The Fifth Hour: BENNY VS. THE PENNY (Week 4)

A new weekend is here The Fifth Hour with Ben Maller and Danny G Radio, But not really the Fifth Hour because it's a special edition every Friday until further notice during the NFL season. Danny G we go inside the gambling world for Benny versus the Penny. Are you ready, Danny? I am ready. I took the penny out of its lock box. I see you're ready. With a raider's hat on, which is amazing. Good luck for the team this weekend. See your vision is going to look at that. That's

a B for Ben. Wrong looks like a capital R in handwriting. That's a raider's hat. I got it cheap and it has a be on it. Although It doesn't look like a B because it's it's written very oddly, but it is a B B for Ben and be for beating the penny. Let's strike up the band and then we will get to Benny versus the penny. Here we go. Welcome players, you're welcome. It's time now Betty versus the penny? All ight, So you know the drill here, Danny,

the basics on this. If you're new to the podcast, we've been promoting it on the radio show, so we welcome in. Danny g has been with me on the Fifth Hour for a while now, and he used to be my guy years ago on the show, and then he went on to the morning show and now he's he's back at a weekday show. How's that going, by the way, everything good with that. It's been going really good. A lot of hard work for me behind the scenes, but on the air it's a lot of fun, alright.

Cavino enriched the newest show at Fox Sports Radio in the weekday line up at Danny's part of that, and so the coin is flipped up in the here. Now explain Danny. For those that don't understand how this works, you have you have heads you have tails on the penny, old uncle Abe there. So when we do the flip of the coin, how does it work? How do we determine which team is Hends is the home team? Right? And tails? And they are away team planes, trains and

automobiles to get to the game. They sit on their back side, their tail tailbones. So it's private planes though, so is it really like sitting on your tailbone? Well, private planes, I'm fortunate enough. I've done that a few times. Like they charter regular planes. They like their regular planes. But you know, some teams, but they have top not stewardess though, can I still say stewardess sexist? I don't know what year is it, who's in charge? I don't know.

I gotta check all those things. I'll get back to you on that. But but before we get to the games on Sunday and Monday, let's look back week three and we must look at the tail of the tape. Now, there were sixteen games on the card Benny versus the penny, and I went ten and six. So the benny part of this went ten and six, six winning percentage. Now I had to do a double take when I looked at the Pennies record because I thought, there's no way

that my math must be wrong on this. I was writing some chicken scratch down and I was doing the math on against the spread. How did the penny do so out of sixteen games, this seems like a mathematical and probability. The penny went three and thirteen. That is one of the worst weeks we've ever had on the

penny in the history of benny versus the Penny. It's seemingly impossible when you have a fifty fifty chance at every game just about I know the point spread changes it, but you're flipping the coin, the penny, and you only got three right. The only games the Penny got right where the Rams, the Jags, and the Eagles. That's it. No other games. Every other game was wrong, wrong, wrong, wrong, wrong. So that that brings us to the season total overall, I am twenty seven and twenty one. That's a five

sixty three winning percentage on the here. So you wouldn't make money if you bet game. We don't advise you to bed every game, but if you did do that, you'd make money with my picks. The penny. Because of that pathetic performance in week three, even though they had the Penny had a winning week in week one and week two. Week three was so bad. The Penny is under five hundred now twenty two and twenty six and n G. What was worse Derek Carr's pathetic two point

conversion pass or the Pennies performance last weekend? I would say the entire Raiders in the first half of that game. But but three and thirty So overall twenty two and twenty six, that's a four fifty eight winning percentage for the Penny. So I have a five game lead in the lost column. But as you know, Danny, I'm the one that could go three and thirteen this weekend, right. I mean, these things are very bizarre how this works. So with that being said, let's get to the games. Here.

We'll start out with the early television window Minnesota at New Orleans. You're talking about early. This game is in jolly old London, a nine thirty am kickoff time Eastern times, So if you're on the West coast in the States, here at six thirty am, breakfast and bacon and football on the NFL Network. Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez, the butt Fumble Guy, have the call Googles. That's a Fox team and they have the call. So the Vikings opening

up a one point favorite. They're favored by three. The handle on this game the cash in favor of Minnesota, which scares me a little bit here over sunny, mostly sunny. It's London, so it's not always said, but mostly sunny in London. Sixty four degrees at kickoff at Totenham Hot Spur Stadium. Have you ever been to London, Danny? You ever been? Due? Uh? No? I think it's Todtenham? Is it Todd? What I say? It sounds better that way. Yes, A bunch of toads hate hold stool. I'm showing what

an evil American I am. So some of the trends in this game. Minnesota their last ten against the spread versus teams that have a losing record there three and seven. The Vikings are ten and fifteen their last against the spread with Kirk Cousins started, or ten and fifteen rather last I believe I said that in Craiggy. So either way, the numbers are not particularly great for Minnesota. New Orleans is two and five with Jamis Winston starting, but is he going to start I'm gonna take the Vikings in

this game. Minnesota's defense has been lousy. They get a reprieve here this week. The Saints are horrid on offense. New Orleans ranks thirty one and expected points added. The last two weeks, they've averaged twelve points per game. Jamis Winston's got five interceptions the last two weeks combined, He's been sacked eleven times. He's so damaged he probably won't even start this game. Andy Dalton is being prepared as

the starter as we're talking, no official announcement. There's also two starting linemen who are hurt in this game for New Orleans, and there's no way I'm gonna bet on a main gold Jamis Winston or the red pa shooter and not the red rifle. He's a pea shooters. So I'm gonna take the Purple People leaders and lay the three points. Vikings thirty, Saints twenty. The final Ah, the penny is trying to copy off your paper right away, also going with the Vikings. Okay, so we're in agreement

on that one. Next up, Tennessee, we go back to the US Tennessee at Indianapolis, Tennessee one and two, Indianapolis one one and one. It is on Fox, so you better watch. Adam A. Mean and Mark Slaver have the call. The Colts opened up a three and app point in this game. They are favored by three and the money is pretty even. There's not a big lean to either side. As we are doing Benny versus the Penny at Lucas Oil Stadium. It's a dome, but temperatures around seventy degrees

outside the dome at kickoff. Tennessee check this out. Last ten October games with Mike Rabel as coach eight and two against the spread, and Tennessee their last fifteen as an underdog of seven or less. Like this game, they're ten and five against the number. Now, they say that styles make fights, and these teams are very similar. They have a big time running back, they have a very average quarterback. You've got Derrick Henry on one side of the ring, Jonathan Taylor on the other. I'm gonna take

the Titans in this game. Both these teams have been inconsistent. I am not a believer in India. I know they upset Kansas City last week and I was on the Colts last week, but the Indie squad is averaging three point eight yards per play and less than twenty five yards per drive, and Matt Ryan is the quarterback according to Pro Football Focuses rankings. Now, I'm not gonna sit here and sell you on Ryan Tannehill. You saw the

Titans last Weekdanny. They played half a game really well and then they almost gave it all back to the Raiders in the second half. And I believe they only have to play half a game really well this week. Again. The teams are pretty close. I like getting the points. Divisional matchup. Final score, Titans go into Indie and get a win. Titans seven, Colts three. The penny looks like it's a Matt Ryan believer going with the Colts. Well, don't bet on a falling star because he have a

falling star falls on you. We know how that works. Next up, you're talking about unattractive matchups. It's like a hot tup time machine game. Chicago to and one. The New York Giants tuned and it's on Fox. Joe Davis, the Dodger played by play Guy and Darrel Moose Johnston have the call. The Giants opened up a three point favorite. They've been bet up to three and a half. I don't understand why six of the money is on the Giants coming off a loss on Monday Night football at

MetLife Stadium temperatures in the high sixties. The Bears have been lousy with Josh Fields against the spread, their two and eight their last ten with Josh Field starting. The Giants, though their last ten games at home in October there one eight and one, and the Giants as a favorite are four ten in one their last fifteen games as a favorite. So there's a lot of dueling trends that both look ominous for each side, Chicago and New York. But my pick, I'm gonna take the Bears here, and

let me give you my logic behind that pick. It's a short week for the Giants. You've got two bad teams. The Bears running that nineteen seventies style offense, It somehow has worked. They beat the forty niners, they beat the Texans. That's not a great win, but they still wanted. Chicago's averaging a hundred and eighties six points seven yards on the ground per game their second in the NFL. New York, though also averaging a hundred sixty nine yards a game,

which is fourth in the league. So this game is going to be a back and forth between David Montgomery and someone named Khalil Herbert who had a big game last week coming out of nowhere for Chicago, and then

Sequon Barkley on the other side. Now, this is not good news with the Giants because Danny the Giants still try to pass, and I'm counting on Danny dimes with a spicy hot turn over here, and that will give the Bears a short field the key when you don't have a quarterback, and the Bears are like the headless Horseman with Josh Field. They really all are. Uh. You need special teams and you need the other team to make a timely mistake, and I just can't bet on

the Giants laying more than a field goal here. So I am roaring with the Bears and I'll take them to to get the cover. Giants will actually win the game, but I'm take the Bears to cover. Giants thirteen Bears twelve. The final bet the underalls. The penny landed on tails, going with Chicago. Okay, so the penny picking up my pick and taking it too to be there pick as well. All right? Next up, Buffalo two and one at Baltimore two and one. It's on CBS with Iron Eagle and

Charles Davison. I will be watching this game. Uh yeah, I'm by flipping around all the games, but I will be focused on this game in particular. The Bills opened up a four point favorite, and as we talk right now and Benny versus the Penny, the Bills are a three point favorite. The money is mostly been on this game at M ANDT Bank Stadium, the House that Sports with Coleman Bill Our our radio friend podcast friend from Baltimore, cloudy and temperatures in the sixties at kickoff. You look

at some of the trends in this game. The Bills their last seventeen games, which probably goes back to like the nineteen eighties on the road after playing Miami. I guess it doesn't go back that far, but they're four and thirteen against the spread. They're not They have not done particularly well on the road after playing Miami, and the Ravens have been very good in the John Harbaugh era as an underdog. There twelve and three against the spread.

Their last fifteen is an underdog. I'm taking Baltimore in this game. It'll be a shootout. We love betting on a team that is as explosive as the Ravens are getting a field goal at home. The Ravens lead the NFL and scoring. The Bills have some damaged linebackers, their secondary is still a hot stew and they just will not be able to consistently stop Lamar Jackson by air and by ground. And Mark Andrews the tight end is off the way, really record breaking type season. He's been

a blowtorch for the Ravens. I only expect Baltimore to stop Josh Allen. I'm gonna sit here and sell you on the Ravens defense. The Ravens defense blows. Uh, They've They've been terrible. Baltimore has allowed five yard passers the last nineteen games going to last season. Before that, they had this massive stretch of never allowing like even three

yard passers. So I am going to take the Poets plus the points and the Ravens forty one, Bills forty in a thriller attract met and the penny says Ken Dorsey will not smash anything this weekend, going with a penny, gone with where the Buffalo Room. Next up, the l A Chargers at Houston Chargers one and two, Houston O two and one. In this game on CBS, Andrew Catalan and the noble veteran James Lofton have the call. The Chargers opened up a seven point road favorite. They're favored

by five. That's a big number here for a Charger team that got their face smashed in by Jacksonville last week. The money is a slight lean to the Chargers. At n RG Stadium in Houston. It is a dome, temperatures in the eighties in Houston on Sunday at kickoff outside Houston. They've been a sneaky good play for gamblers with Davis Mills at quarterback and could have, would have, should have beat the Bears last week. David Mills made the big mistake late that gave the Bears a short field set

them up for the game winning field goal. But Davis Mills with him under center. Houston is six and one against the spread their last seven and the Chargers. Check this out if you're a fan of trends. The Chargers of the last seven games is a favorite of seven or less. They are one in six against the spread and so that bodes well. I'm gonna take the Texans this game. The Chargers without Joey Bosa yet again, where

have we heard that before? Got a groin injury, Rashawn Slater's out for the year, the left tackle, the blind side protector of Justin Herbert, who still dinged up. He's got his own issues. Everyone seems to be heard. The Texans are one of the worst teams in the NFL, but they have been competitive with Davis Mills. As I said, and so I am going to cover my eyes. I am going to pretend I'm not doing this, but I

am going to do it. Texans twenty seven and the Chargers dropped the one in three and helped the Raiders out and everyone else in that a f C West Chargers penny is flashing back to the end of last season. Also going with the Texans. Alright, So we've got a lot of agreements so far early on Benny versus the Penny. Next up Seattle one and two at Detroit, also one and two. It is on Fox with our former colleague and FSR Alumni Association member Chris Myers in the old

Minnesota Viking running back Robert Smith. The line on this game opened Lions by six. It's down to four and a half Detroit to four and a half point favorite, A slight lean to Seattle in the handle on this game at Ford Field temperatures as we head into October starting to cool down, temperatures in the low sixties outside the dome. Seattle five and ten their last fifteen on the road against the spread with Pete Carroll as head coach.

Detroit has been very good with Dan Campbell and Jared Goff their last ten games together eight and two against the spread. But I want to take the Seahawks. I don't care about the trends. I don't need the trends on my side. I'm going with the healthier team. And I love the Lions and I like the way they fight. But Seattle is a healthier team. The Lions were without not one, not two, not three, not four, not five,

not six, not seven, not eight, not nine. How about ten players at practice this week, including many key starters on both sides of the ball. How about amon ra st Brown, the talented the wide receiver, bad ankle, DeAndre Swift bad ankle. He's likely out. T J Hockenson the tight end, also out. Several linemen dinged up and even if most of these guys play, how effective are they going to be? So here's another game, Danny, where I want to puke in my mouth. But I'm going to

take the Lions opponent in this game. I'm gonna take the Seahawks in this game. So I'm taking Seattle. Lions will win the game, but the Seahawks win the money, getting the four and half and they will cover that. And final score Detroit thirty three and the Seahawks thirty and the penny is going the other way. Taking the Lions, all right, Taking the Lions over a field goal at home, that's a risky proposition. Next up the New York Jets j E T s Sucks Sucks Suck and the pets

Berg Steelers at one and two. Both these teams that one and two. It's on CBS with Greg Gumbel, who hates sports radio is an elitist schmuck, and Adam rch Aletta that is the play by play team there at CBS. The Steelers opened a three and a half point favorite. The line here has stayed at three and a half at Accrasher Stadium formerly known as Hines Field, temperatures in the sixties cloudy in Pittsburgh at kickoff for this game. What kind of condiment is I believe of that is

right next to mayonnaise and sauerkraud, I think. But alright, so the Jets their last twenty games with Robert Salem as the coach, how have they done for gamblers? Seven and thirteen against the spread? Do you know, Danny, you have something in common with Robert Salo though? Robert Sala announced this week that after the Jets beat the Browns, he got a phone call from Donald Trump, president former president Donald Trump. So you, you and Robert Sala have

both talked to President Trump on the phone. So congratulations, then congratulations. What do you think Trump told him? Well, Sala claims that Trump called him up and was congratulating him and said that he was as good a coach or better coach than Vince Lombardi. So either that was Donald having a good time watching football and get a little carried away, or that was a Donald Trump at personator. I don't know, um, but either way, that was an

interesting side note. Footnote, if you all Pittsburgh their last ten as a favorite. They've been so good for so long, but those days are in the rear view mirror. Pittsburgh two and eight against the spread their last ten as a favorite, and Pittsburgh just eleven thirteen and one overall against the number last twenty five games with Mike Thomas. So I'm gonna take the Jets in this game. Now there's a chance Zach Wilson plays. He's been upgraded to

probable for the Jets. As we getting played all year, It's either gonna be Wilson or Flacco, and that's not great either way. The key here is rather obvious. The Steelers can't get out of their own way on offense as long as New York can play a semi clean game. Easier said than done. The Jets are bread clumsy. The Steelers without t J. Watt do not stop the run.

They haven't been able to generate a pass rush, which you know, I didn't play in the NFL, but I think those are things that generally, if you can't do those things, you're not going to win a lot of games. They're not gonna cover a lot of spreads if you can't get to the quarterback and you can't stop the run. And Mitch Robinsky needs a flea bath. He's been a dog with fleas here. This is a field goal game.

So the way I'm looking at this, if I've got the Jets plus three and a half, the Jets either win by a field goal, I win the bet, they lose by a field goal, and I still win the bet. So there's two ways I can win on this if I'm right that this game is anyone's game in the fourth quarter and it's gonna come down to the kicking game. So I will take the Steelers to win the game because I can't trust the Jets, but the Jets to win the money. Steelers sixteen and the Jets thirteen the final,

and the penny is going with Eddie's Steelers. BO, that's not a terrible towel, but a terrible pick. How about shut up? Next up, boy, this is a darling of the NFL world right now. Philadelphia three and oh they're playing host of Jacksonville two and one. Who would have thought that both these teams would have a winning record heading into Week four, But that's the case. It's on CBS with Spirodidas and Jay Feely. They have the call. The Eagles opened a seven point favorite at home, and

they are favored by six and a half. The money is pretty even on this game, which is surprising. I thought that was surprising. Lincoln Financial Field, the length, the site, temperatures cloudy in the sixties for this game. Jacksonville, They've been so bad for so long. Their last fifteen non conference games there four and eleven against the spread. That includes a win last week against the Chargers and Philly. With Jalen Hurts as the starting quarterback, they actually have

a losing overall record. There are two games under five hundred over the course of his his time. Obviously much better this Philadelphia team, with the talent they picked up in the off season. They've lived up to the hype so far after a shaky late game and the opener against Detroit. So I'm gonna take Jacksonville on this game. Despite all of the love for the Eagles, Doug Peterson's

homecoming game Jacksonville's coach. He won a Super Bowl as coach that Fluke Nick Foles super Bowl back in the day. The Jags have played with great tenacity. That's stuff we don't normally see from Jacksonville football teams. This is obviously the ultimate placement test. Trevor Lawrence has got some swagger back at quarterback. You're going against an Eagle team that has been an absolute wagon so far, and Jalen Hurts has been putting teams in a blender. The Birds are

averaging four seven yards of offense. But I'm on the side of the professional game. But was the sharps are on the Jags, And I like being on the side of the pro gamblers and not the casual betters. So I'm gonna take the Eagles to win, but I'll take Jacksonville to cover the number of getting that almost a touchdown. Eagles thirty, Jags twenty four. The final cue the Rocky music. The penny represents the everyday working man, Ben going with Philly.

All right, put that Rocky statue up right there there. It is next up Washington, oh and three at Dashally they're wanting to excuse me. They wanted they did beat jackson What it too at Dallas two and one. It's on Fox with Kevin Burkhardt and Greg Olsen. This is the big game on Fox this weekend. That's the number one team. You know why it's the number one team,

It's the Cowboys. The Cowboys could be playing dogshit and they would and I think they are actually this week, and they would still draw a huge audience, and that's really what it's all about for TV. Most of the money is on Dallas in this game. The Cowboys opened up a three point favorite. As we are recording Benny versus the Penny, it is a three and a half point line in favor of Dallas. Mostly cloudy in Jerry's world, and seventy five degrees to kick off in the Metroplex

there in Arlington, Washington. The last ten games with Ron Rivera coaching, they are five four and one against the spread. Dallas with Mike McCarthy, they've been very good for gamblers. Cowboys are eighteen and seven against the spread and most of that against the NFC East, seven and oh against the spread their last seven inside the division. And I'm on the side of the public on this one. I'm gonna take the Cowboys and I'll tell you my logic

behind this pick. Micael Parsons and that Dallas defense licking their chops after Carson Wentz was a crash test dummy last week against the Eagles. I love that Cowboy front defensively, and if Washington has time to throw and Carson Wentz is so pigheaded that he won't make adjustments to a three steps drop, mixing in bubble screens to keep the defense on their toes. Good luck on that keep their defense on their heels. I should say flustered. Flustered is

the word for for Carson Wentz. Here, Cowboys looked pretty good against the gents. That offensive line, some of the changes there. They were able to run the ball. They should run the ball very well in this game. Washington has been blown out twice already this year. Their one win was a come from behind gift at the hands of Jacksonville, and they took took advantage of the gift from the Jags. So anyway, let's Cooper rush is not great, he's not sexy, but he's average and all you need

is average. All you need is average in this game Cowboys seven and the Commanders the Old Redskin sixteen and the penny says he was part of a Cooper rush tip one time, also going with the Cowboys, all right, so the penny backing me up on the Cowboy pick. Next up Cleveland two and one at Atlanta one and two. It is on CBS with Beth Mowins Antiki Barber. Yeah, that's it's a mute button game right here. All right.

So the game opened up, Brown's favored by two and a half and they are favored by one here the Falcons getting a slight lean in their favor. As far as the Handle was concerned, it's gonna be a rainy day in Atlanta. Not that it matters. The game's being played inside the dome at Mercedes ben Stadium. Some of the trends coming this game. Cleveland five nine and one their last fifteen against the spread with Kevin Stefanski as coach.

And how about this one at Atlanta their last eight games at home with Arthur Smith coaching just one and seven against the spread. What happened, dirty Birds? I'm gonna take the Falcons on this game. Uh. And to me, this game is a throwback. You forget about Marcus Mariota, and Jacoby said, it is all about the headliners on this should be the running backs Nick Chubb and cor Darrel Patterson, the NFL's top two rushers. Cleveland has been

wobbly on special teams there ranked twenty. And those are the hidden points that Atlanta is gonna have to take advantage of. Taking advantage of the buffoonery from the Brown special teams. You toss in the fact we do not expect Miles Garrett, who was involved in a car accident, he was allegedly speeding in his car, did the flipped the flip. I don't expect him to play. That's a huge difference maker off the field there, and I don't

next man it up all that. But even with Myles Garrett, Cleveland's defense was ranked twenty seventh in defensive efficiency and that was with Garrett out there. As we said, so the dirty birds on the right side in this game, they end the home Blues Falcons as a small home dog Falcons twenty and the Browns seventeen. The final and the Penny says, don't worry about that flip. The Browns are gonna be victors. No, it'll be a brown out.

It is going to be a brown out. Next up, late television window, late television window, the Arizona Carolina matchup both these teams one and two. It's on Fox. A friend of ours Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma have the call. The game opened up Cardinals by two and a half and this line. You look at the updated line on this hold on a sec year because this line has actually moved. Uh, there's been a a bunch of movement on the speech. You know, why why would you think

to be any movement on this game? Because these are two terrible teams. But nonetheless, let me get the freshest line as I click refresh on this and yes, it's now gone in favor of the Panthers as a one point favorite in this game. So Arizona went from two and at point favors to a one point underdog. Cardinals getting a good amount of the moolah, which is surprising considering the amounts that the point spread moved. You think that would be the other way, But that's the numbers

that we have in Charlotte. Light rain. It's kind of a big storm. I don't know if you've heard about it, Danny. There has been a big storm there moving up the eastern seaboard this weekend. The weather reporters wearing baseball helmets on camera and condoms on their microphones. Light rain, temperatures in the sixties. This is an outdoor stadium at Bank of America Stadium there in Charlotte, And so that's the weather.

The trends in this game. Arizona eight and two against the spread, their last ten on the road with Cliff Kingsbury, but their last ten overall just three and seven with Kyler Murray as the quarterback. And Carolina has got their own problems there, one in nine against the spread, their last ten with Matt Rule coaching, and the last fifteen games at home for the Carolina Panthers against teams that are losing record like Arizona, They're just two and thirteen

against bad teams at home. That said, I'm gonna take the Panthers. I'll tell you why this is a more of a play against Arizona. I'm not a believer in the Cardinals and their defense. Cardinals are allowing opponents almost nineteen first half points per game, that is worst in the NFL. So they're playing uphill every week. You get away with that every once in a while. Carolinas dinged up yet again. Christian McCaffrey. Tell me or stop me if you've heard this. He's got a bad quad. He

may or may not play. Baker Mayfield, whether he plays or not, he is not playing well at all. He does not have the same pep in his step that he had in Cleveland. He is half the man he had been with the Browns. And we haven't really seen any good Baker Mayfield yet in Carolina. This likely will be the week we start seeing something. If not, you might want to send Baker Mayfield back. Return to sender. This game looks too easy for Kyler Murray. The average

gambler expecting Kyler to do his thing. I expect this to be a dogfight. Murray has started two games against Carolina in his career. He is owing two in that time, and one of those was against a Matt Rule coach team. And he's averaged less than five yards per pass attempt in his career against Carolina. Now that's not going to continue forever. But I'm taking the Panthers twenty three and the Cardinals twenty the final. And the penny says, please

stay safe to everyone in the hurricane zone. But you know what happens with hurricanes. Sometimes Ben brings out the alligators, Kyler Murray and the Cardinals, And who the penny is going with? No, no, he He's gonna need a lifeboat, and a lifeguard. Tyler is what he's gonna need. An alligator can thrive in a hurricane Ben Okay, all right? Next up, Danny j we go to Sin City, lost wages Nevada as it's Denver two and one and Las Vegas oh and three on CBS with Kevin Harlan and

Trent Green. They have to call. The Raiders opened up a two point favorite and they are favored by three in this game, and the Raider is getting a lot of the money almost on the side of the Raiders. Sonny temperatures in the nineties outside elite at Stadium in Vegas the Raiders. The one team that Derek Carr looks good against has been the Broncos. He's done very well against Denver, eight and two against the spread his last ten,

so that's the good news. The bad news is Vegas is one in nine their last ten as a favorite, so that doesn't bode well here. The Broncos mentioned to having all kinds of issues with Derek Carr in particular, Broncos have not beaten the Raiders on the road since they were in Oakland back in so it's been it's

been quite a stretch here. And after starting six and how about this for your guy, Josh McDaniels, after starting six and oh with the Broncos and oh nine his last twenty five games, Josh McDaniels has walked off the field the loser twenty of the twenty five games, five and twenty record. And so there's all kinds of of numbers we can throw out here, But bad news, Danny, I'm taking the Broncos in this game might actually be good news. No, no, no, I'm in the penny so far.

You're smartass. Derek Carr is a mess in the red zone in particular, so he's been fine moving the ball, but they get down the red zone. It hasn't gone well. The Broncos end of the week though, as the league's top red zone defense, So if you go on what has happened, the Raiders are gonna have more problems again on the red zone offense. But keep in mind Russell Wilson and the Broncos also have been terrible in the red zone. In fact, statistically, they've actually been worse than

the Raiders. At least Davante Adams has been able to get some touchdowns in the red zone. But I like this matchup for Denver Patricks certained the second He's gonna keep Davante Adams under wraps there and not that that's that hard. Recently, the last couple of weeks, DeVante Adams has been mostly a decoy. Both these teams have struggled so much to play a complete game. I don't think it goes completely one way towards the Raiders or the Broncos. And I like getting the point, so I'm gonna take

Denver plus the points. Raiders, as I said, Uh, they're not the right side here, but they will win the game, but they will not win the bet. That's all we care about. The gambling line. Raiders twenty four Broncos twenty three. The final said the Raiders were gonna win. Well, they're gonna win, but yes, but the Broncos are gonna win the bet. That's all we care about. The penny agrees with you. Also going on the Broncos side. Cool Broncos last, all right, So that is the Raider Bronco game. Next

up New England at green Bay. That's actually one of my stronger plays. New England one and two, Green Bay two and one. It's on CBS with Jim Nance and Tony Romo. They have the call. The Packers opened up a six and a half point favorite that skyrocketed all the way up to nine and a half and everyone thinks this is a free money game. Almost on Green Bay a mostly sunny, temperatures in the sixties at kickoff at Lamb Bowle Field, the mild tundra this week. So

some of the trends and numbers in this game. Brian Hoyer oh and eleven his last eleven starts. He has not won a game in six years. In fact, on Sunday when this game is played, it will be exactly six years October two, the last time Brian Hoyer started a game and walked off the field with a victory. The point spread difference, What is the difference you ask between Mac Jones and Brian Hoyer. Well, the drop off

according to the experts is right around four points. So the bookmaker believes the Patriots are about four points worse with Brian Hoyer. The Packers have been straight money at home there twenty and nine against the spread with Matt Lafleur coaching. But I'm gonna take the Patriots. I like the Patriots. No Mac Jones, he's got the bad ankle. No chance, I say, not so fast is what I say. There's actually, to me, not as big a gap between Mac Jones and Brian Hoyer as the wise guys think.

The Patriots bread and butter. If they're gonna win games this year, it's gotta be with the running game, Damien Harris and raymondre Stevenson. The Packers are eighteen against the run. They're allowing a hundred and thirteen rushing yards per games, so there's yards to be had there, and the Patriots have to play a methodical, suck the clockdown type of strategy. And you mix in the fact that cream Bay does

not have the wow factor. They don't have the big playmakers for Aaron Rodgers, and this game is a value play. This is a value play. I love getting over a touchdown. And this is one of those games everyone just assumed Screen Bay can show up and collect to win. And last week the Patriots were leading the Ravens at halftime. We played a terrible third quarter. They had a defensive meltdown.

I get it, that's part of the game. But I'm gonna take the Patriots plus the nine and a half Packers and the Patriots twenty three penny going chalk here with the Packers. Alright, the Penny going in that direction. Next up, we had to Sunday Night Football on and be see Kansas City two and one at Tampa Bay two and one. You've got Mike Tarico and Chris Collinsworth

in the booth. Now, this game is supposed to be played at Raymond James Stadium, but there's a kind of a big storm and as we're doing this, we we're not sure it could be played in Minnesota or in Tampa. Doesn't really matter. The Chiefs opened to two point favorite. The Chiefs are a three point favorite in this game. The money is pretty even. Kansas City their last fifteen games on the road, revenging a road loss, they are eleven three and one, so they've been a very good bet.

Tampa Bay, also at home with Tom Brady, has been wonderful, and as an underdog there ten four and one, last fifteen at home with Brady, and as an underdog obviously most of those games as an underdog without Brady. Tampa Bay and the Giants the only two teams without first half touchdowns this season. The Giants and Tampa Bay. Holy Tom Brady, Batman, you've got Brady Mahomes. They've faced each other five times, Brady has a three to two edge in the head to head, But I'm gonna take the Chiefs.

I'm gonna take Kansas City here, Tom Brady, Mahomes the headliners. But the story of this game defense, defense, defense. Kansas City and Tampa have been crushing people, crushing skulls all season. Tampa's allowing nine points per game. They have played a couple of inferior offensive teams, the Cowboys with Dak Prescott, who was no good and he got hurt, and then they also played sat the Saints, who are a mess.

The Chiefs defense. Had they've been able to contain Kyler Murray justin Herbert, they had the lead, should have, could have would have beaten Matt Ryan and the coast. There was that donculous unsportsmanlike conduct penalty on third down that extended any Annapolis drive, helped them win the game. So I think this is a low scoring game. I trust Patrick Mahomes at this point more than forty five year old Tom Brady. I know that Tampa's getting Mike Evans

back from suspension. Julio Jones, the washed up Julio Jones, is back as well. But I'm gonna take the Chiefs low scoring game, Chiefs twenty four and the Buccaneers nineteen the final and the Penny would like to join you and and d read out for some nice marin Era case little Ravioli with the Marinerera. Can't go wrong with that unless you drop it on your foot. Alright, last game, Danny, We're at the last game on the card. Monday Night Football. The l a I am two and one at San

Francisco one and two. It's on ESPN Slash ABC with Joe Buck and Troy Aikman. Yeah, I guess got some money here. The guys that took the Saudi Oil money to go over to their ESPN took that big paycheck, and so the forty Niners, good for them. I do the same thing. Forty Niners opened up a two point favorite. They are favored by one and the handle on this game in favor of the l a RAMS. The numbers coming in here. It's gonna be in the temperatures in

the seventies at Levi Stadium in Santa Clara. The last seven games, Kyle Shanahan has gone against Sean McVeigh with Jimmy Garoppolo six and one. The Niners record but the Rams have been a wonderful road team with Sean McVeigh except against the forty Niners overall, the twenty seven and nineteen against the spread. Uh, and I really was looking to take the forty Niners in this game. You're probably thinking, well, why would you do that. You're a Rams fan, you

should take the you know, we just take the Ram. Well, I'm gonna take the Rams. But I like betting on underdogs, and the forty Niners have been able to just kick the snot out of the Rams in recent years, except for the NFC Championship game, where there was a key drop thank god by a forty Niner defender in that game. But recent history on side on the side of the Niners. But men, are they struggling right now and in this season. Jimmy Garoppolo, he's been lousy since he took over, and

really he's been lousy since last year. The last six games going back to the playoffs, Garoppolo has five touchdowns, six interceptions of passer rating of one. And San Francisco while they have been able to push around and be bullies against the Rams, the physicality, it's gonna be harder to do that the Niners have not been able to run the ball consistently. Well, they don't have their starting

left tackle now. Trent Williams, the Mountain Man, has a bad ankle, so he's out for at least a month, and so you've got Deebo Samuel as An Island as the only playmaker. I know that I'm saying this, and I've said these things before in the Rams have played the Niners, and I've looked like a complete donkey, but I'm gonna go with Sean mcveigher. I think there's something to this, the Niners having their issues here, and this

seems like a pretty good opportunity. The Rams have not figured things out, even though they beat the Cardinals last week. There's still some underlying issues there with the Rams. But I'll take the l a Rams three. You can ram it all day, you can ram it all night. And the forty Niners twenty and the penny is showing some

copper balls doing what you wouldn't do. Taking the Niners alright, Taking the Niners there painting for gold, panning for gold there with the forty Nights, Well, that that is it. That is it. Good luck, May all your bets be winning ones. And remember, good teams win, great teams cover, and that's the key thing here. It's one thing to win. But did you cover the spread? And you can be really bad and as long as you cover, we're good

with that. And so we'll see what happens, and uh, we'll check in next week, same time, same podcast station. Until then, have a wonderful rest of your Friday. Asta pasta, gotta murder, Gotta go.