The world is shifting from asset light and infinitely scalable to asset heavy. Across the globe, trillions of dollars are going into assets. Capital expenditure is on the rise. What is driving this? What sectors are we seeing it in? What are the challenges and bottlenecks companies face in delivering on CapEx programs? And how do new technologies and approaches to talent overcome this? Our guest is Erikans Kok, Senior Partner at McKinsey where he leads their Capital Excellence Practice globally....
Jun 02, 2026•48 min•Ep. 309
Today we return to the subject of hedge funds in commodities, and metals and mining in particular. How have hedge funds evolved with respect to commodities? What do investors and allocators think about with respect to commodities exposure and the types of investments they want to make? How do hedge funds go about a lasting edge in the commodities sector? And then why commodities and why, in particular, metals and mining? Our guest is Matt Heap, founder and CIO of Forth Fund Management, a sector ...
May 26, 2026•50 min•Ep. 308
The conflict remains in suspended animation with little concrete progress to support the more optimistic assessments of a return to normality. Commodity markets are on a knife-edge and tanks and strategic supplies are emptying. Aldo Spanjer, Head of Commodity Strategy at BNP Paribas’ Markets 360 outlines the pathways from here. Will oil be at $70 or $200? Why does gas face larger risks in a prolonged disruption? And how to cut through the noise and focus on the signals?? For more on BNP Paribas ...
May 20, 2026•47 min•Ep. 307
Sulfur is a lynchpin commodity, connecting the oil and gas industry to food production and much more. Already in a structural supply deficit, now, nearly half the world’s internationally traded sulfur is off the market with the shutting down of the Strait of Hormuz. There is no clear line of sight as to how quickly supply could return with potentially catastrophic consequences for the world. What is sulphur (sulfur), how and where is it produced and what is it used for and why is the world not t...
May 12, 2026•43 min•Ep. 306
The dark fleet was on the ropes with enforcement risking military boardings after Venezuelan oil sanctions started to be lifted. Then with the attack on Iran, business started booming again as ships and traders navigated the granting of licenses to Russian and Iranian Oil (for a time). Where are oil sanctions right now? What do they mean for traders and banks - especially the cost and risks? What room is there left to forge a deal with Iran like the former JCPOA? Sanctions and Maritime Complianc...
May 07, 2026•51 min
Today we have Archie Hunter, journalist at Bloomberg who covers commodities, joining the show to get his take on current events, as well as the recent FT Global Commodities Summit, and compare notes on the key trends that we're seeing. How the current volatility is driving trading house earnings and how too much volatility might cause some challenges but certainly is driving continued consolidation in the sector and why good times for them is not good times for our wallets. For related content a...
May 05, 2026•38 min•Ep. 305
Doomberg returns. The US is mired in a war that it, nor its allies, can afford to escalate. Exposing the fragility of the global economic order, underpinned by delicate energy infrastructure. China, long planning for that fragility, is strengthened and Russia is looking cornered and more dangerous as Ukraine attacks its energy infrastructure. OPEC is shattering. For Doomberg, World War 3 is very much under way and we are in an era of profound change. And maybe AI, the savior of the SP500, wont c...
Apr 29, 2026•1 hr 11 min•Ep. 304
In this episode, host of the HC Commodities Podcast, Paul Chapman, shares his notes and reflections from the FT Global Commodities Summit, which he just attended in Lausanne, Switzerland. Drawing on panel discussions, on‑stage debates and informal conversations across the event, Paul explores the themes shaping today’s commodities markets across energy, metals and agriculture. From shifting supply‑chain models to rising geopolitical risk and the growing role of data and technology, the episode r...
Apr 22, 2026•40 min•Ep. 303
Register your interest for Bloomberg and HC Group's metals trading event: https://go.bloomberg.com/join/invite/metals-pricing-the-narrative-vs-pricing-the-physical/ Access HC Group’s Q1 Market Review: https://www.hcgroup.global/insights/market-reviews/access-q1-market-review-2026 Register for HC Talent Intelligence's Energy Trading Salary Report: https://www.hcgroup.global/reports For related content and to find out more about HC Group, a search firm dedicated to the energy & commodities sec...
Apr 15, 2026•5 min
Today, we return to the European energy markets, in particular, power. How has European power demand fared since COVID and Russia's invasion of Ukraine? What has that done to power markets themselves and the energy mix? Just as European power demand was starting to pick back up, has Israel and the US's attack on Iran upended it? And what has all this volatility meant for power traders and European energy traders more broadly? Our guest is Xavier Veillard, Partner at McKinsey & Company and gl...
Apr 14, 2026•47 min•Ep. 302
Tungsten is vital to military hardware and industry, including oil drilling. Yet, prices have risen tenfold in the last year, threatening both. This is a story of China's production capture, now wielded as an economic weapon. What is Tungsten, how is it mined and made, and how did we end up here? And what does it mean for the West? Our guest is William Parry-Jones, founder of Wolfram Advisory, a consultancy supporting clients in capturing value across the Tungsten and other critical minerals sup...
Apr 07, 2026•42 min•Ep. 301
In Episode 300, we take two metals - copper and gold - and compare and contrast their price journey. How does the physical supply and demand story compare to the investor narrative that drove prices to an all-time high? And how has the conflict in Iran test or confirm that narrative. In other words, to coin a term, have we seen the “goldification”of copper and other metals? Our guest is Grant Sporre, a senior commodities and equities analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence. He has had a long career in...
Mar 31, 2026•52 min•Ep. 300
As the Iran War entered its fourth week, Houston hosted S&P Global's CERA Week. Where leaders from across the energy & natural resources sector mingle with policy wonks and senior government officials from around the world. This CERA Week was as noticeable for its last minute absences, doom-scrolling, braves faces and some swagger both from big oil and big clean tech. Nick Kumbleben of Greenmantle gives us his take on the vibe and key discussion points. For related content and to find ou...
Mar 27, 2026•47 min
500 years ago another group of commodities flowed through the Strait of Hormuz, making those that controlled that vital trade route fabulously wealthy. Those commodities were the spices: nutmeg and cloves. Grown only in two tiny islands in modern day Indonesia and the Philippines, they were worth their weight in gold. Then in 1512 the Portuguese upended that global trade and in so doing created the modern world and the blueprint for how commodity traders operate today (minus the cannons). Joinin...
Mar 25, 2026•44 min•Ep. 299
We have moved beyond the duration discussion. The damage has been done and the oil markets will not return to the ante-bellum state any time soon if ever. What happens when financial markets - both for oil and more broadly catch up to the physical reality? Molecule Contagion as our guest for this special episode Jeff Currie of Carlyle puts in. The revenge of the old economy just got teeth and the ramifications are being discounted at best and denied at worst. What are the longer term impacts of ...
Mar 18, 2026•43 min
With the Strait of Hormuz virtually closed, what does that mean for the regions biggest customer - Asia? Tom Reed, VP of Crude and Products at Argus Media joins us to provide a detailed examination on the impact of Israel and the US's joint attack on Iran on crude and product flows from the region. What were the flows prior to the attack? What has it meant for traders, contracts and customers? Is China tapping its Strategic Petroleum Reserve? And will Asian countries start to ban the export of f...
Mar 18, 2026•51 min•Ep. 298
Returning today to discuss the latest developments from Israel & US's war with Iran is Nick Kumleben, Director at Greenmantle, the geopolitical risk advisory firm. What are the commodities markets telling us about duration? What are the incentive structures in place? How are traders faring in this period of extraordinary volatility? Is the US Treasury trading and how rumor and innuendo are driving that volatility? What would mines in the strait mean? Would boots on the ground actually lower ...
Mar 13, 2026•50 min
Today, we return to US domestic energy supply and private equity. The vibrancy of private capital markets launched the shale revolution and is now unlocking key bottlenecks in infrastructure as the US looks to meet the world’s demand for LNG and domestic AI. Where is shale production today? Are rumors of its demise overstated? Where is demand headed, particularly for natural gas? And how is private equity faring more broadly in a world of higher interest rates and other macro-economic headwinds?...
Mar 11, 2026•53 min•Ep. 297
Nick Kumleben, Director of the Geopolitical Risk Consultancy founded by Niall Ferguson, Greenmantle, rejoins us to discuss the latest events in Middle East. What are the short, medium and long-term consequences of Israel and the US's joint attack on global trade and commodities. What are some non-linear effects and why ultimately duration is key. For related content and to find out more about HC Group, a search firm dedicated to the energy & commodities sector, visit https://www.hcgroup.glob...
Mar 04, 2026•45 min
Today, we discuss how volatility and battery energy storage systems are reshaping clean energy and repairing power markets. What does the domination of clean power do to markets? What are the consequences both for power purchase agreements, battery storage and traders? What are the nuances in different regulatory regimes? How is Europe diverging from the US, and what has happened to the green premium? Our guest to discuss all of this and more is Luca Pedretti, CEO and founder of Pexapark, a pric...
Mar 04, 2026•49 min•Ep. 296
Today, we review energy supply and demand and some of the key sentiments coming out of International Energy Week, not only about where both those curves are headed, but also key associated risks to each. Are our assumptions correct about energy demand in the world of AI? Are our assumptions correct around development curves, especially in the Global South? Is there a hydrocarbon glut out there? And what about the long term? All this comes to us from Claudio Galimberti, Chief Economist at Rystad ...
Feb 25, 2026•55 min•Ep. 295
AI is already changing commodity trading operating models. And unlocking adjacent technologies such as digital assets and DeFI? That itself is changing the competitive landscape and attracting new participants from outside the sector. Where is that investment going? And how profound is this change going to be? And how quickly is it going to be upon us? Our guest is Eren Zekioglu. Eren has spent a career at hedge funds and at trading houses and at the intersection of trading, operations and techn...
Feb 18, 2026•50 min•Ep. 294
Food, fuel, geopolitics, great power competition and trade - Soybeans sit at the heart of it all. What are the big macro trends with the commodity? How has trade and geopolitics impacted it? How has new drugs like GLPs impacted it? And what is the outlook? Joining us once again is Walter Cronin, President and Co-Founder of White River Nutrition, a US soy processing company based in Nebraska, which alongside meal and soybean oil produces high -quality soy ingredients. For related content and to f...
Feb 11, 2026•48 min•Ep. 291
Today, we discuss the importance of energy, what the growing demand for energy means, and how hard it can be to deliver that energy. To demonstrate that, we are using Texas as a microcosm. Texas produces the greatest amount of energy in the US. Its mix of energy spans renewables, nuclear, natural gas, coal, and yet its citizens pay some of the highest prices in the Southern States. At the same time, it's ground zero for hyper-scalers and is the epicenter of fracking yielding epochal volumes of h...
Feb 04, 2026•55 min•Ep. 290
Gold, copper and silver have gone parabolic. The dollar is falling. And yet, hydrocarbons remain at an inflation adjusted all-time lows. Is the world being complacent due to the narrative of the oil glut, food glut, and natural gas glut. However, as our guest Jeff Currie says "if you have to scrape the data for evidence of a glut, perhaps there isn't one" Are we headed for a great repricing? Are we on the precipice of inflation and macro-economic turmoil. As tech companies plow their free cash f...
Jan 28, 2026•1 hr 8 min•Ep. 288
https://interactive.hcgroup.global/annual-review-2025-26/full-view.html For related content and to find out more about HC Group, a search firm dedicated to the energy & commodities sector, visit https://www.hcgroup.global
Jan 22, 2026•2 min
What drives global natural gas prices more: power politics or supply and demand? In this episode, we discuss the geo-politicization of natural gas and the challenge that presents to traders and investors alike. Why was 2025 such a difficult year for traders? And what are the most consequential stories in natural gas for 2026? H Returning to the show is Anne-Sophie Corbeau, Global Research Scholar at the Center for Global Energy Policy. For related content and to find out more about HC Group, a s...
Jan 21, 2026•50 min•Ep. 287
What is the future of commodity trading? Is volatility here to stay and thus the profit pools available continue to grow? What will the market structure look like in 10 years and who will be the privileged few that have built, or are building, commodity trading platforms to be able to capture that future? What will that future look like? Who will participate and which category of participant will have the greatest market share? And what will the teams and skill sets and people look like particip...
Jan 14, 2026•54 min•Ep. 286
Emergency Pod: Nick Kumleben of Greenmantle, the geopolitical risk consultancy headed by Niall Ferguson, joins us to discuss the events in Venezuela, the 'Donroe' Doctrine and what it means for commodities. Is Venezuela an oil story or something else? Is the Donroe Doctrine a structured, intelligible set of principles or just a catchy phrase coined by a New York tabloid ? Intelligible or not, what does it mean for adversaries, allies (Denmark and Greenland?) and the rest of Latin America. Commod...
Jan 10, 2026•40 min•Ep. 285
Today, we are talking coffee, cocoa and sugar. And in the case of coffee and cocoa, the absolute wild ride they had in 2025.Record prices and extreme volatility. Was it all just a story of tariffs? Or is there something more fundamental going on? Our guest is Kona Haque. Head of Research for ED&F Man, one of the world's largest soft commodity traders that has recently been acquired by Hartree Partners For related content and to find out more about HC Group, a search firm dedicated to the ene...
Jan 07, 2026•55 min•Ep. 284
