As we embark on the energy transition, oil trading will not only become more crucial but more lucrative. Reducing investment in supply and infrastructure, uncertain global demand and decarbonization policies, will all increase the need to manage the flows and the volatility that drives returns for traders. In this episode, our guest, veteran oil trader Kurt Chapman, gives us a sweeping look at the state of crude oil trading in the run up to the pandemic and how energy transition will likely impa...
Sep 29, 2021•41 min•Ep. 64
Biogas both prevents methane from entering the atmosphere and provides a carbon neutral fuel, making it a power tool in the energy transition and the fight against global warming. Yet it currently makes up only a fraction of the energy mix. Could this be set to change as renewable fuel credits, carbon pricing and waste management legislation around the world, push biogas to the forefront ? Could this be a huge untapped opportunity for the commodities world? And if so, how can energy companies an...
Sep 22, 2021•41 min•Ep. 63
Are we truly in a commodity super-cycle? Or has a global pandemic, supply disruption, inflation and wishful thinking around energy transition created a short-term price increase and much hype. In this episode, we take a more nuanced look at the super cycle hypothesis and seek to understand whether energy, metals and ags will all see a secular macro shift up in prices in the coming decade. Our guest thinks not. Ivo Sarjanovic is a former Cargill executive and former CEO of Alvean, one of the worl...
Sep 16, 2021•41 min•Ep. 62
Across the developed world, companies face the pressure to decarbonize by 2030. Right now buying long-term renewable power is the simplest option. However, in a decade will many wish they had built, or invested in, their own sources of renewable power? After all, what will the price of a PPA be in 2030 when everyone needs one. Guiding us through the rapidly changing landscape of corporations power supply chains is Toby Stanway. Toby is the founder of Invest Net Zero, a company focused on enablin...
Sep 08, 2021•49 min•Ep. 61
Is carbon the ultimate commodity and is it mispriced? For all participants in the commodities sector, how to engage in the carbon markets will shortly become a vital strategic question and an immense opportunity. In this episode, we dive into the current carbon markets around the world and their future. To guide us through, we are joined by Ariel Perez, a partner at Hartree Partners and one of the world’s foremost carbon market experts. To find out more about HC and our talent advisory services ...
Sep 01, 2021•42 min•Ep. 60
Earlier this month, host Paul Chapman moderated a Reuters webinar on the state of the crude and products freight market. After a very challenging 2020 for the sector, are things improving in 2021? What trends can we see in the short and long term? Discussing the current and future state of the tanker market are panelists: Richard Matthews, Director of Consultancy and Research at Gibsons, Peter Sand, Chief Shipping Analyst at BIMCO and Matthew Wright, Senior Freight Analyst at Kpler. The webinar ...
Aug 04, 2021•1 hr 3 min•Ep. 59
Thank you for listening to the HC Insider Podcast. A quick update as we enter the summer season. To find out more about HC and our talent advisory services in the energy & commodities sector visit www.hcinsider.global To connect with our host Paul Chapman, you can find him at www.linkedin.com/in/paulchapmanhc/ For related content and to find out more about HC Group, a search firm dedicated to the energy & commodities sector, visit https://www.hcgroup.global...
Jul 14, 2021•1 min•Ep. 58
With the launch of the Murban Crude Oil Futures, Abu Dhabi has signalled more than just a wish to price its own oil production. The futures herald Abu Dhabi’s desire to become the next global commodity hub, powered by its geographic centrality, proximity to Africa, legal code and infrastructure. Does the world need another hub? What about the crucial component of talent? Our guest is Mark Cutis, CEO of ADGM authority, the body tasked with providing the ecosystem and responsibility for leading Ab...
Jul 07, 2021•48 min•Ep. 57
In this episode we focus on the agri traders and agri trading. What differentiates agri trading from the other commodities? Is the recent return to form, after years of low returns, sustainable? Do the agri markets give us a window into the future for the other commodities, with its increased transparency, and consumer demands around sustainability and traceability? And if so, what lessons can be learned? Our guest is Jonathan Kingsman, well-known thinker and writer in the space. Listen as he gu...
Jun 30, 2021•47 min•Ep. 56
Investors, traders, ags, and energy businesses are investing in biofuels. Technology and decarbonization are driving the market. However, policy, crop yields, rising feedstock prices and public perception make it risky. Our guest Walter Cronin, Chief Commercial Officer at Green Plains, guides us through the global biofuels market and where we might go from here. Will renewable diesel overcome rising feedstock prices and the food for fuel debate? Are energy investors prepared for the uncertain wo...
Jun 23, 2021•56 min•Ep. 55
Ammonia sits at the heart of the chemical industry and was the vital component in our first ‘green’ revolution, boosting global food production. Now, Ammonia could sit at the heart of the next ‘green’ revolution as a transporter for hydrogen atoms for fuel cells and as a carbon-free fuel in its own right. This is launching a surge in interest from the energy industry, just at a time when food and fertilizer prices are also rising. Is Ammonia a real contender in energy transition? What does this ...
Jun 16, 2021•44 min•Ep. 54
Hydrocarbons have been a key driver of geopolitics and globalization over the past century. Even in the past decade, we have seen how US shale production and China’s energy security policies have dramatically changed the world. Now, peak demand and the energy transition is set to upend decades of global policy and economics – with a huge impact on the commodity markets. Will battery metals become the crucial natural resource? Will the electron revolution reverse globalization? We are delighted t...
Jun 09, 2021•49 min•Ep. 53
Blockchain has the power to revolutionize commodity trading by lowering transaction costs, boosting liquidity and, crucially, providing the mechanism to track, price and trust a range of ESG attributes, which consumers are demanding. But what is blockchain technology, tokenization, smart contracts etc? What about regulation, security and power consumption? In this episode we do a blockchain 101 and look into the commodity trading use-cases being developed by tech’s vanguards. Our guest is Clint ...
Jun 02, 2021•59 min•Ep. 52
For commodities traders, trading around storage assets is nothing new. The same is becoming true in power. As the generation of power increasingly comes from renewables, batteries are seen as a key tool to manage the associated intermittent availability and short-term price volatility. These batteries provide a growing opportunity for power traders with the quantitative and technological capability to capture it. Will this be the dominant form of power trading in the energy transition world? Our...
May 26, 2021•38 min•Ep. 51
We are in the foothills of a commodity super-cycle. Interest and investment is returning to the sector as the narrative of energy transition, inflation driven by policy, and scarcity in the wake of Covid-19, takes hold. What does this mean for traders over the next year and beyond? What are the trades? In honor of our 50th episode, we are delighted to welcome back our first ever guest John Massey, Head of the Houston Office for commodity trader ECTP. A year ago, John joined us to discuss the imp...
May 19, 2021•38 min•Ep. 50
Electric utilities around the developed world face fundamental challenges to their business model as the way power is produced, transported, traded, and consumed is changing. Meanwhile, investors and policies demand rapid reductions in carbon emissions, rendering existing generation assets liabilities and promoting less consumption. Visibility to the customer is more crucial than ever to balance loads and service changing consumer habits. How can utilities meet these challenges and transform int...
May 12, 2021•55 min•Ep. 49
Institutional investors and family offices want to invest in commodity hedge funds, as the narrative of the super-cycle and inflation drives both interest and return to form. Ryan Duncan of Bridge Alternatives provides his unique insider view of hedge funds’ performance in commodities over the past two decades and what themes and lessons can be identified for both the traders and investors. Will we see the fabulous returns (and volatility) of the last bull run? Or will structural changes that ha...
May 05, 2021•42 min•Ep. 48
Lithium-ion batteries are the platform technology of electric revolution. The cells are standardized, produced under long-term supply contracts and demand is stratospheric. There is little free supply and delivery is in the future, with mega factories taking four years to build. The products themselves go into EVs and the power industry itself. Will batteries be the ultimate commodity of the future? Will trading houses have battery desks sat alongside their metals and power groups? Simon Moores,...
Apr 28, 2021•38 min•Ep. 47
What will the commodity trading platform be like in 2030? In this episode, we examine ongoing change and trends in our sector and look at how these may play out over the next decade. We are in for some radical changes according to our guest who has spent significant time working on this subject. David Rae, BP’s former CIO Global Oil Trading and Head of Digital Innovation for Trading, guides us through a fascinating glimpse of the future including traders with heads-up displays out of a fighter p...
Apr 21, 2021•55 min•Ep. 46
In this episode, we do a deep dive into renewable diesel where the ag and energy worlds collide. Renewable diesel is currently being hailed as a key tool in the energy transition, tackling hard to abate fuels like aviation. Refiners are announcing big investments globally and both ag and energy traders are entering the feedstock space - where prices have risen dramatically. We start from the beginning on what renewable diesel is, the policies that underpin it globally, the technologies, and its ...
Apr 14, 2021•41 min•Ep. 45
In this episode, Laurent Segalen, clean energy banker, trader, investor, and co-host of the Redefining Energy Podcast , joins us to discuss European power trading. Why is there a resurgence in power trading? Where are the opportunities now and, in the future, and who will be participating? We follow the story of power trading in Europe from the salad days of the 2000s driven by deregulation, through to the low price-doldrums of the 2010s, to the present day and beyond in the era of energy transi...
Apr 07, 2021•55 min•Ep. 44
Commodity Trading Risk Management systems sit at the heart of any commodity trading enterprise. Their design and implementation has been a huge source of pride for some, frustration for others and cost for all in the sector over the past 20 years. However, the role of a CTRM is changing with the broader digitization of the commodity sector itself. Now, CTRMs are becoming the digital core of an organization and must increasingly be understood by traders themselves and able to connect with externa...
Mar 31, 2021•41 min•Ep. 43
Globally, we have begun the transformation to the lithium-ion Economy. Mega battery factories are growing exponentially. The problem is lithium supply. Mining is constrained by available ores and multiyear start up times. Chemical processing and cathode production is technically challenging, environmentally impactful, and concentrated in China. EV manufacturers are buying all the Lithium supply they can on decade-long contracts. Lithium demand is forecast to outstrip supply by double in 2040 – e...
Mar 24, 2021•46 min•Ep. 42
In this episode we dig into rare earth metals - key elements for everyday technologies but also vital to the energy transition from electric motors to wind turbines. Beyond this, these elements have become of strategic national importance. We examine the supply chain and market structure, both historically with its booms and busts and whether the next cycle will be different and why. We also look at what the opportunities might be for commodity traders and investors. Our expert guest on this epi...
Mar 17, 2021•43 min•Ep. 41
The atmosphere has too much carbon. This poses an existential threat to society and to the businesses emitting it, unless they start to capture it. Tackling carbon is one of the biggest challenges (and opportunities) in the commodities sector. Neo-classical economics suggest we put a price on carbon and let markets sort it all out. Unfortunately, the reality is so much more complicated – from geopolitics, to sources, measurement and verification. Jon Goldberg, founder and CEO of Carbon Direct an...
Mar 10, 2021•47 min•Ep. 40
In this episode, Javier Blas and Jack Farchy join us to talk about their new book, The World for Sale . The book spans the history of the rise of the independent commodity traders, their phenomenal success, and their impact on the modern world. Our guests walk us through the big themes in the book, the events and participants in the last commodity super cycle, and the challenges that lie ahead for these global actors in the next one. To find out more about HC and our talent advisory services in ...
Mar 03, 2021•1 hr 3 min•Ep. 39
Measuring risk is at the core commodity trading and Value At Risk is its most common expression. However, as frequent outsized and unexpected losses, stop outs and personnel departures attest, all our tools, especially VaR, are imperfect. How is risk measured and why do we get it wrong? What makes a good risk framework and what is the future of capturing market and other sources of risk in a digital world. Geir Robinson, former CRO of BP’s Integrated Supply & Trading business joins us to dis...
Feb 24, 2021•45 min•Ep. 38
In this episode Jeff Currie, Global Head of Commodity Research at Goldman Sachs, walks us through the drivers and consequences of the coming commodity super-cycle. Over the next decade, redistributive policies, energy transition and the search for new sources of old and new economy commodities will drive a macro shift in prices across all verticals. What will this mean for the sector, commodity trading and its talent? Jeff gives us a concise and compelling argument and a call to action. To find ...
Feb 17, 2021•52 min•Ep. 37
The commodities sector is rich, of strategic national interest, at the center of geopolitics, and environmentally impactful. Thus, it is a focal target for cyber-attacks from criminals, national actors, hacktivists and others. As the sector digitizes, the threat and potential risks are only increasing. The threat posed and the responses required is a board level conversation for many companies - and our guest, Simon Hodgkinson, the former Group Chief Information Security Officer for BP, gives am...
Feb 10, 2021•43 min•Ep. 36
Our guest, Arcady Sosinov, CEO and Founder of Freewire Technologies, believes Electric Vehicles present the biggest industrial change and opportunity in our lifetimes. With most major automobile manufacturers announcing phasing out combustion engines by 2035, we have passed the tipping point. This transformation will have profound consequences and disruption for the commodities sector from the impact on power grids, to infrastructure, to market participants and to supply chains. Will your car ma...
Feb 03, 2021•54 min•Ep. 35
