Steph and Grant return to discuss allllll kinds of stuff including (but not limited to) private credit, the Fed’s balance sheet (I know, I know) inflation and the reality around the market’s curious reliance upon rate cuts. Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com. Copper Tier...
Apr 15, 2024•13 min•Season 2Ep. 22
My guest on this edition of The Grant Williams Podcast is Travis Kling of Ikigai Asset Management, who joins me to explore a concept gaining increasing traction in today’s market environment – financial nihilism. Along the way, we also discuss the delicate balance between keeping interest rates low and inflating our way out of debt, the challenges faced by central banks in managing monetary policy to support economic growth while preventing excessive inflation and the potential impact of technol...
Apr 09, 2024•1 hr 16 min•Season 1Ep. 77
Joining me on this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is my great friend Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital, for a discussion about global markets and, of course, The Milkshake Theory. Brent explains how he uses the Theory as a framework to help him understand how a sovereign debt and currency crisis might play out and how, though he’s been uncertain about markets recently, this framework has helped him navigate the volatility. Brent emphasizes the importance of remaining objective and questio...
Apr 09, 2024•13 min•Season 1Ep. 77
Returning to the podcast this time out is Michael Howell of CrossBorder Capital, and what a return it is as we discuss the continuing (some would say escalating) importance of liquidity in global markets. Michael explains how central banks have been the main source of liquidity since the 2008 financial crisis, with their primary goal being to preserve the integrity of sovereign debt markets and ensure a smooth refinancing environment for some $350 trillion of debt. He also highlights the British...
Mar 28, 2024•13 min•Season 1Ep. 76
Remi Tetot, the man behind The Mad King, joins me for a discussion around three of his most recent pieces of research. We discuss Remi’s observations around the Bitcoin ETFs and his views on the current up-cycle in crypto before switching to the growth potential of India, during which we discover a fascinating opportunity as India’s GDP expands with inevitable consequences for its defence sector. Finally, we switch our attention to the Magnificent 7… sorry, Magnificent 6, as Remi picks apart the...
Mar 20, 2024•13 min•Season 1Ep. 75
Join Doomberg and I as we discuss several topics sure to stir even the most languid of blood including the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the changing nature of warfare with the rise of drone technology, and the concept of peak cheap oil. Doomberg’s argument that peak cheap oil is a fallacy and that human ingenuity will always find ways to extract and produce more hydrocarbons has garnered plenty of attention (and pushback) in recent weeks so here’s another chance to understand why...
Mar 06, 2024•13 min•Season 5Ep. 18
A long-overdue episode seven of Shifts Happen sees Luke Gromen return to discuss the pace at which three things are happening: the acceleration of the US fiscal crisis and debt spiral, the Fed’s policy mistake of not letting inflation run hot enough, and the de-dollarization of global oil markets. Luke explains that China needs to de-dollarize its oil imports and commodity imports to avoid a currency crisis, which is driving the de-dollarization of global oil markets and also highlights the impo...
Feb 16, 2024•1 hr 1 min•Season 6Ep. 7
As we ease our way into 2024, I’m delighted to welcome back my great mate, Julian Brigden to the podcast. Julian is the co-founder of independent research firm MI2 Partners and, as he’s demonsrated in previous conversations, a hugely insightful and incredibly entertaining guest! This time out, he and I discuss, amongst other things, the Goldilocks narrative, the potential risks in the current market environment, the performance of Tesla stock, the Chinese stock market, and the outlook for gold. ...
Feb 07, 2024•13 min•Season 1Ep. 74
Returning to The End Game as we begin the year with a bang are the brains behind Simplify, The Two Mikes, Green & Taylor who take turns picking apart just about ever facet of the financial and political spectrum. From the growth of passive investing and its potential impact on the market to the importance of understanding the holdings and flows of passive funds, The Two Mikes hold court in typically forthright fashion. Also under the microscope are the behavior of stocks like Tesla and Apple...
Jan 26, 2024•13 min•Season 4Ep. 47
My guest in this edition of The Grant Williams Podcast is a man who finds both himself and his field of expertise at the very heart of recent events in Ukraine, geopolitical strategist and author, Peter Zeihan. Peter’s books, The Absent Superpower, The Accidental Superpower and Disunited Nations have been incredibly helpful to me in understanding the strengths and weaknesses of not just the global geopolitical landscape as a whole, but also the individual countries involved in the escalating ten...
Jan 11, 2024•1 hr 15 min•Season 1Ep. 29
Joining me for the final episode of The Grant Williams Podcast in 2023 is returning guest, Michael Oliver, the brains behind Momentum Structural Analysis (MSA) – one of the most original and, in my experience, accurate forecasters of asset prices right across the spectrum. In a hugely enjoyable conversation, we discuss the current state of the markets and what to expect in 2024. Michael explains his unique approach to technical analysis, which focuses on momentum rather than price, and emphasize...
Dec 31, 2023•13 min•Season 1Ep. 73
In the penultimate episode of The Grant Williams Podcast for 2023, I’m delighted to welcome Jesper Koll, a long-time resident of Japan and former Chief Strategist and Head of Research for U.S. investment banks J.P. Morgan and Merrill Lynch for a discussion about the current state of the country’s economy and the many Western misperceptions about the investment opportunities available in the world’s third-largest economy. Jesper discusses the quiet revolution taking place in Japan and the positiv...
Dec 29, 2023•13 min•Season 1Ep. 72
The Green Chicken is back to discuss three excellent recent pieces spanning Western sanctions against Russian oil and their unintended consequences, the preposterous words of a high-ranking member of the US House Ways & Means committee around the 'creation' of hydrogen and the ongoing attempts to wean the world off a diet of meat. As always, Doomberg brings a little much-needed sanity to the debates around all three issues, using outdated concepts such as science and common sense to debunk m...
Dec 09, 2023•50 min•Season 5Ep. 17
Returning to The Grant Williams Podcast for the latest episode is my dear friend, and most requested guest, Felix Zulauf. Once again, Felix offers a comprehensive roadmap for the coming months, including another tour de force assessment of bond markets, equity markets, currencies, commodities and the various (and mounting) geopolitical challenges facing investors in all corners of the globe. Felix walks us through his framework for 2024 and 2025, explains where adjustments have been made from hi...
Dec 06, 2023•13 min•Season 1Ep. 67
As Sam Bankman-Fried is found guilty on all seven counts in the biggest crypto-related trial to date, I’m joined by author Zeke Faux, whose scintillating new book Number Go Up: Inside Crypto’s Wild Rise and Staggering Fall has been the must-read book of the summer for me. Equal parts hilarious, head-scratching and powerful, Zeke does a tremendous job of taking us inside the crazy world of crypto – starting with a subject close to my own heart: Tether. Zeke follows the trail of extraordinary char...
Nov 19, 2023•13 min•Season 1Ep. 66
Returning to The End Game is The Lord of the Dark Matter himself, James Aitken. Among the topics under discussion is the (under appreciated) potential for a normalization cycle by the Bank of Japan. James suggests the BOJ may attempt a policy rate normalization due to structural reforms and the need to revitalize the equity culture in Japan which, it’s fair to say, would send the horses scuttling from the barn. James also highlights the potential spillover effects and changes in incentives for J...
Oct 23, 2023•13 min•Season 4Ep. 45
Diana Choyleva of Enodo Economics joins me on the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast to discuss the current state of China’s economy and its relationship with the US. Diana highlights the challenges China is facing, including demographic issues, over-investment, and the need for productivity growth and she also discusses the role of digitization in China’s economic transformation and the potential risks and opportunities it presents. Also emphasised is the importance of understanding t...
Oct 19, 2023•13 min•Season 1Ep. 64
In the latest episode of The Super Terrific Happy Hour, Steph and Grant are joined by an all-star panel of guests to discuss the macro environment as it pertains to inflation and how each of them is using their vast experience to position themselves correctly for the way they see the inflationary pulse playing out. James Davolos of Horizon Kinetics, Adam Rozencwajg of Goehring & Rozencwajg and Dave Iben of Kopernik Global Investors join forces to offer a series of hugely enlightening perspec...
Oct 08, 2023•26 min•Season 2Ep. 19
Joining me on the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is my great friend, David Hay, Co-CIO of Evergreen GaveKal and the author of the excellent Substack Haymaker. Dave and I have known each other for the best part of fifteen years and have spent countless hours debating markets, testing hypotheses and helping each other understand and chart a course through increasingly difficult markets. This time around, the matters at hand included the wisdom of Seth Klarman, the Not-So-Fabulous Fou...
Sep 10, 2023•13 min•Season 1Ep. 63
Joining me on the podcast for this episode is Chris Joye, Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Coolabah Capital Investments in Sydney Australia, a multi-billion dollar long/short credit fund founded in 2011. I’ve been following Chris for a number of years and was delighted to finally get the chance to talk to hm and the conversation more than lived up to my lofty expectations. Subjects under discussion include why Chris believes the market is underestimating how long higher inflation will per...
Sep 01, 2023•13 min•Season 1Ep. 62
Joining me on the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is Marvin Barth – a man whose path through the financial maze has encompassed just about every facet of the industry. From the US Treasury, to the Federal Reserve, the BIS, the sell-side, the buy-side and now a proprietary independent research business, Marvin’s wealth of experience has spawned an incredibly original and extremely broad perspective on just about every aspect of financial markets. In a remarkable and wide-ranging conv...
Aug 24, 2023•13 min•Season 1Ep. 61
Joining us for this episode of The End Game is Kris Sidial, Co-Chief Investment Officer of The Ambrus Group, a tail-risk manager specializing in volatility strategies. Kris and his team seek to offer investors tail-risk protection without the associated 'bleed' in premium during times of dampened volatility so, with September fast-approaching, we thought it was a perfect time to chat with him as markets prepare to wake from their traditional summer slumbers. Kris' thoughts about what to expect a...
Aug 14, 2023•13 min•Season 4Ep. 45
Joining me in the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is entrepreneur Richard O'Leary, President of Culture Tech, a fascinating project seeking to use technology to catalog and secure the rights of artists and creators in an increasingly fragmented and complex world. Through his background as a senior marketing executive, Richard's deep understanding of brand and IP helped him identify what is a multi-billion dollar gap in a world where content is being created in ever-more diverse medi...
Jul 27, 2023•13 min•Season 1Ep. 60
The subject at hand in episode six of Shifts Happen is the potential for a new commodity-backed BRICS currency and, joining us to kick the idea around is Josh Crumb, Founder and CEO of Abaxx Technologies. Through his work at Abaxx, Josh is perfectly placed to discuss the importance of physical settlement in the commodity markets and the practical limitations of introducing a currency that requires settlement through physical transfer. Also up for discussion is the wider connection between energy...
Jul 25, 2023•13 min•Season 6Ep. 6
Joining me fr this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is Tom Bachrach, CIO of PFH Capital, a value investing partnership in the Philadelphia area. Several of Tom's letters to his investors caught my eye in recent months and so I invited him onto the show to talk to me about how an investor looking for undervalued, sustainable businesses goes about navigating the new investment landscape - one of rising rates, falling inflation and ever-escalating madness. Our conversation took numerous twists...
Jul 15, 2023•13 min•Season 1Ep. 59
Joining me in this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is the Sydney-based CEO of Freelancer.com, Matt Barrie. Matt was recently invited to give the opening keynote at the Sydney Morning Herald's Sydney 2050 Summit and, it's safe to say that, once Matt left the stage 40 minutes later, the room had been stunned into silence. The Australia Matt laid bare was a long way from the idyllic, sun-kissed 'Lucky Country' of popular consciousness and far more in keeping with the portrait painted in the p...
Jul 07, 2023•57 min•Season 1Ep. 58
Joining me in this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is Matt Stoller, former Congressional staffer and author of Goliath: The 100-Year War Between Monopoly Power and Democracy and the excellent Substack BIG . Matt's work on the threat posed by monopoly power is exceptional and, in this fascinating conversation we cover the challenges he's faced in taking on Big Tech monopolies, the anti-capitalist consequences of monopolistic corporate power, his experiences on The Hill during the 2008 Globa...
May 25, 2023•13 min•Season 1Ep. 55
Joining me on this edition of The Grant Williams Podcast is returning guest, Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, LLC in Dallas, TX. Danielle's knowledge of the inner workings of the Federal Reserve has been invaluable both to her clients and the broader financial community in recent years and her analysis of the predicament in which the Fed finds itself and the fast-disappearing options at their disposal to extricate themselves has found a hungry audience. This tim...
May 25, 2023•13 min•Season 1Ep. 54
Episode Five of Shifts Happen brings into focus the recent 'quickening' around the de-dollarization narrative and the impossible-to-ignore elevation in comments from world leaders questioning the logic underpinning their forced adoption of the US dollar in many cross-border trades. From the numerous bilateral trade agreements being struck that circumvent the dollar to the rising percentage of cross border trade being conducted by China in renminbi, Grant and Luke discuss the crucial difference b...
May 01, 2023•13 min•Season 6Ep. 5
Bill and Grant return for a no-holds-barred conversation with the great Steve Eisman of The Eisman Group within Neuberger Berman. Steve is no stranger, thanks both to his exploits during the GFC and the stupendous portrayal of those exploits by Steve Carell in the movie version of Michael Lewis' wonderful book, The Big Short. Steve explains the history of paradigm shifts and tells us why he feels we are at the point of another major change - not only in the investment landscape but also in broad...
Apr 27, 2023•13 min•Season 4Ep. 43
