And very happy Thursday to you with twelve oh six in the West, it's the Giant Phillips Show, mister Randy Weggs in Culver City, John.
It looks like now two days after election Day, that overall turnout for this June primary, which had national coverage, is around twenty six percent support. That includes twenty eight percent of Democrats, thirty three percent of Republicans, and eighteen percent of the nppiece. But we won't know what the final number is for sure until the state of California stops counting ballots, which will happen right around the time
that your grandchildren graduate from college. I believe the alert that came out from La County yesterday was they've counted about one point four million ballots and they have another seven hundred and fifty thousand to get through.
Unbelievable.
Now, when it comes to the latest drops in the ballot, to use the term that they love to use, the ballot dumps, the races really haven't changed much. Steve Hilton still in first place with twenty seven percent support, Javier Bakaria and second at twenty five percent support, and Tom Steyer is still under twenty percent. He did crack a million votes, but he's still three hundred thousand below Bisera and four hundred thousand below Hilton.
Every time I hear you say ballot dumps, I think it's a new age form of depression.
Now in the La Mayors race, which everyone was getting all crazy yesterday with these gambling websites that you have to take with a grain of salt that people were assuming that all of the late ballots are going to break for Nythia for some reason, and the betting markets still say that Nythia has a six ft three percent chance to advance to the runoff. That hasn't in the vote dump that happened yesterday at four point thirty changed whatsoever.
Karen bass is at thirty four point nine percent, Spencer Pratt is at twenty nine point nine to one percent, so pretty much thirty percent, and Nythia Rahman is at twenty two point eight percent. Nythia is still about forty thousand ballots below Spencer Pratt, so they would have to start breaking for her in an extraordinary way, and so far we just have not seen that.
So you had an interesting theory as to why the betting markets went haywire. Are two pm. Hour yesterday and you trace it back to a Steve Kornaki report on MSNBC.
We actually got a couple of emails about this. So there were people who were counting late into the night on Tuesday, and La County put a couple of ballot dumps excuse my language, late into the evening, like there was one at a less seven pm and there was one at midnight. And those two broke heavily for Nythia.
So anyone that's trying to make a quick buck in the gambling game looked at that and thought, oh well, if they all go that way, there's a big advantage to putting money on Nithia right now, because if you bought Nythia when she was at twenty percent support to advance, you're going to cash in if she actually makes it.
And sometimes the news can contribute to a mass psychosis like that. We've seen it happen before. I mean, go back to the COVID days. Remember when everyone was fighting over toilet paper in the grocery store, and then when that gets reported, everyone starts fighting even more over toilet paper in the grocery store. There are households mine included, that are still auto shipping toilet paper every single month,
just in case. So I think it was doctor Kelly who had the theory as to why people were fighting over toilet paper because COVID was not a gastro problem. There's no reason for you to need more toilet paper than normal if you're going through a COVID nineteen pandemic. And her theory was that when COVID first started and they started shutting down society, they started shutting down commerce, and people didn't know when their state would shut down
because they did it in waves. Initially, only certain things were shut down, and then oh, let's shut down the parks and the beaches and the golf courses too. And we went through that hysteria well when people thought that they were going to shut down the costcos and the supermarkets and all the places where you regularly shop. Everyone was acting like an idiot when they were shopping. And there were these two hags that were shopping at a Walmart and they ended up getting into a fistfight over
toilet paper. That was the item that they were both trying to buy. And they got into a fistfight at the Walmart, and someone was recording it. Because someone's recording everything that goes on in society at any point in time, and then of course put it on social media, because why not. That video was used all over the news, and that video was shared all over social media, and because it was toilet paper that they happened to be fighting over, that's what people took away from from it.
They thought, Okay, there's a shortage of toilet paper, let's go out and buy toilet paper. Had they been fighting over avocados, there would have been a run on avocados. If they were fighting over batteries, there would have been a run on batteries. It just so happened that they were fighting over toilet paper. So that's what led to no one being able to get toilet paper for about eight When fear gets into your brain, you stop making
rational decisions. And whether you saw the video or not, I remember the feeling of going to my local Ralphs right as the lockdowns began. It was the first time I had ever seen a grocery store with nothing on the shelves.
It freaked me out. I was like, hey, youar And no nobody knew what was going to happen at that point. We weren't sure the world was about to end.
And here's some good advice that you could just generally use at any point in the future. If you see two overweight women with curlers in their hair throwing haymakers at one another, never assume that they know something you don't, because I guarantee you they don't. You know, it's wild about this panic Nithia betting that's going on on Calshi, which again we report it because it's literally a news partner now for CNN, So people take this stuff way
more seriously than they should. But the amount of money that's been dumped into the who will advance in the LA mayoral election in the last twenty four hours, it's almost doubled. The cap on that right now is about two point four million dollars has been spent, and it was at like one point four million yesterday. Okay, so I'm going to try to explain where the numbers are. Randy, you I think set the table well as to where
we are right now with the LA Mayor's race. That being said, I do have to warn you this is going to be a drunk man driving down an icy road, because when it comes to math, I'm extremely remedial so let me do my best to try to explain where we are and what's what the future holds. So, according to the latest numbers, Nitya. Rahman is running well in the late ballots so far. So any ballot that was turned in at the very last minute is likely to be more pro Nithea than the ballots that were cast
early on. Remember when the voting started and we kept talking about how Republicans were overperforming, they were doing better than Democrats. Well, the late ballots they benefit the Democrats.
It's a term. There is actually a new word for this. They call it the red mirage.
Okay, So of the ballots that they're counting right now, the late ballots, she's winning thirty one point two percent of them, so just under a third. Spencer is winning twenty point eight percent of them, So that means that she's doing better than him by ten point four points. There's seven hundred thousand ballots remaining in La County, but not every La County ballot gets a vote for the
mayor's race. If you live in Long Beach, for example, you vote on Long Beach issues, you don't vote in the city of La So while that ballot is sitting in Norwalk, and that ballot is an LA County ballot. That ballot will not impact the LA Mayor's race because they don't have a say. Same thing with Pasadena, same thing with Manhattan Beach, same thing with Calabasas. None of
those cities get a say in the LA mayors race. So, of those seven hundred thousand ballots that remain that have not been counted yet in La County, according to the numbers, we should expect about two hundred and sixty three thousand of them to come from the city of La So from the point of view of Spencer and Nitia, they have two hundred and sixty three more ballots that are going to be counted that could impact that race. If current participation rates hold, Ramen will likely need to beat
Pratt by about fourteen percent to leapfrog him. That's what she'll need of those remaining two hundred and sixty three thousand ballots to beat him. Currently, with all of these batches that are so pro Nthia, and she's doing so well, she's winning them by ten point four percent, So she needs to do better than that. She needs to beat him by fourteen points and right now she's beating him
by ten point four. So according to this, according to the numbers as they exist, assuming I did it right, if the batches of ballots are won by Nythia at the rate that Steve Kornaki was talking about, which is better than what she did before, which is better than Spencer Pratt, it's still not enough to get her there. So for her to win, she either needs to clean his clock in the remaining ballots, something she has not done so far, or they need to find more ballots
because she is beating them. So if you find more than two hundred and sixty three thousand, that gives her a chance, or if she beats them by more than fourteen points in each batch, that gives her a chance. But so far neither one of those two things has happened. So given the fact that those are the numbers, there is no justification for the betting markets to do what they're doing right now to my eye.
But the thing with the betting markets is they can be manipulated. You can put your if you're a mythea supporter, you can start spending a bunch of money on there to put out this illusion that she has a chance here, or you have a bunch of people who again, this is a gambling platform. This is not a poll that see an opportunity to make some good money because the margins looked really good, like any other underdog that you bet on in sports Angels fan Well, and here's something
else to think about too. This is not like a general election where there's a binary choice between a Republican and a Democrat.
This is a primary, which means every time a Democrat ballot gets counted, that ballot isn't necessarily going to go for Nythia because Karen bass is doing better than Nythia overall. In fact, she's doing a lot better than Nythia, and some of those Democrats are going to vote for Pratt. And then you also have those also ran candidates who are generating their own support. So unless I'm missing something big,
I don't see how she leapfrogs him. Now. The mail which is coming in today can alter the number of ballots that La County has left to count, but their estimate is that it's going to be just over seven hundred thousand county wide, and they've done this a long time, so I assume that they're basing it on some kind of modeling that's worked out for them before in the past. And then some ballots, I guess will trickle in tomorrow.
And then maybe you have military ballots that are coming from overseas or people who are business people who are traveling in different countries around the world. Maybe those ballots will come in late. But you're just talking about a handful of ballots. And again, not all of them will have a say in the La City elections. Some of them will be LA County residents. But if you live in Long Beach again and you can't vote for mayor of LA So I don't think anything's going to change.
But according to the betting markets, I'm in the minority.
Well, this is the opportunity if you happen to be a degenerate gambler who bets on politics. There's some really good odds to put behind Spencer Pratt right now.
Yes, but then you're relying on me to do the math correctly, and that's another that's another thing. I don't know if i'd bet.
On Well, it's a bet. And by the way, you think some people are putting like twenty dollars on this, they they have a live ticker of how much money is being spent on this thing. Someone just put twenty five hundred dollars on Nitia. All right, this might actually be the end of society.
And speaking of the end, it is the end for one Katie Porter.
Katie Porter, we have covered extensively from her time as the congresswoman representing Orange County, her Senate race where she did not make it past the primary.
I call it the shift gift, all.
Of her viral videos in Congress. What I haven't heard about is anything about dishwashers, and of course her gubernatorial campaign. Out of my shot is over. Katie has conceded, and Johnny, when we come back, you're going to hear what Katie had to say to her supporters in a video that she shot. I believe before she went to that bar in Newport Beach.
So she wasn't slarn her words.
Sorry for the noise, I'm cutting carrots.
We will have Katie Border's swan song, her goodbye for now at least coming up in moments.
Eight hundred two two two five two two two is telephone number one eight hundred two two two five two two two. If you'd like to email the show, you can do so at Johnny, don't like show at gmail dot com. That's Johnny don't like show at gmail dot com and Randy Earmonitor in the mail bag. We've got an email here from David who writes in at Johnny don't like show at gmail dot com. Hey, guys, can we get a report on how many people so far have voted for Eric Swallwell?
Why, yes, yes we can. As of today, June fourth, nineteen thousand and six, Californians went to the polls and cast their ballot for accused rapist Eric Swallwell. That's enough to fill a hockey arena. Nineteen thousand people either have not been attention to the news at all in the last three months and still voted, or nineteen thousand people are pro rapist alleged.
Do you remember that line from Dumb and Dummer when Jim Carey was asked why a guy was doing so well with the ladies, and he said, well, he has a rapist s wit. Maybe that's it. I don't know. If you want to go back and listen to yesterday's show and we found out about the betting markets tanking for Spencer Pratt in real time. Randy, that's easy to do.
It was a bizarre story and if you want to hear how we reacted to it, search for The John Phillips Show. Wherever you get your podcast that could be Apple Podcasts. iHeart Spotify. Search for the John Phillips Show, hit subscribe and download all the episodes and listen to all the crazy theories as to why all of a sudden Nitia was doing so well.
It's not so uh?
I all right? Coming up next, it's Katie Porter's concession video titled I Got on Ozimpic for this eight hundred two two two five two two two is telephone number one eight hundred two two two five two two two. If you'd like to email the show, you can do so at Johnny don't like show at gmail dot com. That's Johnny don't like show at gmail dot com. And Randy, you're keeping an eye on the mailbag.
You know, we've got a lot of creativity in this audience. And Al from NAPA has decided to get into some poetry and I'm here for a poetry reading. Poor Porter do Katie. She went to the bakery and all she could get was a carrot kky, I'm pulling in to the bakery.
Generally speaking, she does like to cut her own carrots.
Sorry for the noise, I'm cutting carrots.
That was when she was making that Instagram live video by herself, because she was setting up the camera and she had it backwards for a while, and it was all about while she was holding a knife. How pissed off she was that all the money Tom Steyer was spending on his campaign. And that's back when he was only spending like fifty million.
Well, if she was pissed off back then, can you imagine what she's like right now?
No, Katie Porter has conceded in the governor's race as the numbers stand right now and not all the ballots have been counted, but Katie Porter is in fifth place. Two hundred and thirty eight thousand Californians cast their ballot for Katie, which is currently four point six one percent.
Pictures have emerged of Katie Porter drowning her sorrows at a Newport Beach bar where nearby Steve Hilton was having his victory rally, and Katie Porter, before she went to the bar, put out a video to her staff and to her supporters telling them that it was over. Turn out the lights. The Porter's over This was posted to Katie Porter's YouTube page that yes, I am a subscriber to Hi.
It's Katie Porter.
Tonight is elected.
We're not doing high pitch for this one. Oh no, it's not a high pitch kind of night.
Hi, It's Katie Porter. Tonight is election night. The votes are still being counted and it may take a few days. Here in California, it.
May take a few months.
What are you talking about a few days? We're now two days after the election and they're telling us it's going to go on for another Monthornia to have fight.
And by the way, this whole process sending everyone a ballot a month in advance, allowing you to register up until two weeks before the election, putting in provisional ballots, letting you sign up at the last possible minute, putting in your ballot at seven point fifty nine into the mailbox and have beg outed seven days later. It has not increased turnout. It has not increased people who want to use their right to vote. It is all at this point. It's only gone down.
But if you think about it, this is just how we run shop across the board in the state. Now, I mean, it's been a year and a half since those homes burned down on the Palisades and people still can't get permits to rebuild a year and a half.
A lot of them still haven't settled their insurance claims a year and a half later.
Well, think about this too. How often do we do crime blodder stories where someone drives a stolen Hondai through the wall of a seven to eleven, The clerk is scared to death, calls nine to one one and they tell them to fill out a form online and they'll get to it when they get to it. How about in downtown LA when you have the squatters lighting bombs off and abandoned buildings and blowing up not just the buildings that they're in, but the buildings nearby where people
actually pay to live in. And then the people in the neighborhood complain to the cops to kick them all out because there are more squatters and more abandoned buildings, And what does the city say, We'll get to it when we get to it. There is no sense of urgency anywhere in this state to do anything. And it's a hell of a way to live, It's a hell of a way to run a state. But I can't for the life of me, I really truly don't understand this why Democrats don't seem to have a problem with this,
Because they're in charge. This date can be run anyway they want to, And across the board, it's like you deal with an obstinate DMV clerk everywhere you turn, and they just shrug their shoulders and they go, well, that's the way it is. I seriously wonder if they run
their own lives this way. I mean, imagine, imagine if everyone in your neighborhood is painting their house and it takes the painters three days to paint a house in your neighborhood, homes roughly of the same size, and you contact a painter and the painter comes over and goes, well, it's gonna take about a month and a half, and we're gonna take off all the holidays, we're gonna take off all the weekends. We're gonna be real thorough with how we do it. But it's gonna take much longer
than every everyone else on your block. I wonder if they just say, Okay, yeah, fine, I'm.
Not surprised with the poor performance of our government at the local and at the state level because they know. You look at the turnout in this election, sixty percent plus of the population doesn't care. It doesn't matter. They do not even participate in the process to replace the buffoons that are in charge. That is a vote of confidence from the people that don't give a damn. The appay in this state is real, it is.
What do you think they do? What do you think they do if let's say a squatter moves into their garage when they're on vacation and they come home and they go, oh, someone's living in my garage and they're doing math and occasionally lighting fires, Well, I guess I can't park the car there anymore. I'll park it on the street and we'll just leave our unhoused neighbor in the garage. Is that how they run their own own life?
Probably not. Well. If that's not how you run your own life, why the hell do you run the state that way?
Pornia to have final numbers, but we know tonight that we will not advance to the general election in November.
Not even close.
Baby, she was pulling much much higher than what she actually got.
Currently, she's in the five now. The last polls that came out showed her slipping from the low double digits to the high single digits. But I believe one of the polls that came out right before the election had her at seven. But you're right now she is at five five percent out of my shot. And before that video she was the front runner.
She was.
But as I look back on this race, I am so incredibly proud of the campaign that we built together.
All Right, she might be one glass of shard in what kind of bender do you think she went on? I saw the picture of her in that bar. She wasn't at the bar. She was at a table in the bar. So you have to order your drinks through the waitress.
Oh that's a mistake. She should have been right there up at the bar and say leave it on the bar so I can pet it.
In a skin tight dress, trying to pick up another one of our listeners.
Well it wasn't one of our listeners. It was our listener's buddy.
That's right.
Well, now that she's out, we may have to play that call one more time.
But as I look back on this race, I am so incredibly proud of the campaign that we built together together. We talked about the issues that were important to California, particularly affordability and bringing down costs.
And it did not cut through.
No, it didn't. You also spent a lot of time talking about corporate pack money and earmarks, subjects no one cares about.
Oh we'll get to that that's coming.
Particularly affordability and bringing down costs, including making housing.
She straight up admits that she ripped off Steve Hilton's idea and it still didn't get her anything.
Might have gotten him to the runoff. We'll know two months from now.
The top issue in our campaign because it's the top expense for most California families. Talking about taking on Donald Trump.
Oh boy, here we go.
Abolishing ice, standing up for the rights of every single Californian. That's what this campaign was about. It was a corporate free campaign, a campaign that took not one penny from corporations.
Nobody cares Katie.
What corporation wronged her. I really do wonder what happened. Did she try to take something back to Sears and they wouldn't let her do it, And she said, all right, this is now a Sicilian thing, and I'm going to spend the rest of my life trying to get back at corporations.
You know, technically there is another candidate that took no corporate money, Tom Steyer, because he only took money from himself.
You know what's funny. I was thinking about Tom Steyer this morning. I'm sorry, and he really desperately wants to get elected to something because he ran for president before he ran for governor. And in this race, he branded himself as the communist billionaire and he thought that that would get him over the finish line. What if? What if instead of branding himself as the communist billionaire, he ran as just a partisan Democrat who is a businessman
who will run the state more efficiently. Wouldn't that have more appeal? No, it wouldn't. This is California. At Mayhn's campaign was that Mayhen's campaign is below porter at mayhean, the mayor of San Jose, is at four percent. That's true.
That's what this campaign was about. It was a corporate free campaign, a campaign.
She ran the Senate campaign on this and lost, So she decided to run the governor's campaign on this and lost.
Well, she really is a broken record.
When she runs for president, will it be about corporate pack money?
A campaign that took not one penny from corporations. It's the only campaign that we can say that about in this race. That's something to be really proud of. And it was only possible because so many of you believed in me, chipped in, helped us fund our campaign, helped me build an amazing team.
Did you see last week that a bunch of Mayheen's donors wanted their money back? Oh? I saw that. Yeah, Well he went off like a lead balloon.
Whoever ran that campaign, I don't know if he ever had a shot, because there really is no middle lane in today's politics in California. But whoever ran his campaign gave him just terrible advice.
Well, one of the things that he needed to do if that was going to work the way he was branding himself, is he needed to get moderate and disaffected Democrats to vote for him. He needed independents who are furious at the poor way the Democrats run the state, and he needed to get some form of the Republican electorate. He needed to get some Republican votes, Republicans who don't agree with him on certain issues but believe that a Republican candidate can't get elected. So you might as well
go with the Sanist Democrat. He needed a direct appeal to those people. And what's funny is the people that were running his campaign told him to have no association with anything right leaning. He used to do this show as a guest before he became a candidate for governor. Do you remember that.
Yes, he came on this program when he was campaigning for Prop thirty six and when he the rumors started coming out that he was running for governor. Initially there seemed to be like somebody in the campaign that was trying to pitch him to come on this show, and then that got stonewalled. Immediately.
He had people who work for him who were fans of the show, who listened to the show. And I don't know if it was in his office in San Jose, his mayoral office or his campaign, but someone in his orbit, in his organization wanted him on the show, and they reached out to us, and we had these conversations, and we went back and forth with the scheduling, and it looked like it was going to happen on any number of occasions. And then they just wouldn't pull the trigger.
They he just wouldn't say yes to the date and the time, and then it finally got to a point to where they just stopped playing footsy altogether. And it wasn't just us, because look, he can do whatever show he wants to do. It doesn't have to be this one. But I don't think he did our competitors show. I don't think he did Fox. I don't think he did Newsmax. I don't think he did any of the conservative podcasts.
I don't think he talked to the conservative newspapers. He spent his time on Morning Joe, which by the way, airs at three o'clock in the morning in California, because the people that work for him thought that going on MSNBC would be better. Well, what he did was he put his pull in a pond that didn't have any fish in it, and because they decided that it might scare democrats off if he had a ogociations with right leaning programs, he didn't acknowledge our existence. He didn't bring
his message to our audience. Well that's a massive mistake because there are people in this audience who would have voted for him. I can almost guarantee you that what percent of the audience would have voted for him. I don't know, but I think a certain percentage would have. But if you don't bring the message to them, then you're gonna get none of them. And so I would be surprised if he got more than one or two percent of this audience. But he could have done much
better than that. And for him to win with the politics that he has, he needs some Republican support. He just does.
Chipped in, help us fund our campaign, help me build an amazing team. I want to say thing to everyone on my team. Some of these folks have worked with me now for nine almost ten years.
A decade of working for Katie.
Could you imagine what kind of war stories those people must have.
Sorry for the noise, I'm cutting carrots.
Some of them have new or new and have worked with me for ten weeks that they've all been part of my life.
They've been part of my journey, all.
Right, who's writing the tell All book?
Oh? It's coming.
There are people that have made my experience in politics so much better. And so I just want to say so grateful to all of my staff in this race and impast races.
Thank you for what you do.
I can't wait to cheer you on in your future political endeavors. To watch you as you grow professionally.
As they're all going to work for Bakaria.
Huh, who was it? There was someone who was in Congress who said that they got her office after her. I think it was George Santos. I saw an interview you where I guess he said there were like dents in the walls, like people would punch the wall out of frustration and they would have to hide them with pictures and things like that. Oh, boy, to.
Watch you as you grow professionally, as you start families. Looking forward to continuing to be in touch with all of you. I also want to say thank you to Californians who opened up their homes for me to come talk.
Oh, I've heard one of those stories.
We've heard a couple. Actually we never told that one on the air, did we know? And I'm not going to it's a good one.
To come talk to their friends and neighbors about this campaign.
To businesses who.
Let me tour learn more about their industry, talk to their employees. To nonprofits who shared the challenges that they face.
I mean, she did go up and down the state, even into the Tijuana River right here.
Put a lot of miles on that many and the way.
That they're solving problems.
And I want to say thank you to the other candidates for running spirited races, for having good debates about important issues.
None of those debates were good.
That's really what democracy is about.
Running a race like this isn't.
Easy, and coming up short is hard, but democracy is worth doing hard things for.
Stay I'm not making that a drop. Don't ask me.
Okay, let's just listen to it one more time and we won't make it a drop.
But democracy is worth doing hard things for. Don't ask Stay in the fight, stay in touch, and thank you for believing in me.
And that may be the last time we ever hear from kt porter Oh.
Coming up next, it's the Fixed California our STRATG. Just John Thomas joins us. Don't you go anywhere