01-14-26 Interview - Weather Wednesday with FOX31's Dave Fraser - podcast episode cover

01-14-26 Interview - Weather Wednesday with FOX31's Dave Fraser

Jan 14, 20269 min
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Episode description

WEATHER WEDNESDAY AT 12:30 And though the weather isn't doing anything dramatic we've got Fox 31's Chief Meteorologist Dave Fraser on to talk about the weather.

Transcript

Speaker 1

Dave Frasier on and we normally like to have him on when there's going to be a big weather change. But I got to tell you, I'm fond of today's weather, Dave, So I'm okay if it sticks around for a little while longer. So what are we looking at? I don't think there's any snow or there's really nothing in the immediate forecast.

Speaker 2

Is there some wind and some cool downs coming that we're monitoring.

Speaker 3

By the way, just on.

Speaker 2

A side note, I was talking with Dave. You're a bad influence.

Speaker 1

What No, you know what it is, Dave. I just you know, you and I are very close to the same age, and you, I know, have had friends. I'm sure that we're going to do all this stuff when they retired, but they dropped dead when they were fifty one. Right, life is life is uncertain. Live your life. And I know how much he loves that band. I wouldn't say for like another band, but I would say for that one.

Speaker 3

Yes, that's all, you know what, And that's true.

Speaker 2

And I take that same philosophy because we have had friends and family members who have done that. They've worked so hard right up to the end, and then the end was the end and they can get to enjoy the bos of their labor. And I've done that with concerts. I'm in the old Man concert stage with my wife. We kind of looked with it for the old band and stuff. We've had the great concerts that we've got. We did the Trio. We did uh Ario, Speedwagonig and

Lover Boy. That was great, and you know we've done We've.

Speaker 3

Done air Supply up at a in Greeley.

Speaker 2

It was a small little form that was fantastic. Of course, the piano men, you know, Elton John and Billy Joel. I did Billy Joel twice out at the Corsfield. So I'm you know, you take in these bands and we just went and sat on the floor like a rod. And we saw Paul McCartney when he was in town out at Corsfield.

Speaker 3

So it's been fantastic.

Speaker 2

That concert I went to in the last probably five years, and I paid nothing for the seats. It was at Fiddler's Green and it was Christopher Cross, Peter Setera.

Speaker 3

Chicago, and then and then Kenny Loggins.

Speaker 1

Yes, oh no, I didn't hear that. When I saw the one with Christopher Cross, the lead singer of Black Finger, maybe Todd run Gregg and Nicki Dolins. Okay, what kind of lineup is that? It was phenomenal? It was so good, It was so so good.

Speaker 3

The Fiddler's Green concert was fantastic.

Speaker 2

And I sat in the front row and I paid nothing.

Speaker 3

And you know why why.

Speaker 2

Because the radio station I work would got me some great seats.

Speaker 1

Well, I just want to let you know I never get those great seeds.

Speaker 2

So you are really really special.

Speaker 3

People hooked me up. Yeah.

Speaker 1

Well I'll be like, oh so I'm not as good as Stave Frasier.

Speaker 2

Whatever.

Speaker 1

Anyway, Dave, let's talk weather for a moment. I do have a couple of questions from the text line. One of them says, Mandy, I live in the southwest of Nebraska. We've had zero snow. When do we begin to panic?

Speaker 3

You know, I always stand on the same thing I.

Speaker 2

Say said here with you for years, is never give up on a season. We are in an El Nino pattern, and what that means is that the storm track is not favorable for Colorado. And we knew that going into the winter, and that the southern mountains would struggle more than the northern mountains. And while the snow pack. Right now, our water supply is only at sixty one percent. The northern mountains are actually pushing that percent to hire. It's

the southern mountains that are dragging it down. Everybody's below average, so it's not like we're at one hundred percent and they're at twelve percent or something like that. We're all below average and we expected long periods of dry weather. There is a potential shift coming that the Pacific waters are starting to move away from the colder pattern, which is La Nina, to more of a neutral pattern and then maybe come later this year to an al Nino pattern.

And if that happens, and again it's it's a computer models generation, it's a forecast, but if we do transition to an al Nino by the fall and winter of next year, we will benefit here greatly with a lot of snow along the front range in the northern mountains, and the southern mountains will do a little better too. But that's a slow progression. So there's a lot of talk out there about the sea surface temperatures and the equatorial Pacific changing, but it takes a long time for

that change to then kind of influence the atmosphere. We need the jet strength to dip. We have had El Nino patterns in the past where we ended up okay at the end of.

Speaker 3

The season, maybe eight to nine inches short on.

Speaker 2

Snow, but we weren't, you know, record setting snowfall or lack of snowfall s tootal. So you can't give up yet. We load snow in the mountains through April seventh, and then after that whatever is there, that's the melting that begins, and that's our water supply. So we've got plenty of time between now and April seventh. I wouldn't say panic yet, but I understand the concern, and I would like to see snow chances. The bigger problem is we get these

really warm patterns. And I like today's weather, but you know what, sixty degrees on January fourteenth, probably a little too much.

Speaker 1

Yeah, well, let me ask this question. We got a couple questions about the immediate weather coming up here quickly. This person said, I'm terrified about the cold tempts on Sunday? Is it really going to hit us? I don't want to have to have want Buffalo to have their cold weather advantage. But then someone else asked, Dave can you talk about the extreme weather event that the news just talked about from northern Colorado on Friday? So what's happening Friday Saturday?

Speaker 2

Okay? And I'm glad they asked, because that is the one area we are focused. So to the north and east. Two things in play. When I say north and east, think of north and east of the airport on the ice seventy sixth quarter, say starting around Hudson and then up to Fort Morgan and on towards Stirling and Jewelesburg and then out on the eastern plane. Number Two, things

in play. Once they did not get the snow we got late last week, even though we only got about an inch or a little more in some location, so they're lacking motion. Number Two, there is a bigger storm system sliding through the Midwest, coming down across the Dakotas and into the upper Midwest and Nebraska. This is going to be a very cold Arctic air mass, and what it's going to do is it's going to generate some wind.

So on Friday, the lack of snow in those areas combined with strong wind out of the north and west, twenty five thirty forty miles per hour is going to increase the fire danger. And of course you just heard that you Excel may be proactive in those areas as they have been since the Marshall fire, so you know, we will watch that area.

Speaker 3

There are fire.

Speaker 2

Weather watches in place which eventually will probably become red flag warnings. Now Denver and the Front Range will be on the western extreme of that and not really will be kind of insulated and protected from the strongest winds, and we have the snow, so it's really the northeast corner. Here's the second factor. What the other thing we're watching is the Arctic air, which is very dense, manny, and very cold, and it sits down it's like syrup pouring

down over the lower terrain. Some of that is going to backwash into northeast Colorado, where they're temperatures Friday, Saturday, and potentially Sunday struggle in the thirties, maybe even close to freezing or a little below.

Speaker 3

Back here along the Front Range.

Speaker 2

Again, we're kind of protected because we're up in elevation a little bit. However, the computer models are now indicating that some of that cold air may come back our way. And the one thing I just finished doing is. I adjusted my forecast for the Broncos bill game at Mile High down.

Speaker 3

Originally we're thinking a kickoff temperature around.

Speaker 2

Fifty I'm thinking closer to maybe forty to forty two because it looks like some of that colder air may try and reach its way back to Denver, so that part of the forecast is changing. Now here's the thing.

Speaker 3

It's still dry, there's not a lot.

Speaker 2

Of wind for us here in Denver, but the colder temperatures on Saturday looking are starting to looking more likely.

Speaker 1

Okay, but I mean that's not like you know, Buffalo Lake effects snow cold. That's like that's chili. And is it gonna be sunny or is it gonna be overcast?

Speaker 2

No, it's gonna be sunny. And every single home game this year at.

Speaker 3

Mile High for the Broncos, the kickoff.

Speaker 2

Temperature has been sixty degrees or higher. So we've had some very mild football weather. This one will maybe a little chilly. I've told our sports team who will be out there on Saturday, bring the hat, bring the gloves, and bring the jacket. You may not need it at the start of the game, but you're gonna want it at the end of the game.

Speaker 1

Right, all right, Dave Frasier, Fox thirty one meteorologists who loves the old bands as much as I do. Now, next time I want tickets, I'm gonna have you ask for them. If you're going to get the good seats that I'm just gonna utilize our friendship like that, Dave, don't be surprised.

Speaker 3

Not a problem, but I'd love to do it.

Speaker 1

I'll talk to you next week.

Speaker 2

Man,

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