Barrick Blows Past Its Numbers, Iran Talks Hit a Wall, and China's Gold Output Is Shrinking - podcast episode cover

Barrick Blows Past Its Numbers, Iran Talks Hit a Wall, and China's Gold Output Is Shrinking

May 11, 20269 min
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Episode description

Today on The Mining Insider: Barrick Mining released Q1 2026 results before market open — one of its strongest quarters on record. Gold production of 719,000 oz beat guidance of 640,000–680,000 oz by 5.7%. Three drivers: Nevada Gold Mines strong underground performance, Veladero higher throughput/grades, and Loulo-Gounkoto in Mali ramping faster than guided. Revenue $5.22B (+67% YoY). Adjusted EPS $0.98 (consensus was $0.74 — 32% beat). Operating cash flow $2.55B. Attributable free cash flow $1.21B (+195% YoY). Gold AISC $1,708/oz (below guidance mid-point of $1,760–$1,950). Board authorized $3B share buyback, citing value ahead of planned North American Barrick IPO. Quarterly dividend $0.175/share. Q2 guidance: 730,000–770,000 oz. Full-year guidance unchanged. On Iran: Trump called Iran's latest peace response "totally unacceptable." Iran rejected US demands to dismantle its nuclear program or cease enrichment for 20 years, instead offering gradual Hormuz reopening while keeping nuclear program and demanding blockade removal. Brent crude surged 2.69% to $104/bbl. Gold fell 0.6% to $4,689. Silver -0.8%. Ceasefire technically intact but drones struck cargo vessel in Qatari waters, UAE intercepted Iranian drones, Kuwait activated defenses. For miners: diesel still up 30–70%, LNG +30%, freight +40%, explosives/cyanide +10%. April CPI Tuesday. And Bloomberg reported Sunday that China's domestic gold production fell 3.27% YoY in Q1 2026, even as investor bar/coin demand surged. Aging mines, grade depletion, rising extraction costs, tighter permitting. China becoming more import-dependent — a demand anchor for non-Chinese producers. NOTE: Audio not available for this episode due to ElevenLabs quota exhaustion (35 credits remaining, 1,973 required). This is the third consecutive day with quota failure. Narration text saved in package file. Stories Covered: 1. Barrick Q1 2026 — 719,000 oz gold, $0.98 EPS, $1.21B FCF (+195%), $3B buyback, North American IPO progressing 2. Iran talks collapse — Trump "totally unacceptable," Brent $104, gold $4,689, Hormuz closed 3. China gold output -3.27% YoY Q1 2026 while investor demand surges Commodities: Gold, copper, oil, silver Jurisdictions: Global (Barrick), Iran/Middle East, China
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