As U.S. carrier groups steam toward the Middle East and oil prices edge higher, investors are being forced to recalibrate—fast. In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson breaks down the high-stakes standoff with Iran, the Fed’s tightrope act under political pressure, and why capital doesn’t wait for geopolitical clarity. From rising risk premiums to AI bidding wars and Apple’s existential crossroads, it’s all happening in the fog of war. 🎧 In the Fog of War, Capital Doesn’t Wait for a W...
Jun 20, 2025•11 min•Season 1Ep. 127
Trump’s tariff threats, Apple’s iPhone challenge, bond yields on the rise, and a $40 Billion bet on A.I. —this episode breaks down the week and how to adapt to the new market reality. Welcome to The Money Runner with David Nelson. Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; howeve...
May 24, 2025•8 min•Season 1Ep. 126
Moody’s just downgraded the U.S. credit rating — after hours, ahead of tense budget talks. Markets are wobbling, but Trump’s whirlwind Middle East tour secured over $2 trillion in deals. Are we headed for new all-time highs — or is the rally built on borrowed time and borrowed money? 📉 Credit risk is rising 🌍 Geopolitics are shifting 📈 Markets are still climbing 🎧 Tune in as David Nelson breaks down the risks, the rally, and what it all means for your portfolio. Disclosure: "At the time of t...
May 17, 2025•13 min•Season 1Ep. 125
Wall Street’s riding an emotional rollercoaster—but one name keeps markets grounded: Scott Bessent. In this episode, David Nelson unpacks the tariff turmoil, shifting Fed bets, and why Bessent’s calm, clear messaging has traders reaching for the buy button. Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration fo...
Apr 27, 2025•12 min•Season 1Ep. 124
Tensions are rising between President Trump and Fed Chair Jay Powell—but this isn’t the first time a president has clashed with the Federal Reserve. In this episode, David Nelson breaks down Powell’s sharp remarks, Trump’s push for rate cuts, and the long history of political pressure on the Fed—from LBJ to Nixon to Reagan. Plus, what it all means for markets, investors, and the road ahead. Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as par...
Apr 20, 2025•11 min•Season 1Ep. 120
Wall Street is banking on a strong Q4 rebound — but is it too risky? In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson dives into the Fed’s renewed use of the word "transitory" and what it means for investors. With 2025’s market outlook heavily dependent on a late-year recovery, are we setting ourselves up for disappointment? Tune in as David breaks down the risks, the data, and the strategies to navigate this uncertain landscape. Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares ...
Mar 23, 2025•8 min•Season 1Ep. 119
📉 Mutually Assured Destruction: The Market's Dangerous Balancing Act 📈 Markets are on edge, and uncertainty is wreaking havoc on investors. In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson breaks down the concept of Mutually Assured Destruction (M.A.D.) — a strategy that’s now playing out in global markets. From rising tariffs to economic volatility, learn how to navigate the chaos, manage risk, and position your portfolio for what’s ahead. 🔎 Is your money in the blast zone? Tune in to find ...
Mar 17, 2025•15 min•Season 1Ep. 118
The stock market is more divided than ever, with a 70-point dispersion between winners and losers. Simply beating the market won’t cut it this year—! 🚀 In this episode of The Money Runner, we break down: ✅ Why the biggest stocks are struggling & what it means for YOU 📉 ✅ How to escape “dead money” and let your profits run 🚀 Don't settle for average. Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds...
Feb 19, 2025•11 min•Season 1Ep. 118
Is the Magnificent 7 dead? Every strategist is telling you to move into the other 493 stocks, but is that really the answer? In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson breaks down why a shotgun approach to the market won’t cut it in 2025. With market dispersion at extreme levels, stock picking and sector rotation matter more than ever. We’ll dive into the AI trade, shifting sector leadership, and why blindly chasing the broader market could be a costly mistake. Tune in to get ahead of the...
Feb 08, 2025•7 min•Season 1Ep. 117
Is Apple losing its innovative edge? In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson dives deep into Apple's recent market moves, the rise of DeepSeek's AI challenge, and why investors are questioning Cupertino’s future. With analysts downgrading shares and whispers growing louder—has Apple played it too safe for too long? We explore: ✅ The AI revolution shaking up tech markets 🤖 ✅ Why Apple surged while others fell 📈 ✅ The risks of incrementalism vs. bold innovation 💡 ✅ 5 key steps Apple m...
Jan 29, 2025•16 min•Season 1Ep. 118
In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson, CFA, dives into the latest market trends, including the S&P 500’s performance, rising bond yields, and their impact on stock valuations. Discover what’s driving investor concerns, the sectors leading the charge in 2025, and the economic factors weighing on market momentum. From inflation data to Fed policy shifts, we break down the key insights you need to navigate the financial landscape. Don’t miss this deep dive into market signals and st...
Jan 20, 2025•12 min
In this episode, I dive into the challenges facing traditional 60/40 balanced portfolios and explore innovative alternatives to rethink how we invest. From the shortcomings of fixed income in today’s market to strategies like private credit, long/short equity, and structured notes, I break down practical solutions to diversify risk and enhance returns. If you're ready to think outside the bond box and reshape your investment approach, this episode is for you! Let’s get started. Disclosure: "At t...
Jan 12, 2025•12 min•Season 1Ep. 119
"2025 Market Mission Brief! Your Biggest Risk Is Not Taking One" Step into 2025 with a game plan. We cover a lot of ground in this week’s podcast. AI Tech spending may be bigger than even bulls believe but every bull market has an Achilles Heel and this one is no different. Check out Enemy #1. Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other secur...
Jan 07, 2025•8 min•Season 1Ep. 118
The week ended on a high note but stocks were up against some headwinds as the Fed changed their playbook. This week's Money Runner podcast covers a lot of ground including insider selling and why Wall Street predictions almost never pan out. - David Nelson "Join David Nelson, Chief Strategist of Belpointe and host of The Money Runner Podcast as he takes you 3,000 feet above Poughkeepsie—literally and figuratively—to explore market trends, predictions, and the unpredictable nature of investing. ...
Dec 21, 2024•10 min•Season 1Ep. 118
"After two years of monster market returns, 2024 is coming to a close with big opportunities—and even bigger risks. What’s next for investors? In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson breaks down 4 key strategies to navigate the shifting market landscape, insights into the fading dominance of the Magnificent Seven, and how to prepare for 2025’s biggest challenges. Tune in for actionable advice and data-driven stock-picking tips that can help you make your next move the right one. " Disc...
Dec 07, 2024•9 min•Season 1Ep. 117
In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson dives into Nvidia's latest earnings and the broader implications for the AI ecosystem. Are companies like Nvidia and the AI industry as a whole too big to fail? We also explore the challenges of market valuations, the rise of small caps, and what the 2024 S&P 500 targets mean for investors. Plus, the unexpected shifts in Fed policy, BRICS’ growing influence, and why “we don’t know what we don’t know” could be the most important investment les...
Nov 24, 2024•16 min•Season 1Ep. 116
"Elections have consequences, and so does the way our government operates. In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson dives into 'The DOGE Factor,' Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy’s bold mission to cut government waste, and how markets are reacting post-election. From defense spending to deregulation and the shifting yield curve, we explore the financial implications of big government under fire. Don’t miss this deep dive into what’s working, what isn’t, and what’s next for investors!" Disc...
Nov 16, 2024•26 min•Season 1Ep. 115
In this episode of The Money Runner, host David Nelson dives into the economic realities facing the U.S. as the election approaches. With a ballooning federal debt and interest payments projected to skyrocket it's clear the present course in unsustainable. David examines how SpaceX founder Elon Musk might play a role in making Washington more efficient. Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I ...
Nov 02, 2024•3 min•Season 1Ep. 114
Money Runner, host David Nelson, CFA, dives into a volatile day in the markets, discussing his experiences with two major stocks: Newmont Mining and Tesla. Hit from both sides being long Newmont and not owning Tesla made for a bad day. "That's the world we live in as an on the line portfolio manager." You have days like this. We all do." David also explores the broader market environment, including interest rates, geopolitical events, and the upcoming election. He shares insights on how these fa...
Oct 26, 2024•16 min•Season 1Ep. 113
In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson explores the latest trends shaping the stock market, including Warren Buffett's surprising moves, rising valuations, and the AI-driven productivity boom. David delves into how one website is revolutionizing workflows for content creators and what it reveals about the broader AI trade. Is AI just getting started, and what does this mean for future market growth? Tune in as we discuss the forces driving the market, key risks, and why investors need...
Oct 18, 2024•15 min•Season 1Ep. 112
David Nelson, CFA, Belpointe Chief Strategist and host of the Money Runner weighs in on the impact of inflation, earnings, and bond volatility. With CPI numbers hotter than expected and a benign PPI report, we explore what it all means for investors. David discusses the Fed's rate dilemma, earnings season kick-off with JP Morgan, BlackRock, and Wells Fargo, and how rising yields are affecting mortgage rates. Plus, find out why the narrative around the Magnificent Seven stocks might be shifting a...
Oct 12, 2024•13 min
In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson, CFA breaks down the current market turmoil, asking the key question traders are facing: "Should I stay or should I go?" With geopolitical chaos, surprise jobs data, and a volatile earnings season ahead, investors are caught between risks of staying in the market and missing out on potential gains by leaving. David dives into everything from bond yields and the Fed, to the looming threat of nuclear tensions, oil disruptions, and what smart money ...
Oct 05, 2024•8 min•Season 1Ep. 112
David Nelson, CFA host of the Money Runner Podcast breaks down the recent market volatility, offering a raw, unscripted analysis of the latest trends. From the S&P 500’s surprising rally to the role of institutional investors. This episode explores the impact of risk on and risk off sector positioning as well as shifting Federal Reserve policies. The latest inflation data and the Cornucopia conference drove much of the price action this week. Finally, what indicators say the rally has furthe...
Sep 15, 2024•15 min
As the Fed signals imminent rate cuts, major market transformations are on the horizon. In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson breaks down expected shifts in the S&P 500, commodities, and small caps. Powell's speech at Jackson Hole changed the market narrative and now investors are piling into a trade that has worked only 2 times in the last decade. Questions and comments welcome. Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned a...
Sep 02, 2024•5 min
Join David Nelson, CFA host of "The Money Runner" podcast. The episode dives deep into the fascinating interplay between macroeconomic trends and micro-level risks. Discover how artificial intelligence (AI) is not only revolutionizing financial markets but also reshaping industry and the arts. From a remarkable market recovery to AI's transformative impact on music and technological innovation, explore how AI navigates the complexities of modern economies. We'll dissect recent movements in retai...
Aug 17, 2024•8 min
David Nelson, host of the Money Runner Podcast gives his analysis of the post debate market reaction and what will be on trader's minds as we kick off the third quarter. Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy...
Jul 04, 2024•15 min
Investors are all in on the AI trade. What if it fails to deliver? The US Economy is inextricably linked to the success or failure of artificial intelligence. David Nelson, CFA host of the Money Runner podcast dives deep into the AI trade weighing in on events that could catch investors off sides. How to handle the next correction an more important what our future looks like if the promise of AI does live up to the hype. Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of...
Jul 04, 2024•9 min
In this episode, I explore whether rising interest rates truly curb inflation or inadvertently widen the economic divide between the haves and have-nots. Some are starting to challenge traditional economic theories and ask, "Is it different this time?" The above explores a new concept that is sweeping credit and equity desks. Hope you can tune in. Comments welcome. Thanks for watching. David Nelson, CFA - Host of the Money Runner
Jul 04, 2024•9 min
Dive into the complexities of managing investor capital in today's dynamic market. David Nelson, a seasoned portfolio manager and host of the Money Runner Podcast shares his insights on navigating the high-stakes world of finance. Market Realities: Understand the pressures and responsibilities of managing money, with a focus on maximizing returns and identifying risks. AI and Investment: Explore the evolving role of artificial intelligence in investment decisions and how it transforms the indust...
May 29, 2024•8 min
Welcome to "The Money Runner" with your host David Nelson, where we dive deep into the current state of financial markets. In today's episode, we explore the recent surge to all-time highs by the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, and discuss the implications for investors, advisors, and portfolio managers. We'll examine the market's quick recovery from April's lows and offer strategies for those looking to re-enter the market. We also dissect the latest economic data releases, including PPI and CPI, and a...
May 20, 2024•9 min