Today, we return to energy and AI. What will AI mean in terms of global energy consumption up to 2030 and beyond? And could that be offset by efficiencies and transformations generated by AI in our daily lives? Could AI even accelerating the energy transition? To do that, we are discussing International Energy Agency's latest paper - Energy and AI (https://www.iea.org/reports/energy-and-ai). A comprehensive review and deep dive in AI’s impacts on our world energy map. Our guests are the lead aut...
Jun 17, 2025•52 min•Ep. 257
We discuss the trilemma facing the energy and commodities markets - between security, affordability, and sustainability, what now matters in policy and investment decisions? In the previous US administration and in Europe, sustainability was a key policy driver. Under the new Trump administration, and indeed globally since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, security has come to the forefront. How should organizations think about these three facets? How is the world changing and what does that mean fo...
Jun 10, 2025•1 hr•Ep. 256
If uncertainty is the new normal – how can the commodities markets and participants adapt? What does that mean for costs, supply chains and people. In May we held our latest Live Event in London, in partnership with ITFA. The event was hosted by Aon, with additional sponsorship by Atradius, Brown Brothers Harriman, Coface, Natixis Partners, Pole Star Global, The Mercury Group and RESCOM. Our panellists debated themes including the sources of uncertainty, and what it means for markets, prices and...
Jun 03, 2025•40 min•Ep. 255
Today, we discuss credit risk and stress testing in volatile and uncertain times. What is the function of credit risk within the commodities sector? How crucial is it? What does good look like - how best to organize, lead and deliver it? And what do we mean by stress testing? And how can organizations make themselves more robust for the future? Our guest is Jan-Peter Onstwedder. Jan-Peter has been head of commodity risk groups for global banks as well as at trading organizations and is now an En...
May 27, 2025•51 min•Ep. 254
Today, we return to the subject of Renewable Natural Gas, which could be as much as 15 % of global natural gas supply by 2050, offering significant advantages both in its carbon intensity as well as driving a powerful circularity, capturing waste methane that would otherwise go into the atmosphere, driving biodiversity and providing significant optionality in trading. What is RNG? Where does it sit today in terms of global policy support and participants and what does its future hold? Our guests...
May 20, 2025•52 min•Ep. 253
Today we return to the oil market, a market that is in flux, both from a traditional supply and demand picture, but that is now also embroiled in geopolitics, an uncertain global trade environment and a potential recession. Is oil going lower for longer? And what about volatility? The last month or so has seen a dramatic return of volatility and associated results for traders, positive and negative. Is that set to continue? Our guest is Matt Smith, lead energy analyst for the US at the data and ...
May 13, 2025•52 min•Ep. 252
Since 2017, the West’s awareness of its strategic vulnerabilities in critical minerals has been growing – yet in reality little progress has been made. How have various policies progressed or hindered the development of a domestic supply chain in the US and the West more broadly? What is the new Trump administration's approach to critical minerals? How is that impacting former efforts like the Inflation Reduction Act? And what does it mean for China and its response? Just how close are we to exp...
May 06, 2025•51 min•Ep. 251
Today we're releasing an episode outside of our normal schedule on tariffs and those on metals in particular. What tariffs are in place on metals and critical minerals? What has been the response particularly from China? What is the legal underpinning of those tariffs and how does that create uncertainty? What are the administration’s goals? And what does it mean for contracts? What does it mean for M&A? And what does it mean for markets? Our guest is Guy Winter, partner at Fasken, the globa...
Apr 29, 2025•56 min•Ep. 250
Today we're releasing an episode outside of our normal schedule on tariffs and those on metals in particular. What tariffs are in place on metals and critical minerals? What has been the response particularly from China? What is the legal underpinning of those tariffs and how does that create uncertainty? What are the administration’s goals? And what does it mean for contracts? What does it mean for M&A? And what does it mean for markets? Our guest is Guy Winter, partner at Fasken, the globa...
Apr 24, 2025•43 min•Ep. 249
In Part 2, we continue our discussion on navigating the new Trump Administration. Why are metals and critical minerals central to the administrations agenda? What does it mean to prioritize security over economics and sustainability? How to manage the inherent internal conflicts between co-existing policies and statements and what the trading opportunities might be for the energy & commodities sector. We welcome back with Nick Kumleben, the Energy and Commodities Director at Green Mantle, th...
Apr 22, 2025•48 min•Ep. 248
The commodities sector faces a new and uncertain world. In this episode, we look at how to understand and how to navigatethe new Trump administration and its impact on domestic and global markets, particularly around energy and commodities using analogies from history. What is signal…and what is noise. Our guest is Nick Kumleben. Nick is the energy and commodities director at Greenmantle, the advisory firm founded by Niall Ferguson, focused on geopolitical and macroeconomics, taking a deep under...
Apr 15, 2025•47 min•Ep. 247
Head of Talent Intelligence for HC Group, Amelia Chahal, joins us to discuss their offering and the Global Energy Trading Compensation Report 2025 available for purchase. To register interest in the report visit: https://www.hcgroup.global/energy-trading-report HC Talent Intelligence provides critical and tailored talent data insights for our clients across global energy and commodities markets. The platform was created to address the growing demand for real-time, accurate, and credible talent m...
Apr 10, 2025•16 min
In this episode, we stress test and challenge some of the key recent narratives in the energy world. Will we still see peak oil demand by 2030? Is there under investment in oil production that could lead to energy shocks in our near future? And is the energy transition dead, alive or somewhere in between? Our guest is Jarand Rystad, CEO and founder of Rystad Energy, the independent research and energy intelligence company, providing clients with data, insights, and education that better empowers...
Apr 08, 2025•52 min•Ep. 246
Today we are focused on China and its oil market. How has their oil sector developed over the last 50 years? Who are the teapot refiners? And how is the market now structured in the wake of COVID, sanctions and the EV revolution? How consequential is China now to global crude pricing and market dynamics? Our guest is Tom Reed, Vice President of China Crude at Argus Media, the independent price reporting agency. Tom has spent a career watching China, understanding the details from this very opaqu...
Apr 01, 2025•57 min•Ep. 245
Once again, we attended (Www.hcgroup.global) the Financial Times Commodities Global Summit in Lausanne. Leaders in the commodities sector gather for this excellent event to share their views on the state of the sector. Host Paul Chapman provides his reflections on the key topics that drove conversations and presentations. For related content and to find out more about HC Group, a search firm dedicated to the energy & commodities sector, visit https://www.hcgroup.global...
Mar 30, 2025•19 min
Today we're talking about data centers and the global arms race to develop them. What is driving that demand? What are the demands of the AI sector and how is technology changing to meet it? And what does that mean for the twin imperatives of both providing the energy to run the data centers as well as to cool them? How is the energy sector going to meet those demands and what opportunities does it generate? Our guest is Adam Mirick. Adam is head of strategy for Prometheus Hyperscale, who are de...
Mar 26, 2025•53 min•Ep. 244
Today we return to the subject of ESG and sustainability. In the wake of COVID, organizations globally made huge commitments around ESG goals. Sustainability teams were hired and grew rapidly. Today, we face a global vibe shift in the wake of economic realities, political change and shifting policy. What does that mean for ESG? What does that mean for sustainability? The reality is, in part, it's not going away, but it's certainly more focused on organizational goals and driving customer value. ...
Mar 19, 2025•45 min•Ep. 243
Oil Trading remains the preserve of wealthy industry participants. Few organizations have the means and access to trade the myriad OTC contracts that underpin the markets. However, much as we have seen the democratization of equities and FX markets, could oil and its products go the same way? What would that mean for organizations, individuals, brokers and markets. Our guest is trying to revolutionize the oil market through just that - it's democratization. Greg Newman, founder and CEO of Onyx G...
Mar 12, 2025•51 min•Ep. 242
This is Part 2 of our mini-series on Asset-Backed Trading. In the previous episode, we covered the key reasons and decision points in creating asset-backed trading organizations. In this episode, we draw on the experience of Savvas Manousos and Niels Henrik Lindegaard on the key learnings and challenges that arise in implementation. From the inevitable challenges and even crises that arise and, ultimately, the two key roles of any leader - how to build a high -performing team and how to execute ...
Mar 05, 2025•57 min•Ep. 241
On February 6, host Paul Chapman was invited to be on a panel at the Argus Crude Summit Americas in Houston. Moderated by Matthew Oatway, Peter Keavey, Global Head of Energy and Environmental Products at CME Group and Paul discuss the changing landscape of crude oil trading – especially the rise of Asset Backed Traders and Hedge Funds. What does that mean for how makets trade and the people who trade them. For more on HC Group visit www.hcgroup.global For more on Enco Insights visit www.encoinsi...
Feb 26, 2025•35 min•Ep. 240
In Part One of our miniseries on Asset-Backed Trading, Savvas Manousos and Niels Henrik Lindegaard join us to discuss why commodity producers, refiners and wholesalers are developing value-chain optimization through trading and the basic building blocks. What are the key drivers behind this global trend? What are the key decision points around people, platform and operating model? What approaches and resources best ensure success? Savvas Manousos spent 25 years with BP before developing global A...
Feb 19, 2025•1 hr 6 min•Ep. 239
In this episode, we dive into Liquified Petroleum Gas trading. What is LPG used for, where is it produced and how has the market developed since the advent of shale? How is trading LPG different from other commodities and what does it herald for other fuels? What is its role in the energy transition and what is its future? Our guest is Jack Nugent. Jack brings a unique perspective. From his early days in LPG broking, to living and working in both Europe and Asia as a LPG trader, he later co-foun...
Feb 12, 2025•51 min•Ep. 238
Today we return to the fuels industry. What is the latest in global fuel supply and demand? What is the impact of ongoing electrification on fuel demand? Have we seen peak gasoline demand even in the US? And how is AI and technology changing fuels trading and the convenience industry that attaches to it? Returning to the show is Doug Haugh. Doug has over twenty five year’s experience working in the energy, technology and convenience retail industries. He serves on the board of Bioblend Renewable...
Feb 05, 2025•53 min•Ep. 237
How did seed oils and biofuels fair in 2024? Wild price swings dominated as the markets reacted to changing yields and biofuel demand. At the same time, the markets braced for a change in the US administration and the policies left ill-defined by the previous one. Why did the US suddenly become the world’s largest Used Cooking Oil importer? What could 2025 bring? And what will the Trump Administration bring – not least with RFK’s views on seed oils and health? Returning to the show is Walter Cro...
Jan 29, 2025•44 min•Ep. 236
Another global commodity, present in our daily lives, without an established price index or futures contract, with a unique supply chain: Tea. How does Tea reach our tables? Where does tea come from? How does it trade? And how is the tea market navigating climate change, ever lower prices and changes in demand? Indeed, which nations drink the most tea? Our guest is Jem McDowell, Vice-President of Trading and Universal Commodities (Tea) Trading Inc. Jem is based in the US but has had a global car...
Jan 22, 2025•46 min•Ep. 235
For producers, refiners, processors & miners building a risk management and trading capability is moving from a value-add to a ‘must have’. However, building such a capability is a challenge, requiring a clear plan to win, constant communication and the right operation model and systems. Over the last 5 years some transformations have succeeded, others remain stalled. What are the key accelerators and derailers in such a process? What are the people implications – both the required leadershi...
Jan 15, 2025•51 min•Ep. 234
Ten percent of the global tanker fleet has gone dark and the number is growing. What is the Dark Fleet? Why does it exist and why is it growing? Who is using the fleet and who owns it? What are the risks for the market, the environment and traders? And what does a shadow fleet mean for world security and criminal enterprises? Our guest is David Tannenbaum, Director at Blackstone Compliance Services, a sanctions and anti -money laundering advisory group, providing support to financial institution...
Jan 08, 2025•45 min•Ep. 233
A brief final episode of 2024. Host Paul Chapman reflects on some of the key themes of the year, offers his deepest thanks to listeners, guests and his colleagues at HC Group (www.hcgroup.global) and Enco Insights (www.encoinsights.com) and looks at the coming year and goals for the podcast. Please do leave a positive review on the platform you are listening on to help support the show and our work. For related content and to find out more about HC Group, a search firm dedicated to the energy &a...
Dec 31, 2024•12 min•Ep. 232
A still timely discussion as the Federal Reserve comes under pressure to decrease rates... How low interest rates since the financial crisis have caused inequality, populism and inflation. Christmas re-release of one of host Paul Chapman's favorite discussions. Award-winning, financial journalist and historian Edward Chancellor join us to discuss interest rates and the impact on the commodities sector. Interest rates – the price of money and time – have been unnaturally low since the global fina...
Dec 25, 2024•1 hr 2 min•Ep. 231
The skillsets required to be in a commodity trading team have always been evolving. However, that evolution is accelerating in the wake of new technologies and especially AI. In this episode we trace the changing roles and skills traders have needed over the last century and what the future holds as AI becomes ever more involved in the day to day activities of a trading desk. What are the skillsets of the past and their future? Are they fundamentally different? How is AI already affecting teams?...
Dec 18, 2024•54 min•Ep. 230
