Bitcoin - Revolution - Outlooks & Predictions

we're trying to try to change that. And so you know, I want to bring to you some ways some different perspectives to look at things, some of the latest breaking news,

and that's what we're gonna look at right now. I've got a lot of big stories that have dropped down this week that I want to cover, including what's going on with bitcoin, cryptocurrencies and stable coins, UM, big big, big movements in the regulations that are coming some big heavy hands um that are coming down, some new legislation pieces that have come down. We'll look at some of the more of the F T X S B F drama.

A lot of drama happening there. I'm wanna look at some of the what I call the revolution files, which is, uh, the world is changing right now and it's being led by one catalyst, and it's all being turned around. Truth we're talking about that, we're looking at the economy, what's gonna happen with the economy, And then I want to give you what I I'm gonna give you my three outlooks and predictions. So I got a lot to cover.

Let's go ahead and just jump right into it. Stick with me here, and so right off the bat, let's just start up talking about bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and stable coins and laws and all of that kind of stuff. And so what we've seen is that, you know, it's been a bad year for cryptocurrency. It's been a bad year for bitcoin. Bitcoin is down, you know, six from its peak back in November of two thoe. So over

a year of downward directions. Been a tough year if you're a bitcoin or if you're if you're a cryptocurrency advocate. But have we found the bottom now? I've been talking about the bottom for quite a while, very simply, very simply. Markets stopped going up when there's no more buyers, and

markets stopped going down there's no more sellers. And so we're trying to find the point of when have we exhausted all the selling and we look through some telltale signs I've been talking about um where I believe if we've kind of found that bottom, we've exhausted that selling for the last couple of couple of months, and I think it's right here around this kind of sixteen to eighteen thousand dollar price point, and we're continue to see more and more and more details and more info that

show that. And so this week we saw that it looks like the whales wells are people that buy big amounts at a time, are starting to accumulate bitcoin. So one thing that breaks bitcoin out from every other financial asset is that it's an open source, open ledger, and so we can see all of this data that we

would normally see. And what we can see is, as I said, like bitcoin seems to be locked into this like sixteen to eighteen thousand dollar price point, which is pretty amazing considering how much more bad news continues to come out. Ft X went down, you know, billions of dollars are gone. Didn't seem to budge finance now could potentially go down. What about gray scale bitcoin trust could break apart? What about Genesis going down? And none of this bad news seems to push the price down anymore.

As a matter of fact, the price has been so stable bitcoin is to quickly people like, oh, bitcoin is too volatile, and so it has been very volatile. But bitcoin has been so stable that the volatility has been dropping. As a matter of fact, the annualized one month realized volacility fell to a two year low of thirty eight percent. I think we talked about that last week. But what we know is that bitcoin is volatile, and so we shouldn't expect it to stay there for long. Which way

will it go? Well, what we can see from the on chained data is, like I said, these big accounts, these big wallets or or whales are accumulating. As a matter of fact, they've been accumulating a lot. We've seen large wallets have accumulated over four hundred thousand bitcoin almost seven billion dollars worth a bitcoin at today's price um since um since bitcoin hit about that eight eighteen thousand dollar level um in November, and so they've been accumulated.

They're buying that up now. The reason why that's important to understand is you're trying to find out where support

and resistance is. Like I said, markets stopped going down when there's no more sellers, and so the selling seems to have been exhausted, and now what we're seeing is massive amounts of buying at that level, so that that creates support, all right, and so let me let me explain a little bit more over the last week, we saw these um wallets just in the last week have experienced an inflo of over seventy thousand bitcoin UM Around a hundred and twenty thousand bitcoin was accumulated at the

sixteen thousand dollar level. And the reason why that's important understand is that seems to be an area that's very, very aggressively defended. So if the price dips down below seventeen thousand, lots of buying comes back out to keep it back up to that level. And the reason why that's important is that we would then maybe say, well,

that's kind of set a floor. Maybe it can't drop down below because who's going to sell Their sellers have been exhausted, But we have lots of people that want to buy if it gets down to that price point.

And so it looks like we might have found the ba him and things are turning around, which is important for bitcoin and the cryptocurrency space UM, and like I said, it's been a tough year, right because of all of the chaos that's happened with these these big exchanges going down, and with these big exchanges like f t X, all the fraud, all the money has been lost. We have

a lot of new regulations now. A lot of times and I made a video talking about could f t X have been like some sort of a psy op And a lot of times we can see that they may use these types of things UM to garner public support where the public is now begging please give us regulations. We need you to protect us. And so UM we're keeping an eye on what's happening because these regulations are going to dramatically shift and change the face of of

bitcoin and cryptocurrency. Now we have maybe one of the most pro bitcoin, pro crypto U S Senators UM, Senator Pat Toomey is retiring and so he's been a pro he's been an advocate for a bitcoin pitocurrencies, and now he's retiring. So that's a little bit of a bummer.

We need as many supporters as we can in government. However, he's leaving us with a final gift, and that final gift is A is a bill that he that he's introduced to guide UM stable coin legislation next year, and he said, quote, I hope this framework lays the groundwork for my colleagues to pass legislation next year safeguarding customer

funds without inhibiting innovation. And so that's the thing. It's like, you start putting laws into place on this brand new technology, then all of a sudden, it starts to change the direction or limit the direction or limit the growth that its potential. And so what he's saying is, look, we're hoping that this safeguards customers but doesn't limit innovation. And so that's, oh, that's that's the right approach. Now, UM for no regulations, I think I should be free to

protect myself. But if they're going to do something, they should try to do uh as little as harm as possible. Right, how can we protect but without hurting it? And so that's where that's where he's he's kind of been at. But what he's really been talking about is these stable coin transactions. UM. The bill that he introduced would retain privacy for stable coin transactions. Of course, losing our privacy as the single greatest threat that we have and so

that this bill retains privacy for that. It sets up the controller currency UM as a way to license companies issuing UM payments on stable coins. This is a big piece of innovation. We're open to get where we could actually use stable coins for payment transactions, you know, in Starbucks or wealth Starbucks or McDonald's or whatever it may be. It also lets non bake entities issue tokens, and it also clarifies UM the stable coin issuers that don't offer

interest wouldn't have to worry about securities laws. It's a big piece, right, This is the right. This is the clarity that people are looking for UM, and so that's that's big. It would also require digital tokens to maintain a steady value by pegging to an asset such as the dollar. I'm sorry. It would require that digital tokens that do UM hold a steady value peg to and ask it like a dollar. They have to be fully backed by reserves. What a great idea. So it's supposed

to be a stable coin. It is supposed to be pegged one to one to the dollar. That I give you a dollar, you give me a token back, and in the point I should give you the token to give you my dollar back, So that means you should hold on to the dollar. So whenever I'm ready to get my dollar back, you give it to me. And that's what he's saying, and wow, what a what an idea, what an innovation. UM And his new legislation is pointedly meant to keep the Federal Reserve away from this sector.

This is the big thing, the danger of CBDCs. We've talked about this, and so this legislation is aimed to keep the FED away from this sector. UM and what he calls a potential conflict of interest if the FED is authorized to create a digital dollar in the future, because the FED isn't legally constitutionally able to create money. That's up to the government, that's up to the Treasury, the Treasury, and so the FED should not be able to make digital dollars. They don't make money, they don't

make currency. The Treasury does, as this law prohibits them from doing that. If you're just tuning in you're listening to the Mark Moa show, we're talking about some of the latest breaking news happening in the in the UH bitcoin digital cryptocurrency market. As we map out the decentralized revolution. I got a lot more to come. When I come back, I gotta take a quick break. We're gonna talk about some of the SPF F t X drama, some of these big revolutions that are happening in freedom of speech,

that and more. I'll be right back. Hello, and welcome back to another episode of the Markma Show, where we're talking about the decentralized revolution each and every week. Of course, as we look at it through the lens of politics, finance, and technology, and the technology being bitcoin and the decentralized technology that's bringing us and there's so much going on everywhere you look. Now, Like I said, we're talking about

the decentralized revolution, the way the world is changing. One of the things that's rapidly changing, of course as we look at it through politics and finance and technology together is the way that uh, freedom of speech has been controlled and censored and managed and so forth. And this

is a really big deal. Now we've talked about the threat that central bank digital currencies posed because they censor our ability to communicate value but with money, but sensoring our speech like on on social media platforms also censors our communication but with words. Now, I believe that, you know, the Bible says that truth self sets you free. I believe that the truth will always be found if we're able to have open, honest dialogue, intelligent dialogue. The truth

is found. If somebody says something stupid, something cookie, something weird, some misinformation, so to speak, it's very quickly found out if we're allowed to have open dialogue about it. Right, A lot of times I might see something being posted on Twitter and I'm like, oh, that's so good. I didn't think about that, and then I go read comments and I'm like, oh, wait a minute, this guy is wrong because this is bright dadada. And so it's it's that,

it's that conversation. It is that dialogue that allows us to understand what the truth is, not through censorship, not through having one voice telling us that's the opposite, that's the opposite. And the reason why it's important is because in order for the centralization of the world, as I argue that the world has been swinging towards centralization and now swinging back towards decentralization, and in order to control the world and have that centralized power, you have to

control the narrative. You have to control the speech, and so of course they've been trying to do that. Now, Um, we have seen how the FBI and the government, it's now completely out in the open. They've been manipulating all social media platforms to make sure we don't see things they don't want us to see, make sure we only see things they do want us to see. It more importantly that we only hear the narrative they wants to hear, and even more importantly that we're not able to you

have dialogue, open honest dialogue about these issues. Now, that doesn't prom They say it's to protect democracy. Um, democracy, which is a funny word. First of all, the United States isn't a democracy. The United States is a republic. They want you to think it's a democracy, because if they can get you to think it's a democracy, then

they control it better. But it's not. It's a republic. However, if we just take democracy as it is, Um, democracy is what mob rule, right, it's what the people want. And so how do you know what the people want if the people aren't able to voice their opinion. And so when they say we need to censor these platforms to save democracy, no democracy would be hearing what everybody has to say and what the majority of the people want.

So you can't say, well, you know the majority wants maga Republicans, and so that's a threat to our democracy. Well know, if that's what the majority wants, that is the democracy. So it's just backwards. But we know that they've been actively censoring. And so finally all these Twitter files have been coming out. Elon Musk bought Twitter. He said it's the most important platform in the world because that's the town squares with the conversation has happened. He

believes in the importance of free speech. Look, humans can speak, animals can't. That's what separates us, all right, the that's what separates We should embrace that we should all be speaking. And so he boughties, opened this up. And what he did is he went and pulled all the documents and he's been releasing them. We've covered some of this last week, and he get he's been giving them some big name reporters they can kind of release them and go through them.

And what we saw is actual emails and actual text messages from the government to Twitter staff saying shut these people down, sense of these people, change these stories kill these stories, promote these stories, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera. And this has been swirling around, swirling around, swirling around. Now when they censer free speech, it leads to massive speculation, and no mainstream media outlets will cover this except Fox has

covered its them. Now, um, now you know whatever speculations run wild supposedly, now there's all this, uh, you know, conspiracy. The f I was trying to cover things up, and to stop that, the FBI decided to be transparent. The FBI decided to respond to the evidence from the Twitter files suggesting that the FBI covered up the Hunter Biden

laptop story. And the FBI waged a disinformation campaign to persuade new news organizations and social media platforms and Twitter and Facebook and voters that the Hunter Biden laptop was a product of Russian hack and leak. Now we have correspondence between FBI and Twitter showing all these examples of this stuff happening. So the FBI had to finally address it,

and they said, you won't believe it. They said, it is unfortunate that conspiracy theorists and others are feeding the American public misinformation with the sole purpose of attempting to discredit the agency. That's what they said. But then they went on, but then they went on to say, it's it's it's not it's not some big con piracy. What are you guys talking about. This isn't a conspiracy. Of course,

we do this. We do it all the time. We intervene in all the platforms and and give them all this information and ask them to change all this information. But we do it to protect them. We do it to protect the platforms because we don't want them spreading misinformation. We don't to protect the people. So everyone's getting all worked out that the that the that the government in their intelligence communities are actively working against the constitutional rights

of the people. Um. And they come out and say, yeah, you're right, we actually do that. We actually do and so what um it says here quote I'm gonna read it directly from them. The correspondence between the FBI and Twitter show nothing more than examples of our tradition, longstanding and ongoing federal government and private sector engagements which involved numerous companies over multiple sectors in the industries. So basically, you think it's bad with Twitter, we do it with everybody.

You're worked up that we're actively subverting the will and working against the constitution of the people on Twitter, Well, we got news for you. We do with everybody, he said. They said here in numerous companies, over multiple sectors and industries, continued quote. As evidenced in the correspondence, the FBI provides critical information to the private sector and an effort to

allow them to protect themselves and their customers. Um. So like um actively lying, so they protect us by lines sort of like when Fauci said that there's absolutely no reason to wear masks. They do absolutely nothing, and then later he went on to say that we need to wear masks, and he said, well, the reason why I lied before is I was trying to protect the people because you know, we were running short on supplies and I didn't want them to go buy up everything, so

I lied. But it was for their best interest. That's basically the FBI is saying, we do it again, Um, in an effort to allow them to protect themselves. We lie to protect themselves. Insane and insane. So um, yeah, it's not a conspiracy. They like now they want to tell you that this conspiracy theory as as a way to discredit people, But there is such thing as conspiracy. As a matter of fact, there's laws against conspiracy. As

a matter of fact. Sam Bankman, freed at f t X, is charged with I believe six counts of conspiracy, which actually could see him serving life behind bars. But that's a whole another story. But just so you know that the freedom of speech is changing the world. We're starting to see all types of things coming out online, um that are going to reshape this world because the truth

shall shet us free. And that's exactly what's happening. If you're just tune in and listening to the markmas Show, we're talking about the decentralized revolution, the way the world is changing, and some of the ways it's changing is of course, technology is allowing us to interact and share information that we weren't able to before, and that will reshape politics as well. I got a lot more to cover. IM gonna talk about the economy, what's going on there

and my predictions for next year. Don't go away. I want to be back with all that and more in a minute. We're back, all right, Welcome back. If you just tune in, you're listening to the Mark mo Show, we're talking about the decentralized revolution, the way the world is changing right before very eyes through the lens of politics, finance, and technology. And we're ripping through some of the latest

breaking news this week that highlights it. It's the signposts that show us that we're getting closer to this inevitable outcome that's coming up and we can see it, like I said, through the lens of politics, finance, and technology, and I'd like to look at the convergence of those and we have some big stories in politics and finance today. And that is one of the most graririous bills that I've ever seen. Rampaul calls an abomination, and I'm talking

about this week, Um, something called the Omnibus Bill. Now, the Omnibus Bill is basically a hodgepodge where, um, they just grab a whole bunch of crap, they stick it all together, they try and cram it down, um so quick and so fast before anybody has any time to even take a look at it and even understand what it is. Much less the American people talk about it and maybe have a chance to like discuss it and maybe talk to their represented elected representatives so they could

go make a proper vote right. Uh. Last I checked to the United States is a republic where we elect representatives to go to Washington to represent our best interests. And so if those representatives are there to vote in our best interests, we should have a chance to voice what our interests are to them through phone calls and

emails and letters and so forth. And so it would make sense that if they're going to pass some enormous like the biggest bill ever, it makes sense that it should follow like a process that allows our representatives to read it and understand it and get the will of their people. But of course that's not what they want. Of course, they want to subvert the will. Of course they want to cram this through so they can get all of their buddies paid and and and stuff their

pockets full. And that's exactly what's happening. So that's what this omnibus bill is. It's an abomination. I want to I want to break it down a little bit for you. Uh, if you haven't heard, it's one point seven trillion dollars at a time when we've printed way too much money and inflation is way too high, we have way too much debt, thirty one trillion dollars of debt. Uh, we're loot. We're adding another trillion dollars or so of debt per year.

But what the heck? What's one point seven trillion dollars more? Now to put this into perspective for you, Um, that's more than double the amount of money that was needed to save the entire global financial system in two thousand eight. The bills over four thousand pages four thousand one pages long, and no one can read it for a couple of reasons. One, just to read it, you would have to read two pages per hour, I'm sorry, two pages per minute, which

is impossible to do. Um. And you'd have to do that for about thirty six hours straight without taking a break. And if that wouldn't be hard enough already, the bill was delivered at one thirty a m. In the middle of the night and days before Christmas. So yeah, now it's not like they didn't know about it and they just got it done. No, no, no, This is supposed to be a bill that goes in every year. It's

written in law. They were supposed to have it done in September, so we're supposed to be done in September. Why do they bring it in at one thirty am, four thousand pages, days before um. It goes um days before Christmas. And of course it's not a big surprise because they want to cram this through without hearing the will of the people, are having anybody have any ability

to say anything about it. Now, Luckily, we do have a few good people left in government who are like, this is insane, this is ridiculous, and there's no way we're passing this. There's no way. One of those is Rand Paul Um. He's doing that. But of course the Democrats, they want to slam this through no matter what. As a matter of fact. Uh, good old Schumer. He says that we have to get this through for the good of the American people. Now is this for the good

of the American people? I'm an American. I would rather not go through. And I bet you that if everybody else found out what was in that bill, I bet you, I bet you. If you I'm gonna tell you a couple of things that are I bet you, I bet you, nine out of ten Americans would not want this bill to go through if they knew what was in it. But they're trying to They're trying to cram it through their throats. Now we have this back and forth. The Republicans passed try to try to trying to hold it up.

There's something called Title forty two, and now the Democrats and Chuck Schumer are now trying to file this new kind of amendment to that to try to to try to force it through. They're trying to trying to trying to get it through any way they can. And again, all of this days before Christmas. So let's let's talk about a couple of things that are inside of there. Like I said, my guess is nine out of ten

people would not want this to go through. Right off the bat, I don't want one point seven more one point seven shillion dollars or more debt added to the balance sheet that my kids and grandkids are gonna have to pay. I don't want one one point seven shillion dollars adding more towards inflation and lowering my cost of living. I don't want that, do you? And I would guess no, unless some of that money is going into your pocket, which probably none of it is. Let's take a look

at some of this stuff. So a couple of things here that are just insane. First, of all of the one point seven trillion, half of it, or more than half of an eight billion of it goes to the Pentagon for more military spending the military industrial complex. Now, just in case you didn't know, the U. S. Military spends more money than the next ten countries combined combined. So who are we at war with? And what's the threat? Because we don't just spend more than the number two

or more than the number three. We spend more than two, three, four or five six combined. But yet we need to spend more. So ellion is going to go to the Defense Department. Now I can't tell you where that money is going to go because they don't even know. The Pentagon continues to lose trillions of dollars every single year. When I say lose, not like they spent more than they brought in. I mean lose as in they don't

know where it goes. And of course they don't know where it goes because it goes into all their pockets, and of course they don't want to know. They they've failed audit after audit after audit after audit. They said, maybe they've never they've never passed on They said maybe they'd be able to pass an audit in five years from now, we'll see so half of it INTERF billion goes to defense spending. We don't know where that goes, some black box that just continues to make the military

industrial complex bigger. But then we have seven hundred seventy two billion that goes to what's called discretionary spending. Now, the way discretionary spending works is you have your mandatory expenses like your house payment, your electricity bill, on your car payment. Discretionaries, money you have left over if you want to go out to eat or buy some new

clothes for your wife, um, discretionary. Now, when we sillion dollars of debt and we are losing a chillion dollars a year, I don't think we have any room for discretion I explaining it doesn't stop them seven billion for that. Let's break some of this down. We got four hundred million going to secure the borders of Jordan, Lebanon, Egypt,

Tunisia and Oman. What about the U. S Border? We have an invasion five million illegals have made across the border, but we don't have any money to go spend to scare board. As a matter of fact, in that bill. It prohibits expressly prohibits funding from being used to improve US border security. We have one point four billion going for membership into global multilateral organizations, including the u N. We're talking about like World Economic Form. We're talking about

non government organizations. So we're paying one point four billion to global multilateral organizations. Probably on need to do that. Five million half over half a billion dollars for quote, family planning in areas where population growth threatens bio diversity, so um colling the herd. Let's let's kill some people. Half a billion dollars for that. We got over half a billion dollars five four million for uh quote structural

racism focused in each subdivision. We have two hundred million going to Pakistan for gender equity, gender programs in Pakistan two million. We don't have any discretionary spending. Why are we giving Pakistan tuan a million for gender programs? No less, we added fifteen million for vaccine industries. Are gonna need that three thirty five million to prepare for another influenza pandemic,

including of course surveillance tools. Over half a billion five thirty five million for Corporation for Public Broadcasting inn PR or you know, propaganda. We have another about fifteen billion going to the intelligence community to increase their budgets for J six. Specifically, we got UH two eighty six million for Title X funding, which funds planned parenthoods we can

kill more babies. We have seven hundred fifty thousand all I was going to a Los Angeles based transgender group to inject more l g B d q um UM education into elementary schools. We have another eight point six million for the Pentagon for gender advisement programs. These are not things that I want, and I would imagine these are things that you don't want, But of course I'd love to hear from you. Hit me up on social media.

Do you hit me on Twitter at one Mark Mosson let me know, or on Instagram at one Mark Mosson let me know there as well. Otherwise I'm gonna cram this thing through here in Christmas before anybody has a chance to read it all. Right now, if you just tune in your listening to the Mark moss Show, We've got a lot more to cover when I come back, and I'm gonna give you my outlooks and predictions for this is the part you don't want to miss We're back without more in a minute. Don't go away, all right,

welcome back. You're listening to the Mark Mos Show. If you're just tuning in, we're talking about the decentralized revolution, like we talked about each and every week. Of course, as we look at the changing world and what's happening is we can navigate this together and we look at through the lens of politics, finance, and technology. Now we've covered a lot of big headlines this week, and now I wanna end with something that I'm calling my three

outlook and Predictions. So lots of uncertainty, lots of uncertainty in the world. You know, what's going to happen politically and financially? Is the world going to break apart? Are we going to come together? Or we're gonna go to war with Russia, We're gonna go to war with China. What's going to happen to my retirement account at my house and my cryptocurrency, my bitcoin, et cetera, all those things,

So let's talk about that. So the first thing that should be apparent to you more than ever before, if it wasn't already, is that um, the federal reserve, the central bank, the fellow reserve is in control of the markets. So when it comes to you know, like I said, your retirement account, your cryptocurrency account, your house value, things like that, it should be abundantly clear that the FETE

is in the driver's seat. And so we saw, you know, through or trying to recover in the government, they shut the economy down, and the FED responded by pumping the economy full of money. When they did that, we saw

asset prices GHO sky high. So a couple of things that we saw there that you need to keep in mind to move to navigate this moving forward, is that we went from a period really where the FED was just trying to kind of manage monetary policy and interest rates to two thousand and eight where they really tried to impact and move monetary policy um using quantitative easy

and things like that in two thousand eight. But then what happened in is the FED moved into a much more active role inside the economy, and as a matter of fact, not just an active role and certainly not a reactive role like they were in two thousand eight. But now they want to be the leading indicator, the leading role in the economy. And so there was a massive shift that happened in the last couple of years.

And we saw Jerome Powell, the head of the Federal Reserve, come in and say that, you know, we're not thinking about thinking about raising rates. He said that they would not raise rates for four years, and of course I was two years ago. Um. They told us that inflation wasn't a problem, inflation was transitory and all these things, and of course they got caught off guard, and so in November of two twenty one, they announced that we

have to start raising rates. And it's important to understand how this works because as soon as they said they would start raising rates, risk assets, mostly stocks, tech stocks, etcetera started selling off. Now Bitcoin started selling off first, A couple of days later, the nasdacs started selling off. A couple months later, the SMP five hundred started selling off. But everything has been declining since then, and all eyes

are on the FED now. Just I mean five years ago, most people never even talked about the FED or paid attention to the FED. And now today every time they go into a meeting, all eyes are watching the FED to understand exactly what is coming next. Because as again as I said, they're in the driver's seat now. They have extra external forces that obviously impact what they do, But we need to understand what's gonna happen there first.

So if we want to know, will the stock market um crash will continue with bullish trend um, is the secular long term trend broken and all the things? Like I said, we have to go and go back to the FED. So the first thing I want to do is realize that we don't want to fight the FED.

We don't want to work against the FED. So as long as the FED wants to be hawkish and they want to continue raising rates and they want to continue to tell us that their goal is to crush demand, understand that their goal is to make you feel broke, we don't want to fight that. There's no reason why we need to catch falling knives. There's no reason why we need to try to time the exact bottom. I want to be patient, So I'm gonna sit there and I'm gonna wait. I donna wait until there's some clarity.

I'm gonna wait until the FED. Eventually, like I said, the FED has external forces they have to manage, and eventually they will be forced to go back into an easy situation, and so we're going to just watch out for that all right now, a lot of people keep thinking they're gonna pivot, They're gonna pivot, but like I said, FED, the FED chair of Joan pal keeps saying, look, we're not going to now. He says they're not going to lower rates for many years now, just like he said

they wouldn't raise them for a couple of years. I think eventually he wills sooner than he wants to UM, but for now he won't. Another thing that I think is going to happen is I believe the world is going to continue to decentralize. I believe supply chains are going to continue to break down because of that. The way that the world trades is changing, and the way that we move energy and other products is changing. We can see that we're re on shoring a lot of

manufacturing the United States, UM. Lots of bills have been passed by the Biden administration to really severely impact China, and so I believe that we're gonna continue to see the world's kind of breaking apart everybody. Instead of just in time, supply chains will be just in case. So they're gonna start to manufacture and store more inventory, and all of these changes are going to be highly inflationary.

And so we took jobs that paid in the US, now we sent them overseas for ten thou Now those jobs have to come back UM, and so that's gonna be inflationary. So the FED has this goal of this two percent target of inflation, which of course they overshot and made up at nine percent inflation, and they're trying to get it back down to two percent. I think we'll also see the FED maybe come off of that goal or at least um at least agree that we

don't need to get there right away. I think that we might see inflation four or five percent and just kind of being okay with that, and that's guys, we're gonna have to. So I believe that the inflation target of the FED will be higher. I don't believe we'll get back down to two percent. I believe will be in that higher four or five percent range. As globalization continues to push inflation higher. That's gonna have to be something that they're used to. UM. And so those are

those are two big trends that I'm looking for. I think that again, the FED has these external forces that they have to deal with, and so eventually, even if they want to keep rates higher for a lot longer, eventually they're going to be forced to come off of that. But when so, I'm guessing, mom, I'm sort of predicting that that probably happens in Q two, Q three of next year. So I think things will probably get so bad.

We can already see these signs is starting to form um through the manufacturing, through consumer sentiment, through debt level, savings levels, et cetera, that I believe the pain level is going to get so high the economy will freeze up. Which, by the way, the FED doesn't care. They want to make you broke um. They don't care about your retirement account of your house value. What they do care about, though, is they care about the liquidity and the financial system.

And so we're starting to see liquidity dry up. You can see it in the bond markets, you can see it in the high yield corporate credit markets, you can see it in the treasury markets even And so I believe that things could get to a point where it's so bad the FED is forced to act UH sometime next year and they're forced to kind of get into this verbial pivot. Pivot for me would be to go from a tightening to an easy not a pause, but

but an actual pivot or a reversal. Uh. And maybe that happens towards the end of next year, and so I think that too, maybe we end up higher next year in stocks in cryptocurrencies than we are now now. As far as real estate, I did a full video breaking down real estate and how there's no such thing as the market, but there's thousands of markets. Go to my main YouTube channels of search Mark Moss to see

my outlook on real estate. What we're seeing is some markets like Seattle of San Francisco are already crashing worse than they did in two thousand eight. But other markets, like in Miami or Tampa, they're actually still holding on and actually still going up. And so I expect to see that to continue in the real estate market. Go watch that video for that. What I would say overall, for my um, not my predictions, but how I'm going to manage this is I think back to a quote

from Charlie Munger. He's Warren Buffet's partner, and he said that the big money is not made in the buying and the selling. It's made in the waiting. And so what that means to me is that I don't need to always be doing something. Investing should be boring. I want to be waiting for the right opportunity. So I'm okay being patient. I think patience is going to be the key for three. We want to wait for these things to develop. We want to wait for the Fed

to start to change his mind. And I'm okay waiting, being patient, and then I'm gonna look for the best opportunities. The best opportunity is gonna be the early trends that I'm gonna have to wait again for them to develop. I think gold, I think commodities, so gold energy, you know, overall commodities. I think it's going to be the trade for the next debt for the rest of the decade. But it's gonna take a while for that trend to develop, and so I'm gonna be patient. I'm gonna wait for that,

and then i'm gonna get into that. I'm gonna patient. I'm gonna wait for that to develop as well. So that's my plan for three. Hopefully that makes sense to you if you're just tune in. You're listening to the Marketma Show talking about the decentralized revolution and that some of my outlook for next year in financial markets and Glowe really from a geopolitical level. Hopefully you enjoyed that. Hit me up on social media let me know what you think. At one Mark Moss and that's what I got.

Thanks for listening.