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The Loonie Hour

Steve Saretskythelooniehour.ca
The Loonie Hour is a Canadian based macro economic podcast covering newsworthy events across the globe and how they will impact Canadians.
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Episodes

The Central Bank Endgame- w/ guest Grant Williams

Governments are broke, and central banks are trying to maintain the illusion of stability. The next decade will not be like the last one, prepare for volatility. Inflation, interest rates, and political risks abound. House prices have created massive inequality and threaten social stability. Where do we go from here, and how do we plan for the central bank endgame? This week's interview with special guest Grant Williams. Check Out BMO's S&P 500 Index ZSP ETF Here: https://bit.ly/3xzrAO8 BMO ...

May 10, 20241 hr

Currency Crisis in Japan?

The Japanese Yen has fallen almost 50% against the US dollar since 2020. Attempts to intervene are failing. The USD needs to go lower through Fed easing. The Bank of Canada desperately wants to cut. GDP on a per capita basis is still contracting. Mortgage renewals finally starting to bite? Check Out BMO's S&P 500 Index ZSP ETF Here: https://bit.ly/3xzrAO8 BMO Global Asset Mgmt, November 2023. Based on $11billion in AUM in ZSP and ZSP.U. BMO S&P 500 Index ETF ZSP | BMO Global Asset Manage...

May 03, 20241 hr 5 min

How China is Interfering in Canadian Elections, Exposing Corruption w/ guest Sam Cooper.

How China is interfering in federal elections in Canada, spreading fentanyl, and exacerbating a housing crisis. Special interview with independent journalist Sam Cooper. Check out Sam's book, Willful Blindness. We also discuss markets pricing out fed rate cuts, weak Canadian retail sales, and stagflation concerns. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Apr 26, 20241 hr 12 min

Federal Budget Predicts Falling Interest Rates, No Recession?

The federal government dropped their latest budget which predicts no recession and falling interest rates. Will this make the Bank of Canada's job more difficult? Increased capital gains taxes will come with consequences, particularly for entrepreneurs. Who is really running the show in Ottawa? Robert Asselin, former economic advisor to finance minister Morneau joins the podcast. Check Out BMO's S&P 500 Index ZSP ETF Here: https://bit.ly/3xzrAO8 BMO Global Asset Mgmt, November 2023. Based on...

Apr 19, 20241 hr 5 min

US Inflation Derails the Bond Market

This week's episode we are joined by Chace Barber of Edison Motors to discuss the government grant scandal impacting their EV truck company. We then discuss US inflation, surging bond yields, desperate housing policy changes. Check Out BMO's S&P 500 Index ZSP ETF Here: https://bit.ly/3xzrAO8 BMO Global Asset Mgmt, November 2023. Based on $11billion in AUM in ZSP and ZSP.U. BMO S&P 500 Index ETF ZSP | BMO Global Asset Management (bmogam.com) See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy informa...

Apr 12, 20241 hr 10 min

Are financial markets getting complacent?

Government spending pouring fuel on the fire at the Bank of Canada. Bond yields pushing higher as growing concerns over fewer rate cuts. Oil continues to climb higher. Are financial markets getting complacent? Check out industry-leading BMO ETFs here: https://www.bmogam.com/ca-en/products/exchange-traded-funds/find-an-etf/?ecid=dw-LHPODNovGAM1-ADBMO26 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information....

Apr 05, 20241 hr 12 min

Immigration Cuts Could Push Canada into Hard Landing- w/ Ben Rabidoux

Immigration Minister announces big cuts to population growth. How will this slow the economy and rents? Rabidoux thinks the Bank of Canada will have to cut rates more than expected. OSFI keeps the mortgage stress test on lender switches. Trudeau announces renters bill of rights. Check out industry-leading BMO ETFs here: https://www.bmogam.com/ca-en/products/exchange-traded-funds/find-an-etf/?ecid=dw-LHPODNovGAM1-ADBMO26 Check out Ben Rabidoux's work at Edge Analytics Research: https://edgeanalyt...

Mar 29, 20241 hr 7 min

Central Banks are Going to Cut Rates into Accelerating Inflation

Canadian house prices bounce higher. Inflation dips in Canada. Central banks around the world are preparing to cut rates as commodity prices jump and financial markets rip. The Federal Government starts buying mortgage bonds. Check out industry-leading BMO ETFs here: https://www.bmogam.com/ca-en/products/exchange-traded-funds/find-an-etf/?ecid=dw-LHPODNovGAM1-ADBMO26 Check out Manscaped at manscaped.com and use our code " LOONIEHOUR " to get 20% OFF when you purchase The Handyman! See omnystudio...

Mar 22, 20241 hr 7 min

Canadian Living Standards are Falling

Premiers across the country are demanding Trudeau to pause the Carbon tax increase. US inflation jumps on higher producer prices. The crypto bull market is back. Rich takes the helm at the Bank of Canada. Check out industry-leading BMO ETFs here: https://www.bmogam.com/ca-en/products/exchange-traded-funds/find-an-etf/?ecid=dw-LHPODNovGAM1-ADBMO26 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information....

Mar 15, 20241 hr 3 min

Canadian Businesses are Failing at the Highest Rate Since 2006

Business insolvencies are surging. Mortgage arrears are climbing, albeit coming off record lows. The Bank of Canada holds rates. Federal Government attempting to mandate allocation of pension dollars. Markets awaiting US jobs data this week. Check out industry-leading BMO ETFs here: https://www.bmogam.com/ca-en/products/exchange-traded-funds/find-an-etf/?ecid=dw-LHPODNovGAM1-ADBMO26 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information....

Mar 08, 202459 min

No Rate Cuts from The Bank of Canada this Year?

Tiff Macklem is on deck next week. Bitcoin hits record highs in Canadian dollars. Financial conditions are easing, pushing US equities and inflation higher. Canadian banks report earnings, the mortgage renewal wall is still a very big problem. GDP per capita declines for the sixth straight quarter. Check out industry-leading BMO ETFs here: https://www.bmogam.com/ca-en/products/exchange-traded-funds/find-an-etf/?ecid=dw-LHPODNovGAM1-ADBMO26 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information....

Mar 01, 20241 hr 4 min

Canadian Farmers are Bracing for Tough Times Ahead- w/ guest Shaun Haney

Commodity prices are falling, interest rates are up, and government policy is hurting Canadian farmer profits. Inflation in Canada plummets as retail sales slide. More politicians are looking for rate cuts. Troubles are mounting at European banks. Check out industry-leading BMO ETFs here: https://www.bmogam.com/ca-en/products/exchange-traded-funds/etf-centre/?ecid=dw-LHPODNovGAM1-ADBMO26 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information....

Feb 23, 20241 hr 11 min

Higher for Longer? You can thank the US Economy

CPI inflation came in hot once again in the US. Bond yield volatility surges. Markets removing rate cut expectations. Recessions in Japan and the UK. Construction costs in Canada are finally coming down. The $60M ArriveScam issue. The carbon tax rebrands. Check out industry-leading BMO ETFs here: https://www.bmogam.com/ca-en/products/exchange-traded-funds/etf-centre/?ecid=dw-LHPODNovGAM1-ADBMO26 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information....

Feb 16, 202459 min

Real Estate Crisis Brings Deflation to China

US jobs numbers come in hotter than expected, boosting bond yields higher. Jerome Powell speaks on 60 minutes interview. Canadians could be jailed for promoting the benefits of oil and gas. China is experiencing deflation, deepening financial woes. Commercial property bust leaks into Europe. eck out industry-leading BMO ETFs here: https://www.bmogam.com/ca-en/products/exchange-traded-funds/etf-centre/?ecid=dw-LHPODNovGAM1-ADBMO26 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information....

Feb 09, 20241 hr 5 min

The Economic Shock Will Come from Outside the US

Commercial Real Estate is dragging global banks lower. Powell pushes back rate cuts. The return of bidding wars in the housing market? Europe is drifting towards deflation. China property crisis deepens, Evergrande to liquidate holdings. Check out industry-leading BMO ETFs here: https://www.bmogam.com/ca-en/products/exchange-traded-funds/etf-centre/?ecid=dw-LHPODNovGAM1-ADBMO26 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information....

Feb 02, 20241 hr 2 min

Nobody is Positioned for a Second Wave of Inflation- w/ guest Tian Yang

Bank of Canada holds rates, but signals transition. Federal Government caps immigration of foreign students. Business bankruptcies in Canada are soaring. US GDP comes in hot, defies recession calls. ECB holds rates. China financial risks and how they impact Vancouver Real Estate. Special interview with Tian Yang, CEO of global macro research firm Variant Perception. Check out industry-leading BMO ETFs here: https://www.bmogam.com/ca-en/products/exchange-traded-funds/etf-centre/?ecid=dw-LHPODNovG...

Jan 26, 20241 hr 10 min

Hopes of Rate Cuts from the Bank of Canada are Starting to Fade

Core inflation in Canada came in hotter than expected. Immigration continues to pressure shelter inflation, creating further challenges for the Bank of Canada. The Feds contemplate limiting foreign students in several provinces. Bond yields push higher. Nuclear energy coming to Alberta. The World Economic Forum kicks off. Check out industry-leading BMO ETFs here: https://www.bmogam.com/ca-en/products/exchange-traded-funds/etf-centre/?ecid=dw-LHPODNovGAM1-ADBMO26 See omnystudio.com/listener for p...

Jan 19, 20241 hr 14 min

Inflation Jumps Higher than Forecasted- w/ guest Jared Dillian

Inflation remains sticky but the Fed will still cut. Could this spark a second wave of inflation? Guest Jared Dillian, author of The Daily Dirtnap suggests the stock market is on the cusp of a pull-back. Trading sentiment tops and bottoms. The striking similarities between US stocks and Canadian housing. Property taxes surge in Canadian cities. Pre-order Jared’s new book, No Worries: https://www.amazon.ca/No-Worries-live-stress-financial-ebook/dp/B0BZZFQPBG?nodl=1&dplnkId=e3b1f304-3833-462e-...

Jan 12, 20241 hr 9 min

The Perils of The Green Energy Transition- w/ guest Doomberg

We interview energy expert, and popular newsletter writer Doomberg on the green energy transition. Net zero cars, nuclear energy, solar and wind, this is a masterclass on all things energy. There are no solutions, only trade offs, and Doomberg provides the sobering reality Canadians face in the years ahead as governments push climate policy. Check out industry-leading BMO ETFs here: https://www.bmogam.com/ca-en/products/exchange-traded-funds/etf-centre/?ecid=dw-LHPODNovGAM1-ADBMO26 See omnystudi...

Jan 05, 20241 hr 17 min

Is Canada on the Verge of a Debt Crisis?

We discuss Pierre Poilievres video that has gone viral regarding a potential debt crisis in Canada. Our total debt to GDP sits at 305% and is one of the highest in the G20. This has garnered responses from Chrystia Freeland, the mainstream media, and various economists. What does the Loonie Hour think? Check out industry-leading BMO ETFs here: https://www.bmogam.com/ca-en/products/exchange-traded-funds/etf-centre/?ecid=dw-LHPODNovGAM1-ADBMO26 Try Out Canva for Teams! Get an extended 45-day trial...

Dec 29, 20231 hr 8 min

Canada Mandates Zero-Emission Vehicles During Cost of Living Crisis

All vehicles sold in Canada must be hybrid or electric by 2035. We interviewed transportation energy expert David Rapson to discuss the economic impacts and the viability of the mandates. Reckless population growth running at highest levels in nearly 70 years. Canada CPI still sticky. Financial markets flirting with no landing or a soft landing. Check out industry-leading BMO ETFs here: https://www.bmogam.com/ca-en/products/exchange-traded-funds/etf-centre/?ecid=dw-LHPODNovGAM1-ADBMO26 Try Out C...

Dec 22, 20231 hr 19 min

Did Central Banks Just Pivot?

The Fed shocks the market with a dovish outlook, forecasts 3 rate cuts next year. Bond yields tumble. Is a soft landing a fantasy or reality? Canadian mortgage rates are falling along with home prices. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dec 15, 20231 hr 1 min

Waiting on the Bank of Canada to Cut Rates

The Bank of Canada held rates again. Markets are expecting 100bps of rate cuts in 2024. Bond yields continue to tumble. Will housing perk up? Keep an eye on US non-farm payrolls. COP 28 brings big promises and big problems for Canadian oil and gas. Who is the most dangerous man in Canada? Check out industry-leading BMO ETFs here: https://www.bmogam.com/ca-en/products/exchange-traded-funds/etf-centre/?ecid=dw-LHPODNovGAM1-ADBMO26 Check out Addy! The largest institutional-grade commercial real est...

Dec 08, 20231 hr 13 min

Canadian Banks Bracing For a Weaker Economy

Canadian banks reported earnings this week. Nearly all of them significantly increased their provision for loan losses. The economy contracted in Q3. Markets are betting on the BoC to cut rates next year. US still holding up. Check out industry-leading BMO ETFs here: https://www.bmogam.com/ca-en/products/exchange-traded-funds/etf-centre/?ecid=dw-LHPODNovGAM1-ADBMO26 Check out Addy! The largest institutional-grade commercial real estate investing platform in Canada! https://addyinvest.ca/ Use our...

Dec 01, 20231 hr

Without Nuclear Canada's Energy Transition is Doomed, w/ guest Dr. Chris Keefer

We interview the president of Canadians for Nuclear energy Dr. Chris Keefer to discuss nuclear energy and why the current government has suddenly taken a u-turn on nuclear energy policy. We then discuss the Federal budget update, housing funds and the AirBnb changes coming. CPI in Canada falls back to within the BoC's target, and comments from Tiff Macklem. Check out Canadians for Nuclear Energy: https://www.canfornuclearenergy.org/ Check out industry-leading BMO ETFs here: https://www.bmogam.co...

Nov 24, 20231 hr 17 min

How to Slow Canada's Food Inflation Problem - with guest The Food Professor

Dr. Sylvain Charlebois aka The Food Professor joins the podcast to discuss food inflation hitting Canadian wallets. His Battle with the Bank of Canada, and the impacts of the carbon tax. Keith and Steve then discuss the recession playbook. US CPI, jobless claims and the bond trade. Are we at a turning point? Check out industry-leading BMO ETFs here: https://www.bmogam.com/ca-en/products/exchange-traded-funds/etf-centre/?ecid=dw-LHPODNovGAM1-ADBMO26 The Loonie Hour is live in Toronto on November ...

Nov 17, 20231 hr 10 min

Canada's Biggest Retailers Warn Consumers are Tapped Out

Bank of Canada flags government spending in 2024. Canadian Tire and its chain of retailers warn about weak consumer demand, job cuts. BC Government unveils drastic housing supply changes. Arrive Canada Scam heats up. Feds Jay Powell spooks markets. Check out industry-leading BMO ETFs here: https://www.bmogam.com/ca-en/products/exchange-traded-funds/etf-centre/?ecid=dw-LHPODNovGAM1-ADBMO26 The Loonie Hour is live in Toronto on November 30th! Join us for drinks, appetizers, a live podcast, and Q&a...

Nov 10, 20231 hr

Consumer Confidence in Canada Plummets to Lowest Levels since 1982

Confidence plunges as recession hits Canada. Bond yields retrace as Central Banks signal end of hiking cycle. Carbon tax divides Canadian provinces as affordability crunch deepens. Home sales weaken in October. Loonie Hour Live in Toronto tickets https://www.eventbrite.com/e/the-loonie-hour-live-in-toronto-tickets-742892650917 Check out industry leading BMO ETF’s: https://www.bmogam.com/ca-en/products/exchange-traded-funds/etf-centre/?ecid=dw-LHPODNovGAM1-ADBMO26 Try out Canva for Teams! Get an ...

Nov 03, 20231 hr 10 min

Bank of Canada Says Inflation Will Return to Target in 2025

Bank of Canada holds rates, says global bond yields are doing the tightening. Inflation back to target in 2025. Canadian banks cutting jobs and selling loans. The ECB hits the panic pause. HSBC says the world is at "tipping point". Universal basic income surfaces in Canada. Try out Canva for Teams! Get an extended 45-day trial here: https://canva.me/looniehour See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information....

Oct 27, 20231 hr 8 min

The Bond Bear Market Could Derail the Global Economy - w/ guest Mike Green

Economic growth prospects continue to be revised higher, what are we all missing? Inflation slows in Canada. Business outlook sours. Canada's banking regulator succumbs to political pressures. Try out Canva for Teams! Get an extended 45-day trial here: https://canva.me/looniehour See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 20, 20231 hr 13 min
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