JK Dobbins this season? Who will start Week 1 in Tampa--Ronald Jones or Ke'Shawn Vaughn? Is Zack Moss basically Frank Gore 2.0 in Buffalo? Which under-the-radar rookie back does John covet in the later rounds? Is the quarterba...
May 20, 2020•25 min•Ep. 366
Summary On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, Eric Moody joins Greg to share first impressions of the 2020 NFL schedule for fantasy football. The conversation opens on the importance (or lack thereof) of bye weeks in fantasy analysis, touching on the schedule's pair of six-team off weeks, as well as the curious case of the two squads with Week 13 byes. Then the bulk of the episode is spent discussing strength of schedule, plus winners and losers at all the prominent fantasy positions. Yo...
May 14, 2020•47 min•Ep. 365
Summary On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, Danny Kelly joins Greg to weigh in on the 2020 draft now that we've had another week to marinate in the results. Danny makes special note of the nearly unprecedented early run on offensive skill position players and then weighs in on some NFL teams with developing identities, including the Bengals and Broncos. Your hosts then discuss some non-fantasy players who should have a big impact on the fantasy game, including lineman from both sides o...
May 07, 2020•1 hr 2 min•Ep. 364
Summary On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, John Daigle joins Greg to recap the 2020 NFL Draft from a fantasy football perspective. The show begins with bigger-picture takeaways like the proliferation of a "best player available" mentality and the diminishing number of high-volume fantasy options (and not just at running back). From there, your hosts dive into positional breakdowns. Running backs come first (12:06), starting with John and Greg's picks for biggest winners among incumben...
Apr 29, 2020•1 hr 29 min•Ep. 363
Summary On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, George Kritikos and Nick Whalen join Greg to preview the 2020 NFL Draft. They warm up with recent news on Rob Gronkowski's return and the trade rumors surrounding Leonard Fournette. From there, your hosts share some general strategy regarding potential impacts of COVID-19 on fantasy, how quickly rookies should take to start producing in the pros, and how to approach the dynasty trade market around the NFL Draft. The conversation turns next to...
Apr 22, 2020•1 hr 7 min•Ep. 362
Summary On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, Anthony Amico joins Greg for another best ball draft strategy bonanza, but the episode begins with a more general news discussion of the recent trade of Brandin Cooks from the Rams to the Texans, plus Kansas City's signing of DeAndre Washington. From there, your hosts dive into best ball, starting with an assessment of the ZeroRB draft strategy. Anthony makes his case for how it can work and details some of the nuances to keep in mind when na...
Apr 14, 2020•1 hr 26 min•Ep. 361
Summary On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, TJ Calkins joins Greg for a full helping of draft strategy for best ball leagues. A quick refresher of the format kicks off the show, followed by some top-down thoughts on diversifying player exposure across various best ball drafts. The bulk of the show then drills down into individual positions, starting with running back, followed by defense and quarterback. Is there a contrarian case to be made against Christian McCaffrey as the first ove...
Apr 07, 2020•1 hr 16 min•Ep. 360
Summary On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, Mike Woellert joins Greg to dig into all things defense from the realm of fantasy football. The show kicks off with a discussion around how the offseason has reshaped the landscape of team defenses and special teams (D/ST). Then the remainder of the episode is dedicated to individual defensive players (IDP). Which NFL teams won and which teams lost on the defensive side of the ball through free agency? Why should fantasy players consider tryi...
Mar 31, 2020•57 min•Ep. 359
Summary On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, John Paulsen joins Greg to identify fantasy football's winners and losers from the NFL's free agency period. The conversation begins at running back, headlined by the trade of David Johnson to Houston. Quarterbacks are next, as some passers like Tom Brady have new homes, while others have new supporting casts. The discussion then turns to wide receivers and tight ends, where plenty of fantasy fortunes are set to change based on the spinning o...
Mar 24, 2020•53 min•Ep. 358
Summary On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, George Kritikos joins Greg for an updated assessment of the dynasty landscape. They begin with the impacts of free agency, in terms of veterans gaining and losing value, but also in terms of unfilled roles with NFL teams that might be addressed through the draft. The rest of the show is dedicated to the incoming rookie class. George lays out his top-12 rookies overall, noting risers and fallers in the wake of the NFL combine, then your hosts ...
Mar 19, 2020•1 hr 4 min•Ep. 357
Summary On this episode of The Most Accurate Podcast, Chris Allen joins Greg for a primer on the best ball format of fantasy football. They begin by laying how it works, touching on some of the pros and cons of best ball's (typical) draft-only setup along the way. Next, your hosts discuss some of the fundamental principles of best ball drafting, including the elevated importance of bye weeks, the risks and rewards of embracing variance, and the value of average draft position (ADP). Optimal rost...
Mar 04, 2020•1 hr 19 min•Ep. 356
John and Anthony take a look back at the 2019 season, highlighting the top fantasy producers at each position and discussing where they were drafted during the summer. They also look at the so-called "busts" in the first and second rounds, to see if there are any lesson to be learned. The duo also discuss John's Never-Too-Early rankings for 2020, which were just published on the site.
Feb 27, 2020•37 min•Ep. 355
